RIOT

Positive_Low_2282

That IV/HV discrepancy on $RIOT is definitely unusual, especially for a **high-beta (2.02)** stock like a BTC miner. Typically, Implied Volatility (IV) ramps up significantly before earnings to reflect uncertainty.

Bigb4nman

Thank you for writing this out. I completely neglected the recent volatility of BTC.  My thesis is that RIOT will pivot to a data center emphasis because that's what all of its peers in the same sector have been doing.  The IV and HV disparity makes perfect sense now tho. 

VolatilityBongo

good question and i think you're looking at this through the right lens but missing one key piece of context. RIOT is a BTC miner. the earnings report itself is almost redundant information for a company like this because everyone already knows what bitcoin did last quarter. the hash rate is public. production numbers are estimable. energy costs are roughly trackable. there's very little "surprise" that an earnings call can deliver for a miner the way it can for, say, a SaaS company announcing new subscriber numbers nobody expected. the market is essentially saying "we already know what bitcoin did, so what exactly is the earnings call going to tell us that changes the thesis?" and that's why IV is sitting at the 41st percentile of its own range, not because 94% is objectively low, but because RIOT has seen 200%+ IV during genuine BTC regime changes and the market doesn't think this earnings is that kind of event. the HV running 110-120% is reflecting realized moves driven by bitcoin's price action, not by RIOT-specific catalysts. that's an important distinction. HV is backward looking and capturing every BTC swing that dragged RIOT with it. IV is forward looking and asking "what's the NEXT move", and if BTC is range-bound or trending cleanly into this earnings, the options market is pricing continuation rather than disruption. the real vol catalyst for RIOT has never been earnings. it's bitcoin breaking a level. if BTC rips or dumps 10% the week after earnings, RIOT will move 20% and that won't have anything to do with what the CEO said on the call. the other thing to consider is that market makers aren't stupid. they know retail sees "earnings + high beta + BTC miner" and wants to buy premium. if anything, the 41st percentile IV rank might be telling you that the smart money already priced in a muted reaction and is waiting to sell vol to anyone chasing the earnings lotto. if you think the market is wrong and this earnings actually matters, maybe there's a strategic pivot, acquisition, reserve policy change, then the vol is cheap and you have an edge. but if your thesis is just "high beta stock should have high IV before earnings" without a specific catalyst the market is missing, you might just be paying 94% IV for a move the market correctly expects to be a nothingburger. the play here, if you're convicted, isn't buying naked calls or puts at 94% IV hoping for a blowout. it's looking at whether post-earnings IV crush drops you to 60-70% and structuring around that, maybe a spread that benefits from the move but limits your vega exposure, or waiting for the earnings to pass and positioning on the BTC catalyst that actually drives this stock. don't pay for an earthquake when the market is pricing a tremor unless you know something specific about why the ground is about to crack 🥁📈

Competitive-Ad4708

Which is why I'm betting on RIOT next week.

jda823

Why hasn't RIOT or HUT taken as big of a hit the last month as MSTR, MARA, or COIN? Is it because they mine?

HuntersMoon19

Corn needs to go up 10% so my IREN and RIOT calls go up 100%.

Plus_Item_6465

My Stock Portfolio: NBIS MVST HAL BLK AVGO MU META RIOT MSTR

FunGi35x

RIOT. As United States citizens the Constitution says it is our responsibility to tear down a government that no longer serves its people. It's nobody else's responsibility but the citizens. It's our responsibility. We have to stop the most powerful military system from the inside as we are ita working Gears of its system

unknownnoname2424

RIOT is the next IREN. Load up. AMD contract was just the first more to come...

Awuza

!Banbet RIOT +6% 3 days

AccomplishedBrain309

Bitcoin cost more to mine than its worth. Unless your using hydro and data centers have driven up those prices also. Look at (RIOT) Lease with AMD. So down is likley to continue.

HuntersMoon19

Well now holding IREN and RIOT seems like I'm actually smart.

Eastern-Joke-7537

What about RIOT?

DefiantDelta

imagine not having short positions on MSTR BMNR RIOT and ABTC, couldn't be me

mrksmb

I like AAL and OSCR at current prices. RIOT can also be good on a pullback.

One_Investigator_268

To answer OP’s question judging by the pictures your options were RIOT and RKT. You’re welcome

Street-Brush8415

Going to Boston to drown my sorrows after RIOT fucked me today. How does every stock I sell calls on surge on the day of expiration but if I buy calls they don’t do shit?

Rock_or_Rol

Made a fuck ton on MSTR calls and MSTX commons from last week and earlier this week before the pump then put half of that in RIOX (2x RIOT) right before the AMD deal, thinking I’d just ride the BTC beta. Doubled down on SMCI calls after the dip too. Doubled down on Thursday IBIT calls on the dip today too. Lost a little on MSTR and APLD breakout calls today and QQQ 0DTEs, but I’ve had far too much good luck for the universe to abide by. You might want to sell everything.

ExcellentProcedure94

Hold RIOT and IBRX through the weekend? 😮‍💨

Feisty-Basis7903

huge news for RIOT. If I had some spare cash, I think throw some in

ExcellentProcedure94

Still a RIOT going on! Lol

unknownnoname2424

RIOT got AMD deal for HPC AI data center... Should be $30+ by end of month

unknownnoname2424

Told regards to buy overnight RIOT CLSK MARA BITF HIVE and RIOT is 12%... Still has room to jump with AMD AI HPC contract. Easy $30+ by end of month potentially.

FuckingJPMAlgos

Same thing applies to RIOT and MARA too, they are BTC pure plays too.

ExcellentProcedure94

Let’s RIOT 😤

FuckingJPMAlgos

RIOT up 12%, MARA up 5%, MSTR down 1%. Can somebody make sense of this bullshit?

robotvsbadger

RIOT is going nuts premarket

unknownnoname2424

HIVE CLSK RIOT MARA BITF iBit will be going to the moon soon 🚀🚀🚀🚀

Open-Pollution4619

RIOT

segreit

$RIOT

WorstYugiohPlayer

All I'm praying for is RIOT to drop as close to 15 as life allows.

Eastern-Joke-7537

How do you play Bitcoin? Is BTC the main ticker/ETF to own? I picked up ONE share of RIOT again. I have previously missed EVERY move on that stock. 😂

unknownnoname2424

HIVE CLSK MARA BITF RIOT 🚀🚀🚀🚀 and SMCI... Yes baggie of SMCI but won't sell till $150

Klutzy_Emu2506

APLD and RIOT is the way, just buy and hold for 5 years

unknownnoname2424

Regards -> BBAI is the next palantir CRML is the next MP. HIVE CLSK MARA BITF RIOT is the next HUT8 Load up

unknownnoname2424

RIOT CLSK MARA BITF HIVE will 🚀🚀🚀 once a contract is announced or corn 🌽 blowout

unknownnoname2424

RIOT CLSK MARA BITF HIVE are ready to rock once corn 🌽 goes above $100k or they get a data center contract... Just one contract will double the price

friboy

It’s okay I had 1000 shares of IREN at 6.20 and sold at $16 and it went to $75 like I thought it would but 6 months from now. Shit happens in trading just move onto the next with the profit you made. Side note: this was the worst trade fumble I’ve made so far besides RIOT when it first pumped.

sirauron14

Can yall pump my bags? I need Coinbase to $800 and RIOT to $100

ThatFUTGuy

with miners acting as 2-3x leverage to BTC (on estimate) $MARA and $RIOT are currently lagging 4-6% behind the run 💡

ThatFUTGuy

$RIOT and $MARA currently lagging behind the BTC run, could be an opportunity for some people on 24hr commons or it’s the start of a bearish divergence 🎲

ThatFUTGuy

unlucky man, hoping this year goes well for everybody, i’m playing $MARA & $RIOT gambling for a $91k BTC by Monday

unknownnoname2424

Once BITF HIVE CLSK MARA and RIOT double out or triple out, going to buy from eBay LEGO 910049 Adventures in Transylvania... Lego only made 50k sets so has a high potential of appreciation and a great set to build.

FriendShapedRMT

Just want to reiterate that 2d ago I mentioned RIOT and it's up over 10% today.

unknownnoname2424

Once BITF HIVE CLSK MARA and RIOT double out or triple out, going to buy from eBay LEGO 910049 Adventures in Transylvania... Lego only made 50k sets so has a high potential of appreciation and a great set to build.

unknownnoname2424

Looking for a 25th anniversary celebration UPC metal Charizard CGC or PSA 10... Prices have jumped significantly. Last PSA 10 got sold for $9k+. Sealed 25TH anniversary celebration UPC box is going up as well... Waiting for BITF HIVE CLSK MARA and RIOT to jump so I can pick one up.

HuntersMoon19

34%. A good chunk of that gain was RIOT. A good chunk of my losses from Oct to now were also RIOT. But double SPY, can’t complain about that.

OverdosedOnViagra

Here’s a few and my returns this year: WBD 240%, HUT 223%, GOOG 101%, DOCN 65%, RIOT 70%, SOFI 150-200% ish, MU 300%, and a bunch more haha

HuntersMoon19

I'm up 42% for the year. Made a good bit on RIOT. Then lost a good bit on RIOT. Ending up almost 2.5X better than SPY, I'll take that.

andresglz18

i've got RIOT & BBAI as my dark horses.

FuckingJPMAlgos

Fuck you Bitcoin, Fuck you MSTR, Fuck you CRCL, Fuck you BMNR, Fuck you MARA, Fuck you RIOT, Fuck you COIN, Fuck you HOOD. I am done with this POS ponzi scheme. Better to have a boring day job than this bullshit made up fuckery!!! Fuck Off Tom Lee you bastard\_|\_

scampf

I wouldn’t call this a strategy so much as a way to find names worth watching. It can work great when the market has a clear direction or when a theme is really moving. Once things turn choppy, it stops working fast. If someone treats this like a jackpot machine, they’re probably going to get burned. If they just use it to narrow things down and wait for clean entries with risk defined, it can make sense. The big RIOT win is mostly about volatility and leverage. During crypto runs, RIOT is kind of a cheat code, and almost any momentum scan would have caught it. That doesn’t mean the scan is useless though. You can clean it up a lot by layering in basic trend checks plusvolatility rules, or anything that helps fight option decay instead of relying on one huge move to save the trade.

Tradewell3845

Man, when RIOT was at 22 just imagine how cheap the 16 puts were. I thought about it. Could have been a 1000 percent the other way

planodad

It’s a $5 strike and a 21 Jan 22 expiry. The ticker is RIOT, a bitcoin miner, but the chart is for HIMS. That said take the post with a grain of salt.

NeitherPossession288

I bought RIOT a few years ago when it spiked to $70

Rock_or_Rol

I agree OP. BTC is dormant RN, but it’s going to boom once market fears are bought up I originally thought we’d rally at 100k off 83k and then be sent down to 65k for the sideways action, but seeing support above 84k makes me think we’ll get a new ATH if the economy and catalysts provide MSTR is oversold. Once or if the tailwinds change, they’ll moon. For others out there, it’s not all about MSTR. MARA, BITF, RIOT etc will all rally HARD if MSTR is solidified with forward momentum

unknownnoname2424

RIOT CLSK MARA BITF HIVE will 🚀 rocket to the moon as soon as corn blows past $100k or if they announce a major HPC AI contract. With these you get two plays: AI data center bets and corn 🌽 bets... Load up as prices are rock bottom on these.

unknownnoname2424

RIOT CLSK MARA BITF HIVE will 🚀 rocket to the moon as soon as corn blows past $100k or if they announce a major HPC AI contract. With these you get two plays: AI data center bets and corn 🌽 bets... Load up as prices are rock bottom on these.

AdeptnessPlus6860

There is MRAL for 2x MARA. Riox for 2 RIOT. You can go red deeper with those

unknownnoname2424

RIOT CLSK MARA BITF as corn and AI data center bets... Seems easy triple by end of 2026 and BITF could blow past $10 on just one data center contract news... RIOT will probably bow past $30 on the day it's corsicana site contract announcement.

JewelerSoft832

GPUS is seriously flying under the radar. $75M in Bitcoin treasury with a $97M market cap makes ZERO sense at these prices. They literally bought 25 more BTC last week, pushing their holdings to 451.85 BTC. That’s not a company preparing to die — that’s a company preparing for a big move. Anyone who watched MARA, RIOT, or CLSK before their runs knows exactly what this setup looks like: massive BTC stack low market cap accumulating during weakness AI data center ramping zero hype (yet) When the market wakes up to the fact that GPUS is basically a Bitcoin ETF with an AI business attached, it won’t be trading at 28 cents anymore. People will look back and realize this was stupidly undervalued.

DXM147

Miners are transitioning to high compute data centers for AI, hybrid approach, because that's how all these shysters chase the popular thing. MARA was a patent company before transitioning to mining, RIOT was in biochem or something. They chase the shiniest thing every few years grifting others.

unknownnoname2424

Better to buy RIOT CLSK MARA BITF as AI data center bets as they will give higher returns in the next two years

ithastogoupfromhere

this and riding other robotics stocks like RR, SERV and RIOT, all with call options in the green

bknighttt

same deal here, bought at 10$ sold at 26$ or something, 100 or 200 shares. fml. also did the same with RIOT and HIMS, HIMS I had a PE of 4-6, and RIOT 4 or something. Makes me sick when I look at the numbers now.

AbsorbingTax

Was gonna sell my RIOT and buy an SQQQ hedge on Friday, but was busy at my new job. Also, I got greedy.

slayton5us

90% portfolio VOO, DIA, QQQ Also sell puts and sell calls on Hood, RIOT and Tesla

thec4nman

RIOT is the underdog no one cares about

ithastogoupfromhere

options on DATs anyone? I bought into BMNR, RIOT and also DFDV

mtnrnnr802

Anybody see the options flow on RIOT? My buddy just mentioned it to me. January to February is insanely high.

Extension_Lynx_7091

puts on COIN MSTR CRCL BMNR RIOT MARA

behindcl0seddrs

Why was MSTR under 300 when Bitcoin was above 118k and RIOT and MARA were pumping

ElmoLovesGrover

I love the asymetric setup. I first learned the term "asymetric play" when stuck at home during covid and I stumbled upon a Raoul Pal YouTube video where he was talking about Bitcoin being an asymetric play. BTC was at about $3,000 at the time. Made sense to me so I jumped in BTC, and miners MARA, RIOT, HIVE. Still have most of the BTC and made about $40,000 from the miners in about 4 or 5 months.

Rock_or_Rol

It’s either going to bounce at $96 or break $107 and get another bull run. Hoping the shutdown ending gives it enough juice for the latter so my RIOT takes off

DowntownNail624

Which of course is to be expected but the current problem is that with the new speed to power initiative all current bitcoin miners have a second life at being hyperscaler targets (RIOT, CLSK, HUT, IREN, CIFR). Im currently vol mapping all of these tickers in this sector for research so its pretty interesting to see this pan out. May post in a few weeks around here. Anyways yea investors are worried because this is supposed to be peak AI demand season so where is the money?

Jagman1011

RIOT 15$ 12/26/25 or 12/19/25 you can get 17-19 contracts depending which one you pick, yolo.

Candid-Regular3709

Every single "Bitcoin Miner" is now a high performance computing POWER company for Al infrastructure. Here to see if everyone here knows this already $RIOT $MARA SIREN $CLSK $WULF $CORZ $BITF $HIVE $HUT $CIFR $BTDR ALL WILL OFFER THE IMMENSE POWER CONTRACTS NEEDED FOR Al.

NRG1975

IT is fine, if you dump before earnings apparently, lol. This is where I went wrong. Always bought two weeks ahead, then sold the day before. Got greedy, and ignored my rule, and bought AMD, SMCI, PLTR, RIOT, HOOD, etc for this week, and got fucked!

NRG1975

BTC up, but RIOT down ... fuck my calls I guess.

PalpitationSmooth992

RIOT 19.8 XOM 113.8 F 12.8 pretty much every single stock just being held at .8 destroying theta on both sides we will never have a market that moves during the day ever again

PalpitationSmooth992

RIOT and HIVE down less than BTC this is your sign that they are going to rocket after the dust settles

Prestigious_Bell_768

should i buy calls 6 months out for SNOW RIOT or AMZN. thinking amzn or snow

DarkR124

What a bizarre morning. Crypto shit the bed last night/today but my crypto miners ripped. Between CIFR, RIOT, IREN, and BITF locked in 32% gain. Most finished flat so good call. On the downside, my ONDS Friday $8 calls are cooked. Still a great way to start November though.

DarkR124

I’ve made 32% today off CIFR, BITF, RIOT, and IREN. If this is what happens every time crypto shits the bed, please keep shorting.

Jaybeltran805

$IREN $BITF $CIFR $APLD $RIOT $HIVE miners are the future 😎🚀

Kitchen_Vanilla

Coke v Pepsi McDonald’s v Burger King Apple v Samsung Ford v GM Visa v Mastercard I think you get my point. In every industry there is enough room for two large players. I think IREN and RIOT can both succeed equally.

Kitchen_Vanilla

If the current structure holds, RIOT should finish the year around $25... potentially stretching to $28-30 if crypto and data-center narratives stay strong.

proflashlol

how do you compare RIOT to some of the players already ahead? CIFR & WULF specifically

zapzap101

thank you -- I was just looking at RIOT earlier this morning --  plz share the chart in this thread as I'm sure others will find it useful too...  

DarkR124

RIOT beating earning estimates, mined 300 more BTC than last ER, and said they are going to aggressively expand in to data centres and it’s down 7% today. Fucking clown market.

wasabi_peanuts

Thanks for the money, Followed you into in RIOT, ROKU, AMZN and AAPL

ramy_mousa

Why RIOT did not pump on it's great ER?

bobbymc72

Quantum computing, crypto stocks, Tech. Ex: RGTI, CRWV, IONQ, RIOT, CIFR, WULF, NVDA, GOOG, etc.

DarkR124

Should make a nice little 3-5K off RIOT if momentum holds. Needed that this week lol

Appropriate-Ad-9146

AMZN- up AAPL- down Coinbase- up RDDT- down MSTR- down RKT- up ROKU- up RIOT- up

OrangeExtra5306

Might as well give it a go see how wrong/right I'd be; not playing any weeklies but have some positions in these. AMZN- up AAPL- up Coinbase- up RDDT- up MSTR- up (Hopium) RKT- up ROKU- Down RIOT- Down

casp73

Bought RYCEY at $2.30 Bought BWXT at $106 Bought HWM at $33 Bought BW at $2.10 SMR and Defense are my standards. I let go of OKLO after getting in at $15. I pulled it out and bought more BWXT. I have mixed in stable companies such as Apple and Nvidia. Got burned with NIO, RIOT and a few other fads. Decided to settle on products that I feel will see investment. It’s not rocket science unless you work for BWXT or HWM in which case it is. Can’t go wrong with SMR and Defense.

DarkR124

Bought some RIOT calls. Don’t want to make any big $$ moves for the rest of the week. These were pretty cheap and I feel good about them. Fingers crossed.

jamieperkins9999

AMZN - up APPL - up COIN - down RDDT - up MSTR - 😂 cooked RKT - down RIOT - up ROKU - up

Firm_Cockroach8297

loaded to the tits on RIOT calls