Reddit Posts
Stem Inc ($STEM) Q2 Earnings - Earnings Beat, EPS Miss, 2023 Guidance Reaffirmed!
Stem Inc ($STEM) Q2 Earnings - Earnings Beat, EPS Miss, 2023 Guidance Reaffirmed!
Stem Inc ($STEM) Q2 Earnings - Earnings Beat, EPS Miss, 2023 Guidance Reaffirmed!
Stem Inc ($STEM) Q2 Earnings - Earnings Beat, EPS Miss, 2023 Guidance Reaffirmed!
Annualized Return of Portfolio seem too optimistic, where am I going wrong?
Stem Announces Third Quarter 2022 Results - Record Quarterly Revenue
Stem Announces Third Quarter 2022 Results
Recent stock transactions by US congressmen alongside trade returns
Suggestions on what fairly low-risk shares to pick up?
What's more Impressive to you, slower, steady gains, or Pogo-stick moves with large jumps?
Heat up your wallets with Carrier stock $CARR
Who wants to go to moon ???? WSB Army says yes
Elevators go Up and Down (OTIS Puts play)
Elevators go Up and Down (OTIS Puts play)
Betting against OTISz/CARRz because of RTXz 401k stock selloff
Mentions
CARR has been getting decimated for awhile relative to their peers. Shitty earnings, bad residential outlook, yet the stock has been steady up. 22% YTD. Go figure.
Been holding them for 2 years. Not as crazy as 20x but still a star in my portfolio. Don't think they're reaching $50B by year end lol. They're already trading at the top quartile if you look at the comp EBITDA multiples (VRT, JCI, AAON, NVT, TT, CARR). It's safe to say that the market has factored in their transformation story at this point, and future stock price growth will be mostly due to 1) their earnings growth, and 2) greater market hype on the industry (which is tricky) So if you take their climate solutions LTM EBITDA of $329m, assumes a 30-40% rev growth with same profit margin, Modine's calender year 2026 EBITDA should be $428-460m. At the current 31x multiple, their enterprise value should be $13.3-14.2B, 25-30% higher than their current value. Even in the best scenario where the market hype and becoming pure-play push their multiples up to VRT level (38-40x), their enterprise value by the end of 2026 would be \~$17-18B. Still, I think the company has been doing all the right things by shedding off low-margin legacy business and all-in on the data center wave. They're making minor acquisitions here and there to build up their capacity instead of competing against the giants on expensive megadeals which is another plus.
CARR calls into earnings. People gonna be warm.
CARR calls he said they are going to get some bullshit contract
how regarded are carrier CARR 022026 65C
Ask my CARR calls before earnings next month
Temperature rise is exponential. CARR (carrier) is the NVIDIA. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G9wV1adasAAYUo0?format=png&name=900x900
I was just looking at that today after ANON took a slide as well. Interesting area. CARR has much higher targets. Trying to see what the issues are. ANON has a strong but narrow moat. Much smaller. CARR is more exposed to the domestic market and their spending. But it looks like a good long term hold.
CARR - Carrier Global. Industrial HVAC company. Trading at a 2 year low. Heating and cooling isn’t going away, even in a recession
I can't tell if you are serious or not since you used the ... I mean the GE spin off have done extremely well lol. As an investor, it's a great idea, since it's easier to understand smaller businesses. I mean GEV spun off on April 2, 2024. It's only up 325% since that spin off. GE it's self is up like 100% since then. GEHC is the only one that hasn't done as well. However, there been a handful of other successful spin offs of recent. CARR, NXT, ECG are a few others than done well after spinning off.
out of all the HVAC stocks i pick ofc CARR would be the worst one
63x EV/Sales right now lol. You’re betting on a $100B+ market cap on <$500m of revenue right now over the next few years, in an insanely high capex field, with massive burn. What do you think it normalizes to? Are you underwriting CARR or economies of scale on infra cost?
You're thinking correctly. AI infrastructure (datacenters, power, cooling) is the right play vs chasing model companies. **Your thesis is solid:** \- Datacenter compute demand = 10-20 year tailwind \- Cooling is critical (40MW racks generate insane heat) \- Every watt matters (power costs are 40%+ of datacenter opex) **Specific stocks in your focus areas (under $200):** **Datacenter Power & Services:** \- **VST** (Vistra, \~$120) - Power generation for datacenters \- **NEE** (NextEra, \~$70) - Renewable energy + datacenter power **Cooling:** \- **VRT** (Vertiv, \~$130) - 60% market share in high-density cooling \- **CARR** (Carrier, \~$80) - Datacenter HVAC systems **Compute Infrastructure:** \- **SMCI** (Super Micro, \~$45) - Server infrastructure (volatile but pure play) **One layer you're missing: Networking** \- **AVGO** (Broadcom, \~$170) - Custom AI networking chips \- AI clusters need 800Gbps interconnects. AVGO dominates this. **Space datacenters:** Too early (10+ years out). Stick to terrestrial infrastructure for now. **My take:** You're early and right. Elite funds are loading power/cooling plays while retail chases NVDA. Check recent 13F filings—CEG, VRT, VST all showing up. Focus on infrastructure. Let others fight over who builds the best AI model. Not financial advice. Just confirming you're on the right track.
Agreed! Waiting to see the numbers for the other spin offs. Créeme who posts here a lot is a big fan of spin offs. Some have done really well, like NXT was a spin off, same with CARR. AMTM is a really interesting company that spun off from J. From a forward looking perspective, the company is pretty cheap. On downside of spin offs are that they usually have a lot of debt when they go public. Been thinking of opening a position in BELFA/BELFB soon. One of my biggest flaws with investing sometimes is patience. Had a position in that company before it like went up 100%. One of things about companies I invest in, I like them to be ones that I’m at least interested in!
Today Opened Positions: - Calls: AMT CARR CDNS ECL GLW NXPI UNH - Puts: NEE UPS Subject to adjustment before close.
Boys and Girls how we feeling about CARR (Carrier) for tomorrow's earnings report
What do you think about CARR?
CARR produces HVAC units, but FIX does the actual labor for all work related to mechanical, electrical and plumbing. They’re quite different businesses. I haven’t really been following CARR as closely as I probably should. My guess is that CARR doesn’t have the AI exposure that FIX does. I think they just develop mostly residential HVAC units, FIX performs commercially which has far more data center exposure.
Why is $FIX doing so well when $CARR isn't?
What just happened to hvac companies such as TT LII CARR? Dipped like 4% and v shape recovery
TT and CARR are a couple.
TT and CARR are a couple.
Just had a thought. Summer been hot as fuck and going to get hotter. Why aren't we buying HVAC stocks? I had a small stake in Carrier (CARR) when IPO'ed in 2020 but ended up selling it. These could be long term holds. (CARR, JCI,)
Playing $CARR rebound as well
There's been some really great spin offs of recent. I'm still a fan of AMTM, which I think spun off from J. NXT was spun off from FLEX. CARR was a spin off. I'm kind of excited for ABB to spin off their robotics and HON to break up as well. I think the HON one will be really interesting.
Interesting.. TT, MOD, CARR are top dogs.. they’ve done pretty well
What are those major stocks? MOD and CARR have done well
EME is cool. I personally already own FIX and LMB. Plus CARR for my HVAC stuff, so didn't want to get too concentrated. LPLA is another interesting name for financials. Valuation isn't too terrible: [https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/lpla/statistics/](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/lpla/statistics/) Much bigger company. If you don't know them, LPLA is the biggest player in the independent financial advisors space. So when someone has their own office, more than likely, they are using LPLA stuff. They are pretty well known if you work in the industry, but most people never heard of them. Here's the latest investor presentation: [https://investor.lpl.com/static-files/99e9ca06-8828-48a2-a83f-e1a5e987467c](https://investor.lpl.com/static-files/99e9ca06-8828-48a2-a83f-e1a5e987467c)
As a side note, there's been a bunch of successful spin off of recent, like AMTM, CARR, and NXT. Creemeeseason brought up they are actually great places to look for possible investments. Usually the bummer aspect is that a spin off comes with a ton of debt.
Im liking HVAC right now. TT, CARR, LII, DKILY, WSO, JCI
That's a solid plan and I saw that question and was thinking about it. It's a really solid point, the whole idea of holding an stock vs an index is really all about the risk you are taking trying to beat the market. Yeah, I think the fact it's a spin off also holds well, since it's not really a new company, just a new publicly traded company. Seems like more and more spin offs are happening. CARR was a spin off. GE did well with their spin offs as well. Honeywell is about do the same. I really like as well, since it does make it way easier to understand the business. I got some UPFT right around earnings, so I'm down a bit on it, but honestly not really worried. It's a great company and things look solid long term.
ANYONE INVESTING IN CARR which is Carrier Stock. Good news came out for it. Just curious. My boyfriend works in HVAC and im going all in on it.
Looking through CTLP some more, I'm going to invest! I even checked out their career page for engineering opportunities haha - nothing near or available though. \+1 on holding the electrical names long-term. I am worried about a reduction in CAPEX spending in future quarters, but not seeing much news indicating that except for the stock prices staying depressed. I was just considering a position in ITRI actually! I believe you mentioned it more than half a year ago? It's been on my watchlist for a while since I heard the name. I sold my position in CARR and GWW to diversify, so I might reallocate some there. Thanks for the new names to follow - AYI / CRS / ATI. I've been interested in HWN forever, but I just keep watching it go up haha. Did you recently open a position? I got WWD after the August drop. It's dated, but I also found this SRAD analysis from 2021. Thought it was interesting comparing it to now: [https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/rkib3w/the\_case\_for\_srad\_to\_hit\_100\_in\_4\_years/](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/rkib3w/the_case_for_srad_to_hit_100_in_4_years/)
Gonna sell more OTM CELH and CARR covered calls.
One of the key lessons i have learned is that 'not trading' is also a very important part of trading. During fomc or any other volatile events, there is no way you can predict which way the market will swing. And why worry. There is no reason you have to be in the market during the chaos. I had some very nice puts in WING, HUM, CARR and UPS working for me yesterday. But today, before fomc, i closed most of them and rolled a few to ootm puts (very small positions i didn't mind losing. just to catch any big moves so i don't feel fomo). Looking back, i could have made a killing had i held the original higher Delta puts. But i am slowly at that stage where following the discipline feels more satisfying than making money being reckless. That mindset is primarily what has helped me become profitable.
Considering entering a position in CARR soon if it can dip a little further. Bright future there IMO
It will simply shift from can food to pre-package food. Short can food like CPB HRL, buy refrigerator company like WHR, CARR.
CARR is becoming pretty intriguing on this dip to me
Still think of the best things I read from this sub was a few years ago when someone was talking about how HVAC stocks are some of the best investments, just due to global warming. It's pretty insane how well you could be doing just by owning some names in the space, like the 1Y return is pretty incredible: TT - 83% LMB - 217% CARR - 51% AAON - 123% FIX - 142% MOD - 200% Crazy thing is that with data centers, these business are still seeing a ton of growth. Like AAON report the other day: >Net sales rose by 10.4% year-over-year to $313.6 million, gross profit increased by 20.3% to $113.1 million, and diluted earnings per share grew by 12.7% year-over-year to $0.62. Furthermore, the company's backlog reached a record $650 million, marking a 23.5% increase year-over-year. >In addition to these financial highlights, AAON has secured orders worth approximately $174.5 million from a data center customer, further cementing its position in the data center cooling market.
CARR already release earnings?
I'll try to ride CARR for tomorrow's earnings
it's so high already idk i had to go with CARR instead
CARR up over 533% but people sleep on the stock and choose VRT since it's the hot new kid on the block, in spite of less diversification
I'll stick to CARR, more diversified than VRT who seems to be "hot" among data center/AI demand only
RSI, MDA, and volume patterns suggest 2-3 weeks cool off. But it's just guessing. I trade on RSI > 80, MDA > 10%, 4 Week daily volume bar. Historical you can guess trends, however they can I lie. I took a big loss on CARR based on it. PE ratios aren't extreme on energy. Crude oil is creeping up. All seem bearish IMO.
I bought a few shares of CARR under $15. Everytime I look at it I wish I had bought more. At the time, the break up of Raytheon after their merger with Rockwell the breakup assigned a big chunk of debt to Carrier. I had no idea they would sell off more chunks and spend big money buying Viessmann. Lots of challenges but management seems to have a plan and the market keeps pushing their stock up and up, $80 share now
CARR - I bought the IPO cause I kept seeing Carrier HVACs everywhere 🤡
Maybe they aren’t super exciting but air conditions stocks (TT, CARR, AAON) have had an insane few years
Bought some more VOO this morning. Looking to add some more ITB, FIW and CARR by EOW.
If you don’t invest in CARR, you don’t believe in climate change and think the earth is flat
FAX and CARR better moon now
CARR Aug 8/16 calls are free money with earnings next week
!Banbet CARR +20% 3W
CARR 
!banbet CARR +20% 2W
Rotation into CARR, and earnings next week 
I told all of you to get religion but none of you listened CARR is the next trillion dollar play. Semis are dead. It’s the era of HVAC. AC and Condenser units are the new GPU
CARR -- It's getting hotter up in hurr.
Long $TT, $WSO, and $CARR
Calls on CELH and CARR. Everybody should be smashing drinks and enjoying A/C in this heat wave. Broke folk suffering getting scorched gotta work overtime at Wendy’s and get air conditioning.
I am long $TT, $CARR, $WSO, $JCI. No fast money here, but it seems like the weather will cotinue to drive their business...
I don’t know, I already own JCI and CARR, which is enough exposure for me
JCI and CARR are starting to make me nervous. Not sure what to do with them
I did misread the post. It’s a very abnormal offer. That said, I still don’t like it. I’d rather buy Microsoft. Or VOO. Tons of better options. While your money is sitting in a holding account making nothing, plenty of other great options are on the table and potentially getting away from you. In the past year for example I’ve done much better with quality companies like RTX, CARR, ONON, SU, BAC.
Ended up buying DECK, CARR, DHI, CEG, ATRK, and NVT Have 30 stocks and 5 ETFs in a IRA now, I've gamified investing and call it "Stock Wars", I buy a little of what think are the best companies and hold indefinitely seeing who beats who in the end. Want to use the dividends to make future buys as well and just keep adding new interesting plays. I've looked at IPOs of the last 5 years, best companies of each sector, best performing ETFs of last decade, best plausible growth stories, etc.. Does this sound crazy? The only time would add to previous buys is when fear and greed index tanks to 20's, one week after to ensure getting best deals. Otherwise just want to add future plays that excite me and see who beats who extremely long term like 20 years. I appreciate all your help you've given great suggestion, recognizing more stocks than the usual mega caps and basic VTI/VOO always suggested here. Any thoughts on this gamified strategy, basically picking stocks and holding extremely long term like this?
So with WIRE, they should be getting bought at like 290 a share, so not sure if I would put capital to work there. I liked them a lot because personally I'm a big believer in the copper story, but I don't want to own a mining company. Just too risky and I don't find it interesting. $MLI is another interesting company to get some exposure to copper pipes, but they are extremely boring. I've held them in the past, but no longer have a position. ATKR is another interesting company, I've swung in and out of. One thing about the pandemic that makes it harder to analyze companies is understanding if the company saw explosive growth due to people ordering more because of supply chain issues. ATRK seems like it might be the case, they seen a ton of declining sales. However, if you use like prior to the pandemic as a bench mark, they are still way ahead: [https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYSE-ATKR/financials-overview/](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYSE-ATKR/financials-overview/) The company is buying back insane amout of stock, like YoY, they took out 6% of the shares and only has a float of like 36M shares. I think it's a great long term hold, but could be sideways for a bit, since you need to understand the story of the double ordering to make sense of the numbers now. Like if you look at their earnings, the stock loves to puke every time they report. $NVT is one my favorite longs, just because I find it great when a company has multiple tailwinds and not just concentrated in just one area in terms of sales. Here's the latest investor slide deck: [https://s22.q4cdn.com/268397047/files/doc\_financials/2024/q1/2024-Q1-Earnings-Deck-FINAL.pdf](https://s22.q4cdn.com/268397047/files/doc_financials/2024/q1/2024-Q1-Earnings-Deck-FINAL.pdf) On page 6, it's a breakdown of segment and sales and it their enclosure business is growing due to commercial and residential, same with their electrical and fastening. I believe the business is looking to sale their thermal management line, which is seeing a bigger backlog but their worst segment. As far a CEG goes, seems like a great company, but it's a bit too expensive for my taste. It's not a bad thing, just doesn't fit my personal style of investing. Like I'm a software engineer, by no means a professional. My goal however, is to buy great/amazing companies at the best prices as possible. I think some of the biggest risk in the market for a lot of people is the price they pay for the stock. DECK is an incredible company, it's something I wouldn't buy personally, but the performance is incredible. It's one worth having on a watchlist and buying during pullbacks if you want to get into them. I just wouldn't buy them because I don't really want to own retail stuff. CARR is a long of mine. Like my investment thesis has been for a while to go after companies that deal with electrification, physical data center, companies that will have tailwinds because of the IRA and infrastructure money. Recently, I added aerospace/defense into that thesis, espeically anything with ship building. Like not talked about a lot, but the US is falling behind China in terms of ship buildling: [https://www.military.com/daily-news/2024/04/10/falling-behind-navy-criticized-delays-shipbuilding-deployments-may-leave-us-behind-china.html](https://www.military.com/daily-news/2024/04/10/falling-behind-navy-criticized-delays-shipbuilding-deployments-may-leave-us-behind-china.html) [https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/16/asia/china-navy-fleet-size-history-victory-intl-hnk-ml/index.html](https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/16/asia/china-navy-fleet-size-history-victory-intl-hnk-ml/index.html)
Hidden has given some great suggestions, wondering between these 3 electrification plays, CEG is clean and nuclear energy which has been roaring since breaking away from EXC (Exelon) Considering DECK (Deckers), DHI (Buffett's favorite home builder), and CARR aside from CEG and NVT. Thoughts on these 5, Hidden?
I own all of these basically outside of TT, I own CARR instead. A lot of them have had run ups but I've been talking about all these companies like for years here. My philosophy around investing is more about buying great companies at good prices. Kind of like value investing, but I don't mind paying some premium if the company is growing and the underling fundamentals support it. Arguably I can say the same for a lot of the names you have included in the list like COST, PAWN, VRT, SCMI, etc. I don't just look at PE but also things like PS and PB, but make sure to compare across industries and PEG as well.
Looked at every ticker, many have ran so hard recently but have still respective P/E ratios, haven't checked historical P/E ratio which could say different story. I like FIX, NVT, TT, and CARR Lower PE ratio, good earning's QOQ, dividend WWD looks nice but its just had a massive run-up Out of all of these though IESC seems has the most going on with its earning's. What are you buying and recommend out of these? Not really my forte but may add one
CARR had good earnings. AC season is coming
Haha I screenshotted your post describing your predictions on Old Dominion, CARR, and SAIA. I saw ODFL went down so I went in on carr and got burned. Id play saia as well if it wasn't so expensive
Other than CARR, this is a dramatic slowing for many hot names last year.
Some earnings from companies I follow/own: $CARR * Net sales up 17% versus first quarter 2023; organic sales up 2% * GAAP EPS of $0.29 and adjusted EPS of $0.62 * GAAP operating margin down 240 bps year over year; adjusted operating margin expanded 280 bps * Maintaining full year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance range despite additional $0.05 headwind from the earlier timing of business exits * Increasing full year 2024 adjusted operating margin guidance to \~15.5% * Expect to resume share repurchases in 2024 $AIT * Net Sales of $1.1 Billion Up 1.3% YoY; Up 0.7% on an Organic Daily Basis * Net Income of $97.2 Million, or $2.48 Per Share; EBITDA of $135.7 Million * Operating Cash Flow of $84.2 Million; Free Cash Flow of $76.7 Million $LECO * Adjusted EPS $2.23, consensus $2.17 * Revenue $981.2M, consensus $1.04B * Sales decreased by 5.6% to $981 million $LYTS * Q3 adjusted EPS 21c, consensus 15c * Q3 revenue $108.19M, consensus $105.57M. $GWW * Q1 EPS $9.62, consensus $9.62 * Q1 revenue $4.24B, consensus $4.26B Seems like there is some weakness coming into some of the industrial names and kind of aligns with the GDP being lower with less government spending.
Few names I own or follow in the electrical/hvac kind of crossover: $LMB $NVT $IESC $FIX $CARR
Still saying **AMD, VISA, TSM,LSSC, AMAZON, BAC,CARR,** AND TRY WENDYS?? NOT sure on the Wendys deal? I would go **Pepsi** instead. I switched to **T-Bell (**[Now](https://Mpls.Now) addicted to those damn cinnamon things???) because, Wendys damn prices sky- rocketed here in [Mpls.](https://Mpls.Now) Maybe because the jerkoffs burned the store down, in DT during the Floyd riots?? What are others thinking??
Shares now on discount, calls closer to EOM earnings. $60 easy. Just reached 500m CARR last month. I'm estimating they're EPS positive next earnings with continued positive outlook.
Carrier (CARR) is positioned to do well. World is only getting hotter and AI ain't installing your HVAC anytime soon.
😳 …maybe some XBI, CARR, RICK, BROS, LNG, etc. you don’t like those. Find more that are starting to trend higher with good fundamentals and monitor.
I recently like CW, ULTA, CARR and up until like 3 days ago NVO
Not sure if that's enough of an investment thesis, but look at CARR, TT, LII, and DKILF.