Reddit Posts
2022-10-13 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
$GOOGL is trading at 5-year low P/E
$CRTO - Deep value + High quality + Short squeeze play
Mentions
I just spread my tech holdings over the strongest companies and hold. AVGO, MSFT, AMD, NVDA, MRVL, CRTO, TSM, META, GOOGL. I watch the action, but I'm in for at least the next ten years.
>CRTO: Record 2025 results and strong AI-driven strategy, with cautious 2026 growth outlook Stock drops 12%. What the fuck is wrong with this shitass market. Its not even sell the news. Its been on a down trend all year. I'm holding this shit. Fuck you. (╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
So I guess I'm the only person dumb enough to be playing CRTO earnings. [I'm in danger.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HdKqAVpUOwI)
>Criteo Is Maintained at Overweight by Wells Fargo >Criteo Is Maintained at Buy by Benchmark This was a weird contrarian play I entered for a re-rate. CRTO. Then the softwaremaggeddon started and I went "Fuck" and started panicking but then I got distracted by HARDCORE PORNOGRAPHY. Earnings are tomorrow and its being priced like its about to go bankrupt at 6 P/E lol
I dunno really brainstorming: I'm looking at Fintech brokers (HOOD) - that might be more linked to crypto though than linked to AI. Their selloffs seem demented. I hold TIGR, PAGS, DLO for EM fintech which has been a disappointing month but all are massively cash positive and caught in this sell off. DUO, ADBE have both been heavily sold off and it is AI related but I really don't see people scrapping Adobe licenses - I think they'll build AI into photoshop + the tools to improve it with a human, layering and such. Some Marktech with their own moats / networks like CRTO, traditional marketing like Publicis... People keep talking about Figma etcetera but it a recent IPO and they're always trash. And yeh, Apple has won by not playing. Think its bargain hunting time really lol
$CRTO looking undervalued with buyout rumours 👀
$CRTO is looking so undervalued, with buyout rumours 👀
$CRTO is looking so undervalued, with buyout rumours 👀
I was lucky to have most of my money locked up in CRTO from a sort of failed earnings play (it popped over 20% and I didn't sell because I'm a moron). But it kept its value on a very red day so big shout-out to CRTO. If anyone's curious they have been on a decline from around 40 to 22 but had a great earnings this week. Back to 22-24 range after spiking to 28. I think it's a good value play right now with the earnings being the catalyst for a reversal. We'll see.
anyone watching CRTO? earnings (7.30) are going to set this stock on fire. i have a stronk thesis that 100 will get 1000 for the 18 aug 25 strike calls.
CRTO UBER NVO were the 3 earnings plays I was in on. Was expecting UBER to print but: CRTO printed 294%! Uber tanked NVO this pos moved a little bit just above my cost basis now. As soon as I sell it will fly to $100 so I will try to diamond hands it Overall lost on earnings this morning bc I had 2 uber calls and 1 CRTO call
Earnings I'm in on for 8:30 this morning: CRTO UBER NVO Not expecting shit from any of them except Uber which hopefully prints.
big earnings day. Picked up some CRTO and something else. 4 Earnings before market open tmrw: SNAP OMC CRTO
"Getting In Cheap On Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Unlikely" Simply Wall St, October 28 Criteo today -30%...
I work in advertising so I don't think my advice on those sectors will be as valuable. I notice CRTO went up 10% today so hopefully you bought in before open 😅
I really like TTD and CRTO. Retail media is only going up and both are well placed.
CRTO AMD and UBER gotta keep riding or I have to tell wife about the second mortgage
>$CRTO Paused due to volatility [twitter.com/DeItaone/statu…](https://t.co/sQPinJeJv3) ^\*Walter ^Bloomberg ^[@DeItaone](http://twitter.com/DeItaone) ^at ^2023-02-07 ^11:08:53 ^EST-0500
>CRITEO SA HIRES EVERCORE INC TO EXPLORE A SALE - SOURCES $CRTO ^\*Walter ^Bloomberg ^[@DeItaone](http://twitter.com/DeItaone) ^at ^2023-02-07 ^11:08:03 ^EST-0500
# Tickers of Interest - TL;DR **Gamma Max Cross** * [JDST](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#JDST) 11/18 13P for $1.20 or less * [SARK](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SARK) 11/18 40P for $4.65 or less * [MO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#MO) 11/18 47.5P for $0.80 or less * [CRTO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#CRTO) 11/18 25P for $1.30 or less * [GNW](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#GNW) 11/18 4P for $0.15 or less **Delta Neutral Cross** * [PBR](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#PBR) 11/18 14C for $0.80 or less * [RBLX](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#RBLX) 11/18 35P for $3.00 or less * [CCJ](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#CCJ) 11/18 23C for $1.20 or less * [LI](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#LI) 11/18 37C for $1.80 or less * [SCHW](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SCHW) 11/18 72.5C for $3.35 or less # Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today. This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0. For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both. It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals. The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV. # Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle * If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open. * Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion. * I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in. * The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. * With CPI being announced before market open, there's a very strong chance an options price can gap past the target entry price which means the thesis needs to be double-checked. # FAQ - Because others have already asked. * These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear? * No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level. * Are you entering all these plays? * No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
Everyone is saying Google and I agree but here’s some others. AOS, ZBRA, AMAT, TTD, ABNB, CRTO, MA.
Criteo CRTO. A French advertising technology company that uses AI and other tracking software to create targeted ads for businesses. A very Undervalued stock, trades much cheaper than similar companies, in part due to it being European and getting hit extra hard by foreign stocks selling off due to Russian invasion. That won’t hurt the business though, it won’t be under $30 a share for long.
Trash that's on my watchlist (no positions, no view): INO IRBT GENI CRTO MITK POLY TMC
Yea I’m not saying the picks are always trash. My brother has stock advisors account and I use it sometimes. I bought CRWD, SHOP, TTD, SQ, ODFL, CRTO and a few others based on their picks and doubled up or more on most of them “over 3-5 years lol”. Don’t take their picks as gospel is all I’m saying bc they’re wrong quite a bit too (PINS, SAM, SKLZ and ZNGA come to mind for recent fuck ups). Sure in 5 years all these stocks will be up but the time value of money will still likely make them poor investments in hindsight.
why didn’t i sell at $60? PERI CRTO seem to be doing fine… TTD as well… ?
To clarify - the right comps would probably be MGNI, TTD, DSP, ATY, PUBM, TRMR, and CRTO. You can debate abt CRTO but imo if you are gonna throw in TTD you should throw in CRTO too.
My biggest gainers for today (stocks that I had in my portfolio since 2 weeks ago and have shot up to nearly +5-12%): - AMD - PRPL - CRTO - VUZI - FANG - KSS - XEC - AVID
I recently trimmed my watchlist to about 15-20 stocks. I made a similar mistake with my portfolio too. Making some really great buys after covid crash (NVDA, google, MasterCard/Visa and Shopify, being the best performers) but I still had this money from my Schwab MMF I liquidated after the crash burning a hole in my proverbial pocket and started spreading myself too thin and opening tiny positions in stock bc they had high price targets etc and seemed solid. Luckily most worked out since last April/May you could throw a dart and land on a double bagger. CRTO, TTD and APPS I had no clue about but motley fool recommended add those turned out fine. Others did not lol. It’s all a learning process and you’re gonna end up paying the market some tuition before you start seeing real compound growth. Good luck my friend.
Which is fine in my eyes. The podcast hosts probably say it once every episode but they’re all about buy and hold long term. That’s why they love Costco and Apple. It’s not wrong that those are good investments. They are. Sam Adam’s and nyt will both likely be around a long time and grow with the market. They’re not “stonks” but they’re still solid. They also talk about weed stocks and I actually heard about CRTO, FSLY, and NOVAVAX on the podcast way before they all exploded.
Anyone got CRTO?
I may post this in the whales thread, but anyone knowledgeable on CRTO? https://www.macquarieconnections.com/clientportal/Conferences/Agenda/List/1034?menuItemId=2
Thoughts on Criteo (CRTO) and Mohawk Group Holdings (MWK)? Both heavily undervalued IMO.
Boomer stocks are not as safe as everyone thinks, a lot of them have debt, decreased long-term demand and have the same if not more issues they had before COVID. I am v sus of any recovery stocks that have alr priced in the recovery or even higher. That said, I keep some. I think it depends on what you hold. I hold NVAX, CRTO, MWK and DIS leaps and honestly if I lost my account password for a year I wouldn't worry that much bc I consider them undervalued. The numbers are still the same as when I entered, the price is just diff. Other stuff like TIGR and VUZI are being dragged along with the tech sector rotation so I foresee a v v high risk of a much bigger pullback.
I'm new but I didn't paper hand any of my leaps bc I damn well know they're undervalued (CRTO has like a 1 PS ratio lol). Dumped all my penny stocks and spec tech two weeks ago. Loaded up on puts for companies I don't like and got 10k in coin on the sidelines ready for the rally.
Sleeper pick: CRTO Recent PT of 120. Stupid undervalued. IF they cna get growth back on track.
> My personal play is to find value play in high growth industry. Same! Been eyeing CRTO since $28 but the current market red is a bit discouraging. My other picks are MWK in the e-commerce space and NVAX for vaccines.
From what I can see on a purely financial view, you will be paying 2015 prices for a company with 2x the equity, 1.5x the Revenue, and 1.13x the Profits. It seems to be growing it's equity and revenue at the expense of it's profits. It has more than enough current assets to cover both it's current and long term liabilities. From what I can see, this is a good investment which is growing, undervalued, and at little risk of going bankrupt. May I ask what sources you used for your DD, or what brought CRTO to your attention?
Yeah I cut VUZI and TIGR for a slight 10% loss bc anything growth looks shakier rn, letting KMPH ride out till next week when FDA approval comes. Thoughts on CRTO? Its PS right now is around 1-2, and I think they're an excellent turnaround story in the way they're employing new revenue streams. NVAX definitely has an element of speculation to it, ngl. It entails buying in before the relevant deals have been 100% finalised, but IMO the current supply deals alone (for 1B vaccines) should justify a 20B market cap.
Bulk of CRTO’s business is from Retargeting (80% ex-TAC revenue) which faces massive headwinds from Google Chrome’s cookies usage update, privacy concerns, and travel/leisure spending contraction. Even though Retargeting doesn’t have much growth, it’s a huge cash cow for the firm, unlike most of adtech players that burn money. What’s interesting about CTRO is the New Solutions, currently only 20% of total revenue or $120m ex-TAC per annum (was 11% in 2019). It’s growing faster than TTD/MGNI and only starting in 2017. The current CEO (since 2019) is really focused on this business and based on the Q4 earnings call, showing really good acceptance from CRTO’s clients. I’m really bullish on their New Solutions business.
What would you consider hype/momentum? I bought Gamestop at 35 bc I was alright with it reach 86 in maybe a year based on DFV's DD, short squeeze would've been a bonus. Coin at 20k bc there were a lot of institutional projections past 100k, and I did see the favourable regulatory environment, use cases esp taking into account the institutional adoption of stablecoin and increased inflaion and the improving adoption curve. For my equities, CRTO and MWK both have very favourable P/S ratios for tech companies (2-3) and I figured as long as they weren't outright stupid in tanking their business, they were simply undervalued. NVAX because their contracts for 2B vaccines justifies some upside. DIS because I considered it the best reopening stock relative to airlines and retail (although I could certainly be wrong here, I have seen convincing DD for some REITs and tourism companies). I'm not immune from hype, to be fair. I bought some coin miner options last month bc a certain influencer told me to and I had 2k to spare. There's no real fundamentals behind it so it really was a hype play. Likewise KMPH is a shaky play but I have ADHD and I had some level of faith in it (plus the analyst PTs were insane). But these were less than 5% of my portfolio at any point in time. That was a very long way to say I __think__ I take less of a hype approach to investing.
Yes! Look at these, too. Similarly cheap and slept on: CRTO, PERI. I also like KBNT
CRTO is a good 3-5 year play in the EV arena.
CRTO 
CRTO has bee surprisingly resilient these last few days and even jumped a bit at the end today. Maybe the rumors of a buyout/takeover are becoming louder.
CRTO for me. It’s been surprisingly resilient.
I only briefly looked into them previously but my understanding of CRTO is that it’s more heavily dependent on the traditional retail sector than other plays like TTD, MGNI, PERI. But it also seems to me that most of these smaller ad tech companies seem to move fairly hand in hand (APPS, MGNI, PERI, FLNT, CRTO), so I think as long as the sector keeps delivering it’s probably not a bad choice either.
It sounds like you’re looking for smaller, startup type companies which could have high growth, with high risk. My latest are Asana (ASAN), GoHealth (GoCo), Criteo (CRTO). Moderna (MRNA) has been a rocket ship too, buy the dips. I’m not a financial advisor, I just like the stocks. I have small positions in each of these.
Anyone gonna jump with me into CRTO? didn’t bought at 18 they crushed the earnings. Still undervalued tho but don’t want to jump in at this level
If you guys want to get in on a company and not a meme stock that's still rated at "fair value" or "undervalued", CRTO just released earnings and it's climbing. Forecast for 2021 is good too. Edit: that was fast. shot up 10% literally 1 minute after I posted this.