Reddit Posts
Everything to watch and expect for the trading week ahead, including expectations and analysis around AAPL, TSLA, and RETAIL SALES data.
Everything I'm Watching going into the trading week, including expectations around TESLA, AAPL and SPX Call Resistance at 4800.
Why You Should Be Looking To Buy China Right Now - Detailed Analysis.
Smart Money's Buying China, Dumb Money's Not.
China bans fake gambling = Chinese kids will now have to gamble on stocks in order to satiate their addiction. FXI CALLS!!
China's economy and potential bull case for Chinese stocks
2023-05-10 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of an Airline Pilot
2023-05-01 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Bob Ross
2023-04-18 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Elmo
2023-04-14 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Sherlock Holmes
2023-03-29 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Wednesday Addams
2023-03-28 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Edgar Allen Poe
2023-03-09 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-03-02 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
U.S.-China relations on edge after spy balloon is shot down (NYSEARCA:FXI)
The huge rally in China ETFs looks like it’s finally winning over American investors (Bloomberg). How do you feel about China ETFs or companies as an allocation in your portfolio?
Fauci Admits Sars-Cov-2 May Be From A Lab Leak - 1:36s Mark
2022-11-10 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Beds line corridor as some patients wait 24 hours in struggling A&E
How will a changing world order affect my SPY position and my FXI position (China etf).
Who will be the first to get back to Covid crash low?
Why are China stocks going up while China is imposing Covid Zero Policy?
CHINESE STOCKS STAGING MAJOR COMEBACK 2022 (GAMMA POTENTIAL)
Chinese Stocks Make a Comeback in 2022 (Gamma Squeeze Potential)
Winner or loser? Only time will tell. 2021 ends. The figure below shows the annual return rate of investors who are holding the asset all year without trading. If you have adopted an active trading strategy, but the annual return is lower than the benchmark, think about what went wrong?
Winner or loser? Only time will tell. 2021 ends. The figure below shows the annual return rate of investors who are holding the asset all year without trading. If you have adopted an active trading strategy, but the annual return is lower than the benchmark, think about what went wrong?
Chart-traders weekend update for major indices (totally TA based)
China Index ETF puts, $ASHR, $FXI
Did Alibaba’s Ant just got a leg cut off? (BABA, FXI, EWH )
I Don't Date Chicks from China - That's a Big Red Flag (but Sugar, $FXI is Going Down)
We need to talk about GYNA: the land of low P/E megacap
Mentions
FXI big red at open to green now
FXI down, EWT up. US Security umbreller # won
FXI up 3% premarket. Chile etf up 1%, Taiwan ETF up 1.8% Another weak dollar year, another year of international outperformance
I picked up some FXI for tonight’s shitshow.
I regret to inform you FXI is down 0.23% on the day, and up 30% on the year. Contrast with US markets. For anyone with significant stock & unrealized gains on here, some hard decisions ahead.
Investing in Chinese stocks is throwing money away. Just look at their index like FXI. Their companies and economy has grown, and yet their index is just flat. They're intentionally stealing foreign money. Anyone buying Chinese stocks is essentially giving money away to China.
FXI outperformed SPY until like a month ago
[https://www.amazon.com/Nissin-Ramen-Beef-Ounce-Pack/dp/B079TGT2P1/ref=sr\_1\_6?crid=1QS38230QSPXW&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.uxXeBBDw0BIT6JhNq-vPY4XZ173yp1WrSXkHyo75HfPBa-LkMVdeGRmTjl2CEcA8N-X8brzNMY4D8G5iwVAP5EpcMRmwS-50lotM2FXI8dR6N5hE9HafBzZ9YRmUurw67LH6vjd5gpkjmMe3XYXdGoYavAJTDEwHLgGPzHEjWj-HoL0XuTYmmE00AGvVRpuZQ1fDJBJhHq4NFWT0Fxe0s5E5BAgEy5wooacWgbaIUvbJeh3pNj7bJKhYA2XAQrW-2pG1lozaGX-IQhsapoX-kztYc1qHGlw9zQOFj7xuiw4.LGL4mnjC-Pc2FSZfXMlLtsS62eoPqi4RePWN-urfGaI&dib\_tag=se&keywords=ramen&qid=1763183704&sprefix=ramen%2Caps%2C171&sr=8-6&th=1](https://www.amazon.com/Nissin-Ramen-Beef-Ounce-Pack/dp/B079TGT2P1/ref=sr_1_6?crid=1QS38230QSPXW&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.uxXeBBDw0BIT6JhNq-vPY4XZ173yp1WrSXkHyo75HfPBa-LkMVdeGRmTjl2CEcA8N-X8brzNMY4D8G5iwVAP5EpcMRmwS-50lotM2FXI8dR6N5hE9HafBzZ9YRmUurw67LH6vjd5gpkjmMe3XYXdGoYavAJTDEwHLgGPzHEjWj-HoL0XuTYmmE00AGvVRpuZQ1fDJBJhHq4NFWT0Fxe0s5E5BAgEy5wooacWgbaIUvbJeh3pNj7bJKhYA2XAQrW-2pG1lozaGX-IQhsapoX-kztYc1qHGlw9zQOFj7xuiw4.LGL4mnjC-Pc2FSZfXMlLtsS62eoPqi4RePWN-urfGaI&dib_tag=se&keywords=ramen&qid=1763183704&sprefix=ramen%2Caps%2C171&sr=8-6&th=1)
Just the big caps. Tencent, baba, BYD, Baidu as well but I just buy FXI instead because it contains all of those.
yes actually. FXI, KWEB are good shares plays. watch news cycle closing for rumors of the SEC closing off access to chinese firms, that's the primary risk to price
There’s a lot of overlap in those ETFs just pick one and go international with another I like FXI for china or pick a broad based one
Yep. Look up debasement trade and think over the implications. Also, buying FXI is certainly not a bad idea
I mean, I don’t think their post is really that big a deal. They’re just comparing YTD metrics, no recommendations to buy, just interesting data points. Many foreign markets have outperformed US equities this year. Investing in developing economies is fine to do as long as you have a well diversified portfolio. Would I go all in on Brazil? No. But I’m also not all in on any one country. Would I consider allocating say, 2-5% of my portfolio towards Brazilian stocks, sure. I prefer a broad emerging market ETF, but there are different options for different folks. I’ve done very well on FXI, the shares China ETF. Not sure how you’d feel about that lol.
FXI, china large cap, mooning
Probably going to buy calls on BABA/FXI/KWEB for the 🥭/Xi meeting on Thursday. They're probably gonna reach a deal to lower tarriffs and hopefully it won't be a sell the news situation
Any thoughts on FXI leaps? Specifically $50 calls with a 2027 expiration
If 80k is your 6-month salary, you'll be fine. You just paid the stupid tax. Now go put your invesment into diversified index fund like VTI, ACWI, INDY, FXI, TLT/BIL, GLD and IBIT.
Silver might have another high in it, but the risk/reward isn't there anymore. I own a bunch but from much lower prices, so I'm happy to hold what I have remaining are selling a chunk last Friday. I think the two best plays right now are China and IWM. China is a little riskier because of tariffs, but the FXI chart looks bullish. Assuming tariffs get resolved, it'll rip. IWM also looks really bullish, and it sounds like QT will be ending soon. This should lead to a significant outperformance in small cap stocks which have lagged the rest of the market for years.
id love to long FXI but retardo man might actually try to ban it at some point
Not really, in fact with the past round of tariffs (which CN is retaliating here with this RE restrictions) they already expanded their buying of meat, soy and other commodities from South America (where I'm located) and their selling of products to us and to Europe as well. There's a huge planning of production expansion here in Brasil for instance, with China occupying the vacuum left by outdated producers like Ford leaving our country by buying and restoring production facilities. Besides the new port constructions all over South America, SE Asia and Africa. There's tons of markets, and the US has deindustrialised itself to the point it clearly needs China more than the opposite. I will concede that the Chinese market today floats closely to the US', it's still a huge place for the Chinese to sell to and they depend on many US companies as of now, but 1. Even running somewhat together, FXI grows more over time on average than SPY, and has returned more over the past two years and 2. China has their domestic needs covered first, they prioritise security of the people before profit, and profit comes as result of it. We cannot say the same for the US.
XI probably wants everyone to chill the fuck out. FXI got wrecked on Friday as well.
Looking at going long KWEB or FXI on Wednesday or Thursday next week if we start to bottom. I imagine Tuesday is going to be pretty bad
I’d say wait and see if this correction continues to spill over into Tuesday and Wednesday (probably will) after that long to go long KWEB or FXI.
The popular European defense ETF $EUAD is up +90% YTD. The 10-15% devaluation of the USD is clearly not the main factor here. Chinese large cap ETF $FXI is up +35% YTD. And I'm not mentioning individual companies like $BABA (up +115%) or $FUTU (up +120%). The USD/CNY exchange rate is virtually unchanged during that period. Currency here is not a factor.
>"For the past few years the Chinese economy has slowed, the European economy mediocre, the Japanese economy stagnant..." The economy and the market are completely different and these economies are a mixed bag with some seeing slower growth or remaining flat. As for their stock markets, they're completely trouncing the US market. FXI (Chinese Large Cap) is up 37% YTD and sure to keep screaming. EWJ (Nikkei Index) is up 22% YTD, VE (Euro Market) is up 24%, and Canada's XIU is up 21% I understand your thesis but there is a ton of capital flight from US markets at the moment.
It was always obvious that the US tariffs would just make the rest of the world trade without us. The Chinese call Trump the empire builder, but it isn't the US empire they are talking about. This is the first time in my life I'm looking at VXUS and FXI as serious options vs VOO.
Hey there, I see this all the time and sometimes comment on it: the old "missed out while I was waiting on a magical entry point" dilemma. You won't like this much, but what if you just looked at charts, saw they were going up, and wanted to get in on some of that action? Like literally, "That chart is going up, why don't I buy some of that?" Performance-chasing, momentum investing, trend-following, whatever you want to call it, [momentum in equities persists](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0927538X18303998?via%3Dihub#preview-section-references). But it actually works better with ETFs, being baskets of stocks in the same market or sector or whatever. And you named one of them, KWEB. Some others with options are ASHR, CNYA, CHIQ, ECNS, FXI, GXC, & MCHI. What I would do is plot 3 of those against each other and pick the 'best' one based on the price action. Plot 3 more, pick 1. Then the last 2, pick 1. That gives you 3 'best' of their group. Maybe plot those 3 against each other and pick the 'very' best one. Or probably better: invest in all 3. And if you think ETFs are boring, figure out the leverage that a 1-year, 80-delta Call on any of those tickers gives you. And don't wait for "an entry point," other than maybe a down day; but when you have cash, deploy it. Don't you wish now you'd just jumped into any of the tickers you named when they first came to your attention? Good luck!
Not as bad as your comments on Paypal, Zim, and MPW buddy lol. Meanwhile Baba and FXI are still nowhere near their previous highs.
> I used to trade Brazilian and Chinese stocks via ADRs I did Brazil 20-25 years ago through ETFs. It worked out really well. China though..... It was dead money for years before I finally got out. Look at FXI, it's still dead money. Those China ETFs don't reflect the Chinese economy at all.
Do like the rest of us have done for almost a year, rotate into defensive positions, value stocks, select international ETF, and gold and silver The bubble will definitely burst. Nobody knows if it will happen tomorrow, next year, or later Tickers: T, VZ, D, AES, BRK, DAX, FEZ, UAE, FXI, ILF, AAAU
FXI actually outperforming SPY, good job donnie.
I hold some shares and short puts and short calls on FXI and PDD. It's being very profitable. Everything looks good for the future but I really don't know anything about Chinese stocks
Great lessons learned from your Chinese stock experience. Your strategy of using US tech stocks with Chinese market exposure (QCOM, Apple) is smart risk management. ETFs like KWEB and FXI are definitely safer than individual stock picks. The 30% trailing stop loss is a solid risk control technique. Sounds like you've turned a tough loss into valuable investing wisdom.
At this juncture, some exposures to Chinese stocks are needed I personally would stick to ETFs such as $ASHR (Shanghai Index) and $FXI (Chinese stocks traded in HK). $KWEB is ok too, but only focuses on one sector For individual stocks, Tencent is absolutely my top pick. Xiaomi's (1810) CEO Lei Jun is very impressive, but the market knows that and the stock is very expensive
AIA and FXI ETFs are having a great run. Blend of asian exposure. Also worth looking at EWS Singapore.
Yeah, Chinese names can be a real minefield — the CCP risk premium is no joke. Safer way to get that exposure is exactly what you said: U.S. tech with China revenue streams or broad ETFs like KWEB/FXI. I’ve seen too many folks blow up going heavy on single tickers like BABA, risk mgmt > stock picking every time.
so ur saying FXI is like the TSM and EWW is like the NVDA, thanks man ur a genius
I am buying IEFA for developed markets sans North America. Emerging still decided but want to add someone. I am also heavily long on FXI.
China is in a bubble. Margin loans are at a record high. I’m thinking of getting some FXI, MCHI, or ASHR puts tomorrow or early next week. I haven’t seen anyone mention Chinese stocks here forever, but that shit’s always been a house of cards. Looking at you LKNCY
Yup. My positions in DAX, FEZ, UAE, ILF, and FXI have done great this year
Wondering if anyone has idea why did FXI - China etf drop so much today?
Well Chyna likes it ⬆️ FXI ⬆️
Now that I"m done shit posting for the weekend and have been analyzing my portfolio, just wanted to mention how the mag 7 has been dropping and may have some room to drop yet. No horror show, just a pullback. Maybe more? Who knows? Ive been in a re position of TLT and im fairly bullish on that for the short term. As with other quiet areas of the market, pipelines, a REIT, and even treasuries. My position in gold mining has REALLY paid off and it's swinging up yet again and I do need to take some profits after this swing up. I find this a little unusual for this time of year, but honestly the diggers have not kept up with the gold price to date. When the season for buying gold starts I will reposition in there, if it breaks out. Diamond says 4k by the end of the year. There is a case for it. Bullish on KWEB, more than FXI, natural gas this is where you buy the stocks and I am still back to bullish on the USD. Also some infrastructure plays in Canada. I can't mention enough how the rotation into health care and other stocks has taken place over the last few weeks. Good catch for those that took some profits and are riding those sectors up. SUPER FREAK... IM A SUPER FREAK BABAY.... do do do do...
Don't worry about taxes. Sell 10% OTM, 60-90 days DTE, 5-10% premium calls on whatever you don't think will appreciate the next few years (this may be the P/E >50 stocks). You may or may not get assigned. Sell ATM puts on defensive stocks (DOW components, utilities, telecom) when you get cash. Also buy international ETF (DAX, FEZ, ILF, FXI, UAE). Put new savings and cash in SGOV until you have a strong conviction Buying puts is like an insurance you pay for. Personally I think that's a waste of money
> UK - no new all time high since 2000 > > > > Germany - took 13 years and is only 78% above its peak from 2000 > > > > Japan - no new all time high since 1989 > > > > China (using FXI) - no new high since 07 Only if you don't count dividends, for all of those. Regardless, investing in the world means also investing the US, and whatever the "next" US would be (to a smaller portion, but you would automatically invest more as it grows due to their part of the indices growing) There is a reason all portfolio theory says to invest worldwide, individual countries will lagg behind.
My point is your using a specific time period to extrapolate what should happen in the future based on historical returns of an era we are no longer in. The world market is not what most are invested in, not even the rest of the world. The majority of investment in equities is in the US. But just for fun let’s take a look at the rest of the world Adjusted for inflation specific to each country UK - no new all time high since 2000 Germany - took 13 years and is only 78% above its peak from 2000 Japan - no new all time high since 1989 China (using FXI) - no new high since 07 And the list goes on and on but these are the strongest names next to the US, so if we assume what you say is true why aren’t they also growing as they become bigger and stronger economies? And the Fed absolutely has to do with what we’re talking about. It’s the reason the market hangs on every word out of J Pows mouth and are frothing over rate cuts that make no sense to do. If it wasn’t for the trust in the Fed to act quickly and decisively on monetary policy do you think we would have recovered from 2008 as quick as we did? What about Covid? Why should we assume the system that’s only been in place the way we know it since the 80s is now historical fact that stock markets only ever go up and to the right when the US market is the only example of that happening with out multiple decades of horrible performance. I just think investors today are becoming extremely lazy in their assumptions of the future… which is your job as an investor.
Sell credit spreads on F, AEO, FXI and the like.
My biggest winners this year have been DAX, FXI, ILS, UAE although ILS have struggled a little lately because of news
Watch part of the deal be to open up Chinese industries to the US like BYD Calls on FXI
Listening to this segment on npr about China and apple … All I gotta say is I’m putting a ton in FXI
You need to start before the bear market. Many started in November last year but with the current dead cat bounce it's definitely not too late now. Move into value stocks (P/E below 10, usually with dividend too), short term bonds (like SGOV), and shorting growth stocks (SQQQ, TSLQ) With the high inflation, low growth, dollar depreciation environment looming, look into gold and silver, international (DAX, FEZ, ILF, FXI, UAE), real estate, and commodities Buy BRK.B which is well positioned for a bear market Once QQQ starts showing solid growth (in 1-8 years) start buying TQQQ slowly and increasingly aggressively
China trade deal is on the way! $JD $BABA $BIDU $FXI $BULL watch them fly 🤞
You don't have to do anything but considering the current macro situation you could diversify from high earnings multiples and an inflated currency to something with better outlook. Look into some international ETF for new deposits to offset some risk. There's a multitude of them but just to mention a few I've been happy with: DAX, FEZ, FXI, ILF, UAE
Good thinking but two years too late. Keep your VOO. Diversify some with your new deposits. Try some international exposure (DAX, FEZ, ILS, FXI)
Long FXI - as early and as risk on as you can get em. Short TMC - it takes a 90% hit overnight, but will rebound when the ccp stabilize the situation. so yeah, reversion to the mean.
I thought the same thing 20-30 years ago. So invested in China funds like FXI. Which after a initial run up ended being dead money for a couple of decades. So I finally got out. I'm not falling into that trap again. There's a disconnect between the stock market in China and the economy.
FXI slowly going up despite SPY. Need to have some China in the portfolio.
tearing my fucking hair out watching this FXI chart. moon now, piggy!
can FXI move its ass. fuck.
probably bought too near the top on FXI. until tomorrow's open.
the play is FXI for a 2 week swing, no overhang now given the extremely positive news from mango call
What worries me is the rare earth part feels like a shadow war over supply chains again. If China plays the long game here, US chipmakers and EVs might get squeezed. Still holding NVDA but trimmed a bit last week. Kinda tempted to re-enter FXI if this dips harder
Huh… looks like you may be right on this one. Going to try to make a smooth transition from Yinn to FXI to save from the interest decay of Yinn.
I can swap them for triple the FXI calls, but I assumed the potential gains when China moons would be less.
I swear every time Trump says the word ‘tariff,’ FXI tanks within 24 hours. Someone running a bot on that?
FXI 35.50p 6/6 exp. Sell at 34.55 nexr week. Thank me later
Any one has FXI, China large cap etf? I feel like their market will do well in the next few years barring any war/recession.
I may be missing something. FXI is meaningfully up YTD, and it jumped over 3% at open. I’m not trying to be snarky. I’m genuinely curious. When you say, “move early”, what kind of thesis or expectation is that relative to?
Just purchase an ETF like FXI or CWEB if you want leverage in Chinese tech. I absolutely would not attempt to pick individual stocks in the current market environment. You are much more likely to get better results with leverage in an etf.
I’ve been running Iron Condors for years and keep coming back to the same core group of underlyings. The big ETFs like SPY, QQQ, IWM, and DIA are staples for me. They’re liquid, have tight spreads, and generally trade in ranges that suit condors well. Sometimes I’ll mix in EEM or FXI if I want a bit of international flavor. I’ll also use names like AAPL or MSFT when I want to step outside the indices, but only when there’s no earnings or major catalyst on the horizon. When I’m screening for trades, the first thing I look at is implied volatility. Specifically, I use IV rank and IV percentile. IV rank gives me a sense of where current volatility sits compared to the past year, and IV percentile tells me how it stacks up relative to the most recent data. I’m usually looking for an IV rank north of 30 or so. That’s when the premium starts to get interesting. I’ll also glance at RSI and some basic breadth indicators just to see if the market or the underlying looks stretched. Nothing too fancy there—just enough to get a feel. As for setting the strikes, I keep it pretty simple. I usually sell the short strikes around the 15 to 20 delta. That gives me a decent balance between risk and reward. Wing width depends on how much capital I want to commit and the kind of risk I’m comfortable with, but $5 to $10 wide is typical. I want to collect at least one-third the width of the spread in premium, otherwise it’s usually not worth the risk. Sometimes I’ll skew the strikes a bit if I have a directional opinion or if I need to balance out my overall portfolio delta. I like to open trades about 30 to 45 days out and take them off when I’ve captured around 50 percent of the max profit. I don’t hold to expiration unless I’m trying to squeeze the last bit of value out and the position is safely out-of-the-money. I definitely avoid trading into earnings or big news weeks—there’s just too much risk of a breakout that can blow through both sides. The big thing with Iron Condors, at least in my experience, is that they reward consistency and risk management. It’s not a flashy strategy, but when you respect the probabilities and keep your sizing in check, it can be a great tool for steady income.
LOTS of people on this sub have direct and/or indirect exposure to large cap Chinese stocks, hold VXUS or FXI, or understand the importance of diplomacy to the markets. Moreover, your own replies are not introducing analysis, and are instead talking about your feelings about what others are talking about. Write the content you want to see. Contribute positively.
large cap gyna, FXI, down 2%. 
>If the US really sinks permanently, it’s taking the world with it for awhile This exactly. Look at long term charts of FXI and VGK - you're going to very disappointed compared to SPY/VOO and QQQ. No matter how you feel about the guy in office, why do you think the US has any leverage in the tariff ordeal? It's because all these countries rely on exports to the US, as the US is the largest economy in the world. All of these countries also need the debt the US owes them. Anyone thinking other countries can just break ties with the US like it's some grade school relationship is grossly misinformed.
I keep saying Chinese stocks will still outperform, and now to be wary of US large cap stocks even with a China deal. US small caps will recover, but large caps have already recovered quite a bit. This is because we have to ask, what would actually be in a deal with China? What is most likely is: A deal similar to that in 2020 pre-pandemic, with further commitments from China to spend and increase the value of their currency. Based on Bessent's comments, the US will probably ask for and get **weaker USD compared to Yuan**, increased Chinese consumption, in exchange for lowered tariffs to <30%. China will likely take this deal, because it will end up benefitting China. It's also quite ironic, in a bid for more US manufacturing, Trump and Bessent are essentially saying that (Americans should consume 18 less dolls and Chinese should consume more US corn and pork. China will realize how stupid Trump's idea of forced lower deficits through weaker USD is, and will happily oblige. What does this do for Chinese stocks? Since you and I, are spending US dollars on Chinese equity, a weaker future dollar means automatic gains in value for USD-valued Chinese stocks. These companies, BABA and the like, don't really care about tariffs anyway, but do well if Chinese consume more. FXI has already greatly outperformed S&P500 1-yr and YTD, and FX traders aren't stupid, they're already sniffing out Trump's dumb theories and are already selling USD. Expect Chinese stocks to further outperform.
FXI and KWEB are going to bodyslam SPY / QQQ this year, imo.
Depends on what "decent" means, but no. There's only terrible and worse. Or, you have to make a basket yourself with individual country fund options. Like China ETFs KWEB and FXI have active option markets.
Where I am buying, or looking at are foreign stocks or ETFs. SPY is down about 5% YTD. EWJV, a Japan ETF, up about 6% YTD. FXI, large cap China ETF, up 17%. EUAD, Euro Defense, up 38% YTD. To me it says things might be more stable overseas, and bigger money is leaving the US or not going into the US right now like the past. Also, to an extent less volatile. Some saw a notable drop during a big sell off, but recovered quickly.
Until I see evidence I’m sticking to the bear thesis. If a deal is actually done I’m full-porting FXI and KWEB.
Bought some gambly FXI calls before close. Hoping they’ll print tmrw
**Year-to-Date Equity Performances** >S&P 500: -10% >Chinese stocks (FXI): +14% 
Year to date >S&P 500: -10% >Chinese stocks (FXI): +14% 