GS

Common_Helicopter_62

Yeah and A GS analysis on CNBC the other daywas saying how theyre bullish on the stock but thought it would drop more- thats fear to me

hoidzaheer777

You cannot make this shit up Jim Cramer IPOs and M&A--they are coming back.. I say GS, BUY. Mf told BUY this morning and the worst moody came out in my lifetime right when I full ported spy calls 10 mins before close for Monday. 

disputedtrader

[$AUUD](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/AUUD) Price trend has been bullish recently and today crossed up and closed over the 50MA, which is huge. CTB increasing with no almost no shares left to short, Goldman Sachs [$GS](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GS) recent 8% stake in Auddia, and consistent price rise are all applying pressure on shorts to cover on this \~550k share nano float before they get trapped. GS 13G Filing: [https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1554818/000076999325000231/xslSCHEDULE\_13G\_X01/primary\_doc.xml](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1554818/000076999325000231/xslSCHEDULE_13G_X01/primary_doc.xml) Auddia Corporate Overview: [https://s3.amazonaws.com/cms.ipressroom.com/407/files/20252/AUUD+Overview+Deck+Website+FINAL+3.18.25.pdf](https://s3.amazonaws.com/cms.ipressroom.com/407/files/20252/AUUD+Overview+Deck+Website+FINAL+3.18.25.pdf) Have a great weekend all! https://preview.redd.it/o64m4d7wl71f1.jpeg?width=952&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dcf117a0eb72f0e7ad453061cd0a40ede0b0aa74

lyagusha

It's higher cash than I prefer, but fine for now. A lot of this market feels like gambling and trading on vibes, rather than investing for a longer term. Witness JP Morgan and GS forecasting a sure-fire recession by end of 2026, for that to vanish a month later. No one knows how to predict, it'll either be sideways or random winners that bring the market to a positive at end-of-year

AlpacaDream7

GS upgrade

unhappyreach_

New Cramer >IPOs and M&A--they are coming back.. I say GS, BUY

disputedtrader

Nice price action yesterday. Bullish trend looking strong and technicals all moving in the right direction.  As more and more people hear about Goldman Sachs recent 8% stake in Auddia, curious and speculative buyers will keep coming in and pressure shorts to cover.  GS 13G Filing: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1554818/000076999325000231/xslSCHEDULE_13G_X01/primary_doc.xml Auddia Corporate Overview: https://s3.amazonaws.com/cms.ipressroom.com/407/files/20252/AUUD+Overview+Deck+Website+FINAL+3.18.25.pdf

Pitiful_Difficulty_3

Sounds like GS did a good job. 1.45 million is like a penny to a dollar for how much they've made

MemevendorO-o-O

My favorite was when GS sold worthless bonds to its clients before the meltdown of 08

wtf_is_up

Have you actually looked at any data? Retail was by far the biggest buyer of the dip according to BofA, JPM, GS. https://x dot com/Barchart/status/1922404791411429451 https://x dot com/neilksethi/status/1919783967265587605

Not_Spy_Petrov

I heard about 54% quite a lot from professional economists. In fact GS reported that 'deal' with China had rather small change to weighted average duty into the USA. Also, as I understood, de minimis duty is also set to 54%.

Life_is_too_short_

Well scratch GS off your list. They have a habit of playing you.

John_Galtt

My stepmom was a secretary for a GS banker back in 2008. The dude went into the forest and blew his head off. This is nothing like 2008.

95Daphne

Would be down if it weren't for the QQQ squeeze, it's sad. It's very much a gripe for me even though I hold a lot of AI infra and then GS.

SeriuoslyCasual

I don’t do classic options either I get 100 share lots now and write covered calls NVDA, GS, Meta, MSFT, AVGO are among many You can do the math on 100 shares of those META example today 628.50 pre- mkt I can write a sell at $675 dated 6-27 and collect $405, (4.05 a share). If it never hits, I collect the $405 and write a new one. If it goes past $675, it gets called away. Basis is $550, I can live with that

SeriuoslyCasual

I will be writing covered calls on META, MSFT, AMZN and NVDA today. While market is up Probably won’t on GS, maybe not LLY

Rennsail

Plenty of hedgies are still sitting stacks of cash. Sadly, I am too. That will give the market some floor. I nibbled at the bottom with GS, VFC, and JPM. All 3 winners but I went in too light. I might be hitting VFC harder and raising my cost basis tomorrow.

RandomC6

GS forecast if about 60% tariffs on China. I don't know about your theory, seems pretty random to me. Also China tarrifs were already at about 20% before the announcements on April 2.

norththunder_23

When did GS say this? You’ll have to link your source…

GPTthrowawayyyyyyyy

Being a bear isn't all that bad  \-Sent from my iPhone 3GS

Subject-Creme

This is the data I get from AI, after several proms: Date; Event; S&P Close; %Chg; Fed Rate 2008-01-30; Fed cuts rate to 3.00%; 1378.55; +1.79%; 3.00% 2008-03-18; Fed cuts rate to 2.25%; 1330.74; +4.24%; 2.25% 2008-03-24; JPMorgan acquires Bear Stearns; 1352.99; +0.91%; 2.25% 2008-04-30; Fed cuts rate to 2.00%; 1385.59; +1.75%; 2.00% 2008-07-11; IndyMac Bank seized; 1239.49; -1.13%; 2.00% 2008-09-07; Fannie & Freddie into conservatorship; 1267.79; +2.05%; 2.00% 2008-09-15; Lehman Brothers bankruptcy; 1192.70; -4.71%; 2.00% 2008-09-16; Fed loans AIG $85B; 1213.60; +1.75%; 2.00% 2008-09-29; House rejects bailout plan; 1106.39; -8.79%; 2.00% 2008-10-03; Congress passes $700B bailout (TARP); 1099.23; -1.35%; 2.00% 2008-10-08; Fed cuts rate to 1.50%; 984.94; -5.74%; 1.50% 2008-10-13; Global bank bailout plans; 1003.35; +11.58%; 1.50% 2008-10-15; Market crashes on recession fears; 907.84; -9.03%; 1.50% 2008-10-28; Oversold rebound optimism; 940.51; +10.79%; 1.00% 2008-10-29; Fed cuts rate to 1.00%; 974.51; +3.61%; 1.00% 2008-11-25; Fed launches QE1; 857.39; +6.47%; 1.00% 2008-12-01; NBER: Recession began Dec 2007; 816.21; -8.93%; 1.00% 2008-12-16; Fed cuts to 0.00–0.25%; 913.18; +5.14%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-03-09; S&P 500 hits bottom; 676.53; -1.00%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-03-10; Citi says profitable, market rebounds; 719.60; +6.37%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-03-18; Fed expands QE1 by $1.15T; 778.12; +2.09%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-03-23; Treasury unveils toxic asset plan (PPIP); 822.92; +7.08%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-05-07; Bank stress test results; 929.23; +1.74%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-06-01; GM files for bankruptcy; 942.87; +2.58%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-07-15; Intel earnings beat; 933.07; +0.36%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-08-25; Bernanke reappointed; 1028.00; -0.10%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-10-15; GS & JPMorgan strong profits; 1096.56; -0.81%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-11-06; Unemployment hits 10%; 1069.30; -0.26%; 0.00–0.25% 2009-12-31; S&P closes year strong; 1115.10; +0.85%; 0.00–0.25%

PowellBlowingBubbles

Is CNBC the mouthpiece for large investment banks? You ever see Becky Quick when someone tries to dog out GS or MS? She gets absolutely pissed!

5D-4C-08-65

> There is a reason why black rock, GS, etc got technical teams. Source? I have never seen a “technical analysis team” in my life. Sure, institutions do look at “technical analysis” if you mean support/resistance/MAs, but I have never seen a single trader motivate a trade with “ah yes, this is a textbook bull’s inverted ballsack, let me put half a yard on this”. The usage of support/resistance/MAs by institutions doesn’t automatically justify the usage of more TA stuff like head and shoulders or whatever else is there in the typical TA arsenal. The only team I could see considering patterns like head and shoulders are salespeople but they aren’t really risk takers so they don’t have to be good traders.

No_Supermarket_2637

Betting on technicals absolutely real, you're betting with the herd but you're playing against the house (black rock, GS, etc). Mathematical proof being that over 50% of retail traders lose money. So I'd personally not touch it with a sh*ty stick.

aomt

It’s self fulfilling prophecy. If enough people do it - it will work. And enough people do it. Let me put it another way. There is a reason why black rock, GS, etc got technical teams. They don’t take a treadle only cause of the chart. But they do think it’s important enough to hire a whole team. But hey, what do they know?

TheoryofVenom

Addressing your concern about a repeat of the lost decade, GS cited high valuations as a factor for their low growth projections, which have since come down a lot. Even so, there are many ways to make money in the market, many different asset classes, risk profiles. You don't have to always bet that stocks are always going up. By the way, DCA has been shown to be less effective than lump sum in the long run. Read this https://www.morganstanley.com/articles/dollar-cost-averaging-lump-sum-investing#:\~:text=Dollar%2Dcost%20averaging%20involves%20investing,into%20your%20strategic%20aset%20allocation. If you think there is a higher probability of another "lost decade" than anticipated, consider hedging methods against equities, buying riskies, selling covered calls. Although, it's important to also determine whether you believe the market will be more or less volatile when making these decisions. Prices generally have very short memory. Yes, many assets are nearing all time highs, but that has historically almost always been true. In a sense, you want that to always be the case. It is a sign of a growing economy. You would rather have the problem of things are always up than the problem of things always go down. PM me if you have questions. Good luck with your investing journey.

homeopathic_firebomb

GS thinking there’ll be one in July seems pretty aggressive

Maine2Maui

Because 20% is nothing compared to what he sees as a legitimate market multiple. 20% off never before seen highs is pocket change. That's where too many investors are being suckered. Take a look back at 3 and 5 year period to see where the bottom really could be when you factor in a severe recession, multiple erosion, volume erosion, loss of market position as buyers switch out of categories or buying US at all, tarrif impacts....it's not pretty. We have never seen in most of our lifetimes how bad it could get. Look all the way back to 1980 when I got out of b school and you start to get a picture. I was investing depreciating dollars in money funds at 18% that's how messed up it was. Trumps policies could very easily bring that kind of stagnation back and the worse thing is that you could have true stagflation...high inflation and stagnant or negative growth. That is NOT a good set of conditions for the stock market. So, Buffet likely sees more pain ahead and the opportunity to buy as a bottom feeder. He has done it before with KO, GS,AEP, others. He gets income via loan proceeds AND warrants to buy in cheap along with asset protection. The guy didn't get to be a B thru high tech or IPOs like some others but thru brains and low tech investment.

spellbadgrammargood

it was clearly a joke much like GS and your dreams

Sunny1-5

Fed will do as corporate overlords tell them to. And I’m speaking of JPM, BofA, CITI, GS, and yes even BRK. All of them will have dealt with The Don before that.

Old_Spite4789

-6 GS

spellbadgrammargood

GS Warriors don't deserve happiness, Go Rockets.

BlackKnightsOptions

Yeah GS is like "probably July" and I'm like "of what, 2030?"

MrMiddletonsLament

Thinking of buying some financial stocks. Have to do research but so far the list looks like. JPM, AXP, GS, MS, COF, MA. Good or bad?

BigEdsHairMayo

I think you're onto something here. I can't believe all the literal rocket scientists and quants at GS missed this strategy.

OptionsRntMe

🤣🤣🤣 I found one holy shit. Thank you for the confirmation https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/GS1dLtPLNP https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/GnZ9NrqSlV

naked_space_chimp

Anyone playing GS Warriors to win the series against Rockets?

red_dragon

My ex who worked at Goldman Sachs told me proudly how GS acts as a market maker. I thought wow, she works at a PoS company and is proud about it. No wonder she is my ex now.

Mrknowitall666

Yes, that's what it means. GS wrote about it last week, and the week before, as they were re appraising recession risk and earnings reports.

dabears4hss

Weekly Funds Flow ( summarized from 20+ investment bank reports from the last 4-5 days ). If there is enough interest, I may post this weekly. # Market Positioning & Flows Update - Week Ahead (April 28, 2025) **Executive Summary:** The US equity market staged a significant recovery last week (SPX +4.6%, NDX +6.4%), rebounding sharply from lows established after the initial tariff announcements in early April. This rally appears driven by a confluence of factors: a cessation of intense systematic selling pressure, tentative signs of policy de-escalation from the administration (regarding trade and the Fed), resilient Q1 earnings beats (particularly in Tech), and supportive technical factors. However, conviction remains low, and positioning is starkly divergent. Discretionary investors have rapidly increased exposure back towards neutral levels, seemingly betting on policy relent over macro deterioration. Conversely, systematic strategies (CTAs, Vol Control, Risk Parity) remain very lightly invested due to elevated market volatility. Hedge Fund net leverage is extremely low, though gross leverage is at highs, indicating substantial hedging or market-neutral positioning. Fund flows continue to favor Rest-of-World (RoW) equities over the US, though the heavy foreign selling of US assets seen earlier may be moderating. Key supportive flows are now anticipated: systematic strategies are modeled as buyers, corporate buyback windows are opening wide during a historically strong seasonal period, and month-end pension rebalancing should add demand. While the technical picture has improved and the downside "floor" appears raised (potentially \~5000 per GS Floor commentary), significant challenges remain, including poor liquidity, weak breadth, and upcoming May seasonality which historically sees retail outflows. The forecast for the upcoming week leans towards a cautiously constructive stance, with the potential for further upside grind driven by supportive flows and positioning unwinds, but this remains highly conditional on volatility staying suppressed and continued positive policy signals. Range-bound trading is plausible until more concrete catalysts emerge.  Market Positioning & Flows Update - Week Ahead (April 28, 2025)Executive Summary:The US equity market staged a significant recovery last week (SPX +4.6%, NDX +6.4%), rebounding sharply from lows established after the initial tariff announcements in early April. This rally appears driven by a confluence of factors: a cessation of intense systematic selling pressure, tentative signs of policy de-escalation from the administration (regarding trade and the Fed), resilient Q1 earnings beats (particularly in Tech), and supportive technical factors. However, conviction remains low, and positioning is starkly divergent. Discretionary investors have rapidly increased exposure back towards neutral levels, seemingly betting on policy relent over macro deterioration. Conversely, systematic strategies (CTAs, Vol Control, Risk Parity) remain very lightly invested due to elevated market volatility. Hedge Fund net leverage is extremely low, though gross leverage is at highs, indicating substantial hedging or market-neutral positioning. Fund flows continue to favor Rest-of-World (RoW) equities over the US, though the heavy foreign selling of US assets seen earlier may be moderating. Key supportive flows are now anticipated: systematic strategies are modeled as buyers, corporate buyback windows are opening wide during a historically strong seasonal period, and month-end pension rebalancing should add demand. While the technical picture has improved and the downside "floor" appears raised (potentially \~5000 per GS Floor commentary ), significant challenges remain, including poor liquidity, weak breadth, and upcoming May seasonality which historically sees retail outflows. The forecast for the upcoming week leans towards a cautiously constructive stance, with the potential for further upside grind driven by supportive flows and positioning unwinds, but this remains highly conditional on volatility staying suppressed and continued positive policy signals. Range-bound trading is plausible until more concrete catalysts emerge.   #

RampantPrototyping

Got a link to the GS report?

Lovevas

No way gross profit margin is close to 100%. BAC last quarter shows gross revenue is 25B, and gross profit is 7B, their gross profit margin is <30%. GS is 13.9B gross revenue and 5.3B gross profit, gross profit margin is 38%.

Conscious_String_195

I agree with you, and like I said, nobody knows, however I think that the big investment firms have more information and analysts than we do. Secondly, everyone agrees that stocks are expensive still based on earnings, etc. It’s logical that things don’t go up forever and tariff situation is not great if he sticks with it, as it worsened the Great Depression after smoot-hawley act. However, with his back and forth changes based on who talked to him last, nobody knows. The institutional money has had more outflows than inflows in last 4 months and are sitting heavy in cash such as Buffett. Retail has been pumping money in hard last sis months for FOMO. Insider selling has much greater selling than buying. My only other comment is that these large investment sources like GS, Jp, etc make money when you are in the market and buying and selling. So, if a biased source that profits off of rosy estimates is saying that returns have been front loaded this decade, then I pay a little more attention. Stocks are expensive. Recessions and pullbacks and consolidations are normal part of the process. Record credit card debt %, record amount of people behind on rent/mortgage by at least 1 month and unemployment rising of good paying jobs w/layoffs at Google, Meta, Citi, Oracle, Tesla, BAc, JPM, etc. will have an effect at some point. The quality of those jobs matter as those spending w/increased wealth keeps more people employed than lower paying jobs. People can do whatever and not use any risk mitigation tactics or DCA, accept safer money at 6.5% locked in for a portion of their assets. However, when rates retreat eventually to zero, those LT bonds (not funds) will appreciate and pay better. LT stock average is 10.6%. If I can get 6.5% with less risk and more income on the way for a portion, it gives you a steadier portfolio and increases your Sharpe ratio and Sortino score on portfolio.

Bat-Sufficient

What’s John Hess doing copping $2 million worth of GS shares  Casually making the biggest buy in nearly 17 years

30PercentIRR

Goldman Sach in discussions with Nobel prize winning economist Krugman; GS = recession if liberation day tariffs hold, else only 45%. Krugman = recession either way. These communists still don't realise data doesn't matter haha 0% chance of recession 100% chance of ATH.

sabedo

go into gamestop physically and preorder everyone i know that missed out last night that went to GS in personally had no issues at all. I'm talking from Cali to GA

SPQR0027

It took until December '08 and three rate cuts for the Fed to finally get to zero % after LEH & AIG. But we're talking about two mutually exclusive scenarios with GS. In our timeline where Buffet invests $5B followed by the public raise, then Goldman didn't need the TARP $10B. In an alternate timeline where Goldman gets the TARP $10B first, they don't need Buffet's $5B. Fun stuff. But yeah, GS would not have lasted without cash infusion.

ebfeebfe

The interns at GS and JPM that are supposed to monitor tango's account all fell asleep. This is why my puts will print.

RabbitContrarian

GS was not at risk, but a meltdown of the financial system puts everyone at risk. GS needed the marketing signal of Buffett’s investment. Buffett got paid big bucks for his imprimatur.

SPQR0027

Fair point but GS did not seek or need the $10 billion in TARP money. Hank Paulson made ALL the banks take the TARP money so no one knew which banks needed it and which banks didn't need it. GS repaid that forced loan as soon as they could, eight months later.

-JamesBond

or looking at it another way once Buffet was in GS he lobbied Congress hard to protect his $5 billion investment plus his huge upside 100% gain on top.

SPQR0027

Buffet invested in GS on very favorable terms in his favor. He put in "only" $5 Billion and got preferred stock plus another $5 Billion worth of warrants. If he waited six more months he would have done two or three times better, assuming the market still existed at that point.

natures3

$NFLX, $GS recession proof

apathetically_inked

Have you ever applied for a GS-13 position? Been active duty? You mad arguing a point I'm not even making. I'm not reading whatever article you think makes you right. We called all *civilians* contractors OCONUS because those jobs are *contracted* out to federal GS-13 employees away from active duty service members because the MOS either no longer exists or never did.

apathetically_inked

If you don't understand the difference from *active duty military* and civilian pay and benefits, what's the point in having a conversation about GS-13 federal employees doing the jobs OCONUS that used to fall under MOS's that either no longer exist or do fuck all in peacetime. The labor is not even the point of the comment. $1 to $87 is an 8600% mark up on a widely commercially available part, what do you think that means for the price of secure materials?

GreedyTexas

GS puts have been the easiest money I ever made

GreedyTexas

GS puts all in

GreedyTexas

All in on GS puts

GreedyTexas

I got 30 GS $525p for $200 each. Let’s ride

Otherwise-Coyote6950

BREAKING: Goldman Sachs, $GS, says to brace for a bigger stock drawdown, wider credit spreads and recession

Eduardjm

On the same day where GS couldn’t stop spit shining that earnings report, that tells me retail has been pumped to hold the bags. 

turndownfortheclap

Maybe for a few days. Then Trump will announce some bank friendly chair from GS or something, then the markets will trade even higher… Markets are like rats taking whatever scraps they can get and running with it

Rustic_gan123

>Buying power in general What things are you looking at? Purchasing power for different goods and services changes differently and often depends on non-market factors >You could support one family one single income. Not anymore? The main factor in the rising cost of living is housing, the prices of which are not dependent on globalization and there are many non-market reasons. Food, electronics, clothing and most everything else has become much cheaper and more accessible. There are also many new services and products that did not exist before, mainly digital services. >Government workers are actually highly retained? They still get pensions and are very hard to get rid of once they are there for a few years. I work with GS Civs every day. Great jobs. Government workers often have very specific jobs and quite often these are pork programs created just to keep boomers from revolting. The closest analogue is union jobs, which are often uncompetitive. >However creating Government jobs just to employ people when we have a debt issue isn't a solution. Period. There is no problem of debt, there are problems of huge deficit ineffective government spending. You can take on as much debt as you want as long as you grow and are trusted >China still has unskilled labor China is also not a market economy, this is one of the reasons why I wrote that decoupling is needed, since their government intentionally distorts the market and incentives for geopolitical purposes. >America has useless art degrees. To a certain extent this is true, but in the modern world they are more in demand, as practice shows. >Are Americans supposed to take the 1/3 Chinese wage? If the limit of your skills is tightening screws, then you deserve to be replaced by a CNC machine, the fact that some uneducated country bumpkin on the other side of the world can do this job makes my argument more, not less convincing. >Also the high skill isn't a full answer either. It is. If you don't create value, then the main thing for the state is that you don't rebel, that you can feel that you are worth something. >As someone with a computer degree i also see companies hiring Indian teams as much as possible, passing on Americans. There is much more demand for these skills, so most of the layoffs in the industry are still post-covid adjustments. Programming teaches you one thing, and that is continuous learning, so that your skills do not stagnate, everything is a tool for you that you use.

JakeEllisD

Buying power in general. You could support one family one single income. Not anymore? Government workers are actually highly retained? They still get pensions and are very hard to get rid of once they are there for a few years. I work with GS Civs every day. Great jobs. However creating Government jobs just to employ people when we have a debt issue isn't a solution. Period. China still has unskilled labor. America has useless art degrees. Your point doesn't refute mine? Are Americans supposed to take the 1/3 Chinese wage? Good luck Also the high skill isn't a full answer either. As someone with a computer degree i also see companies hiring Indian teams as much as possible, passing on Americans.

summerling

Douthat had an article and podcast a few days ago with conservative lawyer Jack goldsmith. They touched on as many legal questions they could in about 45min. GS thinks Trump is on weak ground on almost everything so far except for tariffs. Just his opinion. >Goldsmith: So this is a statute that was enacted in the 1970s. It is an extraordinarily broad delegation of power to the president that gets triggered whenever the president finds an unusual and extraordinary threat outside the United States. And then the statute says that the president, once that trigger is made, gets to regulate imports. People have been saying, Oh, this isn’t one of those situations. Sorry, but presidents have used IEEPA dozens of times, and made emergency findings of an extraordinary threat outside the United States much lower than the economic threat President Trump has identified. So that part of IEEPA will not be hard to satisfy. President Nixon did this, too. He did a 10 percent import duty under the predecessor to this statute with identical language, which justified the 10 percent duty. So in my judgment, the president has at least a plausible argument on the face of the statute. So I don’t know who’s going to win or lose this. But the president is on stronger legal ground. There are a lot of tricky legal issues. https://pca.st/episode/f7ea574c-5bfc-4ef0-9c00-a5c706eea9ed

dabears4hss

Fed Gemini a few dozen investment bank reports from the past couple of days plus your image "Where are we now?" and this is what it came up with. Based on the comprehensive analysis of the investment bank reports you provided (reflecting the market environment around mid-April 2025), here's how we can interpret the market's position in relation to that chart: Pinpointing the exact stage is always subjective, but the collective analysis from the reports suggests the market, as of mid-April 2025, was likely **on the downslope following a potential peak**, somewhere between the "New Paradigm!!!" high and the "Return to the mean" phase. Here's why, based on the synthesized analyst views: 1. **Past the Peak:** The market had experienced significant gains leading into this period, with reports mentioning corrections from "previous overvaluations". Themes like Megacap Tech and AI had seen strong performance, potentially aligning with the later stages of the "Mania Phase" *before* the recent downturn. 2. **Experiencing the Correction/Initial Fall:** The recent market sell-off, driven significantly by the shock of US tariff policies and subsequent policy uncertainty, aligns with the initial drop after the peak. 3. **Signs of Denial/Bull Trap/Fear:** * The "Trump put" concept (tariff pause supporting markets temporarily) could be seen as contributing to conditions ripe for a **Bull Trap**, where relief rallies occur despite deteriorating fundamentals. * The high degree of **policy uncertainty** (tariffs, Fed path), downward revisions to global growth forecasts, and analysts adopting **tactically defensive** stances (e.g., GS GOAL UW Equities, OW Cash/Bonds) strongly resonate with the **Fear** stage setting in. * Significant **Hedge Fund de-risking** (largest de-grossing since Mar '20) indicates professional investors reducing exposure, moving beyond simple denial. 4. **Not Yet Capitulation/Despair:** While sentiment was noted as bearish (BofA FMS 5th lowest historically), the reports did *not* describe widespread panic selling, forced liquidations across asset classes (though market stress was elevated), or the deep pessimism characteristic of the **Capitulation** or **Despair** phases according to the analysis provided. BofA's Bull & Bear indicator remained neutral, not at extreme lows. **In summary:** Based *solely* on the provided analyst commentary from mid-April 2025, the market appeared to have rolled over from a peak and was navigating the uncertain and volatile phases characteristic of the **initial downslope (Denial/Bull Trap/Fear)** on that classic bubble chart.

Cold-Operation-4974

this entire country is run by banks. the banks own the federal reserve. the federal reserve prints money and lends it to the government... when the fed wants... and the fed is run by former wall street employees who all have millions of dollars in JPM BAC WFC GS MS etc stocks in their portfolios bannon can talk about ending the fed because it sounds cool trump is a billionaire who would have 10x the money he has now if he invested his dads money in the SP500, instead he blew through most of it and bankrupted casinos (PLURAL) however... because of the way our country works... because the FED pushes up asset prices/ the real estate portfolio trump inherited from his daddy has gone up in value but, he still has debts, because he is bad with money. he still loves debt and wants more... because he is bad with money Trump wants lower rates more than anyone. And him and his cronies who taught him how to make TRUMP and MELANIA coin... are literally manipulating the market with tweets so they can get rich **WHAT DO YOU THINK JARED KUSHNER'S RECENT ROBINHOOD HISTORY LOOKS LIKE?** YOU THINK HES HOLDING INDEX FUNDS AND WAITING TO BUY THE DIP? OR CASHING OUT CALLS AT 2800% PROFIT?

FORTUNEFORTHEBRAVE

makes sense. For now, I'm staying away from earnings plays -- the last one I did recently was $GS, and it went favorably, though I fear that reinvesting into anything outside of Gold, SPY, or QQQ and its derivatives are just gambling at the moment.

Ok-Efficiency-5728

I'm inversing myself today. So, calls on 🌽 & GS

ConsistentlySadMe

Dad is a GS position, he's still got a job, but the program was killed almost immediately. They don't care about the vet, only the active duty soldier and it's only gonna get worse with this administration. I promise. No one is Trump's family has served, he doesn't respect the military at all. My entire family is vets all the way back to WW2.

Mental-At-ThirtyFive

Who knew? Did GS mention impact on Florida, which I assume will face the brunt of this 'stay-away-vacations'

CommanderLeona

No volume yet, wait until open. That being said $GS had great earnings and mostly stayed flat, calls bled to IV. $BAC had similar earnings and stock stayed +3%, calls were up solid 100%. Just a gamble really

Debunk2025

Futures trading is only for big guns like JP, GS etc. Individuals should stay away from them, especially margin trading. The trading hpuses fool you with promises. But bottom line.. you are the loser. There are 1000s of cases..lost their funds in futures. I read abt a person who lost everything and ended his life in Indonesia. Another one in UAE.

Ok_Cry7572

Customers from China have only ordered 28 aircraft since 1/1/2018, and China is 2% of Boeing's large backlog that is sold out through 2030 with other customers" - GS

Able_Web2873

Goldman Sachs, $GS, says stocks are due for a contrarian bounce in the next three months

natures3

GS buying back $40B of their stock while market cap is at $160B? Insanity

salty0waldo

You are 100% correct and pardon my stupidity. I am referring to commercial banking but also the big money centers. Now that you bring it up, also interested in regional banks. Large banks looking at still are C, JPM, GS (yeah not traditional bank) Regionals: PNC, M&T V, MA, and AXP are always interesting.

guh_mystocks

If I wasn't such a pussy I'd play bank earnings every time. Seriously - when was the last time JPM and GS missed earnings?

2QuarterDollar

Also remember that Morgan Stanley, GS and JPM were the same banks that would sell you CDOs and buy puts/CDS on the underlying debt. These people are not on your side and their view of the economy will only benefit them. The more they tell you that you need to stay away from the markets for a while, the cheaper they stock up on valuable assets.

evil326

Yep $GS just posted fantastic earnings today. I really doubt Chase is far behind.

ThinkingOfTheOldDays

I think GS makes money from trading positions though, IBKR does not. they're more like schwab

DoubleFamous5751

GS reported big trading volume, calls might be in order

Hot-You-7366

those JPM, MS, GS trading desks dont make so much money paying out

winston73182

Hedge funds can’t just keep paying record trading commissions to banks while they lose money. It looks SO bad when Citadel is flat on the year and GS has taken all their fees.

civman96

WSJ: "A surge in trading activity fueled by investor uncertainty about 🥭policies is minting money for Goldman Sachs GS 1.50%increase; green up pointing triangle and other big banks. The Wall Street giant joined JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley in reporting a bigger profit for the first quarter, fueled by soaring revenue in its trading units.“ aka screwing retail is going really fucking well!

CommanderLeona

with the $ im about to get from my GS calls I will upgrade lunch from Wendy's to Shake Shack 

arbitraryBlue

There goes GS 

goodbadidontknow

GS stock says you are VERY regarded

Own-Wolverine-5361

GS going to tank today. You heard it here first

Own-Wolverine-5361

GS about to get smoked

Financial_Branch2079

Look at GS earnings, today is green unless DT fuck everyone

seifer__420

GS is ripping

GamblingMikkee

GS 500+ tomorrow

Own-Wolverine-5361

!banbet GS 495 1d

Own-Wolverine-5361

!banbet GS 500 1d

Sukomoto

Will watch what GS has to say first, and will take it from there, either vuy the VIX or short it

Euphoric-Magazine300

GS reports tomorrow morning. You can bet your bottom dollar, the CEO gonna give another recession warning.

Euphoric-Magazine300

GS reports tomorrow morning. You can bet your bottom dollar, the CEO gonna give another recession warning.

dimethylhyperspace

The expected move for GS is 10%. That is insane for a bank.

dimethylhyperspace

GS earnings in the am. Probably will dictate the actual move way more than any of this newe