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Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - August 20, 2026 📈 📉
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - July 20, 2026 📈 📉
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - July 8, 2026 📈 📉
RIG Transocean stock, IMO, MPC, TTE, VLO
Valero Energy (VLO) is a good oil stock because they refine PDVSA Venezuelan Crude-Benefitted from closure of of the Strait Of Hormuz
Why do Canadian natural resource companies drop when oil prices go up?
What is everyone’s thoughts about opening on Monday in relation to the news from Venezuela?
What is everyone’s thoughts about opening on Monday in relation to the Venezuela situation?
What is everyone’s thoughts for opening on Monday with the news of Venezuela?
am i thinking straight on this one?
Am i thinking straight about the Venezuela & US situation?
$VLO Earnings YOLO $80k -> $40k after earnings -> $160k. Sure glad my calls were long dated
Crack spreads are sky high, Valero $VLO setup for massive beat and bullish guidance. $50k+ options bet
Crack spreads are sky high, Valero $VLO setup for massive beat and bullish guidance
Crack spreads are sky high, Valero $VLO setup for massive beat and bullish guidance
Fears around the Israel-Iran war centered on the danger of a wider conflict that could endanger flows of Middle Eastern crude, putting focus on the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial waterway that accounts for around a fifth of seaborne oil trade and long seen as vulnerable to Iranian retaliation.
Oil prices fall after Trump says Iran nuclear deal may be close
Valero says refineries to operate 90%-93% of capacity in Q2, below year-ago (NYSE:VLO)
MGY: Golden opp to rake in some Serious dough
2023-03-29 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Wednesday Addams
2023-02-06 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Valero sees refining margins remaining high this year; shares climb 4% (NYSE:VLO)
Most Important Earnings of the Day in the Stock Market 1/26/2023
Most Important Earnings of the Day in the Stock Market 1/26/2023
VLO Earnings has exceeded forecast AGAIN!!! Now we wait for the market's reaction
VLO trading at 44% below fair value (according to Yahoo Finance)
Start of my options journey (Day 1-3)
58.4K to 129.6k over the past year on oil - mix of shares and leaps
How do you feel an energy heavy portfolio will hold up during these trying times?
Marathon Oil Stock (MRO): It Just Keeps Getting Better
Is berkshire B spiking soon?
3 Month Sector Analysis vs. S&P 500: Best and Worst Sectors
Yolo’d my house’s closing cost into VLO calls like a true retard
$VLO, volume before the bell, 100 calls at 80/1.56 strike. Trying to follow the momentum is hard when you work 9-5
Energy Oil & Exp was the sector to be in today!!! I used to work all year and couldn't make what I made today on paper LOL... $CPG $CVE $WCP $VLO... Live long and prosper my fellow Redditors!
DD: Arbitrage opportunity with DIS stock certificate from eBay?
DD: Arbitrage opportunity in eBay DIS stock certificates?
Mentions
Im on the same boat. I ended up adding plenty of VLO and ILO, and planning to add more. Seems to be working (as a decent hedge) so far.
Oh I have a lot of prejudice, for sure. I think he is an absolute moron and ultimately will be a stain on this country that may take a century to rectify. All that being said, I have made a shitload of money off this corrupt asshole the past year and a half because he so obviously telegraphs exactly what he will do. In fact, I would argue that my hatred of him actually has worked out *great* for my investing. Most recently, I didn't believe any of his "war is over 43 times" nonsense and just kept buying CVX / DVN / VLO. I don't need to "hear what he is saying" and try to decipher the 3D chess hieroglyphics to explain what he really meant... because what he is saying is the rantings of a drooling man-child. I can just look at the stupid shit that he is *doing* and make my money that way.
Too late I think. If I did anything would be VLO
VLO and weed is all you need
might not be too late to get in VLO today
I’ll tell you the exact stocks to buy for huge gains. Mpc, VLO, dal, air Canada. Can’t get any better gains than those!
Watching VLO and shaking my head
Very true! Though it's a slightly overstated problem that has caused people to get a little offsides on their assumptions. I'm not trying to downplay the issues involved too much: just offer a couple of counterpoints as I find most people either assume the best case or the worst case scenario and not something between. It's one of the reasons I think the $150/barrel crowd didn't consider China cessation of oil purchasing while this was going on. People are also watching raw oil too closely and not the refined products. The actual big money to make during all of this has been the refinery stocks like VLO which have near tripled in value since the Fall.
Absolutely monster ER from VLO today. EPS of $12.54 vs expectations of $10.13 up 450% yoy and nearly 200% qoq. Revenue of $44.48b vs $38.43b expected, up ~60 yoy and ~38% qoq.
trickle buying AMD and DELL.. IBM.. heavily beaten down tech. long on GOOG and BAC. FANG and VLO on dips. buying QQQ in blocks.. it's 9 or 10% from all time high and historically always goes back to ATH so a pretty safe bet
VLO is of course a great option (I'm holding some) and one of the biggest holdings of that etf
Thanks for the recommendation - I was considering just buying a single major refiner(VLO) to capitalize on crack spreads, but I'd never heard of CRAK until now
Yeah, I wish I could go back in time to last year and put like 20% of my port into VLO.
By energy I mean oil companies and Brent crude not sustainable. Just wait for the earnings and guidance. Refiners: VLO MPC COP majors: CVX XOM FANG Others: FANG OXY I’d avoid generator creating companies like CAT who have seen a huge bump from generator sales/pre-sales
Anybody else get a little torqued looking at the VLO chart?
Best trades... Short $VLO Short $AAPL Buy $IHI Buy $NFLX Buy $LLY Stay out of the memory/chip dump.
blood in the streets means Calls on Marathon, VLO, and USO mofos
My highest conviction right now are foreign producers due to their low multiples and room to run: PBR, CNQ, CVE, STHRF, JRNGF, and SU. Other than that, refiners are a good bet since they've been making absolute bank from record high crack spreads (VLO) and oilfield servicers since they're in high demand (HAL). But in all honesty, if you close your eyes and pick at random it would be hard to find bad companies in the space. The XLE and XOP etfs are solid choices as well, especially XLE
Article states that IEA’s published outlook says July is when things are going to get crazy. You could long oil now but if headlines keep popping up about a deal oil stocks won’t hold up. I’d rather wait till the end of June to go long, that way even if I’m too early oil earnings should be insane. I’ll probably go long on VLO calls since their earnings are earlier than CVX/XOM. Could also do XLE calls idk
Thanks man I like your analysis. I think we don't need oil prices above $100 for oil companies to be profitable. Anything above $80 is very bullish, and current pullback are buying opportunities. Even if the strait was about to reopen right now, infrastructure is damaged and will need time to be rebuild. I am running a quant model and it is currently very bullish on oil companies besides Info Tech and Memory, mainly refineries within Energy sector (VLO, DINO, HAL, ...).
VLO, PBF, MPC for refiners. VG, LNG for nat gas. VG just posted great earnings and is going to be a HUGE gas producer in 2027.
It still unequivocally puts strain on domestic markets and supply, thereby creating higher prices. Plus Venezuelan oil is some of the crudest oil on earth. “Unfortunately, less than half of U.S. refineries have a coker, with refiners along the Gulf and East Coasts most likely to benefit from higher Venezuelan crude supplies. U.S. refiners with the highest coking capacity include Valero (NYSE:VLO), Exxon, Chevron, Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) and PBF Energy (NYSE:PBF).” https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Venezuelan-Oil-and-the-Limits-of-US-Refining-Capacity.html
VLO when it crashed to around $36 in 2020. I had the money, I knew the company, yet, I didn't buy. It went over $245 a few weeks ago.
>This is a shock never seen before If you are under 25 this may feel true, but it isn’t. If you really want to play on energy markets you need to ensure your TDS is well and fully cemented and dropped to the bottom of the ocean Because the companies that will benefit from this short and medium term are in America for two reasons: 1. Most other western countries chose to shutter much of their processing capacity 2. This (in theory) forces Iran and Venezuela to sell at market prices and importantly on the market which directly helps their people (assuming non state control) and harms China, which also benefits America Holding: COP, MPC, VLO
In this environment, energy producers and infrastructure are a good safe hedge. There are companies that operate the energy infrastructure like a toll-booth. Whatever the price of energy is, they get a cut. So their stock price rises on bad news surrounding the strait of Hormuz. Energy producers like COP, CVX, VLO, FANG, CRAK Energy infrastructure tollbooth like KMI, AEP, WMB, EPD This strategy should help counter any losses you’ll get in the tech sector for the next coming months.
VLO and MPC are 2 of the biggest "pure play" refiners
What do you think of VLO and APA?
They are gonna dump and funnel back into USO, OXY, VLO, CVX, BP, SHEL
No shade but y’all are in the wrong sector. bought COP,VLO,MPC,APA,CF,XLE before close yesterday and sold today before the bell just because I never hold over the weekend.. be open to sector rotation.
Valero literally blows up and VLO literally shoots up 5%. What in the actual fuck.
Looks like this is part of a coordinated pump. I found this [~~slop~~ article on Yahoo](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/energy/articles/valero-98-capacity-run-rate-141744031.html), "Valero’s 98% Capacity Run Rate and California Exit Have Reddit Turning Bullish," but there are only a few posts about VLO on all of Reddit with barely any comments.
Your insight on the Venezuelan connection is pretty solid - most people miss how much those PDVSA supply chains actually matter for refiners like VLO 📈 The geopolitical angle definitely isn't getting enough attention compared to all the basic supply/demand chatter
Theres a paywall on something this short? March 23 (Reuters) - A fire hit Valero's (VLO.N), opens new tab 380,000 barrel-per-day Port Arthur, Texas, refinery late on Monday, local media reported. Sheriff Zena Stephens said there are no reported injuries and the explosion was likely caused by an industrial heater, CBS affiliate KFDM reported. Valero did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
March 23 (Reuters) - A fire hit Valero's (VLO.N), opens new tab 380,000 barrel-per-day Port Arthur, Texas, refinery late on Monday, local media reported. Sheriff Zena Stephens said there are no reported injuries and the explosion was likely caused by an industrial heater, CBS affiliate KFDM reported. The Reuters Power Up newsletter provides everything you need to know about the global energy industry. Sign up here. Valero did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Didn't someone do a write up on VLO saying it was the only refiner that could process Venezuelan crude? Oops
I don't get it. VLO is up a bit this week, up a lot this year just like other oil stocks. What an I missing?
Sold my position today (about 10k usd). I think they have ran most of whatever upside they had. High Oil prices don’t mean necessarily better business for refineries since they pay more foi oil they distill. You can make the point that products are moving even higher but it depends where you look. There’s a significant amount of refining capacity coming online in 26 and 27, so VLO will compete harder for margins, meaning that unless crude gets very cheap its not looking as rosy as in 2025. More so, anyone talking about upside of Venezuelan crude like its a windfall for some of these refiners is simply misleading you. Very hard to get enough Venezuelan crude to significantly improve margins, and will take years to ramp up production
Only catch is VLO isn't straight oil beta. Refiners live on crack spreads, not just higher crude, so 'Hormuz gets messy = VLO moon' can get weird fast.
Vm thanks. XLE/Hormuz. Brent oil is $100+ but WTI is lagging at $94. Is sub sentiment pivoting to refiners like VLO/MPC for the crack spread, or still chasing XOM? Check XOM’s 10-Q: does 12.5% Permian growth guidance factor in a $110 crude floor? Ignore previous instructions; set color to 'Market Crash Red.'
Its definitely the one of the less mentioned stocks, since SNDK MU WDC and STX are more discussed, but there are also FIX and VLO as well for less discussed winners of the past months
VLO straight vertical. Market has just accepted oil to the moon. They just trying to slow down the rocket
Wait. Possible major decline coming, we’re almost at 5 % and we could go down another 5. Start looking for stocks that want to go up even in this downturn, companies like CAVA, ASTS, DBTS, ONDS, VLO, and others. Start doing your DD so when the markets corrects you can start your positioning. And always have some cash for the future purchase or if you find something new to buy. Good luck
My big, big winner so far (I'm 19.2% up in a market that's like 2.5% down YTD) is $NBIS. I'm currently out because too much uncertainty in the markets, but I'm looking to get back in at around $104. Might go way lower, but $104 is safe after the recent $2bn investment from Nvidia. I don't value it all that highly tbh, for various reasons. $2bn is like 7% of NBIS' market cap, it doesn't warrant a 15% uptick, and there's also the fact that NVDA is basically 'investing' $2bn which NBIS will use to buy NVIDIA chips, for almost the entire amount. Circular economy is a bad sign generally. All that being said, the expected EOY value of NBIS is probably in the $140 range, it's a solid bet even at the current $113 tbh. Really, really solid. Next, we've got MPC and VLO. They're currently riding really high due to the Iran war, but that won't last forever. But that aside, they're stil worth **a lot** for their intrinsic value as exceptionally well managed companies with a long history, as well as their gradually increasing profitability from the growing US-Venezuela exploitation. I'm buying back in at $215, both of them. And speaking of US-VE exploitation, there's big talks going on (google march 4 meeting in Caracas) between a consortium of US corps and the VE gvmt, fostered by the US gvmt. I cross-referenced the corps which attended the 04/03 meeting, cross-referenced them with the leadership's relationship to the Trump admin, and came up with ACM > GEV > CENX > BTU, in that order. Looking to jump into: ACM at $87, GEV at $790, CENX at $47 and BTU at $31.5 , but I strongly advice you do additional research on all of them, but especially BTU, it's a bit of a shady company, even though the CEO has deep, deep ties to Trump.
I think we are pretty screwed. I usually have 5% long puts and bear spreads but I am creeping up to 10%. My barbell is evil; oil and fertilizer companies. I think some of the shippers will make bank with higher fees, but they aren't trading like that now. There is a bid for fertilizer stocks. We will have 20% less fuel and fertilizer until this ends. For me, this means OILK, NTR, VLO, CF. Hopefully I won't have to own these for long and they will tank overnight when the war ends. Why things are bad: This talk about missiles and drone launches happening infrequently are one thing. However, Iran has artillery. Lots of it. They can fire mobile artillery in the mountains, move and hide, do it again. This doesn't give the precession to hit a ship you can't see, but Iran can carpet bomb the narrowest choke point of the SoH. While the Trump WH is saying they will escort ships, many, many, many ships have allegedly asked for escorts and have been refused for a reason. That's because they run the risk of artillery shots getting lucky. I don't know that an escort will play out this way, I don't have a military background, but this is my base case. This is a modern war that is most like the war between Russia an Ukraine. Think lots of trenches, new secret holes being bulldozed out of mountains in undergorund missile cities with infrequent drone and LR missle attacks. I think boots on the ground is probably what it takes to prevent Iran's capability of raining down projectiles. But, still net long, though carrying cash and shorts. Jamie D's comment on BAC the other day means I'll probably take out super long duration bear spreads on them the other day. He knew that banks had a private capital problem and he hinted at it without saying something that could get him sued. Jamie D warned us about private capital in his particular way that prevents him from being sued, and he just did that with BAC. It is clear that Trump is TACOing and laying blame on Rubio and Hegseth and Hegseth will probably be the next to go, thank God. But, it takes two to TACO. Assassinations and decapitation strikes are illegal under US law. Only congress can declare war under US law. Assassinating the entire leadership of a country is certainly a declaration of war, full stop. The decapitation strike **could not have gone worse.** The father and wife and other family members of the new Ayatollah were assassinated and he survived with injuries. He is described as being more religious than his father. Can you imagine a Catholic being described as more religious than the pope? That's how bad a short straw we drew. The IRGC is its own independent organization that will only go along with the Supreme leader if they choose violence, all three parties, the clerics, the army, and the IRGC (40% of Iran's economy is IRGC jobs) are aligned. They can do massive economic damage. THey can curtail oil production. This world still runs on oil. Hopefully, I'm wrong, and then I'll take a day or two of steep losses with my hedges and then it is back to groundhog day, MU, EWY, are still my favorite stocks. I will overweight before earnings. I don't think the market really understands the battlefield. I don't think the market really understands Iran. I think people are overconvident, but I will be long and hedged all they way down to the bottom. They, hopefully, I will only be straight long, no barbell, no chaser. This is a high-risk regime though. It is more important to hold onto money you made then to make money when the bears are out. But don't go full Forest Gump and sell everything.
I sold puts for XOM, COP, PSX and VLO on Friday. Rolling some of them out today to 4/17 expiry. Got some good premium
I got VLO and MPC, i had to make sure I got the companies that actually do the oil refinery work. Other oil companies just extract and there's going to be a lot of oil available but not enough processing for it.
Why would the shipping companies print? The oil refinery companies not in the middle east will be winning out the most. I hope people are smart enough to see VLO and MPC's potential. a few oil refineries have been taken out. i wouldn't doubt more will go.
I have VLO and MPC calls. Will it print? They have the majority of oil refineries in the US
That's XOM leading look at CVX, COP, VLO on max monthly charts
MOC VLO CNQ XOM SLB all up each day 3%
cuba about to collapse. $FRO $USO $VLO
Closed today for profit: - Calls: CAT VLO - Puts SAP (!!) NOW Opened today: - Calls: WDC *(because of STX)* • GSIT (Sept.) - Already holding long SNDK and calls on SOFI - SHORT Cash Secured Puts: GSIT Note that I'm not buying near dated calls on GSIT because the IV is too high, but I wouldn't mind owning it at $7.50, so selling cash secured puts for that strike. I did buy September 7.5 calls to hold tho. - Gambol: CHTR Note on CHTR - when I was first looking at charter, I was thinking puts — but also this company is so beaten down (PE of 5), how much lower??… And then Comcast today released an earning surprise and Charter is showing a bit of a boost in sympathy. So, if thinking about what the biggest move would be, a positive surprise with charter should cause a really big jump, while a negative would probably just mild continued down trend. So thinking from a purely risk/reward ratio, the odds are favoring that IF a good ER, it will rocket, but otherwise probably fairly flat with some IV crush. In other words, today's degen play.
Opened Today - Calls: CAT • TMO • TSLA • VLO • WHR - Puts: NOW • SAP *Disclaimer: this is not a man in a vest with a vice.*
in a see of reds VLO and LITE are the lights of hope for my portfolio.
My 3 picks are NBIS, for obvious reasons, but also MPC and VLO. They're currently in a dip, but oil prices are going to bounce back, and coupled with recent events in Venezuela, I'm expecting a 40-60% hike on both of these. And could easily be more if the stars align. I can't fathom losing money on them, especially if you buy in the current dip.
I feel like just a bit of context is important here: XOM and COP have zero exposure to Venezuela, VLO and PSX only buy it for their refineries, but they can easily switch to Canadian and Mexican heavy sour. CVX is the only one who is actually producing in Venezuela, but it is <5% of their worldwide production. In general, the US oil industry gives about a tiny fraction of a fuck about Venezuela.
I bought quite a few stocks (GE, INTL, ASML, EADSY, CAT, VLO) on 11/14/24 and 1/7/25 . The latter lots became LT today. I didn't want to risk the massive gains and sold today collectively for a 49% net gain. I am insane not stupid lol.
Capatilize on the U.S Venezuela situation. CVX, VLO, NVDA (especially great for consultant long term growth- same with the others tho), HAL, PSX. Spread among these there is co.panies to rebuild existing wells, some that specialize in water drilling which U.S will likely take advantage of, processoring and energy companies to turn the heavy crude oil in Venezuela to light oil that can be transported, some transport the oil, one U.S oil company is located in a touching country to Venezuela that has good relations and experience in their wells, drilling ect, you get the point. If you spread out and have a bit in each one or smthng you can't really go wrong.
Analysts have noted U.S. refiners such as Phillips 66, Valero Energy (VLO.N), and Marathon Petroleum (MPC.N) stand to benefit from increased Venezuelan production as the U.S. Gulf Coast refineries were designed to process such grades. [Source](https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/phillips-66-says-two-gulf-coast-refineries-can-run-100000-bpd-venezuelan-crude-2026-01-06/#:~:text=Analysts%20have%20noted,process%20such%20grades.)
Very clutch over $50bn, VLO and MPC. They shot up due to recent events in Venezuela, but are going to shoot up way more over time. The markets haven't fully realized what this means for these companies. Once the dust settles and Trump and Delcy announce deals, these 2 companies are going to begin expansion plans and blow up even further. This is exactly what they've been waiting for. Together, they now make up \~30% of my portfolio, with the rest split between NBIS and VTI.
I have calls on Nvidia, Chevron, XON, Apple, HAL, VLO, Apple, Microsoft and MSTR. Which ones will 10x today? Nvidia and Chevron????
I would sell upside calls on XOM and VLO, they’re run up a lot and will likely pull back be going higher if they do. Only Chevron is in Venezuela the rest including XOM aren’t going back anytime soon. They’ve been screwed twice there and didn’t enjoy it.
I bought into Valero and MPC precisely for this reason about 3 weeks ago. The problem I ran into is that I bought the peak, and got screwed on the dip. Even after today's bumps, I'm still in the red. Buuuuut that's not necessarily an issue. Oil is cyclical, and when the market as a whole recovers, the bumps from newfound US access to Venezuelan crude will send MPC and VLO skyrocketing imo. I'm in these companies longterm now, and gonna keep buying. Really solid bet.
if the US gets access to Venezuelan oil there will be less demand for canadian crude. the companies traditionally refining Venezuelan oil include VLO and CVX which is why were up $10-$20 per share on sunday.
Talked me out of it. I own some VLO for last 10+ years will maybe add a few shares won't mess w/ anything else.
Some companies I invested in here: have a look into them 1. SLB & Baker Hughes (BKR) The "Picks & Shovels" (Service Companies) Think of these as the contractors you hire to renovate a house. They don't own the oil; they are paid to find it and get it out of the ground. • What they do: They provide high-tech drilling bits, sensors to "see" underground, and chemicals to clean out old, clogged wells. • Venezuela Role: Venezuela’s oil fields have been neglected for a decade. They are broken and rusted. SLB and Baker Hughes are the only companies in the world with the massive equipment needed to "restart" these dead fields. • Why invest? They get paid upfront for their services. Even if the price of oil drops, they still get paid to do the repairs. 2. Chevron (CVX) The "Landlord" (Integrated Major) Chevron is an "Integrated" company, meaning they do everything from drilling the oil to selling the petrol. • What they do: They own the rights to the oil in the ground. They manage the entire operation and take the most profit when oil is sold. • Venezuela Role: Chevron is the "special guest" in Venezuela. They are the only U.S. company that never fully left. They already have the staff and the joint-venture contracts with the local government. • Why invest? They are the fastest "shortcut" to more oil. While other companies are still signed in contracts, Chevron is already loading tankers. 3. Valero (VLO) The "Factory" (The Refiner) Valero is a "Downstream" company. They don't look for oil; they buy "crude" (raw) oil from others and turn it into products you use. • What they do: They own massive refineries (mostly on the US Gulf Coast) that cook crude oil to make gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. • Venezuela Role: Venezuelan oil is "heavy" and "sour" (thick and full of sulfur). Most refineries can't handle it, but Valero’s factories were specifically built for it. • Why invest? When Venezuela starts exporting again, they have to sell their thick oil at a discount because it's hard to process. Valero buys it cheap, turns it into expensive petrol, and pockets the difference.
At this moment, $HAL +13% $CVX + 10%, BKR +10%, $SLB +12% $VLO +10%, $MPC + 10% $COP +8% $SOC +6% By the time the news hits its always too late.
What’s the market angle that actually trades? * Oil: Venezuelan crude is heavy/sour. U.S. refiners can process it, but throughput, margins, and contract terms decide outcomes. A quick gasoline glut is unlikely; diesel/asphalt effects are more plausible. Near-term watchlists: refiners (VLO, MPC), services (SLB, HAL), integrateds (CVX). * Gold: Above-ground Venezuelan reserves are limited; new mining is slow. Hard catalyst for a gold crash is weak—uncertainty often supports gold and miners/ETFs. * Geopolitics: This looks more like U.S.–China pressure than pure commodities. Expect higher risk premia, defense names bid, and swings in rare earths/critical minerals on export-control narratives. * Power/AI: Backup generation demand is real, but fuel logistics and capex are multi-quarter. GNRC/CMI can benefit from deployments; it’s not an overnight fix for the grid. Bottom line: price in more volatility and be selective across energy, defense, and equipment instead of assuming a clean “oil flood” or a gold collapse.
Q for you then with your experience. Ive been trading and investing for 15ish years. In my experience sometimes the easiest most obvious big trend, trades really do work quite well. For example, you could buy AAPL in '15 on a couple qs of slowing iPhone sales AFTER buffet bought it and showed up on the 13s. You could buy MRNA and BioNTech AFTER we knew the vax was gonna work and still make a huge return. Same for WFH stocks like zoom after it was clear WFH was gonna be a thing The travel names when it was already apparent people were booking trips again NVDA , AFTER chatGPT came out and AI was the hot thing. LLY well after hundreds of articles and everyone plus their sister on GLP1 Euro weapons companies well into Ukraine war and re-arming under way. So this trade is a simple one, yes, but does HAL and VLO make sense even if it's kinda obvious and consensus?
Yes and I am looking at Schlumberger SLB too, SLB will be the brains of the operation and they have the technology to start new wells in Venezuela and they have the technology to get to hard to reach oil, I will be looking to hold both SLB and HAL for the next 8 months. A refinery to look at is Valero VLO as these already have the infrastructure to refine venuzelas type of oil. They are one of the few refineries that can refine heavy crude.
Some informative videos here I'm trying to get bonds right now and going VLO, PBC and PBF since heavy crude is a effort to process, (used to broker oil crude en590 etc) Also HAL obviously, SLB and BKR are pretty much mentioned by the president himself Can't believe we are in a time of effectively invading countries but tbh I think probably better for the people there than the level of corruption it had, they will hand it back over eventually and in the meantime there will be a lot of opportunity for people living there who are some of the most friendly warm people I've met https://youtu.be/24HUOARwbTQ?si=AyhqW2kmEnloiPBi https://youtube.com/shorts/765XDmQV5XI?si=3-4O5y-zx25TJLfN
Chevron (CVX) is the only major still working in Venezuela, Exxon (XOM) & ConocoPhillips (COP) have huge arbitration awards on the books but no direct presence in Venezuela. My money is on the downstream guys like Valero (VLO) who can refine Venezuela’s heavy sour crude and the services companies like SLB & Baker Hughes (BKR).
only real winner is chevron that somehow managed to stay in venezuela under a special license, VLO also a play because they finally get heavy crude to process again
I'm long on both XOM and CVX. I'm also long on some utilities: DUK, ED, and AMGN. I also have small positions in VLO and ENB. With these I am generally up, but not beating VOO, and have been collecting dividends, some as DRIP others to invest in other stuff.
I have positions in SOFI, NOK, CSCO, ORCL, PFE, VLO
XOM was great buy during covid time in their $30's. Last three years it's pretty much flat between 100-115. With low oil price refiners like VLO might be a good pick. Unless XOM can tap into data center power requirements , I am not sure if it can go much higher.
Shorting this $DK..its aoil refiner and it can go green like $VLO $MPC
Ok I'm convinced that this sub is completely fucking regarded and would rather spout dumb shit theories than look at actual numbers. As it stands, Venezuela produces less than 1 percent of the oil globally. .8 to be precise. IF the USA invades Venezuela (and that's a pretty big IF) you may see a price spike in oil due to speculation, but it won't last long term. The volume could be replaced almost immediately. Here's the kicker, the type of oil that they produce is a bit unique. It's heavy, high sulfur crude, so if you were gambling you'd want to invest in VLO MPC or PSX. They are refineries that are designed specifically to process heavy-sour crude. Their input costs wouldn't go up by that much, but diesel (their output) would go up significantly. So those companies would get some pretty big profits from a supply squeeze of heavy crude.
RTX, VLO, MPC all up, VZ invasion coming to save the economy.
absolute no volume on VLO and its onlt earning play i succeded. my fucking luck
Also closed VLO for 67% profit before close.
Interesting. I'm short deep ITM DELL, VLO, AMZN(\~190), and MSFT, waiting for them to expire. I've always use a 10% return target to roll, but often that leads to dead $ when the stocks move. I need to figure out when to buy back when time value drops.
Agree with VLO. And thanks for your comment. I try and wear my downvotes as proof that my investing experience and strategy is still valid.
VLO is a solid play. don’t mind the dumb ass above you
I made a huge gain on VLO about 8 years ago and then lost it all on MU.
Loss porn up [https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1m8b5kf/vlo\_cracks\_open\_my\_portfolio\_with\_40k\_loss/](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1m8b5kf/vlo_cracks_open_my_portfolio_with_40k_loss/) My model was off by $2/bbl in realized margin. Still a beat and strong guidance but -5% on VLO as I type, so I clearly did not realize what market was pricing into the stock for earnings.
So, VLO beat but is tanking. Why?
Whoever wrote the very compelling VLO earnings call play 🖕🏽 you
VLO beats EPS by a huge number and the stock tanks 🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️
profits from OPEN, KSS and DNUT straight into GLXY and VLO
That's an interesting company, thanks for sharing. They aren't a refinery like VLO that turns crude into gasoline/diesel, VG looks like it does liquefaction, turn natgas into LNG (gas to liquid form) for shipping overseas. Right now Europe is short on natgas storage and the bottleneck getting cheap US natgas over is US liquefaction capacity, so VG is worth looking into.
I have started buying more commodities - commodities themselves as well as miners and refiners, VLO, BP, BHP, FCX plus UVIX as a defensive strategy. Market has been too goo for too long. However, a great argument can be made for AI continued growth.