Reddit Posts
Valero says refineries to operate 90%-93% of capacity in Q2, below year-ago (NYSE:VLO)
MGY: Golden opp to rake in some Serious dough
2023-03-29 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Wednesday Addams
2023-02-06 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Valero sees refining margins remaining high this year; shares climb 4% (NYSE:VLO)
Most Important Earnings of the Day in the Stock Market 1/26/2023
Most Important Earnings of the Day in the Stock Market 1/26/2023
VLO Earnings has exceeded forecast AGAIN!!! Now we wait for the market's reaction
VLO trading at 44% below fair value (according to Yahoo Finance)
Start of my options journey (Day 1-3)
58.4K to 129.6k over the past year on oil - mix of shares and leaps
How do you feel an energy heavy portfolio will hold up during these trying times?
Marathon Oil Stock (MRO): It Just Keeps Getting Better
Is berkshire B spiking soon?
3 Month Sector Analysis vs. S&P 500: Best and Worst Sectors
Yolo’d my house’s closing cost into VLO calls like a true retard
$VLO, volume before the bell, 100 calls at 80/1.56 strike. Trying to follow the momentum is hard when you work 9-5
Energy Oil & Exp was the sector to be in today!!! I used to work all year and couldn't make what I made today on paper LOL... $CPG $CVE $WCP $VLO... Live long and prosper my fellow Redditors!
DD: Arbitrage opportunity with DIS stock certificate from eBay?
DD: Arbitrage opportunity in eBay DIS stock certificates?
Mentions
I knew you were fun! Okay we got VLO $135 Call ex Jul 3rd - 3 contracts. This would have been great to place Friday afternoon prior to closing. Anyways we’re going looks like 137 is the nearest resistance and I believe VLO gets there before the 3rd. Based on the simulation this would be a $400-500 gain. Wednesday we sell. Thursday we will wait until we see a day trend. Once we’re comfortable with our daily range. We’ll go all in on a contract ex that day. This keeps me from using my own money. I make safer calls during the week. Then use the entire earning for a OTM call Fridays (Thursday this week) looking at VLO (weekly chart) it bounced off of 135 FAITHFULLY . I wouldn’t have even needed to wait on this, I woulda placed a 135 call ex same day. VLO looks like it really doesn’t want to go under 135. Now I have to do my homework as I’m saying this from first glance.
Not sure why the govt would favor this over XOM, CVX, PSX, VLO.
Seriously? Just from looking at my screener: CI, GM, F, ELV, CVS, CAH, CNC, PSX, VLO… In fact, UNH’s current market cap as a percentage of revenue still seems to be an outlier in its own category. Not saying it’s a bad investment, but having an MC below revenue isn’t a great buy indicator (eg, WBA, which has FY revenue 15x its MC, but also is very far from a sound investment these days).
VLO up from open, XOM down.  to me
Oil: XOM, CVX, COP, TTE, VLO, BP, Shell I'm waiting on Pharma to see what happens tomorrow
Bought back all my puts on VLO and XOM just now in profit. Sold ford ( F ) for small loss. In profit for the day. Going to wait and see for now. Looking at put selling maybe later.
Started a position in ford(F). Sold puts on VLO x 3 .. (2) 108 strike for this Thursday and the (1) 98 strike for may 9th.
Sold puts on VLO . Bought ford (F) for. Starting position . Still mostly in cash .
SCHG, SWPPX, AAPL, KHC, SGOV. Next week will unwind more SGOV and NEA and buy BRK/B and hopefully even more AAPL if my PUT goes in the money. MSFT is also below its 52-week low. SHOP looks good. Maybe more VLO. DIS is getting destroyed, but I think it can get even more destroyed, and the upside is hard to see clearly, or at least it’s not entirely compelling. The instant the tourism thing abates it pops a bit, easy 5% up but “when”, right?
CVX, XOM two big players, also VLO
ACGL makes up a quarter of my portfolio. COLL, UVE, MGM, VLO, and some China all green
Buying VZ stock again (sold at hod today) . Selling VLO puts .
VLO, KHC, UNH sold puts. VZ buying stock.
|Stock||Allocation| |:-|:-|:-| |ACGL|Insurance - Diversified|26.00%| |UVE|Insurance - Property & Casualty|11.00%| |VLO|Oil|11.00%| |TUI|Travel Services|9.00%| |QFINC|Credit Services|9.00%| |MGM|Resorts & Casinos|8.00%| |WISE|Information Technology Services|8.00%| |DR|Medical Care Facilities|8.00%| |PDD|Internet Retail|6.00%| |JD|Internet Retail|2.00%|
> Anything interesting as far as value goes? Obliterated large cap biotech (REGN, BIIB), European luxury (primarily the highest quality - LVMUY; a lot of the rest is a hope for an uncertain turnaround in things like Burberry and Kering), alcohol (REMYY, DEO, etc), refiners (MPC, VLO - although less so than a couple weeks ago) and some Canadian stuff (Stella Jones down close to 30% recently and some insider buying - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gc8kZGnaAAQTMO0?format=png&name=900x900)
I dont mind ‘sin’ stocks in general but I wont put my capital behind GEO. VLO is an interesting play but i dont know enough.
OXY SHELL BP COP VLO, all will rise until Isreal strikes. In the unlikely event they hit the oil production facilities, all those stocks will jump. If not, sell the news
If it gets over 144.28, you made 2.26/share ($226) and you're out the VLO shares. Absolute worst case is VLO is worth zero and you keep the 428 minus the total loss of 14,202 equals a net loss of 13,774 instead. Congrats you successfully cheated the market you absolute guru.
*OP: bought 100 shares VLO at $142.02* OP owns, and is seeking a return from $14,202 of stock. This isn't a video game, that money is on the table. Is it all going to disappear? No. Is it there and could foster a loss? Yes.
You're already thinking about the worst-case scenario which is good. The one thing that comes to mind is if VLO were to significantly decline in price, you are still on the hook to hold those shares until the expiration date. You wouldn't be able to take advantage of other opportunities if something else came up.
I liked VLO when I held it. Great dividend stock
W crude coming in cracks should widen. Long some $VLO
Buying refiners off crude # $MPC $VLO
Bought VLO at around $75 in part for the 5.3% divvy. I use divvy cash to buy more VLO. Compounding is a wonderful thing.
Never selling! Only waiting to buy more! JPM, VLO, COP, PEP, KO, JNJ, INGR, etc....
VLO and VKTX put me back green for the week and month. God Bless em!
$VLO morgaging my house to short $VLO up $8.50.. Looking for 155 to cover
For the distillates / VLO
For tech, I would pick 2 companies you have the highest conviction in. I would personally go for GOOD and AMZN if I had to pick. For energy, VLO. Despite being up so much in the past 5 years, it's trading at only 7x its average free-cash-flow and still a good buy. TAC is a good choice now too because management is turning the company around. I bought at the bottom this year. It's 50% oil 50% green non-solar energy. It's trading even cheaper than VLO.
Yea I add a margin of safety on all energy companies I look at when evaluating their worth, and they still come out as attractive. I'm 15% in TAC, and 11% in VLO. Normally I'm not so concentrated, but value and energy are attractive alternatives to tech at its high.
Sir, time value of money is the most important thing you can recognize. You can become an old person with JPM @ $3.35, VLO @ 28.54 and others putting divvies in hand so you can play without flushing underlying. Remember the rule of 7 and 9.
I think a recession directly caused by a refinery supply chain crisis would be lead to a massive differential in equity performance between refiners and the market. Like +40% year for MPC, VLO, etc., -20% for the rest of the market. Like what happened with shipping container stocks in 2022. But whether they want the goldilocks is irrelevant, my point is supply in refining is uncomfortably tight and a 1-2% increase in the US barely makes a dent in that fact.
FLOT Had bit of cash sitting in account, wasn't sure what to buy so parked it there. Gonna let that sit until we pull back from near ATHs. I know, timing the market, but I can't see the market going up non-stop through an election year, especially with various indicators of a slowdown and what seems to be the big boys collecting profits at earnings recently. Would explain all the recent stocks going down after good earnings reports. Largest stock holding is some VLO I bought during the covid sale. Probably selling half soon, collect some profits.
What we think of VLO
Come on VLO I believe in you 
Commodity prices are falling and usually that leads oil falling. I hope not because I was sitting on some nice profits in VLO 36% and now down to 28%. Thinking about selling 1/2
COME ON VLO 
Take me back to the good old days VLO 
Yup I’m in MPC and VLO, will buy any dip in the morning
Valero (VLO) might be a good play. Oil and gas company based in San Antonio. It's one of the more popular gas stations in the state. TX has a lot of interest traffic even without an eclipse.
$PSX $VLO $MPC 
MPC and VLO cleanest looking charts 📈
Calls on COIN and VLO.
I caught NVDIA before its run, AMD, and VLO. I’m 3/3 so far these last few months. I’m betting ABBV will be a monster, could be wrong, but it has a higher chance of going to 200 than dropping lower, u got in at a good price, GL
Depends on your definition of undervalued, as PE doesn't tell the whole story. My list consists of Intel, Google, Meta (yes, it's undervalued even now), John Deere, Caterpillar, Pfizer and a slew of oil stocks (such as OXY/SWN, XOM, VLO, HAL, and possibly MPC/MRO). I'm bullish on tech, energy and telecom. Tech is obvious, as it's seeing impressive growth, but the sector IS due for a correction at some point. Intel has by far the biggest upside here. For the massive growth heading its way, the market sure as hell isn't taking it seriously, which presents a rare and great buying opportunity in an overbought market. In the next year or two, people are going to be kicking themselves for not buying it. Oil will continue to rally until at least October, and possibly until the US election. Gas prices are always a hot button campaign issue, so it's hard to tell what's going to happen the closer we get to January. I will reassess my energy holdings in September, but until then, my plan is to hold. Historically, oil has outperformed the S&P in election years, so we will see what that holds for a sector that's already undervalued. In the long term, telecom is expected to add an expected 5-7 billion new 5G connections by 2028-2029 based on infrastructure expansion. In addition to buying the beaten down telecom stocks when they were very low (im up 15% or so already on that alone), I've also bought a few hundred shares of Ericsson, who will be an integral part of 5g infrastructure. It also doesn't hurt that these stocks have a hefty dividend while they develop. Once the tech sector sees a correction, I fully expect the money to get moved into energy. REIT's could also see a pop depending on what happens with the rate cuts and economy.
Anything is possible. Everyone here is forecasting. ​ Other energy stocks like VLO and FANG have already broken out to new highs. XLE is the second best performing sector this year. Given all of them, XOM has a very good chance of breaking out its base as well.
I have been enjoying my VLO gains. Though I question the logic of selling an overperformer to buy more of a middling performer in the same sector.
I don't know if you guys are late to the trend or not, but I already made money on all of these over two weeks ago. Later on this week, are you guys going to talk about energy, too. I already got into these before it took off. I believe tech is consolidating. I am doing a sector rotation into VLO , and others like industrials this week on my watchlist.
VLO calls been printinggggggg
300% gain from VLO calls. i think im getting good at this
VLO, XOM, CVX 
VLO looking good for a quick squeeze the next couple weeks, 155 strikes could pay good, I got in yesterday
Both tickers have acquired the leaders in two separate spaces in the last 12 months (CVX + REGI (RNG) and XOM + DEN (CCS/CCUS)).....having a hard time seeing how traditional energy companies - using assets already in place / capex dollars already spent - are going to be beat out by less mature clean energy pureplays, especially when you consider items like sensitivity to interest rates, having a built in / natural hedge against illiquid and volatile clean energy commodity markets (go look at how LCFS and RIN prices have been trending of the last 24ish months.....), and attracting outside money that would otherwise pass due to technology risk that's embedded into most of these clean energy pureplay share prices that XOM / CVX / whomever can say "we're able to take risks on emerging energy industries and technology since our near term cash flow and leverage profile is supported by our traditional energy business" Don't believe me? Just look at how the share price of, say, VLO or OXY has moved over the LTM vs a clean energy pureplay they'd compete with (let's use VTNR as a comp for VLO in the renewable fuels space and ACC-NO as a comp for OXY in the carbon capture space) and let us know what you find...
|Companies|Allocation| |:-|:-| |NXST|17.75%| |UVE|14.50%| |BWMX|14.50%| |STLA|10.00%| |ALSN|9.00%| |BTI|9.00%| |CROX|7.75%| |ACGL|6.75%| |VLO|4.75%| |TUI|1.75%| (34.00% discretionary;; 21.25% financial; 17.75% comm; 9.00% industrial; 9.00% staple; 4.75% oil) (29.00% small cap; 36.25% mid cap; 30.50% large cap) (3.82% dividend; 1.06 beta)
Individual equities are really hard. I have close to $10M in the market. I have sold way too early so many stocks I can't even count: UNH, NVDA, AMZN, PANW, CRWD, TNET, ZS, META, NFLX, VLO, it goes on and on.If you added these up alone I've probably left $1M+ on the table in the last few years alone. I was up on them loads, then dumped (was concerned right at start of 2022 we were heading into a decade long flat line due to interest rates) and have unrealized cap gains in others. Interestingly, despite all this stock picking I have only ever matched the S&P at best, with a rare beat every now and then. But I lost a lot of sleep worrying about them all. Is very hard to achieve alpha as you win and lose all them time. Just pick something like VGT etc and stop trying to stock pick. You'll save yourself a lot of worry.
Energy stocks still luke warm in a weak market, moving higher against dollar, VLO trading 135
VLO and OXY in Roth XLE and just started CVX in 401
Buy Tech, Buy Oil MSFT, AMZN, VLO, CVX maybe some FCX I would buy 2 or 3 of these
CVX, VLO on a pullback
VLO is my pick. Based on financials. And it has a nice 3% dividend.
VLO is my pick. Based on financials.
Somehow after I sold my SPY calls I ended up fully into VLO and MRK calls It’s like I blacked out 10min after open
VLO but the floor does shift depending on the point we’re at in the oil cycle.
I have bar bell with tech and energy did well. But VLO, OXY and HAL
In the final days of October 2021 Bitcoin surpassed a trillion dollar "market cap." My buddy was deep in crypto and I begged him to sell and listed the stocks on that day that had a combined market cap of less than a trillion bucks. It was JPM, XOM, COP, GIS, VLO and DUK. Just boomer stocks. I was like "bro, you would have to be a moron to think that a digital currency is worth more than all of those companies combined." Those stonks are up about 40% since that day, crypto has not done as well. His rabid defense of crypto and utter disregard for logic led me to believe that we have been in a bigger bubble than the dot com bubble. The dot com bubble was insane, but at least pets dot com had a chance of maybe becoming a viable business (and basically the same business model was adopted by Chewy rather successfully). Crypto was just about finding someone to buy something with no intrinsic value at a higher price than you paid for it.
I have them laddered for 12 months. Every month they mature at 100% and I buy the new ones one year out at 94% The 5.5% discount meets all my expenses. Next month do it all over again. If there is an absolute steal I'll buy but it's got to be very, very good. I bought AMZN 2/14/23 @ 98.50, VLO 3/16/23 @ 123. Googl 4/3/23 @ 103.25. Every month when a Bill matures I look to see if any stock looks good, but it's really got to be a steal to get me to pass up 5.5% no risk.
perception is, that oil will be cheaper in 2024. so the market is forward looking. there might be upside to refiners PSX and VLO if the russkies stop exporting diesel...
Any thing related to the energy sector, long term bullish on URA and XLE. Individual stocks VLO, CCJ, SMR
I think it might rip for a few months due to production cuts but most of the sector is at the top of their cycle right now. Could enter a new cycle at a higher level but most of the time it’s been a fakeout. I like VLO but I’m wary of adding right now.
Depends what crashes. Oil was one of the best plays in 2020, something like XOM or VLO is still at 4x the 2020 low.
Oil & gas. CVX, XOM, VLO
VLO is one of my favs. Waiting for it to go down more before I pick some more up.
Im tied down to $FRO and feeling comfy at the moment but $VLO is on sale right now.
Yea it’s like buying LLY after a huge run up with Oil right now. Only thing I’m liking is the refiners MPC, VLO, PBF.
u/osendze VLO 