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Ok, totally just a WAG here, but I don't think we're gonna see a ~50% correction on major altcoins (XRP/SOL/ADA). Maybe 30%? Just putting that out there. I think too many folks would be looking to load up on these at even 30% off their recent highs, and so they'll never drop to half.
I’m not retired, nor do I have nearly enough BTC. But let’s say I did and lived in the USA (assume 40 years old and 100% of portfolio in BTC and annual expense of $100K). #1 I’d probably want to do a 2.5% withdrawal rate instead of 4% because BTC is volatile. So I would not retire until I had $4 million in BTC. #2 on date of retirement I would split my portfolio into three buckets: -Bucket A) 3 years of short term "cash equivalents" liquid to live off (T-bills or short term stuff). In a severe downturn this 3 years cash equivalent would eliminate or minimize selling BTC. (7% to 10% of portfolio in this bucket). -Bucket B) 3-10 years of mid-range investments. This could be a mixture of blue chip equities, MAG-7 stocks, corporate debt. Sad to say but on date of retirement, I would not be comfortable having 90% of portfolio only in BTC, so I would move 7% to 25% into this bucket. - Bucket C) long term. Mainly just BTC where would be looking to mostly ride out the ups and downs and let it grow for decades. Each passing year I would draw down bucket A to live, and gradually transfer cash from bucket B (dividends or small sales) to replenish Bucket A. At the same time I would try to sell 2% to 3% of BTC each year to replenish Bucket B. In a severe downturn, bucket A might be the only thing being drawn down (plus maybe some interest earned or dividends earned from bucket B). I would try to avoid selling any BTC if there was a bear market and 40% or 70% drop in BTC in a bad year. In good years, ideally Bucket B and Bucket C would significantly outpace spending and at that point a 2.5% withdrawal rate is far more than required spending. Note: this is all a WAG estimate - consult your own financial advisor.
WAG here: Someone must have known that this was a wide-open Coinbase account. If the account had any simple 2FA or even if it had "Allow Addresses list" they could not have withdrawn the funds. I would go back and review all recent communications with: Coinbase, ISP, any other contractor...computer IT person....... And I understand the following comment does not help now, but if 500K was a lot of money to your uncle, then it makes no sense to keep it on a CEX (even secure Coinbase), not having 2FA and "Allowed Withdrawal Addresses" . All you can do now is learn from this bad experience and improve account security in the future.
Are you willing to share what you *thought* you owed in taxes and paid that still left you with a $34k debt? A very crude WAG of 40% on a $244k capital gain would be ~$100k, so you paid ballpark $66k? Plus the $20k you responsibly paid off your student loan with? Crazy story for sure, but the waste and recklessness doesn't seem all that bad in this context.
WAG.... There is an "issue" with CB auth tokens that seem to live longer than they should. I suspect they either fixed it today or this week since I noticed many of my OAuth2 tokens were invalidated. If your parents ever logged into CB from their phone, then it's possible (extremely unlikely) that Zoho was able to get the login token from the phone browser cache. Once they get an auth token they have full and complete access to your CB account and can do anything they want. Very unlikely, but that would be my guess since you asked.
WAG. A useless token less than $50k marketcap
Wagyu Swap (WAG) a copycat of Pancakeswap with 50,000% APY on Velas chain. Bought on bsc then bridge to Velas. Terrible scam 😅
My WAG: 1. SVB collapse causes USDC depeg 2. Other stables follow 3. Stables are traded for crypto not fiat (on CEXs with fiat off-ramp) 4. Feds step in to guarantee SVB depositors 5. Melt up as crypto shorts are margin called 6. FOMO On the third point, did some CEX's disable stable/fiat pair trading during the crisis? I wonder how much of the inflows to crypto were based on conviction about crypto's role as a stable store of value vs no alternative.
ETHPOw? After SEC blasts staking then ethpow might be classed with BTC and grow status? WAG here.
Like everyone I made errors (ONE, LUNA, WAG and a lot of shitcoins on the Binance chain) But the goal isn't to make a perfect run, the goal is to have good investments that erase your errors. For me those investments were BNB, CHZ, DOGE, ETH and SOL
I'm guessing 7 million. 33% of the total number of bitcoin possibly minted. (+/-, lost bitcoin, etc. makes this a bigger percentage). 7x10^(4) for 1 hedge fund, x 10^(2) funds/individual traders = 7 x 10^(6) IDK. A WAG as they say.
So I am mainly involved with the Polkadot community, but if you would like to earn crypto daily in that ecosystem, or at least weekly, you should look into the WAG Media discord server. They have bounties that are paid out by the Polkadot and Kusama treasuries. You can translate, create content, or even give feedback and get paid for it. If your unfamiliar with Polkadot and Kusama, you should check out this website that a good friend of mine created to help get people started in the ecosystem, [Dot. Alert()](https://dot-alert.gitbook.io/dot.alert/content/1.acquisition). Hope this helps!
A few things seem to be lining up for that timerange. First Gox disbursement will likely have happened by then. The economy is headed straight for recession, just as always when rate hikes are made into a slowing economy, and Q4 looks alot like those number could hit hard. Historically, fall has always been a moment where market realities decide to hit hard. And as stupid as it is ... Shemitah. An important Jewish cycle of debt forgiveness that often (but not always) coincides with big market crashes. FOR THE RECORD - No I don't believe in any Jewish conspiracy, or some special woo about Jewish religion ... But I do accept the reality of normal conspiracies. And the global banking elite love to exploit the emotional state of funadmental religious people by doing things along dates like this. Also ... intuition counts for alot. Not whims, not emotional state, but intuition. Sorry, I know that my intuition is not useful for you personally. And I rarely use it for real decisionmaking unless it's corroborated by other stuff. Some of the TA also points towards an intersection of the lower regression bands of BTC price, with current downtrends, right around that time. So it's my best WAG (wild ass guess). I might revise in real time as we get closer, but for now, it's moving apace.
It's more of a WAG than a speculative analysis.
IDK, but a WAG would look something like this: > Giftcards are not for resale \- *Steam Terms of Service* Of all steam gift-cards found illegally for sale on ebay, 50% of them were traced back to puppet accounts that used bitcoin to buy them.
WAG: Green New Deal "Front door" regulation has gotten push-back from liberty minded groups in US and Europe. The latest "back door" regulation seems to be that "POW mining operations need carbon credits". This is a round-about way to regulate crypto while maintaining a "noble" position.
tldr; Budweiser, which bought an NFT and an Ethereum domain name in August and changed its Twitter handle to beer.eth, tweeted, "Welcome brand friend. WAGMI." Pepsi replied, "Thanks, fren! WAG MI." Facebook, which renamed itself Meta in October, tweeted to Pepsi, "This is going to look great in the metaverse." *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.*
tldr; Euphoria has integrated Chainlink Price Feeds on the Harmony mainnet. Euphoria is an algorithmic reserve currency protocol on Harmony based on the WAGMI token. The integration will enable users to access a reliable ONE/USD price feed when users mint WAG MI tokens on Euphoria. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.*
Yes. Banksters use monte-carlo simulations to model price slippage and tweak them against real world data. They have a better idea of the fire-sale market cap but the further you get from last price the worse they are. Next transaction is always just a WAG.
When bitcoin launched the vast vast majority of economists thought it was shady voodoo. If I were to put a WAG I'd say 2% for, 98% against. Now, as bitcoin has become established, the vast majority of economists still think it is shady voodoo, but that split is less one sided. If I were to put a WAG I'd say 10% for, 90% against. My point is that mainstream economists still feel that Keynesian economics (inflationary deficient spending) is the ideal economy. But the cowed 10% are beginning to see that perhaps printing money indefinitely isn't a sustainable end game. I, and many on this subreddit, are aligned with that small fictional 10% of economists. But the US Congress is aligned with the 90% of the economists. Though it is "heretical", I still feel that the 90% are wrong and the 10% are right.
I just set up VLX & WAG on Velas network and Wagyuswap for yield farming. Good apy and price is low right now so good time to get in if you are interested in Velas.
My WAG - .24. The guess is based on nothing, just a guess. Good luck on your moon farming!