Reddit Posts
Regime vs. signal — what LUNA and FTX taught me about crypto risk frameworks
Regime vs. signal — what LUNA and FTX taught me about crypto risk frameworks
Why is Terra/LUNA claims taking so long?
SafeMoon is probably the next post-mortem: when “just hold” becomes the product
Terra/LUNA feels like the right first post-mortem to study how confidence breaks
I’m starting a series of memecoin post-mortems. Not to call winners, but to study how trust breaks.
Sea of markets or why trading is more like surviving a storm
Is Strategy's STRC the real reason why Bitcoin is rising when stocks, gold is down??
I replayed the FTX collapse and traded it. My "I would have shorted it" story completely fell apart.
Jane St allegedly manipulated crypto markets for years
US Google searches for "bitcoin going to zero" just hit an all-time high and historically, this has been a massive buy signal
[WARNING] The Next LUNA Scandal is Here: Thunes’ DENT "Delisting-Level" Rug-Pull
I analyzed 12 months of web traffic for 5 major algorithmic stablecoin platforms (FRAX, Celo, Ampleforth, Waves, UXD). The data shows an industry in total collapse. Here's what I found.
Suddenly Kraken is Keeping LUNA... No formal word on LUNA2.0
LUNA Soars as Prosecutors Seek 12-Year Sentence for Do Kwon
Kraken’s Notice of Scheduled Asset Delistings – December 2025: Reddit Community Points Token BRICK Is Being Sunset From Kraken Too
Playbook from a crypto veteran. NFA. DYOR.
Playbook from a crypto veteran. NFA. DYOR.
Playbook from a crypto veteram. DYOR and NFA
Wrapped LUNA Classic is up 35% this week. Who is buying this?!?!
I was in the Ethereum ICO — now I’m broke and trying to survive
[AMA] I was in the Ethereum ICO (Genesis wallet). TheDAO → ICOs → Terra LUNA — lost everything. Selling my Genesis address for food
Blockchain Explorer for old LUNA transactions
I've been in this market since 2016 and in crypto even longer (and haven't raged quit yet). Here's what I'm seeing right now from what I've been through before. Sure "nobody knows shit about fuck", but after a decade you start to get a feel for this beast.
Tether (USDT) feels like the next Terra (LUNA) and I am terrified because of this
Any Terra LUNA & UST victim here who submitted claim form by Kroll?
Terraform Co-Founder Do Kwon Pleads Guilty Over Dramatic $60 Billion Terra/LUNA Collapse
What to expect for Crypto Week July 14-18, 2025
Best way to convert holdings to stablecoins (during alt season)
The story of PancakeSwap(CAKE). The forgotten heroes.
$HOUSE and the Rise of On-Chain Real Estate: A Cultural and Financial Shift in the RWA Era
Mantra bounces 200% after OM price crash but poses LUNA-like 'big scandal' risk
What happened to Mantra OM? Only WRONG answers!
Trying to deploy a token on Solana without exchange access — any advice?
Mathematicians uncover the hidden patterns behind a $3.5 billion cryptocurrency (TerraUSD and LUNA) collapse
Can TerraClassicUSD (USTC) Ever Repeg to $1? – An In-Depth Analysis by Everymansci.com
LUNA INU ($LINU) Trending on Coinbase: Memecoin with Potential Ahead of Bitcoin Halving?
Me, waiting for SEC announcement about ETFs…to buy that juicy dip in ALT coins.
Court Rules In Favor of SEC, Deems TerraUSD, LUNA As Unregistered Securities
Noob question: why tokens like USTC, LUNC and FTT are still being traded?
In another reminder that crypto is just people chasing fast money and hype, two of the most disgraced and dead projects in LUNA and FTT are ranked 1st and 3rd for 1W gains in the top 100 with massive buying
Sensible predictions for the next market bottom? Greedy buyer who missed the train, asking.
Trader Who Placed $10 Million Bet Against LUNA Loading Up Reddit's Moons
Over the last one year, we had Addresses with over 1 BTC hitting a new ATH, transactions increasing further and Active Entities growing further in Crypto. The most bullish bear market ever.
The most popular way investors look at charts and it's flaw [SERIOUS]
Some of you might be in a world of hurt if you're over-leveraged, especially in small-caps
Do Kwon's Secret Messages Exposed Before Terra (LUNA) Collapsed: Was This the Cause of the Breakdown?
Are there any indicators that can warn us that an exchange is going bankrupt or a project is failing?
Anyone still have LUNA stuck in Terra Station?
A personal bullet-proof (hopefully) way to secure your assets
Looking back: FTX did not really collapse all by itself, but LUNA had given the first punch that pushed everything down.
Today marks 2 years that I got into crypto! Here are some learnings from this journey so far
What will the next FUD event be?
Trader Who Placed $10 Million Bet Against LUNA Loading Up Reddit's Moons
No, this is NOT the “longest“ bear market in Crypto history, people are drawing unlogical lines to click-bait here. We should stick to the truth.
FTX Cold Wallet Actively Transferring Tokens. Till Now Transferred Over $10 Million Using Wormhole
After nearly two years of a bear market, even the current dips barely make any change in realized losses. Clearly the bears seems to have dried out.
Let's have a [SERIOUS] conversation about Binance. Is it really a shady exchange or 'Binance FUD' is more popular because it gets more clicks?
DongCoin decoded: Delving deeper into South Korea's meme coin revolution
How Many Terra Classic (LUNC) Tokens Burned in the Last 1 Month? At this Rate, How Long Will It Take to Fall to the Old LUNA Supply?
The Terra Luna Crisis. Updates and Potential Outcomes.
Stablecoin Protocol Harbor Suffers Hack Attack: Some Pools, Including LUNA Are Affected
These past 2 years were worse for crypto than the Mt Gox hack and if you’re still here, congrats.
The best legal analysis on why the XRP ruling was rejected in the LUNA case
The best legal explanation on why the XRP ruling was rejected in the LUNA case
Lost It All Twice in Crypto... Until I Uncovered THIS Secret
Major crypto news sites reporting MOON news is very bullish.
Ignored my Crypto wallet for a few years, now seeing that KuCoin is no longer available in the US. What does this mean for my assets?
Trader Who Placed $10 Million Bet Against LUNA Loading Up Reddit's Moons
for those who bought the top in November 2021, how are you holding up?
What its like currently holding ADA. Part 2.
What its like currently holding ADA part 2.
Major crypto news sites reporting MOON news is very bullish.
Is this the most non boring /action packed bear market to date ?
Trader Who Placed $10 Million Bet Against LUNA Loading Up Reddit’s Moons
Relive the crypto crash of '22 here. Events, mistakes, achievements. A lesson to remember, never listen to crypto analysts as nobody knows anything.
[Satire] Seven years ago bitcoin forked and the true vision of Satoshi was born - Bitcoin Cash
Only In Crypto: Bankrupt 3AC Founders Launch 'Justice' Token Targeted At Terra (LUNA) Whistleblower
Move aside hamster racing theres a new game in town, its called cryptocurrencies
PAXG - what are your thoughts on gold backed stable coins?
Mentions
You should pay attention to what you said, when you said FTX capitulation you referred to the actual events that caused that bear market. The bear market in the stock market and the LUNA/FTX disasters are why Bitcoin cratered so much in 2022. Us policy that allowed government money to supercharge all financial markets with zero percent interest rates turned the market into the most heavy risk on market that’s ever been seen. Don’t act like everything is just about the halving, it’s such an oversimplification. You sound like an idiot
my LUNA is down 99.9%!!!
Your logic: "Bitcoin is number one only ...only bc it weas first." Ford is the best car bc it was first AOL is the best email bc it was first Yahoo is the best search bc it was first Napster is the best music bc it was first MySpace is the best social media bc it was first Blackberry is the best phone bc it was first "Every crypto is fundamentally the same..." LUNA BTC ETH XMR USDC Oh yeah. I see your point. /s
I thought this was going to be a post about LUNA
"$MSTR can sit for 17 months and be fine" Famous last words. All the cope narrative of MSTR gives me such LUNA/FTX vibes, along with all the famous last words of all the shit that collapsed in this space in the past.
USDT was advertised as ‘safe’ 20% yield and I got crucified in this sub for questioning LUNA and Do Kwon. I’ve never felt so vindicated in my life.
People didnt understand LUNA either. But they did once it collapsed.
\* MSTR/STRC yield banking on BTC going up forever \* LUNA/USDT yield banking on Do Kwon’s cash reserves Very similar.
nothing to do with LUNA STRC sales are final and as is. there is no recourse for the holder of STRC other than sell it on the open market and see what it can fetch. Strategy is not going to sell BTC to support STRC. in fact, they are not going to do anything. they have already used the money to but BTC, which is theirs to keep
reminds me of UST and LUNA. once people see how fragile the model is to break, would they scramble to liquidate to get pennies on the dollar
I bought in at the ATH season of Nov 2021 just before it all crumbled. I went hard and invested heavy and had lots in Loopring, CRO, SAND, LUNA, MANA, etc. Only to watch red downward lines become my new daily nightmare haha. At this point I deserve a government bail out.
No but I bought LUNA. You haven’t crypto’d unless you’ve had a rug pulled.
I've missed out of plenty of opportunities because I have been vary and suspicious. But that also helped me avoid disasters such as CEL and other platforms that promised massive yields. Same with algorithmic stablecoins like LUNA or CEXes like FTX with signup bonuses and too-big-to-fail mentality. Sounded too good to be true and wasn't worth the risks.
Good point on the yield mechanism, that's the key difference from LUNA imo. UST's peg was backed by a reflexive mint/burn relationship with LUNA itself, so once confidence broke there was no external lever to pull. STRC's peg is just a yield-driven arb that depends on people believing the dividend gets paid, which is a much more boring and slower-moving kind of risk, not a death spiral mechanism. Agree the risk/reward looks off right now though, an extra couple percent doesn't really compensate for the price risk you're already eating.
UST was backed by LUNA STRC is backed by MSTR/BTC Not even close to the same
It hasn't re pegged because it's nothing like LUNA. The yield needs to increase for it to head back to 100. The yield is the supposed mechanism for maintaining 100 USD. Right now I don't see how it is worth the inherent risk. You get 11% pa, if you bought at $100, at $91 you're already out 9% so that extra 2% doesn't you're making seems absurd. Interesting financial experiment though.
I mean, you did ask about bags, I don't consider holding BTC a bag but LUNA SURE IS!!!! LOLOLOLUNA
Do I have a story about this? - I claimed 10 $BTC from a faucet back in 2010. I deleted the wallet.dat file but saved a copy in my Yahoo Mail. Then I completely forgot about it until 2021. By then, I had lost access to my Yahoo account because it kept asking for a verification code sent to a phone number I no longer had. I contacted Yahoo, and they told me that accounts inactive for more than two years are usually deleted permanently. - I found $EMAX when its market cap was still extremely low. I told my brother I wanted to invest $5,000, but he advised me not to. The very next day, it skyrocketed. That $5,000 would have been worth around $500,000. - I bought $LUNA at $0.50, investing a total of $1,000. A few hours later, it crashed to around $0.0000006. I literally watched it hit the bottom on KuCoin while most other exchanges had already delisted it. I wanted to buy more, but I was too afraid because my initial $1,000 investment had already become practically worthless. Had I invested even another $100 at that point, it could have turned into around $100,000 the next morning. - I bought $MINIDOGE when its market cap was still below $1 million. I invested $600, and the following week it was worth around $10,000. I didn't sell because I thought it would keep going higher. Instead, it crashed, and I eventually sold for only $1,200. - I've been following $CFG for a while and always had a feeling it would drop to around $0.50, so I placed a limit order for about $15,000 and waited. When I saw it hit around $0.60 last February/March, I still didn't pull the trigger. Then in April it got listed on Binance, and by May it had reached $3. FAKKK! I researched SPCE when it was trading at around $2.40 and seriously considered investing $10,000. But I was too scared to buy, even though I had a strong conviction about it. Then it skyrocketed to $8. FAKKK! I swear on my life I'm not lying and I always feel mad and sad about these chain of unluckiness because WHY ALWAYS LIKE THIS!!!
Coinbase timeline has a 300k jump when I bought LUNA at 2am then went to sleep 😃. Yes, it was during the FTX fiasco. Had a great sleep though lol.
Ah no, LUNA was a different story.
Got used to this at this point, also experienced LUNA FTX etc
I guess everyone who never sold LUNA never lost anything?
ZEC is going full LUNA. There is no way to prove there was no minting. It's going straight to 0.
I remember people contemplating exactly the same thing during LUNA's crash. Though ADA isn't comparable to LUNA, it is still comparable to a house of cards: A lot of Cardano's businesses depend on the value of their ADA reserves. As ADA falls lower more of it needs to be sold just to keep the lights on, because bills are paid in USD or EUR. There are still some committed ADA buyers, but more and more retail investors are quitting due to the poor price action, so there are less and less buyers to absorb the price decrease. Often these same retail investors are the primary users of the network, so network usage also decreases. As usage decreases, businesses will exhaust their treasuries more quickly and start laying off workers or even stop operating completely. This tends to create FUD with further negative impact on long term holders. So there are multiple mutually reinforcing negative feedback loops, hence the house of cards analogy (but Cardano's decline will be nowhere near as fast as LUNA, which was basically a bank-run). So where's the real bottom? You might think to look at the network revenue, and then compare to the lower market caps of blockchains with a similar revenue, adding a premium for "superior technology". The problem is that network fees are charged in ADA, and lower price of ADA means lower network revenue. So I don't think there is a fundamental bottom, it's all just speculation. (I guess this applies to most alts, but Cardano is the only chain I have serious experience with)
Cardano is going to do what LUNA did and that is disappear into oblivion and take everyone's money with it.
Drunk Do Quan thought he was burning more #LUNA. I DID A LOT OF MONEY BECAUSE OF THAT FUCKER TO BE HONEST! I HOPE HE ROTS UNDER A SEA OF PISS UNDER A PRISON AT THE BOTTOM OF THE OCEAN AFTER BEING EATEN BY SHARKS AND SHIT OUT.
bought LUNA at $60 thinking it was a discount after the first dip. averaged down twice. you know how that ended
I remember the $LUNA crash just over 4 years ago. That one hurt a lot and it felt absolutely gut wrenching. Try to stay positive though and as long as you can learn from this experience, I truly believe you'll become a better trader than ever before!
This is unfortunately a pretty common experience in large crypto bankruptcy claims like the TerraUSD and Terra (LUNA) case. Once a claim gets stuck at “Additional Information Submitted,” it usually just means it’s in a manual review queue. These processes are extremely slow because administrators like Kroll are dealing with huge volumes of claims, verification checks, and legal coordination with the estate, not real-time support like people expect from exchanges.
That was the entire mechanism of LUNA/UST. If UST was trading below $1, the Terra protocol itself would allow anyone to burn 1 UST for $1 worth of LUNA. And on the other side, if UST was above $1, you could burn LUNA for UST.
>At the time I don't think many people either understand/realize a bunch of new vector of risks that "blockchain" introduces (network congestion, bridge, token mechanism etc etc). I mean, sure. But also the risk of a unregulated space. And fraud. >The death spiral mechanic also obvious from the beginning I don't think it was obvious, the market wasn't pricing it that way. I don't think anyone expected 6 trillion LUNA to be minted. Right?
Yep, LUNA was probably the most shilled before its collapse here because it was performing the best.
It was, by far, my craziest and worst day in crypto. I didn't have any LUNA exposure either, all UST. The problem was my UST wasn't just in Anchor, it was in Aperture, which at the time was running a delta-neutral strategy using both Anchor and Mirror. The problem was, Mirror protocol was actually broken for a long time and nobody knew until the crash, when there suddenly wasn't enough money in there for everyone to withdraw. So I literally couldn't withdraw my UST until the value was significantly down. I spent that whole night shuttling UST and LUNA back and forth from Terra Station to Kraken, selling LUNA for UST on Kraken and then burning it for more LUNA to sell for more UST. I made all my money back that way. I did end up bridging a bunch of LUNA to Ethereum to send to Coinbase (because they only accepted WLUNA because CB was absolute ass back then at supporting networks other than Ethereum). But that bridge was completely clogged. That LUNA didn't come through until the next day, BUT THEN WLUNA SKYROCKETED ON COINBASE!!! I sold that shit instantly and REALLY made my money back. If I held longer I think I could have made about $60k on LUNC that I spent like $1400 on. I still honestly believe that so much crime happened on that day. But not necessarily crime perpetrated by Do Kwon. I think the LUNA validators (especially Binance and Jump) should be legally liable for cutting UST loose and rebooting the network to let LUNC pump. Even though the precedent that would set would probably kill crypto forever.
About a month before this crash, I was researching savings products to park some money. I needed to either get the money in the market, or put it in a savings product. I was earning interest on CB via USDC deposits, but was wondering if I could be earning more with another crypto product. This brought me to the Anchor Protocol. A savings product. That is how this was sold to 'investors' as a savings product. Now, a savings product should be zero risk, or close to it. Like a HYSA, a CD, or T bonds. Zero risk, low yield. But, Anchor was different. It advertised zero risk on 20% yield. This interest rate on zero risk is impossible. It literally doesn't exist. So, I asked myself, what is the catch here? Where is the risk? 20% yield with no risk isn't real. So, I wondered into the Anchor subreddit and asked around. "Hey boys, what is the catch? Where is the risk? This can't be real, there is no such thing as a savings product that earns 20%." When I posted this in the sub, I was inundated with comments insisting it was actually zero risk. No risk. It's a savings product. I had guys telling me to park my life's savings, that I would be stupid not to... on and on. I tried to insist this can't be real. That this isn't a savings product, there must be a catch. I also watched that stupid video that put out that explained the peg and the how the yield was earned, which made no fucking sense, and asked the sub to explain it, like I'm five, and no could. No one even tried to understand it. They just blinded trusted that Anchor was a zero risk 20% interest savings product. Failing to understand the product in any way, I warned the group. "Boys, this is too good to be true". Then, I got flamed, so I checked out. This isn't for me. About two weeks later, LUNA minted 6 trillion tokens, and it all collapsed. Watched it happen in real time, in that Anchor sub, as people desperately tried to exit, but couldn't. I watched those dudes loose everything. Moral of the story? If it's too good to be true, it's not true.
Most of the sentiment shift comes from liquidity drying up post-2022, ETF-driven BTC/ETH focus, and trust damage from FTX/LUNA. Retail attention rotated away from mid-cap narratives, so only stronger networks stayed relevant. A few niche experiments like RasputinCoin ($RSPN) still try to build, but visibility is limited.
I remember selling my entire bag of LUNA a day before it tanked. Crazy feeling.
i lost $1500 on LUNA, but i was about to lump sum like 30k, and it crashed the next day... rip $1500 but i count myself as lucky nonetheless
Saylor breaking away from "never selling" Bitcoin is something we probably should have guessed was eventually gonna come. Luckily, STRC on the other hand is something we can see a little bit better, and there's no points for guessing what's coming here when the $100 depegs too much and selling shares or having to raise the yield too high backfires, and people who thought this was like a bank product realize what they bought, and can't get their money. In the past, FTX, LUNA, Voyager, were things that were difficult to see at the time. You could definitely tell something was a bit off and didn't add up. But most people were still hopeful that these were major players, with big player money behind it, "too big to fail", etc... And even people who saw the potential issues of the depeg of LUNA, still said it was very unlikely to happen and there were ways to counter it if it did happen.
LUNA back in the top 100 lmao
who ever said LUNA was”too big to fail”. Ten seconds of research would’ve made it obvious it was a ponzi. “If you don’t know where the yield comes from, you are the yield”
Kinda feels like the vibe just matured tbh. Back then everyone I knew was hyped on “next ETH killer” type plays, and group chats were just nonstop altcoin shilling. Now those same people are way more cautious after getting burned on stuff like LUNA and FTX. I don’t think it’s just one thing, more like a combo of big blowups + people realizing a lot of projects didn’t deliver. So sentiment shifted toward “stick with what actually survived.” Even in my circle, the convo went from chasing random alts to mostly BTC/ETH and maybe a few picks people actually understand. The hype isn’t gone, it’s just way more selective now. Feels less like a free-for-all and more like people actually questioning things before piling in.
It’s basically the market maturing after getting burned. After things like FTX and Terra (LUNA) collapsed, people stopped trusting hype and started focusing on what actually survives. That’s why most attention shifted to Bitcoin and Ethereum, they proved they can last through cycles. The rest didn’t necessarily die, they just lost credibility and narrative.
I don’t think people just got more negative. Feels more like the market got a lot harsher about what it’s willing to trust. LUNA and FTX didn’t just wipe out capital, they kind of killed that old reflex where people would give alt narratives loads of benefit of the doubt for way too long. Then this cycle had a much clearer institutional bid for BTC, and a bit for ETH, so capital didn’t really spread the same way it used to in older retail-heavy runs. So to me that’s the shift. Not “people stopped caring about ecosystems”, more that liquidity, survivability and actual demand matter a lot more now, and most alts don’t get trusted by default anymore.
Yeah, the shift is real. A big part of it is that the market got much less forgiving after LUNA and FTX. Those blowups didn’t just destroy capital - they broke trust in a huge part of the old “ecosystem growth” narrative, and research on FTX’s collapse even points to Terra-Luna as the pivotal shock that worsened FTX’s liquidity fragility. The second change is structural. This cycle, a lot more capital is flowing into Bitcoin through ETFs and other institutional channels, which has changed how liquidity enters the market and made BTC much more resilient than in older retail-led cycles. That has hurt alt sentiment. Bitcoin dominance has been sitting around the high-50s, and the usual altcoin season indicators have stayed weak, which tells you capital is still concentrating in BTC rather than spreading across the market the way people got used to in earlier cycles. So I don’t think people suddenly stopped caring about ecosystems. It’s more that the market now cares a lot more about liquidity, survivability, and where real demand is coming from. BTC has an institutional bid. ETH still has relevance. BNB has a functioning exchange-driven ecosystem. A lot of other large caps now get treated as legacy narratives until they prove they still matter. That’s why the vibe feels harsher now. It’s not just cynicism - the market got burned, then matured, and now it’s a lot less willing to give altcoins the benefit of the doubt.
even LUNA did well at one point in time. Please try to understand that I am merely asking about XRP's fundamentals and why it should be trusted over other coins. Lets say HYPE, which has a clear use case unlike XRP.
I bought LUNA after the crash and made bank
This just sounds like Terra LUNA on a *much* larger scale..
I'd be cautious about stablecoins. They aren't all created equal. The Terra/LUNA thing was pretty bad.
Is this more similar to the FTX crash or the LUNA crash?
Looks like $WLFI is going to pull a $LUNA
Terra LUNA was too big to fail too. Lol how many big coins rugpulled and died since 2017. You really think your clever . Look at the top 20 coins in 2017 2018 2019 where are they now... It is out . Hence why Tao is $250 now and going back to $150
My biggest mistake is still LUNA. That taught me there is no such thing as too big to fail. Wrack my whole account cause at that time I really trust in LUNA and is a main too. Man thinking about that made my mad
Didn’t take LUNA profits
Post is by: Additional-Channel21 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sakj6e/sea_of_markets_or_why_trading_is_more_like/ Sometimes people ask how you actually learn to understand markets. Usually the conversation quickly turns into charts, indicators, news, technology and predictions. But the more experience I gain, the more I notice something strange. Markets that seem completely different often work according to the same underlying mechanics. For me that understanding did not come from books. It came from very different places. Game economies. A vegetable market. Crypto. And eventually the sea. Game economies were probably the first market I understood. Before I ever traded real assets, I traded items in games. If you actually play the game and follow what is happening in it – updates, tournaments, the meta – you begin to feel the value of items. You start noticing patterns. Which items are rare. Which collections will become desirable. Which skins players will want later. You do not buy everything. You buy cheaper. And you sell higher. Over time your inventory grows in value. At some point you realize something simple. This is a market. And the mechanics are surprisingly clear when the stakes are just digital items. I have always wondered if anyone else first understood markets through game economies. Later I saw the same thing in the physical world. At one point I traded vegetables. I bought produce at the wholesale market at night and sold it during the day directly from my car. It is not glamorous work. And it is not very profitable either. But it teaches you something about markets very quickly. You cannot buy goods and simply wait for the price to go up. Vegetables spoil. If you do not sell, you lose. So the market lives on turnover. Buy. Sell. Buy again. Every day. Another thing becomes obvious very quickly. If you start pulling money out of that circulation to live on, the whole system begins to break. Because circulation is the bloodstream of any market. Then came crypto. Crypto looked like the same game, just much bigger. At first it felt familiar. Buy cheaper. Sell higher. Sometimes you catch something unexpected. During the LUNA collapse I picked up tokens very close to the bottom and managed to sell them much higher during the rebound. Later I lost most of those profits trading futures. That was another lesson. Crypto is not just a market. It is a storm. And this is where another experience suddenly made sense. At one point in my life I worked on a ship. Once we were sailing to Tuzla in Turkey for an emergency engine repair. On the way we got caught in a heavy storm. There was a real chance the engine could stop. If that had happened we would have been stuck in the middle of the storm. Sailors will understand what that means. If the engine dies in a storm, the sea quickly reminds you who is in charge. The sea behaves a lot like markets. Sometimes complete calm. Sometimes clouds gather and a storm begins. Sometimes the surface looks calm while powerful currents move underneath. Markets behave the same way. Periods of calm. Sudden volatility. Hidden liquidity flows under the surface. Sometimes everything feels stable. Then within hours the market turns into chaos. But the most important thing at sea is not the waves. It is navigation. When you sail across the sea you must always know where you are. That is why maps exist. Latitude. Longitude. You constantly mark your position. If you do not know your coordinates, you are lost. If you know the direction but not your position, you are still lost. So humans invented compasses, maps and navigation. And there is an important detail here. If you make even a tiny mistake in your course, just one degree, it does not look like much in the beginning. But over a long journey that small deviation becomes hundreds of miles. A small mistake in direction eventually becomes a massive mistake in destination. Markets work the same way. If you do not understand where you are, what course you are holding and how your capital is distributed, then you are simply drifting. Sometimes the market is calm and everything feels fine. But when the storm begins people start sinking. At some point my thinking about markets changed. I stopped asking where the price will go. Instead I started asking different questions. Where is my capital actually positioned. How is it distributed across assets. How should it move between them. Over time I built my own system around that idea. Not as a way to predict prices. But as a way to navigate markets. To treat capital more like a course on a map than a bet on a single wave. I am curious how other people arrived at their understanding of markets. For me it came through very different places. Game economies. A vegetable market. Crypto. And eventually the sea. What about you. Was there a moment when you suddenly understood how markets actually work. And if some of you are already building your own systems for managing capital, I am curious about something else. Have you explored ideas like portfolio allocation, rebalancing or capital optimization across assets. At what stage are you in that journey. Because sometimes markets really start to look like a sea. And eventually the most important question stops being Where will the price go and becomes Where am I in this sea and what course am I holding. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Yes, this poisons the well for the future. Which is why I think it will be revisited after the next FTX, LUNA, etc., implodes people's life savings again.
None of this is legally binding and will be reversed by later administrations because it allows for unchecked securities fraud. I expect this to happen after retail loses even more money with the next wave of exit liquidity tokens, ponzi schemes, and other scams that make LUNA, FTX token, etc. look like pocket change. This SEC interpetive release is bad policy and the Howey test is still good law after 100 years for a reason. Everyone cheering this doesn't understand that this SEC's direction is a step back because it makes the crypto space even more grifty and subsequently siloed from the legacy finance. The crypto industry was in a good spot with sensible, incremental wins against the last SEC. This total takeover is greedy and self defeating. What do you think will happen when people's retirement funds blow up with the next scam? Crypto goes back into the hole because everyone thinks it's a scam.
Post is by: Ok_Security_1684 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rttwjq/i_replayed_the_ftx_collapse_and_traded_it_my_i/ Spent the last hour going back to November 8, 2022 on this market replay tool I found. Started at $20,600. First few minutes felt obvious in hindsight - CoinDesk story, CZ tweeting about FTT. I told myself I'd short immediately. Instead I opened a long at $20,180 because "it might be a rumor." 5x leverage. You can guess what happened next. What made it different from TradingView replay is it wasn't just showing price - funding rate was going negative in real time, liquidation counter ticking up, whale transfers spiking, Fear & Greed dropping. The full chaos of that day, not just the candles. Ended the simulation up $180 on a $10,000 portfolio. On one of the most obvious directional trades in history. The AI breakdown at the end was brutal: 75% long bias. During a crash. 33% win rate. Ignored my stop loss twice. Turns out my "I would have shorted it" was completely made up. Tool is free if anyone wants to embarrass themselves: [**cryptontradebot.com/market-replay.html**](http://cryptontradebot.com/market-replay.html) They have COVID crash, LUNA spiral, 2021 ATH, Jan short squeeze too. Curious if anyone else gets humbled or if I'm just bad at this. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Imagine explaining NFTs, LUNA and FTX to him in one sentence
Everyone I know who has asked me about Bitcoin has done the same thing. They say "Bitcoin is too expensive, I bought BCH", "Bitcoin is too expensive, I bought LUNA". People said this to me when Bitcoin was $20k. $10k. $5k. $1k. Literally never changes.
nah, after that terra/luna ust incident, im done with holding anykind of currency related to crypto except USDT(the only one i know and still being used). lucky at that time, i didnt hold anything related to LUNA, but other cryptocurrencies also got hit real hard because of luna IIRC (i had avax, sol at that time).
nah, after that terra/luna ust incident, im done with holding anykind of currency related to crypto except USDT(the only one i know and still being used). lucky at that time, i didnt hold anything related to LUNA, but other cryptocurrencies also got hit real hard because of luna IIRC (i had avax, sol at that time).
tldr; Terraform Labs has filed a lawsuit against Jane Street in Manhattan federal court, accusing the firm of insider trading during the May 2022 Terra collapse. The lawsuit alleges that Jane Street used non-public information, obtained through a former Terraform intern, to adjust positions, reduce losses, and profit while the UST depeg worsened and LUNA lost over $40 billion in value. This legal action is part of Terraform's ongoing bankruptcy recovery efforts to reclaim funds for creditors and token holders. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.
It's bait for sure, Kraken is trying to offer me 3% bonus on deposits, but if you look at the small print, you have to keep it on there for a minimum of 18 months and must not move it from exchange during that time period. While I like Kraken, I'm not keeping a large amount of money with them for a prolonged period of time, to earn some change. 18 months is plenty of time to have another FTX or LUNA type collapse.
Alright, let's get the LUNA, SafeMoon, SBF, and other crypto scammers return the stolen funds too.
Ask Jeeves: “Rank cryptocurrencies by market cap on February 6th, 2021.” Altcoins are generally terrible investments, especially when compared to other assets. You have to be lucky with the ones you pick, and when you buy and sale. That list from 2021 likely includes one called LUNA that ain’t really around anymore. Plus, alts have plenty more room to fall.
Where are the facts? FTX crashed after the fact. In addition to LUNA. Hold steady lads. The whole market is under manipulation. Crooks on every algo taking your assumption as cash. Remember that SBF, Do Kwon, and CZ were on signal chats. In fact I think it was Sam who wanted to tank LUNA. It’s a big club and you ain’t in it.
That would be the end. LUNA dropped like 99.999% or so haha.
Honestly, this is quite dramatic, but nowhere near LUNA/FTX levels.
At some point, we will have an event that ultimately plunges the crypto market to 0 or close to it. Imagine FTX or LUNA but spread out through the top 300 coins. Bitcoin will survive but it’ll lose at least 70% of its market cap. Everything else will lose 99.7% of their market cap including ETH which will be the first to collapse causing a chain reaction. The mining rewards will make Bitcoin a net negative for miners which will cause them to shut down mining rigs. Bitcoin will bounce around the $15-$25 range for eternity until the masses just lose interest all together.
You’ll be alright bro. Gotta know the risks. I’m still holding my LUNA from last cycle 🫠
Are people still surprised that leveraged casino coin will empty your pockets? > *ETH is a casino coin whose value is a mirage derived from stacking on-chain leverage in places like Aave, Maker, etc where ETH is the dominant collateral asset for gambling for ETH and various shitcoin tokens people think are DeFi.* **When the shit hits the fan, you have cascading ETH liquidations to reveal the ugly shitcoinery lying underneath. (Feb. 2025)** https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1igeysk/the_eth_to_btc_ratio_just_flash_crashed_to_02337/mapylwj/ > **I think one day people will realize how insane a run ETH had in 2020/21 and fools were forever chasing that euphoria. (Feb. 2025)** > One of the things people seem to be missing is how much of a leveraged casino coin ETH was that drove this rise. Before the bullrun started in 2020, ETH was sitting at a relatively small ~$30 Billion marketcap. DAI was also sitting with $250 Million minted. > BTC started running in Q3 and by peak of the run, ETH was used locked as the native asset to mint $6.2 Billion in DAI. That $6.2 Billion is a massive injection of money into $30 Billion marketcap with an undertoe of a parabolic BTC bullrun and bullish sentiment. Compare that to the total of only ~$3 Billion inflow into ETFs today when ETH is ~$300 Billion marketcap and it's easy to see why the marketcap won't budge much. > Leveraging ETH to pump its markecap is not dissimilar to burning LUNA to mint UST which drove LUNA to a $40 Billion marketcap. Everyone calls that a scam mechanism but the same type of mechanism that pumped ETH is considered DeFI. > BTC parabolic moves, leveraged native ETH to mint DAI, DeFi casino narrative, NFTs, staking hype, triple halving memes, ultra-sound monies.......and Covid lockdown and money > It was a perfect storm. https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1indhrk/daily_crypto_discussion_february_12_2025_gmt0/mcdygp1/?context=3
> Fundamentals have not changed You might want to learn what fundamentals are. Crypto does not have fundamentals. In traditional markets, understanding value of companies comes from fundamental analysis. Fundamentals in investing are based on revenues, earnings, future growth, return on equity, profit margins, PE, the economy, interest rates and other financial data to determine the fair market value of a company. Crypto does not have these sort of fundamentals. Crypto is based almost purely on speculation. BTC itself is a speculative asset and the entire Alt market generally have a correlation coeffieent of ~0.90 and just follow BTC up and down and inherently have no fundamental value in themselves. ETH is a double speculative asset that has been underperforming almost everything for 8 years and historically has a 0.96 correlation coefficient to BTC only appreciates when BTC goes on bullruns. - Summer 2017, ETH hits ATH of $400 after BTC hits local top of $3,000 - January 2018, ETH hits ATH of $1,400 after BTC hits cycle top of $20K - May 2021, ETH hits ATH after BTC tops out in April 2021 - Nov 2021. ETH hits ATH in December after BTC tops out in November 2021 - August 2025. ETH briefly touches past 2021 ATH after BTC breaks $120K Not only is ETH a double speculative asset but it is a leveraged on-chain casino coin that primed for liquidations in market downturns > *ETH is a casino coin whose value is a mirage derived from stacking on-chain leverage in places like Aave, Maker, etc where ETH is the dominant collateral asset for gambling for ETH and various shitcoin tokens people think are DeFi.* **When the shit hits the fan, you have cascading ETH liquidations to reveal the ugly shitcoinery lying underneath. (Feb. 2025)** https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1igeysk/the_eth_to_btc_ratio_just_flash_crashed_to_02337/mapylwj/ > **I think one day people will realize how insane a run ETH had in 2020/21 and fools were forever chasing that euphoria. (Feb. 2025)** > One of the things people seem to be missing is how much of a leveraged casino coin ETH was that drove this rise. Before the bullrun started in 2020, ETH was sitting at a relatively small ~$30 Billion marketcap. DAI was also sitting with $250 Million minted. > BTC started running in Q3 and by peak of the run, ETH was used locked as the native asset to mint $6.2 Billion in DAI. That $6.2 Billion is a massive injection of money into $30 Billion marketcap with an undertoe of a parabolic BTC bullrun and bullish sentiment. Compare that to the total of only ~$3 Billion inflow into ETFs today when ETH is ~$300 Billion marketcap and it's easy to see why the marketcap won't budge much. > Leveraging ETH to pump its markecap is not dissimilar to burning LUNA to mint UST which drove LUNA to a $40 Billion marketcap. Everyone calls that a scam mechanism but the same type of mechanism that pumped ETH is considered DeFI. > BTC parabolic moves, leveraged native ETH to mint DAI, DeFi casino narrative, NFTs, staking hype, triple halving memes, ultra-sound monies.......and Covid lockdown and money > It was a perfect storm. https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1indhrk/daily_crypto_discussion_february_12_2025_gmt0/mcdygp1/?context=3
ETH investors still don't understand ETH is a leveraged casino coin > *ETH is a casino coin whose value is a mirage derived from stacking on-chain leverage in places like Aave, Maker, etc where ETH is the dominant collateral asset for gambling for ETH and various shitcoin tokens people think are DeFi.* **When the shit hits the fan, you have cascading ETH liquidations to reveal the ugly shitcoinery lying underneath. (Feb. 2025)** https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1igeysk/the_eth_to_btc_ratio_just_flash_crashed_to_02337/mapylwj/ > **I think one day people will realize how insane a run ETH had in 2020/21 and fools were forever chasing that euphoria. (Feb. 2025)** > One of the things people seem to be missing is how much of a leveraged casino coin ETH was that drove this rise. Before the bullrun started in 2020, ETH was sitting at a relatively small ~$30 Billion marketcap. DAI was also sitting with $250 Million minted. > BTC started running in Q3 and by peak of the run, ETH was used locked as the native asset to mint $6.2 Billion in DAI. That $6.2 Billion is a massive injection of money into $30 Billion marketcap with an undertoe of a parabolic BTC bullrun and bullish sentiment. Compare that to the total of only ~$3 Billion inflow into ETFs today when ETH is ~$300 Billion marketcap and it's easy to see why the marketcap won't budge much. > Leveraging ETH to pump its markecap is not dissimilar to burning LUNA to mint UST which drove LUNA to a $40 Billion marketcap. Everyone calls that a scam mechanism but the same type of mechanism that pumped ETH is considered DeFI. > BTC parabolic moves, leveraged native ETH to mint DAI, DeFi casino narrative, NFTs, staking hype, triple halving memes, ultra-sound monies.......and Covid lockdown and money > It was a perfect storm. https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1indhrk/daily_crypto_discussion_february_12_2025_gmt0/mcdygp1/?context=3
I really have a bad feeling Saylor, Microstrategy and his DAT cohorts will be the LUNA and FTX of this cycle.
I've been warning noobs like you about falling for bullshit mETH Head narratives for years and years. You need to first learn about how crypto works. Now back to school noob. > **If you think 0.04 BTC is low, the ETH/BTC ratio is going to feel like getting kicked in the nuts over and over again over the long term as the ratio falls below 0.01** and goes lower and lower. > Long term ALL Alts follow the same trend and fall below the initial BTC value they started at. Pretty much all the older Alts, even the most successful fall below this value. ETH is also trending long term to fall below this value. People talk about historic trends, patterns and cycles but this has been the only 1 undisputed and unbroken pattern for 14 years. > | | Initial | High | Current | > |:-----------|------------:|:------------:|------------:| > | LTC | 0.03 BTC| 0.048 BTC | 0.001 BTC > | XRP | 5,594 SATS| 22,500 SATS | 940 SATS > | XMR | 0.005 BTC| 0.035 BTC | 0.0029 BTC > | ETH | 0.01 BTC | 0.15 BTC | 0.041 BTC https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1fgzm3z/daily_crypto_discussion_september_15_2024_gmt0/ln9jvct/ > **Who the hell is buying ETH for $3,000+? That is insanely expensive. Plus, insiders, developers, VCs got a ton of the supply for essentially free and have oligarchical privilege to print their own ETH for free and dump until perpetuity.** And what does ETH even do? It's only a token in a digital casino and there are plenty of alternatives including subsidiary L2s and other cheaper casinos. https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1gujmk1/daily_crypto_discussion_november_19_2024_gmt0/lxzks6h/ > **I think one day people will realize how insane a run ETH had in 2020/21 and fools were forever chasing that euphoria.** > One of the things people seem to be missing is how much of a leveraged casino coin ETH was that drove this rise. Before the bullrun started in 2020, ETH was sitting at a relatively small ~$30 Billion marketcap. DAI was also sitting with $250 Million minted. > BTC started running in Q3 and by peak of the run, ETH was used locked as the native asset to mint $6.2 Billion in DAI. That $6.2 Billion is a massive injection of money into $30 Billion marketcap with an undertoe of a parabolic BTC bullrun and bullish sentiment. Compare that to the total of only ~$3 Billion inflow into ETFs today when ETH is ~$300 Billion marketcap and it's easy to see why the marketcap won't budge much. > Leveraging ETH to pump its markecap is not dissimilar to burning LUNA to mint UST which drove LUNA to a $40 Billion marketcap. Everyone calls that a scam mechanism but the same type of mechanism that pumped ETH is considered DeFI. > BTC parabolic moves, leveraged native ETH to mint DAI, DeFi casino narrative, NFTs, staking hype, triple halving memes, ultra-sound monies.......and Covid lockdown and money > It was a perfect storm. https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1indhrk/daily_crypto_discussion_february_12_2025_gmt0/mcdygp1/?context=3
honestly, after LUNA crashed i pretty much lost interest in crypto entirely. that network had some of the best real world use case of any project in crypto and was one of the easiest to use and if that can fail, i dont trust anything else. imo bitcoin is the ONLY thing worth investing in when it comes to crypto
LUNA is probably worth more than that lol
Every coin other than BTC and ETH seems to just wither away and die. LUNA, ATOM, JUNO, DOT, ADA... lost my butt on every single one. Now I'm just down to BTC after I consolidated a couple years ago and I'm holding in an offline wallet, locked inside a gun safe. Will check back in 3-4 years time.
Terra crashed because LUNA supply instantly skyrocketed
Harmony ONE. No recovery after the bridge hack. Oh, what about LUNA?
Lmao that was during my first bull run. I put up $3,000 as collateral to take out a loan on a LUNA-based defi protocol (I forgot the name). A week later the entire platform crashed and burned. Haha fuck me right?!
The days when everyone said LUNA is one of the safest alts...
HYPE gonna be this cycle's LUNA?
Post is by: Animalverse and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://animalverse.social/community/p/28385/ Terraform Labs filed a $4B lawsuit against Jump Trading over alleged market manipulation linked to the 2022 Terra (UST/LUNA) collapse, per WSJ. https://animalverse.social/community/p/28385/ *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Yes. Look back to LUNA/TERRA just a few years back.
Were you here for Terra LUNA or FTX? Those were pretty epic.
MSTR is a huge ponzi scheme, not even good for Bitcoin. I think it will end up like the new FTX or LUNA
tldr; The price of Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) has dropped by over 45% following the sentencing of Do Kwon, the crypto mogul, to 15 years in prison. This decline erased millions in market value and coincided with drops in related tokens like Terra (LUNA) and USTC. The sentencing was longer than both the defense's and prosecutors' recommendations, reflecting the $40 billion losses suffered by investors. Despite the crash, LUNC retains a strong community and Binance support, but its price forecast remains bearish with potential further declines of 45%. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.
tldr; Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon was sentenced to 15 years in prison for his role in the $40 billion collapse of Terra's UST and LUNA. U.S. District Judge Paul Engelmayer reviewed 315 victim letters detailing severe impacts, including financial ruin, health crises, and suicides. Victims described losing life savings, facing bankruptcy, and enduring emotional and physical hardships. While some sought restitution over imprisonment, others demanded maximum penalties. The judge emphasized the fraud's devastating human toll during sentencing. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.
If I remember right from *Going Infinite*, most FTX bagholders actually ended up getting almost all of their principal back. Yeah, if you adjust for inflation they still lost, but it’s not a total black hole. Compare that to Do Kwon’s victims — their odds of recovery are basically 0. This is the guy who talked big about “making people whole,” spun up LUNA 2.0, and then instantly sold his entire stack right after launch. That’s not a mistake, that’s who he is. And yet the universe decides he gets the lighter sentence. That’s the kind of irony that makes you root for absolutely nothing good happening to him behind bars.
I don’t know about you, but I’ve been loading up on the dip. If LUNA can rebound so can they.
Who the hell is trying to revive LUNA of all coins? Is this some kind of alt season last push signal. The coin has been doing insane percentage wise for a week
You’re right! In the immature crypto ecosystem of ten years ago, someone like Do Kwon — and something like LUNA — couldn’t have existed!