LMT

Etherius

Frankly this is Linux all over again. Everyone thought companies would clamor for Linux because everyone could make their OS do whatever they wanted. Instead we wound up with fractured and fragmented distributions that companies who had no business employing armies of SWEs would ever have the ability to capitalize on. Which is why Microsoft is a trillion dollar company today and Linus Torvalds isn’t a trillionaire. Who has the equipment and manpower to train their own LLM besides the LLM operators? You think a company like LMT is going to waste resources building their own model?

znightmaree

🥭’s speech tonight is alien disclosure you heard it here first LMT Calls

FuckleUp

Got shook out of LMT earlier grrrr now 🚀

wrongrobertpatrick

Aerospace — LMT, RTX, NOC

Rock_or_Rol

If you have the income, just stop with the short term trades lol. You could just pop a few grand in OTM/ATM quarterlies for some high beta stocks with upcoming catalysts and then hedge with some puts A lot of bills are being pushed through congress for rare earths, defense/drones, quantum and aerospace right now. AVAV is likely to get the $500 million laser contract for drone defense before their next earnings. You might get lucky on SCAR news too INFQ is likely to benefit the most from sensor tech from the defense bill and then subsequent quantum bills, IONQ a close second. RIOT is building out a new data center and they’ll bring IMSR with them.. which has been pushing through regulation and permitting for their DOE pilot project They’re subsidizing the fuck out of rare earths. MP is probably the most to benefit. LMT will probably rock their earnings with a double beat next week Quit fucking with dailies, lol. Just get some good stuff at a good price and keep building it into their catalysts. This week and next week are the time to buy. Buy the stocks that usually win on their earnings like SMCI and APLD. Hedge with oil calls and speculative puts. Data centers look like they want to puke another 20%. OKLO might get back down to their 20s. This is the week to buy. Don’t give up now

FuckleUp

All in defense swing calls RTX LMT PLTR

Agitated_Garbage9404

my 401k has 25 shares of LMT in it... just in case we implode.

Competitive-Elk9326

I figured the ‘safest’ hedge on Friday was LMT guess we’ll see

benkemper03

LMT might be it right now, they have brought in about 68 b in the past 30 days and won 39 awards all from government contracts according to tidings research

octopus4488

1/4 of my port of defense stocks. But no amount of war makes them go up. I made my peace with this fact by now. In 2030 there will be no LMT, NOC, HII... 100% of the Pentagon budget will be spent at Starbucks.

Gamer6322

calls or puts on LMT?

IndexFundPhil

yeah VTI is basically the whole US market in one ticker, so owning it means you already have LMT and NOC at their market cap weight. no extra work required. glad it was helpful!

Southern_Roll_7035

The difference is that dividends come from the earnings of the underlying company, whereas the stock price is determined by what another market participant is willing to pay for the stock at a given point in time. Dividends tend to give much more stable growth over the long term, and aren't subject to quick drawdowns due to negative market sentiment. I have no idea what the stock price of LMT is going to be in 15 years, but, given that they have been consistently raising their dividends \~5%/yr, I can make a good estimate that the dividend, currently $3.45/qtr, will be about $7. This is money I can build a long term financial plan around.

jcpopm

Well, the issue becomes that strategy is likely to be a loser for most tickers. Since 2022 for example the S&P has beaten LMT by 10%, and a lot of tickers are in a similar situation. Buying and holding growth stocks can make some sense, but these big defense primes and even the hyperscalers given their huge market caps are going to be hard to see the kind of percent gains that we historically have seen.

IndexFundPhil

LMT and NOC are solid companies but just a heads up — dividends aren't free money, the share price drops by the dividend amount on ex-div date. both of these are already in VTI at market cap weight, so a total market fund gives you the same exposure without the single-stock risk. worth considering if you're aiming for long-term

jcpopm

I snagged a bunch of LMT around 400 last July and rode it up with the war but didn't have the heart to ride it all the way back down and sold half of it near the top. I just feel like the way the market has been the last few years the traditional idea of a long-term buy and hold is kind of dying. Drawdowns in out of favor tickers have become so big now that holding something after it gets its time in the sun pretty much just guarantees no return over a longer timeframe. The companies are great, they will definitely be involved in the new space race, but the market would rather take a chip company with 12 employees up 6000% right now so buying anything near a 52-week low almost guarantees a new 52-week low.

terminator_dad

You would think LMT would have gone up at least a little

Bettermind

should we ladder calls on LMT or just short the news

mightyblend

Won’t LMT and RTX both pop if Ukraine gets to manufacture their own systems?

Viking999

LMT looks like a buy.  Endless bombing means even more replenishment.

Ill_Station_6165

LMT is going to print

grandfatherdog

Does high oil prices kill defense stocks? GE, RTX, LMT, BA, and HON all bled today.

Top-Composer-9585

LMT is insane rn

Own-Wolverine-5361

LMT calls free money

RagingBearBull

the US invades greenland, spending over 3bln a day trying to kill all the penguins. 3 ICBMs is needed to eliminate 1 penguin. Bullish on LMT

Ok_Lawfulness758

LMT Buy Ultra Maritime. Ultra Maritime submarine company. Big brain dolphins submarine apes. Dolphin so long and thanks for fish - go to moon. LMT go to moon?

dream_nobody

*Processing img j8yytotirebh1...* Does she look cool too? LMT.

JCJENSON_Pr_Dept_6

Calls on LMT

Living-Royal-1961

I stopped with my ROTH IRA when I decided to stay in the Army instead of get out. In three years I will get 50% of Lieutenant Colonel pay then any disability from three deployments to AFG and getting a Purple Heart. I buy a share of VOO a month then a share of LMT, PLTR, and NVDA. Then I also have 7500 shares of HUMA that are busting my balls right now. The science is great already have FDA approval but slow sales for the first product. Hopefully dialysis approval gets it moving back in the right direction. 

Expensive_Special120

Stocks on the rise: LMT

chiswis

LMT

dayvieee

Bought some last minute LMT calls while I was at Costco

Extreme-Camel2068

Is the war back on I have tons of LMT

Avid_Reader87

Keep holding LMT, CHPY and KEEL.  Maybe buy MSFT?

A_Flying_Narwhal

It’s just the beginning for satellites, imo. LMT just got a $35b contract for THAAD missiles, too. Added bonus is in timing units & sensors for robotics / autonomy. But maybe I’m just a regard

isomojo

After a partnership with LMT too…. But every time the stock goes up it dilutes…. However after research all speculative drone companies also dilute, so it’s not just ONDS. Even Amazon, Tesla, and NFLX diluted shares when they were growing. I’m thinking of buying more today.

Contango-withme

LMT order 🌽at $20k

Xzlk

World peace has been achieved apparently $LMT

A55BAG

LMT trading like we are all going to love each other and live in eternal tranquility forever forward.

VitoCorleone187Um

LMT

Civil_War4269

I think the key thing people miss in these SpaceX debates is that a lot of the drama is really about expectations, not just the underlying business. If you’re assuming perpetual cash burn and repeated overpromises, then the stock is basically a narrative trade rather than a fundamentals trade, and that’s a very different risk profile. That’s why I’d be careful about using adjacent defense names like Lockheed Martin as if they’re in the same bucket — Felix Prehn pointed out that counter-drone programs are only a tiny piece of a much larger LMT business, so the market impact is usually way smaller than the headlines make it seem. In other words, the real question is whether the market is paying for optionality or for execution. If you want, I can dig up the clip I’m referring to.

aspenextreme03

Would you all hold NOC or LMT. Have both but might sell one soon

South-UniversityUSA

Puts on world peace, calls on LMT.

Ok_Lawfulness758

Quick Ape DD: SPCX market cap @ $135 = $780B LMT market cap = $120B and includes a 50% ownership in ULA Highly conservative position: Figure a $10B capital injection into ULA would unlock 50% of SPCX value and that LMT has no residual value besides ULA. New ULA value = $390B, LMT share = $195B, minus initial investment of $10B = new market cap of $185B LMT + 50% imminent

aspenextreme03

Why this over LMT?

govitra

As a quick bonus to this, if you do a search of contract data on key terms and product categories for drone market, you see this: https://preview.redd.it/8vq8gly9dr6h1.png?width=1248&format=png&auto=webp&s=93e9500b1012de8cb2d5e1cd6378faa77e22aff4 This is a pretty generous swag too - included a bunch of stuff likely not specifically related to drones in here, but it includes things like UAS, C-UAS, UxS, etc. - this is for the hardware and munitions that companies like Aerovironment and AEVEX sell. Yes the market has gone 2x since 2022, but there's a ton of competition in there, with more than 50% eaten by LMT, RTX, NOC, and BA. so just be mindful of this fact - going all in on those two tickers could work, but if you want your lambo, might be good to pick a few more horses. Or don't, this is WSB. YOLO

mrjacketman0303

Calls on LMT

Samjabr

Iran bigly mad at SpaceX. Shouldn't they also be mad at LMT 🤡

Old_Guarantee_1115

Been following some of these defense names for while now and this data is pretty solid. LDOS especially caught my attention since those congressional selling patterns stopping is usually good indicator something brewing. The timing with all these contracts dropping June 8th definitely not coincidence. One thing I learned from tracking defense stocks is that mid cap ones like these tend to have more volatile moves when contracts hit compared to the big boys. Your backtesting confirms what I've seen - LMT and RTX barely move anymore on contract news since everyone expects them to win everything anyway. But these smaller players can really pop when they land something significant. PSN looks interesting even without the political buying signals - that T+90 performance in your data is pretty compelling. BWXT worries me bit though with that low hit rate on longer timeframe, might be more of quick swing play. Defense sector overall has been getting lot of tailwinds lately so timing seems right for this kind of strategy.

FatFluffyFish

Did you know, that the US is capable of hiding giant slow tankers from enemies’ view? Calls on LMT, TXN, BA, and whatever weapons manufacturer

nivek_123k

Indexes seeing 2%-4% daily moves is showing lack of confidence. Frothy. The run-up over past year is totally unfounded, makes no sense, and can't fathom continued upward movement. I figure markets flounder in this +/-10% range for a bit. I'm still near 60% in t-bills, bonds, and dividend aristocrats. My option exposure is fairly light, I take exit opportunities and not interested in entrants to most overpriced equities. Though VIX/SKEW is putting my head on a swivel for opportunity. Have set some alerts for a small set of equities, but these are so far below current prices as to be a pipe dream... they are what I would be willing to pay, and the market will have to come to me. My greek ratio is currently 1:2.5 with a moderately low extrinsic value. I consider this neutral. Though small, the positions have seen too much fluctuations and will have to be managed soon. Several expire next week, so have bit of work to do. Positions that are getting the onions; LMT, UNH, BA. Love to see SPX under 6000, probably pipe dream.

Key_Lifeguard_8659

I'm no expert, but trump et al bought tech between February and Apr if this year... just as similar corrections were taking place... many exceeded 20% downturns. It might be he will be dumping his tech and buying what's currently undergoing significant pullbacks, e.g., equities in the defense sector (RTX, NOC, and LMT... and many big name utilities like NEE, CEG, BWXT, and GEV are also down quite a bit. He may pump and dump those sectors next. They would be easy to pump, stressing how petroleum has become a political weapon and that renewable energies are the way forward, etc. He'll pump defense by pressuring allies to go shopping at Defense R' Us or suffer putin's and Xis wrath. He also pressuring US auto manufacturers to begin retooling their assembly lines to take the burden off the prime defense names, who are already backlogged for years to come. Defense will be huge under trump.

Extreme-Camel2068

This is actually like 20% of my portfolio at the moment… LMT, KMB, PG….

aka_crashoverride

Whelp, LMT and toilet paper.

EveryNewspaper2287

Why not LMT

dailysandbox

Defense contractors are probably lighting up right now. LMT, RTX, NOC, BA defense division. When geopolitical stuff escalates this fast, the big money rotates into defense names within minutes and you get these violent sector moves. I keep my own momentum scanner running during market hours specifically for stuff like this. It catches the institutional flow in real time when sectors suddenly become hot. Usually see the volume surge hit these names before the news even gets priced in fully. Also watch for the flip side. Growth tech and anything risk-on tends to get dumped hard on escalation news. Could be some nice short setups if this gets worse.

alreadysharpened

LMT

marciwhoedits

LMT for a year

Beginning-Fig-9089

Lockheed Martin $LMT unveils AI powered Self-Defense Cannons, scheduled for production in 2029.

Spac55

$QQQ $SPY time to load positive cash flow Blueorgin rocket and SpaceX rocket, all depend on government contracts like $PLTR $LMT $NOC $GD etc He elect DJT, new administration might cancel lot of SpaceX contracts

Spac55

$QQQ $SPY time to load positive cash flow Blueorgin rocket and SpaceX rocket, all depend on government contracts like $PLTR $LMT $NOC $GD etc He elect DJT, new administration might cancel lot of SpaceX contracts

Spac55

$QQQ $SPY time to load positive cash flow Blueorgin rocket and SpaceX rocket, all depend on government contracts like $PLTR $LMT $NOC $GD etc He elect DJT, new administration might cancel lot of SpaceX contracts

Spac55

Blueorgin rocket and SpaceX rocket, all depend on government contracts like $PLTR $LMT $NOC $GD etc

Ffigy

LMT, missiles go brrrr

buried_lede

I don’t have to read the news about trump’s war anymore. Just open my portfolio, if XLE, LMT, WMT are all near the top, together, the latest fake cease fire has fallen apart 

Xzlk

Somebody fucking explain to me how LMT & RTX mooned on last weeks news of the Iran war potentially being over and then crash today on the news that it’s not.

A55BAG

Interesting, I think rotation back to defense LMT,RTX and energy CVX, XOM will come soon. Both are way cheaper now than before the war and things are generally going well for them.

redbluepurple50

LMT

sumbo6

LPTH is an amazing company and probably going to be triple digits in a year or two. DD is spot on and in addition will be rerated heavily if LMT wins the NGSRI award as they are attached to LMT. Plus drone funding directly impacts multiple LPTH customers. Also for all you regards when a stock hits new highs it has momentum and keeps going when catalysts keep showing up. $30+ incoming by 4th quarter.

namtab00

AON FOK LMT IOC study up

Acceptable_Ad1685

Idk since I opened my Roth IRA I’ve always held some Nvidia, Intel, and AMD And some defense stocks like Raytheon and LMT Along with a couple EFTs I’m considering selling though for once but idk what I’d replace them with

Intelligent-Log191

That wasn't one bad pick, it was ticker roulette with margin. AMD -> AMZN/INTC -> LMT/FIG -> RDDT -> uranium -> NOW all-in is not a portfolio, it's revenge trading in a trench coat. Next trade needs a max loss and an invalidation before you click buy, or the family finds out eventually.

wampum

I’m not really sure, I was just feeling lucky. I think it’s a combination of things, including the prospect of an Iranian peace deal, inflation meeting expectation, and a rotation away from the defense industry primes (LMT, RTX, NOC, etc) into smaller players, more focused on modern battlefield tech, like drones and cheaper things like the jet ski bombs. A lot of my high risk picks with nice hype and not nice financials were green today. So who knows?

BlacklistFC7

I want to follow too. Guess I need to pick up LMT and DJT

GuyFieriFrostedTips

LMT. I want some more juice before I sell these June calls. Get in there. Sell some missiles. Let’s go.

HammerAndSickleBot

Look, 47 promised to get us back to where we started in 1-3 years. What more you do you people want? Now we need to get him a third term to give him a chance to give us $4.50 gas again and to get LMT to $700. It's only fair.

ShellfishJelloFarts

!p LMT

djheat

Yeah that's what I mean, look at the 5 years on LMT, GD, RTX, (not BA)

winston511

Bro I cut LMT down 20% on shares shit just continues to slide during war time

pittsmasterplan

LMT working wonders

Jaded_Drink8872

bullish on LMT

BladeFireQ

I'm waiting for NOC and LMT to fall more, I been looking at the past and they seem to follow the same trend, they go absolutely crazy and then they fall like 40%, we are now into that -40% stage but I do believe that they can fall a little bit more, but if you are a long time Investor and you want to hold the company for +5y this price is insane, their numbers are really good they have one of the biggest moats on the world and it's that USA can't let them go, so even if their prices go absolutely nuts they can't say shit more that buy, so yeah I'm bulling on the stock even if there is peace

banksy_h8r

> I was like "how do you even get a return on bombs?" LMT and NOC

EmergencyFair6786

War stocks have been my worst performers. I bought when Biden was elected. Figuring that the only concession Republicans would make to pass bills would be ever expanding MIC, and Raytheon is my best performer, in six years, at about 140%. LMT is only 43%. 

iamwhiskerbiscuit

Technically... It's looking like a good setup. We saw a long consolidation phase at the 320 SMA on the daily chart. And confirmed support there. On Friday, it managed to clear the 200 SMA and 21 EMA closed above both before the bell. Which is bullish. Above that level... There is no technical resistance until the 50 SMA which is about $40 above the current price. So this has got a lot of room to run. However it's equally far away from the 320 support line, and we could definitely see it fall back to that level. Fake breakouts are a common thing and you generally want to confirm the breakout. Which means giving it another day or two to close strong above the 200. Which means losing out if you're right. But preventing a loss if you're wrong. Because it could fall back to the 320 SMA again. Think of it like buying insurance for your trade. Will it help with this trade? Maybe, maybe not. But it will help you from incurring large losses if you incorporate it into your trading strategy. What i don't like from the breakout was lack of volume. Understandable, because it was just before a holiday. But the lack of volume doesn't give me a ton of conviction in the breakout either. I want to see volume really pick up on Tuesday for me to be confident in this trade. Fundamentally, investors have been selling off shares due to execution challenges, stagnant growth, and shrinking cash reserves.However, Aerospace manufacturing is booming right now. A LMT location in my state just added on a night shift and is hiring machinists, and as a machinists, everyone in this industry has seen an explosion of work this year. So I'm confident they will be releasing better than usual quarterly returns in late July. So yes, this does look like a good setup. I like it on a fundamental and technical level.

Specialist_Exam_8433

It's 2/3rd Lockheed valuation when RKLB doing 200 million a quarter in a field with no clear path to profitability except telecom (space) vs LMT 20 billion a quarter in a growing field (defense) lmao. But even if it does go down it's just going to go right back up tbh. Scam stock like TSLA.

Odd_Papaya8305

Will defense stocks like LMT fall now that the war is over

ithastogoupfromhere

bought the LMT dip

xixihaha456

Buying here probably requires a long time horizon. LMT doesn’t look like the kind of stock that suddenly doubles overnight.

krispyseaweed

I second defense like LMT because there are geopolitical tension going on and these world leaders cant stand but do something offensive for their own country. USA will be the world leader once again selling weapons to both sides.

Scary-Bobcat-9444

Creative Financial Designs Inc. ADV Has $2.13 Million Holdings in Lockheed Martin Corporation $LMT+New Lockheed Martin Facility to Support America's Arsenal of Freedom, Accelerated Production of THAAD Interceptors I've finally abandoned my last shred of liberal principles and started buying arms stocks. Indeed, liberalism belongs only to the wealthy and the healthy.

h3xasaurus

the 5Y chart is mostly a story about the 2022 spike and the recent geopolitical bid, not really evidence of 'always thriving.' (also the US has been continuously engaged in some form of military operation for basically the entire modern history of LMT.) Annualized it's underperformed the S&P. If you want to evaluate LMT specifically, look at forward earnings vs. peers, the F-35 program outlook, and free cash flow. the chart won't tell you whether $523 is a good entry.

ProofByVerbosity

LMT has always been a long play, and I believe they have a small dividend as well. I don't think you'd see eye-watering gains, and defence stocks had their run up when war broke out, but those fat juicy government contracts aren't going anywhere and U.S. will always spend more on their military, so I wouldn't be worried holding it. I flip some from time to time

znightmaree

LMT, NOC, and RTX are all good buys here in my opinion.

i_empathetic

Iran could've had nukes at pretty much any time the last 10-15 years, they decided not to. They had a leader who was essentially the Pope of all Shia muslims who issued a religious order that said making a nuclear weapon was not allowed. They had Uranium ~60% enriched. It's easier to go from 60% to 90% than it is to go from 1% to 10%. They already did the hardest part of enrichment, it gets exponentially easier the further down the curve you are. They purposefully did not go further. Then the orange tard shredded the diplomatic nuclear oversight deal Obama made and killed the anti-nuke leader and a bunch of his family. Iran now has way, way more motivation and reason to finish that process than ever. There's a reason why we don't fuck with North Korea. Iran will want that deterrence going forward. They never needed a special engineer to do it, they were holding off on purpose at the behest of their now-dead supreme leader. Woops. Long LMT, RXT, GD.

Happy-Control5922

fwiw the cleaner expression is the peace-dividend basket not RKT. defense (LMT/RTX) gets hit, oil unwinds, yields keep softening, all more direct than rate-sensitive financials. polymarkets june 30 deal tenor was the value spot a couple weeks ago, already ripping

JoelD88W

defense stocks honestly... everyone's been calling them overextended for like 18 months and they just keep grinding up. RTX, LMT, even some of the smaller primes. feels stupid to short anything with a government contract right now. could absolutely be wrong tho — i thought semis looked stretched in 2023 and we all know how that went lol

version-two

RDW is like a picks and shovels play for space. Think hardware and tech for someone like SpaceX, NASA, LMT?, etc. aerospace. I’m not going to pretend I’m an expert on the ticker though. I’m not a big fan of mgmt, but I do think they are positioned to succeed and with some better decision making down the road, they can grow with the rest of the sector. They make solar arrays, sensors, low/zero-gravity engineering tools and stuff I believe. Higher risk/reward I reckon, but probably worth taking a look at in the space.

Odd_Papaya8305

LMT looking sus

RampageRonaldo

LMT short