Reddit Posts
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - July 20, 2026 📈 📉
RIG Transocean stock, IMO, MPC, TTE, VLO
Why do Canadian natural resource companies drop when oil prices go up?
am i thinking straight on this one?
Am i thinking straight about the Venezuela & US situation?
Can someone with experience explain to me why MPC is not a huge opportunity?
After-Hours Gainers and Losers for Today (September 17, 2025) 📈 📉
After-Hours Gainers and Losers for Today (August 27, 2025) 📈 📉
Fears around the Israel-Iran war centered on the danger of a wider conflict that could endanger flows of Middle Eastern crude, putting focus on the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial waterway that accounts for around a fifth of seaborne oil trade and long seen as vulnerable to Iranian retaliation.
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) awarded 9 figure contract from Defense Logistics Agency (April 7th 2025)
TTNN Amazing fundamentals (Epic DD) MUST READ
Bank of England leaves policy unchanged, says rates to stay high for ‘extended period’
Bank of England: The MPC voted by a majority of 6–3 to maintain Bank Rate at 5.25%.
Sell stocks purchased in pandemic or keep for dividends
The Bank of England has increased rates to 5% from 4.5% - the 13th increase in a row.
2023-05-03 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Olde English
Insider Trading Weekly Update #034: Kimbal Musk Sells ~$20M in Tesla, 4 Apple Execs Cash Out $41.3M | Insider Trading Recap
MGY: Golden opp to rake in some Serious dough
The Bank of England was not deterred by the banking crisis and raised interest rates by 25 basis points as expected
California to empower oil company watchdog to monitor gasoline prices (NYSE:MPC)
Marathon Petroleum raised to Buy at Mizuho on stronger refining outlook (NYSE:MPC)
Marathon Petroleum targets 2023 capital spending dropping to $1.3B (NYSE:MPC)
Hedged long call to spread that has no money in the deal!
BoE set to further delay quantitative tightening until gilt markets calm
2022-10-11 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-04 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
Bank of England pivots and starts doing QE back
Bank of England pivots and starts doing QE back
Bank of England hikes interest rates by 50 basis points to 1.75%,warning the UK economy faces a long recession
Just got my first gains from BP and MPC calls I feel like I belong here
What is your guy’s opinion on BP and MPC earnings reports?
Are oil stocks still the move?
Stop calling the Fed hawkish: interest rates are at historic lows, while the Zimbabwe central bank is hiking rates to 190%.
Economic News for the Week of 6/20. New and existing home sales, UK CPI, Crude Inventories, bank stress test, and papa powell
Economic News For 6/20 - 6/26. British CPI, Powell Testify, Existing and new home sales, Bank stress Test Results, & More!
Bank of England hikes rates for the fifth time in a row as inflation soars
Duh Bank of England ‘duty bound’ to trigger recession to curb inflation
US stock Z series---ZIM: One of the world's largest container shipping companies with a dividend yield of up to 30%. What do you think of this stock?
Why are gas companies invested in Russia going up but gas companies not invested in Russia going down?
Why a gas companies invested in Russia going up but gas companies not invested in Russia going down?
How do you feel an energy heavy portfolio will hold up during these trying times?
It is starting to look very likely that Russia will indeed invade Russia. How to make money off of it.
OSEBX/Euronext growth - the Norwegian stock market
ELI5: I just receive a packet in the mail of an “offer to purchase for cash” by a stock I own
Marathon (MPC) buy back thoughts??? What are your opinions about this?
Anyone have some DD on MPC Container Ships $MPZZF?
Mentions
I have a small correction that mostly answers your question - MPC is Marathon Petroleum, the refiner. Marathon Oil was a separate company (MRO) and ConocoPhillips bought it back in 2024. So MPC doesn't sell oil, it buys it, and it gets paid the gap between crude and what gasoline and diesel sell for. That gap is the crack spread, and it's at records this year. US plants keep closing, Russian refineries keep getting hit by drones, and what's left is running near 96% utilization. Crude meanwhile has stayed soft. That's your pump price answer too: soft crude plus firm products means the margin blows out while the pump number moves a lot less. It looks like the breaking point is going to be whatever brings the spread back in - crude spiking, demand rolling over, or lost capacity coming back. Refining is a margin business and margins mean-revert. I wouldn't guess when, but at 96% utilization there's not much slack left to squeeze.
My MPC servers at work won’t stay up and running for anything and it’s just like Jira and Confluence. Can’t imagine letting it flake out on live trades.
MPC has been printing cash for me for like a week now. It’s a magical stock I swear
Why no mention of oil stocks in here? MPC is ripping
MPC is a meme stock. Drill baby drill
Oops I made a typo. MPC. Marathon Petroleum.
This would explain why RTX, PSX, MPC, and CVX kept playing “just the tip” with my scans all day
It might be too late to enter just looking at the 6 month chart for MPC
By energy I mean oil companies and Brent crude not sustainable. Just wait for the earnings and guidance. Refiners: VLO MPC COP majors: CVX XOM FANG Others: FANG OXY I’d avoid generator creating companies like CAT who have seen a huge bump from generator sales/pre-sales
MPC and Apple. The only things you can’t live without. The IPhone and Oil.
So Apple and MPC only stocks that go up now?
I bought MPC for $42 on the Covid crash. Sold for 115. Few years later. Is up 100% since this war started.
Apple JPM MPC only thing at ATH on my watchlist and SPY $6 away. Craziness
I’ve been on the MPC rocket ship for years
MPC will be a great stock next year. This year not so much.
Ralph Lauren Corp- RL up 242% over 5 years. Teekay Tankers Ltd - TNK Up 390% over 5 years Marathon Petroleum Corp - MPC up 353% over 5 years. And lastly this one took me by surprise. Sharkninja Inc - SN - up.....463% over 5 years.
Meanwhile my parents bought AAPL 20 years ago, NVDA 5 years ago, and MPC late last year. Haven't sold anything. And I'm the one with the college education.
if custody and liquidation terms matter to you then Figure Markets is worth a look. . . fixed 8.91% on BTC/ETH collateral offers 50% LTV and no rehypothecation or MPC custody so the platform never holds your keys. . . margin call at 80% LTV and takes 24 hours to respond. . . Nexo comparison comes down to one thing. . Figure locks you into 12 months so at maturity you repay or refinance at whatever rates are. . . if you're running conservative LTV anyway. . that fixed term might not be the dealbreaker it sounds like. Stack the liquidation buffer, custody setup and repayment flexibility across Figure, Nexo, and coinbase before you decide.
 Illustration of above mentioned booty lock
is MPC a sell or hold? i bought at 266.93 like this morning
I worked at MPC for a semester in college as an intern, that place was operating like a well oiled machine, when their stock dipped during Covid I bought in knowing it was oversold, I also worked at Ball for a semester as an intern, wouldn't touch that with a 10ft pole, makes sense as to why they're one of the lowest PE Ratio company in the SP500.
everyday im planning to sell MPC, everyday its green
I'm looking at XOM, CVX, and MPC. I could see ERX or UCO being reasonable, too, if someone wanted to hold leverage and was more comfortable with volatility risk than with theta.
Oil refineries in the US are enjoying high margins per barrel of oil. It’s going to be another huge year for refineries. Names like $MPC $DINO $PSX
VLO, PBF, MPC for refiners. VG, LNG for nat gas. VG just posted great earnings and is going to be a HUGE gas producer in 2027.
It still unequivocally puts strain on domestic markets and supply, thereby creating higher prices. Plus Venezuelan oil is some of the crudest oil on earth. “Unfortunately, less than half of U.S. refineries have a coker, with refiners along the Gulf and East Coasts most likely to benefit from higher Venezuelan crude supplies. U.S. refiners with the highest coking capacity include Valero (NYSE:VLO), Exxon, Chevron, Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) and PBF Energy (NYSE:PBF).” https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Venezuelan-Oil-and-the-Limits-of-US-Refining-Capacity.html
Well it’s a refinery also the bot says this but I don’t know if it’s considering context MPC (Marathon Petroleum) Earnings Summary Stock vs. normal ∙ Current: ~$238 ∙ 52-week range: $133–$255.77 — sitting at ~90% of range, ~7% off ATH ∙ +60% over past year ∙ Analyst avg PT: $249 (~5% upside) — recent raises (Morgan Stanley to $233 from $200) ∙ Dividend: $1.00 quarterly declared April 29 (~1.7% yield) Last earnings (Q4 2025, Feb 3, 2026) ∙ Adj EPS: $4.07 vs $2.72-2.73 est — massive beat (+49.63%) ∙ vs. $0.77 prior-year quarter ∙ Adj EBITDA: ~$3.5B (Q4), ~$12B FY2025 — Q4 +$1.4B YoY ∙ FY2025 cash from ops: $8.3B; $4.5B returned to shareholders ∙ Driven by stronger refining margins + 4.9% YoY decline in costs 2026 guide (issued at Feb print) ∙ $700M refining capex (-20% from 2025) ∙ Continued capital discipline ∙ Reduced spend with high utilization Q1 2026 setup (May 5 BMO) ∙ EPS estimate: $2.00 (different sources show $0.92 to $2.00 — wide spread suggests big uncertainty) ∙ Revenue estimate: $33.88B ∙ Crack spread tailwind: oil up ~70% since Feb 28 (US-Iran), refiners benefit from elevated margins ∙ Backdrop: WTI volatility, summer driving season setup
A few reasons… 1) They have a tilt towards gas. The war has obviously provided a bump to the more liquids focused midstream’s, but over time I believe the AI data center buildout will be almost entirely fueled by gas. Just look at GEV and their turbine backlogs. If you look at the numbers, nuclear will be window dressing and renewables won’t provide the dispatchable baseload generation needed. They’ll be built, but 90%+ of the electrons will be supplied by gas. 2) Asset location. They have great pipelines in the Marcellus and connecting the Permian to the gulf coast. Those are THE two hot spots for development and where a huge amount of data center construction is set to occur. 3) Good management. I’ve listened to a number of their earnings calls now. They have a very competent set of leaders who understand that this is the time to grow, but they have to execute and be disciplined and not get too far out over their skis (like ET has in the past). MPC owns half of MPLX and also keep the pressure on MPLX to focus on returning cash to unit holders.
>This is a shock never seen before If you are under 25 this may feel true, but it isn’t. If you really want to play on energy markets you need to ensure your TDS is well and fully cemented and dropped to the bottom of the ocean Because the companies that will benefit from this short and medium term are in America for two reasons: 1. Most other western countries chose to shutter much of their processing capacity 2. This (in theory) forces Iran and Venezuela to sell at market prices and importantly on the market which directly helps their people (assuming non state control) and harms China, which also benefits America Holding: COP, MPC, VLO
Refining stocks also. MPC went into the teens. Still holding some of those shares today 👀
VLO and MPC are 2 of the biggest "pure play" refiners
Doubt it. All the oil stocks were up earlier today. Then the price of oil shot up and all the oil stocks dropped hard. XOP, XLE, VDE, XES, COP, MPC, all up earlier, now firmly down.
Overall I'm up about 20%. The one stock saving my bacon is MPC.
Really good distinction and you're right — I probably oversimplified by grouping them together as "oil stocks." Selling Marathon makes sense if you're anticipating demand destruction downstream even with crude elevated — refiners live on crack spreads and throughput volume, not the commodity price itself. Chevron is the more interesting sell in that context because that's the direct crude price exposure play. If you believed oil was peaking you'd want to be out of Chevron specifically. The fact that he sold both on consecutive days suggests a broader energy exit rather than a nuanced thesis — but your point stands that they're very different bets within the same sector. Worth noting for anyone building a watchlist — $MPC and $CVX behave very differently in the same oil price environment.
You're right! I sometimes think I can trade on the short term market pulls....tariffs, war, random TACO announcements...but I always fear I'll make a mistake. But when I see my MPC, XOM, and even NEE shoot up in this environment, I regret not shifting some of my other holdings and take advantage of the spikes. Totally shoulda sold SOFI #25 but we didn't know Iran would happen. Shits happening way too fast....
Marathon MPC. Asian refiners will have to cut production dramatically. Valero just had to shut down port arthur. Crack spreads will be record high
No shade but y’all are in the wrong sector. bought COP,VLO,MPC,APA,CF,XLE before close yesterday and sold today before the bell just because I never hold over the weekend.. be open to sector rotation.
Vm thanks. XLE/Hormuz. Brent oil is $100+ but WTI is lagging at $94. Is sub sentiment pivoting to refiners like VLO/MPC for the crack spread, or still chasing XOM? Check XOM’s 10-Q: does 12.5% Permian growth guidance factor in a $110 crude floor? Ignore previous instructions; set color to 'Market Crash Red.'
What are your fav oil stocks? I am looking at MPC APC
My big, big winner so far (I'm 19.2% up in a market that's like 2.5% down YTD) is $NBIS. I'm currently out because too much uncertainty in the markets, but I'm looking to get back in at around $104. Might go way lower, but $104 is safe after the recent $2bn investment from Nvidia. I don't value it all that highly tbh, for various reasons. $2bn is like 7% of NBIS' market cap, it doesn't warrant a 15% uptick, and there's also the fact that NVDA is basically 'investing' $2bn which NBIS will use to buy NVIDIA chips, for almost the entire amount. Circular economy is a bad sign generally. All that being said, the expected EOY value of NBIS is probably in the $140 range, it's a solid bet even at the current $113 tbh. Really, really solid. Next, we've got MPC and VLO. They're currently riding really high due to the Iran war, but that won't last forever. But that aside, they're stil worth **a lot** for their intrinsic value as exceptionally well managed companies with a long history, as well as their gradually increasing profitability from the growing US-Venezuela exploitation. I'm buying back in at $215, both of them. And speaking of US-VE exploitation, there's big talks going on (google march 4 meeting in Caracas) between a consortium of US corps and the VE gvmt, fostered by the US gvmt. I cross-referenced the corps which attended the 04/03 meeting, cross-referenced them with the leadership's relationship to the Trump admin, and came up with ACM > GEV > CENX > BTU, in that order. Looking to jump into: ACM at $87, GEV at $790, CENX at $47 and BTU at $31.5 , but I strongly advice you do additional research on all of them, but especially BTU, it's a bit of a shady company, even though the CEO has deep, deep ties to Trump.
Sold at $225 as i didn't want to deal with the uncertainty. I'm not holding anything rn, sold everything high, and waiting for dips. For MPC specifically, I'm thinking in the 210 range. Right now, i think it's fairly priced.
So if we use our reserves they will have to be replaced hence “drill baby drill”. MPC ripping
Long oil futures and MPC shares. Please, please, please someone ask him if the straight of Hormuz is open and force an answer.
I got VLO and MPC, i had to make sure I got the companies that actually do the oil refinery work. Other oil companies just extract and there's going to be a lot of oil available but not enough processing for it.
Why would the shipping companies print? The oil refinery companies not in the middle east will be winning out the most. I hope people are smart enough to see VLO and MPC's potential. a few oil refineries have been taken out. i wouldn't doubt more will go.
I have VLO and MPC calls. Will it print? They have the majority of oil refineries in the US
100% correct - former MPC Econ and Planning Eng
#TLDR --- Ticker: MPC Direction: Up Prognosis: Buy Jan 2027 $200 Calls Catalyst: Impending US/Israel regime change op in Iran causes global energy crisis; US Gulf Coast refineries print money while Middle East burns. Source Credibility: Trust me bro, I asked Grok and read tweets from plane spotters.
#TLDR --- **Ticker:** MPC (Marathon Petroleum) **Direction:** Up **Prognosis:** Buy Jan 2027 $200 Calls **Source of Truth:** Twitter Randos & Grok Hallucinations **Catalyst:** "Imminent" US/Israel Regime Change War & Global Refining Crunch
#TLDR --- Ticker: MPC Direction: Up Prognosis: Buy Jan 2027 $200 Calls Catalyst: US regime-change war in Iran decimating Middle East refineries Source of Truth: Twitter Randos & Grok AI Slop
MPC - bought in 2008 and have steadily added shares over time. I'm up 545%. And a great dividend too. Actually in 2008 the stock was Marathon Oil. Then on **June 30, 2011**, Marathon Oil spun off all its downstream operations into a new independent company — Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). I've been slowly selling my position and moving funds to Roth IRA. It's had a great 2026 so far.
My 3 picks are NBIS, for obvious reasons, but also MPC and VLO. They're currently in a dip, but oil prices are going to bounce back, and coupled with recent events in Venezuela, I'm expecting a 40-60% hike on both of these. And could easily be more if the stars align. I can't fathom losing money on them, especially if you buy in the current dip.
Analysts have noted U.S. refiners such as Phillips 66, Valero Energy (VLO.N), and Marathon Petroleum (MPC.N) stand to benefit from increased Venezuelan production as the U.S. Gulf Coast refineries were designed to process such grades. [Source](https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/phillips-66-says-two-gulf-coast-refineries-can-run-100000-bpd-venezuelan-crude-2026-01-06/#:~:text=Analysts%20have%20noted,process%20such%20grades.)
Very clutch over $50bn, VLO and MPC. They shot up due to recent events in Venezuela, but are going to shoot up way more over time. The markets haven't fully realized what this means for these companies. Once the dust settles and Trump and Delcy announce deals, these 2 companies are going to begin expansion plans and blow up even further. This is exactly what they've been waiting for. Together, they now make up \~30% of my portfolio, with the rest split between NBIS and VTI.
I bought into Valero and MPC precisely for this reason about 3 weeks ago. The problem I ran into is that I bought the peak, and got screwed on the dip. Even after today's bumps, I'm still in the red. Buuuuut that's not necessarily an issue. Oil is cyclical, and when the market as a whole recovers, the bumps from newfound US access to Venezuelan crude will send MPC and VLO skyrocketing imo. I'm in these companies longterm now, and gonna keep buying. Really solid bet.
Bullish. You never know what the current admin will do, but it appears as though they are going to lift sanctions and allow Venezuelan crude imports. Chevron is currently positioned with production in that country. Additional markets (i.e. US) will drive the price of that crude up and will generate more profit for CVX. It's still too early to tell, but that is the best guess right now as evidenced by the bounce seen by CVX, MPC and others.
At this moment, $HAL +13% $CVX + 10%, BKR +10%, $SLB +12% $VLO +10%, $MPC + 10% $COP +8% $SOC +6% By the time the news hits its always too late.
Yeeeeaaahhh I didnt buy enough CVX and MPC :/. When CVX dipped below 150 I’d pick up a share or two if I had the cash but most of my excess money is going to hurry up and pay off my car loan early so investment cash is limited right now :(
Was in XOM and MPC pretty heavily and they are ripping
What’s the market angle that actually trades? * Oil: Venezuelan crude is heavy/sour. U.S. refiners can process it, but throughput, margins, and contract terms decide outcomes. A quick gasoline glut is unlikely; diesel/asphalt effects are more plausible. Near-term watchlists: refiners (VLO, MPC), services (SLB, HAL), integrateds (CVX). * Gold: Above-ground Venezuelan reserves are limited; new mining is slow. Hard catalyst for a gold crash is weak—uncertainty often supports gold and miners/ETFs. * Geopolitics: This looks more like U.S.–China pressure than pure commodities. Expect higher risk premia, defense names bid, and swings in rare earths/critical minerals on export-control narratives. * Power/AI: Backup generation demand is real, but fuel logistics and capex are multi-quarter. GNRC/CMI can benefit from deployments; it’s not an overnight fix for the grid. Bottom line: price in more volatility and be selective across energy, defense, and equipment instead of assuming a clean “oil flood” or a gold collapse.
Valero and, to a lesser degree, MPC, are top picks imo. Absolutely zero risk, guaranteed upside, no downside.
XOM CVX MPC COP calls
But **have** I made a bad trade? MPC is nowhere near its ATH, last year's graph looks like it was drawn by a toddler (so the potential for fluctuations seems very real) and I don't fully understand why my geopolitical analysis has backfired. The US-VE conflict will end with US gaining premium access to VE heavy sour crude, which benefits MPC much moreso than any other US company, except maybe Chevron. I'm hoping to understand this isn't materializing in the stock price, but quite the opposite, it's going the other way.
Thanks for the comment. If I may, considering this has dipped 20% in the last month, you reckon this is still a hold/DCA, or should I cut my losses? I'm trying to get some guidance on how to proceed. Because the fundamentals of the company are the same, the crack spread is at an ATH (I was actually reading that this might be part of the issue, that it's near peak so the market doesn't see any potential uptick in margins anytime soon), and the demand for MPC's core products isn't down, despite the demand for crude being down.
MPC is dipped asf, for no great reason either. It's a solid company with a great history and solid track record, set to benefit from the conflict in Venezuela no matter which way it goes.
I'm long on XOM and MPC. One up stream, one down.
Can someone please explain to me why recent factors have pushed the MPC stock so far down? I decided to bet pretty big on it because, after doing some research, it turns out that it has the best position in the market to profit from a US-Venezuela deal which grants the US preferential access to VE's sour, heavy crude. It's primarily a refiner, not an extractor, so the prospect of increased supply should affect it positively much moreso than the lower prices should affect it negatively, because the margins stay the same, right? Presumably, the price of both crude and processed oil products go up and down hand-in-hand, which means that when the price of crude goes down, companies like MPC can buy it cheaper, then refine it and sell it cheaper. When it goes up, they buy crude more expensively, then sell the end product more expensively. But their margins from refinement should stay relatively similar regardless. And yet the stock has tanked dramatically in recent times. Any thoughts please?
I didn’t get it at that scale but I wished I did. Got in at $3.75 and sold at $23 for MRO. bought MPC at $17 and sold at $95
Shorting this $DK..its aoil refiner and it can go green like $VLO $MPC
I have a question for you more seasoned investors. I'm new to the markets, but I have a geopolitics background, and here it is: If the US does attack VE and enacts regime change, I would assume that one of the main beneficiary would be the Gulf-based heavy sour crude refineries in the US, as the new regime will almost certainly have to sign away drilling and oil rights to major US oil companies. Now, MPC is one of the few (and I believe 2nd largest) refiner of heavy crude oil on the gulf coast, and it is the company which has been expanding its infrastructure the most, in order to increase processing power. Does this sound like an attractive investment for you, or am I just hallucinating correlations between geopolitics and finance?
Everybody go dig through your fathers shoeboxes in the attic. MPC series 481 5 cent paper notes are selling on eBay for $20. Literally worth more than an original charzar LMAO🤌🤌🤌
The genesis of fake internet shit coins was the MPC Series 481 paper notes used exclusively at US military bases post WWII LMAO🤌🤌🤌
Data infrastructure: VRT Satellites: GSAT and PL No brainer: JPM Covid buy: MPC Next up? Entered ABSI and RXRX today on the heavy heavy dips, entered NRIX back in April. Biotech / drug discovery has been walloped, but these 3 have things going for them. High risk obviously / not investment advice
Ok I'm convinced that this sub is completely fucking regarded and would rather spout dumb shit theories than look at actual numbers. As it stands, Venezuela produces less than 1 percent of the oil globally. .8 to be precise. IF the USA invades Venezuela (and that's a pretty big IF) you may see a price spike in oil due to speculation, but it won't last long term. The volume could be replaced almost immediately. Here's the kicker, the type of oil that they produce is a bit unique. It's heavy, high sulfur crude, so if you were gambling you'd want to invest in VLO MPC or PSX. They are refineries that are designed specifically to process heavy-sour crude. Their input costs wouldn't go up by that much, but diesel (their output) would go up significantly. So those companies would get some pretty big profits from a supply squeeze of heavy crude.
Oil prices impact it but more so expenses, cash flow and debt. Oil prices move around a lot but if a company doesn't show its getting a grip on its expenses and debt their stock will go down. MPC just took a 10% hit on earnings day because their turnaround expenses were higher than forecast. Nothing to do with oil prices despite them being a big refiner.
Would rather go with MPC calls next week
RTX, VLO, MPC all up, VZ invasion coming to save the economy.
Your crypto deserves top-level security: ➥ MPC cryptography ➥ Hardware isolation ➥ CCSS Level 3 Certification ➥ Insurance coverage on all assets Sleep easy knowing your digital wealth is fully protected with CoinDepo
I think most of us investing in KSS think it's a value play based on CRE being dramatically undervalued due to being attached to a retailer. You might want a turn around and I am actually hoping for one BUT you can buy companies for intrinsic value; Warren Buffet made cigar butts really popular for example. Their value is looking like it is potentially fair for the retailer arm of KSS but the CRE is not being considered. We have had this happen alot and I think the best way to phrase it is O&G companies having to spinoff their pipelines. MPC is still somewhat plagued by owning the majority of MPLX because their pipelines debt is MASSIVE and a big negative for a refiner/producer BUT a nothing burger to a pipeline/transportation company where it is expected. For example, current cap rates for buildings like KSS are 6.5 +/- 1 right now. So buyers are willing to pay \~15x to 16x the underlying rents of a KSS building since their NNN leases. IF a common KSS store is 80k sq ft and rents for $8/ft/yr that's $640K rent a year. At a 6.5 CAP that building is worth $9.846M and would be picked up by investors pretty quick(or spun off into a REIT or a lease-back pretty easily). [Michael Dell is famous recently for buying radio stations](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/michael-dell-just-profited-fcc-142018100.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAKd8EwUShfXPeOACltX5uXvlP8tZP17-gjXuBFX3nKDP3PyWoMCJ8iIHDzyo2uQctY0ms4NtAuqtk0J9F_r1Hspx9hbBz1ZEvNg6EsN7jZZ6CRzdOBWqsInbg0O4Zj4fOueo-tzNATaKPTEDZYWiVgt9vrCCAdemEDB8lu19NxMp) and their corresponding spectrum for pennies. From a traditional investor business model, they were bad purchases. From a spectrum rights side, it's invaluable. Turned $90M in unwanted "junk" and sold for $441M.
I’m cash poorer than normal, if I wasn’t that’s a candidate where I’d put a small amount on long calls just incase a hit. My investment strategy is generally bulk in deep value plays that have generally good dividends(think MPC, ET, MPLX, EPD since COVID) with about 20%-30% of portfolio doing asymmetric bets. This is one of the most asymmetric I’ve seen. Others are usually puts against the market or AAPL or STLA or similar and calls on GLD or SLV or similar.
You mean the anti-corruption campaign dealing with a billionaire crime boss? [that even Wikipedia details? ](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-corruption_campaign_under_Xi_Jinping) How many people participate as members in the communist party of China. It's a significant percentage of people who are active members not just voters. How many people vote in L/MPC, RPC elections? There are no internal groups or caucuses within the CCP? It's just so interesting to see these things boil down to some assumption that people cannot have democracy outside of the US and EU. It's very interesting. I wonder what means Americans would have to stop Donald Trump now that he's actively overriding the legislative and judicial branches of government.
* COST instabuy, I believe we will have a trend of cooling inflation followed by cuts and continued strong fiscal spending and inflation will come back. Nothing super scary and serious but modest and sticky. COST and WMT will provide the best value and continue to crush competition. * NVDA a growth monster with 24 PE, it's ridiculous firesale at this point. You have to believe world is ending and CapEx is coming to a screeching halt to not buy here. Despite all evidence to the contrary. * MPC I'm staying far away from crude. Oil prices will keep coming down very slowly as "drill, baby, drill" becomes a reality both in the US and globally. Idk what oil bulls are thinking. All we literally see is higher and higher production records. * AVGO and MRVL will probably both do well (AVGO more solid) but I just prefer the slamdunk NVDA instead. I like easy money not hard money.
opinions on **COST (Costco) –** * **MPC (Marathon Petroleum) –** * **NVDA (NVIDIA) –** * **AVGO (Broadcom) –** * **MRVL (Marvell) –**
MPC with a casual 3750% earnings beat
We dont exactly know how the MPC deal is put together - are they paying the whole deal up front, are they rating into it, are they borrowing money against assets to pay for it or are they just taking it from their cash reserve. Id like to see some more clearance on that. Furthermore, the money they got/get from the vessel sale - are they reflected in the current reports? Thats also pretty important to get a more accurate overview i think.
Based on my analysis, targeting refiners with high exposure to heavy sour mexican and Canadian crude that are mostly landlocked, in red states - Marathon [MPC] and HF Sinclair [DINO] In my modeling HF Sinclair experiences a significantly higher reduction in operating income (19.58%) compared to Marathon Petroleum (4.94%) due to its greater reliance on Canadian crude and less diversified sourcing.
I bought LULU, MPC, CELH, UBER, NXT, and ASML in my Roth IRA. I'm down like 15% this year in that account. My regular brokerage account which is mostly VOO, MSFT, VONG, and QQQM is up around 30%. I'm still up a decent amount but I wish it was in my Roth IRA.
I made a killing on MPC but had to sell due to this. Wtf??
> Anything interesting as far as value goes? Obliterated large cap biotech (REGN, BIIB), European luxury (primarily the highest quality - LVMUY; a lot of the rest is a hope for an uncertain turnaround in things like Burberry and Kering), alcohol (REMYY, DEO, etc), refiners (MPC, VLO - although less so than a couple weeks ago) and some Canadian stuff (Stella Jones down close to 30% recently and some insider buying - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gc8kZGnaAAQTMO0?format=png&name=900x900)
MPC is why my entire portfolio isn't red 
Short oil services went too high too fast $BKR $MPC $TRP $KMI
FOMC expected to cut today. MPC expected to cut today. NPC expected to increase liquidity this week. Only long/ calls are on the table for now.
Buying CP on a decline that I understand but I think is going to ultimately be unwarranted. MPC also a name with a moat trading at a single digit p/e that I think will be a beneficiary in this environment. About 8.5B-ish in buyback authorization.