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Nancy Pelosi’s husband buys millions in computer-chip stocks before big subsidy vote
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Tbh, I don’t focus too much on individual stocks, my main priority for now is broad indexes. At the moment, only these three individual: MSFT, GOOG, and DOCU. The latter is the most interesting in my opinion, as I don’t see how AI is an enemy of DocuSign. If anything, it’s a booster for their product. As for the indexes, I’m selling puts now on the classic ones: VOO, VTI, VXUS, and I just started with SMH and XSD. As gold seems to be coming back to a more reasonable price, I’ll probably add IAU into the game.
Great, I picked up on some sort of cosmic brainwave I suppose. But you lost me at "stagflation environment" and "the actual \[right\] thing to do right now." You'll sound smarter if you think and talk like that, but meanwhile there are pragmatic people out here just trading whatever the market provides, regardless of what some kind of "environment" or "paradigm" people name it. Did you know that's it's alright to pick stocks and ETFs simply because they're going up? It is. Do you have a 5th grader handy? Explain to them just a little bit about charts and how this "thing" was worth that a year ago, but now it's worth this today. Then show them a chart of a thing that's maybe flat or even going down a bit, but that "should" go up "when the current macroenvironment is fully priced into the market," or whatever other esoteric things the pundits say. Tell them that their allowance will be put into one of those "things," and that at the end of a month they can pick a new "thing" if they want. See which chart they pick. That's momentum-investing of course ("performance chasing" if you're less diplomatic), but it works as well as any other method out there. Do this for me when you have time: go to [Barchart.com](http://Barchart.com) and find their ETF Screener. De-select all the leveraged ones. You can keep the 1x inverse ones. Add the filter Has Options. You should get about 1280 of them. Change the view from Filter View to Performance. Sort by 3M %Chg. Scroll down until you get to the ones that have 'only' done about 30% over the past 3 months (that's 120% apy, remember). Start shopping there. At the top right of the list, click on "flipcharts." Change the Template to Line. Leave the duration at 6M. Across the top, scroll over to XME. 30.8% over the last quarter, and I'm in it, so I have no qualms recommending it. Grab your 5th-grader and start flipping through charts. XME is good in my opinion, but ask your 5th-grader. 4 later, XTL is good. RING is good. ECNS, XSD, CHAT, SIXG, METV, PIE, MAGS, etc. As you're going through, don't even look at the names; just look at the price action and figure out what that's telling you. And *don't* overlay any market sentiments you may have. And *especially* don't let your/our primitive primate brain tell you that "they've gone up too fast so they HAVE to go down soon." They don't. Really try to overcome that; I think it's the biggest obstacle people have to getting into good stocks. It's why people have been sitting on the sidelines for 5 years with Nvidia, for example, waiting for it to be "properly valued" or some such drivel. The price action tells you all you need to know. Believe in it.
Well, you're looking for stocks around $10, so start there. Stay above 5, because there's mostly trash below 5 (and exclude OTC stocks), but then as high as you can go. Let's say $8-12. Stocks that pay a dividend are typically more-stable companies. And of course you need it to have options. There are about a hundred in that view. Ford is in there at $11.77. From there you might select the Performance view, and then maybe click on the 3-month header to sort high-to-low 3m performance. I like to stay on the Put side of the Wheel, so I'm looking for stocks that are going up, or at least flat. Once you set up your screen, the Flipcharts feature at the upper-right of the list will help you quickly flip through charts (change the chart style to Line; the timeframe defaults to 6m, but you might change it to 1y for a more holistic view). Then I look for charts that are 1) smooth-ish, 2) going up. That's admittedly qualitative, but you'll know it when you see it. For example, look at the 6-month charts of the ETFs **CNYA** and **XSD**. (And btw, that's a subtle hint that you should start with ETFs and not stocks. Some pay well enough outright, but all pay well if you do them in a margin account where your CSPs enjoy much-reduced Buying Power reductions.) Now, I haven't told you to rush out and do the Wheel on all those tickers. I've just given you a way to help find candidates. Now you do the legwork of finding out if the option premiums are high enough for you. And notice I didn't suggest you filter by IV: that's not a good way to do it. ***Pick the underlying first,*** then decide how you want to make money on it. I didn't mention RSI either, but you can certainly play with that. And there are filters for "Last x-day/month price change," both by dollars and percent, and you can mess with those if you want. And in the Technical view, BC even gives an Opinion column, with Buy/Sell ratings, so you might take those into account. In the end, I just brute force it: stocks or ETFs, price range, sort by recent x-month performance, then flip through charts. That might be 50-100, but they go fast. *Don't overthink that part!* If you have a 5th-grader around, explain price action a little bit, and that their allowance will be in one of these tickers, then ask them which charts look "good." Have fun!
Most likely somewhere in 8-K/10-Q/10-K. Each such filing contain custom XSD schema, related to SPACs. If you open up the XML file, you'll see tags like... <coch:ExchangeOfAnzuClassACommonStockSubjectToPossibleRedemptionThatWasNotRedeemed>. They are not standardized, so they might differ from SPAC to SPAC. They contain various information about PIPE financing, redemption rates, warrant expiration date, and so on.
You’re not overthinking it — you’re just paying attention to the part of the market a lot of people are ignoring right now. The AI narrative and rate cut optimism have been so dominant lately that structural risks like these new EU tariffs are flying under the radar. But you’re absolutely right to question their long-term impact. A 15% tariff on core hardware and software is no small thing, and if the EU follows the GDPR playbook — strict, far-reaching, and permanent — this could be just the first round. For companies like Apple and Nvidia, margin compression is a real concern, especially if they absorb the cost instead of passing it on to European consumers. Microsoft might be more insulated due to enterprise stickiness, but even they could take a hit if regulatory hostility spreads. As for ETFs like XSD and SOXX, I agree they’re probably more exposed than the broader QQQ or S&P, since they include smaller players without the pricing power or geographic flexibility of the megacaps. You’re also right that China’s response could escalate this into something bigger. If supply chains get tangled or retaliatory tariffs hit U.S. exports of chips, semis, or software services, that’s another layer of risk most aren’t pricing in yet. If you’re long QQQ and have a multi-year view, this may just be noise you can ride out. But if you’re feeling uneasy, hedging with puts or trimming a bit from the most exposed names isn't unreasonable. I’ve been trying to stay balanced by moving some capital into private opportunities through LPShares. It’s helped diversify my exposure away from headline-driven swings and into less correlated, longer-term positions. You're asking the right questions — the market might not be pricing this in yet, but it often doesn’t until it’s forced to.
It’s simple just dump a few thousand yearly in NLR, NUKS, QTUM, SOXX, XSD and XAR over the next 20 years…while you’re sitting in that vacation house tell your family I said don’t mention it
Oh for sure, I will say that BingAI isn’t good for really anything tbh. With Claude, if you ran into that issue, it’d just require you asking about it, maybe including a screenshot of the error. I ran that request through Claude for you, let me know what you think (this will just be a copy/paste btw) I’ll help you create a Java program that validates XML against an XSD schema. > import javax.xml.XMLConstants; import javax.xml.transform.Source; import javax.xml.transform.stream.StreamSource; import javax.xml.validation.Schema; import javax.xml.validation.SchemaFactory; import javax.xml.validation.Validator; import java.io.File; import java.io.IOException; import org.xml.sax.SAXException; public class XMLValidator { public static void validateXMLSchema(String xsdPath, String xmlPath) { try { // Create SchemaFactory SchemaFactory factory = SchemaFactory .newInstance(XMLConstants.W3C_XML_SCHEMA_NS_URI); // Create Schema Schema schema = factory.newSchema(new File(xsdPath)); // Create Validator Validator validator = schema.newValidator(); // Create Source from XML file Source source = new StreamSource(new File(xmlPath)); // Validate validator.validate(source); System.out.println(xmlPath + “ is valid against “ + xsdPath); } catch (SAXException e) { System.out.println(“Validation Error: “ + e.getMessage()); } catch (IOException e) { System.out.println(“IO Error: “ + e.getMessage()); } } public static void main(String[] args) { // Example usage String xsdPath = “path/to/schema.xsd”; String xmlPath = “path/to/file.xml”; validateXMLSchema(xsdPath, xmlPath); } } Here’s how to use this validator: 1. First, make sure you have your XSD schema file and XML file ready 2. Update the `xsdPath` and `xmlPath` variables with your actual file paths 3. Run the program For example, if you have these sample files: Sample XSD (schema.xsd): ```xml <?xml version=“1.0” encoding=“UTF-8”?> <xs:schema xmlns:xs=“http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema”> <xs:element name=“employee”> <xs:complexType> <xs:sequence> <xs:element name=“name” type=“xs:string”/> <xs:element name=“age” type=“xs:integer”/> </xs:sequence> </xs:complexType> </xs:element> </xs:schema> ``` Sample XML (employee.xml): ```xml <?xml version=“1.0” encoding=“UTF-8”?> <employee> <name>John Doe</name> <age>30</age> </employee> ``` The validator will: 1. Load the XSD schema 2. Create a validator instance 3. Validate the XML against the schema 4. Print success message if valid 5. Print detailed error message if invalid Would you like me to add any additional features, such as: - Batch validation of multiple XML files - More detailed error reporting - Custom validation rules - Support for different schema languages?
I'm in the same boat If you are behind in your savings you probably want to go with one of the low-cost SPX and/or a big international index fund (SPGL/VOO) (FTIHX/VXUS). You might also want to add to your cash position because life happens. It does depend what your options are in your 401k as to what you would invest in. For example my 401k offers a good SPX but nothing else is worth holding. I currently buy SPX in 401k, BND in my IRA and VXUS in my brokerage. I am a little ahead in my investing, so my extra cash is buying long positions in tickers I think could beat the market over the next 30-40yrs. Currently BRKB, IRBO, QTUM, SOXQ and XSD
If you want to bet on semiconductors, which intc is, just buy any semiconductor etf instead of betting it all on one stock. Spy semiconductor ETF (XSD) has 22% annualized returns over the last 10 years. Intel has 3%.
You could have bought a 30 year Government bond with a tax free return of 4.625% every year for 30 years. That means a dividend of $8100 every quarter, $2,697.91 a month, or $32,375 a year for 30 years. That could have paid for a mortgage & your living expenses. While still having enough to average cost invest on a Semi Conductor ETF or Mutual Fund. Like XSD.
Same for XSD, I bought some more today ✌️
Well I'll warn you, it includes the big movers, it also includes like Texas instruments and other non-headline grabbing companies, so theoretically you could do better. It's XSD - spdr s&p semiconductor ETF It's also equal weighted, where a typical investment would be market cap weighted, if Nvidia comes back down to earth it won't have an outsized impact on this, but it also won't benefit as much if it goes to the moon
That depends on the revenue growth from AI implementation. There is no end in processing data, The more the better. As for me I sold most Nvda, AI, AMD, PLTR shares. I went through MSFT when I bought INTC and MSFT at the top and learned not to hold massive amounts like others. I will compare may be Price/ book value in addition to earnings and related ratios. Semi has some indices but I use [XSD price for benchmark](https://money.usnews.com/funds/etfs/technology/spdr-s-p-semiconductor-etf/xsd). Right now we are at a peak, prior was 2021 year.
XSD is up $40 from when I added more
I bought the SMH and XSD instead and they are up so I can’t really complain
the semi cycle for many companies is *just* beginning the upswing, others haven't even started it yet. We're in the new cycle's infancy. What's funny about this cycle, though, is that a ton of demand for certain chips have been pulled forward a great deal because of AI, so we'll see how that plays out. I personally think it means that there's room for, say, the XSD to begin outperforming the SMH or SOXX from here. On another note, I really, really dig semicap companies but I have a sneaking suspicion that they'll be the first to fall when the downcycle comes or even before then. I think they're the most vulnerable at the top this cycle, because so much of that equipment ordered to fulfill AI demand will be used to meet upcoming demand for more general-purpose chips - that's my thesis, I'd love to hear any ideas that invalidate it. Long story short, I'm buying those that are beginning to show Q/Q order growth after a historic downturn. I'm less certain that semicap will have the same runway this cycle because AI demand pulling forward so many orders so early in the cycle.
Yes, do it soon so you can contribute for 2023 prior to April 15. Then start working on your 2024 contribution. I like spdr funds, but SPY is almost identical to VOO with higher fees. I do use XLK though as I don't think Vanguard has an equivalent fund (correct me if I'm wrong anyone.) There is also XSD for semiconductors.
You probably should. But do so wisely. Understand the dynamics. ARKK for example is a very poor performing actively-managed fund. I’d recommend: BUG/IHAK for cybersecurity XSD/SMH/SOXX for semiconductors IHI for medical devices/medtech FTEC for broad tech obviously the QQQ is a good catch-all ICLN if you’re feelin lucky but I think it’s pretty risky, less so down here Just understand that there will be huge drawdowns in all of these. Also maybe don’t buy peak enthusiasm like now.
Alright, fuck it. I’m tired of every answer always being SP500. It’s not the be all end all. Me? Semiconductors. Fact is, is regardless of whether or not NVDA is bubbled, the whole sector has everything going for it. Necessity across every facet of human society, consistently high demand, fast product turnover, and more importantly government subsidy and intense interest. You think we use oil everywhere? Just look at semiconductors and they get more integrated into everything every year. What do I put my money in? FCNTX in my IRAs to avoid taxes on cap gains and dividends and XSD or SOXX in my brokerage to take advantage of faster trades if I need them and better fees.
I was scared to put more in because it kept going lower and lower. And I have so many different stocks and ETFs and my etrade won't allow fractional shares. But from now on I'm only going to put money in my main ETFs that aren't terrible like SPYG, XSD and VBIAX (index fund).
Small companies typically have to borrow to innovate or even borrow just to operate, so that is costing them say 8% now. On the other hand, APPL and MSFT have like $150 billion in cash, at 5%+ _gaining_ $7.5 billion a year each. That interest on their cash alone is more than the market cap of a small cap. When interest rates come down this disparity won't be so huge and not as big a deal, but for another comparison look at the semiconductor etf SOXX (which is mostly large caps) versus XSD which is mostly small caps. Before 2023 they were similar in their ten year return, with XSD having the edge, but now SOXX (and SMH even more) are crushing XSD on a ten year basis since they are both up over 50% the past year while XSD is only up 10%.
I like URNM, Sprot Uranium Miners ETF Also XSD, SPDR Semiconductor ETF I think both of these sectors have an extremely strong future. With that said most of my portfolio is in the S&P 500.
"Semiconductors" could be lots of things. If you are talking about SMH, it is down 10% since the market peak on July 19, while VOO is down 7%. That's not a massive difference. Most things are down. The Russell2000 IWM etf is down 15% in that time. SMH is up 227% for the past five years. During that time in 2022 it went down way more than 10%. It's just fluctuations. Semiconductors are the cornerstone of modern society, and getting more integrated into everything all the time. They are a good investment lonterm. But if you have no patience, definitely just get a 5% savings account and be happy with that. (If you own XSD or SOXX or PSI, sell them and get SMH.)
Try XLK and IYW along with QQQ for info tech. SMH for semiconductors. Then add IGV for the AI/software... (ADBE/CRM/NOW/CDNS/SNPS/etc). These have been doing best in this year's environment and should also do well when interest rate pressure starts decreasing. For the time being avoid XSD for semiconductors and any other tech ETFs focusing mostly on small caps. They have to borrow money which leaves them at a huge disadvantage these days. These companies will have their day again when borrowing is cheap, but for now the Magnificent 7 and other cash rich companies have a major advantage in both not having to borrow and also just being more willing to spend. Also, maintain a somewhat bigger emergency fund than you think you need. Nothing wrong with getting a 5% risk free return now to combine with the riskier stocks.
Here are some ways to achieve a similar result with better company diversification using just 2 ETFs: “Conservative” Taiwan Defense Investment: 50% ITA and 50% XSD “Crazy borderline insane Aggressive” 3x Leveraged Taiwan Defense Investment: 50% DFEN and 50% SOXL If these comprise your entire investment portfolio, then you are gambling and not investing, but to have a small (10% or less) percentage of these ETFs in an investment portfolio depending on your risk tolerance may not be such a bad idea…
I genuinely believe that semi conductor are going to take a dive, really just a breather. Then I expect them to rip for about a decade, albeit a bit cyclical. This is completely hypothetical, and is based on anecdotal evidence. Do not take this as anything other than my opinion. Lol The balance sheets of the broader semi conductor space is really attractive imo. The big players will dominate but there is so much market out there so all of them to continue to grow. I’m going to keep buying SMH and XSD for about two decades and I think I’m going to be really happy I did.
Growth's the target .Diverse choices: VTI, XSD for tech, AMZN, MSFT, WM for 5-10 years.
I've been watching it awhile and have some of it because it is in the XSD etf. I haven't gotten any though because it is up +47% ytd while my SMH and SOXX semiconductor ETFs are up 53% and 49%. ALGM's pe is about 30, which is good but not great enough to choose getting some of it instead of SMH and SOXX. Also, ALGM has 10% short interest against it, so it will have a whole bunch of illogical volatility to it compared to the ETFs. It has good potential but besides the above, it went down after earnings this week so it's still just a "pay attention to" stock to me.
Just bought a bunch of ETFs related to tech, AI, software, and semiconductors. My reasoning was that A lot of these followed the SPX pattern from the 2021 high through the late 2022 lows, to the recovery thereafter - however, said recovery has been a lot faster than the SPX, and I predict they'll keep going up for a while considering the state of the above industries. Look into BOTZ, VGT, XHB, XSD, XSW.
20% IHI, 20%XSD, 10%BUG, %10 TAN, 20%FTEC - rest in cash to buy on dips or maybe 10% in emerging markets
Are you non-US located? Can you not buy SMH, SOXX or XSD? They have better performance and 1000 times the volume. SMH is the best performing ETF of any kind for the past five years and the three I mention are the three best performing ones for the past ten years, so yes, semiconductors are likely to be a very good investment going forward.
If you are confident in the market buy a broad index ETF. If you are confident in a sector (say semiconductors) but don’t know the companies well enough buy a sector ETF (say SMH or XSD.) If you know the companies well enough buy the individual equities. I have investments in all three categories.
Yes, PSI is outstanding... but so also are the three other larger semiconductor ETFs (SMH, SOXX, XSD). All four are different from each other in terms of emphasis. For example, NVDA is 19% of SMH and only 3.4% of XSD. PSI and XSD are have active human or "secret sauce" to thechoice of their undylying holdings, while SOXX and SMH have rigid rules that basically get you the biggest semi companies. PSI has outperformed the other three this month largely because its biggest holdings include SMCI and ACLS, which continue to go up beyond the moon. Those two are two small to be in SOXX and SMH (and SMCI isn't really a semiconductor company.) I own all four but PSI is my current smallest holding because aside from SMCI/ACLS and a few others, most smaller semi companies have lagged NVDA and AMD. Semiconductor ETFs are the best performing non leveraged ETFs of the past 10 years and four of the top six for the past five years. And going forward they are vital to the future of everything in modern life. https://etfdb.com/compare/highest-5-year-returns/no-leveraged/ If you have money enough, I'd advocate getting all four. But if you want to start slower, get SOXX. It is doing the second best year to date, behind SMH, but is not as married to NVDA. (SOXX is 8.4% NVDA.)
I'm a fan of XSD specifically because it's a semiconductor ETF that's weighted. So it only holds 3% in NVDA. Way more upside for the other stuff in there. Something in there could be the next NVDA.
My goal is growth for the next 5-10 years. VTI -35% XSD-25% AMZN-20% MSFT- 10% WM -10%
My goal is growth for the next 5-10 years. VTI -35% XSD-25% AMZN-20% MSFT- 10% WM -10%
My goal is growth for the next 5-10 years. VTI -35% XSD-25% AMZN-20% MSFT- 10% WM -10%
NVDA is 7 times bigger than INTC. Not a very good either/or choice. Both should make you more money than average going forward, but looking at the semi industry as somehow a choice between these two is pretty limited. Get SMh, SOXX and XSD, then balance them to weight the key holdings how you want... for me, that means weighting more toward NVDA than INTC among the many choices made.
XSD is the option I'm going with. Equal weighted semiconductor. Nvidia only makes up 3% of it so way more of the growth will flow to those other companies.
As above 50% is pretty reckless in something as weak as DKNG, tho I agree there is a good chance DKNG will pay off well in the next decade (though I think the chances the industry will pay off are better than DKNG specifically will... Flutter being bought by Caeser's would be a game changer). Likewise, consider investing in the largest etch companies via XLK, which includes all of the technology companies in the S&P500 no matter what those are in five, ten or more years from now. More specifically the semiconductor industry can be bought via the SMH/SOXX/XSD etfs. Just choosing AMD and NVDA might and probably will work out better than the ETFs, but with the ETFs you don't have to worry about new companies taking market share or one of your companies shooting themself in the foot.
He could always balance it with some XSD. Another semiconductor ETF but Nvidia is only ~3% of holdings.
Two basic things. First, what has worked, both in the recent past and especially in the turbulent years since the first Covid announcement. Second, what I forsee is likely going to be critical in the future. https://etfdb.com/compare/highest-5-year-returns/ The answer to that is primarily the big info tech companies and semiconductors. So I look to make a base holding around that primarily via three infotech ETFs (XLK, IYW, QQQ) and three semiconductor ones (SMH, SOXX, XSD). After that I decide what individual stocks I want to go heavier on (or are missed by the ETFs altogether, like SMCI) so I get those. Then I save a smallish amount for wide variety of the best other ETFs and stocks to keep an eye on that I might temporarily get... like fossil fuel stocks last spring. So while big tech is today my core holdings, I also am willing to get some obvious short term stuff like oil and keep a small eye on more speculative stuff like clean energy, lithium, infrastructure, robotics/IA companies not covered by semiconductors, cybersecurity, etc.
23M $35,000 cumulative I want to hear Pros / Cons / general feedback about my current ETF Portfolio’s. I am bullish on technology and growth stocks which is one of the reasons I’m overly invested in technology & growth. Willing to hear criticism against it. Individual: BSV 2.54% MGK 4.05% SCHD 4.89% SOXX 6.62% VGT 17.47% VOO 47.23% (will rebalance to 50% and I add to it monthly) VUG 12.18% Roth: Maximizing yearly JEPI 4.99% (riding for a year or 2) VGT 31.51% VTI 41.12% VUG 11.17% XSD 11.20%
I should add that I'd first buy one or more of the semi ETFs: SMH, SOXX, XSD, PSI, PTF. Then, if you want to go heavier on individual stocks, I focus on the equipment stocks. The ETFs do have (current) deadweight like TXN/QCOM, but even in the deadweight category, QCOM performs the worst of the major companies this year and is down only a few percent.
The thing is, Google is also a hardware company... But XSD is an equal weighted semiconductor ETF
It looks a lot like you're chasing gains, and your portfolio is all over the place because of it. To start, swing trading is a losing gamble the vast majority of the time. If you want to start a position in a company that's fine, but going with nearly 20% in a very aggressively priced automaker with a divisive talking head CEO and underwhelming reports this year isn't the way I'd start. You're also paying well above a typical ETF expense ratio for XSD, which is a cyclical industry that might have trouble matching it's gains from the last five years. There's potential, but that would put damn near 40% of your portfolio in aggressive growth with a heavy semiconductor slant - it's not a gamble I'd be comfortable with by any means, and I love growth funds. The rest is kind of a jumble, I can't speak to GPK but I don't like having individual securities make up more than 5% of my cumulative portfolio as a whole. The rest is oil, another cyclical sector I wouldn't trust to outperform VOO over the next few years, and more growth/automotive for the most part. If I'm calculating right you're right around: 20% TSLA (aggressive growth) 20% Tech (Google, AMZN, AAPL, etc) 18% Semiconductors (cyclical/aggressive growth) 17% VOO (wide market etf) 9% Oil (cyclical, single company) 9% GPK (can't speak to your goals here) Then a spattering of green energy, which in my experience has high fees for underperformance, and legacy automotive via Toyota. I wouldn't hold your portfolio, personally. How old are most of these positions? Why risk such a large portion of your savings on the chance a single security goes up? I think you'd save a lot of time and be better served going fully into VOO, but personally I like having more numbers to look at which I totally get. If that's the case, there are plenty of funds to look into that are still wider/safer without as much downward risk.
If you believe in chips, then believe in the industry rather than picking a single stock out of a hat. Buy a combination of of SOXX, SMH, XSD and PSI (other folks should consider PTF too given its interesting basket as of April 1st). They are the four best performing non-leveraged ETFs of the past ten years... and while some chip companies performed far better (like NVDA) others (like INTC) performed far worse. It is far more reasonable to expect that chips will be an important money-making industry for the foreseeable future than it is to say any single company will do better than the chip industry average.
It's a much better idea to have multiple ETFs than just one, but what you don't need is two ETFs following the same index. VOO and SPY both follow the S&P500 so there is no need to have both. On the other hand, SMH and XSD are both semiconductor ETFs, but they have dramatically different holdings. For instance NVDA is 3.3% of XSD but is 13.8% of SMH so having more than one semiconductor ETF can make sense. Just keep track of what you are doing. Nothing wrong with having some overlap in your ETFs, like two different ones have AAPL, as long as you like having the amount of AAPL you have.
I hold SMH(4.7% AVGO), but I know XSD(2.8% AVGO) and SOXX (8% AVGO) are popular semi ETFs as well. IMO AVGO is a pretty stable long term play however with picking any individual stock you run the risk of something happening with that individual company (INTC for example). As others have said, going based purely off of previous performance is a unreliable way to gauge a companies value. I think if there’s something in specific that you like about Broadcom that sets it apart from similar stocks that you see as a driving factor for potential growth then go for it, however I prefer to hold an ETF as I cannot foresee a single Semiconductor stock outperforming the others. Also if it’s that juicy dividend that you’re after then I would recommend SCHD which has Broadcom as its top holding at nearly 5%. You still get a diversified ETF with a 3.5% dividend yield.
You can do it either way. I only have ETFs, but at your age I'd recommend having the ETFs but also have any individual stocks you are passionate about. When I said to compare, having a share of QQQ and XLK (not XLX) just lets you see how they do daily and over time compared to your portfolio. Of course you can do that without a share just looking online, but I think you will find that if you like tech, you won't need SPY and the others (except the KO/VZ part) if you held XSD/XLK/QQQ. If you held those three as a base, you could then get heavier with AAPL or NVDA or whatever, especially what might make sense to be heavier with temporarily. XSD is the best performing ETF for the past ten years, and the second best non-leveraged one for the past five years. XLK the sixth best for the past five years, with only three semiconductor and two clean energy ETFs above it. QQQ is about 14th for the past five years but is the basic NASDAQ100 to guage everything and anything else against.
KLAC is semiconductor equipment. It has a majority of the business in its particular niche. Similar semiconductor equipment companies (but not direct KLAC competitors) are SNPS, CDNS, ASML and ACLS. Check out their return history and fundamentals. The equipment nich has some very strong stocks in it. Intel is a steaming pile of garbage. Sell it and get a semiconductor etf like XSD, SMH or SOXX (or all three).
XSD, XLK, QQQ, SPGP. Maybe MOAT, COWZ, OMFL. No need to limit yourself to just one other besides VTI. If we assume there are still times ahead that are not all rainbows and pixies, having different types of ETFs that have different approaches is a good idea (as long as they all outperform the baseline of VTI).
You are heavy in NVDA because the world is. That's a fine portfolio, but if it does concern you about NVDA, then switch SMH for XSD, a different semiconductor ETF (the best performing ETF of any kind for the past ten years too) which has NVDA at only 3.5%.
Definitely do it, but I suggest getting a mix of something like XSD 40% / SOXX 30% / SMH 30%. All three semiconductor ETFs and are the best performing ETFs of any kind for the past ten years... with XSD the best of the three over virtually any timeframe. However, today NVDA kicked ass, and SMH and SOXX have NVDA heavier than XSD does, so having all three can cover your bases better, and since it is a non-taxable account you could switch the percentages around if one of the three was doing significantly better for a quarter than the other two.
I'm a fan of ETF investing since I don't trust myself enough to stay on top of individual stocks and typically plan to hold for long term. In addition to liking ETFs I like diversity so I try to diversify as much as possible. It can be a bit tricky with ETFs since they could have overlapping holdings but overlap is not a bad thing if you are aware of it. You can use a website like [turtto.com](https://turtto.com) to compare ETFs and view overlap within them and even set a position on each ETF to view your position in individual overlapping holdings. At 19 I feel like you should focus more on growth, a portfolio I like is SCHD, VOO, QQQM, XSD, VXUS [https://www.turtto.com/?tickers=SCHD,VOO,QQQM,XSD,VXUS&timeframe=2yr&graphType=adjclose](https://www.turtto.com/?tickers=SCHD%2CVOO%2CQQQM%2CXSD%2CVXUS&timeframe=2yr&graphType=adjclose) But I'm not a financial advisor so def do your own research and pick what you're comfortable with!
What’s up y’all! I’ve been at this since last July and finally starting to dive in. This is a Fidelity account from a previous employer that I recently maxed out on the yearly contribution. I will have some employer contributions with my new job however in the form of an IRA and ROTH IRA. Moving forward the plan is take full advantage of the 1.5 to 1 match and build a separate account. Any and all feedback is welcome. I did plan to move some AMD soon, but I would be interested to hear what folks have to say. Current total value $7508 VOO 30.16% XOM 15.41% GOOGL 12.92% TQQQ 8.49% XSD 8.23% AMD 5.51% QCLN 5.43% PLTR 4.41% AAPL 4.13% AMZN 2.67% META 2.33%
Number one of every ETF on Earth, by far too. Only XSD is within 25% of it.
You can add a tech heavy etf like XSD it's been working for my account! Let the fund managers pick the best stocks!
To me it looks like: Bonds are super conservative, anticipating bad times. Amazon is still doing worse for a year than the other big five stocks, but is up over 20% for the month... seems like looking for a big score. Anyway, just seemed opposite. Amazon in the long run is a sure thing, but may not be so great short run if things go bad (on the other hand it should be great if things boom). I have SPGP and XSD is the top ETF for the past ten years, so those sound good to me, although SPGP is a defensive stock in my book. :) Also check out COWZ, OMFL and MOAT as ETFs whose factor concept is basically defensive but will perform above average in good markets too. Basically all four of them have performance in the ballpark of QQQ over the past five years, but didn't go in the toilet the past year.
It is more short term. I was thinking of reevaluating when the economic conditions improve. The bonds are meant to gain some value, more than being in a savings account and more than treasuries like STIP etf, in the short term when the economy goes down. I will liquidate my position in VCLT when the economic data looks like it is bottoming and buy more growth orientated etfs like SPGP and XSD semiconductor etf when they are cheaper. I wanted some etf's which would gain a lot in value if there ended up not being a recession and the bonds underperformed.
"I’m not opposed to a little more risk with this portion of my portfolio either." XLK. SOXX/SMH/XSD. TAN.
Semiconductor ETFs are up about 12% ytd and 25% for the past three months. Semis have already "downturned". They are still a great investment, since the blah first six months of 2023 is priced in but the longer term recovery in late 2023 and 2024 is not. This also is an argument in favor of getting the SMH/SOXX/XSD/PSI etfs rather than picking individual stocks because there is an industry-wide recovery coming, but that doesn't mean competitors like INTC and AMD will both recover nicely.
buying things that looked liked they've bottomed - CRM, AMZN, DIS, MKS, SKWKS - just testing the waters for a few trades, but mostly waiting for the semis to re-test lows or maybe even go below. I'll unload into the semiconductor ETFs at that time, probably just the XSD. I'll be buying the IHI on weakness, as well. As far as individuals, I'm hoping for ASML and SNPS to re-test. I'd appreciate it if some of the 'value' industrials would come down like CAT and DE.
Oil and copper for _ten years_ is waaaaaay wrongheaded. For the next few months, yes, sure. But they are way too cyclical and oil is dependent on politics, so they may be fine, but just for now. SMCI/Super Micro in 2022 was like a gift from God, but again for ten years, I wouldn't think of it that way. In a 10 year context, I'd advise you to primarily pick industries via ETFs while also choosing one-to-four individual stocks for a more limited time frame. For example buy semiconductors via SOXX/SMH/XSD, then get heavier with ON and TSM if you want. Get the industry, then further get your favorites in the industry.
Looking for review, feedback and critique of the below portfolio to help strengthen or improve on it, this is money i am setting aside to grow for the kids and does not represent my over all portfolio. Starting with a principal amount of $1.25M. Stocks 65%: Comprised of VOO 40%, SCHD 10%, VHT 5%, XSD 5%, VUG 5% Bonds 20%: US Treasury Bonds 15%, TIPS 5% REIT 5%: VNQ Gold 5%: GLD Cash 5%: Money Market Acct I am looking for a 10% Average Annual Return over the next 15 years. Is it a reasonable expectation? Is the portfolio too conservative, moderate or aggressive. what would you recommend i change? Thank you in advance.
Something you could consider is putting a big chunk of your portfolio into an index or indexes you like so you’ll still keep upward momentum when the market stabilizes, for example: 35% $VTI (Total stock market) 25% $QQQ (Nasdaq 100) Then if you wanted to focus on a specific sector, you could also add something like this: 5% $XSD (Semiconductors) 5% $XLE (Energy) That gives you 30% of your portfolio for whatever you want. You can also take advantage of the index funds to increase your exposure to certain companies without holding a whole share. For example, if you wanted to hold Apple, you can also say to yourself, well, $VTI holds 6.04% while $QQQ holds 13.61% of Apple in the funds. This could free up some money for other companies that you wanted to invest in. This is how I’ve been investing for some time now and have been profitable every year (even this year, but I pulled out at the end of December 2021. It's not for everyone, but it might work for you. Good luck!
I like how XSD is the only green index on my list. too many regards buy short term puts?
Dividends are generally not good for people under 55 who are still working full time jobs because they just add taxable income on the company's timetable, not yours. If you want some funds, better to sell some longterm holding of yours at a time beneficial to you. To me, SCHH is useless. It has done next to nothing either way the past five years. XSD is an excellent longterm choice... though semiconductors are still reeling so you may want to wait on that for awhile. There are a couple better energy ones than XLE, but if that is your only choice its a good one. Also no fan of IWM. SPY/VOO/VTI make a better broad choice. And for me if something doesn't outperfom SPY/VOO/VTI there is no reason to have it. QQQM has, by a lot, so that one I like. One question to ask yourself is this a longterm buy for you or something you could liquidate in a month? Some things are going to do better in the short term, like XLE is a safer bet for the next month than XSD, but if someone were to give me 1000 shares in something and I could only sell them in ten years I'd want XSD, no question.
Tks for your input, amigo! Is SCHH not a good choice among the others? What about removing it and going 33% in the others 3? I'm not taxable here (Brazil) for dividends, just the tax from US (30%). I still have some good options - imo, like XSD, XLE and IHI. But just in the future, when they get loooooooowwww (or not)
It shows you what has already occurred, yes. If you open the 🕷 watchlist and it says XSD is up 1.13%, then obviously, you've already missed that 1.13%--or the equivalent of that move in the individual stocks from that sector. That's obvious. However, let's say the market has just opened, and you see one of the 🕷 is already up 1.30%. You look at that 🕷 chart, and it's the first day of the move. Then you research the news, and it's a significant catalyst. So yeah, you're late to the 1.30% that has already happened, but you're still at the early stages of a multi-day or multi-week trend forming. The 🕷 might end the day up +2.70%, and she might move +8.50% in the next four days. In another example, if you see a 🕷 up 1.12%, and you check her chart and see that this is already her fifth day going up, then yeah, you're late to the whole move. If you jump in so late, then Jorōgumo will hurt you.
SMH vs SOXX vs XSD. XSD has outperformed the other two over the past five years 175%ish to 155%ish for the other two. SOXX does slightly better than SMH, but why decide? Just get all three. They all have different baskets. Maybe AMD will be the dominant company going forward and will be more featured in one than the other two. Also, XSD is a bit better but far smaller, so having the bigger two also could be comforting. Individual stocks, the equipment and quality control stocks are a safer bet in troubled times since they are required no matter what. SYPS, CDNS, KLAC, etc. Once it is clear we are moving up rather than down AMD seems the more sure bet, but ON and NVDA are also both sure longterm bets. Don't put your eggs all in one basket. Intel is worthless. It has a negative return over the past five years.
Should I just stick with an ETF then? I was thinking about $XSD. Thoughts?
TAN, QCLN for longterm energy. PXE, IEO for short term energy. XSD and SOXX for semiconductors, but I'd wait on those till the market was clearly moving up. On the other hand, I'd gladly bet AMD, ON, KLAC, SNPS and CDNS as a group will outperform the semiconductor average over the next year and few years.
It’s refreshing to hear someone interested in stuff outside of VOO/VTI/Qs (not bad ETFs at all). Take a look at IHI vs all other healthcare - clear outperformer. XSD vs the other semi ETFs, another outperformer.
honestly allocate a portion to investing, say 15% or more if you're really into this. Put it into something that's high growth because you're so young. It will be volatile but that's OK since you're not even close to retirement. Don't go into individual companies unless you know about them, deeply. And don't listen to folks on Reddit who tell you about individual companies. Buy a high-growth ETF like the QQQ, SOXX, FTEC, XSD, something like that - and just don't worry about it and live life! Make this a habit and you WILL be rich one day.
If she’s looking to preserve with piece of mind and grow that money, I’d take a look at the David Swenson model - a mix of bonds/stocks/real estate/foreign holdings. If you’re looking for aggressive growth go XSD, FTEC, and IHI! =D
I personally own individuals and the ETFS. I recommend checking out the XSD - it has performed better than the SOXX/SMH over the last decade by a good amount. Thing is with semiconductors, the technology and use-cases can shift under your feet without you knowing or even vaguely understanding what's happening unless you really research this stuff, even then it's difficult to really grasp what's happening under the surface of the industry, which is why picking stocks in the sector could be dangerous. I'd own some individuals and an ETF. The semi ETFs will likely continue to outperform into the future, so you'll still be netting good returns over the long term.
All solid names imo. I was being facetious about Lisa dying god bless her but idk my point is semis are pretty esoteric and AMD is pretty heavily exposed to the consumer, that’d be my fear about having my entire retirement exposed to it. I agree though about SMH and the SOXX, not big on some of the core holdings. XSD is the superior semi ETF with better performance, too.
Why not a high-performance ETF like the XSD or SMH or SOXX? AMD could net you bigger gains but why take the risk in a retirement fund on one company? What if Lisa Szu dies?
I had fun with it today. I wonder if it will continue into tomorrow? I was wondering about watching XSD and see if I should invest.
XSD or ON if you like the semiconductor industry.
Ya know, I was looking at XSD. I don't claim to know much about semis or leaders in the space (eye on NVDA), but this chart has me thinking I need to pick apart more of the semis individually. AMD dropping another 35% isn't going to help anyone in the sector short term.
overall I really like many of the stocks you have and allocation amounts for some very specific reasons, mostly in teh megacap and semi space. That being said, I probably wouldn't pick individual stocks if you're coming to reddit for advice. I'd be almost certain that the allocations in this hypothetical portfolio will do well over time, but you might be better off buying ETFs - probably keeping BRK because it's like an ETF in and of itself. Depending on how long term your horizon is, you could start DCA'ing into something like the QQQs along with BRK. If you can hold your portfolio for some time, then I'd strongly consider a cloud computing ETF and a semiconductor one (SMH has the lowest expense ratio in comparison with the XSD or SOXX).
XSD is a semi conductor ETF
It depends on what part of the stock market. For years I only invested in QQQ, the Nadaq 100. Best performing index fund since it's inception in 1985. Lifetime annualized return of about 15% far better than the S&P. Last 10 years annualized is about about 24% and last 5 years is about 28-29%. I don't see any reason why this won't conintue. I think 20% annualized return is a conservative safe estimate for the next 10 years. But it wouldn't surpise me if it reaches 30%. I've since switched from QQQ to semiconductor stocks. I invest in individual stocks, but for a passive investor who doesn't mind volatility at all, I'd recommend XSD, and I expect 35% annualized over the next 10 year, but there will be a lot of volatility during that period. It wouldn't surprise me if the S&P approaches 20% over this time. With all that said, I'm only comfortable making predictions over a 10-year+ period. The reality is no one has any idea what will happen over any 1-2 year period. There will probably be at least 1-2 recessions during the next 10 years, but the fed is getting pretty good at responding to them. They have like 500 PhDs studying an ever-increasing amount of data. There is a lot more data knowledge to guide them than in years past. All this assumes, the U.S. or NATO does not go to war with Russia, which would have catastrophic effects for the economy for multiple years.
Agree. I like XSD. It's ideal for someone who doesn't want to read semi news all the time and keep up with what's going on week to week. I enjoy, so I pick individual stocks. Otherwise, I'd go with XSD.
I bought June XSD calls (semiconductor play) right before Russia invaded. I saw in 2014 semis had a significant bull run. I’m looking to buy puts on metals and mining next
I noticed Semiconductors went on a bull run following the Russian Crimea war in 2014 so I bought calls on XSD. No idea what the cause and effect is but it seems to be happening again now
I do have XSD, plus have a handful of existing positions that are a decade old easily.