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$ABR at 5 year low. Low volume. Big short interest and huge dividend. Monster #shortsqueeze
Selling $7 and $8 covered puts on $ABR very aggressively at this point. Way oversold.
Archer Aviation strong by buy 9 firms.
Archer Aviation 1.67 (1-5) Strong Buy by 9 firms.
[ABR] I’m Following This Rich Insider To 12%+ Dividends
Taking advantage of high lending rate and dividend yield
Lending out ABR and securing 15% annualized return
Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) - A classic "toxic waste" spinoff (Long thesis)
Following up on ABRs recent price drop and speculating of this may be bullish
Bogus "research shop" attempts to torpedo ABR and now they're buying back $50m to squeeze their nutz.
Does the REIT $ABR (arbor realty trust) actually invest in properties?
Arbor Realty Trust Q4 earnings exceed consensus as NII climbs (NYSE:ABR)
2023-02-09 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Alibaba (BABA)
2022-10-31 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Mentions
ABR is a classic example of why distressed investments can be both exciting and dangerous. If management stabilizes the loan book and refinancing conditions improve, today's pessimism could look excessive—but investors should probably focus more on fundamentals than the possibility of a short squeeze.
$RR $HIMS $ABR just buy aggressively and hold patiently. All 3 oversold like crazy.
$HIMS $RR $ABR buying all 3 heavily at massive discounts and will #HODL these #multibaggers for years 🤑
Buying a lot of $HIMS $ABR and $RR today
There is a reason I am getting a 15% dividend that even if it gets sliced in half I’m still getting 8% and on top of it $ABR will be back above $12 before summer. I bought $MPW at the bottom too right above $3 and almost doubled my money + getting massive dividend. $ABR is a phenomenal buy. “It’s not what you buy it’s what you pay” -Howard Marks
The option chain doesn't look that great for ABR in my opinion. And there books aren't looking the best either. I think one of the better real estate companies is vici. Although there option chain isn't the best as well. But there books look really good. Just my opinion.
That interests rates will fall under Trump is the assumed position of the market for months. ABR has done terrible in that time. It tanked on earnings recently. Doesn’t mean it isn’t going up. But your thesis is in direct contraction to what the market thinks on this with known information. Interest rates dropping is priced in to the point you better have more reason than that to buy it vs some other real estate company or interest sensitive ticker. Most of the market benefits from an interest rate drop.
I've also bought a year's subscription to Leaderboard by Investor’s Business Daily, but that's hands off investing. The ABR is good for long-term investing, but I use it to form watch lists. I then use my favorite metric to make short-term plays in my IRA. (No tax concerns.)
I'm fond of the Average Broker Rating (ABR), and for any stock you're interested in, you can just Google, "what is the abr for stock xxx". Google gets a bit confused about what the ratings mean, but a 1 is a strong buy, and a 2 is a buy. (3 hold. 4 sell. 5 strong sell.) I look for results between 1 and 2.
Precious metals overbought. I’m buying $ABR heavily bc it’s oversold and will give u massive dividend while it keeps rising
Great (and rare) to see the honesty, whenever I see anyone ask about a managed fund... my first thought is "why don't you just mimic the portfolio?" and save the fees. Don't get me wrong, I do see the convenience of funds and the "set and forget" approach. OP's original query and risk tolerance doesn't seem to comport, where is the HIGH risk tolerance and aggressive growth in large cap? Perhaps there is room for growth and I'm being a fool again, like I was when I was told I should mine and buy BTC. Real gamblers are going to search for the diamond that pops a 1000%+ years gain off a penny stock. Less risky, search for the undervalued solid stocks (in my case/opinion consumer cyclical like CAG, KHC, possibly KO... REIT ABR, likely not O right now). The first two seem to be in limbo at a very attractive price, adding a bit of the IRA into more CAG and ABR in the next week. \*\*\*I am not a financial advisor, just an idiot with too much confidence and a bit of Dunning-Kruger\*\*\*
From Mr Shiu's $50 per month Patreon https://www.patreon.com/mrshiu?utm_campaign=creatorshare_fan Here's the English translation of the summarized research report on Tempus AI (NASDAQ: TEM), originally published in Chinese: --- 💰【Mr. Xiao's Investment Report】💰 Tempus AI (TEM) Deep Dive Report – Summary (May 2) Tempus AI (NASDAQ: TEM) is a technology company using artificial intelligence (AI) to process large-scale clinical and molecular data to advance precision medicine. This report analyzes the company’s core business, recent financial performance, competitive landscape, growth strategies, and potential risks — with a particular focus on short-term earnings expectations and market outlook to guide investors. The report is based on public data, including the latest operating figures, financial guidance, and analysts’ insights. --- 1. Company Overview and Core Business Founded in 2015 by tech entrepreneur Eric Lefkofsky, Tempus AI aims to apply AI practically in healthcare to improve patient care. The company's core strength lies in its large proprietary multimodal data platform (including genomic, clinical, and imaging data) and a system that makes this data actionable. Business Model: Two main segments: Genomics Services: Offers comprehensive genomic sequencing services (e.g., Tempus xT, xF) mainly used in oncology to help doctors understand molecular characteristics of cancer and tailor personalized treatment plans. Data and Services: Licenses de-identified multimodal datasets to life science companies (pharma, biotech) to support drug development, clinical trials, and market analysis — this is one of the fastest-growing segments. Data Assets: One of the largest clinical and molecular databases in the industry — over 40 million research records and more than 300 petabytes (PB) of data. This forms the foundation for AI model training and services, creating a strong competitive moat. Market Position: Connected with ~65% of U.S. academic medical centers. Over 50% of U.S. oncologists use its services. Collaborations with 95% of top oncology pharma companies. Recent Developments: IPO completed in June 2024 (NASDAQ). Acquired Ambry Genetics (hereditary disease testing) and Deep 6 AI (AI clinical trial recruitment). Strategic partnerships with Illumina, BioNTech, AstraZeneca, and others. --- 2. Financial Performance and Operating Metrics Tempus AI has demonstrated strong revenue growth and improving profitability. Revenue Analysis: FY2024: Total revenue of $693.4 million, up 30.4% YoY. Genomics revenue: $451.7M (+24.4%) Data & services revenue: $241.6M (+43.2%) Q4 2024: Revenue of $200.7M, up 35.8% YoY. Data & services now account for ~35% of revenue. Profitability: Gross margin: 54.9% in 2024 (up from 53.8% in 2023) Data & services margin: 71.5% Net loss: GAAP net loss of $705.8M in 2024 (mainly due to IPO-related stock-based compensation of ~$548M) Adjusted EBITDA: -$104.7M in 2024, improved from -$154.2M in 2023 Q4 Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to -$7.8M Key Operating Metrics (as of end-2024): Net revenue retention (NRR) for data & services: 140% Total contract value (TCV): $940M 2025 Guidance (from company): Full-year revenue expected to be $1.24B (up 79%, including Ambry) Adjusted EBITDA expected to reach $5M (first full-year positive EBITDA) --- 3. Industry Outlook & Competitive Landscape Tempus AI is positioned at the intersection of precision medicine and AI in healthcare — both fast-growing fields. Market Opportunity: Global precision medicine market expected to grow at a double-digit CAGR. AI in healthcare projected to grow at a CAGR of 49.1%. Genomics market growth supports Tempus’s core business momentum. Main Competitors: Genomics diagnostics: Foundation Medicine (Roche), Guardant Health, Caris Life Sciences. Healthcare data/RWE: Flatiron Health (Roche), ConcertAI, IQVIA. Data analytics platforms: Palantir, DNAnexus. Tempus Competitive Advantages: Data moat: Large-scale, high-quality, and proprietary multimodal database. Integrated platform: End-to-end solution — diagnostics → data → AI analysis → clinical application. Advanced AI capabilities: Proprietary algorithms embedded throughout the workflow. Robust ecosystem: Strong partnerships with hospitals, physicians, and pharma companies. --- 4. Short-Term Outlook & Analyst Views There is strong market anticipation for Q1 2025 earnings. Q1 2025 Consensus Estimates: Revenue: ~$248M EPS: ~$-0.44 (range: -0.26 to -0.47) Key focus areas: Contribution from Ambry acquisition, core business momentum, progress toward profitability. Analyst Ratings & Price Targets: Overall sentiment: Positive — majority rate as “Buy” or “Hold”. Zacks ABR (Average Broker Rating): 2.13 (Buy zone, where 1 = Strong Buy, 5 = Strong Sell) 12-month price target range: $61–$63 average Highest estimate: $77.70 Lowest: ~$48 Key Takeaways: Bullish factors: Huge market potential, integrated model, data moat, strong revenue growth, expected profitability inflection in 2025. Concerns: High valuation, lack of GAAP profitability, fierce competition, integration risks. --- 5. Investment Risk Considerations Profitability risk: Adjusted EBITDA may turn positive, but GAAP profitability remains uncertain. Valuation risk: Elevated valuation increases sensitivity to earnings and sentiment. Competitive pressure: Faces strong rivals with deep pockets or advanced tech. Data privacy & regulatory: Stringent HIPAA and similar regulations pose ongoing compliance risks. Execution & integration: Risk from integrating Ambry, Deep 6 AI, and entering new therapeutic areas. Macroeconomic & policy risks: Healthcare policy changes and economic shifts could affect growth. --- 6. Conclusion & Investment Recommendation Tempus AI, with its unique position in AI-driven precision medicine, vast data assets, and strong growth trajectory, presents an attractive long-term investment theme. The company is transitioning from high-growth to improving profitability and is expected to hit a key EBITDA inflection point in 2025. However, investors should be mindful of challenges
O is the only REIT I invested in, other is a mortgage reit named Arbor Realty Trust ( ABR). Been a bit volatile with rates rising so much but yields 11% and has the entire time I’ve owned it the last 10 years. Let me double my shares in 7 yrs and live off the dividends now. Another one I like, not a REIT but a high yielded that works, is Aberdeen Global ( ASGI), yields 12% and actually had some nice appreciation the last year.
I have been selling puts on OPEN, CCLD, ABR
Best performing how? Your Fisher Price robinhood screen shot doesn't show any p/l or your purchase date. Not to mention, IV at 50% and ABR buys the fuck out of its own stock anytime it even thinks about going into single digits. You think you're smarter than you are man, you don't know what you're holding...
Puts on ABR shows you have no idea how that MREIT is run.
!Banbet ABR0 to 25$ tomorrow
Pay no attention to the heavily shorted ABR and MPW which will pay you dividends while you wait for a squeeze. "Forty for Shorty!"
ABR - always be rotating Oklo Smr Bbai BitF One or more of these has a +25% day in the near future
ABR has almost 15 days in short covering. 30% sold short.
I have ABR as a minor position in my portfolio, but accumulating with minor buys.
GameSquare Holdings, Inc. (GAME) currently has an **average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.00 on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell)**, GAME a STRONG BUY
QYLD at these levels adding to already overweight position held covering expenses and RMD along with ARCC,STWD,ABR,OXLC,AGNC. Key point is buying these on dips as dividends paid out melts the NAV . At age 76, retired, willing to take risk in view of reward, I am enjoying the ride. All traded in IRA,dripping and constantly vigilant for opportunities. The power of compounding and the rule of 72 work very well for me!
It's a good idea before entering a position to have an exit strategy. I also like having a defined purpose in my portfolio and thus changing out a fund only happens if I no longer think that purpose exists, or if I believe a different fund will do it better. https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Investment_policy_statement may be useful for you as well. >I ended up selling my entire position of ABR and split it between SCHG & SCHD. Did I make a good decision? I find it somewhat weird because you're going to both value and growth stocks but avoiding the middle blends, but it's not an entirely unreasonable choice.
Ahh... - yeah - unfortunately yields have been raising. And looking at today's 20 year bond auction - I would expect mREITs like ABR to be down a lot today. Your choices are really going to be dependent on what you think will happen with interest rates and real estate impact. And it does seem like you have some concentration risk if ABR is 38% of your portfolio.
I sold all my positions of ABR and split it between SCHG & SCHD.
I have ABR set to reinvest dividends and I my first order was July 2024.
Did you set ABR to reinvest dividends and how long have you held ABR?
I’m relatively new to investing and recently realized I should’ve been tracking my positions more closely. I bought 100 shares of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) for the dividend income, thinking of it as a long-term, possibly even “forever” hold. Right now, I’m down about 28%, and it’s starting to shake my confidence. I didn’t have an exit plan going in — just the idea of collecting dividends and letting it ride. Clearly, not the most strategic approach. At this point, I’m trying to learn from this and improve: How do more experienced investors handle a situation like this? When is it better to cut losses vs. holding for recovery/dividends? How do you evaluate if a high-yield stock like ABR is still worth holding? I’m not looking for hype or panic — just practical, experienced takes. Thanks in advance. I ended up selling my entire position of ABR and split it between SCHG & SCHD. Did I make a good decision?
I’m going to buy stocks like it’s 1999. Just in small amounts each stock market tumble. In 2008 I wish I had bought all of the ABR I could have bought (but didn’t). I won’t be making the same mistake again.
4 stocks I'm actively trading and need to use google for price. MO, SVIX, ABR, BIL
gunna keep on scooping up O and ABR
This market is rigged, the tariffs should only help TSLA & CVNA. In other news, hit a xxx,xxx milestone, giving myself some ABR puts for a present.
Amprius. (AMPX) currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.25 on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell etc.) made by 8 brokerage firms. The average price target for Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) is $8.43.
Amprius. (AMPX) currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.25 on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell etc.) made by 8 brokerage firms. The average price target for Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) is $8.43.
Amprius (AMPX). (AMPX) currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.25 on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell etc.) made by 8 brokerage firms.
Short UAL, DAL, and ABR puts. Opened brokerage app and shat myself. Took a big loss coz I dunno what’s happening. My VIX calls, Russell 2000 short, and ES puts made up for a bit but I’ve been absolutely fucked today. “I’m positioned well for a pullback”, I said, delusional.
Picked a great night to get hammered - why am I down $7k? Oh I sold ABR puts. Assign them to meeeee.
I thought RIVN price action was wild....then ABR entered the chat
It's a bit more complicated than that. ABR and EFC are mREITs - it really depends more on the spread between short term and long term interest rates. And the credit risk in the MBS's held by the companies. An mREIT like ABR is already pretty diversified - they hold MBS's in a wide variety of commercial property types. Both companies are required by law to distribute 90% of their net income so dividends would not be cut by management unless there are net interest income issues.
You have to understand why the dividend is being distributed and why. I'm not familiar with TORM. But ABR and EFC are mREITs or mortgage REITs. They can be a simple way for investors to get exposure mortgage-backed securities (MBSs). An mREIT is sensitive to interest rates and credit quality of the MBSs. So investors in mREITs like ABR and EFC are looking at the interest rate yields when investing in mREITs. A very popular mREIT besides ABR and EFC is NLY and AGNC. Also - a REIT is required by law to distribute up to 90% of it's net income to investors - that's why the dividend is typically higher than equity stock.
ABR is flat over the 5 years....so you are relying on dividends to continue. For that is a risk that I would rather spread in an index. PE looks good, but that can fade also. EFC...same thing. If dividends do get cut this will sink to the bottom.
Over the last year, ABR paid out 12.5% div yield and appreciated 1% in stock price for a total appreciation of 13.5% in your account. Over the last year SPY paid out ~1.1% div yield and appreciated 23% in price for a total appreciation of 24% in your account. In that time, you paid taxes on the dividend income for both, so you would have paid taxes on 12.5% in the ABR case, and 1.1% in the SPY case. Dividends aren't free money. They're just the company forcing you to take gains.
Hopefully the $CVNA, $ABR shorts need some liquidity tomorrow.
I think they’ve hit their lowest low stock price wise, but even after the Covid slowdown in sales, they’re still at 58 billion in revenue, but the dividend makes it an attractive stock. For dividend income, I have kinder Morgan, Gilead and ABR (risky because real estate trust)
Oh ABR is PERFECT for this. Thanks! XBI has been range bound for most of the last decade. I play it from both sides using a fade-in strategy I cooked up. LABU long, LABD short. If you just bought XBI @65 and sold @90, rinse/repeat, you’d be up 700% in the last 9 years. That’s long/unleveraged only. 700%.
May I ask about $ABR ?
Looks like he did not get the memo when Hedgeye removed $MPW from their short list.. inversing them works great. Got me some $ABR just for that reason. 🚀
Wow this hasn't aged well, how's that short report working for you on your other trades? I'm up on both MPW and ABR by not listening to the shorts.
I’ve owned this one for 10+ years one of my favorite and most reliable dividend plays along with WHF ( Whitehorse finance). I could see ABR going to $17.50 with another .50 cut but who cares, own it for the 11%👍
With the cuts would $ABR be a legit bet or given the on going investigation it would be safe to stay away? I just think it's funny the main share holders are Blackrock/Vanguard/State Street/Goldman Sacks. I'm new here so let's goooo!!
They attack one of my holdings regularly - ABR, every time the shares drop I buy more, cheap, and it goes back up 15%-20%, literally happened 3 times, company still paying dividends.
With the current momentum in mortgage lending, I would look at $ABR with a 12.86% dividend yield which is paid out quarterly. This is a boring stock though and I will hold just for the dividends and just good enough for a $1000
Did we all fill our ABR class action submission forms?
Fidelity says that ABR is down to 20,380 shares available to be shorted Thoughts?
I’ve been wondering about ABR. I own 4,850 @ $12.86 ($65,572), and LOVE the dividend yield of 12.7% 36% Shorted….i guess it could happen!!
I have $66k in ABR…..hope you’re right!!
tell me about ABR Arbor Based on the search results, here's a comprehensive overview of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): 1. Company Profile: - Arbor Realty Trust is a specialized real estate finance company that invests in real estate-related bridge and mezzanine loans, preferred equity, and mortgage-related securities. - Founded in June 2003 and headquartered in Uniondale, NY. - Operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). 2. Business Segments: - Structured Business: Offers structured loan origination and investment services. - Agency Business: Involved in agency loan origination and servicing. 3. Stock Information: - Ticker: ABR (NYSE) - Current Price: $13.34 (as of August 2, 2024) - Market Cap: Not provided in the search results 4. Financial Performance: - Specific financial metrics (revenue, EPS, etc.) are not provided in the search results. 5. Dividend: - Arbor Realty Trust pays dividends, but the current yield is not specified in the search results. 6. Stock Performance: - 1 Year Return: -12.61% (underperforming S&P 500 at +22.68%) - 5 Year Return: +78.64% (slightly underperforming S&P 500 at +87.74%) - Since IPO: +224% (underperforming S&P 500 at +386%) 7. Short Interest: - As of July 15, 2024: 68,533,297 shares (50.15% of float) - Days to Cover: 8.82 8. Recent Developments: - The stock was under pressure from a short-seller in March, causing a significant drop in its stock price. - Arbor has been consistently increasing its dividend payouts annually. 9. Services: - Provides debt capital for the multifamily loan and commercial real estate industries. - Offers a range of loan products, including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, and Bridge loans. 10. Technology: - Uses a proprietary online portal called Arbor Loan Express (ALEX) to process loans more quickly and efficiently. Arbor Realty Trust appears to be a well-established player in the real estate finance sector, offering a variety of loan products and services. However, it has recently underperformed the broader market and faces significant short interest. Investors should consider both the company's strong position in its niche and the potential risks indicated by its recent stock performance and short interest levels. Citations: [1] Arbor Realty Trust: Multifamily Loans & Commercial Mortgage https://arbor.com [2] Arbor Realty Trust (ABR-N) Stock Price and News https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/ABR-N/ [3] Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Stock Price, News & Info | The Motley Fool https://www.fool.com/quote/nyse/abr/ [4] Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) Stock Price, News, Quote & History https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/quote/ABR/ [5] Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE:ABR) Stock, Short Interest Report - Benzinga https://www.benzinga.com/quote/ABR/short-interest
tell me more about shorts and days to cover...will this be a catch? Based on the current data for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR), here's what a risk-tolerant investor should know about the shorts and days to cover: 1. High short interest: ABR has a significant short interest of 68.53 million shares, representing about 37.80% of the float[1][4]. This high percentage indicates substantial bearish sentiment among some investors. 2. Days to cover: The short interest ratio, or days to cover, is reported to be between 15.6 and 26.15 days[4][5]. This means it would take short sellers between 15 to 26 trading days to cover their positions based on average daily trading volume. 3. Potential for a short squeeze: The high short interest and days to cover could set the stage for a short squeeze if positive catalysts emerge. A short squeeze occurs when short sellers rush to buy shares to cover their positions, potentially driving the price up rapidly[2]. 4. Volatility risk: The high short interest suggests the stock could experience significant price swings, especially around news events or earnings releases. 5. Contrarian opportunity: Some investors view high short interest as a bullish indicator, as it represents potential future buying pressure if short sellers need to cover their positions[4]. While the high short interest and days to cover could potentially lead to a "catch" in the form of a short squeeze, it's crucial to remember that such events are unpredictable and risky. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and consider all aspects of ABR's business and market conditions before making investment decisions. Citations: [1] Short Interest - ABR - ChartExchange https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-abr/short-interest/ [2] Peering Into Arbor Realty Trust's Recent Short Interest - Moomoo https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/37589088/peering-into-arbor-realty-trust-s-recent-short-interest [3] Nobody talking about Arbor Realty Trust $ABR : r/Shortsqueeze https://www.reddit.com/r/Shortsqueeze/comments/1c01ysk/nobody_talking_about_arbor_realty_trust_abr/ [4] ABR - Short Squeeze Stock Short Interest for Arbor Realty Trust ... https://shortsqueeze.com/shortinterest/stock/ABR.htm [5] ABR - Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Stock - Share Price, Short Interest ... https://fintel.io/ss/us/abr Please do your own research, not fa
(ABR) Arbor Realty Trust
thank you so much! please double check all of this information and post once more for me....I'll be placing it in a discussion on a forum.... Thank you for your request. I'll double-check the information and provide a comprehensive summary for your forum discussion. Please note that as an AI, I don't have real-time data access, so the following information is based on the most recent data available to me: ## Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) - Key Points for Risk-Tolerant Investors 1. **Short Interest**: * Approximately 68.53 million shares shorted * Represents about 37.80% of the float * High short interest indicates significant bearish sentiment 2. **Days to Cover**: * Reported between 15.6 to 26.15 days * Indicates potential for extended buying pressure if a short squeeze occurs 3. **Recent Performance**: * Stock price: $13.22 (as of August 1, 2024) * Recent decline: 2.22% ($0.30 drop) * Trading volume: 2,901,220 shares 4. **Upcoming Event**: * Q2 2024 earnings release scheduled for August 2, 2024 (before market open) 5. **Risk Factors**: * Economic slowdowns * Real estate value declines * Financial and corporate risks (as detailed in company disclosures) * Above-average downside volatility 6. **Potential Opportunities**: * High dividend yield (attractive for income-focused investors) * Possibility of a short squeeze due to high short interest * Contrarian investment opportunity 7. **Investor Considerations**: * High risk-reward profile * Potential for significant price swings * Importance of thorough due diligence Please note that this information is subject to change, and investors should always verify the latest data and conduct their own research before making investment decisions. The stock market is inherently risky, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 
ABR stock. crazy shorts and days to cover, also. But I just like the stock.
Good. Now go investigate the ABR shorts.
Fuck those cunts. I am diamond handing my ABR. Also loaning my shares because it's a dividend play, not a growth play.
Now lets defeat the next short sellers! [The Very Real Short Squeeze Case For MPW Stock (Viceroy Research Beware)](https://youtu.be/xkMn9I5_s_o). Viceroy is very evil. Spreading rumors about all kinds of stocks. ABR most recently. Bottom line is that those gay bears are making a lot of money. Someone should squeeze their nutts and bring some pain.
Will someone please check the volume, delta and OI of ABR 16AUG 14+15Cs and 12+13Ps and tell me if I'm a genius or have a hard case of the 'tisms. Fellas...i might have cracked the code. 
Looks like my shares of ABR.
There have been teams of short-specialists who have long claimed ABR was committing fraud with respect to its loan books and practices, basically overstating nav and miscategorizing loans. It's why the stock has been so volatile throughout the last many months. What's different today is that there is now going to be an actual government investigation about it. Why this matters is that ABR is deemed safe by many investors because they issue and hold government backed mbs, which are safe from default. But if ABR loses that privilege, their whole business model goes to pot.
Major short plays going on at MPW and ABR now. Viceroy and Ninja pounding these with false info. Link shows the Viceroy shady story - it’s a rabbit hole and spy novel all at the same time. https://www.issuewire.com/viceroy-reported-for-market-manipulation-and-wire-fraud-on-medical-properties-trust-mpw-to-the-sec-1759886725308247
Anyone following ABR? Big ol' nut squeeze almost certain in the coming weeks after today's shortseller bullshit. 
Anyone following ABR? Big ol' nut squeeze almost certain in the coming weeks after today's shortseller bullshit. 
Arbor Realty (ABR) investigated for lending practices, down 19%: [https://finance.yahoo.com/news/arbor-realty-probed-us-doj-161347943.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/arbor-realty-probed-us-doj-161347943.html) Puts it is. If the FBI is involved and publicly named as investigating it, it's rock-solid.
AGNC isn't bad, if you bought less than a year-and-a-half ago. The stock price slide from mid-2021 until early 2023 is scary. I hold ABR. It has a better track record, in terms of stock price and yearly dividend increases. If you can tolerate the volatility, it's a solid performer all things considered.
I hold some REITs (O, ABR and NNN) in a roth IRA and bought a bit more when they all tanked over the last couple years. I'd avoid the ones with major exposure to CRE, otherwise the rest could be seen as a good opportunity pre-empting rate cuts. Ultimately you're probably better off just buying index funds but whatever, I like having some dividends in there.
Put or call? If its a call, write it as: ABR 13.50c 07/05 So first let's note that this week is a shortened market week due to the holiday, so today is much closer to expiration than you might otherwise think. ABR is up a lot by this point, so all the evidence for a bid of $.05 has disappeared. The current bid/ask is a more decent 0.90/1.25 vs. a spot price of $14.47. This makes sense, since there ought to be close to $1.00 of intrinsic value in a 13.50 call vs. that spot. The contract is very thinly traded, I only see maybe 1 trade a day for the last couple of weeks, so it's hard to say anything about the history of the contract. The chain as a whole is on the low to non-existent volume side, other than the 14 strike call which looks comparatively active. I see the two sales at .90 that you saw, then a sale at .85, then the last sale at 1.00. ---------------- So the reason .05/.06 is ideal and .05/1.95 is terrible is as follows. First, since this is actually a nickel increment contract, let me change the ideal spread to .05/.10. Now it's realistic. Suppose you buy a call at the mark (midpoint) price for each spread. For .05/.10, there is no midpoint, **so you buy at the ask of .10**. For the wide spread, the midpoint is 1.00, **so you buy at 1.00**. Then the next day the bids of both spreads go up by $1.00, so now the narrow spread is 1.05/1.10 and the wide spread is 1.05/2.95. You want to sell to close and collect your profit and you end up getting the bid price as your fill. For the narrow spread, your profit is 1.05 - .10 = $.95 profit on the trade. For the wide spread, your profit is 1.05 - 1.00 = $.05 profit on the trade. **Because the spread was so wide, buying at the mark means you paid too much for the contract and got a small profit as a result**. Wide spreads mean lower profits, that's why bad liquidity should be avoided.
The trade is ABR 13.5 07/05 Is that the correct way to provide that info? I thought I'd make a guess about your questions so you could correct me, but apparently I understand it so little I can't get anything down. I'd be grateful for an explanation.
Maybe buy ABR for the dividends instead of BTI?
My top 10 individual stocks by position size. As I approach retirement I am converting my portfolio from growth to income and growth, so some are less well-known names. 1. NVDA (Information Technology) 2. SHOP (Information Technology) 3. **KNSL** (Financials) 4. TRMD (Energy) 5. FRO (Energy) 6. PBR (Energy) 7. ABR (Financials) 8. LPG (Energy) 9. CGBD (Financials) 10. AMZN (Consumer Discretionary)
Fintel shows 41% on Arbor Realty Trust Inc. $ABR
You also leave money on the table if you sell once or twice a year. While current short term rates are high (~5%) that's not usually the case - generally one gets 1.5% to 2%. So that money sits idly for up to 12 months not even keeping up with inflation. There's no free lunch when it comes to risk/reward. As to my total return vs the S&P 500, well, it is what it is. My largest holdings are Hercules (HTGC), Main St. (MAIN), Arbor Realty (ABR) and Hess Midstream (HESM). All of those except for MAIN have comfortably outperformed the S&P 500 over the past six or so years, which is when I completed transitioning to an income oriented portfolio. Here's a link to show the details: https://totalrealreturns.com/s/IVV,ABR,HESM,HTGC,MAIN?start=2018-06-01 Overall returns: - IVV: 71% (IVV is the S&P 500 index ETF I hold) - ABR: 110% - HESM: 110% - HTGC: 143% - MAIN: 61% MAIN, by the way, has outperformed the S&P 500 427% to 273% since I started buying it at the start of 2011.
the collapse is going to much smaller and localized to northern and western cities. There will be no collapse in Miami, Dallas, Atlanta, Nashville, Phoenix and Charlotte. On the other hand, Chicago, San Fran, Seattle, Portland, New York, and Minneapolis will be hurt. Also dont under estimate the power of extend and pretend. I personally think the publically traded reits will be fine, a couple of dings and dents, but the real pain will be in the private funds like Blackrock's B reit, Starwood's S reit. The private funds books arent marked to market every quarter, they basically just make up a number of what the buildings are worth. For disclosure, not an ABR investor, nor am I short. I am an investor in STWD, have been for years, those conference calls are amazing, and I added when it went down on news that S reit is limiting withdrawls. Good luck everyone
Dividend bull on youtube has a couple videos dismantling the Viceroy article about ABR. It sounds like Viceroy is shorting it then publishing articles to push down the price.
$ABR is the best play IMO. Relatively safe to hold overnight.
Try CSUAY. It’s at $18 right now—the stock doubled in price in the last 1.5 years and pays a steady 7-8% dividends. Another one is ABR which is only about $13.5 and pays 6% dividends. For long term, XOM. It pays good dividends and price always rebounds when market dibs. If you want it for short term, buy it before summer and sell after Labor Day. Oil usually goes up in the summer.
The article "10 stocks Roaring Kitty should target next instead of gamestop" suggests: SunPower (SPWR), RILY, Arbor Reality Trust (ABR) and MPW these are highly shorted stocks. My hunch is ABR and MPW could be next.
I liquidated all of my non performing stocks last week and bought more MPW and ABR. The run-up for both stocks was expected considering the percentage shorted, but happy to see it sooner rather than later. I feel ABR will be shorted tomorrow on ex-dividend and a chance to buy more once they bring down the price. The same shorts (Viceroy and HedgeEye) are shorting both stocks and are do predictable they must be horrible at poker.