CB

C3lder

Save this post because I will be completely wrong: $CNI, $CP, $TOST, $LIN, $URI, $CB. These picks will underperform everyone else's picks on the planet because I am dog shit at stock picking.

TheInkDon1

Finally you came out and said what the stock was, thanks. You posted this before today's 15% drop; did you buy? I'm having trouble seeing premium of 2.50 to 5.00 in a week too, like someone else said. Especially at a place where it would take an 11-15% rise in the stock to be hit. Right now, Tuesday AH, at 10DTE, that's 36-delta at most, and those Calls are only fetching 1.69. That's an ROI against spot of 41.12 of 4.1% over 8 trading days, so 2.5%/week at most. So check your numbers on that. But regardless of that, do you see what people were saying about bag-holding? The stock dropped **7.37** today. The right-ATM 10DTE Calls are selling for just **2.90.** It's hard to say what this morning's numbers were (or yesterday late), but that general relationship should be close, and in fact it has to be because of Delta. (Shares 100-delta, ATM Calls \~50-delta) So if you'd done that buy-write this morning and that happened, you'd have been in the hole $4 or so, and $4 is **8%** of yesterday's close. Then work out where you'd be selling a new CC (because you'd be buying that one back quickly) to not be below your CB. It's an enticing game, but one I gave up a long time ago, and for that reason. But what I *really* came in to talk about is your notion about deep-ITM Calls. First, 2 rules I live by when buying Calls: **Never less than 100 days.** **Never less than 90-delta.** But I used to do 80-delta, and that's pretty common, so let's use that. The 20March expiration is 108DTE. The 30C is at 81-delta according to ToS and costs 16.25 at Midpoint here AH. (Making B/E 46.25) Divide that by spot of 41.12 and get 40%. That means that Call option is 60% less than buying shares. Or flipping the math: 41.12 / 16.25 means you could buy 2.5 of those Calls for the same amount of money as buying 100 shares. So *that's* why you might consider buying Calls instead of shares. Cheers!

LordFaquaad

Agreed with the duration matching. However the banks investment philosophy is still being dictated by the government. Hence the government uses it as an alternate form of financing / bringing stability into the market. Its essentially another tool to continue financing thr government domestically without exposing the governments debt to external financiers. Japan Post Bank which is a state owned bank has around 25% of its total invest able assets dedicated to government securities. These aren't high yielding assets and the bank / insurers it owns does this due to the state philosophy since profit isnt the main driving force behind the bank https://www.japanpost.jp/en/ir/news/jpn/20250515_en02.pdf CB isnt the only thing that matters. If you have investors selling the longer maturity govt debt, it signals a weak long term outlook. State owned entities are supposed to bring stability into the market by buying government debt and HTM

LordFaquaad

Put in the "state owned entities" e.g. Banks, insurers etc. They're doing the exact same thing but just spreading exposure over multiple state entities instead of concentrating it in the CB. The largest Chinese banks are all state owned (big 4 banks) Thats why a direct comparison to the US is pointless. Asia / Africa both have a lot of government involvement through state owned or state sponsored entities. Its the same thing with the Saudis and how they use Aramco to push forward certain policies eventhough its marketed as a private entity

LordFaquaad

Based on US markets yes. However, this is pretty standard in Asia. Indonesia, Malaysia, China, etc. are all the same way. The debt is owned by either the CB or "state owned entities".

rainbowColoredBalls

I'm heavily into Rblx (30% port, CB $70). If it has a good run in 26, I might be close to retirement

Happy_Discussion_536

!RemindMe July Nothing can move money safely across borders as BTC. It's buried treasure that is extremely difficult to confiscate. That said, most of gold going up has nothing to do with use case. And everything to do with debasement, CB buying. It's irrelevant what the use case is as long as it has it. People want BTC and it's here to stay. Just watch you will be proven very wrong. Let's revisit in July and next December.

Happy_Discussion_536

Nothing can move money safely across borders as BTC. It's buried treasure that is extremely difficult to confiscate. That said, most of gold going up has nothing to do with use case. And everything to do with debasement, CB buying. It's irrelevant what the use case is as long as it has it. People want BTC and it's here to stay. Just watch you will be proven very wrong. Let's revisit in July and next December.

Brilliant_Guidance65

I have a CB of $96. I always add on pullback. Currently holding 1248.76 shares.

Brilliant_Guidance65

I'm holding APLD at a 4.22 CB, NBIS at a $21 CB. I don't care about reminding you to tell folks to buy at $27 and $84. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!!!

btoned

Literally just had the CB meal. You're in good hands!

derprondo

Bob Evans is a good alternative to CB.

Waste-Passion-4420

I have been in Caribou for quite some time. I have had to dollar cost average down to reduce my break even price point. Pro’s- I am a big fan of Rachel and of their progress in CB10 and CB11. I am glad they focused on oncology and shelved the autoimmune research (for now). Their benchmark is Yescarta, an autologous treatment that already generates $2.5B per year, so there is a proven scalable larger market for CRBU’s allogenic approach. Cons - the share price action is terrible. Rachel did waste one full year by not starting HLA matching sooner but that is in the past and the results speak for themselves. My biggest issue is that I don’t understand the price movement. Seems like it’s held down for accumulation. There are significant amounts of large institutional holders. I understand the science and the results so I am staying in and buying when it gets to these low points. I haven’t sold a share in 4yrs so yes, some shares (not many) are near ATHs.

dragonforcingmywayup

✅ 1. “Growing out of it is impossible — demographics guarantee it.” This is not true and is unsupported by actual economic data. ✔ Fact A: The U.S. has the best demographic profile of any advanced economy • high immigration • strong labor-force participation • younger median age than Europe, Korea, China, and Japan Demographics are a tailwind compared to most developed economies. ✔ Fact B: Productivity growth is the main driver of “growing out of debt,” not birth rates And right now: • AI capex exploding • reshoring stimulating manufacturing • labor productivity has risen at the fastest pace since the early 2000s The OP is making simplified demographic doom arguments that economists don’t use. ⸻ ❌ 2. “Tax cuts passed → tax increases are off the table.” This is pure political opinion, not economics. Historically: • The U.S. has raised taxes many times even after cuts • Deficit pressure forces bipartisan tax changes • Taxes can rise automatically through bracket creep, inflation, and expiring provisions And importantly: Congress doesn’t need to reverse tax cuts to reduce deficits — they just need smaller increases in spending vs revenue over time. The OP is turning a fluctuating political choice into a “mathematical impossibility,” which is wrong. ⸻ ❌ 3. “We’re already doing yield control.” Incorrect. Yield curve control is when a central bank explicitly caps yields at a target. The U.S. is not doing that. • Long-term yields float freely • The Fed is still in QT • There is no cap or floor on 10-year yields If we were doing YCC: • the Fed balance sheet would be expanding • the 10-year yield would be pinned • forward rates would collapse None of this is happening. This is just a misuse of terminology. ⸻ ❌ 4. “If the model is Japan, we don’t have the social cohesion to stagnate.” This is a philosophical argument, not an economic one. More importantly: • The U.S. does not need to be Japan. • The U.S. economy is far more dynamic, risk-tolerant, and innovative. • Immigration gives the U.S. something Japan never had. The comparison doesn’t apply. This is a false analog. ⸻ ❌ 5. “This is unproductive debt — we got nothing from it.” Again, this is not accurate. The COVID-era debt: • prevented a 1930s collapse • preserved households • accelerated labor market recovery • grew corporate earnings • created the conditions for the AI investment wave • produced the fastest GDP recovery in the G7 Calling that “nothing” is just emotional. ⸻ ❌ 6. “I’m following the smart money — central banks buying gold.” This is misinterpreting the data. Central banks buying gold ≠ U.S. collapse. The main drivers of CB gold purchases have been: • geopolitical diversification • hedging sanctions risk • China reducing dollar exposure gradually • Turkey stabilizing currency reserves • India raising reserve quality NONE of these are because “U.S. debt is unpayable.” Central banks reduce dollar share because they are diversifying, not abandoning. They still overwhelmingly hold: • U.S. Treasuries • Dollar reserves • SWIFT-system assets If central banks believed the OP’s scenario, T-bills would be blowing out in yield right now. Instead? Yields are trending down.

Reasonable_Roger

Gotta love CB consumer confidence missing by a mile. Regular people shouting from the rooftops that they're broke as hell and the market don't give a fuuuuuuuuuuuuuk.

Ok_Cry7572

Key Events This Week: Tuesday: - September PPI inflation - September retail sales - November CB consumer confidence - October pending home sales Wednesday: - US Q3 2025 GDP - September durable goods orders - September PCE inflation - September new home sales Thursday: - Markets closed for Thanksgiving Friday: - Markets close at 1 PM ET

Gom_KBull

do it please, ive been waiting 74 years for CB

Gom_KBull

ive never felt so alive like when we hit CBs, god i hope we hit CB # ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ gib circuit breaker

ExtremeAddict

I don't know how the regards do DCA. But when I DCA, I do it the way you describe it. Lower than my average CB, but with positive momentum confirmation. Never as it's still going down. That's just stupid.

alxs1234

This is true. I got sim swapped, email hacked, and then coinbase hacked one day (2FA + Secure password). Hacker drained my checking which had ~$800 in it years ago buying crypto on CB and quickly sent it to their account. Filed a charge back with the bank and got refuned but the next time I deposited crypto to coinbase they took the money and said it was their's. To this day I haven't been able to purchase crypto through them. I tried to fix that with their support a while back but gave up when the support rep was being obtuse. If your security isn't great you could be on the hook for a lot of money in the event something catastrophic happens. Coinbase itself could get hacked as well and you could just be out of luck. I do like CB but the situation I was in left a slightly sour taste in my mouth and now its just easier to buy IBIT and not have to dick with the exchanges.

WhiteNikeAirs

Honestly surprised how high their CB was. It seemed obvious how undervalued they were around $180.

DrestinBlack

So, you think BTC will go below $22k, my CB for the coin I paid for? Serious question: BTC below $22k? (I still own 42 of the 50 I mined in ‘11 at $0 cost)

drew-gen-x

People have hedged the world currency devaluation crisis by buying stocks forever, especially since 2008. CB's & governments for years have claimed they could print money forever w/o runaway inflation. We've had runaway inflation since 2008, it's just that inflation showed up in asset prices such as stocks, real estate, and gold. It was only after the covid money printing bomb that this runaway inflation also started to show up in everyday consumption goods & services consumed by the masses. I'm extremely bearish and believe we are in an AI bubble, but that doesn't mean stocks will go down forever. You need a hedge against the devaluation of USD and other world currencies. I just prefer Gold & Housing as my long term hedge over stocks in this current AI bubble.

hv876

*cries in CB of $9*

ArtisticCommunicator

To hold ASTS through earnings and see if it comes back to my comically high CB, or not to hold . . .

DJDevine

Man I used to roll up and get a Jr CB Deluxe, a Jr Bacon CB, and either fries or 5 pc chicken nuggets for $5. Helped get me through so many nights for a small amount of $$

grackychan

Hi friend I own 100 DUOL at $230 lmao, adjusted for CSP premium, $223 / share... Wheeling around my CB to lower basis or get called away... This could take quite some time :)

Jeff_xx

CB wen ?

SpicyLemonZest

The problem is that you, like every single person I've seen get excited about FSD, are using it in a way that [Tesla specifically says you must not do](https://www.tesla.com/ownersmanual/2020_2024_modely/en_us/GUID-2CB60804-9CEA-4F4B-8B04-09B991368DC5.html). You are not being chauffeured around, you cannot go hands free or pedal free, you need to be constantly paying attention to the road and ready to take over at a moment's notice.

vinkulafu

I had "thousands" of BYND and sold CCs on all of them. BYND shot up to $7.69 and CCs were too expensive for me to BTC. I just BTC today for a profit of $85 but now I'm ready to sell BYND if there's another pump. CB is 0.79 so the previous high would have been a 10x. I'm at 2x currently but will hold for now.

ChaoticDad21

You were talking about the depression…that’s fair. But if the CB is powerful now…why do they allow runs in inflation in modern times?

I_WlLL_END_YOU

I only had 2 contracts. I have a bunch of straight stock @ $86 CB already so didn’t want to put too much of my port into it

Ok_Lie_3148

Yeah that's not true. Palantir has been working with both parties. It goes as far back as Obama. Who do you think was behind the CB1 app pushed by the Biden admin lol.

eskhalaf

***Weekly Market News for the week 10/27 - 10/31*** **Monday 10/27:** - Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep) - New Home Sales (Sep) **Tuesday 10/28:** - CB Consumer Confidence (Oct) **Wednesday 10/29:** - Crude Oil Inventories - Fed Interest Rate Decision - FOMC Statement - FOMC Press Conference **(30 minutes after the Rate Decision & Statement)** **Thursday 10/30:** - GDP (QoQ) (Q3) **Friday 10/31:** - Core PCE Price Index (YoY) & (MoM) (Sep) - Chicago PMI (Oct)

ArtisticCommunicator

twf INTC shares (CB $20) outperform NVDA shares (CB $100)

AnduinStillwater

I have 800 shares at av $0.47. The low volume on this stock has been concerning me.  But, Dec 24 the company agrees a loan (convertible bond) 3i, for $4.7m dollars. As of Oct 25, the outstanding amount on this CB was $300k. This means that 93% the share dilution that could have happened has already happened by this date. By 13th Dec 25, the CB would have matured, meaning that TNMG will have either paid off the remaining debt owed, or 3i would have converted any outstanding amount into shares. As of 14th Dec 25, TNMG will have no outstanding debt obligation under this note, and if no further dilution announcements to raise capital, the share price can be considered safe from dilution for a time.  What this means; Existing shareholder confidence grows without the overhang of possible dilution of their current TNMG holdings Potential buyers could be more interested in this stock as TNMG have demonstrated robust financial discipline and balance sheet looks very healthy Nothing materially changes in regards the company's forward momentum however. Providing the borrowed capital was put to good use and was repaid responsibly, and the raised capital was expended in the way outlined in the business plan, then the company has just executed its own plan. Raise capital to invest in business growth.  Indirectly this is a positive for potential investors. If the company is able to set out a growth strategy, raise the funds to implement the growth strategy, and responsibly pay it off, it indicates that the company is well managed and is strategic enough to fulfill its short term plans in order to enable their longer term plans.  Potential buyers should watch this space as TNMG will be present at multiple media events in the coming months where their existing projects and potential new projects will be under the microscope. Benchmark have recently held their forecast at $3.50/share in light of the evident financial discipline, 100x greater than the current shareprice. A good buy in my opinion and one to sit with/invest more in if you are already holding. 

Keraxs

theyre trading 20% discount to a $100M pipe at this point, what is dead cannot die.. hopefully (my CB is 15)

agnolamodus

Cheers, Rio Ferdinand. Fav CB

featherbirdcalls

What’s CB?

ExtremeAddict

Yeah I used to do that. My PLTR position was converted recently from shares to LEAPS. I redeployed the capital. But now I've been going straight into LEAPS directly. HOOD, OKLO, UNH, ASTS, RKLB - all made several hundred % gains, and I took profits to cover my CB. Now they're all on house money, and I've redeployed my capital again into datacenter and AI. I don't do shares at all anymore. Half my port is a very low CB tech stock that would be almost entirely capital gain now (1500%) - which I cannot sell since I don't want to pay the tax at the moment. But I use margin off that to put that gain to some work.

Jergle24

Crispr-cas9 is the hot thing in biotech right now. It’s used for gene editing and in the future gene editing will be able to solve basically any disease ever. CRBU is co-founded by the woman who co-invented the tech and also co-founded NTLA. She is working with CRBU to develope a crispr hybrid RNA-DNA (chRDNA). This chRDNA will make the existing crispr tech work better be more accurate and have less unintended gene edits which have unintended consequences. ChRDNA will make crispr safer and more effective, it is also a platform that can be patented and then CRBU can license it to all the other biotech crispr companies and make billions. Trial data for their two proof of concept therapies CB-010 and CB-011 will be released by end of year. Stock has moved from 0.66 to 2.60 in anticipation but mcap is still around 300m which means this has upside potential to easily 10-20x if the results are good. I’m betting on the competence of Jennifer Dounda who invented crispr, won a Nobel prize, and cofounded NTLA. Bad results kills the thesis but she has proven to be a good bet and the upside far outward the downside here.

Former-Object-8363

I have said this 3 times yesterday alone that do not try to short this bit CB

HelpOuta49er

Yes. It really is manipulation. But manipulation is unavoidable at his point. As US markets are overwhelmingly influenced by Federal Government / CB policy measures. Instead of natural market forces. Of course, the decision makers know this. And of course, they are profiting from it.

markbagh

fair take on timing risk. that's why i split between physical + options. the CB buying is what makes me think we stay elevated even through corrections but yeah growth stocks are solid too, just different play

markbagh

yeah fair point. the geopolitical stuff is def accelerating things faster than i thought. what do you think pushes it higher - more CB buying or fed cuts?

balling

Bought at 1.62 CB and sold it all to buy a house this year, unfortunately it was right before the super run, so I only sold at $120 a share but either way I can’t really complain since it paid for my home.

blalah

Yeah, I don't disagree with you there, using CB or a broker is easier and in some cases far safer than trying to track your own keys. My point was more that crypto is intrinsically different in that there is still a PK, no matter who is holding it, or how many times it's stored or backed up. If that's gone, it's gone. With forming a company and issuing stock it's just a matter of getting the execs and the lawyers in a room for an hour while everyone bangs their dicks on the table and the lawyers leave paid. There's nothing that could make the stock suddenly disappear.

blalah

yeah that reality actually keeps it outside of corporate governance. CB could get hacked and the ledger doesn't give a flying bat's butt if someone moves stolen BTC. it's gone. You can't "hack" company stock that way haha

brbcryinginside

Key Events: • 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims (Forecast:223K, Previous: 218K) - A key indicator of labor market health • 8:30 AM ET: Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Potential hints on future monetary policy direction Other Important Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET: Continuing Jobless Claims (Forecast:1,930K, Previous: 1,926K) - Ongoing unemployment benefit claims • 8:35 AM ET: FOMC Member Bowman Speaks - Insights on economic outlook and monetary policy • 11:00 AM ET: Construction Spending (Forecast:-0.1%, Previous: -0.1%) - Indicator of economic activity in the construction sector • 12:00 PM ET: WASDE Report - USDA forecasts on agricultural supply and demand • 12:45 PM ET: Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks - Regulatory perspective on financial system • 1:00 PM ET: Atlanta Fed GDPNow - Running estimate of real GDP growth for the current quarter • 1:00 PM ET: 30-Year Bond Auction (Previous:4.651%) - Gauge of long-term government borrowing costs • 3:45 PM ET: FOMC Member Bowman Speaks - Additional commentary on monetary policy • 4:30 PM ET: Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks (Previous:2.980T) - Indicator of banking system liquidity • 4:30 PM ET: Fed’s Balance Sheet (Previous:6,587B) - Overview of Federal Reserve’s assets and liabilities Other Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET: Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. (Previous:237.50K) - Smoothed trend in weekly jobless claims • 10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Trade Sales (Previous:1.4%) - Measure of sales at the wholesale level • 10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (Forecast:-0.2%, Previous: -0.2%) - Indicator of future production levels • 10:30 AM ET: Natural Gas Storage (Forecast:76B, Previous: 53B) - Weekly change in natural gas inventories • 11:00 AM ET: CB Employment Trends Index (Previous:106.41) - Composite measure of labor market indicators • 11:30 AM ET: 4-Week Bill Auction (Previous:4.060%) - Short-term government borrowing costs • 11:30 AM ET: 8-Week Bill Auction (Previous:3.960%) - Additional measure of short-term government borrowing costs Good luck! 🤗

Seriera

Guhhh, I’m holding 01/2027 20cs and some shares. But my CB is 16.50 lol

AlliGalaxy

Hmmm I wonder if Galaxy Digital GLXY could be part of their financial play? They just launched a retail trading platform with crypto & stocks to compete with RH and CB…

ArtisticCommunicator

Looking at the CB of some shares in WSB favorites from 6-12 months ago... ASTS 24.40 -> now 72.90 JOBY 6.80 -> 19.57 PL 5.55 -> 15.24 RKLB 19.80 -> 58.50

ExtremeAddict

This is not a tax question. But rather if you're comfortable holding INTC for 1 year. You have gains right now. There is a chance if you don't take profits now, it will just dissolve away. Paying taxes on a gain is always better than having no gain. Taxes - yes, you will be on LTGC if you exercise AND hold the shares for 1 year after you exercise. You lose the extrinsic value, but it's very small - just like $0.5 per share, since you're deep ITM 0.97 delta. Depending your income level, the difference can be up to 17%. So it may be worth it. But then again, assumes INTC will be above $22.77 - which will be the CB for your shares. Apart from the recent Trump pump, INTC has stayed under $22.77 for the most part of this year.

Phiziqe

Fair, but I have an inkling that Elon might consider it as its competitor. He often retweets some non sense that a rando account “Reddit lies” posts. But he has an account here so I don’t necessarily agree with an idea that Elon hates Reddit. Most of the part you’ve pointed out is correct, you sound like you hold RDDT? Anyway I was a Twitter shareholder back then and it was one helluva journey, do you want to hear the full story? though I shouldn’t complain, I made a fair amount of profit off of it when the transaction was completed (a bit overpriced) at $54.20, my CB was $35. If I remember correctly, allegedly Jack Dorsey had beef with the BOD (board of directors), he said it had been an on going issue for the past few years, he tried to talk Elon into joining as a committee member so that he could gain a vote in favor of him the final decision making, Elon initially said yes and bought 9% of stake, though later declined. He initiated tender offer to aquire all the potentially available shares, the hostile takeover seemed quite imminent. Twitter publicly announced that they are not for sale. But probably Jack wanted P2P (to take the company private) at all cost, so that he no longer needs to forcefully associate with the board members although he was about to leave the board for good in a few months, supposedly he hoped to fire some of them (I don’t recall it exactly but he said they are the reason why it’s rot or something similar) and trusted Elon more, Elon signed the contract. Meanwhile, Russia conflict has begun, reportedly Elon’s fear of nuke war had grown day by day (check the leaked texts between Elon and Larry, the oracle CEO) he wished to back out of the deal, he could have played it nice like a gentleman, instead he woke up and chose violence, he blatantly disrespected Twitter openly, basically he accused Twitter of being fraud, he insisted Twitter’s disclosure about less than the estimated 5% of mDAU being bot accounts/activities is a deceptive concept. Twitter sued him for breaching NDA and to force him to close the deal. He tried to refute and counter sue them, but he had no enough evidence to back up the claim, all he kept saying back then was Twitter should release the more accurate data and the measurement they are using is false and it’s causing MAE (material adverse effect), the Delaware judge McCormick denied the appeal and stated that Twitter does not owe him anything. Indeed, because Elon was supposed to do due diligence beforehand not after, he complained about it after signing the deal. Elon raged tweeted a lot on Twitter to win the public sentiment but the judge did not buy his made up invalid excuse to weasel out of it, the rest of the story you already know. When I have a flashback like right now, I always wonder what would have been like if the judge was convinced by Elon and let him pay $1B as a fee and walk away. You’re right, there’s data that show Reddit is heavily left leaned whereas Twitter has become more right leaned under the Elon regime (no need to look up the research, anyone who has more than two legitimate braincells can notice it just scrolling down the front pages of both) but folks should not forget Elon did stand up against the administration for once he called them out a few months ago, and I agree that the current state of Twitter appears to be quite useful when it comes to the uncensored content, which could be flagged graphic and removed on other platforms. However, this isn’t merit, it would not help attracting more advertisers as the majority of them would want SFW places to ad their products.

InnerSandersMan

What will you do when it hits expiration? Will you let it execute and use the cash elsewhere or will you sell close the call and sell another? My point is that you should make the move that supports your current thesis. I've made very profitable CCs that ended up way ITM. Sometimes I can get my money back out with minimum cost (I think this is what you're talking about). If I've made the money I intended, I then have to ask What now? If I think the stock will hold it's value or increase, I sometimes roll up and stay same. This costs me, but I look at the return. Very important in that situation to not chase the strike price. Sometime I close the call and sell the shares. If I'm ITM, I'm making money. As you have looked at your cost, I also look at mine. Is it costing me $100 to free up $10,000 for 6 months? Yep, I'm doing that. That's because I feel that I can make way more in other places. 1% of your total CB as your cost doesn't sound like much. Feel free to throw the exact numbers out and I can give an honest assessment. Typically, Up and Out. Often close and close. Occasionally, Up and stay.

quod-inquisitio

i buy ~120dte spy calls at about 15-20 delta, up ~75% on these, on big rally days i STO some calls 5-10 strikes further out to turn some of the calls into call debit spreads and then BTC them on red days when they are in profit to lock in some gains and reduce CB on the long calls. i close the position usually at around 90-70dte.

StonkStrategist

My CB 194

Ingo2021

Thankyou for shairng as that was an excellent Tech Analysis ...I hope you dont mind if I add to it. **ATCH – Condensed Assessment with Share Value** **Upsides** Revenue (FY25): $10.86M (commissions, clearing, vetting) Operating Loss: $(4.9)M, down \~65% vs prior period Bottom Line: GAAP profit +$5.75M (non-cash fair-value gains offset losses) Capital & Insider Signal: $5M financing in Sept, $2M insider checks Governance: 10-K filed Sept 29; earnings call Sept 30 @ 8:30am ET Share Structure: Reverse split 1-for-60 (Dec 2024); 126.8M shares outstanding (Sept 25, 2025) Revenue Multiple Enterprise Value (EV) Approx. Market Cap Implied Share Price\* 5× (low fintech infra) $54M $54M $0.43 7× (base bull case) $76M $76M $0.60 10× (growth fintech) $109M $109M $0.86 12× (premium fintech infra) $130M $130M $1.03 \*Implied share price = Market Cap ÷ 126.8M shares. Excludes net cash/debt adjustments. **Upside Catalysts** 1. Revenue scaling: Doubling commissions/clearing + vetting 2. Banking optionality: Adding net interest income via CB of Wyoming 3. Operating leverage: Opex already down \~65%; path to breakeven is visible 4. Capital structure & IR: Insider alignment + PCG Advisory → potential for institutional entry **Takeaway:** At today’s \~$0.73 share price, ATCH is trading above a distressed 5× multiple but well below growth fintech ranges. Execution on revenue doubling + banking monetization could reasonably re-rate the stock into the $0.60–$1.00+ zone, with higher optionality if it scales toward $50–250M revenue

eskhalaf

***Tuesday 9/3*** - Chicago PMI (Sep) - JOLTs Job Openings (Aug) - CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) ***Wednesday 10/1*** - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) - Crude Oil Inventories ***Thursday 10/2*** - Initial Jobless Claims ***Friday 10/3*** - Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) - Unemployment Rate (Sep) - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Sep) - S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Sep) - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep)

eskhalaf

‏***Tuesday 9/3*** ‏- Chicago PMI (Sep) ‏- JOLTs Job Openings (Aug) ‏- CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) ‏***Wednesday 10/1*** ‏- ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) ‏- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ‏- ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ‏- Crude Oil Inventories ‏***Thursday 10/2*** ‏- Initial Jobless Claims ‏***Friday 10/3*** ‏- Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) ‏- Unemployment Rate (Sep) ‏- Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Sep) ‏- S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) ‏- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Sep) ‏- ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Have a great gainful week 🔥

Stitch426

I don’t know if it’ll go that low from where it is now. What I’ve noticed is that no matter how much a company sandbags their guidance, it’s the analyst sentiment and expectations that really drives the movement in or out of a stock. For a while, people thought we would just have to wait for UNH to adjust their premiums. But this post is definitely saying there’s more to it than that. Oh well, we will see what happens in October. I’ve got like a CB I’d $387 or something like that. I might just sell it all on the pre-earnings pump. Because I honestly don’t think it’ll go up after earnings. But this post has be reconsidering buying UNH at all in the future. Maybe I should have bought more SNPS when I had the chance.

eskhalaf

***Tuesday 9/3*** - Chicago PMI (Sep) - JOLTs Job Openings (Aug) - CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) ***Wednesday 10/1*** - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) - Crude Oil Inventories ***Thursday 10/2*** - Initial Jobless Claims ***Friday 10/3*** - Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) - Unemployment Rate (Sep) - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Sep) - S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Sep) - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep)

modeezy23

The chart on daily and weekly picking up volume breaking resistance levels with the volume to support it. Along with these upcoming catalysts before end of year. 1. CB-010 – ANTLER Phase 1 Trial (Second-Line Large B Cell Lymphoma) • Expected Data Release: Second half of 2025 • Details: Presentation of data from a 20-patient confirmatory cohort using Caribou’s partial HLA matching strategy. This data will include initial safety and efficacy results with a minimum of six months of follow-up for the majority of patients.  2. CB-011 – CaMMouflage Phase 1 Trial (Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma) • Expected Data Release: Second half of 2025 • Details: Presentation of dose escalation data from a minimum of 25 patients at multiple dose levels using a deeper lymphodepletion regimen, with at least three months of follow-up. This update will include initial safety and efficacy data, as well as recommended dose(s) for expansion.  ⸻ 💼 Corporate Events • Upcoming Earnings Report: Caribou is estimated to announce its Q3 2025 earnings between November 6 and November 7, 2025.  • Investor Conferences: • Truist Securities BioPharma Symposium: Scheduled for November 6, 2025. 

phaethonReborn

I wheel weekly CCs. If I'm in a good spot as they approach expiration I'll roll to 1 or 0 dte CCs. My CB on the underlying is low so if I get assigned I'm still okay and happy to be paid to take a profit.

InnerSandersMan

Yeah, even the example says the option is $7.30, $10 strike, approx $16 stock price ($17.30 for $16 stock?). Sorry if I missed something. Sell option for 7.30 and buy for 16, 8.70 CB not $10.

MasterpieceLiving738

I’m fine with missing it. When you start chasing is when you start losing. I’m not gonna sell my winners here to chase a stock that’s up 70% on the day, it’s just not worth it. I’m happy for all the guys in here that made money on it but I couldn’t justify selling any of my OPEN ($2.78 CB), RR ($3.09 CB), or PSQH ($2.02 CB) to chase something that moved that much in such little time.

InternalLimp753

Was not expecting this much of a rugpull. Hoping for a bottom \~230. Whats your CB and sizing for RDTL?

Neat-Bad-2567

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/us-investors-cash-94116602?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=ASWzDAgF5uSh9KzNMSVGBB0PgTkN0io8lUk4wZ2njv0vQnSj2pXu8CB7O3ndv3k8Duw%3D&gaa_ts=68d2f115&gaa_sig=3gT-TD4TbMXe9whoTT2dxBfPmEnWIe6mfCqznqKcAQBZumKmJ-Wz_dRfcnx7BMXepPrs5FKPhJEwggVGafZOIA%3D%3D

AlexanderDifficult

This is exactly why I’m not stepping into this *play* (it’s definitely not a strategy). I’ve made the same assumption a lot of these guys (including the OPs of the YOLO plays - who btw have hopefully wisely trimmed enough to covered their CB by now) have made at different points in the past only to either lose money or make marginal gains, waiting for it to pop. Every time I research and monitor the price action, it looks more and more dubious. We’re at a point where most tickers have popped and now people are picking through the bones for the next 1000% moonrocket. If Path actually pulls this off, congrats to those who get the timing right but it feels lukewarm to me. In fact, to my mind, the fact that there’s now interest in this stock is a potential signal that we’re finally near the cusp of a broader downward slide (probably not a drastic one but start of some chop)

CookieM0n5ter

Just sell CC’s on your shares at a strike of $10.5 or $11. It is above your cost basis and you can sell 1200. Sell with exp 2 weeks out or so and you will recover about 6-8% of your investment. Also I think this will eventually fly above 10 again so no need to worry. If in 2 weeks it hasnt recovered yet. Your CB is now 6-8% lower so you can sell CC’s on your shares again but at a lower strik at like 9.5/10. Go on until you lowered your CB enough to be okay with your investment. If you are scared of missing out on gains. Use the cash you got from selling CC’s to buy some leaps at strike $12 or so and while you are at it, also buy some leap puts at $5 or so to cover if it drops more

rdrcrmatt

Just roll the option down a strike, out a week or two. Keep doing that till your new strike is low enough to not get assigned or you push your CB down to break even. Then sell CCs on the shares until they’re called away. Rinse, repeat, wheel.

DrestinBlack

Everything is relative, bud. Down hugely Sunday and today. Many alts are down over 10% just today. It’ll, of course, recover, once Binance and the market makers are done flushing all the over leveraged longs that built up. I’ve got zero concerns. MSTR has been on a long term downtrend, but, again, not concerned. $19 CB 😁

Pea-Pod-4165

The CB1 angle plus combo potential with GLP-1s could really stand out if Phase 2a data delivers later this year.

Phamalam

Awesome CB. I thought about avg down more but saw other short term opportunities at the time

therestruth

I damn near fell for it with how legit it all looked until it asked for my seed phrase and I backed out to check here. Never give out your seed phrase! If it took me straight to CB to connect my wallet I probably would have but hell no you aren't getting my super secret password.

InnerSandersMan

I got in to CCs because I was struggling on when to sell a stock. The FOMO got me to hold it too long. So, when I wanted to sell, I would sell a Call on it OTM. If it dropped, I kept the premium. If it went up, I got additional value and the premium. I had a couple stocks do what people have warned about. I sold the Call, the stock dropped significantly, I could sell a Call near my CB. This sucked. I then thought, I'll collect rent while I wait. I tried keeping the Call OTM, but the stock would putter along and explode. Then I'm caught hold a call that's worth 4-5 times what I sold it for. I'm still learning, but I buy stocks that I would hold for years. I sell Calls that are high enough that I'll be happy if they execute. Sometimes, I guy them back for a loss on the option (the value is still in the stock) and then sell higher Calls. You can get caught chasing in situations like this. It's a case by case for me. My recent strategy that I'm testing is ITM CCs and a Put at the same value (Covered Straddle). My goal is for the Call to be executed. If the Put executes, my CB will be significantly reduced, but my exposure to the stock will double. Also, I have a bit of time to cut my losses for a relatively small loss. As the stock drops, the Call decreases and the Put increases, somewhat cancelling each other out. I lose on the stock price mainly. Good luck. I agree with others, you may be risking more than you realize.

FUBOSOFI

Typically I’d agree but Miami’s CB1 is Jack Jones. Best known for bringing a glock in his airport carry on. FA signing this summer. It was Storm Duck but he’s hurt LMAO

SorbetEntire5348

Have 50 shares of intel @ 24 CB. Not sure if I should be happy or pissed.

TheInkDon1

That was very prescient of you to buy a LEAPS Call when Google was down, well done! And you've still made a lot of money, even if you closed the whole position down right now. Which I wouldn't do. The Jan '27 150C is worth **112.72** AH here on Tuesday 9/16. And it's at 93-delta, which means there's lots of room to roll it UP and take some profit out of it. The common recommendation is to buy LEAPS Calls at 80-delta, so staying in that same expiration, that would be the 205C. It's worth **70.15**. Sell the one and buy the other and pocket: 112.72 - 70.15 = 42.57. (Even though it's covered, your broker should let you do it as one rolling transaction.) Now let's see, will that pay to buy back the Call you're short? I think that's the 17Oct240C, is that right? It's going for **16.58**. So yest, you can more than pay to buy that back with the profit that was locked up in the long Call. And you keep the Call still, and still at 486DTE. Now go sell another CC against it (or don't). I too have gotten my CCs run over a lot lately, so I've started selling them at 16-delta, which is 1SD (Standard Deviation), or what your trading platform might show as Expected Move. So I'd probably be selling the 30DTE (from tomorrow) 17Oct280C at 14-delta for 1.66. Your LEAPS Call would have a new CB, 70.15, so I'd calculate ROI from that: 1.66 / 70.15 = 2.3% In a month, so sort of project that to 27% apy just from selling CCs for the next 16 months. You're not in a bad position, actually. Yes, the CC capped/took some of your gain, but you still retained a lot of it, with room to make even more.

Timely_Law_901

MC requirements per rules on WSB. But yes😉 https://ibb.co/Z6RRD4Kr https://ibb.co/zhrn74CB

TheInkDon1

Okay, let's work on your real-life example. It's always helpful with options to think of their price on a *per-share* basis when you're trying translate to thinking about shares. The RKLB 16Jan20C is worth 28.10. That's $28.10 per share that you could apply to purchasing shares. Right? Because you could sell it at 28.10, get $2,810, and then use that towards buying 100 shares. At which time you'd divide by 100 shares to get $2,810 / 100 = $28.10 per share. Back to where we started. Nothing magic there, I just twisted back around on itself to elaborate the point. (And to be honest, my head is starting to spin a little bit, thinking through this stuff.) Spot is 47.24. Say we want to buy 100 shares today. And we've got this 'thing', this Call, that's worth 28.10 per 100 shares. Now, I don't HAVE to 'use' my call to buy the shares, but say I want to. So you SELL the call for 28.10. Then you apply that toward the share purchase price, leaving: 47.24 - 28.10 = **19.14** *That's* what you'd be paying for 100 shares. That would be your Cost Basis. A bit less than the strike price of 20.00, isn't it? Why is it different? *Because of the extrinsic/time value still left in the option.* It's worth MORE than the ability to buy shares at 20. That part is covered by its Intrinsic value. But because there are 122 days left in the option, and even though it's deep ITM at 98-delta, there's still some hope/dreams/*time* value in it. But what if you EXERCISED the Call right now? You'd buy 100 shares as before, and the broker would credit you the equity you have in the option, its Intrinsic value, toward the purchase price. That Intrinsic value is how much the option is ITM: 47.24 - 20 = 27.24 That would be applied toward the purchase of shares, and you'd have to come up with: 47.24 - 27.44 = $20.00 more to buy the shares So you're indeed buying at 20. But the Extrinsic value that got you down to a CB of 19.14 was lost. It's just gone. Why? Because the contract is gone. There's nothing there for people to want and put a time premium on. So in this example, you'd be $86 ahead if you SOLD the Call rather than EXERCISE it. I hope that clears it up some. Sit down with pen and paper and fiddle with the numbers, you'll start to see it. Be good.

TheInkDon1

Ding ding ding, we have a winner! At least, *you* do it the way *I* do it, so it must be right! But seriously, yes, it's just what you made over what you risked. And that's going to be over some time period, right? So then, how would you annualize it? You probably know, but basically, divide by the number of days in the trade, then multiply by 365. Or if it's a short enough play that you can easily calculate the number of *trading* days in the trade, divide by that and multiply by \~252 trading days in a year. I like to annualize to see sort of how each trade is doing, but you can monthly-ize too, and just have a benchmark for monthly performance, like 1 or 2%. And you're absolutely right about CCs: use the CB. And don't forget to lower the CB when you sell Calls against the stock that don't expire ITM. What kind of trades do you do, good sir/ma'am?

CSMATHENGR

been bag holding FUBO for a few years now. There has been some chatter about it recently and hoping the news pans out so I can get out from under it. CB is $6 lol plz trump save me

Danstheman1337

I've got 5k in and I'm gonna hold for another 5 years. I think the medical side will be key as more and more CBD and CB variations become popular for things like IBS, essential tremor, and other inflammatory conditions. I personally know a 65yo that sounds over 100 a week on cbd concentrates and she's not in anyway a weed crazed person, it just happened to work for her.

brennfl81

Here's my theory: CB's 14% selloff in a month isn't explained by fundamentals but rather public outrage. The company may have problems but the selloff was an overreaction driven by fear of and reaction to PR backlash rather than the fundamentals. Over the year it's still up significantly. PR backlash aside, and with their "we've learned the error of our ways and are going back to what you loved" approach, CB isn't going anywhere and the underlying fundamentals will govern again. And I suspect we'll see a bounce-back, either in the near-term or after ugly earnings from the backlash period cause a sell-off and then people move past it and get back to fundamental long-term analysis. But I'm a regard, so grain of salt.

playboivic-12

wtf is the move here holy….. Mills puts? CB puts?? ughhh , sorry ass week

BackWithAVengance

some not even because of age, but because they visit CB regularly

Ok_Warthog7034

What is CB?

audaciousmonk

$0.78 CB is fucking lit

Mazda_Mx-5_Miata

I'm at a similar CB with 308 shares. Planning on increasing my position as I liquidate my precious metals. Might sell at 420.69 for the lols

FUCKNOOBS

A fellow ghey? OK I'll be nice. It was a joke. Someone saying "trw gonna be theta asf so boring lmao" would trigger a CB cuz people here never get it right aight homie.

TheInkDon1

Like others have said, or *will* say: it's fine to say today that you're only doing this on stocks you'd like to own, and at prices you think are good .... until the darn thing drops right through your strike and you're left holding it at an immediate loss (because it went down farther than your strike). And I'm not even talking about doing it on high-IV and/or meme crap, but real, stable companies. Ford is a great beginner Wheeler (a training Wheeler?) but even it will burn you like that. You mentioned UNH: say you didn't hold it in March, but thought you'd like to. So you started selling CSPs on it at 30-delta. What was the premium on those then? I don't know, but today the 4-week 28-delta 300P brings in 5.60 against spot of 315.39. That's an ROI of just 1.77%, keeping the 2nd decimal place for you out of sympathy. 4 weeks, so multiply by 13: 23% apy Not bad, actually. I'd love to have that as an annual return forever. So UNH does it's little run-up through March and into April, and maybe you bought that one back at half and sold another one at 30-delta, and the way it jumped in early April you're thinking, "This is kewl, it can't go tits up!" And then April 17th. And 21st, and 22nd, and 23rd, and 24th, and 25th, and maybe that was Expiration Friday for you and you got assigned. No matter, really, because you were already deep in loss. And then April 28th, May 5th, May 12th, and ... "Oh God, NO! Why won't this thing stop DROPPING!" Where did you get assigned? In other words, what was the last CSP's strike you sold? Doesn't much matter, but I'll try to nuke it out: Today, the 30-delta strike I mentioned above is 5% below the money. Let's have you selling your last CSP 15 days before the drop; half a 30-day typical selling period, so kind of an average. That puts you April 1st, with the Open at 525.74. 5% down from that is 499. So you sold the 499P. The end of the initial drop from 4/17 to 4/21 (a weekend, but there must've been a holiday in there), was 425.33 at the close. **You were $76 underwater.** $7,600 per contract. "No problem!" you say, "I'll just sell CCs until it recovers." I can't really walk through at this late date what that would've looked like, but: 1) remember that you shouldn't sell them below your CB, to avoid whiplash. 2) the unholy stock just KEPT falling. And then there was the drop from 5/13 to 5/15. And in there is where you got desperate and said you'd sell CCs at 30-delta come Hell or high water, because there's NO WAY this falling knife of a stock is going to bounce back that hard.

brucekeller

definitely some of that, plus money from the sidelines, constant worldwide gov't and CB stimulus, general devaluing of USD and other currencies, a whole bunch of factors that mean bers are generally egomaniacs that think they cracked the code instead of the obvious long term charts showing stonks already marched up BEFORE all this extra upward pressure.

banditcleaner2

CELH, at around 120% since I timed the bottom fairly well with a CB of $25.

itsnotshade

Gold feels like too obvious a play I can’t tell where the top might be or where it’ll level off. Deficit vigilantes and rate cuts. Only thing working against it is that every other CB is cutting faster and countries are in worst shape than the US just like post covid

movdqa

I hadn't thought of that but it is a good reason to keep it around if you're a CB. Obviously a lot better to buy it when it's cheap than now. My understanding is that China is the biggest producer of gold in the world and that they are still buying it and taking physical possession like mad.

SpezIsABrony

https://preview.redd.it/g8fy6pk5g9mf1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=62c48a83348960cb2332475238133d838f23eb12 That isn't excel, it is fidelity. He could post CB though.

Helpful_Ad_8662

Just sharing. I don’t want a victory blowjob. I have made far better trades. And I was watching the price from sale to 4:15 and while it did spike at times it never 90. And it’s not paper handing because I damn near sold every 30 min on the way down and the way back up. I nuked 15% of my account and held til I made a profit. It touched my CB. A few times and still held.

NWHipHop

Call on Chubb security ($CB) and puts on eBay

EvolvingDior

I was there at the start of the Internet. The number of C-suite execs that could not wrap their head around the need for an Internet presence or how it would impact their business was astounding. So many thought "oh, this will be like CB radios in the 70s." The companies producing written reference materials were, in hindsight, the easiest short in the world: phone directories, yellow pages, encyclopedias, etc.