TSM

UnObtainium17

What are your top 5 holdings? I'll go first. 1. MELI 2. GOOGL 3. LLY 4. GE 5. NFLX / META / NU / JPM / TSM / RYCEY / NOW (depending on the day, each at 4 - 4.5%)

Huntington777

Is it immodest of me to say I’m up biggly today on TSM calls?

Designer_Respect4285

I think you could be underestimating the pricing power that companies like TSM and ASML will continue to have. They won't be the biggest winners, but substantial winners unless maybe AI gets orders of magnitude more efficient.

Chief-Keefs-Parakeet

I like TSM

Huntington777

What happened to TSM?

Full-Sandwich-851

Full ported TSM/IREN calls 🚀🚀🚀

Indra_Sx

Fucking $MU & $TSM

Fluffy_Connection644

No TSM there, the largest chip manufacturer in the world…but Intel is 😂🤡

dreamfitreality

If amat klac even damn Hitachi is there but TSM is not. I'm not trusting the chart. TSM is the only indispensable company in the whole ai chip trade. Jenson had to go to TSM family day to give a speech to curry good favors. Nvda have to kowtow to TSM in order to have chips to sell. The leverage that TSM have over the entire ai industry is huge. The only difference is the ownership is not obnoxious showoffs and seldom show face in public. They just do their job.

gatorsya

It's a second order spend, when Meta etc wants to build a data center they would pay these companies, NVIDIA etc would then pay TSM to make chips

Lootoholic

I like those names specially Googl, TSM, and NVDA. I would also suggest AMZN, Meta, MSFT, AMD, Sofi, reddit. I personally like to be well diversified, so I have about 70 names in my port.

dreamfitreality

May I ask. Where is TSM?

on_hype

Couple issues with the math. Groq wasn't acquired for $20B, that was a rumored valuation. And the 150x bandwidth comparison is misleading since you're comparing on-chip SRAM bandwidth to off-chip HBM bandwidth, which are fundamentally different bottlenecks. Real world token throughput doesn't scale linearly with raw SRAM bandwidth because interconnect latency between 25,000 chips becomes the dominant constraint, not memory bandwidth per chip. The TSMC capacity argument is more interesting though. If SRAM-heavy inference chips gain real traction, N3 wafer allocation becomes a genuine bottleneck. But that's a big "if" since Groq still hasn't demonstrated cost-competitive inference at scale against Nvidia's ecosystem. What's your position here? The thesis seems to point toward TSM as the picks-and-shovels play regardless of which architecture wins.

Tasty_Pollution4439

I am considering Dec’28 deep in the money LEAPS for similar reasons. \~90 delta provides close to 1.5-2x leverage for TSM/NVDA/GOOGL. Relatively boring but good upside potential. You can create a LEAPS ladder as further expiration dates become available.

db_deuce

Nvidia - they have tentacles everywhere and invest in hundreds of AI companies to ensure their influence. The 70% profit margin is nothing short of insane. TSM. Building foundries at scale is a moat that can’t be replaced where orders are secured for the next 5 years

Kantmzk

MSFT, GOOGL, META, NVDA, AVGO, AAPL, AMD, MU, TSM, etc. It's not a bubble but rather a long term buildout. There are many others, but I would consider many to also be speculative.

CaptPolymath

Ok. Seems the US is pushing domestic sources of rare earths... This doesn't make TSM a little risky?

No-Sympathy-686

Never sell the TSM

Low-Cartographer-429

Thanks. Ideally I wouldn't want things run up too much but that's what I might be stuck with. Just starting to look at this sector. I may look for additional pull backs in prices. Feeling overwhelmed with all the potential choices though. TSM as one who'll benefit from semiconductor growth is a very easy pick for me. Maybe there isn't an obvious single choice for energy. VST and CEG seem pretty popular among US politicians.

Full-Sandwich-851

TSM 📉🩸

MikeCheck_CE

NVDA, MU, AVGO, TSM, SNDK, etc.... look at every one of them, it is the EXACT same story for each one. Blowout earnings this year and even next year are already priced in. There is nothing surprising in the earnings report. Semis are priced ATH for a cyclical product. They'll creep up from here but the market won't dramatically reprice them again unless there is evidence that semis are no longer cyclicals and should be priced as compounders, and that's not likely going to happen this quarter, or even this year.

Low-Cartographer-429

Thanks. Bought a few TSM shares today at $410 using NVDA proceeds. A little high but insignificant over the long run.

OrangeManBibi

TSM **stock price** is not going to do well when INTC starts making chips for other companies just like NVDA has been flat since competition heated up. Having said that, TSM over 500 is still inevitable

FailOk1528

kinda funny if AI ends up making chip designers easier to replace while making TSM even more valuable

Baabic

TSM significantly contributed to my realized gains in 2025. I exited my position early in 2026. Subsequently, I began accumulating more shares after thoroughly reviewing their fundamentals, order pipeline, and updated management guidance. The company upgraded its full-year revenue growth guidance to slightly above 40%. Despite this positive outlook, the stock's performance remains subdued due to the substantial capital expenditure required for new facilities and the initial scaling of next-generation 2-nanometer (N2) technology. These factors are projected to reduce gross margins by 3 to 4 percentage points in the latter half of the year. Additionally, geopolitical risks and advancements in new chip technologies (a "deepseek moment" for chips) are influencing the stock. Source: TheMarkets. I discovered this platform, "TheMarkets.ai" (https://themarkets.ai/), which allows deep stock valuation - similar to institutional investors. I was granted free access through a referral.... Disclaimer: I have no affiliation... They qualify and verify new users before approval.

Arrowhead_Pride15

Is this saying because TSM is the supplier to AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN, META, GOOG etc?

fairlyaveragetrader

If I was going to add to something new or feed additional position in the sector I think it would probably be klac. You look at the 2027 EPS and you look at the growth rate. It's also one of those extremely important companies because they service the hardware. You've also had a substantial correction a little over 40%. I also like the fact that it's very rarely talked about on social media and not held heavily by retail even though it's a key player in the space TSM doesn't look terrible though if they're going to make $22 a share next year, even at their historic multiple you're not losing money so anything above that, it's gains because right now it's priced about 19 times 2027. If it runs up to 23 or 24, you're making 20% on the position you're also at the ideal time to be crypto exposure Everyone only has so much money. Just depends on what you personally want to feed the most

ap1618

I full ported TSM a while ago and have no intention of selling

Invest0rnoob1

Better to buy Intel than listening to everyone saying to buy TSM.

Arabian_Goggles_

TSM is $415 right now which is a pretty good price imo so I would just go for it. Doubt we see under $400 again like late July unless the fed hikes rates or some other macro event. Either way in 2-3 years I think this is an $800+ stock.

Low-Cartographer-429

Any catalysts to the next expected dip that wouldn't move in tandem with NVDA? Because for my case, I want to swap out some NVDA for TSM. Not sure I want to wait for a dip. And I'd probably only be purchasing a handful of TSM shares with an NVDA sale.

Low-Cartographer-429

Good point about China and WW3. If TSM is undervalued due to geopolitical risk, that's a risk I'm willing to take and profit from. Besides, TSM is building fabs in Arizona, Japan, and Germany. As those progress, that may de-risk TSM sufficiently that the risk discount fades over time. I think it's a bit of theater, because apparently there's a Taiwanese law requiring the newest, smallest node manufacturing to remain in Taiwan. But like you said, it's highly improbably China's going to invade due to the economic consequences.

jcpopm

I went big on TSM last year for this reason. At the end of the day, TSM makes a physical product and cannot be replaced by AI, whereas literally every other chip company other than Intel (which, come on, lol) does not and is susceptible to AI designing its own chips.

SuccessfulSir9611

If this happens, ARM is cooked too. OpenAI Jalapeño was designed with AVGO but they used OpenAI Astra (probably, they said AI, I am assuming it’s this ) instead of getting ARM designs. So, your thesis is correct. ASML, TSM will be winners.

Arabian_Goggles_

TSM is one of the safest AI plays. Whether it's asics or gpu's they all get manufactured by TSM. I've been buying anytime it dips.

Rei1003

Buy TSM is similar to buying VOO

Fleazapper

TSM wins no matter who wins the AI race. I hold it and looking around at my other AI related holdings I’m convinced more and more I should concentrate my investments in it. As far as geopolitical risk, if China were to move it would spark WW3.

Low-Cartographer-429

I think TSM has a huge moat in the sense that it would be very difficult to replicate what they offer. They're not a monopoly like ASML but function as a high margin toll booth. Some say CUDA is NVDA's moat; maybe it was at one point, but I doubt it is any more. I'm not dumping NVDA, but I'm interested in taking some profits and moving them into TSM.

abandoned_idol

TSM looks like a company full of really smart people, so I bought. I think I'm pretty stupid and ignorant though, so I probably won't make good stock picks unfortunately. Go TSM! **waves pom poms**

Deep-Age-2133

I just paid Anthropic that pays xAI that pays Nvidia that pays TSM. I am the new cash

Spac55

$NVDA $MU $KLAC $AMAT $ASML $LRCX $TSM all got upgraded

Indra_Sx

$TSM burnt me extra crispy

Indra_Sx

\+4% minimum on $TSM

taisiya34z

(19yo) hi everyone 😄 70% ETFs 80% VOO 20% VXUS 30% Stocks TSM MU ASTS I know ASTS is very speculative, and I’m willing to take the risk I’m looking to add one more stock, What would you recommend? I’d like something that doesn’t significantly overlap with the S&P 500, is googl ok?

Working-Writer4364

TSM

Huntington777

Thank youuuu TSM

A55BAG

NVDA and TSM are trading very firmly during these dark times. Are the old winners making a comeback?

Trashpanda7193

TSM please, you’ve done nothing for ages

Asleep_Emphasis69

Intel should have the same market cap as TSM over the next few years.......nice pump this morning on the sk hynix rumor

Shijaki

>SK Hynix (SKHY) is not currently considering Intel's (INTC) Foundry for HBM4E production, refuting a report on Monday from the Herald Economy that the chipmaker was considering the foundry for HBM4E base-die production alongside Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) this story getting confirmed by 'industry sources' hours ago, then getting directly denied pretty much sums up the state of semis right now

Spiritual_Plum581

Being 18 gives you a huge advantage: time. But I don't think having a long time horizon means you need to take maximum concentration risk. NVDA, TSM, Broadcom, Micron and AMD may look like five different stocks, but many of the same forces drive them: AI spending, semiconductor demand, capex expectations and market sentiment toward AI. So this is much closer to one concentrated bet than five independent bets. The other thing I'd separate is "AI will keep growing" from "AI stocks will keep outperforming." Both can be great companies in a great industry, while the stocks still disappoint if today's prices already reflect very optimistic expectations. At 18, you don't need to choose between boring index investing and going all-in on AI. You could build a diversified core and use a smaller portion of the portfolio for the AI thesis you strongly believe in. Your biggest advantage isn't that you can afford to gamble more. It's that you have decades for compounding to work.

MattEdmondsWolf

I think I see where you're coming from and Schwab does offer a domestic TSM fund - SWTSX - but am not seeing a foreign/international TSM fund from them. If I saw such a fund from Schwab I'd probably go with that over the VXUS or SWISX/SCHC/SCHE shenanigans.

bearhunter429

#I'm so overweight semi stocks. NVDA, AMD, LRCX, AMAT, INTC, TSM, AVGO, MRVL, MU, SNDK...I own it all. Fully leveraged into AI trade. LMAO🤌

dvdmovie1

If TWST can become sort of a biological TSM, it can certainly go further but that's a very, very best case scenario and it's already up 372% for the year.

music_is_gud

Watch out for signs of semis bottoming out (through SMH, SOXX) but just not yet. Mrvl, NVDA, TSM, MU still seem to be leaders to me.

Beginning_Juice_4296

Warren Buffett really sold TSM at <$200... let that sink in

A55BAG

NVDA, TSM and CRM would be tickers I'm not worried about.

Trashpanda7193

TSM needs to catch up

First-Hotel4694

hopefully you can see this. I'm posting my fees for the options I traded with E-trade. These are the only fees I pay it adds up buy I trade a lot, options mostly but some stocks as well. |Type|Qty|Description|Est. Fee|Est. Comm| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |Bought To Open|2|PNC May 22 '26 $212.50 Put|$0.03|$0.30| |Sold Short|2|PNC May 22 '26 $215 Put|$0.04|$0.30| |Bought To Cover|4|TSM May 15 '26 $310 Put|$0.06|$0.60| |Sold To Close|4|TSM May 15 '26 $300 Put|$0.07|$0.60| |Bought To Open|3|AMD May 22 '26 $305 Put|$0.04|$0.45| |Bought To Open|2|AMD May 22 '26 $305 Put|$0.03|$0.30| |Sold Short|2|AMD May 22 '26 $302.50 Put|$0.04|$0.30| |Sold Short|3|AMD May 22 '26 $302.50 Put|$0.06|$0.45| |Bought To Open|5|AMD May 22 '26 $305 Put|$0.07|$0.75| |Sold Short|5|AMD May 22 '26 $302.50 Put|$0.09|$0.75| |Bought To Cover|4|AMD May 22 '26 $302.50 Put|$0.06|$0.60| |Bought To Cover|6|AMD May 22 '26 $302.50 Put|$0.08|$0.90| |Sold To Close|6|AMD May 22 '26 $305 Put|$0.11|$0.90| |Sold To Close|4|AMD May 22 '26 $305 Put|$0.08|$0.60| |Bought To Open|2|PNC May 22 '26 $212.50 Put|$0.03|$0.30| |Sold Short|2|PNC May 22 '26 $215 Put|$0.04|$0.30| |Bought To Open|2|TSM May 22 '26 $385 Put|$0.03|$0.30| |Sold Short|2|TSM May 22 '26 $387.50 Put|$0.06|$0.30| |Bought To Open|2|TSM May 22 '26 $385 Put|$0.03|$0.30| |Sold Short|2|TSM May 22 '26 $387.50 Put|$0.06|$0.30| |Bought To Open|2|WMT May 22 '26 $114 Put|$0.03|$0.30| |Sold Short|2|WMT May 22 '26 $117 Put|$0.04|$0.30| |Bought To Open|3|IBM May 22 '26 $197.50 Put|$0.04|$0.45| |Bought To Open|1|IBM May 22 '26 $197.50 Put|$0.01|$0.15| |Sold Short|3|IBM May 22 '26 $195 Put|$0.06|$0.45| |Sold Short|1|IBM May 22 '26 $195 Put|$0.02|$0.15|

grkblood13

Someone please wake up $TSM. This stock hasn't done anything for two weeks.

Midget_Molester10

Amd TSM mu sndk

easternsailings

Hello, can anyone explain to me this $4.7 billion joint venture bet between TSM and Sony for the "Eyes of AI machine" concept? It has me eyeballing Sony stock and wanting to get in on it but before I do I want to understand wtf this bet is even about and the fact that 2 companies are willing to put 4.7 billion dollars on it is pretty wild.

Agreeable_Factor_458

That’s what it feels like, same thing happened before TSM reported

Impressive_Curve7077

I'll start us off. me: what would the market look like the day before a taiwan blockade? quant: • SOXX +63.9% YTD is absolutely nuclear — we're not talking dip, we're talking a move from 310 to 655 and back to 514 • NVDA +12.8% YTD but off a 235 high two weeks ago — that's fresh weakness • AMD +114% YTD (!!) but also pulling back hard from 580 high • TSM +30.6% but still up massively from 317 start • News flow: NVDA earnings are TODAY (Wednesday) — that's why the chop. SOXX headline says "market breadth bad, chips losing steam" • This is NOT a dip into value, this is a pullback in a bull run ahead of an earnings event You're dead right. This isn't a chip dip — this is a **consolidation + earnings anxiety** in a tape that already moon-walked 💎 The semis are up so much year-to-date that any pullback is just shaking out weak hands before NVDA prints tonight. Buying into this right now is buying the earnings \*fear\*, not the \*dip\*, and NVDA earnings could rip or crater either way. **Hard pass on the chip play.** If you want something that hasn't already 10x'd into the stratosphere, and still has Taiwan hedge logic baked in, stick with the **GLD + ITA** core from the playbook — gold is overbought but at least it's \*insurance\*, and ITA (the defense basket) has actually \*pulled back\* without any Taiwan catalyst, so you're buying a discount in a sector that would rip if tension spikes. Or, if you wanna get aggressive on a \*real\* dip thesis: wait for NVDA to report tonight and catch the post-earnings washout tomorrow (or next week). That's when you'd have actual price discovery, not pre-earnings prayer 🚀 Want me to just kill the chip suggestion and keep the GLD+ITA core? Or pivot to a post-earnings NVDA catch if it craters? https://preview.redd.it/ucat2chrkrlh1.png?width=1434&format=png&auto=webp&s=c670bbdb15c715a3826be75844b2615a462766d6

Commercial_Sound1448

I think you mean TSM

ap1618

I'm honestly about to full port AAPL, AVGO and TSM

ap1618

Hence why you buy TSM and not NVDA now

SubstantialCod2465

Can NVDA earnings pump/dump TSM 5%? I'm trying to get out of a big hole. (Not your mom's)

Jo9715

TSM what was that?

Midget_Molester10

I keep reading articles about chip companies, ones like AMD, INTC and TSM. I've never seen them in the grocery store, but that didn't stop me from buying them.

quietjpeg

Intel really does have a talent for being the odd one out 😂 But I wouldn't assume it's completely random. INTC has been on a very different turnaround story than TSM/AMD/MU/SNDK, so when the sector rallies, the market doesn't necessarily treat them the same. Still funny watching the whole chip basket go green while Intel decides to do its own thing.

Least-Walrus-422

Not buying more when I have real conviction…TSM, MU.

mode_redditor

Weird there isn’t for TSM sentiment in here 

UnObtainium17

Sold half of NOW with a tiny gains.. Golly that lot used to be around -40%. Moving most of it to TSM and GE then maybe a third of it sits in money market. Im just happy to not take an L this time.

pingoo26

I made money on TSM deep ITM put spreads doing this once, until someone exercised them to capture the interest on the cash lol and then I got smashed with broker fees that eradicated my gains.

music_is_gud

Lol then you should try holding AVGO and TSM

Low-Cartographer-429

Thanks. I also own NVDA, GOOG, and TSM; more than the value of my VXUS but a lot less than the value of my VTI.

xxxMarilee

This I know because I have 250shares of TSM. I'm getting beaten up really bad today.

Asleep_Syllabub9864

What's going on about TSM damn

L0pat0

Based on IV, this TSM drop this morning is much more severe than the drop in SNDK

grkblood13

Increased my $TSM position by 50% after that 3% selloff this morning. Stock seems too good right now at that price.

Apprehensive-Mine364

1. Find a stock that looks not totally insane and is at least in my budget. 2. Ask myself if this stock is undervalued or if it could survive a market correction (how much correlation to index etc) 3. Determine what the big institutions holding the position are 4. Hmmm and haw for a while undecided when to enter. 5. Enter finally I enter and then you hope it goes up. 6. Negative swings suck but DCA and not panick selling has been key to management of my losses. Example...iv seen my TSM shares dip bad due to the quake and selloff but it corrected and I exited with a tiny profit. Am currently out of semis....I think they have long term value but this AI bubble uncertainty has me hoping I can grab a bigger chunk of shares if the stock drops way down.

SondeMarkets

For Cisco it was gross margin. 66.3%, down 210bps, because hyperscaler AI hardware is way lower margin than the old enterprise and software mix. Stock was up 60% on the year going in on the AI story, then the print showed what that revenue actually does to the P&L. That's kind of the rule though. The line that matters is whichever one could break the reason the stock is priced where it is, not the biggest number. Which is also why there's no checklist, it's different for every company. Your TSM number was already the method.

Tamronloh

What do you guys think, why can’t AMD just flood the market with cheap GPUs. Oh, because TSM is the bottleneck? Okay why can’t samsung and intel flood the market with cheap wafers? Oh because ASML is the bottleneck? Okay why can’t china flood ther market with cheap EUV machines? Oh because…

SmooveBwainGains

Everything AI making money. Micron, sk Hynix, Dell, AMD, nvidia, Microsoft, Qualcomm, TSM, Oracle, crowdstrike, Amazon and others.

cforb92

Buying more GOOGL, TSM, and ASML.

Clackamas_river

Long dated PUTS on Appl. They are not going to be able to ship shit because they can't build their phones without memory. TSM is sitting on shit loads of their chips and nothing to put them in.

LaMeraVergaSinPatas

I’ll never not laugh saying TSM out loud

Own-Recipe5908

At this point TSM is more limited by the RAM producers than its own capacity, so they might do surprisingly badly in the near future. AAPL has a ton of produced devices from TSM with no RAM.

PuzzledLeader8941

Anyone looking at TSM calls? September or October mabye

Midget_Molester10

Micron, Sandisk, TSM, AMD

Apprehensive-Mine364

Semi production is heavily NDA ridden, and prices are not publicly talked about. My question is did the semi fans get actually paid or have an IOU with collateral. If its an IOU, with weak collateral then if this AI bubble hype bursts and they suddenly see a sharp dip in demand then the buyer has to suddenly pay for that and take a massive loss. Also I think burry's argument is that the AI hype has pumped the value of semi companies and anyone in the area like power (GE) or even big players like TSM beyond the "fair value" because the profit and demand is not sustainable and so the price is reflecting short term hype and long term it will drop. Then again I am broke and not paying for his newsletter substack.

IvoryTowerResident

i think it also depends on how much tacit knowlege the company is the willing to share. in the care of TSM, they dont want their most advanced stuff in US

Midget_Molester10

SNDK, MU, BROS, TSM Deliver us to the promised land.

Apprehensive-Mine364

I personally exited semis until I feel the bubble either pops, or the insanity of the hype dies down. It was in GFS and TSM AND WHILE I did make a profit on those two semi trades, I did loose big on ASYS. I also think waiting for a correction is smarter because either the bubble is real and it will force the entire market to correct which would hurt any positions in tech I make now....or its viable but overhyped but not a bubble in which case its better for the hype to pass so volatility isn't something that stresses me out and I don't have to pay for volitile stocks. Currently I'm sitting in materials, finance, oil, and a few joke/meme positions. Overall its been sideways or slightly positive....but it is less stressful. What am I looking to scoopup next time the big correction happens: TSM, GFS, Samsung, sitime, synopsis, TI, and the stock you mentioned. Also broad market and industrial index would be a steal if you can grab em at the dip.

TrapLordBoss

im got out of crypto last year. sold the last of my holdings in xrp, in at .25c out at $1.20. put it into TSM, NVDA, SPTM (SPDR), QQQM and XEQT.

gardeal23

Idk I’m just memeing, if im being honest qqq longs might be the move. Like 2 weeks out for it to reclaim ATHs That and SMH is looking ready to break out, I might possibly swing trade it I’m also eyeing longs on NOW APP ASTS GOOG TSM

2020isgreat

\*Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness reported Q2 positions \- Top holdings: [$SNDK](https://x.com/search?q=%24SNDK&src=cashtag_click) = $5.7B [$MU](https://x.com/search?q=%24MU&src=cashtag_click)= $5.6B \- New positions: [$NBIS](https://x.com/search?q=%24NBIS&src=cashtag_click) = $1.23B [$STM](https://x.com/search?q=%24STM&src=cashtag_click) = $584.34M [$KEEL](https://x.com/search?q=%24KEEL&src=cashtag_click) = $151.83M [$VSH](https://x.com/search?q=%24VSH&src=cashtag_click) = $20.17M [$CBRS](https://x.com/search?q=%24CBRS&src=cashtag_click) = $2.21M. \- Power exposure: [$BE](https://x.com/search?q=%24BE&src=cashtag_click) = $1.9B, with calls valued at $0.04B. \-AI infrastructure: [$TSM](https://x.com/search?q=%24TSM&src=cashtag_click) = $1.3B [$CRWV](https://x.com/search?q=%24CRWV&src=cashtag_click) = $0.7B RUN IT BACK

Indra_Sx

Sigh cmon $TSM !!!

Jumpy_Nose863

I never mentioned a Stop-Loss. I said 2 different types of investments. One being long term one being short term. Meaning it could be a value play, a momentum trade, a trade based on an event etc. I don't think every holding is a forever holding, but some are. For example if you were receiving 800m in dividends a year from KO, why would you ever sell that position?? However if you bought TSM at 160 and it flew up to 450, I'd def lock in some profits.