TSM

microdosingrn

For me, this is the biggest risk factor for NVDA. They don't manufacture anything themselves, and all of their biggest customers are in a race to design their own custom silicon that will then be manufactured by TSM/INTC. Could be a problem - or maybe NVDA will just stay so far out in the lead the custom silicon designs won't ever take off, or maybe it's even bullish that amzn/goog/meta/msft will hire NVDA to design their own proprietary custom silicon.

Cal_carl

$TSM is at ~220 and it is projected to rise to $250

WasabiofIP

a) About 10% of my Roth IRA is set aside as free cash for trading, the rest is 60% SPY, 20% BRK.B (3x return), and maybe 10% TSM (2x return); b) that's the only active trading I do; c) I've been making over the contribution limit for many years now so without backdooring I actually can't just put shit weekly into ETFs; d) I have a 401k as well that I do contribute the max to and that is obviously all set-and-forget in mutual funds. As usual, I mention something other than buying VOO and the know-it-alls come out of the woodwork to tell me a bunch of shit I already know. I know you just turned 20 and googled "how to save for retirement", but I do in fact know what I'm doing.

deadcowww

TSM got the golden cross. The fundamentals in me say hold it. The regard in me says ATH TAKE PROFITSSS.

Working-Math-9610

Wenn TSM monthly shipments data?

Consistent_Log_3040

NVDA, TSM have I ever told you guys I love you? Because I love you.

purpleinme

The TSM calls I was too pussy to buy this morning have doubled

fledgling66

I have practically no foreign stocks. 6% of my portfolio is TSM (up 130%!), and I have a fair share of companies whose reach is global, but no world ETFs. I got out of VXUS when Trump got in, after it barely growing a basis point from when I bought it (which, in hindsight, was a mistake). Anyway, what’s public opinion? Stick to my US only (with a value slant, btw) thesis, or buy world at ATHs?

Pojihut

$TSM at it's ath, threatening to break out

reddit-abcde

my prediction for July NVDA 170 MSFT 525 META 775 AMZN 275 AVGO 300 NFLX 1500 RDDT 210 TSM 250

MitchCurry

Out of curiosity, just asked Claude to build a stock portfolio of 10 to 15 companies that could be held for 10+ years and currently have a market cap of less than $1 trillion that will benefit the most from the coming AI revolution. Response (truncated by me for space) below. Full response [here](https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/98d5ede8-ab80-42ca-8219-9bbccd3f6935). ***Core Holdings (100% allocation)*** *1. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - 15% allocation* *2. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) - 12% allocation* *3. Palantir (PLTR) - 12% allocation* *4. Tesla (TSLA) - 12% allocation* *5. Salesforce (CRM) - 10% allocation* *6. ServiceNow (NOW) - 8% allocation* *7. Snowflake (SNOW) - 8% allocation* *8. CrowdStrike (CRWD) - 8% allocation* *9. Visa (V) - 7% allocation* *10. Datadog (DDOG) - 4% allocation* *11. Veeva Systems (VEEV) - 2% allocation* *12. UiPath (PATH) - 2% allocation* *Why These 12 Companies?* * *Essential Infrastructure: AMD and TSM are unavoidable beneficiaries of AI compute demand* * *Proven AI Business Models: Palantir, Salesforce, ServiceNow already monetizing AI successfully* * *Platform Network Effects: Snowflake and CrowdStrike becoming more valuable as adoption scales* * *Industry Transformation Leaders: Tesla and Visa using AI to transform massive addressable markets* * *Mission-Critical Tools: Datadog and UiPath provide essential AI enablement services* * *Specialized Dominance: Veeva owns AI transformation in life sciences vertical*

56Safari

Nope, I sold TSM in November before the panic selling… now the stock is up 9% from where I sold. Not too worried about it

Toadally_Rad98

For those interested: At the start of the week I bought to openCall Options expiring 16Jan2026 for the following underlying assets for these strike prices. 3 LRCX $78 2 NVDA $120 2 TSM $180 1 ORCL $175 At the time of purchase these strike prices were the closest to 0.80 delta. This is critical to remember if you choose to attempt this strategy yourself. I sold to open for the 27Jun2025 3 LRCX $99 2 NVDA $155 2 TSM $230 1 ORCL $225 Since Monday or Tuesday I have increased my brokerage balance from 30k to around 32600 right now.  It’s nothing mind shattering and this has been a pretty astounding week, but practiced consistently you can have relatively regular positive returns. I do not recommend that you emulate my comment now as the Greeks have changed since I did so. This is not financial advice, if you choose to emulate my general strategy above, that is your choice. 

JelisHermes

Agree — both ASML and TSM feel like foundational “picks & shovels” with strong fundamentals. I've also been exploring a few outside the semiconductor space that fit a similar mold: stable cash flows, high ROE, recurring revenue. One recent example that caught my eye was FranklinCovey, not flashy at all, but it runs a leadership training platform with SaaS, like margins and compounding characteristics. Not tech, but kind of the same “quiet compounder” logic. ROE’s around 17%, margins are solid, and it’s one of those companies that doesn’t make headlines but keeps compounding underneath the radar.

greenpride32

ASML is part of the supply chain, but they don't get revenue from chip designers, they get it from foundries such as TSM. ASML sells lithography machines which are used by foundries to manufacture the chips. In addition to the cost of machines, they collect revenue on service and consumable parts. While it's true ASML does have a monopoly, their growth is somewhat limited because foundries don't just pop up like datacenters. And lifecycle of machines is years. If you're looking for a play that gets the business of all chip designers, that is TSM. SMH ETF is also an option to diversify. In recent years it has outperformed QQQ. Expense ratio is a bit on the higher side, but it has all the semis you'd want to hold - NVDA TSM ASML LCRX AMAT MU AVGO KLAC AMD. Although keep in mind as NDVA is bouncing from 1-3 position by market cap, it will be the top weight in SMH. You're still adding some amount of NVDA buying SMH, but I think it's a still a worthwhile consideration.

woome

If I were you and I was looking at ASML, I would buy it for it's own story, and consider NVDA separately as part of industry tailwinds. ASML has its own set of headwinds at the moment (China export controls, TSM backing off on EUV capex), but it also is part of the macro EU growth (central bank cuts) and diversify away from US trends (tariff, depolarization).

xploeris

I've got ASML and TSM as I think both play the "picks and shovels" role very well, but from different angles. Also I thought both were solid, undervalued stocks when I bought them.

Business-Ad-5344

It is VERY sound. as more players enter the game, they would eat up nvidia's profits, yet ASML will keep trucking along. at least this is a very real possibility. if arm starts making chips, and a decade later they caught up, this is not likely, but possible. same with TSM though. if asml loses their monopoly, TSM just gets another supplier and TSM keeps trucking along. This is why diversification within semis is a good idea.

Flashy_Negotiation52

Sumbody gimme the tea on TSM

RegulusDeneb

That was about April 5 when it seemed like all techs were at their low point. Since then NVDA has increased 40% and TSM 35%. MSFT up 30% since then, e.g.

DrB00

Isn't just NVDA. TSM is also jumping up in value too. Was down at $145 a couple of months ago. It's now over $220

mankey21

TSM is crankin, too bad I sold my calls last week 

Working-Active

It hasn't gotten their yet but it currently does have a bigger market cap then TSM.

mayorolivia

Read my analysis above. Btw, I’m up 180%+ on Nvidia. I also hold AMD but it’s a smaller position for the reasons I said above. There have been other better performing semi names as well such as AVGO and TSM. AMD catching up was only a matter of time but I wouldn’t have it as my biggest semiconductor holding. Their revenue growth won’t be as much as the other 3 names I mentioned and all of them have similar or higher profit margins.

Temporary-Pen-9713

I’ve been thinking about it too. Since each Nvidia share is essentially worth 10x, I like the idea of my shares doubling but with Nvidia already around $1000, it would have to hit $2000 for a 100% gain, which seems pretty unrealistic. Still, it feels like a solid long-term investment. What y'all think of TSM?

possible-penguin

I sold about 20% late Feb/early March and have been buying back in since. Haven't looked at my total YTD (there are multiple accounts I need to look through), but I'm pretty happy with where I am now. Still a little cash left, which will likely be deployed in July/September. My TSM shares are up 49% since buying in April, which is my best one.

No-Dragonfruit-1324

If the big gay bill passes I’m 50% NVDA and 50% TSM for the next 10 years

sirkarmalots

they think they can out chip TSM regarded

NefariousnessEven806

TSM calls, 7/17 earnings

notagreatpilot

How smart would it be to buy TSM puts before China invades Taiwan?

GrandKnew

Your Investments: STBX NKE RBLX My Investments: PLTR BA TSM

No_Collection_3104

Pay day tomorrow. Looking to buy only 1 stock. What should I buy out of AVGO, NFLX, VST, CRWD, MSFT, AAPL, TSM, CEG?

wilhelm96

wishing I’d bought more TSM puts last week

G0RD0N_CLARK

Everything in 🥭 world happens in 2 weeks ... buy TSM puts soon.

Lost_Percentage_5663

Samsung got crashed by TSM. Now, even in DRAM scene, it got hit by runner-up. R.I.P

BeatingTheTide

Forget AMD and NVDA, buy TSM. They both depend heavily on TSM and they have a monopoly on advanced chips. I wrote a full deep dive on TSM here, let me know what you think. https://www.beatingthetide.com/p/tsmc-stock-why-this-semiconductor?utm_source=reddit

420DildoSwaggins69

Could push TSM to complete their fab in Arizona

kaaucraterguy

TSM

NuSk8

Which companies specifically? Because TSM has a strong presence in the USA

stuckyjackson

TSM June 27 puts

3rdEyeTribe

TSM

HND171

TSM calls buddy

Aluseda

Yup! Its code is TSM

OrangeMana

Would this tank TSM?

No-Dragonfruit-1324

Any other ADR’s that aren’t garbage other than TSM

neothedreamer

Sun WMT/COST for TGT, TSM for ASML

Working-Math-9610

You deserve that, for betting against a solid company. You sold GOOG, MSFT, TSM calls too? 

AlwaysLosingTrades

TSM at 90 January 2024 was in a pub with a friend. We looked at the chart after 5 pints and literally saw the future. We both bought calls 30% out one year out. I only got a few contracts, he got a lot more. That and QBTS under 1 dollar a share

xx123234

TSM

InquisitorCOC

Sell signal? This post means there are many who are not on board yet $NVDA has a forward PE of 33, hardly in bubble territory $TSM, which dominates the entire AI chip fabrication industry, trades only at a forward PE of 22 $GOOG, which has tons of great assets and currently the best model, is cheap at a forward PE of 19 ------ OpenAI's revenue growth is at 100% Anthropic, much smaller though, increases its revenue by 200% in 5 months ------ MAG 7's capex as a percentage of their operating cash flow is actually far lower than telcos during the Internet Boom of the late 1990s. We are at best around 1995/1996 level, meaning there are lots of room to grow. Despite the massive increase in capex, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft are still able to grow their free cash flow on an absolute basis Maybe this will end in a big bust eventually, but we are years away from that point. Until then, enjoy the ride

Piyush4758

TSM

Working-Math-9610

Anyone seeing after hours price action of NVDA and TSM? 📈 flip 📉 flop  📈 flip  📉 flop of +18% to -20%

huskycry

Does Israel attacking Iran increase thebodds of China invading Taiwan? TSM puts?

Acceptable_Bend_5200

I was looking at TSM options today and was blown away by the price of puts while it was rocketing up. Tbf, it was talked about a lot this week. Even Trump gave a warning earlier in the week.

Mitraileuse

Currently looks like: GOOGL, TSM, CRM, ASML, AMZN, NVO, UNH, ADBE, AMD. Probably also AMZN/META/NVDA.

clappincheeks01

Imagine not having TSM or NVDA calls

mankey21

TSM has been uncharacteristically resilient, something I missed?

Beautiful_Cod9182

Holy TSM

purpleinme

TSM don’t give a fuck

HugeAd5056

Broadcom TSM HOOD NVTS

Morocier

Sold some way outta the money covered calls on TSM when the market crashed that are now well into the money. This is bulshit, I thought theta was free money!

Josepth_Blowsepth

%3665 return on my TSM calls.

Ok-Buy-9777

Intels fall was on the Foundry side, TSMC outcompeted them. And Google use TSM to make their TPUs

Few-Statistician286

The potential rewards far outweigh the risks of you losing your investment at the current INTC price. Worst that could happen is your money will fall asleep while other semis continue to bubble. But that's what hedges are for anyway. One China rumor of a TW takeover can easily send this stock +20% overnight (just like last years related Bloomberg article) or another TSM collab. That's how good a hedge Intel is, esp under the current geopolitics.

QuantusMaximus

Reason we dipped: >**HSINCHU, Taiwan, R.O.C. – June 10, 2025 -** TSMC (TWSE: 2330, NYSE: TSM) today announced its net revenue for May 2025: On a consolidated basis, revenue for May 2025 was approximately NT$320.52 billion, a decrease of 8.3 percent from April 2025 and an increase of 39.6 percent from May 2024. Revenue for January through May 2025 totaled NT$1,509.34 billion, an increase of 42.6 percent compared to the same period in 2024.

UnscrupulousObserver

I sold covered calls on HOOD at 65 strike and yolo'ed the premium into TSM call spreads which expired worthless. AMA

QuantusMaximus

The futures tanking apparently has to do with TSM earnings disappointing. They were just released, the only datapoint I see that could move the market like this.

Josepth_Blowsepth

Originally bought in mid April during the taco dip. Sold all of the AVGO and NVDA at their earnings and have 30 of the 40 TSM contracts left. Expires on 6/20 but I will likely sell them all this week

Josepth_Blowsepth

Was up over 2300% on my TSM 06/20 195 calls at close. Sold 10 of them and have 30 left. Maybe can hit 3000% tomorrow and sell the rest

maximuminimum

Gynese muffs usually keep a full bush… I think this is some important info our trade delegates could leverage somehow 🎩 anyways TSM is rippin so it didn’t matter and a deal is probably close

purpleinme

wtf is up with TSM

Optimal-Bad2871

!banbet TSM 1 bajillion dollars 1w

purpleinme

Damn TSM is skyrocketing

ExcitedPriest

\+344% is a banger hats off But now the time to zoom out AMD rode the AI momentum wave but watch NVDA next ER and TSM capex guide they’ll dictate where semis go next Personally eyeing SOXL on a pullback but not chasing Discipline is the edge

Healthy-Antelope4302

Great that you're thinking about IV crush + DTE + directional move — that’s exactly where a lot of traders get trapped post-earnings. While most platforms don’t show IV for individual option contracts historically, you can still get strong insights from underlying stock IV trends — especially around earnings — using https://ivchart.com. It lets you: 📈 See TSM’s historical implied volatility, year-by-year 📉 Spot the average IV drop post-earnings (usually visible as a sharp fall) 🧠 Compare current IV vs multi-year averages to see if it's inflated 🔎 Filter for stocks with current IV much higher than average — helpful to judge if a crush is coming This won’t show per-strike IVs, but it gives you a clear sense of how much IV usually collapses for TSM after earnings. Super useful for gauging if your directional play has enough room to beat theta + IV crush. Pair that with your own delta/vega projections and you'll have a much better risk profile before you enter.

I_am_Nerman

Yes, I do. They're not hard to find. NVDA, TSM, LLY. Not to mention UAE, SA, etc.

Josepth_Blowsepth

No. Sold them all. I have 40x 06/20 195 TSM calls I paid 0.59 to close this week. I am not going to allow greed to get me this time. Between my NVDA, AVGO calls which I sold and TSM I will close this week have gained over $105k in my ~$15k investment during the taco dip. Going to hold it in a MM account and wait for the next pull back and repeat

mankey21

If TSM could stop spazzing out on my tracker I'd appreciate it.

jiggolo420

TSM quietly raw dogging back towards the $210s

zinu92

Beginning of April would've been better timing. You could've made 20-40% buying shares of solid companies (Meta Amazon Microsoft etc.), or even more with LEAPs. The risk/reward isn't as good now, but I figure Google is still at a discount to fair value with margin of safety, though you might have to wait a long time for the clouds over Google to clear. ASML/TSM still look decent. Salesforce still looks decent. Meta/Amazon still decent today, though obviously not as good. Maybe take a look at the homebuilders... I bought Lennar recently. The homebuilders index is down like 30% since October. There is a secular trend of needing more housing. Lennar is at an 8 PE. They're a cannibal so lower valuation is good for them. ~3% buyback yield, 2% dividend yield, if they grow EPS at 8%, that's a 13% IRR. If the stock re-rates slightly, the IRR can be 15% or higher. With the S&P valuation being relatively high, the expected return is low so... A 13% IRR could be market beating, and Lennar could surprise to the upside. 🤷🏻‍♂️

tomis_24

AVGO has a PE above 100 while NVDA, TSM, AMD, other peers are much lower than 100. Today earnings confirm their growth is peaked.

rioferdy838

stopped me the fuck out of TSM

DCHamar

Sold my TSM and MSFT calls. Done for today. See you regards tomorrow (insert big green Shrek schlong emoji x3)

Free_End_6376

Hey guys I feel like we should watchlist QNCCF since they recently got that deal with TSM that thing is not done yet IMHO

itsjolu

You’re missing a bunch MRVL has huge potential, TSM, MU, QCOM, MCHP I like TSM AVGO AMD MRVL the best over all those ones you mentioned another good one is TXM

fn_gpsguy

I think AVGO will report their earnings on Thursday. Lately, it’s been trading near its 52W H. I own it and a number of the other semi’s including NVDA, AMD, TSM, and ASML.

danrennt98

Already own TSM and I know AMD is already partnering with them as well. I'll have to look into the other names that you've written. Looking for a single stock or two to choose rather than SMH and avgo looks like it's at its tippy top right now which is a little worrying to jump in.

SnS2500

My opinion is I choose SMH so I don't have to try and divine such subtleties.... If I was to pick a second chip stock after NVDA though, it wouldn't be any of these, with AVGO (and TSM) the obvious choice. Next I'd look at all the big chip equipment stocks, then ALAB, MU, RMBS, CRDO and maybe MRVL. Of your choices tho, I'd go with AMD, as it has a larger fan base that would respond very positively to any really good news.

AluminiumCaffeine

Swapped my AVGO into TSM and MRVL, I am trading a leader for a laggard but my general rule for when to sell is if a stock dropped -20% on earnings would I want to buy more on a valuation/gut level? If the answer is no I dont really love holding through earnings then. We will see...

PicklesAreTight

Fuck, I sold my TSM and AAPL calls way too early.

weedyside

TSM 

Weak_Ostrich459

How's my port looking: NVDA $140 TSM $200 NBIS $40 CRWD $500 

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

TSM is the only company I trust with my life savings. If they experience trouble like invasion by pandas then money doesn’t mean anything anymore.

Far-Requirement9180

TSM wtf ?

DCHamar

Holding my TSM calls 

greenpride32

The VT (Total World Stock Index) has 19 out of the 20 top weights as US based companies. The only non-US is TSM, which more recently broke through the threshold. All of these posters are limited to their little 3 to 5 word responses, because they have no substance to back their claims.

greenpride32

Many non-US people would rather inverst in US based companies because the returns have historically been better. Why is a world ETF such as VT dominiated by US comanies? Because they've grown larger than others because they exist in the world's largest economy - seems to be a link there. In the top 20, there is just a single non-US company which is TSM and only recently broke into that list. You can keep pointing to your PE ratios. My returns are the only number that matter to be when I invest in stocks. PE isn't even everything it's backwards looking. And stocks with growth have higher PE than stocks with stagnant growth.

greenpride32

NVDA has been the dominating GPU market for past 25 years. What's changed over the past 25 years is just more application/usage of that technology. You talk about it like it's some commodity product that anyone can copy. Do you even understand TSM's role and how it's different from the chip designers? So companies are going to ask TSM to fab NVDA designs for them?

papa_elon007

TSM

Historical_Air_8997

Top 5 undervalued id go with: 1. GOOG 2. TSM 3. ASO 4. AMD 5. CROX I put in order of position size for me not necessarily in order of which one is most undervalued. Sometimes a stock can be risky and undervalued so they may have a lower position or it can be a less risky stock and undervalued so it gets closer to the top like GOOG.