TSM

No_Current3675

I’m buying this dump on outrageously strong MU ASML TSM earnings. Just like I did with SaaS, which I’ll sell at 35% profit. 

drew-gen-x

I agree as long as I stick to BTD's in $VTI, $VT, and $VXUS. I'm already extremely heavy ex US $VXUS and $EWJ b/c I like the AI & Robotics growth potential in Pacific Asia vs USA. I bought heavy & tried to catch the bottom in $SOXX and $DRAM this month and lost 20%. I decided to move that cash into $TSM, $SKHY, $EWJ, and $VT. Semis can rally now that I am lowering my risk. The market is acting like a casino right now w/ all the leveraged ETF's & leverage stock options avail rn.

rand2000

Fundamentals are still strong, from TSM to Samsung to even IBM earnings, everything points to strong demand. Question is, is market sniffing out the info that are not in public domain or it’s just a normal (though painful) market fluctuations. No one knows but earning season will tell whether hyperscalers are cutting back or doubling down. IMO this will determine the fate of semis.

abandoned_idol

I want to buy Netflix so bad since months ago, but I blew all my money on TSM. I'm very happy with my choice, but I want to buy more shiny new companies! (not because I want to diversify, but for fun) I also want an advertising company, so I'll buy whatever has the biggest discount from the advertising technology companies. And I want Microsoft! But again, no money. Ah! \~

drew-gen-x

All the semis & memory stocks are moving together so I fail to see how $SOXX, $SMH, or $DRAM is doing any good diversifying. I think all these stocks will continue to move lower until all the leveraged ETF's both long and short work themselves out. Which means they may going bottom until many people just give up. If you just have 1 position like $SMH; it's prolly good as any of the individual stocks. I just had 3 ETF's $SOXX, $DRAM, and $EWY over these last 3 months. I have a lower position in semis now than I did a week ago. I needed a fresh start so I decided to DCA what I just sold into SK hynix and TSM over the next year. But I am not going to put all that cash back into semis right now & go all in right trying to time the bottom.

TheSeeker331

But what’s wild to be is that $TSM didn’t even run up into its earnings like $AVGO. $TSM had been dumping for at least a month. $MU has been dumping post earnings too but it that was after a massive after hours and next day price jump based on those earnings. $TSM didn’t have a run up before or even a pop in the immediate after.

MeringueSensitive779

Thanks for ruining my weekend TSM. Now I'm holding these fucking bags over the weekend and it's put a sour taste in my mouth.

MeringueSensitive779

Bro, fuck my goddamn life. I buy into a fucking blue chip 2T market cap stock called TSM, and I get my ass fucking handed to me. My port has literally gone down as fast as it had when I was fucking with options, and I'm in fucking stock dude. Stock. I'm holding, but jesus christ, down 8% in 2 trading days is fucking insane work.

drew-gen-x

I just opened a position in $TSM. I sold all my semi and memory ETF's $SOXX, $DRAM, and $EWY; and I'm only going to hold SK hynix and TSM stock which I believe are the 2 best of the best. I'm just sticking w/ these 2 stocks for my semi positions and leaving every other semi stock and ETF alone.

Signal-Shoe-6670

TSM's earnings didn't really explain yesterday's price action. Record profit, raised guidance, and higher CapEx because demand is stronger than expected are all fundamentally positive over longer term. The decline feels more like quant funds, leverage, and forced selling which can overwhelm fundamentals in the short term. Eventually, earnings tend to matter again. If u own a single stock, expect price wobbles, dips and peaks... should be prepared for short term volatility that has nothing to do with the business. Over time, earnings and cash flows matter far more than short-term market positioning. Or, as Ben Graham put it, "in the short run the market is a voting machine; in the long run, it's a weighing machine".

FalseDiamond7930

TSM at $500 in 3 months.

BakasanaB

If TSM closes green today I will be walking with biggest boner the whole weekend.

mightyblend

Largely rotated out of semis and memory. Still holding some positions in AMD, NVDA and TSM but I'm tired boss. I need stuff I can forget about.

TheFlyingGyro

Of course. Didn’t you see that you can get memory anywhere now? Also that companies like TSM is increasing capex and making record breaking numbers? Right?

UniqueBend196

So basically me having all my money in TSM and Infineon… ill be fine right?😅

Zealousideal_Book_40

You think Mag7 reduces capex? TSM begs to differ

Ok_Manufacturer_5323

I'm hemorrhaging money with TSM stock and think it has huge potential gains, but I'm nowhere near this optimistic in the short term. Hope it bounces for you today, but man would I not count on it

Enough-Beginning3687

IT does. But they don't need Micron or SK Hynix memory when they have CXMT. They don't need TSM or NVDA when they have SMIC and Huawei. They are catching up so fast in hardware, it's crazy. Even Apple wants CXMT memory. Last year Baidu had a breakthrough where they can mix and match Chinese and western chips to train AI - [https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/baidus-ai-breakthrough-can-meld-gpus-from-different-brands-into-one-training-cluster-company-says-new-tech-fuses-thousands-of-gpus-together-to-help-sidestep-shortages](https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/baidus-ai-breakthrough-can-meld-gpus-from-different-brands-into-one-training-cluster-company-says-new-tech-fuses-thousands-of-gpus-together-to-help-sidestep-shortages)

Stonk-Go-Up

Did you sell the TSM before earnings?

SavorySushi88

Can someone tell me how TSM has great earnings yet a stock like Nvidia goes down? Isn’t that literally a purchase order for Nvidia?

Comrade_Durge

Unless Taiwan is getting invaded tomorrow I wouldn’t worry too much about TSM

MeringueSensitive779

Dude, I've never fucking seen stock literally go down this far this fast. I bought into TSM and it fucking shits the bed, the line is literally straight fucking down dude. It's never been Sub-400 in the last 3-4 months. And now it's fucking 388, because I fucking bought into this goddamn shit.

MeringueSensitive779

What the actual fuck dude. TSM hasn't broken below 420 in months, let alone 400. Now it's at 388. What the actual shit.

ko24be

I bought TSM yesterday, so this one is on me.⁠

winner_in_life

Be TSM. Crush earning. Great guidance. Dumped.

MeringueSensitive779

Jesus fucking christ dude, I'm down fucking 16 fucking grand on TSM STOCK. In 2 trading days. What in the actual fucking fuck dude???? ON A GREAT EARNINGS BEAT???? FUCK MY LIFE DUDE.

MeringueSensitive779

Dude what in the actual fuck is going on. I literally get into TSM, they have a GREAT earnings, and I'm fucking down 7-8% on this stupid ass shit. What in the actual fuck dude.

CeleryApple

Feels very oversold in such a short time with no good apparent reason at all. Maybe everyone taking profit and holding out before earnings? Inflation data in June was showing a cool down. TSM taking a beating on great earnings does not make any sense. IMO even NFLX is unnecessarily punish after it is already down 40% from highs. Rotation story doesn't check out either. Banks are down, Mag7 are down, Gold dropped below 4000, Bitcoin is down... Don't even know what is going to even make a move.

kwinabananas

I think we are seeing the bubble burst on AI. TSM is triggering a economic bottleneck. They basically control the glue that holds the powerful processors together and now the cost to manufacture is being increased. So tech companies are going to be seeing lower profit margins, the investments that were put into AI (blindly by my opinion) are not going to see their return on investment, and the costs are going to be passed into consumers, most of which are struggling in this economy. But this is just my gathering and opinion so don't come at me.

Zealousideal_Book_40

The most profitable companies in the world and the demand just grows. That's the reason for TSM investing and investors react with panic for no reason because oh no very profitable company is investing into further scaling their business.

AsianSpicoli

Im thinking its TSM with massive CAPEX spend thats got wallstreet worried about chip stocks.

career_expat

ASMl, TSM all positive. IBMs negative news was even going saying people are pivoting spending to memory. MU crushing it with guiding higher. Low forward p/e. Sign contracts. Trump restarting a war. Oil prices back up are the downsides. Professional firms don’t like risk so they de-risk. People can be irrational longer than you can be solvent.

OptionsHuduga

Yeah? How did that work out for ASML, TSM, Netflix and ISRG so far? They all tanked before earnings and tanked more after

NabotaMessUpMyFace

I chose this day to finally go on vacation too. I’m currently sitting at a bar by myself and reading this crap feeling old, stupid and broke AF! My dog sitter charges more than one share of TSM at this point. Sigh

NotMe357

When TSM and ASML go down after Earning. What make you think Google Earning will pump it? Plus, Google is only down like -13%.

BrakeJobsInBoston

These can’t be the reasons….IBM, ASML, and now TSM have all confirmed that the demand is still strong and companies are moving $$ for AI build outs. Nothing fundamentally has changed. The strait was open and closed and reopened and closed and war was on again off again too during the tail end of this run. Market caps got out of control, and a correction was needed. My hopium has been hinged on Google and Microsoft (hopefully) confirming their capex is maintained or increased for build outs. But after 3 reports, from 3 different companies, all confirming the game is still on….and the bleeding continues….I’m not so sure these next rounds of earnings reports are gonna do much of anything if they’re positive. And it’s gonna be an absolute bloodbath if they do talk about trimming capex. Still great companies. AI boom still on. May not mean higher stock prices in the near term….

Routine_Bat6675

Looks pretty solid on [https://www.sentimentick.com/app/ticker/TSM](https://www.sentimentick.com/app/ticker/TSM) . I would wait for a bit momentum on short term buyers.

Ok_Manufacturer_5323

For that matter, why is TSM down? Their balance sheet is solid AF

Dude_HaHa

Thanks man... ASML seems very overvalued at this point but they got the EUV machines. TSM seems ok.

Moist-Guava-732

40 percent of this etf is 5 stocks which i would buy on dips with half of that being TSM and ASML the 2 best positioned semis for future growth

swimmingotters

Walnut Markets actually has TSM in an interesting spot. The tape is bearish short term, but fundamentals, insider activity, congressional buying, and institutional accumulation are all still bullish. Sometimes price lags the underlying data—I'll be watching to see if the technicals catch up. [https://walnutmarkets.com/ticker/TSM](https://walnutmarkets.com/ticker/TSM)

thenorthernwhiteboy

My worry is the market isn’t reacting to good earnings like they were and any miss by the slightest margin from estimates is an immediate sell (Samsung, TSM) I think Micron last earnings report may have been the craziest thing I’ve ever seen on any earnings report ever and went negative delta immediately, markets top on good news and bottom on bad imo. I’ll remove my hedge around 450-500, am guessing we bottom around September.

Mysterious-Device-53

It's been falling since June 30th. TSM is only down 2.5% anyway

slowpoke2018

Just had this "debate" with Gemini Deep Thinking re: TSM: **Yo, so TSM has been killing my portfolio. Is it worth keeping? It's down about 12% since I bought despite the amazing earnings and revenue data. Simple don't want to lose more than I already have** It is incredibly frustrating to watch a company absolutely smash its earnings, raise future growth guidance, and then see the stock slide anyway. You are experiencing the classic, head-scratching Wall Street "sell the news" reaction. To put things in perspective, TSM isn't just another tech stock—it is the absolute backbone of global technology. It holds an undisputed monopoly in advanced chip manufacturing: Global Semiconductor Foundry Market Share. Source: Statista As you can see, TSMC controls over 60% of the entire global foundry market. Every major AI or hardware designer—including Nvidia, Apple, and AMD—is entirely dependent on TSM to physically manufacture their cutting-edge chips. From a purely structural and fundamental standpoint, their business is stronger than ever. # So, Why is TSM Dropping Right Now? Despite TSM's record-breaking Q2 2026 earnings (where net profit grew an insane 77.4% year-over-year), three major things are spooking short-term investors: * **The CapEx Shock:** TSMC raised its 2026 capital expenditure (spending) budget to **$60B to $64B** (up from the previous $52B to $56B range). While this signals massive future demand, the market hates seeing such a sharp increase in immediate, high-cost cash outflows. * **Overseas Margin Dilution:** Building advanced factories in Arizona, Japan, and Germany is highly expensive. CFO Wendell Huang warned that ramping up these overseas factories will **dilute gross margins by 2% to 4%** over the next few years. Ramping up factories outside Taiwan is a costly logistical hurdle. * **Broad Sector Rotation:** Tech and semiconductor stocks have had an absolute blockbuster run. After softer inflation prints and strong banking earnings, institutional investors are locking in profits on big winners and rotating cash into lagging sectors like financials, healthcare, and small caps.

Strange-Building

Just to add this price difference for TSM has exited for 3 decades now….

Strange-Building

I am not sure why you think this is abnormal, heard about TSM it has been trading at 30% premium for years without any convergence. Asian countries make arbitrage trade impossible and you will not make any money expecting a prices to converge since it’s a one way street.

xxxMarilee

I made a mistake. I never owned TMC. I meant to write TSM. This losing money has me losing my mind too.

SpongEWorTHiebOb

The average stock in the SOXX was trading at over 20x TTM revenue. Total bubble territory. But but but these companies and AI aren’t going anywhere. That’s a weak argument for pricing stocks. Supposedly good earnings and outlooks did not matter for 2 of the major players in TSM and ASML. That means the whole sector is getting repriced. If the Fed raises rates later in the year the 20% correction will turn into a wipe out.

PooPooPointBoiz

tf you talking about? So long as hyperscalers are spending big money on it, TSM will be fine. And so far, none of them have blinked yet, they're still throwing insane amounts of money into the AI fire.

Large-Werewolf-7000

TSM? Please save me

daynightcase

TSM is selling at their historical higher PE. and Netflix is selling at historical lower PE. so your comparison makes no sense

vl24-az

People like to try to rationalize but the market moves on emotions. Rn everything related to ai spending is taking a break. TSM did not deserve to go down but that’s how it goes.

Rock_or_Rol

Lol Ik what you mean I meant from here and in relation to TSM earnings. I’d call it a much needed correction. Semis were wayyyy too hot and bubbly.

looool_k_libtard

TSM obliterated their quarter and still fell 2%. Netflix probably opens at $15 tomorrow.

looool_k_libtard

We’re in a spot now where TSM posted an absolutely monster double beat, reaffirmed guidance, and said increasing capex because demand is non stop. And it closed down 2%. The powers that be decided AI/semis are not going to go up anymore.

MaterialGuy007

TSM of all companies including NVDA and AMD got it right on execution, seriousness - will be one of the first to generate $100B cash flow a year - taking it on par w Apple and Aramco

slothropdroptop

First MU, then AVGO, now TSM—all crashing the semis markets with good earnings, sad

Successful-Grab6091

The market is illogical and fearful or taking their gains.  If you’re holding long term, TSM should still be a good investment, rn.

Trevv901

Yeah, small scalps on TSM UNH and MU were the only way I stayed in profit today and even those were tight.

trustfundkidotaku

Same shit people sell on news and buy the dip Last earnings TSM also dip on April 3% and recover less than a month later

trustfundkidotaku

Cause the market is half genius half regard Also they have goldfish memory Last earnings TSM also beat yet its down 3%

tachyonvelocity

Bottleneck = prices go up. Increased capacity reported by ASML and TSM = bottleneck relieved, prices go down. Semiconductors that rely on bottleneck like memory fall. Simple as that.

PooPooPointBoiz

I'm not going to touch POS Marvell. But I was in SNDK and was down about the same amount as I am now on TSM. Except SNDK recovered overnight the following night. I have a feeling I'm going to be bag holding this POS for a few weeks at least.

Affectionate_Fan_617

What was so bad about TSM earnings !!

PooPooPointBoiz

Dude fuck my stupid fucking life. TSM goes into earnings way down from the 470 ATH's from a few months ago. So plenty of room to go up. Yet, despite an insane earnings report, that shit has dropped 2.5-3% today. What in the actual fucking fuck. And it's not even like it's going to recover like ASML did yesterday. This shit is just going to flounder in the red for fucking ever. I literally pick the goddamn losers every fucking time dude. Average cost of 427. Fuck my goddamn life.

MarginCalledMom

No options or leverage shares only. Last month down a little more than 40k. Not too worried because numbers stay good, TSM had great earnings, same with Samsung. I think there’s just been a crazy run the past year, too much leverage in the system, and we need to wash it out. I imagine we are close to a bottom here

Jo9715

MU - good earnings and guidance Samsung - good earnings and guidance ASML - good earnings and guidance TSM - good earnings and guidance Share price of memory companies drop ​

TheFlyingGyro

So again, you're clearing ignoring the graphs, numbers, etc. This isn't just some pullback, we're now down 33% from our highs. By itself, sure, you could say it is a pull back (a very big one) But what bears always like to ignore is that we in last month it dropped 20% 3 other times. Meanwhile in the last month there has been literally nothing but good news coming out. Record earnings. Deal after deal. Literally this morning TSM announced an increase in Capex and another 100 billion being invested in the US. Do I think it can 600% from here? No, but a double? Very easily could based purely on financials and outlook alone.

OptionsHuduga

TSM and ASML would like a word too

analyticsguy23

Today is the first time I’ve bought TSM. Made my entry at $410 and will be buying any further dip

cantTankThisFox

TSM earnings showed loss in smartphone division idk why AAPL is pumping

General-Oil293

TSM… look what they’ve done to my beautiful baby, look at it! 🥹😭

Civil_Toaster

TSM recovering but rest of AI stocks still dropping, fvk these algos

ImaginaryNinja9782

How could TSM dare to raise guidance and dump all the semiconductor stocks.

Cav829

Lots and lots of stuff over a month. Some of the latest: * TSM earnings were a mess. There were signs their margins are compressing, CapEx was increasing, and 94% of the sequential increase in non-operating revenue was from a one-time $2 billion pretax gain. * IBM's preemptive announcement of an earnings miss, putting pressure on data center stocks. * South Korea is trying to unwind the mess of ETFs in their stock market, creating incredible volatility as they get rid of a lot of over-leveraged investors. * Plus some of it is just technicals. Charts have been flashing warnings signs as early as a month ago and collapsing for the last two weeks. The semis were also massively over-extended. We're not even close to done with where they have typically pulled back to btw after such runs.

kktvMIN

Rates may go up at least as far as the sentiment goes. Read up on Warsh. Most other explanations do not address the question of why now. High valuations? Not really. TSM is lower than many biotech pharma retail and energy companies. Peak growth? Not true. INTC has a lot more to grow.

TheFlyingGyro

Meanwhile TSM reported more capex increases this morning on record revenue.

OptionsHuduga

SPOOKY THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: I want you to close your eyes and imagine if TSM and ASML had missed earnings bigly. I'll wait for your reaction....

MaterialGuy007

Cash on hand for the hottest stocks TSM quarter $22 billion on hand $95 billion SK Hi Q $18 billion on hand $40 billion SNDK Q $1.6 billion on hand $7 billion

GoodIdeaBadIdeaUnsur

Guess you haven’t seen TSM and ASML earnings.

CreamyBehemoth

Guess who had UNH ours and TSM calls 🙂

True_Job_7845

TSM 420 blaze it

looool_k_libtard

All signs point to AI acceleration, TSM and ASML reported stellar earnings, same with micron. Mag 7 about to report wild capex. Semis were definitely up a lot but I don’t know why this is such an aggressive sell off in beta names. This feels coordinated to reset some of the runners for next leg up and it just happened to pull down basically everything tech in its wake.

scone_monster

Micron up 600%+ past year. Almost 1 Trillion company. How much more do you think it will go up? TSM up 70-%+ past year. It's a 2 Trillion dollar company. How much more do you think it will go up? There isn't a conspiracy. Sell the news is pretty common. Taking profits after large runs is pretty common. There's a billion retail traders, fully leveraged, who think things will go up forever. It's making things very volatile on both the way up and way down.

Purple_Bearkat

Not sure if TSM is a bargain or bull trap, but don’t see how they don’t continue making $$$ with that moat.

GneissFrog

TSM was too reasonable on their call. Instead of saying that they will scale up in Arizona as determined by market demand, they should have said they were going to try to buy Arizona and turn the whole state into a fab.

cforb92

TSM on sale

MaterialGuy007

TSM was more honest than any American company on conf call!!!!!

Waste-Milk2716

Was hoping to get TSM during that fire sale 

WendyDumpsterFire

Guh someone lost 100k in TSM

avsfan0829

TSM dumped because of capex. Intel will also do the same

No_Feedback4998

We should work together on a plan for our next play, and then do the opposite. TSM had a big earnings beat AND very good guidance. da fuq.

stevenrichardson80o

The Bank of Korea announced a rate hike, and the stock market sold off immediately. SK Hynix and Samsung are both getting hit hard, and even TSM is down despite beating earnings expectations

No_Feedback4998

why does $TSM keep drilling down? beat consensus earning and this: "TSMC (TSM) reported massive second-quarter revenue of $40.20 billion (NT$1.27 trillion), exceeding expectations and fueling a raised full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook to over 40%. Management also guided strong third-quarter revenue of $44.6 billion–$45.8 billion, driven heavily by AI chip orders" wtf. I need to be more serious about betting against myself.

Neccesary

Welp I erased all profits from the last months on TSM. thanks for being regarded Wall Street 

KarlLachsfeld

Awww TSM

DoubleFamous5751

TSM smoked earnings. Better sell it

OptionsHuduga

ASML earnings will make or break the market? They beat - it broke the market. TSM earnings will make or break the market? They beat - it broke the market. Which profitable company is next to report stellar earnings and send us to earths core?

PuzzledLeader8941

Might buy TSM leaps this morning

KittyLover-7

TSM lol