Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
$0.53 (0.38%) Today
52 Week High
52 Week Low
7 Days Mentions
what was your conviction behind the TSM play? I know they reported earnings last week. Did you buy before earnings when IV was high or after the news? also, what were the expiration dates for the calls you bought? congrats btw
Solid DD and definitely a company that should experience some growth in the near term. However, you fail to mention that the company is located in Taiwan so it of course carries the risk of China, similar to TSM. Don’t think it’s a dealbreaker, but definitely a factor to consider before you yolo your life savings into this one.
HIMX - best value semi play. Semi’s are just going to be in higher demand. 6.8 PE, profitable, small dividend and TSM just crushed earnings to HIMX should too. To have the same PE valuation as TSM it should be priced at $65….not $13.
SHM if you like Taiwan Semiconductor Company. Said holding is the primary difference between the two, as far as I can tell. I hold Soxx and thought of buying TSM. Didn't do the latter because I don't trust the CCP not to act idiotically at some point. That said, I still might, as it's easy to hedge against such a threat through holding one of the major defense contractor. I like, and already hold RTX for that, because not only does one get exposure to defense spending, a good chunk of RTX's business is chained to commercial aviation avionics. So when travel comes back, RTX may swing back to all time highs.
It’s super cheap, look at the P/E compared to other tech. Intel is opening up massive fabs in US and Europe, and is going to be opening them up to outside production just like TSM does. They get shit on for their mistakes in recent years, rightfully so, but they are an absolute sleeping giant. I’m long INTC , already made good gains but I see it 2-4x in the next couple years.
I suggest you do a little more research into US vs International outperformance historically. [This article shows a chart going back to 1969.](https://www.mymoneyblog.com/us-vs-international-stocks-cycles-outperformance.html) The past 10 years have been very good for the US. But it won't last forever. The more you can diversify the better off you are. To say that the only difference between VT and VTSAX is HD and TSM is very wrong.
I absolutely still like it at this price. I am worried about the overall market though. Heading into a seasonally weak period with omicron cases spiking + fed tapering + rate hikes + QT + inflation ripping is not a great formula. Sony has withstood the recent storm better than almost any other tech name but how long can Sony hold up while lots of other tech names get decimated? TBD. All the games that got delayed to 2022 due to COVID will be great for earnings this year including two huge 1st party games. Sony is still facing supply shortages on PS5 otherwise they’d be much higher right now. Spiderman was a top 10 grossing film of all time. They are killing it in music as well, partnering with TSM on chips, exploring EVs, they are firing on all cylinders. When I wrote this post, I was 60% shares and 40% options, now I’m 97% shares and 3% options. I’m not selling anywhere here or close to here, but realizing the broader market is weakening, I’m sticking with mostly shares for now outside of some 2024 call spreads.
Can a sensible investment strategy include a 3x levered ETF? Hi guys, I’ve been putting some thought into this strategy and would like to hear your opinions on it. My current portfolio is about 25% $SPY, $25% $XLU and the rest is a few different individual stocks (GM, DLR, TSM, USB, etc). Nothing too crazy. However, i am starting to hold a bit more cash as I am a little less sure of markets. (Wouldn’t call myself a bear, but not exactly as bullish as I was say a year ago). When the market does become a bull market, whether that’s some point his year or some point 4 years from now, is there something inherently reckless about change my cash and SPY holdings to the 3x S&P tracker? My thought process: wait for a bear market, which I would describe as a 20%-25% decrease. At that point, the market is at somewhat of a discount, so make my cash and SPY 3x levered. I wouldn’t expect to pull out for another 5 years at least. If the market becomes bullish again, I would start converting the 3x levered back to SPY again to taper off risk after 2 years of a bullish market. I’m young and am fortunate to have a decent income and savings so it’s fairly safe I would run into liquidity issues where I’d have to prematurely pull out of the market. My thinking is that I’m buy at a discount (small or large idk) and then over the course of 5-10 years isn’t almost certain I’d be better off 3x levered in the market over that span? I ask because I feel 3x levered ETFs are often viewed as kinda crazy and I wonder if this implementation of them is more calculated. Please let me know what you think and if you disagree or can poke holes in it. Thanks!
Those were just some prominent examples. I've got TSM, AMAT, and MU too which have been doing well plus HIMX which also got reamed. My mining stocks (RIO and BHP) have been doing well in recent months, but are still waaay off their August highs. I also didn't just buy any of these stocks at their ATHs I'm just saying these stocks have been falling precipitously, its not just garbage companies falling right now. We're in a rotation to value/safety im addition to the overall decline but it's been pretty painful for anyone holding a decent amount of growth I'm their portfolios
Semi-Conductors are going to be great for awhile. As prices for cars, computers, and everything else goes up due to inflation, the chip makers are going to want their cut. TSM is a decent play but HIMX is going to have a better chance to double since it trades at 1/4 the PE of TSM. Their earnings are in a few weeks and I expect them to crush earnings the same as TSM. Why wouldn’t they be about the same percentage beat?
So if the CHIPS act gets passed it will increase funding for US Semiconductor production by big monies. How is SMH a good index when the top holding is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) which has headquarters in Taiwan. Plz explain 🚀🦍🌕
TSM. Guidance is 30% sales growth 2022 vs 18% reported 2021. Yes raised prices 10%. But also has largest ever prepayments to fund capex. So apple, Nvda, amd, QCOM may be “too expensive” - but demand will be up in 2022 Cars don’t have enough chips, cell phone will grow, cloud will grow at least 30%… yes computers may be flat due to pull forward demand But TSM results and it share price tells me when aapl, Nvda, amd, QCOM report results it won’t be demand is weak - just what is the right multiple
Yea. When I thought everything was going up I bought some calls on TSM and SPY and losing about $2k. But this Amazon if it continues to dip I’ll make it back and then some. Also I think TSLA will dip below $1000 if this trend continues tomorrow
-0.94%. Mixed across my portfolio, TSM and PCAR helped buoy me while CROX, MSFT, and SBLK all anchored me (with many others either up or down slightly). Disappointing, especially considering how the day started out.
I'm a little confused. To answer your first question, no, stop losses aren't usually triggered after-hours. If TSM tanked last night, you would have woke up and found that your shares took a hit. Depending on your brokerage, you may be able to sell your shares during extended trading hours. As far as your calls go, if TSM tanked last night, your stop losses would've never kicked in. You'd wake up and your calls would be red a f. As far as this specific post I'm replying to, I'm not sure what you're trying to ask. There's so many variables with options that can make them valuable or tank them. It really depends on the options you're buying. If you're buying calls that are deep OTM with a close expiration, the stock would have to make a humongous move for you to profit on that call option - because theta will kill the value of your contract. So say for example you buy a bunch of calls on NVDA right before earnings that are in the money. Because the IV (implied volatility) is so high (because of so many transactions before earnings), if NVDA doesn't have a significant jump, your contract could potentially be IV crushed. I'm not sure if you already know these things about options, but there's been a lot of times I saw a "serious opportunity" and got humbly fucked by a variable I didn't even know. But to be fair, I learned more from my losses than I've learned from my gains.
Sup dawgs, Given the chip shortage, and that I have been hitting retarded gains on semiconductors, buying a day before earnings and selling next day smashing TSM today ( up 10%) here is my thought process.. I guess theoretically, if the stock is for 1$ buy 90 stocks and buy calls with 10 $, that way if it goes 10% up then you’ll make 9$ on the 90 10$ on the 10 Total of 19% in a day.. stop loss at 2% below your purchasing price .. Repeat the process for all major semiconductor companies reporting their earnings within the next 2 months.. am I retarded or is this a serious opportunity??!
Yeah it does. I'm just scarred, last time I played earnings besides for TSM was Amazon when it got dumped. I'm never confident in what's going to happen anymore. I never know when it's "buy the rumor, sell the news" I'll probably be risking the same plays though.
Staying long, of course. These past two weeks have been a blessing for adding to semi positions. I think we all know how crucial of a role these chips play in our current economy, and moving forward. To everyone holding TSM, congrats. Long periods of consolidation can be brutal, but having conviction eases the pain. AMD likes to go months without moving, too. Then...Boom, off to the races. GL
TSM has been my largest single company position for quite a while now, and with a gain this big today it’s pretty tempting to sell some shares. But honestly? I don’t see them going anywhere but up in the long term (barring any potential threat to Taiwan from China)