UBS

Jehoopaloopa

JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, CITI, UBS etc

RedOctobrrr

Archegos swaps (the one and only Bill Hwang) -> Credit Suisse -> UBS Can't link anything here.

DecrimIowa

in 2022 the conditions were very different than they are now and there was still a good amount of resilience in the system, not to mention COVID QE money still sloshing around. Silicon Valley Bank, UBS acquiring Credit Suisse and Archegos were canaries in the coalmine though. also the Saudis and UAE starting to settle oil trades in Yuan. I don't care if it happens in a few weeks, a few months or even a few years- the collapse is starting and in a decade or two, historians will look back and say that it started happening in the post-covid years even if it wasn't recognized at the time. Honestly though there's probably going to be money to be made in (rapidly depreciating) dollars right up until the moment of collapse, and people will still be playing in the casino as it burns down. I wish you and the rest of the bulls on here the best of luck but I just hope you all recognize the risks inherent in the current environment and don't gamble with more than you can afford to lose.

skierx31

I met this guy once in the weehawken UBS offices, not surprised. He was hawking some tech product when we questioned him on his company strategy and how his product would integrate he stood up put a leather purse over his shoulder and said - you think I need your business I have bank accounts in the caymen’s and walked out.

ROH1234

Lots of Q1 earnings reports have strongly exceeded expectations (mag 7, pharma, JPM, UBS). The markets going up so clearly people are optimistic at least in the short term. Would be good to hear discussion on why, beyond the reddit “markets are delusional!!”

Cantstopdontstopme

UBS

No-Definition-2886

I very clearly understand the rules I’m using. That’s why [managing directors at Scotiabank and UBS](https://medium.datadriveninvestor.com/why-i-a-27-year-old-black-man-left-my-400-000-year-fully-remote-job-to-become-an-influencer-74737d6cc332) are considering me the AI expert and have expressed how impressed they are with the platform. It’s not a project. It’s a business. I’m sorry your IQ is too low to understand the value. I’d be an angry troll on Reddit too if I was this dumb. Have a good day

drizzyjdracco

📅 Upcoming Earnings Report 📈 Analyst Sentiment Loop Capital: UBS: 🧾 Insider Activity 🧠 Strategic Considerations Given the upcoming earnings report and recent stock performance: Risk Management: Profit-Taking: Monitoring: Would you like assistance in setting up alerts for the earnings release or guidance on placing limit orders through Fidelity?

noplanman_srslynone

LLY got UBS angry downgrade  LLY meeting with MangoTango Wednesday  LLY earnings Wednesday  

Brett-_-_

Another aspect Burry ran into was that the very banks that would give the payout for the credit default swaps were dealing with potential imminent bankruptcy because they had heavy exposure to real estate mortgages. So he had the investment right, but it took miraculous maneuvering to sell the investment, since the liquidity within the banks was pouring out to purposes that would save the bank(s). UBS ended up buying many of these swaps according to the movie. By pricing the credit default swaps higher (and therefore divulging their real value), the banks would effectively be publicly admitting to how bad their real estate mortgage holdings actually were. I think the movie showed the banks avoiding the disclosure by artificially holding the price of the swaps down.

IntrepidFarmer5666

UBS and CITI are on a downgrading spree just destroying valuations 

Such_Region2724

UBS guy on CNBC glazing 🥭 like crazyyyyy omg glad I have a put on them

patchyj

Ring ring, it's ~~credit suisse~~ UBS

Marlov

Wtf are you on about. NO ONE in a market this deep is that powerful. 5.7m options & 143m shares have traded so far today. No one is big enough to get in front of that freight train on a daily let alone weekly basis. If your theory had any merit the "manipulators" would never lose on options. Your theory just suits the narrative for what has happened to your positions today. Where were these manipulators who had sold a bunch of options when the stock halved in value earlier this year? Did they forget to do their manipulation? Had the month off? Also the MMs do not carry risk, they intermediate. Contrary to your theory, whoever sold those 1000 puts also sold a bunch of stock to hedge the delta. They did NOT double down and buy more stock to "prop it up". Guess what just happened on that sold stock delta hedge today? Even the biggest traders in the market have risk limits and stress tests they are constrained by. Buying more delta to avoid sold options being exercised is a guaranteed way to get carted out and fired. If someone has $10bln in stock to sell on any given day you're going to get double fucked when that comes to market. The other thing you need to get your head around is options are purely a volatility trade. If you're mindlessly buying them for delta exposure you're doing it wrong. Like I said the guy who sold all these puts either sold stock or sold calls to manage delta. In both scenarios their face has been ripped off by those negative deltas (today at least) . You did a shitty trade. Me too in fact. But don't blame someone else for it. Or if the game is so clearly against you then stop playing but don't bitch about it when you lose. And your last comment is laughable. Think about this shit before spouting it. Multiple unique manipulators would need to coordinate to have the desired result. That is NOT fucking happening. I guarantee you the 10 biggest TSLA MMs/ traders are all working off different models and pursuing unique strategies. Wall street isn't fucking OPEC. They don't have a morning meeting across Citi, Goldmans, UBS and agree to go hard on sold puts and jam the stock higher untii expiry. If they did... What do you think happens to the stock post expiration when they stop buying? Hahahahaha

noplanman_srslynone

Give the old girl time, has to get out of the news :) Then buy more! USD is 1.13 right now UBS just upped their estimate to 1.22 from 1.12

LighteningOneIN

**Long story short he means to say this -** * **Earnings after close today** – second among the “Magnificent Seven” to report. * **Tech weakness overall** → Big test for Alphabet amid uncertainty. * **Chart setup:** Double bottom forming. Break above **$160.77** = trend reversal signal. * **Estimates:** $89.1B revenue (+11%), $28.58B op income (+12%), margins slightly up. * **Cloud:** Record $12.3B rev expected, but profit might dip. Watch for tone on strategy (aggressive vs. cautious). * **Legal/Regulatory:** Antitrust ruling = potential ad divestitures (modest financial impact). * **Tariffs/macros:** Alphabet’s ad biz could get hit indirectly from global uncertainty. * **Price Targets:** Lowered across the board (UBS: $209 → $173), but still mostly **Buy** ratings. Avg PT = \~$204. * **Moves:** Short-term puts = potential hedge; long-term hold still makes sense. Covered calls could be solid if you own shares. Alphabet is still a long-term play, but earnings today could decide how rough the near-term road is.

noplanman_srslynone

NP, it's a good hooe to hide cash if the dollar goes the way UBS thinks it will. 7%+ so far this year

lipmanz

It’s definitely shown as a low probability, but with 4 cuts as the consensus (Barrons, CNBC, UBS) we would go 4 for 5 in meetings the rest of the year or a big one in June?

NOT_MartinShkreli

I snagged the May, June, July calls after it dropped from $28 to $21 so just gonna let those ride and play some weeklies in small amounts until I get paid on those I think a big run is coming with UBS freaking out over the credit suisse trash they absorbed and are now on the hook for

Business-Bunch1806

UBS

legedu

>you acknowledge if they buy any Bitcoin you have lost value compared to buying Bitcoin yourself? Yes, if all they do is buy Bitcoin. >as opposed to GME at a PE of like 80. No one investing in the company is looking at a PE value of this. I addressed that. >Can you describe how you think their offering worked? It is spelled out in the filings and is a commonly understood way to raise capital. They issued new shares to institutions at the current market price. >I'm curious if you'll be honest about what the institutions purchased. Took me 10 seconds to Google [this.](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/gme/institutional-holdings) I agree the people going 100% into the stock are cultish, but I don't think it's a cult. You'll see some crackpot discussion on the subreddit but there are obviously sophisticated people discussing it too. Look at the institutional holders. Is UBS a cult? CalSTRS? Canada Life Assurance Co? >None of what you are saying is describing why Gamestop is a good buy, you've now simply moved on to complete speculation. None of this is speculation. There are literally receipts for all of it. I never said it's a good buy. All I said is I have a small allocation. Again, I'm not trying to convince you to buy it. I really don't care what you, some mystery person on the internet, does. You asked me some questions and I answered them. If you still think the outperformance boils down to cult buying, I'm just going to respectfully disagree.

Affectionate-Idea690

H&S forming. Should be good for $190 over the next 45 days...butt TD Cowen now sees the stock at $195, down from $210. UBS lowered its target to $173 from $209, while Scotiabank revised its estimate to $200 from $232. All three firms continue to rate Alphabet as a Buy.

Zorna21

**UBS strategists see the euro at 1.23 against the dollar by year-end**, up from about 1.13 on Wednesday, and they forecast the yen trading at 130 per dollar in that period from the current level of near 143. HODL EURO WIN BIGLY [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-23/ubs-cuts-dollar-outlook-again-says-us-china-is-key-for-its-path](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-23/ubs-cuts-dollar-outlook-again-says-us-china-is-key-for-its-path)

racks_long

\*\*\* BLOOMBERG - [UBS Cuts Dollar Outlook Again, Says US-China Is Key for Its Path](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-23/ubs-cuts-dollar-outlook-again-says-us-china-is-key-for-its-path?srnd=homepage-americas)

noplanman_srslynone

[ UBS Cuts Dollar Outlook Again, Says US-China Is Key for Its Path](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-23/ubs-cuts-dollar-outlook-again-says-us-china-is-key-for-its-path?srnd=homepage-americas) # So March was USD/EU 1.12 forecasted and now it's 1.23....

VirtualBeyond6116

Actually, I'll defend Clinton on that one a bit. But yeah, deregulation is such a catalyst for future chaos while everyone celebrates in the moment. I literally did my internship around 1999 or 2000 at a stock Brockerage. UBS PaineWebber. The Broker I was assigned was educating me and the junior broker on the economic and market situation. Even some professors at the time were explaining it. 1. People are free to invest their money anywhere they want. The govt can't really control that. 2. A normal, competent administration that sees a massive red-flag in the market will try to do what they can to correct it without spooking everyone. 3. At the time, people were so eager to throw their money into stocks, dotcoms, anything tech, etc cause the markets were going crazy, people wanted to invest, and so on. The age of Over-Exuberance is what the Fed, Alan Greenspan, and other economic pros were calling It at the time. So the broker and professors at the time explained why rates were going higher. It was to incentive people to slow their investing into the stock market as they saw a bubble forming, as well as inflation. People were gonna get wiped out without a slowdown. So, interest rates were getting higher and higher to make It attractive for people to put their money in money market funds. CDs even started paying like 6% or more at the Time which sounds insane now. As the market became more irrational, interest rates kept rising. It obviously wasnt enough. Then after the dotcom burst, people had little faith in the market. So the opposite happened. Those with money went to bonds, treasuries, CDs, safe stocks, etc and few were investing in the market. That's when Bush was coming in. So, what did the Fed do? They started cutting rates to get people back into the stock market. Of course 9/11 happened which then supercharged the problem,, then the kterer rate cuts, etc. The byproduct (and deregulation) of that led to the start of the housing market bubble. Real estate became the deferred, safe way to earn more than 5% on your money. History repeated itself as the housing market became a bubble. They were trying to increase the rates a bit at the time, but then the crash happened so, they kept rates low, almost zero %. And of course Bush was an incompetent president who started 2 endless wars and devoted so much of our resources to them, they never bothered to truly address the bubble forming, or just didn't care cause rhe "war on terror" was the priority. I'd literally never had rates become high when I had money, til like 2022 and 2023. It was a strange concept to earn 4% or more on CDs. Sorry for the long rant. Having a few beers waiting for a flight.

AcrobaticComposer

Right, basically I cannot really decide between the two. The difference in TER is very significant in favor of UBS but ZKB somehow "feels safer"

AcrobaticComposer

Why not the UBS gold ETF? The expense ratio is like 0.2% vs 0.4% for the ZKB one

bitcointwitter

Rather have Trump then Powell at this point. Powell, kicked the GAMESTONKS can of crime illegally for the FED RESERVE APEX clearning house for the Rothschild neice "TRICCIA ROTHSCHILD" of JAcob Rothchild fed reserve hidden family who got fired in Feb 2021 for it. [https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1834518/000119312521049864/d137294dex991.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1834518/000119312521049864/d137294dex991.htm) Facts. & DTCC insurance of stock market for 4 damn years... dont forget these assholes made over 15 to 30+ new laws after guess what 100 DAMN YEAR after this scandal in the OCC including rule 5. Google "gamestop occ rule 5 document 2021" they are scrubbing history literally as this second. If you think this is a joke... HERE is a CFTC deriviiate report about UBS on April 15, 2025. WITHHOLDING MARGIN CALL REQUIREMENTS for BAG HOLDING since literally 2006 to 2024. [https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9066-25](https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9066-25) Think of it like this... if someone owed you rent, in 30 days. And the BANK and POLICE Say''' FUCK U DONT PAY? Your not angry? Then you say when do you get your money? And the Police say "WHENEVER YOU DIE, you paid?" SUre. And you wonder why CFTC guy incharge resigns after creating crime? Hiding evidence for 4 years. [https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/behnamstatement010725](https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/behnamstatement010725)

8thSt

UBS with a casual 25% premarket pump. I thought they were holding all those credit suisse bags? It’s good to be a bank apparently.

lazy_apple

If UBS could go to $0, that'd be great.

Embarrassed-Amoeba62

Well... the Credit Suisse in Switzerland sort of broke with the "only banks" part. But UBS is holding strong.

Significant-Mango203

Bruh CitiGroup upped the price target to 18.00 from 12.50 , UBS also raised it from 12 to 14.

Main_Ad5511

CHF denominated GOLD ETF $AUUSI from UBS is killing it!!!! -

Stonna

Long story short, a hedge fund (Archargos?) went bankrupt and their debt was passed on to their backer which was Credit Suisse Well the bags are apparently so bad it caused Credit Suisse to go under and the government forced UBS to acquire Credit Suisse Some high level executive locks away the information pertaining to the bags for 50 years. Then he retires Well now UBS is asking for margin waivers because the bags are expensive.  Now here’s the nail in coffin, bags similar in size to the ones drowning UBS are held by several US brokers and banks. And they could easily go bankrupt like Credit Suisse And these bags don’t just go away. They all end up at the FED in the end until they’re paid in full.  and trust me, that’s the short version.

m0nsieurp

Care to elaborate about UBS?

Stonna

I hate to break it to everyone. But the current stock market is completely broken and unfixable.  All you have to do is look at UBS and the bags they inherited from credit Suisse.  The situation is completely and utterly fracked 

Pereise1

Republican Darrel Issa sold $30m of $UBS on 4/9. Puts?

Carambo20

Weak $ will not last, it is importing inflation while not helping exports... Americans who travelled benefited from a strong $ and it contributed to the feeling of US power, weaker $ is too risky for the image of USA. Bessent has said many times that the $ should be stronger, but this administration is changing his mind every 5 minutes, so who knows...The safe haven for now is CHF and gold, even better, to invest in gold ETF in CHF like UBS ISIN CH0106027193

KissmySPAC

While UBS gets to hide all their toxic waste. Sad.

TristyTreat

what if the European ground war grows while UBS rolls over like a dead whale under the weigh of soaking up bad paper from Credit Suisee and its Government Hold Cash demands? Next step in backup plan ing may be important

moonkiska

Wrong. CBOE absolutely has market makers and routing partners. Here is a list: ```Akuna Securities LLC All Options USA LLC Barclays Capital Inc. Belvedere Trading LLC Black Edge Securities LLC BNP Paribas Securities Corp. BofA Securities, Inc. BTIG, LLC Casey Securities LLC Citadel Securities LLC Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Consolidated Trading LLC CTC LLC Dash Financial Technologies LLC DRW Securities, LLC Dynamex Trading LLC Geneva Stock, LLC Global Execution Brokers, LP Group One Trading LLC HAP Trading, LLC HRT Financial LP IMC Securities LLC IMC-Chicago, LLC dba IMC Financial Markets Instinet, LLC Interactive Brokers Corp. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Jane Street Capital, LLC Jane Street Options, LLC Jefferies LLC Jump Trading, LLC Lakeshore Securities, L.P. Lamberson Capital LLC Marathon Trading Group LLC Matrix Executions, LLC Maven Global Markets Trading LLP Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC National Financial Services LLC Old Mission Capital, LLC Old Mission Markets LLC Optiver US LLC RBC Capital Markets, LLC RQD* Clearing, LLC SG Americas Securities, LLC Simplex Trading, LLC SpiderRock EXS LLC Sumo Capital LLC Susquehanna Investment Group Susquehanna Securities, LLC TJM Investments, LLC Tower Principal Markets LLC TradeZero America, Inc. TRC Markets LLC UBS Financial Services Inc. UBS Securities LLC Vanaheim Securities, LLC Velocity Clearing, LLC Virtu Americas LLC Vision Financial Markets LLC Walleye Trading LLC Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Wolverine Execution Services, LLC Wolverine Trading, LLC X-Change Financial Access, LLC XR Securities LLC```

TristyTreat

I wonder if there will be any UBS or margin call or oher news over the long weekend to make Monday extra nuts

Electronic-Dress-792

The plebs on WSB won't get it but it's not their fault -- positive sentiment for the meme is literally auto-banned by bots in this forum. I knew someone who got auto banned with literally no ticker or name mentioned, just the reverse phrasing of "pants always open" will get you auto-banned by the bot... that tells you all you need to know. If that wasn't convincing -- the SEC literally citing "systemic risk" on why they refuse to show the FTD data under Freedom of Information Act, or UBS literally asking for margin exemptions from legacy swaps inherited from Credit Suisse... hmmm why would they need to do that??? It spiked 6x twice not even a year ago, game is very much still on. Keep stacking but I would caution about only waiting for sneeze. It will happen again but a lot of waiting first. I'm wheeling 23,700 shares of it and it regularly prints \~8% a month. $17k on CC's in this week alone. Let the haters hate https://preview.redd.it/bpao1hwqagve1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1bc8921877bb0e6edb8cb4cf68acbb6e0bbb68db

Business-Bunch1806

If the Fed’s credibility collapses and the dollar gets crushed (DXY toward 85 or below), every dollar-denominated swap (especially long-duration and FX-linked swaps), will need to be reassessed. That’s a huge risk to dealers like UBS, Citi, JPMorgan, etc., but especially UBS if they're overexposed to leveraged counterparties or sovereigns using USD swaps to hedge local liabilities as we already know is the case.

InIce1234

UBS News ticker

Independent-Tree-985

> UBS cuts price targets on two semiconductor giants on U.S. government China export restrictions Me: _Oh neat, how hard is this gonna sting?_ Checks brokerage ticker 180 from 180. 🙄🙄

apathy1391

I mean, UBS is having margin requirements waived on swaps from Archegos collapse from 4 years ago, so yeah. This is from the CFTC today~ Bail outs at the ready.

NOT_MartinShkreli

You realize it barely moved January and February when mentioned. Then all of a sudden shit tanks when the 2 year programs from regional bank failures ends and UBS is sounding the alarm bells on bad derivatives acquired from credit suisse … and the bond market is in shambles as the yield curve uninverts It’s more than just tariffs

Emgimeer

Usd/jpy are tied up in the battle between shorts and GME. People think it's all tinfoil, but it isn't. Explain how only gold and GME have gone to during all this chaos. It doesn't make sense, unless a bunch of that story is actually true. Ken griffin is tied up in a massive Madoff sized scheme that involved shorting certain companies into the dirt as a group, with a MM level of info to feed into their quant-AI systems. When the apps like robinhood entered the fray, it was like fentanyl vs heroine....much more potent and deadly. When GME didn't die, like the rest of their targets, they had to do some extreme things in order to hide their bad shorts. UBS is still sitting on a pile of bill hwangs shorts on GME, and he was just one of the many people working w Ken griffin on this scheme. There are many other parties that are going to go the way of Bill Hwang... and the higher GME climbs, the more collateral they will have to scrape together. Eventually, they go upside down, and all those rules the DTCC wrote in the last 5 years will come into effect. Members will go insolvent, and they will cannibalize those members. Rinse and repeat until whomever is left gets to inherit the food left on the table. In the meantime, we will need to wait and see if Jerome will bail them out or not. This is going to get worse before it gets better. Buckle up

SighRamp

I'm telling you this market will really start to drill once it's clear this is a global market meltdown. UBS Group AG added to a series of growth downgrades for China with the most pessimistic forecast among major banks, predicting the economy will expand just 3.4% this year as US tariffs choke exports.

ivegotwonderfulnews

UBS yesterday: More interesting though are emerging signs of a structural shift in gold allocations. We had previously noted indications of central banks systematically raising the share of total reserves held in gold as part of a move to diversify out of the USD. China’s recent allowing of insurance funds to invest in gold seems to indicate that this policy goal remains very much alive. We expect ventral banks will buy around 1000 metric tons in 2025 (up from 950 metric tons). Also, we had noted that private investors appear to be following suit—this seems to have spurred a reversal of the multi-year ETF redemption cycle. We expect this to accelerate and raise our estimate of ETF net buying in 2025 to 450 metric tons (from 300 metric tons), alongside strong retail coin/bar demand

PatientBaker7172

This is an emotional response like all the other retail investor pumping gold. The dollar is still supreme. Switzerland is also pretty bad due to the instability of UBS taking all the bad debt from Credit Suisse. Best of luck.

notalwayswright

Might want to close asap. Seeking Alpha just put out an article saying there might be a “silver lining” for NVDA- per UBS

mognoiswebscale

UBS: "Retail tech flows turned positive for the first time since April 3 amid inflows across semis (Nvidia $10 mn, Broadcom $4 mn, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company $3 mn) and software stocks (CrowdStrike $6 mn, Microsoft $5 mn, and Palantir $5 mn)."

nugsuyui

Hi all, I’m 22 I’ve got 15k in the stock market, with HL in the UBS S&P 500 index fund (UCITS) and all world index. The platform fee is 0.45 and I don’t know if I should change to T212 as there is no platform fee and just invest in ETFs instead (VOO, QQQ). The issue is that I would need to sell the fund to do so as T212 do not have funds but considering the political state of the economy, should I do this? I don’t want to pay more than I need to, are there any other platforms you recommend I look at instead, or should I sell the funds and make the move?

HeavySink3303

There are Swiss and Singaporean funds which hold actual gold/silver without counterparty risk and in some cases you may take a physical metal there. For example ZKB (Swisscanto), UBS, BullionStar.

blorg

That "North America" if you look at the reference is only US+Canada, 2 countries. It doesn't include the 21 other countries in North America, from Mexico to Panama, or all the Caribbean states. Some of those are put into "Latin America", with obviously much lower wealth, but even this doesn't include most of the countries in North America, only Mexico (plus Chile, Uruguay, Brazil, and Colombia from South America). This is all on p8 of the [original UBS report.](https://web.archive.org/web/20230815103944/https://www.ubs.com/global/en/family-office-uhnw/reports/global-wealth-report-2023/_jcr_content/mainpar/toplevelgrid_5684475/col2/linklistnewlook/link_copy.0357374027.file/PS9jb250ZW50L2RhbS9hc3NldHMvd20vZ2xvYmFsL2ltZy9nbG9iYWwtZmFtaWx5LW9mZmljZS9kb2NzL2RhdGFib29rLWdsb2JhbC13ZWFsdGgtcmVwb3J0LTIwMjMtZW4ucGRm/databook-global-wealth-report-2023-en.pdf)

EngRookie

Until UBS fails that is

Corona-walrus

They also said Swiss Francs lol... Yeah, right after the CS->UBS shotgun merger by the Swiss gov't where they sealed the records for 50 years so the public wouldn't know why - super safe. Seems like there aren't many safe havens left anymore even at the governmental level So the real play aside from bitcoin? Utility-type businesses. Ones that will sustain themselves without any support or protection from the government. Even if you don't invest, you want to be aligned here professionally. 

LayLillyLay

UBS says thank you for your service. 

Plus_Seesaw2023

So ... Polestar is a Swedish EV brand founded by Volvo, which is owned by China’s Geely. It went public via a U.S. SPAC and trades on the NASDAQ under PSNY. The company is headquartered in Sweden, most production happens in China (thanks to Geely), and new manufacturing is ramping up in the U.S. (South Carolina). Geely, directly and via Volvo, holds a majority stake. So it’s Swedish design, Chinese ownership and manufacturing power, and U.S. market presence — a true global mix. (Besides Geely and Volvo, Polestar has had investments from BlackRock, Fidelity, Vanguard, PSP Investments, and the Qatar Investment Authority - Qatar is in Volvo.) As of December 31, 2024, here are the top institutional investors in Polestar: 1. Amf Tjanstepension Ab – 21.97M shares ($21.91M) 2. Swedbank Ab – 11.76M shares ($11.73M) (-0.05%) 3. BlackRock, Inc. – 7.47M shares ($7.45M) (+513.59%) 4. UBS Group Ag – 5.74M shares ($5.72M) (+4656.16%) 5. Fjarde Ap-Fonden / Fourth Swedish National Pension Fund – 4.37M shares ($4.36M) 6. State Street Corp – 3.79M shares ($3.77M) (+85.30%) 7. Alecta Tjanstepension Omsesidigt – 2.93M shares ($2.92M) 8. Tredje Ap-Fonden – 2.81M shares ($2.81M) (-14.38%) 9. Saba Capital Management, L.P. – 2.25M shares ($2.24M) 10. Bank of America Corp / De/ – 2.01M shares ($2.01M) (-13.63%) Notably, BlackRock and UBS have significantly increased their holdings.

KittyLover-7

UBS: Taiwan’s Surging Exports Imply A Data Center Revenue Of $42 Billion For NVIDIA’s April-Ending Quarter

KittyLover-7

UBS: Taiwan’s Surging Exports Imply A Data Center Revenue Of $42 Billion For NVIDIA’s April-Ending Quarter Holy Jensen cook

goobervision

UBS is in terrible shape.

YoLO-Mage-007

A working group consisting of the FED, Band of England, SNB and the SEC released a paper in August of 2023 saying they were sad the Swiss government did not bring Credit Suisse books to RESOLUTION in March of that year. Instead the Swiss government forced Credit Suisse short bags on UBS. UBS auditor just issued an adverse opinion of UBS books relating to "MISSTAMENTS" inherited from CS!!! - March 27, 2025 Just how big is that short hole? UBS paid 36 Billion dollars in swap charges last year indicating a swap short bag of 500 Billion to ONE Trillion dollars! The SNB gave UBS a 100 billion dollar line of credit when they forced them to take Credit Suisse bags. The records have been sealed for 50+ years by the Swiss government (nothing to see here) Archegoes shorts a basket of stocks (the ones they turned off the buy button) Archegoes -> Credit Suisse -> UBS (soon to be renamed UBF'd) -> ???

seefatchai

Wealthfront owned by UBS. At least the Nazis they helped are long dead.

CertainMiddle2382

Swiss national bank request capital bump for TBTF UBS. Swiss gouvernement recently made them buy bankrupt Credit Suisse and them bailout everything (including old CS execs). The condition was tighter regulation as UBS will become the only large Swiss bank. Now that the time has come and everyone made billions, UBS doesn’t want to be more tightly regulated (they will probably have to be bailed out in a couple of years anyway). There are in full PR mode pushing in all Swiss media that if pressured they are going to leave for the US or Singapore.

iThinkiStartedATrend

UBS analyst Joseph Spak maintains Tesla with a Sell and lowers the price target from $225 to $190.

BullfrogLevel2087

UBS analyst Joseph Spak has now also lowered his delivery outlook for the year. His 2025 delivery forecast now stands at ~1.6 million units, down from ~1.7 million beforehand and representing an -11% YoY drop. This is 14% below the Streer, which is calling for volume growth of 3%. For Tesla to even reach Spak’s forecast, average deliveries between Q2 and Q4 need to be ~25% above Q1 levels. “While lower estimates for 2025 are now more broadly expected,” Spak goes on to say, “we believe the whole trajectory of earnings for TSLA remains too high and could face negative revisions post 1Q25 results.”

InIce1234

It's a news ticker from UBS Bank.

spurious_elephant

“Since 1990, after a weekly selloff of over 10% that ended on Friday, S&P 500 rose 80% of time in 1 day and 1 week +5.8% and +4.7% on average,” Rebecca Cheong, UBS Securities’ head of Americas equity derivatives wrote in a note to clients. - Bloomberg Since 2017 when futes were down more than 8.3% but less than 12, in a leap year when the bald eagles were flying, your puts were fucked. Please now make me UBS Head of Derivatives for somewhere.

SuchCattle2750

To be clear, broad scale tariffs across all import categories is absolutely **not** priced in. The default assumption is they will largely be removed over time. UBS put out an email saying the expect the tariffs to even be challenged in court. The US will see economic collapse if tariffs of these levels stay in place for 3 years. What you're seeing is the % chance of that happening move from 0% to something like 5%.

notyourregularninja

Bank estimates for companies have started trickling in and they are not good... General Motors ([GM](https://247wallst.com/companies/gm/?tpid=1492351&tv=link&tc=in_content)) has been downgraded by Bernstein from Market Perform to Underperform, with the price target reduced from $50 to $35. According to the analyst’s research note to investors, vehicle tariffs have already begun, and parts tariffs are expected to start within the next month. Bernstein’s revised forecast for GM indicates a drop of over 20% in free cash flow and a decline exceeding 50% in adjusted earnings for 2026. The firm argues that GM shares will continue to face pressure as tariff challenges mount and consumer confidence [weakens.UBS](http://weakens.UBS) analyst Joshua Spector has downgraded LyondellBasell ([LYB](https://247wallst.com/companies/lyb/?tpid=1492351&tv=link&tc=in_content)) from Neutral to Sell, lowering the price target from $76 to $51. In a research note to investors, the analyst highlights that although demand has been sluggish for almost two years, the company’s earnings are now increasingly strained by rising costs and a persistent influx of new global supply. UBS views the polyethylene and polypropylene markets as among the most oversupplied within its coverage, a situation that could take years to stabilize, according to the firm.Caterpillar ([CAT](https://247wallst.com/companies/cat/?tpid=1492351&tv=link&tc=in_content)) has been downgraded by UBS from Neutral to Sell, with its price target cut from $385 to $243. The analyst, in a note to investors, suggests that the market has not yet fully accounted for additional earnings risks tied to macroeconomic challenges. UBS predicts that tariffs and ongoing uncertainty will further weaken various sectors of the U.S. and global economy, negatively impacting economically sensitive areas of Caterpillar’s business, such as certain construction segments, oil and gas, and [mining.Delta](http://mining.Delta) Air Lines ([DAL](https://247wallst.com/companies/dal/?tpid=1492351&tv=link&tc=in_content)) has been downgraded by UBS from Buy to Neutral, with the price target slashed from $77 to $42. The firm points to a deteriorating economic environment and growing signs of a potential recession as reasons for the downgrade. In its note to investors, UBS expresses doubt that Delta can avoid the significant cyclical downturn typically seen during an economic slump, noting that the combination of a weaker economic outlook and rising tariffs is likely to hurt both international and premium travel segments, posing a notable risk to the airline.Wells Fargo has reduced its price target for Airbnb ([ABNB](https://247wallst.com/companies/abnb/?tpid=1492351&tv=link&tc=in_content)) from $134 to $100 while maintaining an Underweight rating on the stock. Although alternative accommodations have not yet been tested in a “typical” economic cycle, the firm believes their lower global penetration compared to hotels could lead to slightly better performance for alternatives. Nonetheless, Wells Fargo is lowering its estimates for the company.

jrodshoots

UBS holds the Credit Suisse bags after the Swiss gov forced them to buy it. Those bags have been hidden from the public for 50 years btw... I think UBS is fucked soon too and will get a massive bailout and Switzerland is gonna be like Japan for the next 20 years with 0% interest rates.

thalassamikra

UBS got fucked with the CS merger but who cares. BAC has huge unrealized losses on the investment book and profit warnings could send it over.

Otherwise-Coyote6950

Everything is down massively, including gold. This happen when everything is margin called, the market has never had so much leveraged positions in its history We are not at 2008 crisis yet, but another 2-3 days like that and we will....banks balance sheet were already stressed and they used all kind of accounting tricks to mask the losses. It just takes one big bank to fail and everything will come crashing down because everything is so connected...and UBS and Bank Of America are in terrible shape, with a recession and this much money being destroyed, good luck having those loans repaid....there will be a lot of NPL, which translates to losses on bank balance sheets. Not to mention the losses on their own trading books The situation is much more serious than people believe

Aromatic-Tone5164

???????? of course it hasn't happened yet we were waiting for economic data, which is horrible what do you think the timeframe on that was? where do you think we are now? do you think after Lehman collapsed the S&P just halved? it took far longer to lose much less. Tariffs are reversible but the damage is done, you can't just wave a pen and expect the logistics to sort that out naturally. That is why the markets are reacting so hard, there's no need to pretend like our economy isn't a giant house of cards, this debt soaked fantasy is coming to an end if we didn't have so many scams and grifts (a prime orchestrator of them being our own fucking president) maybe people wouldn't be exiting our economy so fast yes the rate in which we're falling is entirely comparable. somebody is defaulting soon, if not they'll kick the can down the road till Q3. My guess are WFC, UBS, but it's like throwing a dart at a really scummy dartboard. who knows what we'll see with private equities, all the dogshit unregulated ETFs that are about to go to 0 not to mention the derivatives market that is currently unwinding in front of our eyes was estimated to be the size of **1 quadrillion**. in 2008, the problematic derivatives were a mere 60-80 trillion.

Egg-Greg

Wonder how Credit Suisse is feeling after all this shit  UBS probably going to regret coming to save their asses a few years ago

BosSF82

"A new report from Bloomberg suggests that Wall Street firms are considering revising down their revenue projections after Trump’s tariffs announcement, which could lead to job cuts at the major banks. Sources from UBS Group told Bloomberg that some senior investment bankers have been asked to start thinking of employee layoffs."

racks_long

UBS Strategist on Bloomberg TV says indices to go lower, dip level to watch is SPX 5,100

Icy-Championship6654

UBS holding Credit Suisse bags in shambles

racks_long

UBS EXPECTS 5% USD INFLATION AND AT LEAST 2 QUARTERS OF NEGATIVE US GDP 

SchwabCrashes

Here are my opinions based on experience. Since you don't yet know the basics, Charles Schwab is the highly recommended over UBS, Fidelity, Vanguard, RH, E-Trade, Webull, etc. I know because I manages 7 digits portfolios and I have used all of the above anywhere from 2 yrs to over 40 years, and still use all except RH, Webull, and E-Trade. I tested a few other non-mentioned platforms also. Schwab bought TD-Ameritrade (TDA). Schwab has both the regular platform and the Think or Swim (ToS) platform for advance traders and investors. There are many training materials, including videos, which you can learn from the basic to the advance topics. Similarly, you can have basic graphs to advance graphs in both of Schwab platforms which I find are much more insightful than Robinhood (RH)' simplistic non-informative. When I use RH, it is like investing and trading in the dark. You would have to do all sort of researches elsewhere first and know exactly what you want to buy/sell. Even then, sometimes the market is highly volatile so you need many advance metrics and data to make fact-based /data-driven decisions and Schwab (TDA) and E-trade are much better than RH, Webull, etc. On both of Schwab platforms, you can also turn on the advance mode in the graph and compare each stock with many indices, as well as turn on many insightful metrics versus RH's rudimentary graph. In the Think or Swim (ToS) platforrm (available via moble app or via web briwser), you can also switch between the 2 modes of trading with your real money, or trading with fake money to learn and to test out whatever strategy you want to pursue. In the regular Schwab platform (available via mobile app or via web browser), you can easily trade on the go like practically many other platforms, but the key differentiators are the many tools available for you to learn, to research, to read, and you can see simple graph to very advance graphs. Schwab was struggling for awhile trying to integrate TDA after it bought TDA. It took them a good part of a year, but it is much much better than before now that is completed integrating what were in TDA. I normally trade with both of Schwab's platforms daily on the go with my phone as well as browser when I am at my computers. Fidelity is the 2nd best, in that it provides a mean to buy fractional share of ETFs, which can't be traded normally unless the brokerage firm is willing and able to be the middleman to support it. Buying fractional share of stocks is much more common and is supported by many platforms. Fidelity has grwat detailed reports than other brokerage firms. Fidelity has many insightful reportsmany of which are much better than Schwab, but what I don't like about it is the limitations it imposed on AM extended hours trading and PM extended hours trading. This is another reason why I like to trade via Schwab. It provides the most flexibility in trading outside of the nornal 9:30 am - 4:00 trading hours. Vanguard is so so. The platform is NOT a conducive place for beginners to learn about how to invest. Most of the funds available in Vanguard are also available through other big brokerage firms (Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab, UBS, Blackrock, etc.) as well as smaller firms (RH, Webull, etc.). It does not have great tools. Reports are ok, not great. If you are a do it yourself investor who want to arm himself/herself with knowledge and researches and pertinent information before trading, instead of invest and forget type or on word-of-mouth rumors or trend, then I strongly recommend Schwab (#1), or Fidelity (#2). I would advise against RH, Webull, etc.

Red_Zone_Broly

What reason is there not to sell today? Tariffs on everything leads to rising Inflation (UBS predicts 5% inflation) -> which lead to -> no rate cuts this year & increased probability of rate hikes -> which lead to -> equity to fixed income rotations putting even more downward pressure on stocks Am I misunderstanding this??

Red_Zone_Broly

[Serious question] What reason is there not to sell today? Tariffs on everything leads to rising Inflation (UBS predicts 5% inflation) -> which lead to -> no rate cuts this year & increased probability of rate hikes -> which lead to -> equity to fixed income rotations putting even more downward pressure on stocks Am I misunderstanding this??

Red_Zone_Broly

#UBS: "Simple back-of-envelope calculations suggest a permanent implementation of the full set of proposed tariffs would see inflation rise to around 5% as prices adjust to the higher costs of imports."

ai-moderator

# **TLDR** --- **Ticker:** UP9FP2 (UBS S&P 500 Turbo Short) **Direction:** OP's short position is not performing as expected. **Prognosis:** Likely a misunderstanding of the product or a platform error. Contact UBS support immediately. **Suspected Fraud:** OP suspects fraud due to unexpected losses, but this is unlikely given the provided information. It's more probable to be an error in understanding the leveraged product. **Recommendation:** Review product details and contact UBS to investigate.

Dudedude88

UBS thinks inflation in the states will go to 5%.

cutiesarustimes2

UBS: SIMPLE BACK-OF-ENVELOPE CALCULATIONS SUGGEST A PERMANENT IMPLEMENTATION OF FULL SET OF PROPOSED TARIFFS WOULD SEE INFLATION RISE TO AROUND 5% AS PRICES ADJUST TO THE HIGHER COSTS OF IMPORTS. Nutlick forgot that's bad for the 10 year

riverfeenix12

Luckily the saber rattling has people laying the ground worm for us years ago. While we wait for apple, there are multiple companies that that have already "restored"; from general electric to bed bath and beyond. ... With the exception of the COVID-19 period, U.S. manufacturing jobs have risen steadily from 2010 through early 2024. As of February, the manufacturing sector accounted for about 13 million American workers, a gain of more than 1.5 million from February 2010, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Much of the increase has come from less work leaving for China and more foreign investment coming into the United States. Over about the last two years, the U.S. has attracted 24% of global foreign direct investment, according to UBS Investment Research. During the pandemic, shortages of everything from appliances to automobiles exposed the fragility of global supply chains and sparked interest in making things closer to home. “The U.S. is now attracting capital at a rate not seen since the 1990s, prior to China joining the World Trade Organization,” UBS said last summer. https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/2024/04/24/manufacturing-companies-are-bringing-work-back-to-the-u-s-from-asia/71931591007/

Apprehensive-Bug4102

The strategy eventually encounters the so called 3 standard deviations scenarios, and if you cannot adjust on time for a credit cause mkt keeps ripping up (or down), then you are screwed. Even if positioned well above ATRs, the mkt caught up with me eventually. I didn't want to believe it would happen and thought I was smarter than the others lol, but I was brought back to earth lol. UBS ran a similar strategy called YES for wealthy clients....worked til it didn't and one day it blew up. Lots of advisors lost their jobs and clients sued the firm.

wattap

pension-funds end of quarter buying (UBS predicted 100bn) into massive offloading

wattap

What about that 100bn in teacher union or whatever buys that UBS was predicting for end of quarter

Serasul

and UBS fails in may

FloPeach17

It swings quite a bit. Check the past few months. Fridays an exception to the “normal”, that goes without saying. Blackrock, UBS and a couple other big players have stakes in the company. It’s gaining traction from retail investors and institutional investors. I’m ok with a slight drop Monday, adding more call contracts. When shorts borrow shares, they have to buy them back.

Ok_Environment_3618

UBS Global Wealth Management cut the S&P 500’s 2025 target to below the 6,500 mark, widely mirroring actions from other Wall Street firms including Barclays and Goldman Sachs, due to the economic impact of U.S. tariffs. The wealth management unit of European bank UBS, cut its year-end index target to 6,400 from 6,600 even as it holds an “attractive” view on U.S. equities. UBS also lowered its 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimate for the S&P 500 to $265 from $270. I hope this is true. 6400 is still a decent level (20% upside).

WorgenFreeman559

PLCE: huge SI since the lead shareholder owns 62% of the company at $12/share (50-60% float); owner has unsecured debt, no bk risk nor incentive; Q4 early number suggested +3% rev YoY; only analyst covering (UBS) thinks they are gonna be down -17% YoY; trades dirt cheap at $3x NTM FCF. Currently squeezing since earnings can drop any day now (they don’t schedule earnings or do conference calls, they just drop them whenever) (Inebriated pitch)

rcbjfdhjjhfd

Government deficit rose 4% in Trump’s first full month in office, despite DOGE. UBS says the U.S. is slashing confidence, not spending

lucaslvf

People forget that it was not only SVB.... Credit Suisse had to be bought by UBS as well at that time (I was working there). In my opinion you are totally correct. If Credit Suisse wasn't bought by UBS as fast as it happened, it would lead to a "2008 like" financial crisis. And SVB was not a small event.