UBS

Valkyrie_Skuld

lol it said Ha. Fair question. Roughly: “VIX at 16, three-day weekend, UBS just yolo’d their target to 7900 — Tuesday is GREEN. 750 calls printing. 🚀🚀🚀” Or the bear version: “Nobody’s hedged into a long weekend with Iran headlines one tweet away. VIX 16 is a GIFT. 740 puts, see you Tuesday. 🐻💎”

Thoughtful_Tortoise

BOFA switched OKLO to buy, price target 80, calls them "potential early leader" UBS raises UNH price target to 460 RKLB got a new 90 million deal Mango tweets "Stock market record" Yeah, my port is getting nuked.

Express-Net-9790

if UBS keeps raising copper targets every bank analyst gonna pretend they loved miners all along

Spenraw

I would think so but even banks are saying 300 target Think UBS said more

Useful_Tangerine4340

Other hedge funds, including Cathie Wood's Ark Invest, billionaire investor David Tepper's Appaloosa, and Steve Cohen's Point72 Asset Management, also sold Nvidia shares during the quarter, which UBS analyst Tim Arcuri believes could be linked to apathy on 'this stock' despite high investor interest.

Spy300

SEND IT 🚀🚀🚀 | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Nomura | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Goldman Sachs | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | UBS Global Research | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | BofA Global Research | No rate cuts | - | | Barclays | No rate cuts | - | | Morgan Stanley | No rate cuts | - | | Deutsche Bank | No rate cuts | - | | BNP Paribas | No rate cuts | - | | HSBC | No rate cuts | - | | J.P. Morgan | No rate cuts | - | https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ (Updated May 11th)

Spy300

Literally zero large banks are forecasting hikes. Wells fargo actually reaffirmed two 25 bps rate cuts just last week. Traders => clowns. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | Source: Reuters (Updated May 11, 2026) https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ >Wells Fargo reaffirmed on May 13 its forecast that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026 >https://www.thestreet.com/fed/wells-fargo-sees-writing-on-the-wall-about-the-next-fed-rate-cut

Spy300

Literally zero large banks are forecasting hikes. Wells fargo actually reaffirmed two 25 bps rate cuts just last week. Traders => clowns. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | Source: Reuters (Updated May 11, 2026) https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ >Wells Fargo reaffirmed on May 13 its forecast that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026 >https://www.thestreet.com/fed/wells-fargo-sees-writing-on-the-wall-about-the-next-fed-rate-cut

Spy300

Literally zero large banks are forecasting hikes. Wells fargo actually reaffirmed two 25 bps rate cuts just last week. Traders => clowns. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | Source: Reuters (Updated May 11, 2026) https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ >Wells Fargo reaffirmed on May 13 its forecast that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026 >https://www.thestreet.com/fed/wells-fargo-sees-writing-on-the-wall-about-the-next-fed-rate-cut

Spy300

Literally zero large banks are forecasting hikes. Wells fargo actually reaffirmed two 25 bps rate cuts just last week. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | Source: Reuters (Updated May 11, 2026) https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ >Wells Fargo reaffirmed on May 13 its forecast that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026 >https://www.thestreet.com/fed/wells-fargo-sees-writing-on-the-wall-about-the-next-fed-rate-cut

Spy300

There will be no hikes. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | Source: Reuters (Updated May 11, 2026) https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/

Spy300

There will be no hikes. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | Source: Reuters (Updated May 11, 2026) https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/

moorhound

>Federal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement actions with UBS Group AG, Credit Suisse AG, Credit Suisse Holdings (USA), Inc., and Credit Suisse AG, New York Branch Day 1 Warsh lmao These guys are totally getting away with a second financial crisis

Spy300

There will be no hikes. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Nomura | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Goldman Sachs | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | UBS Global Research | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | BofA Global Research | No rate cuts | - | | Barclays | No rate cuts | - | | Morgan Stanley | No rate cuts | - | | Deutsche Bank | No rate cuts | - | | BNP Paribas | No rate cuts | - | | HSBC | No rate cuts | - | | J.P. Morgan | No rate cuts | - | https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ (Updated May 11th)

Spy300

Updated May 11th. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Nomura | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Goldman Sachs | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | UBS Global Research | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | BofA Global Research | No rate cuts | - | | Barclays | No rate cuts | - | | Morgan Stanley | No rate cuts | - | | Deutsche Bank | No rate cuts | - | | BNP Paribas | No rate cuts | - | | HSBC | No rate cuts | - | | J.P. Morgan | No rate cuts | - |

Spy300

Prepare to hoard cigs and bullets. | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | |------------------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Nomura | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | | Goldman Sachs | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | UBS Global Research | 25 bps | 1 (December) | | BofA Global Research | No rate cuts | - | | Barclays | No rate cuts | - | | Morgan Stanley | No rate cuts | - | | Deutsche Bank | No rate cuts | - | | BNP Paribas | No rate cuts | - | | HSBC | No rate cuts | - | | J.P. Morgan | No rate cuts | - | https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ (Updated May 11th)

Spy300

Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and UBS are all predicting massive rate cuts the rest of this year, up to **75bps.** >https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/

Spy300

Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and UBS are all predicting massive rate cuts the rest of this year, up to **75bps.** >https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/

Spy300

I thought Warsh was going to establish credibility. Instead were going straight to 1%. >Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and UBS are all predicting massive rate cuts the rest of this year, up to **75bps.** >https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/

Spy300

Some of you thought there would be hikes. 😂😂😂 https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wall-street-brokerages-pencil-fed-rate-cuts-mid2026-2026-05-11/ | Brokerage | Total cuts in 2026 | No. of cuts in 2026 | Fed Funds Rate | |-----------------------------------|---------------------------|---------------------------------------------|-----------------| | Citigroup | 75 bps | 3 (September, October, December) | 2.75%-3.00% | | Wells Fargo | 50 bps | 2 (June, September) | 3.00%-3.25% | | UBS Global Wealth Management | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | 3.00%-3.25% | | Nomura | 50 bps | 2 (September, December) | 3.00%-3.25% | | Goldman Sachs | 25 bps | 1 (December) | 3.25%-3.50% | | UBS Global Research | 25 bps | 1 (December) | 3.25%-3.50% | | BofA Global Research | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Barclays | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Morgan Stanley | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Deutsche Bank | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | BNP Paribas | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | HSBC | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | J.P. Morgan | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Wells Fargo Investment Institute | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Standard Chartered | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Societe Generale | No rate cuts | - | 3.50%-3.75% | | Macquarie | Rate hike (H1 2027) | - | - |

SuperiorChicken27

Didn't he end an investigation into credit Suisse and UBS? About some toxic assets?

Real-Personality-465

yeah sure but still pulls this shit on his last day "Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against UBS Group AG, Credit Suisse"

Thaballa00

And what about his last act before ending his tenure, where he removed regulatory requirements for UBS and Credit Suisse?? Essentially continuing to allow elites and the rich through offshore money, to undermine our economy through naked shorts and swaps. Edit: a word

Spiralgrind

Maybe think about using AI to better understand just how bad the shortage is with HBM chips from MU and Samsung. According to both companies, the high end memory chips will be in short supply through 2027, even with Samsung adding 50% to its capacity. I know recent global events play a part in market psychology, and how nervous folks take profits so early they lose the next 85% of coming profits. That should give anyone with half a brain to pick up MU at $720, right now. I added to two of my call spreads late this afternoon, as I do on all dips. I have too many shares that I purchased for 438. I’m having such a huge year that I only want to sell maybe 200/1000 shares this year for tax purposes. I won’t ride the shares down if something bad happens, but barring that, maybe sell 400 next year and the year after. The prices will definitely come down as supply meets demand, but that isn’t likely through 2027, according to UBS.

musing2020

How do you came to this conclusion? He removed regulatory requirements from UBS and Credit Susie before leaving the office. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/enforcement20260515a.htm The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced the termination of the enforcement actions listed below: UBS Group AG, Zurich, Switzerland, Credit Suisse AG, Zurich Switzerland, Credit Suisse Holdings (USA), Inc., New York, New York and Credit Suisse AG, New York Branch, New York, New York

Spiritual_Bat7343

the part that gets glossed in most takes on this cycle is the LTA shift the article mentions briefly at the bottom. memory used to be pure spot market, so the cycle was inventory driven and traders could see the boom bust coming. now hyperscalers are signing 2 to 3 year LTAs to lock capacity, which means the spot signal that used to call the top is dampened. you can have falling spot prices while the LTAs keep margins fine. what i've been doing instead is tracking iv expansion on memory adjacent names (MU, SMH, the DRAM etf) through thetaedge alongside koyfin for fundamentals. when iv rank starts rising materially without spot actually falling, that's historically the early signal because options markets price in the LTA renewal cliff before spot reflects it. UBS guy quoting mid 2027 as the dram price peak is using the spot model. with LTAs in the mix the better question is when contract renewals start pricing in cycle softness, and trailing data suggests closer to q3 2026 than mid 2027. not a confident call, just where the asymmetry sits if you're sizing exposure here.

bearhunter429

>AMD, Arm gain server CPU share at Intel's expense in Q1: UBS #Nana in shambles LMAO🤌

Silent-Scale-8525

OK You are a wise man, I wish I had your control when I was your age (lol.) Seriously, here is a structure you may want to consider based on my experience as a 72m who retired very comfortably. **Pension Funds**\- good, low risk long term until you convert sometime in the future. **Aggressive Funds** \- with your $5000 , start an account with a reputable brokerage: (UBS, Schwab, Edward Jones, etc) and get into an Aggressive Fund, all stocks, no bonds, no crypto. Add to that Account monthly. Forever, until you retire. (Which seems like forever, but what a wakeup call when it happens!) **Play Funds**\- To show how smart you are compared to your broker (lol) create a Play Fund of $5-10k (and do whatever the hell you want with it. I like short term momentum stocks, I buy as they start to rise then cut bait and take profits when I think it peaks. It takes work monitoring the stocks, but it is a way to connect with the investment world and make some money to reinvest or to spend on vacation etc. Best wishes, you are on the right track!

GittingerFredl

If NVDA rises 1% each day from now on, it takes only 460 days for it to hold all capital that exists worldwide (according to UBS Global Wealth Report). Then we're out of money. Need to print more. Do with that information what you will.

Misosouppi

I think it's a clear buy opportunity. I made a post tackling all the fake & real bear cases for Nintendo, but as I don't want to get flagged for posting a link here, I'll paste some here in plain text: # "The Fake Bear Cases # 1. The Switch 2 is a "Bust" The current narrative is souring because of the Switch 2 transition. The original Switch is aging, and sales are naturally declining. While the Switch 2 has launched, early sales aren't meeting Wall Street’s hyper-optimistic expectations. Management cut quarterly production targets from 6 million to 4 million units, causing weak-handed retail investors to panic and sell. Adding fuel to the fire is Google DeepMind’s Project Genie 3. Tech journalists claim this AI model, which generates playable worlds from text prompts, means the $200 billion gaming industry is dead. Unity dropped 35%, and Nintendo caught the contagion, dropping 4.75% in a single session. This is pure deja-vu. A decade ago, analysts claimed mobile games would kill consoles. 99.9% of mobile games are true slop. Nintendo responded by launching the Switch and selling over 140 million units. Analysts predict doom every single console cycle—they did it with the DS, the Wii, and the original Switch. # 2. AI Will Make Nintendo Obsolete This is the most widely discussed risk, and it is also the stupidest. The market completely lost its mind over the January 2026 Genie 3 tech demo. * The Tech: Generates real-time, navigable 3D environments from text/image prompts. * The Specs: Outputs at 720p and 24 frames per second. * The Features: Basic interactive physics (jumping, swimming). Analysts downgraded the sector, asking why studios should pay developers for five years when AI can generate a game in five seconds. This is unadulterated garbage. Genie 3 generates visual environments, not video games. A Nintendo game is defined by meticulous, obsessively tuned gameplay loops. An AI cannot replicate Shigeru Miyamoto’s intentional level design. Genie 3 is a prototyping tool that struggles heavily with multi-agent scenarios. Furthermore, Nintendo sells characters, not just pixels. People don't want "Generic AI Platformer 7"—they want to play as Mario. AI cannot generate copyrighted IP without facing a nuclear lawsuit from Nintendo’s legal team. # 3. Competition is Killing Nintendo Compare Nintendo directly to Sony (6758.T). Sony is an incredible company, but their strategy relies on the hardcore audience, bleeding-edge graphics, and hyper-expensive hardware like the PS5 Pro. This requires massive capital expenditures and puts them in direct competition with high-end PCs and Xbox. Nintendo targets the mass market and casual gamers. You buy a Nintendo console because it is the only legal way on earth to play Mario, Zelda, and Pokemon. That IP is an impenetrable moat, giving them immense pricing power. Nintendo is successfully expanding beyond games to create a self-sustaining flywheel: * Box Office: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is the biggest global hit of 2026 so far, and a live-action Legend of Zelda is slated for May 2027. * Theme Parks: Super Nintendo World drives massive merchandise and game sales. * In-House Production: Subsidiaries like Nintendo Pictures keep content control tight. Competitors cannot replicate this. Microsoft bought Activision Blizzard for $69 billion, but they cannot buy cultural relevance. Master Chief doesn't sell theme park tickets, and Steve from Minecraft doesn't force anyone to buy an Xbox. # 4. Nintendo’s Finances are Weak Revenue fell 30.3% year-over-year last quarter, and operating profit dropped 46.6%. This reflects the natural death throes of the original Switch lifecycle. When hardware stalls, software follows. However, look at the underlying profitability. Even in a terrible transition year, Nintendo maintained a 60.96% gross margin and a 24.26% operating margin. Many tech companies would kill for those numbers in a bull market. Analysts project a massive rebound for FY3/26, with UBS and Mizuho forecasting revenues well over 2.2 trillion JPY. Nintendo’s balance sheet is a fortress. They hoard cash like a dragon and could fund operations for decades without selling a single game. While inefficient from a capital allocation standpoint, this puts a hard floor on the stock price. They recently announced a 100 billion JPY share buyback—a small but positive step. # The Genuine Threats # 1. Switch 2 Component Costs The skyrocketing bill of materials for the Switch 2 is a legitimate headache. * DRAM: 12GB LPDDR5X modules spiked 41% this quarter. * NAND: 256GB flash storage rose roughly 8%. * Impact: UBS estimates a total cost increase of 81 billion JPY for FY3/27. Nintendo’s philosophy relies on cheap, commoditized components to turn a profit on day one. This sudden margin squeeze forces a tough choice: eat the cost and compress margins, or raise retail prices and risk alienating casual gamers. President Shuntaro Furukawa hopes to avoid a price hike for now. Fortunately, memory markets are highly cyclical, and Nintendo is already diversifying supply chains to Vietnam to avoid US tariffs. This is a temporary headwind, not a permanent impairment. # 2. A Weak Software Pipeline The Switch 2 needs killer games to move hardware. Right now, visibility is murky. * Pokemon Pokopia: Performing well (3.5M estimated Q4 shipments) but needs to hold momentum. * Mario Kart World: Rapid deceleration (UBS predicts 1.5M Q4 shipments). * Delays: Pokemon Winds & Waves is not slated until 2027. If Nintendo doesn't announce a massive first-party lineup soon, hardware sales will stagnate. Investors desperately need a Nintendo Direct revealing the next 3D Mario or the rumored Fire Emblem: Fortune’s Weave. Software droughts killed the Wii U. If management repeats that mistake, the stock will bleed further."

Altair82

"David Lefkowitz, head of U.S. equities at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects the S&P 500... to reach 7,300 points by June of next year and 7,700 by the end of 2026."

AtomicSymphonic_2nd

Bruh, UBS was complaining about their puts getting shot down, too. Saying their fundamentals aren’t even there yet… like the market gives a fuck. lol

greytoc

JPMC is the largest BHC in the US and in the top 5 or 6 largest banks in the world (Chinese banks are larger). As for brokerage services which is where the Roth account would be located - JPM is the 4th largest in the US behind Schwab, Fidelity, and UBS. Unless you have any special requirements for your Roth (ie active trading, etc) - it's perfectly fine broker to use.

Parking-Ad5909

BLUF If you are comfortable doing it yourself then don't pay to have them do it!! I have two and a half M with them (total of 5) and it was an S show to get started and they left $225,000 sitting in an account for almost a month. Had I not seen it I am sure it would still be sitting there. They have not consistently beat the $225,000 that I reallocated in the same securities that I owned before without the .07 percent a month in management fees. I only put my wife's 401K under management and if they don't really beat my benchmark consistently over about six months I'll be gone and may well go to UBS or Schwab due to their attitude about the money they left sitting. They tried to give me an incentive but it came with so many strings attached I declined it. Find good funds and DIY!

AtomicSymphonic_2nd

Bruh, UBS analysts are fucking pissed that their shorts got fucked, putting out stupid ideas like Intel “lacks earnings power” or some shit like that. TSMC isn’t the future anymore. It’s Intel. 😎

backtotheland76

Regarding CTNT there are so many this morning with this attitude, like "if you think it'll go over a dime you must be a pumper". Maybe all the folks saying it's done are shorties who got greedy and didn't get out yesterday? According to UBS it's due for a bounce. I'll take that over some rando on reddit

Turbulent-Bet-7133

Yahoo ai says production capacity concerns cited by UBS

Ahamadrayasbaboon

UBS published supply chain and cost concerns. Dunno if that really caused anything, but maybe. 

awrylettuce

Nice TA, we're about to hit the upward bouncing slinky fifth leg. We all know that after the reverse panhandle the UBS-5 is when the real top is in. Calls

PlutosGrasp

Ya I do that. I don’t take assignment. Sometimes I buy shares to trade over the day or couple days. Ya I’ve out performed since 2020 since I really started to go active at covid and didn’t really start options more heavily until end of 2020 into 2021 just in time for GME $$$. What is the most used strategy: one I definitely won’t detail here but will in general say: i use a butt load of statistics, primarily my own now but before that as much raw data as I could get on SPX and look at modeling high win rates. Imagine it’s a D and D character and you only have so many points. You can make a high win rate but your RoR will be low and your loss size may be humongous since your roc is so low. So you have to slide that win rate down a bit to make the roc better and lower the loss hit. Adjust adjust adjust. Test for a few weeks adjust adjust adjust. Test test test. Come up with a high win rate, I think my initial strat stats showed 90%+. 92? Something. I can check it’s just not easily accessible. The loss rate obviously 8%. The roc avg was around 3-5%. Again I think. Loss roc was capped at 300% of premium, this is all selling options by the way, so don’t recall what that was a roc. You could math it out given the roc positive though I think. Have that modeled out and see worst case scenarios of max loss consecutively how recoverable are things. If not good then adjust the win rate probability by going less risky, or closing sooner. Do all that and then do that strategy and watch it work day in day out. Volatility is definitely friendly here because very often it’s overstated. Trump 2.0 has been challenging though because there’s so much clearly back room dealing shit going on hitting public markets. SPX becoming over weighted to 5 names is a problem too. I have considered doing this on Nasdaq but haven’t scratched the surface yet in the data analysis because I had a baby. Besides that, I’ll do similar approach but less data intensive on unique opportunities. Not unique just unusual I guess. Overblown. Like one time Netflix killed it and sky rocketed post ER and I sold short calls way OTM. Like another 20%. Ain’t no way it’s going there after already rising 20%. They decayed to like half value within 30min. This was within first hour or maybe a bit more of market open. Things like that. When banking crisis occurred I bought a lot of shares of some more solid banks. Some I had to hold for a while and I did get nervous because banking is such a unique industry to value and be sure it’s okay and a lot is Black box, much like insurance. I did get burned pretty hard on the UBS shenanigans that occurred over the weekend around that time where they were allowed to absorb credit suisse which was against the law so they changed the law over the weekend and wouldn’t you know it, UBS profited insanely off the recovery of CS assets in the coming quarters / years. Absolutely insane. Don’t understand how that was allowed. But new rule since then: try not to hold overweekends or overnight. Especially options. Market been pretty crazy for a while though. There’s still some former SPAC that are dog shit they aren’t at zero which is insane. They’re too small for people to care. But it’s crazy that so many of them and some other DTC or battery or EV co who all burn cash are still alive or have a stock above $0.01. One of my finest moments was shorting RadioShack long ago to nearly zero. Anyways that’s what I do. The lesson I’d try to take away from it is to do analysis on real data - your data, and testing constantly to figure out something that works for you. I stopped tracking a while back since as I mentioned I had a kid and slowed down since then and stopped caring since less active. But I do have easy access to my tracking up to Aug 2024 I’ll Imgur and reply with link for graph.

Valkyrie_Skuld

Okay guys this is my DD SpaceX filed confidential S-1 April 1. Target $1.75T valuation, $75b raise, June Nasdaq listing. Before April 1 the market was pretty bad - seriously backtest it. Then all the markets were up 3% the next day across the board. Revenue ~15 billion in 2025. That’s 117 x revenue at 1.75T - no public comparable at that multiple exists. xAI burning $1b a month. Probably the reason for direct to Nasdaq urgency. Pre April 1st Nasdaq had its steepest weekly drop in nearly a year driven by war and oil volatility. In order for the book to clear at $75billion, underwriters need institutional anchors, hedge funds and mutual funs to commit to that multiple. There is no margin for a bad market. The underwriters would be left holding inventory that they couldn’t move at the agreed price and it would be a direct balance sheet risk for the banks running the deal. At that point they would have to either reprice lower at $1-1.2 T or pull the deal entirely. The underwriters include 21 banks total, internally codenamed Project Apex they include Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Barclays, Deutshe Bank, Wells Fargo, UBS, RBC etc. If the markets stayed unstable then these 21 institutions who have committed to the largest underwriting syndicate in recent history would be holding inventory they couldn’t move at the agreed upon price if the book didn’t clear at 75 b So it would have been bad, not just for Elon but for the banks as well if Nasdaq didn’t stabilize exactly when it did.

Xannot

It was up because UBS upgraded their ratings from sell to neutral

qman1963

So TSLA is ripping because UBS upgraded it to neutral? Is that actually it???

Ahamadrayasbaboon

Definitely sends my tax forms faster than UBS ever has. 

Interesting-Bite-468

So I expect tomorrow to be a Red Day but I think $NOW and $NOWL can provide at the very least a dead cat bounce... The stock is at it's 52 week low.. RSI is at 22... all because of UBS downgrade but one analyst at JPM on same day said the new target is 260$... I'll take JPM over UBS and then, Michael Burry who keeps warning about an AI bubble and shorting PLTR, was actually considering BUYING Service Now 7 days ago but was waiting for a more attractive price entry. It's one of the only AI / SAS name that he is considering. Well guess what 15% lower than when he wanted to buy it.. I think the price is pretty attractive now... Finally the stock close the last 30 minutes really well and it gave sign of life for what has been a DISMAL 6 months... So I think even if market is Red a dead cat bounce is possible for $NOW Thoughts ?

Suspicious_Place1270

there's a saying from the times UBS was actually a good bank: only invest a third of your profits, the rest is to mitigate a total loss keep in mind, I said profits, not portfolio

Interesting-Bite-468

$NOW - DOWN 25% this week and down 10% on dumb UBS downgrade.. meanwhile JPM still has a 260$ price target.. [https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428)

todddepri

Holy fuck. ServiceNow Price Target Cut to $100.00/Share From $170.00 by UBS. Rip to all holders.

Jumpinmycar

There was a UBS or Citi short position at about 6800 that may have started to unwind after crossing that threshold. I’m just wondering if I buy in now, if we will continue to press up tomorrow.

jdwkiwi

Sleep Number reported fourth-quarter 2025 financial results that were much worse than Wall Street expected. The company posted a loss of $1.95 per share, significantly missing the analyst consensus estimate of a $0.56 loss. Full-year net sales fell 16% to $1.4 billion, driven by lower store traffic and a general slump in the mattress industry. ​2. Severe Liquidity and Debt Concerns ​Market analysts, including UBS, have raised alarms about the company's financial health. Specific concerns include: ​High Leverage: The company’s leverage ratio reached 4.1x EBITDAR, which is dangerously close to its bank covenant limit of 4.5x. ​Liquidity Strain: The current ratio stands at a concerning 0.16, suggesting the company may struggle to meet its short-term financial obligations. ​Solvency Risk: On March 13, UBS slashed its price target from $10 to $4, explicitly stating that the stock is now pricing in a "binary outcome" as investors weigh the risk of potential insolvency or impairment.

throwheezy

Response from Claude: Hard pass. This is a company in financial distress. Here’s the picture: What It Is: Sleep Number designs, manufactures, and sells smart beds and adjustable bases through its own retail stores, online, and phone channels. It was formerly known as Select Comfort Corporation. A well-known consumer brand, but the financials tell a very different story from the brand recognition. Current Price & Why It’s Moving: • Price: $1.76, up 60% today — but this is a dead-cat bounce or speculative short squeeze, not a fundamental catalyst. • The stock was at $13.94 at its 52-week high and has collapsed to a low of $1.06. That’s an 87% drawdown. • Market cap: ~$40M on a company doing $1.4B in revenue — that P/S of 0.03x tells you the market is pricing in existential risk. The Core Problem — Potential Bankruptcy: Bloomberg reported on April 1 that Sleep Number is seeking rescue financing to stave off potential bankruptcy. Its banker, Guggenheim Partners, has been reaching out to investors about a priming loan of approximately $50 million. This is the most serious red flag possible. Financials — Distressed: • Revenue: $1.41B, down 16% YoY. Revenue has been declining for multiple years. • EPS: -$9.23. Net loss: -$132M for FY2025. • Book value: -$25.30/share — negative. Total liabilities exceed total assets. The company has negative equity. • Current ratio of 0.2 (severely illiquid), negative free cash flow, and total liabilities surpassing total assets. • EBIT margin: -2.5%, net profit margin: -5.42%. Revenue has declined 11.9% over three years. • EBITDA: $60M, but that’s dwarfed by the debt load and liquidity crisis. Analyst Consensus — Bearish: UBS cut their target to $4 from $10. Piper Sandler cut to $5 from $12. Overall: 0 Buy, 4 Hold, 0 Sell — but those Hold ratings were likely issued before the bankruptcy news. Average target: $4.50, though this may be stale given the rescue financing headlines. The Positive (If You Squint): The company does have a recognized brand, 60% gross margins, $185M in annualized cost savings, and a new product line (ComfortMode) that’s reportedly performing above expectations. But none of that matters if the company can’t service its debt and is forced into bankruptcy or a deeply dilutive rescue financing. My Assessment: The 60% spike today might look tempting, but this is textbook distressed equity trading — volatile, unpredictable, and driven by speculative positioning rather than fundamentals. When Bloomberg is reporting that a company is actively seeking rescue loans to avoid bankruptcy, it’s not an investment — it’s a gamble on a restructuring outcome. Even if Sleep Number avoids bankruptcy, any rescue financing would almost certainly involve massive dilution (priming loans, convertible debt, equity raises at distressed prices) that would destroy existing shareholders. The negative book value of -$25/share means there’s no asset floor to protect you. Don’t touch this one. The brand might be worth something in a bankruptcy/acquisition scenario, but equity holders are typically the last in line and often get wiped out entirely in restructurings.

GoZukkYourself

NVDA should be worth $22 trillion according to UBS. https://preview.redd.it/vpu1l81960ug1.png?width=644&format=png&auto=webp&s=8722b256f24c63f250211da1d26264294e685f1e

M4gnum_0pus

Yes, UBS will probably be bailed out, but the share price would fall before then

M4gnum_0pus

I’d be worried about holding swiss francs if things get worse in the markets and banking sector. UBS is holding large unrealized losses from the forced merger with credit suisse. In a financial crisis this could spill over on the broader swiss economy and weaken the franc

billyd1984texas

Nu just had its Financials reviewed and upgraded by UBS. Glad i bought the dip

Akiraooo

I was looking up a USB charger and typed UBS charger. A UBS charger is going to be much more expensive...

Dangerous-Bet-4303

UBS halted withdrawals on a half a billion real estate fund for up to 3 years, the story with the apollo fund, shit is looking bad

_Doomer_Wojack_

Bro the strait of Hormuz closure is causing the everything bubble to collapse in real time UBS Halts Withdrawals from $469 Million Real Estate Fund Amid Liquidity Crisis -

MasterElite1

>Swiss lender UBS (UBSG.S), opens new tab has suspended withdrawals from its Euroinvest real ​estate fund for up to three years citing ‌insufficient liquidity, the bank said in an investor notice seen by Reuters. 😮

friedbymoonlight

I wonder how much UBS will hire her for when she retires?

KristianME

Many. Tech / software: Microsoft Adobe Salesforce ServiceNow Snowflake Datadog CrowdStrike Palo Alto Networks Industri / automotive BMW Siemens General Electric Honeywell Rolls-Royce Volkswagen Toyota 📡 Telekom AT&T Verizon Deutsche Telekom Energy Shell BP Chevron Equinor Finance: HSBC UBS Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Retail / consumer Walmart Costco Target Starbucks Coca-Cola Transport / logistics UPS FedEx

negative-nelly

Banks weren’t taking the long side of cds bilaterally or in synthetic CDOs. It was firms like AIG and other insurance companies that were providing protection. Banks ended up with a lot of inventory of (cash) bonds they couldn’t sell and had to mark down. That’s how eg UBS had a 50bn write down.

Burtonwurton

Lol bundle of sticks UBS just cut MSFT price target. Its already dead you fucks.

SamLeCoyote_Fix_1

Needham analysts upgraded PATH from Hold to Buy, citing the company's first full-year GAAP profitability and $1.85B ARR growth of 11% YoY in Q4 FY2026. They highlighted the $500M buyback authorization as a strong signal of confidence, alongside mid-teens FY2027 revenue guidance. This follows BMO and UBS price target adjustments to $14 on March 16.

Prussia_alt_hist

You are directionally right and sloppily wrong. The strong part of the thesis is this: post-2008 regulation pushed credit intermediation away from banks and toward nonbanks, private credit, insurers, and fund structures that are less transparent and less liquid under stress. Banks are still tied to that ecosystem through direct lending, commitments, financing lines, and counterparty links. Moody’s data cited by Reuters says U.S. banks had roughly $300 billion of loans to private-credit providers by June 2025, another $285 billion to private-equity funds, plus about $340 billion of unused commitments. The IMF has also warned that bank exposures to nonbanks in the U.S. and euro area can exceed banks’ Tier 1 capital, and reporting around the IMF’s 2025 stability work put U.S. and European bank exposure to hedge funds, private credit, and similar nonbanks around $4.5 trillion. That part is real.  The other strong part is borrower quality. The IMF’s 2025 stability work did flag that more than 40% of private-credit borrowers had negative cash flow by the end of 2024, up sharply from 2021. Fitch’s U.S. private-credit default rate was 5.8% in January 2026 and 5.4% in February, with payment-in-kind features involved in a large share of recent default events. So the sector is not clean, and PIK accounting is absolutely capable of masking stress for longer than public markets usually tolerate.  Your analogy breaks when you jump from “vulnerable credit complex” to “this is 2008 again.” It is not the same structure. In 2008 the core of the system itself—bank balance sheets, broker-dealer funding, subprime securitization, and AIG-style guarantees—was directly loaded with assets that were widely misrated, mark-to-market sensitive, and financed short. Today the problem is more likely to be a grinding credit impairment and liquidity mismatch across semi-liquid funds, insurers, PE-owned borrowers, and bank credit lines, not an overnight collapse of the entire payments system. That can still be ugly. It is just a different failure mode. Reuters reporting over the past two weeks reflects strain, redemption pressure, markdowns, and tighter bank lending to the sector, not a proven 2008-style systemic seizure yet.  Some of your specific numbers are inflated or unsupported. Blackstone’s fund is not an $82 billion vehicle hit by $6.5 billion of redemptions, based on the reporting I found. Reuters reported that Blackstone’s BCRED saw $3.7 billion of withdrawals in Q1 2026, on an $82 billion fund, and Blackstone raised the withdrawal cap to 7% while injecting capital to meet requests. That is pressure, not a run.  The insurance claim is also overstated. Recent reporting put U.S. life insurers’ private-credit exposure at about $482 billion at year-end 2025, around 8% of total life-insurance assets, not 20% of the entire U.S. insurance industry’s assets. There are legitimate concerns around private ratings and capital treatment, but your figure is not credible.  I could not verify your “BlackRock CLO breached its collateral triggers” claim from reliable primary reporting. I did find Reuters reporting that CLO managers are trying to reduce software exposure because they fear downgrades and defaults, but that is not the same as a documented trigger breach at a named BlackRock vehicle.  The Deutsche Bank point is partly right. Deutsche disclosed a private-credit portfolio of about €25.9 billion, roughly $30 billion, and UBS research cited in Bloomberg said Deutsche had the largest exposure among European lenders to nonbank financial institutions. But “30% of its loans to NBFIs versus 8% European average” did not show up in the Reuters source I could verify, so treat that ratio as unconfirmed unless you can point to the UBS note directly.  Your Citi “systemic amplification factor of 14.8x” looks especially weak. I could not verify it from a credible bank filing, regulator, or major news source. What I did find was that exact language circulating in reposts of the same social-media thesis. Until there is a source, treat it as contaminated data.  The oil section is where you overcooked it hardest. As of March 22, 2026, Reuters had Brent around $112, after an 8.8% weekly rise, and other reporting put it near $119 at peak moments. Some physical grades outside Hormuz, especially Omani crude, traded above $150, and Saudi scenarios discussed the possibility of $180 if disruption lasts beyond April. But “oil went to $170 physical” is not a clean benchmark statement, and presenting it as the market level is misleading. The correct version is: benchmark crude is a bit above $110, some physical barrels have traded dramatically higher, and prolonged disruption could push prices much higher still.  The macro conclusion is plausible but not proven. The IMF, ECB, and market reporting all say the Iran war is raising inflation risks and weakening growth, making rate cuts less likely and in some jurisdictions reviving hike risk. That is bad for weakly cash-generative borrowers. But “the Fed is trapped” is rhetoric, not analysis. Central banks are dealing with a stagflationary shock; they are not mechanically unable to move.  Net assessment: Your core insight is good: private credit is a real stress transmission channel, banks are still connected to it, insurers are more exposed than the old “safe boring money” story suggests, and an energy shock is exactly the kind of thing that exposes fake coverage, PIK dependence, and refinancing fragility.  Your bad habit is turning a good structure into a tradeable certainty by stuffing it with half-verified numbers and forcing a perfect 2008 analogy. That degrades the argument. The clean version is not “this is 2008 again.” The clean version is: this is a slower, more opaque credit stress cycle with real contagion channels, real valuation games, and real macro accelerants, but the evidence today supports vulnerability and repricing, not yet a proven systemic collapse.  So the verdict is: You are wrong if the claim is “same structure, same inevitability, same immediate outcome as 2008.” You are right if the claim is “private credit has recreated credit risk opacity through different intermediaries, and the Iran-driven energy shock materially raises the odds that this gets stress-tested hard in 2026.”

_Doomer_Wojack_

Puts on UBS

drakilian

"UBS remains confident in US stocks, sees S&O 500 hitting 7700" LMAO

tarsier1880

GROK DD on FIVE Current Context (as of March 20, 2026 afternoon CDT) Stock spot: Hovering around $226–$230 (your screenshot had ~$227.70, real-time quotes show it dipping to ~$226–$228 mid-session after yesterday's massive +10–11% earnings pop to close ~$235, with intraday highs near $237). Today's fade is typical post-earnings profit-taking/consolidation—holding above ~$225 support so far, no panic selling. Catalyst strength: Fresh Q4 beat (EPS $4.31 > $4.00 expected, sales +24% YoY, comps +15.4%), raised FY26 guidance (sales $5.2–$5.3B, adj. EPS $7.74–$8.25 midpoint, above consensus), and upgrades rolling in (BofA to $305 Buy, UBS to $285 Buy, Telsey to $260 Outperform, JPM to $259 Overweight, Guggenheim Buy, etc.). Consensus targets now cluster ~$229–$260+ (some medians/averages pulled higher post-earnings), implying 15–30%+ upside from here if momentum rebuilds. Path to $260: Needs ~14–15% move from ~$227 spot (or ~11% from $235 highs). Very realistic short-term—yesterday alone did +10%+ on the news. Retail strength (your shopping vibes on crowds/merch), store expansion (~150 new), and consumer discretionary rotation could fuel it back toward $235–$240 quickly, then upgrades/news keep pushing. The $260 Call Specifics (April 17 Exp) Premium: ~$2.10 (from your Builder screenshot—fits your $200 AAOI win perfectly for 1 contract ~$210 risk). Breakeven: ~$262.10 (+15% from $227.70 spot). Why it's YOLO-viable: OTM enough for leverage (could 3–10x if stock hits $260–$270+ on continued upgrades/retail tailwind), but not insane lottery odds given the analyst pile-on and recent momentum. Longer DTE gives breathing room for theta vs. weeklys. Upside scenarios: Stock reclaims $235 (recent high) = premium recovery fast; push to $260 (many targets there) = big delta/gamma payoff. Your personal edge (shopping there) adds conviction on traffic holding strong. Risks & Realistic Check Downside: If broader retail fears (spending slowdown, macro) hit, it grinds lower—could expire worthless if no rebound. Today's dip shows volatility. But odds favor doable: Earnings reaction still unfolding positively (upgrades outweigh any fade), and $260 aligns with several fresh targets ($260 Telsey/Wells Fargo, higher from BofA/UBS). Not a moonshot—more a "catch-up to analyst love" play. This keeps risk tiny (your AAOI profit covers it), rewards big if right, and fits the bounce vibe you like. Limit buy 1x $260 call (~$2.10 or better) Monday open if it holds $225+ and volume picks up. If it feels too stretchy, the $270 at $1.30 is even cheaper for more lottery juice.

Homeless-Coward-2143

My UBS puts tripled in value with basically no change in price. I think you're onto something. I sold though. Godspeed.

iShitBloodandCumShit

UBS warns global stocks could fall 30% Does that mean we pump 30% after retail sells the dip to -15%

iShitBloodandCumShit

UBS warns global stocks could fall 30% Does that mean we pump 30% after retail sells the dip to -15%

Jumpy_Nose863

I use Fidelity and there trader Pro was recently upgraded with all the real time charts and data you'll ever need. Everything flows in real time if your an active chart trader or whatever kind of trading you do. And if your talking about the analyst side, Fidelity isn't like UBS who gives out ratings on a company like equal weight, overweight, etc. UBS is more of the street when Fidelity is where many people keep their money safe.

jaajaajaa6

Compared to Morgan Stanley , Merrill Lynch, UBS, etc., - yes

LarryStink

The world's most POWERFUL money manager just locked the doors. BlackRock's $26 billion private credit fund told investors You want 9.3% of your money back, we'll give you 5.  Take it or leave it. That's $1.2 billion in withdrawal requests, nearly half denied.  But this isn't just BlackRock.  Blackstone's $82 billion credit fund just processed a RECORD 7.9% in redemptions.  So many people wanted out that the firm and its own executives had to put up $400 million of their own cash to cover the gap.25 Blackstone executives pooled $150 million from their personal accounts. Think about that. And Blue Owl? They didn't just limit withdrawals, they permanently eliminated them. Investors in a $1.6 billion fund were told: you can never redeem again and we'll pay you back when we feel like it. These firms took money from regular investors. Promised them quarterly access and then parked the cash in loans that can't be sold quickly. Now everyone wants out at the same time. And there's a deeper issue no one's talking about enough. AI is destroying the business models of the software companies these funds lent billions to.  UBS says up to 35% of private credit portfolios face elevated AI disruption risk. The borrowers can't pay, the lenders can't sell and the investors can't leave. BlackRock stock dropped 7% today.  Blackstone hit a two-year low, the entire private credit sector is bleeding. $1.8 trillion industry and the cracks everywhere. This is what happens when Wall Street sells illiquid assets with a liquidity wrapper. The wrapper just ripped off.

Bubbly_Ad_2071

I spent a few months going through every major free investing course I could find. Some were great, some were garbage dressed up in a university logo. Here's my honest ranking. **Actually** **worth** **your** **time:** **Yale** **Financial** **Markets** **(Coursera):** Robert Shiller (Nobel laureate) teaches this. Not a "pick stocks and get rich" course. He explains how markets actually work + behavioral finance, risk management, why bubbles happen. \~33 hours but broken into short lectures. The behavioral finance part alone changed how I think about my own decisions. Free preview (first module), full access needs Coursera Plus. **Khan** **Academy** **Personal** **Finance:** If you don't know what a P/E ratio is, start here. Zero prerequisites, zero cost, zero paywall. The investing unit took me about 3 lunch breaks. Simple but solid foundation. **Morningstar** **Investing** **Classroom**: Underrated. 100+ bite-sized lessons written by actual analysts, not professors. Covers stocks, bonds, ETFs, mutual funds, portfolio construction. Each lesson is \~10 minutes. This is the one I kept coming back to when evaluating actual investments. **Charles** **Schwab** **Investor** **Education:** More practical than academic. They teach you how to actually execute & place trades, build portfolios, read charts. Live coaching sessions every week where you can ask questions. No Schwab account needed for most content. **Investopedia** **Simulator:** Not a course but deserves a mention. $100k in virtual money to practice with. I made every stupid mistake here instead of with real money. Worth it. **Good** **but** **with** **caveats:** **Wharton** **Financial** **Accounting** **(Coursera):** Teaches you to read financial statements. Invaluable if you pick individual stocks. But it's accounting, not investing so you know what you're getting into. First module free. **Rice** **Portfolio** **Management** **(Coursera):** Solid specialization on portfolio construction. \~40 hours though, so real commitment. Better after you've done Khan Academy + Yale first. **University** **of** **Geneva** **Investment** **Management** **(Coursera):** Best for non US perspective (partnered with UBS). Intermediate or advanced? Don't start here!!! **The** **approach** **that** **worked** **for** **me:** Khan Academy first (vocabulary) → Yale (market understanding) → Morningstar + Investopedia simulator (practical application). Took about 3 months doing \~30-45 min per day. **What** **I'd** **skip:** Any "free course" that's actually a 2-hour sales funnel for a $997 trading program. If they promise returns, run. Anyone else gone through free courses? Curious what worked for others.

NoobAtPhysicsGG

That play at open yesterday on OIL? Pure corpo theater. Treasury flexed on the algos, got a quick flinch, then reality checkmated 'em. The street's not stupid. Look at the data stream today. Every major house Goldman, UBS, JPM just jacked their numbers **way up** . We're talking $100 Brent if the Hormuz shit continues . Some gonks are even screaming $200 . That's not noise, that's the new firmware. The EIA dropped their outlook too. Sure, they're preaching $58 Brent for the year, but that's just the official line . The real-time ticker? Crude is perking up, holding support, traders are buying every dip . The US can't print more oil, and until they un-fuck that shipping lane, the bulls own the street . Did the price price dip at open again? Yes. **Preem chance.** The algos didnt learn their lesson. Any dip gets bought instantly. We're in a whole different game now. The world is getting short squeezed.

NoobAtPhysicsGG

That play at 1 PM yesterday? Pure corpo theater. Treasury flexed on the algos, got a quick flinch, then reality checkmated 'em. The street's not stupid. Look at the data stream today. Every major house Goldman, UBS, JPM just jacked their numbers **way up** . We're talking $100 Brent if the Hormuz shit continues . Some gonks are even screaming $200 . That's not noise, that's the new firmware. The EIA dropped their outlook too. Sure, they're preaching $58 Brent for the year, but that's just the official line . The real-time ticker? Crude is perking up, holding support, traders are buying every dip . The US can't print more oil, and until they un-fuck that shipping lane, the bulls own the street . The price dipped again at open at again. **Preem chance.** The algos didnt learn their lesson. Any dip gets bought instantly. We're in a whole different game now. Short Squeeze the world.

sympathetic-wolf

Call just wrapped. A few things stood out. Fiddelke gave Target a customer definition for the first time in a while. "Busy families." Psychographic not demographic. People who want style and design and refuse to settle for ordinary. That is a meaningful narrowing from where they were. He also said "Target is not an everything store." That is a real positioning statement. The fast fashion model getting from design to store in weeks is the most structurally interesting thing mentioned. Already working in women's swim where they hold number one market share. The UBS analyst asked the right question though: this looks like Target ten years ago, what is structurally different? The answer was essentially we will not forget who we are this time. That is a commitment not a mechanism. Stock was up during the call in real time. February acceleration plus $2B investment plus cleaner positioning language drove that. Rational short term reaction. I'm a bit more skeptical. Worth noting: Walmart just publicly committed to absorbing tariff costs and holding prices down. Target is in a different position. They lowered prices on 3,000 items in Q4 but the broader pricing architecture question was not cleanly answered on this call. If Walmart widens the price gap while Target is investing in experience and curation, busy families on a budget make a straightforward choice. My original prediction was sales remain flat through 2026 despite operational improvements. Today was a better call than expected. But one good month and a cleaner strategy deck does not settle it. Q4 2026 earnings does.

Quetzacoal

UBS is holding the archegos and credit suisse short bags, they need everything to crash

Argothaught

>The dollar risk is a central concern, Garthwaite wrote. UBS forecasts the euro climbing to $1.22 by the end of the first quarter and sees “asymmetric structural downside risks” to the greenback. Historically, when the dollar’s trade-weighted index falls 10%, U.S. equities underperform by roughly 4% in unhedged terms, according to the bank. >Another pillar of U.S. stock strength — corporate buybacks — is also losing its edge, the bank said. The buyback yield in the U.S. is now only roughly on par with global peers, eroding what had been a key support for earnings per share growth and investor flows, UBS said. The combined shareholder yield from dividends and buybacks in the U.S. is now about half that of Europe, the bank said. >Policy volatility under President Donald Trump is another headwind. This year has brought shifts in tariff policy, proposals to cap credit-card interest rates, potential limits on private equity investment in housing, renewed scrutiny of drug pricing and suggestions to curb dividends and buybacks for defense companies, UBS said. >UBS strategist Sean Simonds set a year-end target of 7,500 for the S&P 500, compared with an average forecast of 7,629 among 14 top strategists, according to CNBC Pro’s strategist survey.

Immediate-Coast-5066

# UBS downgrades the U.S. stock market. Here’s what has the investment bank worried

Worth-Athlete-9953

Who the fuck is UBS? how dare you!!

Urzuck

''UBS downgrades the U.S. stock market'' I'ts Joeover.

LongevitySpinach

Not a fan of the man, but this idea isn't entirely garbage. I think some version of Universal Basic Equity can be a part of the solution to the growing income inequality and future disruption. Won't replace $100k annual salary, and coming up with $1k to deposit to get the match is a trick if you're unemployed, homeless and hungry. Doesn't help the worst affected. Should be universal like the baby trump accounts. UBI - Universal Basic Income - widespread acceptance that this will probably be necessary UBE - Universal Basic Equity - most people never heard of it, but it makes sense that if machines are taking over the entire economy that the people should have at least part ownership in the means of production UBS - Universal Basic Services - This is probably the most important. The LLM's are already providing a near universal service in free chat and analysis. The most obvious place where this can have a massive impact is medical care. With a few peripherals, a $10k superintelligent robot will be able to diagnose and treat illness better than a human MD, lowering the cost of doctors visits close to zero, excepting things requiring advanced testing equipment. They could do dental work, too. They can do nursing work and wash dishes, and do laundry. yada, yada. Mostly just the cost of electricity.

Slut_Spoiler

Currently waiting for UBS to collapse

pinprick58

Some people will tell you "nobody know" but this isn't entirely true. We may not know all of the ramifications but many we do know. Cybersecurity fundamentals are better than application fundamentals, and cyber will still see a net benefit from AI adoption and the growing amount of cybersecurity challenges UBS analyst). AI will never be able to do real-time kernel-level endpoint monitoring across millions of devices, a proprietary threat intelligence graph built from trillions of security events, lightweight agents running on every OS with sub-second detection, automated incident response and remediation, and a 24/7 threat hunting operation. Crowdstrike can.

ripvanmarlow

There's a few available: iShares MSCI World ex-USA UCITS (XUSE) UBS MSCI World ex USA (CHSI) Xtrackers MSCI World ex USA (XMWX) The UBS one is very small with a very slightly lower TER. The other two are fairly similar. They are all quite new, presumably due to the increased uncertainty around Trump's presidency.

RedPlumpTomato

I see your AI Slop and raise you with my AI Slop AIRE Analysis 🌍 United States 💼 reAlpha Tech Corp. • Real Estate • Real Estate Services ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 SCORE: +0.263 (95% confidence) ⚪ SLIGHTLY BULLISH 💰 Yahoo Finance:   • Price: $0.31   • Market Cap: $40.7M   • 📊 Volume: 975.5K   • Day: 📈 +0.42%   • Week: 📉 -4.51%   • Month: 📉 -28.76%   • Float: 95M   • 52w Range: $0.14 - $2.08      🔻 DEEP DISCOUNT (-85% off high) - bargain or garbage?   📊 Historical: ATH $575.41 (-100%) | ATL $0.14 | Age 2.3y | (IPO 2023-10-23)   • Analysts: 2 covering | 🔴 NONE      🎯 Target: $1.30 (+318% upside)   💰 Debt/Equity: 0.05x (HEALTHY)   📊 Profit Margin: 0.0% (BREAKEVEN (barely))   • Short Interest: 📊 5.8% of float | 1.2 days to cover   • Institutional: 📊 4.2%      Top 3: Vanguard Group Inc (1.5%), Blackrock Inc. (0.8%), UBS Group AG (0.8%) 👔 Insider Trading (90d):    Buys: 0 | Sells: 0 | Grants: 7    Recent Transactions:    🎁 2026-01-30: GRANT 14,778 shares       ANGELIS DIMITRIOS J (D) - Director (23.0% of holdings)    🎁 2026-01-30: GRANT 414,230 shares       DEVANUR GIRI (D) - Officer, Director and ... (1.4% of holdings)    🎁 2026-01-30: GRANT 14,778 shares       COLE BRIAN D (D) - Director (3.9% of holdings) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 CHART ANALYSIS: 🔴 BEARISH    Score: -35 pts   • 🚨 Falling knife (down 93% from high)   • 💀 Volume dying (0.1x)   • 📉 Losing momentum (-29% in 30d) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📋 THESIS HEALTH: 🟠 WEAKENED (53/100)   ⚠️ Dilution: Shares +126%   🟢 Good News:      reAlpha (Nasdaq: AIRE) Announces Na... (Dec-30-25 05:00PM)      reAlpha (Nasdaq: AIRE) Signs Defini... (Dec-22-25 04:30PM) 🏛️ SEC: 🟠 WARNING (45/100) • IPO: 2y 10m old   ⚠️ Shelf registration active (filed 2025-05...   ⚠️ Serial diluter: 9 offerings in 1 year ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📱 REDDIT SENTIMENT (2 posts, 7 days) Social media speculation - trust at your own risk 📄 Reference Posts:   1. a real retail turnaround - UAA & UA 🟢 today by u/investor57347   2. $AIRE - reAlpha Tech is reinventing real estate... 🟢 today by u/One-Dingo1220 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📋 TRADING SUMMARY 🟡 MODERATE RISK (low discussion volume, minimal institutional backing) Strong slightly bullish signal showing strong losses (-28.8% this month) . Key factors: deep discount (-85% off high - value play OR dead money).  ⚠️ Risk factors: minimal buzz (2 posts - ghost town, nobody cares), very low institutional (4% - smart money said fuck this). 💼 TRADE SETUP & STRATEGY Key Bullish Factors:   • Strong positive sentiment Key Bearish Factors:   • Very low institutional (4% - smart money wants nothing to do with this shit)   • Minimal buzz (2 posts - nobody gives a fuck)   • -85% off highs (cheap for a reason - it's garbage) Recommendation: 🔴 AVOID - Late stage pump. You're the exit liquidity. GTFO. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

I-Made-You-Read-This

Ah sorry I thought this was /r/swisspersonalfinance or something. UBS is a bank in Switzerland sorry I got confused before I commented

rottentomati

I assumed you were talking about the US. I have no ides what UBS is.

Internal_Field5970

I just sent my application to UBS and I told them I am currently a Top Contributor to a massive global Financial network with AI Agent integration (bots)

DiaBall

UBS

Junior-Shoe4618

Is this really true? I recently saw the UBS wealth survey and apparently Belgian's median net worth is the highest in Europe. At least if you exclude really tiny countries. 

pink_ego_box

Chinese traders can't buy SLV... They only have a UBS pseudoETF that has limits on how much bullion they can buy and has been overvalued compared to NAV for months

Ok-Chapter-6631

Gemini nailing it: Predicting a specific 8% jump in a single day for a mega-cap stock like Amazon (AMZN) is statistically unlikely outside of major news events. For perspective, an 8% increase tomorrow would mean Amazon's market cap grows by roughly $160 billion in just a few hours. Based on current market conditions as of February 12, 2026, here is the breakdown of the situation: Current Market Sentiment • Losing Streak: Amazon is currently on an eight-day losing streak, its longest since 2019. The stock has dropped over 16% during this period.  • CapEx Concerns: The sell-off was triggered by Amazon's announcement of a $200 billion capital expenditure plan for 2026, which is significantly higher than analysts expected. Investors are currently "souring" on the massive AI infrastructure costs despite strong AWS growth.  • Recent Performance: Today, February 12, the stock is trading around $201.00, down roughly 1.5% for the day. Statistical Likelihood of an 8% Jump An 8% move is considered a "black swan" or extreme volatility event for Amazon. • Historical Context: Amazon typically moves roughly 1–3% on a normal trading day. • Catalysts: A move of 8%+ almost exclusively happens during earnings reports or major regulatory breakthroughs. Since Amazon just reported its Q4 2025 results on February 5, there is no scheduled major catalyst for tomorrow, February 13.  • Analyst Outlook: While many analysts (like UBS and BMO) have maintained "Buy" ratings and high price targets ($275–$315), they view this as a long-term recovery rather than an overnight spike.

Winter-Extension-366

if I told you I was a market maker and partnered with a vol manager from UBS to build our own you either wouldn't believe me or I'd be downvoted into oblivion for promoting but obviously I see questions like the OP and it irks me because to do it correctly costs a ton- and after having gone through the building phase ourselves, I'm shocked that competitors without domain expertise get away with what they're selling as "GEX" etc

asleepace

**AI Infrastructure Options Playbook — Q2 2026** The thesis: AI compute buildout creates demand convergence across copper, silver, energy, and precious metals. Here's how I'm playing it through end of Q2. **TIER 1: COPPER (highest conviction)** JPMorgan targets copper at $12,500/mt by Q2, UBS at $13,000 by year-end. Grasberg mine (world's 2nd largest) still partially closed until Q2. Global refined copper deficit projected at \~330kmt. The kicker: data center copper demand alone expected to hit 475,000 tons in 2026, up from 110,000 in 2025. That's a 4x jump. * **COPX $95-100C Jul 2026** — leveraged play on the miners * **FCX $70C Jul 2026** — largest pure-play, directly exposed to Grasberg reopening catalyst Risk: COPX already up 119% in a year. China weakness could flush you 20-30%. Copper + silver = 60-70% of the position. That's where supply deficit, AI demand, and mine disruptions all converge. Not financial advice, just mapping the thesis to instruments.

Winter-Extension-366

MS QDS seems to build right way- BofA systematic flows monitor also is done by a team that knows what they're doing and is creative in exploring the dataset; UBS good, I haven't seen anything great out of GS besides the broad top-line concepts and their gamma quilt from FOF is not always helpful

Immediate-Coast-5066

[Markets](https://www.cnbc.com/markets/) # UBS downgrades U.S. IT sector despite a recovery. 

Ill-Ad1603

MU UBS price target upgraded to $450