XLE

2Frum4U

Broke: panic filling jerry cans with gas Woke: XLE calls Bespoke: Canadian uranium stocks

Urban-Cheese

If oil prices stay elevated, eergy ETFs like XLE might see another leg up. Bu i'm waiting for a pullback before adding any positions.

Commercial_Try9096

USO and UCO don’t own oil. They own futures contracts that they roll every month. In contango (next month’s contract costs more than this month’s), every roll is a guaranteed loss — sell low, buy high, repeat. That roll cost runs 2-3% per month, compounding to 20-30% annual drag. This is how USO returned only 15% over three years despite multiple oil spikes. UCO is 2x worse because it doubles the roll cost AND adds volatility decay from daily rebalancing. In a choppy market, which a war-driven oil market absolutely is, a 2x leveraged product can lose money even when the underlying goes up. Day 1: oil +5%, UCO +10%. Day 2: oil -5%, UCO -10%. Net: oil -0.25%, UCO -1.0%. That asymmetry compounds relentlessly. If you want to express a bullish oil view without contango eating you alive, look at equity proxies: XLE, XOP for broad energy, or individual E&Ps like EOG, AR, EQT that own physical reserves and benefit from higher realized prices without the roll bleed. Or if you want the short side of the oil shock, play the countries that can’t survive $100 oil INDA (India) imports 90% of its crude, half through Hormuz, and is at its 52-week low with record capital outflows. The worst thing you can do is buy UCO thinking you’re “leveraged long oil” and hold it for months. That’s not a position — it’s a donation to the futures curve. I learned the hard way playing with MSTU and UVXY until I did the math, they always went down harder and bounced back weaker so not really 2x

somewhere_cool

If you have 3k why not get longer dated options that support a general thesis. You currently have 2 options, oil goes up/ stays high for months or shit calms down and oil drops back down. 1. Oil stays high? June or later calls on XLE plus puts on airlines. 2. Shit ends faster than it looks like it should (doubt but it's your money)? Get September puts on USO and calls on tech.

BluesFlute

I’m surprised that crude oil is not higher. Are people blind to the problem? Or are there other factors? Energy sec’y D Bergrum said that there had been discussion about US government using influence in the oil futures market. He said it would require a large amt of capital. Maybe that’s not surprising given that the Treasury Secy is a hedge fund guy. Government is not supposed to manipulate futures markets… but I wouldn’t put it past these guys. And if the deal goes bad and billions are lost…oh well…it’s OPM. We will likely know how this turns out in the next 2weeks. Other than a few modest long positions in XLE, LNG, I’m risk off.

HEK293INVAX

Change your focus *now*, **XLU XES XLE TAN WIN** are the only 5 areas to concentrate on, oil supply isn't as important as oil delivery, TheWar is choking out EU Asia and the far east, higher for longer oil will make book in those 5 areas now, Everything else is in danger, not a fan off any other areas now.

CornerOne238

My guess would be to buy sector funds separately such XLI, XLE, etc.

Fomo4life69

Sold everything in my Roth (all tech). Holding CVX calls, XLE commons, QQQ puts. Plan to cut shorter dates puts and reload on every bounce. Taking all profits and dumbing into Amazon LEAPs when this blows over

Megaloman-_-

I have never trusted this phuckin administration. On mid February 2025 I liquidated my whole IRA + emergency funds + mother funds that I managed. That’s a crap load of cash btw. I started selling CSP’s at delta <20 on SPY and GLD, and more recently on XLE. Many around me were laughing about my “overreactionary” approach. Let’s see who starts laughing now

Narrow-Ad-7856

A lot of oil infrastructure has been severely damaged already, with no end of the war in sight. I think we're going to see months of +$100 barrels, I'm thinking about moving towards inflation plays like GLD, GLX, XLE

amartya_dev

QQQ and IWM are good alternatives with cheaper premiums. Also look at liquid names like AAPL, AMD and NVDA or sector ETFs like XLF and XLE. But sticking to one ticker (like SPY) can actually help you read price action better.

Dabbler_much

+4% YTD. Mainly thanks to MU, TSMC, SNDK, XLE, LLY & metals. Plus exited NBIS, SN, CCL at near ATHs. Big drops on MSFT, MELI, URA, AMZ etc the usual tech names. Overall worry is so far we haven’t seen a sizeable crash, & that may be coming soon. So keeping dry powder on the sidelines instead of going right back in.

DuckTalesOohOoh

If USO is going up while XLE is flat, then retail is being stupid.

TracyM45

Investors don't own the whole market.Picking winners is not that hard.  XLE to the moon

DreamfulTrader

IWM, XLE would be your best best with smaller account XLE usually moves slower and also weekly expiry, so be careful with these I am trading IWM on some days and it is very good. I am regrowing a small account, you can easily trade once a day and 2-3 times a week and grow it to 60,000 in 6 months.

TracyM45

XLE to the moon

TracyM45

Buy XLE and take a nap

Rinolboss

Why does XLE not go up with oil

Sudden-Ad-8262

opening a position in XLE

Hamzehaq7

totally get where you're coming from! it's wild how the market doesn't always react to current events like you'd think. i'm with you on the earnings being solid; these oil companies usually know how to weather storms. and yeah, XLE's kinda stuck with the S&P's movements for now. your call strategy seems solid, just make sure to keep an eye on volatility. crazy how quick things can change. holding my breath for those earnings, hope it pays off for us both! good luck!

Frequent-Length-9966

XLE please don’t fail me now. Friken Xom

TracyM45

XLE to the moon

TracyM45

XLE up 25% this year. 

buppiejc

BAC, WFC, and the State Street indexes (XLF, XLI, XLE, etc.) can work for your small account too, and at $150 you already have enough to buy BAC, and WFC contracts a few weeks out.

Far_Passenger3466

Anyone in XLE?

Far_Passenger3466

Will XLE go back up?

Existing_South_9727

Try buying XLE or SPY calls when it has a bad day for about 2 weeks or a week out respectively. I was down to 4k a month back and im back up to 18.5k now just doing that.

Far_Passenger3466

XLE to $60?

MSFTCoveredCalls

Energy is only 3.5% of the S&P500, it does not move the S&P, and XLE and SPY can totally move in different directions. This is not XLK

MSFTCoveredCalls

XLE is the easiest most straightforward trade. I own calls and shares. 40% of XLE is XOM and CVX. XOM is the industry leader, it moved first started from new year and has already moved a lot. CVX chart is fresher imho. So XLE is dominated by the integrated oil and gas industry group. These are the biggest companies like XOM and CVX. There are several other industry groups within the energy sector. Except for oil services, currently all other industry groups trade with crude oil after the Iran war started. Oil services currently trade inverse of crude oil, and more in line with the S&P. I guess cause oil services is more about demand while other groups in energy are benefiting from supply constraints just my guess. After the volatility in crude oil settles down, I expect oil services to continue going up just like they were already doing before the war. So I expect this to be dip hopefully I own OIH the ETF. When Iran situation alleviates and the US dollar stops getting a bid as safe haven, I expect international oil stocks to outperform the US, Canada has several good ones IMO and SU have been very strong. I also own PBR and WDS.

AaronFire

Say something negative about energy stocks and XLE… please…

Ok_Motor3546

XLE has been flashing long on my scanner for a few days No surprise given the global situation 120 day probability chart looks good

West_West_313

If the year is negative that’ll mean I’ve spent a year buying weekly into a nice dip. Except for XLE, thats the only one keeping me green lol.

Buntatricky46

XLE is like the biggest oil energy ETF listed on the us exchange. Congrats, this is like finding the SP500 but for oil companies and tell us you found a gem

stockist420

if the S&p drops, so does XLE. That is NOT how it works my friend. Please ask Grok why

TryExciting4508

Tensions with Iran have been rising since summer of last year. XLE is up 36% since then. If that’s not priced in idk what is

ai-moderator

#TLDR --- **Ticker:** XLE **Direction:** Up **Prognosis:** Buy May 15th $62 Calls (or $70 Calls if you want a lotto ticket) **Catalyst:** Unpriced Iran conflict, rising oil prices, and upcoming Q1 earnings. **Financial Advisor:** GROK and Time Travel (since OP apparently bought these back in "Dec. 2025")

spwath

Oh I bet on XLE going to 60 not USO going to 120 my bad

spwath

What happened to XLE? It dropped big right before close... should have sold my calls

exospheer

the only things I have are QQQI, XOM, CVX, and XLE. Sold all my NBIS and tech. Probably rebuy NBIS when it dips.

BluesFlute

For the workers that are unionized, their contracts do not require them to enter war zones. Ship owners do not want to either, obviously. Insurers are not insuring…why would they? So, the Strait is effectively shut, except perhaps for some departing Iran for China. Expect recession, and a re-organization of economic order. The airlines are retreating, still time to short! If you have the stomach. XLE long. Otherwise, cash is king for awhile

spwath

Why is XLE so up and down?

spwath

What happened to XLE?

East-Bar-4324

If anything, situations like this are exactly why energy equities tend to outperform when geopolitical risk rises. $XLE and names like $OXY usually catch a bid if crude starts moving.

linfakngiau2k23

XLE calls 😝

95Daphne

Still down from session highs of last night and honestly idk that I'd trust that it would be sticky where it's at with the way the US sessions have been going. It's clear someone knew something was up though yesterday as the XLE was up 2%ish.

MeasurementSecure566

just buy XLE or pick one of the companies in it. making money isnt hard.

AdamGSMA

I must be psychic since I bought XLE a few days before we invaded Iran as a tech hedge.

jrex035

>XLE is completely flat since the war began. That's because XLE is full of companies that have exposure to the ME and are being forced to cap their production or have even suffered damage from Iranian attacks. PBR is up nearly 13% in the last week on the other hand and has zero exposure to the ME

calm_discussion_3500

It's in the 80's because prices reflect the SPR already. The real question is whether $80s and $90s is where it will stay or if the oil bulls are correct it can hold above $100. I don't think it can sustainably do so but maybe I am wrong. Trillions of dollars and oil traders are not betting on it so let's see what happens. XLE is completely flat since the war began. That should make any bear seriously at least have some humility and question if their doom case is legitimate.

Cool-Run-245

Same here this shit XLE has been sideways since the war started. Goes up when the market is closed and then gives the gains up at open. Meanwhile USO calls were big up and still up if you bought late February.

Far_Passenger3466

Hold or sell my 200 XLE shares at open? Bought in for $55.31

Far_Passenger3466

XLE anyone?

InfiniteNerve1384

It was. But if you look at the chart XLE has already been running all year. You’re late. It’s topping already.

cover_at_zero

The question you have to ask yourself is: why is XLE -1% yet the calls were +17%. Once you understand this, then you shall know if you are toast or not.

hadim33

I got XLE I hate as well lol . Bought a few put debit spreads turned them into credit spreads. Closed one today for a scratch. Two more to go. Put Debit spread strike 50P-48P jun18 paid 0.48 will start adjusting later if needed. 🤞 GDX for me is easy to handle. When rolling I adjust my strikes according to delta. While making sure I’m receiving credit. I believe the delta moves with IV. For GDX I usually trade delta 30 on the put side & delta -20 on the call side. Two to one contracts. Was trading 2-2 when IVR was over 100 . It’s been printing money. Forgot to mention the VIX it’s definitely my favorite.

Shinjukin

My brother in christ, that's probably the worst way to go long oil in this situation. For future reference: 1) Who do you think is shipping oil through the persian gulf? It's the companies that make up XLE so the price of oil may go up on one end but they're getting fucked on the other side by 20% of global oil not being shipped and their refineries getting bombed. 2) Share price in oil companies is dictated by long term profits over years, Nvidia as an analogy wouldn't be worth $5T if the price it sold chips at was going to drop 50% in 6 months time. 3) A 1 month call is nowhere near enough time, especially when it's already trading at ATH's. The theory would need to be tyhat the SoH is going to be shut for months on end to justify a meaningful rise and 1 month doesn't give enough time for that to play out. Either go directly into Brent or look for smaller oil companies that can have lots of movement, don't have any ME exposure and already have something that would make the rise in oil price extra lucrative like recent expansion based on debt.

VariousBad6906

Hopium won’t move XLE to $64

Aigpil

solid list. I'd add XLE to that with oil vol where it is right now — better liquidity than USO for strangles and the IV term structure is steep so front month premium is fat. one thing I've noticed is GDX strangles can get tricky around FOMC dates, gold tends to gap more than the IV implies on rate decisions. do you adjust your strikes based on IVR level or just stick with a fixed delta?

Got_Engineers

Honestly, thoughts like this are pure simpleton plays. Everyone and their dog and grandmother would think oil and energy companies would go up. You think the easiest most simple play would work?!?!? Does no one ever look at price charts? Almost every day for the last week and a half XLE has been systematically shorted at the open for like the first 5 to 15 minutes. Like I’m talking straight down and then it recovers. Wonder what that means!

Easik

The problem with XLE is that oil is near the best price right now. If it goes up, then it causes inflation and less volume sold. If it goes down, then less margin to invest in future oil drilling.

Far_Passenger3466

XLE anyone?

lokglacier

This is why I just buy a couple shares of XLE to get it out of my system

NazgulSandwich

You are not following energy then lol it wasn’t just oil look at XLE

DarkR124

I’m going back in to XLE tomorrow. Sold for a good return yesterday and it’s dropped again. - Iran saying mines in the strait - Refineries on fire - Middle eastern countries slashing oil production - US navy just said escorts not possible for now for tankers - Iran says they are prepared for at least 6 months of war - Iran also says it’s going to start using bigger bombs/missles Despite all this, 🥭 saying wars over. Oookay buddy.

calm_discussion_3500

Wow oil truly cratered. Up from low of 76 to 81 again. XLE falling as well. Probably not a bad time for investors to at least take some chips off the table and hedge their bets. Could be a short conflict as Israel is looking for off ramps it seems.

Devastaytah

XLE

drew-gen-x

Yes & No. The odds are better than the casino. And you do need skin in the game to learn. But you have to learn voodoo like tech analysts & charts and never fall in love w/ a stock. Go w/ ETFs over stocks for 75% of your port. Diversify. Buy sectors that go against your thesis. Hedge with ETF's like Gold & Crude Oil. 40% of the market cap of the $QQQ and 30% of the $SPY is in the 6-10 tech stock names everyone here buys. Buy stocks that hedge against the $SPY like $CAT, $DE, $GLD, $XLU, $XLE. Sure these might be the wrong stocks or ETF's to buy as they might go down. But they are a hedge against our tech heavy 401k's. Good Luck.

Ceyenne18

puts on XLE, oh yes baby

Former_HF_Employee

XLE. Anything sustained $120+ is demand destruction, so it's trim and rotate to Gold. Between here and there is great margins for the majors.

Pleasant_Arugula7571

The Russian oil sanctions easing narrative changes the Iran supply story significantly. If the US is simultaneously removing Russian supply restrictions, there is less pressure on Brent even if Hormuz stays complicated. But here is the timing problem: this 30-day waiver to India is a temporary measure. Iran can wait it out. In 30 days Russia-Ukraine situation could shift again. This keeps oil in a wide volatility band rather than trending cleanly in either direction. For equity positioning: the oil price decline is good for airlines, trucking, consumer discretionary. But it is bad news for XLE and energy sector names that already priced in $110+ crude. The crack spread math on refineries also compresses as crude falls faster than refined products. GeoPulse models these cross-sector scenarios at geopulselabs.com - the sector rotation here is faster than most playbooks expected.

Former_HF_Employee

Long XLE And FSAGX

drew-gen-x

Americans only read headlines & tweets. We just want to be reassured that everything will be ok. Instead of looking at the stock market as a battle b/w bulls vs bears, why not BTD on fear and trim and take profits during times of greed? I like stocks and ETF's like $DE, $GLD, $EWJ , $XLE, etc; but I'm not married to any of them. None of these stocks care about you. I'll sell and buy anything based on whether I think it's cheap or expensive. People have to learn how to save themselves in this world. It's nice if you can also help others out as well along the way. But people need to stop waiting for a politician to save them. It's all WWE theater. The left & right are both being paid by the same wizards behind the curtain.

DarkR124

Glad I sold off the rest of my XLE calls. Ten days to expiry I wasn’t comfortable sitting on em. Not going to complain about making almost 200% lol

calm_discussion_3500

Haven't checked again, on phone but XLE was red and WTI was 80s when I commented.

DarkR124

Oil up 20%ish and XLE is red. TF is this shit?

Beagle001

XLE red. Make it make sense.

DarkR124

XLE keeps giving back its AH gains on open. Shit is annoying AF.

Legaon

The main issue, that relates to the “stock market” — for the Middle East conflict. Is the: (1)Strait of Hormuz disruption/(2)disruption to “original oil flow”. Oil prices + gasoline prices + diesel prices = going up dramatically. Everything becoming more expensive — because the US majorly relies on the STRAIT OF HORMUZ. Lots of volatility in the future. In the long run, perhaps at a much quicker rate, you will probably see: (1)”old industries dying”, and being replaced by “newer industries”. ->OLD INDUSTRY: oil industry — declining — US does not depend as heavily, on this industry. Because it means, relying heavily on “international shipping routes”. ->NEW INDUSTRY: renewable energy + electricity + etc. —> iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN). In one year: (54.38% capital application). https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ICLN/ —> 7 Best Energy ETFs to Buy Now The energy sector has outperformed strongly in the opening months of 2026 due to heightened geopolitical tensions. —> State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE). In one year: (31.62% capital appreciation). [100% energy sector] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLE/ Basically, you are just going to see, in the long run this: (1)old industry’s dying — being replaced by — (2)new industries. ->Many centuries ago: (1)the whaling industry was extremely profitable. Killing whales for: (1)a food source/(2)blubber — to convert to oil. But, to keep a constant supply of oil, you need a “constant supply of whales” — which is not happening. There will soon be the invention of the (first automobile + mass public adoption of the 1st automobile). You need a lot of (oil + gasoline + diesel) — for the mass public “to use automobiles”. The most effective way to meet this “public demand for more OIL + GASOLINE + DIESEL”. Oil wells + oil refineries + oil drilling + etc. ->As the previous part occurred, there was: (1)drastic decrease in “whaling expeditions”/(2)money was now mainly allocated to the — oil industry. ->Because of this Middle East war — involving the “Strait of Hormuz” — you are going to see the same thing. There will be a major public view shift, regarding “renewable energy sources”. OLD INDUSTRY: (Oil) — NEW INDUSTRY: (alternative energy sources). ->The major players, will just “switch sides though”. Oil giants — will just “switch over to ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES”. ->[United States] Strait of Hormuz = international shipping route, mainly for “oil”. Relies heavily on (international production). Relies very little on (domestic production). ->[United States] Renewable energy sources = possibly relies more on (domestic production).

Frequent-Length-9966

XLE

Frequent-Length-9966

XLE is my meme stock. What’s yours? Looking for ideas

Ok-Opportunity642

Cloud infrastructure is proving to be the ultimate defensive buffer right now because mission critical spending stays sticky even when marketing budgets for ad-heavy firms like Meta get slashed. You should focus on Microsoft as the cleanest play since its fortress balance sheet and 45.6 percent margins offer the best protection during this broad tech rotation. Trylattice is perfect for digging into stock filings to see exactly how these geopolitical tensions and rising energy costs are impacting the capital expenditure of the major cloud providers in real time. While Alphabet is a solid second choice, you have to be comfortable with the heavy AI capex drag that might weigh on short term performance. If you are really worried about escalating global strikes, rotating some capital into energy or defense sectors like XLE and ITA is where the institutional money is currently hiding.

Pleasant_Arugula7571

The question is really whether Trump can deliver on the Iran threat quickly enough for markets to care. He said Iran nuclear was "obliterated" last year. That did not hold. The baseline here should be that these things take longer than the initial market reaction prices in. We are probably 6-18 months from any genuine ceasefire, and even then oil does not immediately snap back - structural damage to Iraqi and Kuwaiti infrastructure takes months to repair. The more interesting price signal is what the bond market does Monday. If 10-year yields fall hard on flight-to-safety demand while oil spikes, that creates a genuine policy dilemma for the Fed. They cannot cut into an oil shock without risking stagflation. They cannot hold rates while the economy softens on energy costs. I would actually watch XOP and XLE relative performance. If energy stocks diverge from crude - XOP lagging while crude keeps running - that is the market pricing in demand destruction faster than supply disruption. That spread has historically been a better recession signal than inverted yield curves at these oil levels.

Bryansix

I sold my XLE... at the all-time high.

drew-gen-x

I'm also selling my $XLE stocks sometime tomorrow. The crude oil hedge has already paid for itself.

Kayn2016

Consider energy ETFs like XLE for broad exposure, and gold miners as a hedge. They often outperform physical gold during geopolitical volatility.

DarkR124

Loaded up on several puts for various ETFs and calls on XLE. Deep ITM for all but one. Going to be a good Monday.

Shot-Welcome-2822

My IRA is XOM, XLE and biotech, chilling

p3pp3rjack

Is the increase in oil price good for XLE?

bclinton

I sold all my OXY 2500 shares last Monday during premarket for 56.70. Bought into XLE and a few hundred more OXY shares when it dipped to 53. So far so good.

twk1212

It's in CAD, that's why I couldn't find it. This will be similar to XLE for me

Roygbiv-Turtle-98

up 25% on my XLE shares i bought in December. I feel fucking goated

Portfoliana

oil at 350 would mean gasoline at like $12/gallon which would destroy demand long before we got there. every time crude spikes above $100 it accelerates the exact substitution effects (EVs, renewables, efficiency) that cap the upside. the 2008 spike to $147 literally kickstarted the shale revolution. i have about 8% of my portfolio in energy (mostly XLE, small OXY position) and im happy with that exposure. but 'generational wealth' calls in a commodity that has a hard ceiling set by demand destruction are how people blow up their accounts. the best energy trade right now is probaly the next 6 months not the next 6 years

somewhere_cool

Go to your local oil store and buy a barrel In seriousness, buy USO or UCO for direct exposure to oil futures prices. Buy XOM, OXY, XLE for exposure to producers which will lag oil prices a bit but should benefit longer term by high prices and snap upwards like a rubber band.

Icommandyou

Energy stocks, XLE

DarkR124

Was up 92% on XLE calls and my greedy ass didn’t sell. Maybe it’ll be a good thing for once.

Got_Engineers

Im surprised no one is talking about XLE? You could look at a price chart of XLE on a micro layer such as 5min and 1H and see how that almost every day now for the last week in a bit, it’s been systematically, shorted and dumped at open in a directional volatile way. What does that do to volatility? If realized volatility is being pumped and then somewhat normalizing every day consecutively. Maybe at that point to clue such as a potential parabolic short. Everyone’s talking about oil. No one’s talking about the oil companies? If volatility remains high and indices are dumping, that does not make energy or oil immune lol

Regardedcontrarianx

XLE and DHT calls print this week or goes down with the market crashing?

thadcorn

I bought $60 of XLE at the beginning of January, so let's just say I'm ballin' rn.

topicalsyntax571

I’ll buy VDE, XLE, and IYE Monday so we can have cheap oil again