XLE

gainsusmaximus

For XLE

softboiledjadepotato

SMH and XLE are the only correct

kudles

XLE puts?

drew-gen-x

The baton was passed from semis to $XLE. Unfortunately very few own the energy names here to notice.

interstellara_

i have the cheapest XLE call in existence as a random gamble, and it's up like 60% rn. so yes.

LordCorgi

XLE my beloved 🤑

interstellara_

i bought an XLE 6/30 65c at .47 three days ago. if this turns out to be my best play ever...

interstellara_

something that caused oil to rise because the algo buying on XLE was up...

dvdmovie1

> It's just so obvious that the way we're headed is going to tank the market. I've read this or some variation of this on here what feels like every day for the last 2-3 years. " It just seems so obvious that a big dip is coming. " There was a big dip and this sub doomposted right through it again. Look at BE this morning at $280. It was mid $110's less than a month ago. "energy," Should have done that last year. I wouldn't be doing it at this point. Buy the XLE (or whatever energy etf you like) when nobody wants it, not when it's beating the SPY by about 24% YTD. "staples," A lot of staples have been horrible for 3-5 years now. One can try and pick bottoms for something like CAG but 1) what's your thesis for a turnaround in a reasonable period of time? "industrial" There's a lot of industrials that have had a great period lately. Healthcare is more of a mixed bag, but to me it really does become what is your thesis? Moving from selling growth to buying say, healthcare still has to have a thesis behind it. This has been a market of narratives for most of the last 5-6 years - what's working has gotten more expensive than ever but on the flip side, what's NOT working has also gotten sold off further than before. Additionally, if you have a good cost basis in something, why sell entirely? Why not trim *some* growth into strength and look around in the bargain bin rather than dumping all your growth stocks and then setting yourself up to chase higher if the market keeps ramping what's popular.

JaraxxusPS4

!banbet XLE 65 14d

Mordrim

I made my play in mid March, which turned out to be a little early. Right now, I am developing an exit strategy. I might go 25% XLE and 75% SPY to be more delta neutral to the market with a little upside. My exit triggers are 1) if SPY drops below 7000, and 2) if DXY stays above 100.

Delicious_Put_5857

ye i have XLE shares in non-retard account

According_To_Me_

XLE calls are still bull territory

Delicious_Put_5857

also have a non-leveraged account where u hold at least 50% VT at all times, and right now buy XLE with the other 50%.

Erieztoys

CALLs on XLE

Infinite-Bar-2867

If you’re trading on a 1–2 week horizon and can manage volatility: **1. Crude exposure via ETFs (high risk, high beta)** * Instruments: **USO** or other liquid oil ETFs. * Possible approach: * **Small position sizes** (e.g., smaller than your normal equity trades) because intraday gaps can be brutal. * Use **defined‑risk structures** if you have options access (e.g., **call spreads** rather than naked calls) to cap downside. * Anchor your stop around **recent support** on USO (for example, prior breakout levels on the chart) rather than a fixed %; oil shocks can overshoot both ways. **2. Energy equities via sector ETFs (moderate beta)** * Instruments: **XLE** or broader value/energy-tilted funds. * Pros: * Less violent than crude itself; companies earn cash, pay dividends, and can hedge. * Benefit if crude stays elevated, but can be more resilient if crude spikes then fades. * Tactics: * **Buy pullbacks**, not the first spike after war headlines. * Consider **staggered entries** (scale in over several days) rather than a single large buy. **3. Tankers & defense themes (niche, higher idiosyncratic risk)** * Tanker/shipping names may benefit from: * rerouted routes, * higher freight rates, * insurance premia. * Defense/aerospace can catch a **secondary bid** from heightened Gulf tensions. * But these are **stock‑specific, news‑sensitive themes**—best traded only if you already follow the names closely.

The_Last_Otter

Still holding my XLE & SOFI longs and a SLV short

SaltyRedditTears

XLE because that’s what ChatGPT told me to do

interstellara_

Ngl I told myself to quit fucking around with XLE because I’ve been burned too, and yet here I am. Because I KNOW this cannot be the top with energy, demand destruction won’t happen that quick, etc. I was up $2 before market close, so we’ll see how this week treats me before I give up on it fully

Beagle001

You'd think with all of the energy fears and impending obvious crisis looming, you'd be able to buy ITM or ATM XLE calls and ride them to victory. But XLE is such a finicky bastard. I can't make sense of that one. Oil will go up and XLE will go down. Life used to be so simple. just ride your bike to 7/11 and get a slurpee and call it a win.

No_Current3675

XLE n chill

drew-gen-x

I'm kinda hoping Kinder Morgan falls to $30 to fill my limit buy order. Everyone's eyeballs have been on semis. But I just bought $XLE the Friday before last and I am already up 5% there in 7 trading days. There have been buyers once these stocks fall to support levels.

The_Last_Otter

I got SOFI, XLE, ETHA longs and a SLV short

Rexed88

Brent's at 97$, XLE has only moved .3% easiest buy of my life.

t3ch1t

A bunch of oil producer earnings coming up starting 4/30. Seems like they should be making bank if SLB’s earnings are anything to go by. I already own XLE but kind of want to buy $57 calls for 5/8 or 5/15. Is that too greedy?

jrex035

Genuinely hilarious price action in energy equities these days. On the whole they keep dumping despite the energy crisis growing worse by the day. Until of course they report earnings, then they skyrocket, because of course they do, energy equities are ridiculously underpriced right now. Go look at the price action of HAL and BKR (both of which reported earnings this week) compared with etfs like XLE and XOP and you'll see what I mean. A ton of energy companies will be reporting earnings in the next 2 weeks, now is a great time to pick up quality companies at low prices

_TheOoze_

I think a lot of retail is just now starting to FOMO into the longer-term Data Center play, so semis are ripping along with XLE, XLU, SLV. Plus it's tech earnings season, plus the war. Always a confluence of factors.

Beagle001

I don't have time to explain but I need the following to happen tomorrow. I need TQQQ to hit 62. I need XLE to jam up north a good bit. Also POET to dip to 10. Oh and also I need UVIX to get up in the 7 area.

Scribble_Box

Just took a bunch of profits last Friday at ATH and now sitting on a lot of cash lol. I was going to hold NOW, IGV, and TTD through earnings, but decided not to, thankfully.... Still holding leaps on goog, UNH, XLE, and some others. I'm hoping to see Amazon back around 220-230 and I'll load up on leaps. Sold a covered call and got my 100 shares swiped away right before the pop to 250... Lmao

IIINevermoreIII

My losses today on TSLA make me sick…. I could have chosen my original idea on AMD, XLE, or CAT calls and I’d still be better off…  

Beagle001

Five min before close, I closed my XLE call and left my TQQQ to ride. 👋

_TheOoze_

VM what entry prices would you recommend for taking long positions in SLV, SOXQ, XLE, and XLU?

mrpuma2u

XLE is a petroleum ETF. You could do calls on that. USO and PR are 2 more oil stocks. NFA.

Elegant_Primary_7133

USO spreads are rough. XLE or XOP have better liquidity. Futures or micro crude offer cleaner execution

Unlucky-Present6686

Spreads in USO can sometimes be very ugly. For better execution and to be on top of market tightness, everyone heads where the volume lies, and that would probably be XLE, CVX, or XOM, which have substantially better liquidity when trading options – even though it’s not necessarily a pure play. Another trick might be taking out slightly longer expiries and perhaps slightly ITM. It’s probably easier to execute a spread in that scenario. The futures market is cleanest, though obviously risk profile would change dramatically. However, if one must trade an option spread, it boils down to liquidity.

Czyzzle

Agree. I play SPY and USO and XLE. The recent decoupling between SPY and OIL is ominous. I don't know exactly what to make of it I just know there should be an inverse relationship

drew-gen-x

I bought $XLE on Friday. Just like $VT, $VTUS, and $VTI or $SPY were underpriced on March 31st; $USO and $XLE are underpriced now for the amount of risk the markets are discounting. I like poking the bear vs bull arguing here; but really people should never be too bearish or bullish. The market is overvalued vs the amount of risk it is taking right now.

Wowmuchrya

XLE up and XLK up this market is on crack lol

Beagle001

VM- can XLE continue its climb over the next few months even if USO drops and settles below 90? Do you dream of electric sheep?

interstellara_

Huh, weird. I saw a major glitch like that about an hour ago on XLE through robinhood but it definitely was just a glitch because volume did not suggest people were selling that fast

LordCorgi

Got it, we need oil to put the fire out, XLE calls it is

Costco_Whoresale

**Newbie Portfolio - Any Thoughts?** Hey all - relatively new to actively investing and wanted to reach out as this sub has been super helpful. For context, I'm 25 y/o with a separate 401(k) and IRA (both Roth), and am trying to diversify with a taxable brokerage account. I've created the below allocation for my portfolio, which I hope to grow, contribute, and hold for the next 30-40 years, along with maxing out my IRA/401(k) Realize that it's pretty tech-weighted, but I'm also hoping to be more aggressive, as I have my Roth accounts working for me separately... Would really love any advice or changes that you guys would recommend, as this is all pretty new to me. Thanks so much in advance VXUS 25% QQQM 15% VXF 15% VHT 10% XLE 5% META 5% NVDA 5% AMZN 5% GOOGL 5% TSM 5% LLY 5%

Xtal_D

I bought XLE at 63 so it's stuck in the 50s. That's what I get for thinking I probably shouldn't only swing trade USO.

baconography

Shouldn't XLE be at like 70 right now??

Seastep

There are ETFs like XLE and XLU.

Alternative_Rule6208

No DVN, OXY or XLE?

TheDealBench

Good point on the XLE does give you a bit more reach to other companies and less on the price

David_Ign

First time trying to time the market, a couple weeks ago the day the ceasefire was announced I bought XLE betting it would collapse. It collapsed and the market only went down. Went out with a 5% loss, this is not for me. Stocked up on some Avantis global equity instead that I'm not planning to sell any time soon.

zxc123zxc123

A little over $150 in commissions. Real cost is the opportunity cost of selling cash covered puts when holding cash, notes, or defensives like XLU/XLE could have otherwise been deployed to invest in the stock market or something else.

Mother-Grapefruit-45

Quick Monday-open thesis since the mods asked us to consolidate here instead of standalone posts. Friday priced a ceasefire that didn't survive 24 hours. Iran announced "completely open" Friday afternoon, re-closed Saturday after Trump said the blockade stays in full force. IRGC fired on an Indian VLCC carrying 2M barrels of Iraqi crude. Second Indian-flagged ship forced into a u-turn. India summoned Iran's ambassador. First neutral-major-country diplomatic protest of the war. Sunday added two more: Iran's IRNA denied agreeing to the Round 2 talks Trump announced for Monday evening. And Trump's escalation language went from "bomb Iran" generic to "knock out every single Power Plant, and every single Bridge, in Iran" on Truth Social. That's infrastructure-strike target-specific language, which is how you talk after picking the list. Three things not in Friday's price: BIMCO (world's largest shipping association) advised Friday to avoid the Strait of Hormuz due to MINE threat specifically. Not IRGC fire, not blockade, mines. First industry-body warning of passive denial infrastructure. Tanker war 1987-88 precedent had mine-clearing taking months. WSJ reported US preparing to shift from turn-back to board-and-seize Iran-linked tankers in international waters. Currently 23 turn-backs, 0 boardings. First boarding of a Chinese-owned shadow-fleet vessel (Rich Starry precedent) is a direct US-China maritime incident. IG weekend Wall Street futures showed SPX only 0.8 percent down from Friday close, so equity paper likely didn't reprice the weekend fully. Oil operators with physical exposure pricing longer-term risk, which is why XLE lagged Friday's 10 percent WTI drop. Monday base case is probably gap down then grind higher per the dealer-gamma hedge cycle that's held through every Iran headline for a month. Tail risk is the board-and-seize escalation mid-week. Ceasefire expires Wednesday. Gold had a $4,878 intraweek high with safe-haven bid intact. Been tracking the longer arc (2019-2020 parallel + CBDC infrastructure rails + leading indicator scorecard) in the deeper write-up, link's in my bio if you want the beat-by-beat.

drew-gen-x

The dip to buy was 3-4 weeks ago, not tomorrow. The pain trade has actually turned from being short to being long in this market. That means the pain trade would be for the indices to move lower this week. I don't like shorting stocks or indices; so I am not buying much of anything here. I BTD in $XLE Friday, and bought AT&T earlier last week; but I'm staying away & not planning on buying anything this week. People that DCA are fine continuing doing their thing, but if you are planning on dropping a lump sum into the market I would wait.

Mother-Grapefruit-45

Yeah that framing is about right. The clearest signal is XLE barely moving off Friday's 10 percent WTI drop. Energy operators with actual physical exposure aren't buying the peace trade paper traders priced on Friday. Same thing in the fertilizer chain, ammonium nitrate is up 18 percent since the war started and urea is up 22, and that's 2027 food input cost that nobody in equities is pricing either. On the automated-trading angle you're hinting at, there's something to it. Gamma positioning on SPX has been dealer-short into every Iran headline, which means any down move gets systematically bought as dealers hedge. That's why the tape keeps grinding higher even when the underlying story gets worse. Eventually the dealer book rolls and that structural bid fades, but while it's there it's the reason equities look detached. Been mapping the whole energy-to-equity-to-macro disconnect in the longer write-up, it's in my bio if you want the walk-through.

Mother-Grapefruit-45

XLE lag is real, been noting it since Feb myself. Operators are pricing multi-year Iran risk not weekly headlines, so the ETF doesn't move with the front month. Your Feb 27 reference is the sharp catch. Says paper markets normalized around oil without equity operators buying the story, which is usually what happens right before the story wins. The longer arc I've been tracking is the 2019-2020 parallel. Aramco drone attack in Sept 2019 led to repo stress in Oct, then COVID as political cover in Feb 2020, then the CBDC research acceleration. Same sequence running tighter now. What's different in 2026 is the infrastructure already positioned (Project Agorá, Digital Ruble mass launch September, 139 CBDC countries). Been writing up the full beat-by-beat, longer version is in my bio if you want the deeper cut.

IAmDisturbanceFeedMe

XLE is at basically same price it was before war started (Feb 27 close price is slightly higher than current price). While Brent crude and oil futures are still quite elevated. If anything I think big energy stocks are priced in for lower risk of continuing war/hormuz closure and high chance of ceasefire. If that changes I expect energy to run back up. If ceasefire does extend or especially if a peace deal is reached and strait actually opens (for real lol) I do think they’ll drop down some more. But I think they’re already down on optimism and they have a good chunk to rise again if that optimism ends.

hiphopanonomos

Of course I finally gave up on my USO and XLE Friday I can't stand the manipulation back and forth

PinealTone

Going back to energy XLE again?

Ok-Piano8789

XLE was a great buy on friday but its still a good buy on monday

PapaCharlie9

You bought a little too soon, but buying was the right call. Buying the dip on oil companies will pay handsomely. We haven't seen the end of the supply crunch. XLE is already up 2% today. BTW, you could trade XLE options instead of XOM for more diversification. Unless you really want the idiosyncratic risk of one company. XLE is 1/3 the price of XOM shares, so the calls are cheaper but should move the same way.

Ahamadrayasbaboon

A better question is, do you think you’re the only market participant that has stumbled upon news that there is a war? Did you look at XLE, APA, XLP, and RSPS charts?

CurryNarwhal

Have a XLE 55 Put May. Thinking I Should've just sold when the dip reached the max at 53.

David_Ign

I bought XLE at 58.20 during the dip thinking the ceasefire would collapse and it would go up. The ceasefire collapsed but it never went up lol. What should I do with it now? Do I take the loss or do I keep holding

an-seq

What do you mean? I was expecting energy to go up (it might, it seems to be rebounding losses, just slowly). I just didn't know XLE is cyclic and I misgauged the Iran war premium. XLE isn't just oil, but obviously it's going to be pretty correlated with oil.

an-seq

My mistake with XLE is that it's cyclic, and I bought it with some war-premium attached. Maybe it will go back to $60 over the summer. Who knows.

drew-gen-x

I knew BTD in $XLE was the right move this morning. Crude Oil is like gold. You buy after the last bull has thrown in the towel and reddit stops talking about them and is dancing around like bulls on parade : )

drew-gen-x

I just bought $XLE today instead of buying energy names I've bought in the past like $HAL or $OXY. Energy ETF's are easier to trade & buy and hold than the individual stock names. I will say if you look at the 5 year chart for $DVN you could make a very good case that this is a support level to BTD.

an-seq

Those are XLE calls. Energy is the only thing fucked by strait reopening, apparently. I'm currently leveraged on XLE, and I am very sad.

drew-gen-x

Well. The Iran war is now over. It's time for me to BTD and open a position in $XLE .These oil rig tankers can now get through that strait to sell all their crude oil.

an-seq

My XLE bull spread begs to differ :(

Seastep

Why is XLE running in the opposite direction?

Poptart_Salad

Bro I was so freaking close to getting short XLE yesterday. Oh well, at least GDX is finally moving up.

lobsterspider

XLE is killing me

David_Ign

Wtf happened to XLE I didn't pay attention for one day

AdamGSMA

Sold bought XLE 2 days before the war and sold about a week ago. Worked out good.

theWesternReserve

XLE calls are hurtin

the_mind_goblin1

lmao all it took was for me to buy some XLE calls for the strait to open, nice

wellfinechoice

Hm trying to take this all in. So XLE isn’t the best option here short or long term? Exxon would be better at the moment?

Poptart_Salad

Moves for tomorrow are: 1. Cry that I didn't get long Semis or Tech for this run. 2. Wait for GDX to go up and hope to eventually make money, chart still looks ok-ish. 3. Consider getting short XLE if it goes up a bit more, chart looks weak to me

Pin-Last

XLE is a falling knife rn

Crystal-Powell

I think the thesis makes sense on the surface, but I’d be careful with how much of it is already priced in. Oil names (XOM, CVX, etc.) tend to move more on global demand expectations than short-term geopolitical headlines. If the Hormuz situation escalates, you could see a spike in crude, but historically those spikes fade pretty quickly unless there’s actual supply disruption. Bull case: Higher crude prices → improved margins for upstream producers Potential re-rating if energy sentiment shifts again Bear case: Demand slowdown (especially if macro weakens) Oil spikes get sold into once the initial panic fades Energy already had a strong run, so upside may be more limited vs expectations Personally I wouldn’t go “all in” here scaling in or just taking partial exposure through something like XLE makes more sense to me.

the_mind_goblin1

oil creeping up, might dip my toes in some XLE calls

Beaoorrrrr

Omg my XLE just put a freaking dent in my Roth.

volckerwasright

XLE

TexasHazeMaster

If oil is going to be higher for longer then XLE.

David_Ign

Bought XLE at 58.20 betting the ceasefire would collapse after it dropped. The ceasefire collapsed and XLE only went down. Do you guys think it'll bounce back for me to break even or make a bit of profit or should I just cut the losses

Bromoblue

Someone who actually knows how this shit works mind explaining why USO is trending red but XLE & XOP is trending green?

cat_named_zola

Yeah, with these tech companies valuations skyrocketing, voo and mtum provides a very high tech tilt, more than I would like. Thanks for XLE. I think it's a good idea to get more exposure there.

dvdmovie1

Having a good year but I own a lot of gold-related (various gold etfs, miners, royalty), defense and energy while the growth side has been focused on what has been working (memory, optics/photonics.) Tons of people in VOO/SPY during an energy crisis and energy is 3.5% of the fund. Mag 7 is about 32% of the SPY and Mag 7 (as represented by the MAGS etf was down 15% at the low.) Meanwhile, with energy the XLE is +22% for the year. Last year, I thought it was a good idea to increase exposure to real assets and that has worked very, very well so far this year.

RuinEnvironmental394

I have been holding XLE since mid 2020 for the dividends. 

Low_Animator_9628

I had XLE at $14, sold at $60! DCA’d the dip, ran out of powder before the very bottom, but caught most of the decline. But yes, lack of cash flow sucks. Hate the feeling. I have a small windfall coming next week. Hopefully we get another crash

CapeMOGuy

VDE and XLE are both still up more than 40% over the last 12 months.

Blueberryburntpie

My 70% holding of US and international index funds. On an upward tear. My 30% holding of the energy ETFs that are VDE and XLE? Tumbling off of a cliff.

West_West_313

I’m up 9.5% YTD. QQQM, SOXQ, URNM, XLE and two small satellites in COPX and SHLD.

t3ch1t

Ok but we don’t consume gold. We literally burn oil. It’s a fundamentally different commodity than gold because it’s consumed permanently. The spot price of oil will be elevated (above $100) for at least the next 6 months. I think it will take a year to get below $80 again. And I’m holding a position in XLE to put my money where my mouth is. Because they’re the ones who are going to profit off all this.

Pin-Last

Ok I give up. Swap it out for home builders, ITB tomorrow. It has the exact opposite chart of XLE, also in a commodity closely associated with interest rates. 

MilesDelta

XLE is a hedge, later dated

lobsterspider

XLE taking a massive beating

Proper_Mammoth_9704

XLE puts!??

JonBigWicks

Wouldn’t you want to go long XLE & short SPY??

asatcat

Meanwhile XLE is down 1% for the month. What is this market doing?

Locke_____Lamora

It's kinda wild every time I suggest an option to buy for my brother he makes money on it immediately. The 4 I gave him in order were IREN, SLV, XLE, and now MU. He doesn't know what it's like to be red on an option lol. He doesn't even know what theta is and he's up like 30k since October.