DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
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Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
Comparison of various ways to account for currency devaluation
How does one build a conservative portfolio in this economic environment?
Emerging Investment Opportunities in Commodities
Thoughts on this attempted Dragon Portfolio?
Major charting problems with Fidelity.com and Schwab.com everyone needs to complain
I'm selling everything and I'll tell you why (hint: I may need the money soon)
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) - similar European ETF
Is there an ETF emulating the "All Weather Portfolio" (See post)?
Had an interesting test today for my “all-weather” portfolio
SLV/CPER/FCX. Deep dive on the April CPI data. Inflation is here to stay. Things we can do as investors.
This ETF outperformed SPY!(Investing in water)
Hello Again: I found a great way to gain exposure to agricultural commodities by using calls for an agriculture ETF $DBC. I have a strong conviction and the cost futures and other methods of investing in securities exposed to agriculture are much higher.
DBC coin boosting，anyone has interest on this？
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I'm going full in all commodities with DBC. Anyone else?
There are some etfs of stocks designed to perform well during high inflation, like INFL and FCPI. Focus on companies with pricing power that can weather inflation, or companies that own physical assets. Persistent inflation will trigger higher interest rates. You might look at companies that benefit from that. Lenders, banks, and bdcs. The financial sector has underperformed for a while now, might get some time in the sun with rate hikes. Some politicians have been buying bank stocks as well if you follow that. Commodity prices rise when the dollar declines, so many stocks related to them tend to outperform. Gold and silver are the obvious choices, but steel, aluminum, potash, copper, fertilizer, oil, etc will benefit. I'mnot going into detail on PMs or energy stocks as they should be covered elsewhere. If you've been burned or are hesitant to jump into precious metals and miners lately, the invesco commodities etf, DBC, holds futures in 14 different commodities and has done pretty well over the last year. Some other ways to play commodities that might not be on your radar: 1. Shipping freight, BWET tracks tanker futures or wet freight. It has performed spectacularly since the war. I am kicking myself for not getting into this 3 months ago. Up over 800% ytd, and no slowing as long as the strait is closed. The bottom might fall out when it reopens though, so dont forget your stop loss, or sell a call/buy a put (options market is weak AF though so caution there as well) 2. If you like gold and miners but gas prices and geopolitics have you worried about their margins, you might consider streaming companies like Wheaton, WPM, they provide financing to miners in exchange for guaranteed future output from them at rock bottom prices. They profit when commodities are high even if the miners are struggling to break even. They have been beaten up lately as gold prices have fallen, possible buying opportunity? Google "metal streamers", theres a few larger ones and several report earnings next week. For broader exposure, some PM etfs that include streamers are GBUG, GOAU, and METL. Hopefully I've given you somethings to think about! Do your research, I'm not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice, just answering a very good question. I have written WAY more than I intended so my apologies if you're still with me this far. Happy hunting! TL;DR Inflation resistant etfs: INFL, FCPI Discount retail, home goods, auto parts Financials, BDCs, some REITS for higher interest rates Commodities etfs: DBC, BWET, Precious metal streamers, WPM, FNV, RGLD, TFPM, OR PMS ETFS: GBUG, METL, GOAU
SPY has outperformed DBC in the past 10 years
I love a good DBC, I’ll be buying up more puts tomorrow. You regarded bulls don’t realize that Iran is about to completely fuck the world on oil if we just pull out now lmfao. Please buy it up bulls
Stagflation is ugly. 50% market correction gets us to the low teens. Bond proxies like REITS might be a safer place than cash. At least stuff like O is paying over 5%. What about 2 yr Bank CD's paying 4%?? What about DBC? Other places to hide?
Yo estaba igual que tu. Ahora agregué WMT, LLY, PBR, DBC y CAT. Tampoco es que estén subiendo (excepto PBR), pero me siento algo más diversificado. Igual sigo teniendo MU, NVDA, GOOG, en algún momento van a rebotar
No way we get a DBC one day before liberation day anniversary and I make boku bucks
$DBC is a commodity tracking instrument. nice chart so far in 2026, very similar to 2022
also PDBC: Commodities (DBC index) plus covered call overwriting
$DBC for a broad basket of commodities exposure, plus a 4.85% yield, though I'm unsure if that's from futures contracts
XLP is great for this. add in DBC for commodities
Some of it. Our (I manage me and my husband's) target allocations across all accounts (combined) are: 40% Large Cap (VOO) 15% Small/Mid Cap (VXF) 15% International (split evenly between VEA & VWO) 5% Alt Assets (GLD, DBC, VNQ) 5% Speculative Stock Picks (across my risky passion picks) And I keep a folder in ChatGPT where it remembers that, and every three months I share my current positions/values for each account (2 401(k), 2 IRAs, 1 Shared Brokerage) - and if rebalancing is needed it queues up what buy/sell orders I should make in each of my accounts. Saves me a lot of spreadsheet time.
Inflation is not priced in and thats why, despite the dollar being down 4%, DBC is -0.5%.
I like the concepts in the book Money Master the game: 7 simple steps to financial freedom. Here is the short of it and since you’re young it’s good to hear it early. Smart that you’re thinking on this early as well. Key Features: Balanced risk across inflationary, deflationary, and growth cycles. Low volatility: Backtested to lose less than 4% in worst historical years. Not heavily stock-dependent, which provides psychological stability. Tony Robbins’ “All Seasons” Portfolio Designed to weather any economic climate: U.S. Long-Term Bonds (20–25 yr) 40% U.S. Stocks (S&P 500) 30% Intermediate-Term Bonds (7–10 yr) 15% Gold 7.5% Commodities (broad basket) 7.5% Suggested ETFs (for implementation): • Stocks: VOO or SPY (S&P 500) • Long-Term Bonds: TLT • Intermediate Bonds: IEF • Gold: GLD or IAU • Commodities: DBC or PDBC
for your long term ports, take a look at ticker DBC, commodities basket w/ a bond like yield. generally considered a core holding in "all weather" portfolios.
Some commodities futures ETFs (DBC is an example) are structured as partnerships. This winds up generating a K-1 form every year (and sometimes these may not be available until March) even if you own the ETF for a day. Not all but a fair amount of commodity ETFs that are not structured as partnerships now advertise on their websites, "no K-1!"
Another vote for #2 but I'll actually say 50% VTI 20% VEA. I'd consider SHLD over ITA - SHLD is global and a bit more of a growth tilt vs the US-focused ITA. Be careful with commodity ETFs. DBC is structured as a partnership, which you don't want.
I have some. But I just parked about 50% in currency hedges like GLDM, FXF, DBC, and VXUS. Along with value play/ultra stable BRK.b.
I sure as hell don't. GLDM, FXF, VXus, DBC, and brk is my base. With ~50% in cash. I'm debating moving USD to EU or Pound cash. There's no scenario where the USD gains in this current environment. Bonds aren't a great play either. TIPS are out given the shenanigans.
There aren't any -- liquidity is either bad or terrible. Most don't even have options. If you can accept bad liquidity, I've traded shares of PDBC, which is a basket of commodities, but it only has quarterly options. The lack of K-1's was more important to me than options liquidity, since I was trading shares anyway. DBC is another basket fund, but has significantly less AUM than PDBC. If you want single commodity funds, GLD and SLV are tops for options liquidity. USO is an oil futures ETN, but it's gone through so many reverse splits I would avoid. Here's a list of all: https://etfdb.com/etfs/asset-class/commodity/
If you're concerned about your portfolio as a whole, even things out by buying TLT, IEF, GLD, DBC. Basically, look into the all weather portfolio. Probably not the best time to be in individual names - if the market crashes, sell some TLT and slowly buy into individual names again
My ChatGPT-picked portfolio is actually holding up pretty well today lol. 40% across BIL, DBC, GLD, and VDE is all green, only my core stock index fund is down
BCI or DBC for commodities. You can buy XLE or the like for energy. GLD for gold. You can add mining company ETFs like GDX for gold miners, or PICK for non gold miners. That said, if you are young, just stick with growth for better total returns over the long term.
Thanks. I'll check out DBC. Wonder if it'll do better than money markets over the next 4 years..
There are ETFs like DBC. Add GLD for more gold exposure as well. Although I would not be worried about this unless you are near retirement and concerned with sequence of return risk.
Update: added ~100 calls yesterday. Alexa won’t stop playing this song: https://soundcloud.com/javier-persabal/onemillion?ref=clipboard&p=i&c=0&si=A6C6E585303C418D8F7DBC1A785D6D50&utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing All is well regards
For the 37 people who downvoted me, don't forget to increase your general knowledge by visiting UNG CANE SOYB DBC Cotton... LOL
UNG etf ? DCA into... at this leve... already up +30% or +40% DBC Etf has some Nat Gas, right ? Stocks? LNG EQT KMI => Beware, they are already at a very high level! Take a look at this scanner? [https://www.tradingview.com/markets/stocks-usa/sectorandindustry-sector/energy-minerals/](https://www.tradingview.com/markets/stocks-usa/sectorandindustry-sector/energy-minerals/)
Not exactly. 1. Any ETF is subject to tracking error (usually just a small % that it deviates from the underlying index); combining multiple ETFs would have an additive effect. 2. Different sector ETFs will have different MERs (management expense ratios), which will decrease your overall returns. The MER for VOO (Vanguard’s SP 500 ETF) is minuscule (0.03%). For VFH (Vanguard’s financial sector ETF), it’s over triple that (0.10%). 3. Taxes and transaction fees may affect you more (depending on your brokerage). Also, depending on the structure of the ETF, you may have additional filing requirements (for example, Invesco’s DBC commodities index will require a K-1.
Here's my attempt to reassure or convince her... haha (A strategy based on dividends and avoiding buying the market top on SPY QQQ...) This is exactly what I've been doing for the past few weeks... 20% VWO: Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF. Yield 3.37% 30% VEA: Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF. Yield 3.27%. 30% SCHD: Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF. Yield 3.41% 20% AGG: iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF. Yield 3.41% More suggestions ? VNQ JEPI JEPQ DBC ...
commodities are high? [https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=DBC&insttype=Fund](https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=DBC&insttype=Fund)
Since this is CPI week, I thought it would be interesting to look at a commodity ETF. I use $DBC, which tracks a basket of Sweet Crude Oil, Heating Oil, RBOB Gasoline, Natural Gas, Brent Crude, Gold, Silver, Aluminum, Zinc, Copper, Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Sugar futures. An interesting note is $DBC is up 7.49% YTD. So my question is, if commodity prices have put in a short term bottom and are on the rebound, what is the consensus that the CPI number may have also bottomed and is about to also move higher?
I really don't know, but I will take a stab anyway. Institutional investors are awaiting Friday's inflation report, and some are coming around to the idea that inflation is sticky, especially considering geopolitical risks and higher commodity prices. DBC is up almost 4% over the last 5 days and WTI crude oil is trending up. I listen to a guy named Jeremy Siegel, some call him the Wizard of Wharton. He happens to believe that interest rates drive the financial markets, as this is always the first thing out of his mouth when discussing the stock market. As a 30 year plus investor, I have noticed this also. If investors all of the sudden expect 2 rate cuts in 2024 instead of 3 rate cuts, there is going to be a price adjustment to equities. I also believe that there is some quarterly rebalancing happening, especially considering that the S&P was up 10% last quarter.
PPI today. When do you all think it's time to buy up INTC? I view it as an inevitability and I don't see how it's been priced in at all yet. Also made a move on DBC because commodities are moving up and CTA's have done very well this year.
Lithium... LAC SQM ALB LIT etf... Agriculture... SOYB WEAT DBA DBC etc. CORN
I'm already long DBC. There are inverse HS patterns on both charts, finviz has kindly drawn the necklines for everyone
[Gains](https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&ccid=NFLWc9VT&id=920992A48D3BE2B09BFB29BFDD3FEE2F14DBC1A0&thid=OIP.NFLWc9VTKRS9nTmXQdNPswHaJB&mediaurl=https%3a%2f%2fsupersafeway.com%2fwp-content%2fuploads%2f2020%2f02%2fgain_liquid_Detergent.png&cdnurl=https%3a%2f%2fth.bing.com%2fth%2fid%2fR.3452d673d5532914bd9d399741d34fb3%3frik%3doMHbFC%252fuP92%252fKQ%26pid%3dImgRaw%26r%3d0&exph=730&expw=599&q=gain&simid=608008013527585601&FORM=IRPRST&ck=1541CD37AA4358C20917808D3F16755C&selectedIndex=81&ajaxhist=0&ajaxserp=0)
I don’t know how to buy them directly but there are some ETFs like DBC or USO
Commodities (including gasoline): Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) United States Commodity Index Fund (USCI) iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) Food and Beverages: First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF (FTXG) PowerShares Dynamic Food & Beverage Portfolio (PBJ) Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) Ammunition and Defense: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (DFEN)
yes commodities pump after market dump. will buy back after crash but not now.... [dbc stock - Google Search](https://www.google.com/search?q=dbc+stock&oq=DBC+stock&aqs=edge.0.0i512j0i20i263i512j0i512l5j0i22i30j69i64.8087j1j1&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8) buying now is like in 2008. you want to buy after dump like 2009 or 2020 and sell 3Y after like 2011 or now (I sold most of it in 2021)
it goes down if the futures contract it's tracking goes down low enough BUT it hasn't and is not mathematically impossible for the price to go down low enough as you can see in recent weeks that there are buyers holding the price up That is a very general statement that commodities do not boom in a recession. There are different commodities in the commodities basket in say like DBC so OIL, Natural Gas, Sugar, Corn, etc. There are commodities that perform well based on the cyclical or secular pattern. The decay is there but if the etf catches a trend, it will stay with that trend, and it can't trend lower since prices are already low
yep it s too young. similar issue moving from DBC to PDBC
If OP thinks the next decade will be like the last, with low or zero interest rates, then yes. If instead he thinks rates are going to stay higher and the stock market is going to trade sideways like it did from 1999-2012, then bonds will return similar to dividend stocks with less risk. If they think we’re in 1968, with inflation and interest rates both staying high, then I’d recommend some commodity exposure like DBC in addition to the real estate like O and a bond fund like BND.
DBC is a broad basket commodity fund, not managed futures/ commodity trend following. I'm aware UUP is long dollar. I'm asking why it's in your [sic] attempted dragon portfolio.
DBC is a commodity trend index UUP is long dollar No bonds because I think they are garbage at this point
Why call this an attempted dragon portfolio? You have no fixed income (cash collateral in DBC and UUP does not count). No commodity trend. No long vol. Just commodities and equities, two out of the five called for allocations. And USD for some reason? Did I miss where you explained what UUP is doing in here?
Yup. Moved from target date fund into stable fund when the Fed guys at the top sold for ethics reasons. Tried to ride DBC a bit from March to June, but got out at break even becaused I stayed in too long. Went back to FISXX For awhile. Now I'm holding a stock I like + protective puts since it seems to oscillate in a nice diminishing wedge and i've been able to roll them for gains a couple times so far.
Let's just go back to the old days,Where you could solve math problems with your CASIO DATA BANK DBC32-1A
It's not been a good year DBC is my best so far.
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DBC/ Facts don’t support your opinion
Say it AGAIN, for the DBC commodity index people in the BACK!!!
Demand destruction from a collapsing global economy. Also, panic. I bought VDE and DBC (ETFs) today and I haven’t bought anything in months.
This my totally uneducated opinion being completely unencumbered by facts or research: Gold is oft touted as inflation hedge but I see it as USD hedge. During recent inflation surge the USD has strengthened mightily and gold has not performed. If the dollar weakens while inflation surges, gold will go up in dollar terms. I think every long term portfolio should should own small sleeve of commodities including metals like DBC etf.
Great movie. Prob his best since DBC.
You want me to post all my position? SPY, AMD, MOS, URNM, DBC, KRBN, RECAF, UWMC. Should I go on? Will that help you somehow?
Yeah same. I closed my CVX CCs and shares Friday but it will probably run a bit longer. Still long DBC shares.
I don’t put anything like TQQQ or SQQQ in my 401k. My 401k is “all asset all authority”, which means a mix of stocks, bonds, REITs, and commodities. (All Asset No Authority is if you bought them all equal weighted). I use FXAIX and VSGAX for stocks, FXNAX and VTIP for bonds, VGSLX for real estate, and DBC and GLD for commodities.
[Bears when stinks don't go directly to zero.](https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/DBC1/production/_124875265_st_trc_11_still_highres.jpg)
CPI is a blatant scam. The DBC commodity index is DOWN by over 15 percent. We are experiencing DEFLATION. That is why prices on risk assets will likely rise over the next 2 weeks. CPI is not real!
DBC is going down so yes, this is the last bad print, maybe for the year
Commodities are also a well known inflation hedge (until demand destruction) and you could have easily doubled or more your money should you have seen inflation coming and not latched onto the it’s-all-supply narrative. DBC general, GSG energy but diversified, copper things, steel things, shipping finally had its day, lithium, fertilizer, OIL. People need basic inputs to make shit.
Are there any commodity funds that actually have liquid options? The only one that has vaguely tradable options is USO and the pricing there can be so fucky at times. DBC is the most liquid overall etf but bid-asks are too wide to be actively traded
Feels so good to flip short on something and not be white knuckling bullshit into deep red Get fucked commodities DBC puts lets fucking gooooooo
No K-1 like absurd_logic589 said, low expenses (however, note that commodity ETFs tend to have .25% additional tracking loss over their expenses while ETNs don't: https://insight.factset.com/shopping-across-etf-legal-structures), more diversified (GSCI and DBC are more energy heavy compared to Bloomberg). After that you could consider roll strategy.
This thread is the first time in learning about a lot of these asset classes What makes DBMF superior to something like DBC? DBC has much higher returns? It looks like DBMF is actively managed and DBC tracks an index. Is that right?
[Pretty textbook breakout/retest moment going on on DBC.](https://i.imgur.com/q5NlEFT.jpg) Lines up well with sentiment blowoff following fomc with the slight hawkish tilt but long term should continue the overall trend higher at least until there is some kind of hard evidence of inflation abating. Nice entry if you were so inclined
You really need to simplify things, you have no clear strategy. It's going to result in you changing things all the time, and probably losing more money. So when tech has dropped a bit you are going to sell and rotate into commodities? If you believed in tech before, why are you selling now? Selling low and buying high is the number one thing to avoid. Yes, that amount of cryptocurrencies is not to be recommended, they have no real intrinsic value in my opinion. >I am hoping this may be good example and help others build a good portfolio, as I have tried to put a lot of thought into the below strategy It's not a good example at all. What thought have you put into it? What's the reasoning for holding these assets in these proportions and all those exotic ETFs? To answer your questions: * For a horizon of 10-20 years you want something you aren't going to waste time and money changing all the time. Something you can buy and hold. You realise significant macroeconomic changes can happen rapidly and often. A much simpler solution would be a diversified stocks ETF such as Vanguard World Stocks (VT) (which includes EM), some bonds e.g. BND, and some commodities such as DBC or just gold. E.g for a horizon of 10-20 years something like 70% VT, 20% BND, 5% DBC, 5% GLD would be decent and simple in my opinion. What's the need for the exit strategy, buy and hold for 10-20 years, or make gradual regular contributions (DCA). Towards the end of your horizon you can begin withdrawing from the sum or add more bonds etc. to reduce volatility. * Commodities follows gas, unsure what that means? Gas is a commodity, so is sugar, wheat, steel etc. They aren't always correlated with each other. Something that follows the price of commodities is a commodities ETF, for example take a look at Invesco DB commodities ETF (DBC). Be aware that ETF does not only track gas prices, it tracks the price of a "basket" of commodities, including oil, gas wheat, metals etc. Hope that helps you. ​ ^(This is for educational purposes only, it is not investment advice.)
Not a stupid question at all! They could mean either stocks of companies that produce/mine commodities or something providing more direct exposure to commodity prices, such as a commodities ETF (for example Invesco DB commodities ETF, DBC).
I fucking HATE wide bid/ask. Idk why I even trade spreads at this point. They exist only to fuck me in the ass when I need to get out. Literally have more than doubled my loss on USO and DBC simply because I cannot fucking get a fill
I fucking HATE wide bid/ask. Idk why I even trade spreads at this point. They exist only to fuck me in the ass when I need to get out. Literally have more than doubled my loss on USO and DBC simply because I cannot fucking get a fill
I fucking HATE wide bid/ask. Idk why I even trade spreads at this point. They exist only to fuck me in the ass when I need to get out. Literally have more than doubled my loss on USO and DBC simply because I cannot fucking get a fill
I fucking HATE wide bid/ask. Idk why I even trade spreads at this point. They exist only to fuck me in the ass when I need to get out. Literally have more than doubled my loss on USO and DBC simply because I cannot fucking get a fill
DBC assholes. DBC fuck them.
How stupid am I? DBC long stupid.
For commodities, BCI and DBC are common. For stocks, you can include some US, I just wouldn’t go 100%. Perhaps equal amounts in VOO and VXUS. Personally, based on market valuations, I would put more in international than US, but whatever makes you feel the most comfortable.
That's been ok the last year but does anyone think oil can continue to rise or other commods without seriously impacting demand? Which obviously cause the DBC to retreat?
Did you just start investing six months ago? Where did you get the idea that commodities and broader markets have an inverse relationship? Here's the five year chart for DBC vs. SPY: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=AMEX%3ADBC
My portfolio is now officially in a bear market. -22% I have like 50% of it in GLD, SLV, XLE, XLF, SPHD, CPER, DBC, VEGI, REMX and SAND. Sure, I've made some retarded options plays, but I'm up on 15% on my Options Book. Even worse, Last night some one rivered my pair of aces with a 2-3, 2 pair. The gods have decided to fuck me. Go on have your way.
Stay away from Tech until Fed pivots and start QE again (2023-2024) Buy Gold, Black Gold (Oil) and DBC
Its over guys. Nasdick is heading to 9000 pre pandemic highs. Buy gold, black gold (oil) and DBC. Peter Schiff was right all along
Selling puts today on commodities, and bond funds. (DBC, WEAT, CORN, TLT, HYG).
As long as the price of a DBC at Wendy's doesn't go up then the CPI numbers don't mean shit.
My $DBC keep climbing. See you later. Good luck all. Always update stop loss (trailing).
To the ape that deleted his comment about wanting put holders to respond if gme runs back up to even: Not all traders hOdL. Also, nice job typing up the comment at the top of the DBC then deleting it right after ut plummeted back down. 
I think DBC would be a very good choice. You are investing in commodities themselves instead of the companies that have inflationary pressures. I've looked at it as well but bought $WEAT and $PSLV instead, In hindsight I should have invested in the whole basket. Good Luck
I got DBA awhile ago. Just go into DBC. FFS, I wish I'd gotten into XLE rather than trying to figure out where to short it.. Nice job.
Some of you don't have DBA/DBC in your portfolio, and your optimism is showing.
What do you think about commodity ETF’s like DBC?
Suggest US manufacturers in fertilizer, agricultural and best commodity etfs. Some may be in futures like corn, soy bean, mixed. To find them often I just search using keywords. 2022 best inflation hedged xxx commodity etf. Through process of elimination [I found DBC etc.](https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/etfs/603452/commodity-etfs-to-ease-inflation-worries)
Yep they tried to release that strategic reserve of oil which is now depleted. Oil is up, commodities are up, stocks are up, and my anxiety is up. Also I count on the PPI on June 14 which producer price index which is less cooked than CPI released on June 10. That said you can just see why is oil and commodities (DBC) still rising? Peak inflation narrative in full move. You can probably safely be long until June 9th. I am long not fully but I closed some calls. But watch PPI on June 14… that is the truth number. Of course watch crude oil and DBC ETF
You know what's really getting played out? People complaining about a lack of content instead of providing content. Solve the problem. Don't add to it. This is your sub too. Your content defines it. Stocks: TLT soon. When yield curve peaks, rolls over and flattens, yields go down, not up. People hVe this wrong. So treasuries are heavily shorted. They are also traded heavily via algos. So chance lf a parabolic short squeeze or just make money because treasuries do well during a crash and a recession. People have forgotten about bonds as an asset class. They're about to remember. The assumption is inflation makes them useless. Inflation is about to whipsaw into a MASSIVE recession. They'll be very useful then. Shorts/puts on anything pretty much. This is the direct inverse of 2021 where you could buy anything and not lose. You just have to sell it now. Yet to actually fall are housing sector stocks. People are still delusional about how that market is about to get bent over. Similar delusions are at play in the consumer discretionary sector, in particular travel. Short your brains out. Short employment related stocks like ZIP. ADP. Jobs are about to get destroyed in the coming quarters. Puts on UUP or long positions on UDN. Or forex ETFs in any stable currency (FXF for example). Or forex trades from USD to stable currency. These all the based on the same play. Just different ways to do it. The USD is at 20 year highs and drops during a recession. So use it to buy currency now and sell it back aftet it tanks. Not a short term trade. Currency doesn't move up and doen quickly usually. Long term puts on XLE XLU USO and DBC. If you want to get aggressive, short anything with earnings that could go to shit this week. If the earnings pop, double your position and wait 3 days or so. People profit take and sell off. If earnings suck, people will overreact and there will be a mass sell off. See pretty much any stock this year for examples. Just make sure you're not shorting something that could see a squeeze. If you're a trader going long on anything right now, you're going to have a bad year. Don't swim against a rip tide. If we get a bear rally and yiu want to swing trade? Sure. Just bring your helmet and pick stocks that have been destroyed the most/are fad/meme stocks are small cap growth/tech stocks. Good talk.