MA

IndependentAd3410

It's also trapped below it's 200-day moving average and every shorter term MA is pointed down 

ExplanationNormal339

$5k on one trade is a living expense paycheck, but [$SPY](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/spy?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=smallstreetbets&utm_term=SPY&utm_content=variant_1774332452270_jj015) breaking the 200-day MA usually signals rotation out, not in.

Full_Muffin7930

Yes - that is exactly what happened. The market hit the 200 MA and simply decided to rip off it. Well put.

ismebbb

Rejecting off the 200 MA is as bearish a technical as it can get

Stocks_N_Bondage

# WhAt'S wRoNg WiTh ThIs PiCtUrE? https://preview.redd.it/mq4q3kg4vuqg1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=044622e7676b955467b266e8e883fbec65febf86 So the amusing part is how the "H&S" that everyone was talking about in October is really just the left shoulder to January 28th's head. ... yet it has the same down-sloping neckline. Also price is fucked under the 200 day MA for days now..... typically, a topping pattern like this and a break under the 200 is followed by a 10%, 20% to 50% drop. Weeeeee!

M18PowerKing

> spy 200MA it's green? I think this is just a little down turn, we'll be back at 700 before summer

mrmagootoyou2

That spy 200MA... Yikes Strap in folks, and please keep your hands, arms, feet, and legs inside the vehicle at all times

CulturalConclusion76

SPY couldn't close above the 200MA hehe I'm in danger

reidaepus_rex

The rally today should have been expected. SPY was trading well below it's 200 day MA and had gapped down. The RSI was screaming oversold. Any rumours are enough to set the market makers Algos off to try and hedge against their Gamma exposure. Essentially forced buying. That's what today has been. Last i checked SPY was back below the 200 day MA. I'm guessing SPY trades sideways until Thursday when no deal is announced the flush out will continue. #SPYto600 

reidaepus_rex

The rally today should have been expected.  SPY was trading well below it's 200 day MA and had gapped down.  The RSI was screaming oversold.  Any rumours are enough to set the market makers Algos off to try and hedge against their Gamma exposure.  Essentially forced buying.  That's what today has been.  Last i checked SPY was back below the 200 day MA.  I'm guessing SPY trades sideways until Thursday when no deal is announced the flush out will continue.  #SPYto600 

whatsgoingonhonestly

Spy really got fucking hard rejected when it touched the 200MA lol

Successful-Pass-568

$SPY going for up past 200MA

whatsgoingonhonestly

Do they? I'm watching it sell off right back below the 200MA rn lol

k21k21k21

I wonder how many stops were set just above the 200MA

ThermalChaser

I don't try to time the bottom. I sit in short dated treasuries until we regain and hold back above the 200 day MA. This cuts my max drawdown in half while only giving up a couple of points of gain over time according to the backtest I ran over the last 30 years.

peanuts-in-my-jelly

*I'm one of the baddest mothafuckas of all time. One of the best singers and one of the best lookin mothafuckaz you eva seen. HOL MA DRINK BICH*🫴

myinternets

I also moved about 50% to cash on Feb 25. Insane timing when I look at a daily chart of the S&P. Buying back in when I see a support level held or bounced off of for a decent amount of time. Skip the first bounce to ensure it's not a dead cat. Personally, when I see the 200MA reclaimed and held. If not that then a bounce off of 6000 S&P that holds. If we slice through 6000 like it ain't even there then it's anyone's guess after that.

RoleAlternative1553

Theres always some regions, sectors or commodities that are struggling, even in so called good times. Defining "struggling" is up to you but personally I dca into anything that is below the 100 day MA and stop when it goes above it.

Exact-Engineering-29

Man, the spy just broke the 200MA on Friday It’s going to be brutal.

Vulknar44

Its has a chance based off the charts too. Needs to first break the 200MA on the 5min and hold then we want to see it break the THE 100MA on the Daily and the next major resistance is currently around 20, catalyst could easily set this off

iamBuck1

We are below the 200 day moving average, nothing good happens below the 200 MA

errwc

https://preview.redd.it/e7c1sfailgqg1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2f33b82464953f1769e024158db99639b8eca819 It’s 30.03 at my local Wendy’s in MA

brute-forced

I was thinking around May 1st. Mostly due to two reasons… 1. The 200d MA average is about to intersect with 50dMA 2. 6months out from midterms Are you thinking there is another catalyst or identification for the bottom?

diarrheaticavenger

It pushed down past the weekly 50 MA, then found support it would seem. But sure, it’s a big ole conspiracy.

rosindrip

Bought some more MA

FLTtac1

Damn Im sorry for you. The 2:35pm pump yesterday cooked your position i’m guessing. Conviction can be a fragile thing. Dont get your head too messed up by everything in the markets. Just look at price action. Yesterday we still closed below the range we had been trading at for weeks, meant more downside was coming today which was confirmed with the breaking down of the 200 MA. Better luck (though i would quit if I were you, that’s what i do).

whatsgoingonhonestly

A fun reminder the last time we went below 200MA spy went from 600 to 490 before recovering

1M-to-Zero

Punching through $647 support from October. 200MA already gave up.

WocketWaccoon

LMAO at all the fintwit cucks who yesterday said “as I predicted, we bounced perfectly at SPY’s 200 MA”

whatsgoingonhonestly

We are comfortably beneath the 200MA now

SxeySteve

Just a little excursion below the 200MA

iamBuck1

nowhere near the bottom, this rodeo is just getting started and we are closing below the 200 MA nothing good happens below the 200MA

Bizonistic

Yeah i thought 660 is a strong support due to 200 MA line, it drilled right through yesterday

jlw993

https://preview.redd.it/8j0hs3kyt7qg1.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=0d0e216251244187a8c73be18484ad5df357a97f SPY now just below 200 MA

Ernest_EA

Everytime SPY falls below 200D MA = bear market gg

Ernest_EA

Goodbye 200D MA. You'll be missed

AluminiumCaffeine

RDDT, LPLA, and MA green at least lol

Ok_GAINZ

huge put wall at 6600 today. big put wall at 6500 going forward. Bottom side of JPM collar is at 6475 exp 3/31. weekly 50MA is at 6500 also. chop today. down next week. wont be surprised if magical news comes out when we get between 6500 and 6450ish to spurn a bounce. looking for a higher low around 6500 to nibble at a long entry towards mean reversion.

I_Sniff_Uranus

Not when SPY is below the 200 day MA

69spacecadet69420

Asked ai “The Recommended Play: Monday Expiry ($420 Cash) If you are betting the full $420, your best chance is a directional momentum play once the 200-day MA is confirmed as "broken." The Strike: $650 Put (Exp March 23/25) Why: There is a "liquidity hole" between $655 and $650. If the market accepts that $660 is the new resistance, the algorithms will target $650 next. Sentiment Score: Extreme Fear (VIX in the mid-20s). Fearful markets tend to "gap down" on Sunday nights more often than they gap up. The "Safe-ish" Execution Wait for the 10:30 AM Reversal: Let the morning "fake-out" move happen. The Rule: If SPY stays below $661, buy the Puts. If it clears $663, the "Dip Buyers" are in control—abort the puts and look for a scalp Call.” TLDR maybe puts maybe calls but based on the text I’m in your balls

Sweaty_Platypus69

SPY did close below the 200 DMA.. QQQ came close but did not close below its 200 MA..

TestingLifeThrow1z

It’s crazy to me that the Qs and SPY just started hitting below the 200 day MA and there’s extreme resistance. That’s something that’s new and usually isn’t the case, no sell-offs after a major resistance level broken. What’s buying it to save it? Also the institutional plays might start 3pm EST, just see what happened today.

housemouse431

the best news right at the 200d MA on SPY. chefs kiss rigging. lot of my long calls are alive again haha

Rav_3d

Perhaps. The market is definitely in a downtrend, and if we do get a bounce that stalls, like what happened Monday-Tuesday, then I agree it is a short opportunity. But today’s obvious breakdown of the 200-day MA on SPX, if reversed quickly, could mark a bottom, especially if the news becomes “less bad.”

Mean_Bumblebee1945

So you guys think we can bring Nasdaq back up even though it has closed below the 200MA?

EvolvingDior

SPY/SPX closed below the 200d MA. We have transitioned from "buy the dip" to "sell the rip" territory.

EvolvingDior

SPY closed below the 200d MA.

PinealTone

Damm.. so close closing below the 200 MA..oh well.. tomorrow it is then.. can't delay the inevitable l..

EvolvingDior

Tomorrow is OPEX and max pain is up. We're closing today below the SPY 200d MA. Tomorrow we flush.

SuspiciousStable9649

Allegedly the only ‘timing the market’ method that back tests 100% is selling at the 200 MA and buying back at the 200 MA. However, since that study came out there’s been a couple bounces off the 200 MA. So while this time looks serious, better to use the 210 or 220 MA to make sure you’re not caught by a trick to make you sell.

EvolvingDior

SPY is almost certainly going to close below it's 200d MA for the first time since we were liberated.

EvolvingDior

What's SPX's 200d MA? LMAO.

I_Sniff_Uranus

If we don’t close at or above the 200 day MA then we are doomed

Brain-Silent

s&P 200day MA broken📉📉

Fomo4life69

QQQ 585 - sell puts and switch to calls. SPY 650 - sell puts and switch to calls. Friday - 200 D MA retest, sell calls and switch to puts. You’re welcome

Mean_Bumblebee1945

NQ has crossed the 200MA for the first time since April 25. We are very officially in a bear market. Hope bulls get liquidated and bankrupted.

SanchoVilla91

Might as well kiss that 200 MA goodbye. We drilling to 650 by Friday.

GaameChanger69

Is Mango just issuing strikes every time /CL hits the 210 MA?

Critical_Concert_689

SPX is already teabagging its 200 MA. Only direction it can go is up. ...or we could drag the Dow to under 45k. A 10% drop in just under 2 months. We're gunning for a new record?!?

AdAny631

Near 24/7 Instant settlement on blockchain, fractional ownership of shares and less fees (potentially). Same thing is happening with stablecoin. Visa and Mastercard are already stocking up on USDC. SoFi is the first US bank utilizing it. Stripe and a few other competitors like Zero Hash who rejected Mastercard’s $2 billion acquisition offer will have a fee war with AXP, MA and V. I’m staying away from current fintech.

Eclectic_Beer_Tap

When the MA is this close, gravity takes over and you have to touch/test it. It's like a big PP dangling in front of your face, you can't help yourself... you have to touch it.

Critical_Concert_689

Should be a big jump tomorrow. The panic-sell-everything today over PPI will have correction tomorrow, leading into a relatively flat triple witch into the weekend - during which Trump will open his big fat mouth making everything unpredictable by next week. Things *should* spike up; SPX is humping their 200 MA right now, so if it drops, the whole tech market is crashing. Everyone kind of pessimistic and betting down, so Trump should open his mouth to lie a bit, to force a short term spike next week because he doesn't want DJI to fall to 45k while setting up for midterms. Of course... if it DOESN'T spike tomorrow and MSFT breaks below the 390 suppport, God help you. The whole stock will plummet 5% and there's no real support until 370.

Sweaty_Platypus69

Until the indexes close below its 200 MA, it not "officially" a bear market.. yet.

mgoman

I've lost 200k shorting mastercard in a bear market. Had success shorting accredited home lenders, feeling myself. BSC gone LEH gone. freddie, fannie in freefall, visa ipo'd and then halved. Somehow MA goes from 189 to over 300, triggering margin call narrowly, $12k under maintenance. And of course only then does it go from 320 to half along with the rest of the market.

Fantastic_Welcome_61

https://preview.redd.it/6ks3p1sysvpg1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9ecb546cce86cb95a72010b994a127e654e131a6 Below 200D MA in after hour trading

hacksong

He's a loyal supporter of MA-GUH 🇺🇸🇺🇸

Fantastic_Welcome_61

https://preview.redd.it/h2z9utz63vpg1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c2738849d4b77cd1425ccf61d6f0749b3744534c SPY closing in on 200D MA…

whatsgoingonhonestly

A nut hairs away from going below 200MA

Ok-Piano8789

possible battle at 6615 200 MA

whodey84

whatever the 200d MA is would be my bet.

Fluid_Masterpiece334

MA5 at 666.69 Nice

LHeureux

It just broke out of a nice long consolidation phase on big volume and reclaimed the 50 MA, could be a nice entry if the market picks up tomorrow with FED Rates Decision

borkdpasito

Literally every MA on life support Need relief from the oil price shortly or bear market imminent

Asleep_Emphasis69

MA is a top holding in the janus forty fund

mazthepa

$MA is the core of my portfolio. Unbeatable stock.

Intelligent-Shape888

not priced in at all. calm before the storm imho. this has already caused disruptions for many companies yet people are still buying the dip without even blinking. i am betting that S&P < 200d MA at the very least by weeks end perhaps this isn't on the same level as covid, but supply chain issues, delays and increased costs etc are back on the table again at least in the short to medium term and business confidence has taken a step backwards. for those praying the fed will "do something", give your heads a shake. they wont and can't do anything tomorrow or at the following meeting. i'm also concerned the big guy is going to ratchet up tariffs again on nations that aren't willing to do his grunt work just because... markets have no business being a stone's throw from all time highs.

Sweaty_Platypus69

If it closes below the 200 day MA, expect more selling and it stays below the 200 day MA for a while.

himynameis_

Depends how interested I am in investing in businesses. If not, then just stick it in the index, and move on. Otherwise, I'd put it split between Uber, meta, amazon, MSFT, MA. I'd desperately want Google too but the others have a much better valuation right now.

Apprehensive_Rub3897

> Permanent damage to oil infrastructure is what would cause a big sell-off, which we're near the 200-day MA and gamma is in negative territory (a combination of heavy support but also a sensitive breaking point). Maybe this has already happened? Bessent was not happy when he came back from the situation room. I doubt it was his concern of troop deployments and more his realization we should have deployed troops sooner, the infrastructure is toast, there is no un-fucking it and he's part of the cabinet that ruined an otherwise great economy for years. There is no stopping Trump.

thatGUY2220

I'm not sure what makes Iran capitulate on the Straits. The US knew this would happen and misjudged the situation assuming they didn't intentionally want this outcome. I see it dragging on for a bit The daily and weekly SPX MACD are screaming more near term downside. Already had major bearish divergence. MA crossovers happening on 20 and 50 daily MA. About to test 200 day. Of course we could get some bounces here and there. Trump and his admin love to manipulate markets. Still long term bull but near and intermediate idk.

ThreeSupreme

Umm... So, why would U be a long-term investor in companies that lose money, and don't pay dividends? A simple criterion for long term investments should be that the company is profitable, and consistently makes money, and the company pays dividends. Companies that aren't profitable and don't pay dividends should be avoided for long term investing. And U should also reinvest your dividends in order to put the "Magic of Compounding" to work for U. So, U are burning money just for fun? Sure, its good to have separate accounts for short term trading and long-term investing, but U shouldn't just be throwing your money away for fun. Old Warren Buffett had simple rules for investing, Rule 1 don't lose money, Rule 2 never forget Rule number 1. And for your short-term trades, U should always have a simple trading plan, before U enter the trade. Here is an example... # Pre‑Trade Checklist For Short‑Term Stock Trades Here is a simple, repeatable pre‑trade checklist for short‑term stock trades (long only) using Moving Averages, RSI, and MACD — follow the steps below before entering any trade. Keep position size small, set a clear stop loss, and only trade when at least two indicators agree. **Quick guide** * **Timeframe:** This checklist can be used on any timeframe from 5‑minutes, 60‑minutes, or daily charts for short‑term trades.  * **The Goal:** Buy stocks that are clearly moving up, and then sell them when they start to slow down. * **Indicators:** Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD.  * ***Rule of thumb:*** Enter only when 2 of 3 indicators confirm the same direction. **Pre‑Trade Checklist for Long Only Positions** **1. Trend check with Moving Averages** \- Confirm stock price is above the 20‑period EMA, and the 20 EMA is above the 50 EMA. If true, the trend is bullish. If the stock price is not above the 20‑period EMA, and if the 20 EMA is not above the 50 EMA do not go long or buy. **2. Momentum check with RSI** \- RSI rising above 40 and below 70 supports a healthy uptrend. The RSI is between 40 and 60 and going up. Avoid going long and buying a stock if the RSI is already above 70 (overbought). **3. Confirmation with MACD** \- MACD line crossing above the signal line, or MACD and MACD histogram are both rising, which confirms bullish momentum. **4. Entry, Stop, Target:** * **Entry:** Enter position on a stock price pullback to the 20 EMA, when MACD indicator is rising.  * **Stop loss:** Put a stop loss order in below recent swing low.  * **Target:** Look for 3 to 1 risk/reward opportunities. Example if stock XYZ is trading at $10, and its previous swing low was $9, you place your stop loss order at$ 8.99, and your upside price target price is $13. So, you are risking $1 dollar in order to make 3 dollars. **5. Volume check** \- Volume should be rising higher on the move to confirms entry. Declining or decreasing low volume is signal of weakness or indecision by investors. Stocks going up higher on low volume is a short-term bearish signal.  

Alternative-Gate-897

If MSFT can test is 200 MA in the 3 year weekly it is definitely looking like a promising position to enter

LightOverWater

Markets trade in after hours. Whenever you have a big event, you get huge volatility there. SPY was unchanged after close which was open for 4 more hours. A lot of the things you're talking about are priced in. The other thing is apparently the operation occurred during market hours, despite the announcement afterwards. Funds that run hundreds of billions AUM have access to immediate information that we don't. We've already known this week that the US is going to need military action (boots on the ground) to fix oil prices. This is their attempt. Is all of this priced in? Perhaps not. But we're not looking at a Monday Armageddon unless there's further escalation. So you could say more "fear" is not priced in. We don't know how Iran will retaliate. US is trying to protect oil infrastructure. Permanent damage to oil infrastructure is what would cause a big sell-off, which we're near the 200-day MA and gamma is in negative territory (a combination of heavy support but also a sensitive breaking point).

rangerrockit

What advice can you offer me? I just started trading options. Usually I look for lower priced premiums to arbitrage. I use multiple data points to help me determine where to buy a call/put. I look at liquidity, OI, options volume, MA, Greeks, etc. but I have troubles with understanding the optimal expiration date. What can I look at to help me be more deliberate with selecting the expiration date.

LightOverWater

Negative gamma means more aggressive moves, both ways. We're sitting near the 200-day MA. On the one hand, I definitely see selling pressure becoming tired. It doest not have enough to break that support. However, an unexpected event can ignite that flame. Let's say Oil breaks $120 over the weekend, it's gonna be a red Monday.

DisgrunltedDan

Apple breaking its 200 day MA . Whose next?!

Emergency_Ad_9324

200 Simple MA 200 day on SPY $515 Y no one tell me or Pam

The_Albertino

SPY has a date with the 200 MA

patricktu1258

Think we close bloody red if we break through 200MA

Available-Range-5341

100% the issue of NVDA being shoved into everything. Trying to reallocate my Voya account from cash and every fucking fund does nothing because they are all NVDA NVDA NVDA. There have been decent rolling corrections for years. Currently, HD is down 11% and hitting a point it usually bounces from. BX is down 35% from it's Jan high. BLK is now in a crash. AXP is in a crash and MA and V are down 13%

SuspiciousStable9649

I think that’s the 200MA. Can someone check me on that?

Mean_Bumblebee1945

I have the feeling we will re visit the QQQ monday low where we bounced off the 200MA. Also for tonight I have a bad feeling.

greenpride32

>The problem is that these stocks had experienced a huge bull market since 2018-2019. And so we are now in a corrective phase or a systemic change. You're not going to have any success with long term investing if this is your thought process. VOO or SP500 has 10% annual rate of return with dividends reinvested for 70 years. It is basically been on a bull market ride forever. What do companies such as MSFT MA V GOOGL do - they consistently increase top and bottom line year after year. Sure they can swing down due to macro issues, but this is a great time to buy more. What do growing companies do - they increase in valuation - this means they are always setting new all time highs. Would I buy today at $70 all time high if tomorrow is $80? Sure. The bulk of the companies you mentioned have no top line growth - you can only squeeze so much bottom line out of that. I have worked for Fortune 100 and Mag 7 - believe we spent alot more than any of those other companies on conferences, events, employee gifts and perks and RSU.

jlw993

Monday really was algos bouncing SPY exactly off the 10 monthly MA. Back down to retest or worse 😬

AluminiumCaffeine

Might have to do some finance shopping with paycheck LPLA, SPGI, and MA all seem good here to me

garyt1957

I subscribed to MF years ago, just their first service, I think it was called Stock Advisor? Anyway I owe them for having more money then I ever thought I would. They got me into Netflix at $34, Marvel which got bought by Disney, I still have Cintas, up 3700% in 16 years, MA, TXN, GOOG. Just lots of big winners. I also had losers too but the winners far outshone those. I didn't just blindly follow their picks I also did my own due diligence. So back then at least they were solid. During covid I subscribed again for $49 because I was bored. I didn't have much free cash but bought small $1000 lots of some of their recs. Didn't nearly do so well on those. One, SFVB went bankrupt, ADSK is down 20%, ZM is down 79%, and only CRWD is up, 92%.

Vulknar44

On the daily it does not stay below the MA20 for long..most days under that I see are around 5-9 days. So if it gets a bounce up as it had in the past you could be ok. Now all the technical oil price shit and all I’m almost clueless on that but I have become decent at price action

SuspiciousStable9649

Today’s fortune: SPY and QQQ are at 150 day MA.

IntergalacticBurn

Why not just buy a bunch of MA/V and hold? Or LEAPS calls on them for more profit?

norcaltobos

Could be a litany of cities? Carmel-by-the-Sea, CA? Carmel, IN? Weston, MA? I mean there’s a ton of crazy wealthy cities and towns in the US.