MA

Helpful_Engine1

VWAP and MA20 are almost touching on the Q's, its super coiled. About to pop one way or the other once those fat wall street fuckers are back from lunch

DoinIt4DaShorteez

SPY / S&P gets extra-overly concentrated every few years and when it does, pundits recommend RSP. they've been recommending RSP for two years now. i'm not sure what you actually want to do - time entry into RSP or just trying to figure out if the S&P is gonna be able to break out of the 5 month base it's been in, or what. the semis have gotten absolutely murdered, crushed their 200 MA, but the S&P never lost the 200 and is still in the range. i don't like the semis carnage, but looking at the whole, this mkt wants to go higher and break out. it had every excuse to break down and didn't.

Gronkylicious

NZ - New Zealand? Interesting! I though wealthy ppl buy there! I have no concept of RE there. In NYC, last year, all the transactions between 1-2m were mostly in cash or 40%+ down to make the monthies manageable. Ppl don't understand that the monthlies in my building for example are \~3k for a 2 bed apt, that's split between tax and HOA, and that's each month on top of your 6.5% mortagage for JUMBO loan, so if you don't have the cash, then they rent. The money sitting in the s&p that supposed to be your downpayment in other years is making a good return. There's always outliers - like myself, we overpaid in cash for a vacation property...and we are selling something else and it's hard to find a buyer due to rates (it's not a prime NYC piece of RE that someone would pay cash for). but that's life =) hopefully, I will put the money into 'the market', i have no desire to pick a stock, already failed once! but plan is to let it ride and my friend whos good with money has retired living in MA with family told me to just put it in the market, dont worry up or down just buy it =)

Bagholder4lifez

QQQ closing under the 200 MA for the second time in 2 weeks....It's not looking good. But eh.

Bagholder4lifez

The 200 MA of IWM has been breached 4 TIMES. 4 TIMES. It's not supposed to be super bad ? Tea leaves readers ?

Bagholder4lifez

QQQ under the 200 MA. Bye bye

fungiz

Doesnt matter, I can just feel how institutional fucks will use earnings to drop the stock towards the 200 weekly MA sitting at $123 right now and buy cheap.

MakingMoneyIsMe

Investing is about psychology just as much as knowledge of market mechanics. I realized when I changed my sentiment, I stopped losing money. You're not going to always time the absolute bottom, but if you can get into well-run, growing businesses during pessimism and not extreme euphoria, you increase your chances of being profitable. I recall years ago I bought Apple and my investment turned negative shortly after. Years later and that same lot is up maybe 1300%. Research things like the VIX to gauge market sentiment, the RSI to ensure the specific company you're eyeing isn't overbought, and if possible, try not to buy above the 50 day MA. These small things have helped me in the past and I continue to operate with these same principles.

Agreeable_Bee_2694

Unfortunately it didn't happen in Boston (in MA)

Bagholder4lifez

QQQ on the 200 MA again. That's fucking bad.

PassableForAWombat

We've been sitting at around 200 MA since the heavy drilling started. Thursday happened because a few quants got margin called and then we tightened down to pure 200MA. It was a slow line grind that mirrored the 2022 bear market perfectly, even the same as the beautiful green Veteran's Day followed by a pretty gnarly red one. We're back at the grinding 200 MA again with the losses from overnight.

Bagholder4lifez

I agree it’s a reset. Also QQQ need to retest the 200 MA probably and yesterday was a banking holiday with low volume. The NVDA thing is a distraction from the whole picture

CKtheboxer

I probably wouldn’t have shorted NVDA here but def DEFINITELY WOULD NOT have longed it either. I did however re enter multi day swing shorts on QQQ around noon EST. You’re about to be paid nicely on your NVDA shorts tomorrow. Nicely done. Plz take profit though and don’t be greedy. Could it go lower? Absolutely. It’s showing extreme weakness and the 200 week MA and 50 week MA look like potential targets. But it’s hitting strong support levels, it’s extremely oversold on multiple timeframes and well outside lower bollinger bands on multiple timeframes as well. Could see a strong bounce off support or sideways price action to cool oversold conditions before the next leg lower in which case it would burn the premium on those puts which have a short expiration. You’re your own person and free to make your own decisions and I’m just a nobody on Reddit but I’ve seen thousands of ppl blow massive profits due to greed. Plz take profit tomorrow morning and secure that bag and celebrate with a well earned nice dinner this weekend.

SQQQ

Unlikely. SG, MA,US govt agencies conducted multiple onsite verification matching GPU by serial numbers. There were no missing GPU’s. This is why to date, there isn’t even administrative penalties laid, let alone criminal charges. And DOJ wouldn’t permit the leak if they planned to arrest her

PassableForAWombat

Yeah, this one has the same free-float pressure up. It'll return to the near-fatal 200 MA tomorrow from all indicators

Round_Abal0ne

If you look at the EIA.gov who track the Average Electrical retail price by utility, the highest increase since 2020 is apparently 53% increase in MA, CT, NH and NY as well as PG&E in Northern California. ComEd in the Chicago region is the highest Midwest increase at 31%. Then DTE Energy in the Detroit region with 25%. Far far from the 100% you or him are claiming

Thetagang888

QQQ back above 200 MA. Should have bought more of the dip when it was under.

JeromePowellLovesMe

No doubt. At that point it was catching a falling knife. Nice reversal since post-rank day lows, but still well under the 200MA.

more-aero

Retest of the 21MA on QQQ today? Bounce back down to retest the 9? Then blow to ATH?

AffectionateFace5877

Rotation out of AAPL, WMT, MA coming up. The real bubbles.

Adipost1

It’s back above the 200 MA pre market

EpsteinPie

lmaooo cmon guys does anyone here even read a chart? no one should be celebrating until we cleanly slice thru 680 and retest the 200MA, yesterday’s blunce was because of the massive ass thursday crash so things are just balancing out a little but very clearly evident that we are makjng lower highs here….

BiblicalAss

MA

sharp315

while a lot of people here will say "do not time the market" I would argue it is still relevant to check the moving averages for a reasonable entry point. best case scenario is price is below the 100 day MA. worst case scenario is buying in when price is flying way above the 50 day MA which typically will result in a selloff. there is nothing wrong with waiting a few days to catch a deal. at the very least avoid buying in at the ultimate ATH.

PutSpreadDaddi69

oh wow QQQ did already touch the 200 Day MA

Psychological-Shame8

220 day MA is 608. Adjust your line/expectations a bit

EpsteinPie

my plan too ;) but as long as we sit under the 200MA, i will not be bullish

music_is_gud

I'm not trading the ETFs themselves. I'm looking for the best names within those 2 sectors and buy when they pullback to some MA. My comment on buying the etf itself was a joke ha

Super-Activity-4675

that's where I'm at. Seems like the market has returned to calls Mon-Wed and Puts Wed afternoon late through Friday. With VIX elevated, I wouldn't be surprised to see 1+% moves. I am kinda eyeing Tuesday for a big run up. Thursday for a run down. Not sure if I'll play Tuesday, but if I like what I see on the daily early in the week, I'm probably going to grab a few puts late Wed. I fully expect the SPY to break its 200 day MA sooner than later and start flirting with correction territory.

Bagholder4lifez

SPY will go under the 200 MA like a champ

Bagholder4lifez

If you think S&P is not going under the 200 MA like the Nasdaq and the Russell, you belong here.

vermilli21

I mean the 4hr chart for MU doesnt really scream bullish. Considering its under the 200MA and broke trend. But blah blah blah astrology for charts

masegesege_

I’m thinking of doing another online MA degree so I can get more student loan money. I did that before but lost all my money on options. I’m ready for round 2 but I don’t wanna be on webcam for classes. Any degrees I can do that don’t have actual class time? Like just write some essays here and there but still get that student loan money?

rainman_104

I'd add WM, V, and MA. Even JPM has been nice to hold. BRK hasn't had a good year until recently, lurking around $500 for quite a while.

Beechlander

So, are you stating all at the same time: 1. “the bailouts are net positive to date” 2. Republicans cause bailouts to be needed 3. Republicans are more likely to approve bailouts 4. Democrats historically cast the votes to pass bailout legislation 🥴 Please attribute the non-legislative branch politician UNLESS he had it crafted/composed. You just wrote “Auto loans (2008): The Bush administration \_created\_ the emergency loans”. The Auto Industry Financing and Restructuring Act (H.R. 7321) was introduced and composed by Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA), while serving as the Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. This is the exact opposite of what your claiming. Also, the first part of your response looks like a copy-and-pasted AI response. 🤨

BigWarning8696

You guys are once again on the wrong side of the trade. Look into the 330 MA, a little know moving averrage but very important. Now chart that on the QQQ. You will notice it was the exact bottom in April and once again was the bottom yesterday. All the weak hands and margin called folks are out of the market now, nobody is bullish, Vix is high, extreme fear. A textbook perfect setup for whoever hasn't been already liquidated chasing fake bounces

parntsbasemnt4evrBC

SOXL is relatively strong consistantly the past session and prem-amrekt this indicator that Large short sellers are covering in mass utilizing retail sell liquidity and panic that Oh no the NQ / ES lost their 200 MA on the dialy

parntsbasemnt4evrBC

the biggest reason to sell is. because my up trend crayon line at the the 200 MA broke down and my TA 101 teacher told me that that is the line where bull market turns into bear so i panic sold

_Photonics_

Mean reversion for a price process Pt​ relative to a slowly varying mean μt (here the 200-day MA) means that the expected change in the deviation Dt=Pt−μt is negative when Dt​ is positive and positive when Dt is negative This is the continuous-time Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (or discrete AR(1)) dynamics. It says nothing about the maximum time the process can spend away from zero. The expected half-life is ln⁡2/κ, but the distribution of first-return times has a heavy right tail. Long excursions are low-probability events, they are not zero-probability events and do not falsify the model. It's just math

kwijibokwijibo

So what you're trying to say is the S&P500 always moves back towards the moving average. But we've had periods where it stayed above 200MA for years and defied mean reversion The longest period was 4 years without touching the average once. Wanna guess when that was? Dot-com bubble. See any similarities to today?

Alwaysfavoriteasian

Definitely a bounce coming off the 200 day MA. The Fibonacci sequence indicates a beta twirl to the 7th dimension. Calls on SPY.

Technical-Taste9393

exactly my situation, everything is so fucking expensive. $MA and $ONON are my main holdings atm

thedawgmaster

I'll tell you what's going to happen tomorrow, stock will go up or down. /kidding It will bounce hard from its mother - the 200 period moving average and it will come closer to the 20 MA, the current distance is huge and SPY/SPX won't stay away from it even for a day now. Learned this by watching charts daily. Mark this post and remind me to deactivate if it doesn't happen. Worst case scenario is the downward inertion to continue at the open with another 20-40 points down, then to chop out before taking off back up on Monday with filling the gap up at least to the half point by the middle of next week.

housemouse431

spx went from the 50 straight to the 200d MA in one candle. pretty unreal.

lemurtowne

Possible. QQQ lost the 100MA last week and closed ~5% below 200MA today so I'm guessing any bounceback will be both sharp and temporary.

COUser93

We just crossed the 200 day MA. Not looking good.

Only-Perspective5341

There is no “belief” the Democrats are going after big tech, they ARE going to. Democrat Ed Markey from MA stated they will need to plant forests for the amount to subpoena’s headed the way of big tech right after the election results. That is an attack on the Mag 7, when that onfolds growth is going to be neutered…..remember democrats don’t care about 401k/retirement accounts, the money will be harvested and put into expanding social and welfare programs. I’ll be downvoted I’m sure but you can’t run away from the facts of what Dems ran on and won on.

elrohir2121

Refrigerator box in an alley in Allston, MA. 1.5 mil

Complex-Note-5274

lol my retirement port is Boggle head really, but adding earning diversification from AI complex. Been Ok with CME, BRKB, and MA

Squirr3I

$SPY still has to fall another 10 bucks til the 200 MA, which I don't see it going below. Maybe a sizable bounce tomorrow followed by another PLUNGE on friday

Jkbull7

7300. check 200 MA

yellowww21

Good thing I listened to my intuition. Markets were starting to rollover prior to the midterms. Been seeing posts prior to this move this will be a bear trap, but in the big picture perspective, multiple MA's are being violated supported by volume. Keeping my gains for now! #SPX

Alwaysfavoriteasian

Definitely a bounce coming off the 200 day MA. The Fibonacci sequence indicates a beta twirl to the 7th dimension. Calls on SPY.

Orthoebolavirus

Same Crazy though, they sold V, MA, AMZN, and UNH before huge run-ups And bought GOOG which hasn't done great for their cost basis

Molten-Helldiver

Good thing I’m in gey ass stocks like V and MA

Frosty1397

OP, zoom out to the quarterly chart and look where the MA line is. It can still fall half from here and still not hit it NBIS was a $20 stock barely a year ago

Worried_Quarter469

All the money in the country is in CA NY MA IL TX all blue

unseamingcarrot

spy is rejecting off the 20 day MA as expected, putting in another lower high for the month, if things don't fall in the next few days CPI will dump it on Tuesday. You have been warned

Cav829

We could theoretically poke our head up to about $708-$710 on QQQ as a bit of warning about buying puts. We got rejected pretty hard at $701, so maybe wait and see if we kiss $700 again. The MA10 is being supportive so far, and we're getting higher highs and higher lows on short-term indicators, so I'd be a little cautious.

Bagholder4lifez

Don't touch SOXL today. TSM is literally sitting on the 200 MA. NVDA just a few cents under. AMD will be on crack cocaine because of the earnings (still over the 200 MA). AVGO, QCOM, INTC and a few others are way under the 200 MA. Do leveraged DOW or Russell if it's your thing.

Bagholder4lifez

Oh Gawd I woke up for a piss and my plan to buy the dip is now gone. We were under the 200 MA. WTF

falling_knives

So... V and MA puts?

music_is_gud

Yeah limited risk to reward on the short side from here. There is a 50 week MA at 670ish.

Bagholder4lifez

QQQ under the 200 MA. Stop loss fest tmr.

brightelectron

50 MA for QQQ on the weekly chart is at 768. If we blow right through that god help you regards cause the 200 MA is sitting the 500s...

Molten-Helldiver

Wonder how my dumb boomer MA and V calls are gonna hold up :/

financiallythriving

S&P closed broke and closed below its 125MA Last time it happened was March 2026

Specific-Bend9368

imagine not seeing the qqq 10% pullback and 200 day MA

Ok_Cry7572

EMERGENCY UPDATE!🚨 THIS IS THE DAY #2 BREAKING BELOW THE 'MID-TERM MA.' LAST TIME IT BROKE (LAST MARCH) THE MA (SEE ARROW), WE CAME DOWN -7% ON SPY. https://preview.redd.it/shttqps3m9zh1.png?width=1897&format=png&auto=webp&s=84a1c4a90dade46be62bba902156d47cd2a4f21a

Bagholder4lifez

TSM on the 200 MA. Crazy.

financiallythriving

SPY is rubbing her tight wet pus\*y on the 125MA

Molten-Helldiver

MA and V ripping

SensitiveIntention87

Dum ass, the MA 200 is at $ 202 and the price is going low.

Confident_Potato_714

Also the 5MA on a 15m chart can be very powerful your day trades

Confident_Potato_714

5MA on the monthly is the ultimate trend indicator.

Confident_Potato_714

Fuck I’ve simplified into a few things. 1) buy sectors that are sucking air technical wise. 2) buy stocks that are have candles hanging off the 5MA on the monthly and start trimming soon as it touches it. 3) short stocks that are high rising above the 5MA

Super-Activity-4675

bounced hard at the end of the day. That usually bad days like this are followed by a reprieve, even more so when you see an end of day bounce. That the powers that be likely try short the hell out of oil one more time to make things look happier on Tuesday. I do think the SPY tests its 200 day MA, because as you pointed out, nothing has changed. But the markets never go straight up and down, and I think the selling takes a break Mon/Tue.

Super-Activity-4675

it popped too at the end of the day. I managed to pick up some calls for Monday before the big green candles, which I'd add is more evidence that you're right. Usually hard reversals end of day like that signal what's going to happen the following trading day. I wouldn't be surprised if it melted up Tuesday as well. Post election.... I'm not so certain. I'm also half expecting the SPY to test its 200 day MA as soon as Friday and as late as next Friday.

MakingMoneyIsMe

I'm banking on a 200 day MA bounce. Very tactical entry point. Bought long synthetics on SOXL and TQQQ.

SamSwingTrades

Good breakdown. The 200MA break gets a lot of headlines, but what I watch is whether it reclaims it within a week or two or starts rolling over. Days like this are when patience pays. Let the panic settle, and the quality names that got dumped with everything else usually give a better entry than the first bounce.

DoinIt4DaShorteez

QQQ is down 10% from the high and 0.5% from the 200 MA. SMH is down 23% from the high and sitting right on it's 200 MA. I wish it was a bigger flush and the VIX was higher, and the selling is orderly, but you can make a lot worse mistakes than to take a little down here.

Thetagang888

We are right at the 200MA on the nasdaq, Either we bounce on Monday/next week or its a fucking massive gap fill downwards

Kind_Initiative_7567

OK it’s bounce time Q’s hit 685 the 200 daily MA. Added more AMD calls lmaooo

Ldn_twn_lvn

RDDT charts are hideous rn It's capitulated so far from the 9ema, it has to revert sometime But that stock is giving me the Herbie Jeebees so much that it wouldn't surprise me if price held and waited for the MA to catch up, before setting again on a Big Gey Ber run

k21k21k21

Big boys defending that 200 day MA on the S&P

Icy_Opportunity9187

SOXL RSI is at 36 looking at 1 year daily, 50% below the 200 MA. I just don't see how this doesn't explode again.... I mean I mostly do intraday trades but man I cleaned house over the past month I am talking 100% gains

Xannot

MA, SPGI and UNH are preventing my portfolio from being completely liquidated. These tech companies crash are no joke.

Icy-Sheepherder-7595

I know everyone's mentioning Google today but the 50 day MA is now lower than the 200 day. With the stock rising 4 out of 5 times this has happened in its history. Is it possible the bottom is in? I want to believe it's that simple but I just don't know.

Moepenmoes

Cashed out MSFT right at open while my $MA lifetime bags are giving me a little bonus, for the rest cash gang for now, can't complain 

Molten-Helldiver

MA and V calls printing

Eagerbeaver98

I have advice for you, never buy a company that is limited with revenue growth. At least wait for 200 day weekly MA

Orin_n

Why do I always have this urge to buy right at the top of 200MA, god I never learn

helloimaplanet

Silver was only near $50 for a few weeks in Jan 1980, and that was mostly the Hunt brothers trying to corner the market. Also the '79 oil shock was the Iranian revolution, the embargo was '73. So that spike says more about two Texas billionaires than about the dollar. The bigger problem for the metals argument is the 80s and 90s. Silver dropped about 73% over the 80s while the debt roughly tripled, and gold slid for most of those two decades too. If metals track money printing, why did they go the opposite way for 20 years? And gold went from \~$5,500 in January to \~$4,100 now. Hard to measure wages with something that moves 25% in nine months. CPI being rigged for the rich doesn't really add up either. Social Security, tax brackets and TIPS bonds are all indexed to it, so lowballing it costs plenty of rich people money too. Housing is where CPI gets real criticism, and that's where your argument is strongest anyway. $900 to $2,800 for the same unit while MA minimum went from $8 to $15 (it's 15, not 16) is a brutal gap and doesn't need gold or silver to make the point. Weimar doesn't fit. Nobody was in the dark there, people were hauling cash around in wheelbarrows. So if it's not mainly money printing, what's driving rents? Zoning, corporate landlords buying up housing, wages flat since unions got gutted? I'd put more on those than on the Fed.

ksyoung17

For some, maybe, but it's a roll of the dice again. Look at MA. We're always liberal here. Blue to a fault. We have a lot of great social programs, amazing public school systems, very safe towns across the state. Our government is just as corrupt. Our governor lies constantly, blows out budgets, uses executive power to push her own agenda, makes backroom deals with utility providers, appoints friends and others as favors in positions they're not qualified for, and don't perform in, missapropriates funds, and pushes a strong agenda for migrants wasting money and burning through surplus funds that were "earmarked" for other programs. So, yeah, current administration bad, Trump evil, blah blah blah... All true, no disputing that. Unchecked democrats; probably not inherently evil, but definitely not loyal, honest, or trustworthy. And they also don't give a shit about you.

Ok_Cry7572

GOOGL walks into Wednesday's earnings in a bear market, but the bar for a post-earnings bounce is now low. Friday's close of $320.21 is 20% below the May high and 6% under the 200-day MA. RSI is near 31. Consensus wants EPS of $3.03 on $127.9 billion in revenue, with Cloud around $29 billion, up roughly 90%. Last quarter it fell 7% the next day on the CapEx spend. Options are pricing about 5% either way this time

SmartWonderWoman

I started over at 44. Just earned my grad degree (MA in Education) in May. It’s bleak out here.

UncouthMarvin

Y'all act surprised like soxx didn't just bounce off its 200MA

Soffatjockis

Googl is in free fall right now 200 MA destroyed days ago No support until 270ish Earnings going to be a make or break moment of Mr Sundar

Soffatjockis

Wonder how the market is going to react to googl earnings this time. Even more capex and negative cash flow? It's well below 200 MA so it should move bigly on earnings... in either direction

FreelyHumdrumSchism

Your backtest numbers look clean but the 175-day MA is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. You're basically one big whipsaw away from lagging simple buy-and-hold in a volatile recovery. What's the max consecutive losing trades your model showed during those drawdown periods?