MA

Hairy_Pension_821

Interesting setup but I'd watch the technicals closely before jumping in. MSFT closed at $359, which puts it 12% below the 50-day MA ($408) and a full 25% below the 200-day ($477). RSI is sitting at 24.8 — deeply oversold territory. On the bull side, there's support around $353 that could form a floor. But MACD is at -13 with no crossover forming yet, so momentum hasn't turned. For a $360 call by August you have time on your side, but I'd want to see RSI climb back above 30 and a reclaim of $382 resistance before getting aggressive. The oversold bounce could happen fast but there's no reversal signal yet. I've been tracking these levels on an AI TA tool that maps everything out — [https://analysis.al-ai.net/chart/MSFT](https://analysis.al-ai.net/chart/MSFT) — makes it easier to spot when the momentum actually shifts. Not financial advice — DYOR.

MrOptical

Maybe take a look at XLF ETF It has exposure to both V & MA and more quality names

rickster555

V and MA make their money off transactions. They don’t care about people going into debt. They only care that more transactions happen. If you lose your job or can’t afford things then you do less transactions. You’re not looking at this the right way.

nehro7

MSFT - AMZN - V - MA Add a growth stock RDDT also IBKR

NinjaPirate007

I’m going to buy MA based on the comment. Never even considered it, but with people losing their jobs, and price increases people will have no choice to but get more credit. I was looking at the Apple chart and it looks like this might be the largest dip they ever had.

xxkupkakexx

wait til these hopium "BER FUK" in this sub find out the diff between what physical oil is priced at currently around most of the world compare to digitally on the chart and WHEN...not IF...it catches up to the chart...you gonna get front row seat in front of your screen to look at your call losing premium faster than the time it takes for you to put the fries in the bag while you die a little everyday on the inside hoping for "maybe it will bounce back tomorrow" that never comes all the way til your expiration cause buying the dip doesn't work anymore in a real bear market when things don't just V back every time for you to post gain porn on spy call. TLDR...cash is a position...buy when it cross above the 200 MA again...its THAT simple...you're welcome

Iwantasnickers

I’m very tempted by V or MA but haven’t pulled the trigger yet.

Nearsite

This past month it has been AVGO, BE, RDDT, APP, CVNA, DUOL, ADBE, PLTR and a couple rolled over from last year (V, MA, UNH).

Mean_Bumblebee1945

You notice how the market regime has switched from buy the dip to sell the rip as soon as we went below the 200MA. The algos are now programmed totally different.

_hiddenscout

I'm usually pretty bad with investing in financials, but AXP, V, and MA all look pretty solid to me at these levels, especially if you are looking for a long term compounder.

DelphiTsar

Ahh technical trading, Astrology for tech bros. "Things are objectively worse and declining, but the technicals!" You aren't even doing it right, a break below 200 MA means bearish momentum.

Life-Trade-6514

End of quarter run back to 200MA may a smidge above then back to hammering April 1st

TopFox555

Down 13% as of today. Unfortunately leverage takes its toll. Might consider trimming back 25 to 50% if there's no bounce back and retest of the 200D MA

GaameChanger69

Rinse and repeat. Sell VIX when it tops 28ish, buy MCL at the 200MA on the 5m chart. Collect all the breads

CrunchyMage

As the late Charlie Munger said. "If you did nothing except for buy very high quality businesses at their 200 week moving average, you would outperform the market" MSFT right now is at its 200W MA, so yes it's an absolute buy. It's possible for it to go even lower than here especially if there is a recession, but that just makes it an even better entry point long term. Overall MSFT is in great value territory rn.

Ill_Meat1457

Rainbow chart is a fun meme overlay, but it’s basically just a log-scale trend band with vibes. If you want something a little more actionable, I’d zoom out to weekly and watch the 200W MA area and prior cycle ATH zone for whether price accepts back above or keeps getting sold, and then zoom in to see if you’re getting higher lows on RSI/price (actual momentum shift) instead of just “below gay zone = buy.” Also worth checking if the move is led by BTC only or if ETH and majors are confirming; when breadth is garbage, bounces tend to be chops. If you want a quick way to eyeball that breadth/momentum across coins without flipping through 30 tabs, I’ve been using this scanner to build a watchlist: [https://strongbuyanalytics.com/crypto-scanner](https://strongbuyanalytics.com/crypto-scanner)

TheRollingLax

Impossible to time, but I use the 200 MA v SP500 chart all the time. I DCA into ETFs but when it hits the lower range I just buy larger amounts. Not fool proof - just something I’ve used

Electricengineer

Market broke 200 MA not a headline trade.

Hairy_Pension_821

Interesting thesis. From the technical side, MU's chart actually supports your bullish case pretty well right now. The stock pulled back hard from the $150+ highs and has been consolidating in the $95-$110 range for about two months now. That's actually constructive — the 50-day MA is starting to flatten and curl upward, which usually signals the sellers are running out of steam. What stands out to me is the volume profile. The highest volume node sits right around $100-$105, meaning there's heavy institutional accumulation happening at these levels. RSI on the daily just crossed above 50 from oversold — early momentum shift. Key levels to watch: \- Breakout trigger: $112 (declining trendline from the highs) \- First target: $125 (gap fill) \- Stop: below $93 (200-day MA) \[Here's the full technical breakdown with pattern detection\](https://analysis.al-ai.net/chart/MU?market=us) — the SEPA criteria are mixed but improving, and there's a potential inverse H&S forming on the daily. Your fundamental model + the technical setup aligning is usually when the best entries happen. I'd watch for the $112 breakout on volume as confirmation.

nonamestocks

Closed first time above MA100 - GMM

Forsaken-Bid8757

Every recovery will be short lived. No one wants to be exit liquidity. 200 MA won’t be support, after years of exuberance.

BatemanPsyco

Solo quiero intentar ayudar si lees este comentario, no sé qué tan abajo esté tu cuenta pero mejor tomar la pérdida de meta y le daría más tiempo a Msft rollear a 2 años, mismo strike de expiración para que se recupere sé que no es la mejor opción, y te puede salir caro. Lo otro es tomar pérdidas si tú cuenta aún tiene un saldo decente e irte de lleno con una accion de tu preferencia, call strike itm, si puedes delta 70/80 pero siempre a 2 años para que le des respiro al mercado y te puedas recuperar. (V, MA,) buenas opciones. Como están las cosas si está caída es una verdadera recesión y la burbuja de ia se confirma, estamos perdidos todos, pero ahora no estoy abriendo opciones a menos de 2 años para que el theta no me coma y darle tiempo al mercado para que respire estoy con un caso similar con UBER y TQQQ pero están a 2 años delta 80 cada uno, solo hago call leaps que es mi estrategia principal completada con otra. Que Dios te bendiga hermano.

Hasta-Luiego

My prediction - it’ll bounce a bit off $81.5 then plummet through the 200MA. You’re fucked.

longGERN

Long MA/V. Who'd wanna use physical money now?

highlanderquestion90

why is the dump in the markets in slow motion, if this closes deep underneath the 200 MA, what exactly is supposed to happen on Monday, cause it ain't a bounce brother

highlanderquestion90

We below 200 day MA, and we just took out last week's low

Ok_Cry7572

The last time the 9MA crossed the 21MA Weekly, S&P500 dropped -17% in 6 weeks Last week we crossed that same 9MA & 21MA Weekly If we close this low tomorrow, we’re setting up for the same exact scenario ahead to 615 which is about -5%

BeardedMan32

Price movement relative to the 200 MA says this is more like March 10 2025. Don’t get overly excited in a downtrending market.

rum108

# my WACC… $45*. Bought the bulk at 200-day MA….fml 🤦‍♀️

highlanderquestion90

That there is a solid red candle close way below the 200 MA, hoss

I-STATE-FACTS

i was thinking V and MA as well

persua

Deploying some more into APO, V, and MA

Pizza_n_Tendies

MSFT is below the 200 week MA. All hope is lost for that piece of shit. 2008 price action now

Axolotis

I was 80% cash. Not anymore though. Once SPY drops under the 200MA on the daily it’s a no brainer to start buying.

highrollerlowballer

my regarded TA take, 200 MA daily basis showing 657 - support or buy, so if price is below 657 u can jus go long Everytime price is below 650 market rallies hard to 660:_6 Orange guy saying Iran war might be over (you say bearish cus false but the market and you aren't the same thing buddy) This does not mean bullish long term I jus mean for the time being, expect a nice 640-660 range for a bit

Basis_404_

The battle for the 200 day MA seems to be a draw

sheep_classes

Damnit SPY, stop bouncing off the f%^&ing 50 day MA and come down to the 200!

Reasonable-Cress8890

$SPGI, $MA, $AXP I won’t stop buying until they all double

Full_Cash6140

I'm still short unless we close above the 200MA.

bayruss

Apparently WSB is against DD. I’ve been tracking Plug Power through its massive cycles. After digging into their recent shift toward profitability and their dominant position in the green hydrogen build-out, the data suggests we are at a major turning point. 1. The Revenue Engine & Path to Profit Plug isn't just a "concept" company anymore. They make money by selling hydrogen fuel cell systems and electrolyzers, specifically targeting heavy-hitters like Amazon and Walmart for their warehouse logistics. * The Milestone: In Q4 2025, Plug hit a massive internal goal: positive gross profit ($5.5M). * The Recovery: This is a 2.4% margin, which sounds small until you realize they were at a -122.5% margin loss just one year prior. The ship is officially being righted. 2. Valuation: Is it Undervalued? The market is still pricing this like a failing startup, but the fundamentals say otherwise: * Analyst Targets: Many analysts peg "fair value" between $2.74 and $2.79, representing an immediate 18%–23% discount from current levels. * DCF Model: If you look at long-term Discounted Cash Flow projections, some models (including Yahoo Finance) suggest the stock could be up to 66% undervalued if they hit their 2027/2028 targets. 3. The "Distribution Bottleneck" = Plug’s Moat A recent study from Heriot-Watt University (Jan 2026) identified a massive gap: hydrogen production is evolving fast, but distribution infrastructure is lagging at half the speed. * Why this helps Plug: Plug isn't just making cells; they are building the infrastructure. As distribution becomes the "dominant cost" in the sector, the companies that already have established refueling networks and delivery contracts (like Plug) hold the keys to the kingdom. 4. Technicals & Market Momentum * Moving Averages: The stock is currently showing strength, moving above its 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages (MA)—a classic bullish signal for a trend reversal. * Relative Strength: In March 2026, PLUG has gained over 25%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 during the same period. 5. The Long Runway With hydrogen expected to capture 12% of the total energy market share by 2050, the macro tailwinds are undeniable. Between the global push for green energy and the volatility of oil prices, hydrogen has moved from a "maybe" to a "must-have." The Play This isn't just about the fundamentals—it's about a sentiment shift in a beaten-down sector. * Target: $2.75+ (Short term) / $3.50+ (Long term). * Strategy: Deep ITM or OTM Calls dated into 2027 to capture the full trajectory of their profitability roadmap. TL;DR: First profitable gross margin in years, undervalued by at least 20%, and sitting on the right side of the 50/200 MA cross. The "Green Energy" movement is finally meeting actual balance sheet results. ------------------------------ Should we look into the specific dates for the upcoming Q1 2026 earnings to time an entry?

0xBorisjohnson

AI ships can only pass through as long as they sail above the 40W MA

bayruss

Do mine. The most recent play I've looked into was Plug. I can explain a little bit of the research process. PLUG: is a Hydrogen Fuel cell company I've seen rise and crash. I saw an article back in 2023 marking the first profitable hydrogen company in Germany working on green hydrogen. So how does Plug generate revenue and are they profitable? Plug Power makes money by selling hydrogen fuel cell systems, electrolyzers for green hydrogen production, and related infrastructure and services, primarily targeting material handling (forklifts) for companies like Amazon and Walmart. The company generates revenue through direct product sales, long-term service contracts, and fuel delivery. Are they profitable now? Quarterly Progress: In Q4 2025, the company reported a positive gross profit of $5.5 million (a 2.4% margin), a significant recovery from the -122.5% margin loss in Q4 2024. Are they undervalued? Undervalued Perspective: Some analysts peg fair value around 2.74 to 2.79 marking an ~18%–23% discount from recent prices. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model from Yahoo Finance suggests potential for a much higher valuation (up to ~66% undervalued) if long-term projections are met. Bottleneck in Hydrogen Distribution Jeopardises Billions in Clean Energy. January 19, 2026 at 10:40 AM EDT Heriot-Watt University research finds hydrogen transport infrastructure is developing at half the pace of other clean tech, putting net zero targets at risk. A recent study from Edinburgh Business School at Heriot-Watt University found that while hydrogen production, storage and fuel cell technologies are advancing rapidly, the hydrogen distribution infrastructure is developing at half the speed, creating a critical bottleneck that could put billions in clean energy at risk. The findings, published in the journal Sustainable Futures, are an important milestone in recognising that, while other hydrogen technologies improve and costs fall, distribution expenses could take up a large share of hydrogen system budgets, significantly limiting overall efficiency and growth of the hydrogen sector. The research team analysed 777,000 patents and 1.3 million citations spanning 182 years of hydrogen technology development, revealing clear differences in progress across the system. Dr David Dekker, a research fellow at Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University and the paper’s lead author, said: “Distribution will become the dominant cost in any hydrogen system. Even as we get better at producing and using hydrogen, getting it where it’s needed stays expensive. At this point I've identified a growing company that's undervalued with a great future because of the renewable energy movement. I continue to track it's progress as it moves above its 50 MA and 200 day MA. If I invest now there's a good chance of 20% return in the next year, but the growth of the hydrogen industry is huge. 12% of market share by 2050. The potential is not limited to the fundamentals of the company similar to GameStop or AMC. Plug Power (PLUG) is heavily shorted, with approximately 23% to 26% of its public float sold short as of late February/March 2026. This high short interest reflects investor skepticism regarding the company's cash burn and profitability, often making the stock volatile and susceptible to short squeezes. Plug Power (PLUG) has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 so far this month (as of late March 2026), with shares gaining over 25% in the past month compared to a decline in the broader market. In all seriousness this is as close to an AMC level play I've found this year. Other than calling MU at 180 when they dropped the Video teardown of NVDA GPUs. They casually dropped the fact they produced almost all the memory for NVDA. I avg 30% yearly compared to SP500s 12-15%. I usually sell covered calls. I skipped selling Monday and Tuesday because there's a lot of noise suggesting the war is ending and oil is declining. Expect a huge pop for SPY on Wednesday. TLDR: This probably won't get read by anyone. Plug is undervalued by 20%.(Price target is 2.75+) Has huge short pressure (25% of shares). Company had its first profitable quarter in Dec 2025. The green energy push along with rising oil prices paves a long runway for PLUG. Play is $3.50+ calls deep into 2027. But spread the ape strong together message for more gains than the company fundamentals suggest. PLUG power + Reddit = rocket 🚀🌝.

bayruss

No where honestly. I just spend time reading the news and I'm autistic. You learn critical thinking and have no job outside of trading or you're extremely intimate with the sector. The most recent play I've looked into was Plug. I can explain a little bit of the research process. PLUG: is a Hydrogen Fuel cell company I've seen rise and crash. I saw an article back in 2023 marking their first profitable hydrogen company in Germany working on green hydrogen. So how does Plug generate revenue and are they profitable? Plug Power makes money by selling hydrogen fuel cell systems, electrolyzers for green hydrogen production, and related infrastructure and services, primarily targeting material handling (forklifts) for companies like Amazon and Walmart. The company generates revenue through direct product sales, long-term service contracts, and fuel delivery. Are they profitable now? Quarterly Progress: In Q4 2025, the company reported a positive gross profit of $5.5 million (a 2.4% margin), a significant recovery from the -122.5% margin loss in Q4 2024. Are they undervalued? Undervalued Perspective: Some analysts peg fair value around 2.74 to 2.79 marking an ~18%–23% discount from recent prices. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model from Yahoo Finance suggests potential for a much higher valuation (up to ~66% undervalued) if long-term projections are met. Bottleneck in Hydrogen Distribution Jeopardises Billions in Clean Energy. January 19, 2026 at 10:40 AM EDT Heriot-Watt University research finds hydrogen transport infrastructure is developing at half the pace of other clean tech, putting net zero targets at risk. A recent study from Edinburgh Business School at Heriot-Watt University found that while hydrogen production, storage and fuel cell technologies are advancing rapidly, the hydrogen distribution infrastructure is developing at half the speed, creating a critical bottleneck that could put billions in clean energy at risk. The findings, published in the journal Sustainable Futures, are an important milestone in recognising that, while other hydrogen technologies improve and costs fall, distribution expenses could take up a large share of hydrogen system budgets, significantly limiting overall efficiency and growth of the hydrogen sector. The research team analysed 777,000 patents and 1.3 million citations spanning 182 years of hydrogen technology development, revealing clear differences in progress across the system. Dr David Dekker, a research fellow at Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University and the paper’s lead author, said: “Distribution will become the dominant cost in any hydrogen system. Even as we get better at producing and using hydrogen, getting it where it’s needed stays expensive. At this point I've identified a growing company that's undervalued with a great future because of the renewable energy movement. I continue to track it's progress as it moves above its 50 MA and 200 day MA. If I invest now there's a good chance of 20% return in the next year, but the growth of the hydrogen industry is huge. 12% of market share by 2050. The potential is not limited to the fundamentals of the company similar to GameStop or AMC. Plug Power (PLUG) is heavily shorted, with approximately 23% to 26% of its public float sold short as of late February/March 2026. This high short interest reflects investor skepticism regarding the company's cash burn and profitability, often making the stock volatile and susceptible to short squeezes. Plug Power (PLUG) has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 so far this month (as of late March 2026), with shares gaining over 25% in the past month compared to a decline in the broader market. In all seriousness this is as close to an AMC level play I've found this year. Other than calling MU at 180 when they dropped the Video teardown of NVDA GPUs. They casually dropped the fact they produced almost all the memory for NVDA. I avg 30% yearly compared to SP500s 12-15%. I usually sell covered calls. I skipped selling Monday and Tuesday because there's a lot of noise suggesting the war is ending and oil is declining. Expect a huge pop for SPY on Wednesday. TLDR: This probably won't get read by anyone. Plug is undervalued by 20%.(Price target is 2.75+) Has huge short pressure (25% of shares). Company had its first profitable quarter in Dec 2025. The green energy push along with rising oil prices paves a long runway for PLUG. Play is $3.50+ calls deep into 2027. But spread the ape strong together message for more gains than the company fundamentals suggest. PLUG power + Reddit = rocket 🚀🌝.

Strong-Comment-7279

I think the total being deployed is 3k Marines and ~3k from the 82nd Airborne. That's hardly "amassing". I read Iran has at least 5k dead. We've lost at least 7 - all avoidable deaths. Fucking Cheeto. And just now - Iran won't deal w Kushmer, wants Vance....?!? It's all on a knife edge. I think crossing 200 MA in this manner is a really bad sign, and I wouldn't be surprised if Israel goes offensive in the hours to come. Saw an article framing this as "U.S. Assisted" Israeli war. 03.24 652ps near close. Yolo - 20% of small portfolio. No need to check back - I'll be ok either way.

BeardedMan32

“Nothing good happens below the 200D MA.” -Paul Tutor Jones (we are below the 200D MA)

RoeRoeX

$FATN ready to bounce off 50MA support 

Super-Activity-4675

I like to trade biotechs, as they can give a nice profit in a short period of time. My concern with this one centers n a couple of things: 1) They treat rare diseases. While I like that from a human standpoint, from an investor standpoint, that means low TAM for any of their products. 2) A quick trip to their website shows positive binary events giving approval for various diseases in June, July, and October of 25. One would think that the market would respond positively to that, but the stock has remained relatively unchanged in value during that time. I'd add it dropped hard shortly before the June approval, and that did nothing to recover the price. 3) Its market cap is about 400M, so it's not exactly poorly valued, but I'm having trouble coming up with an appropriate TAM for the items that have already been approved, much less a TAM for the product up for approval. Even with these approvals, they're at -2.6 EPS. That's pretty ugly. 4) With 400M in outstanding warrants, that's a lot of ammo for the short sellers, and take a look at the strike price. They're on the FDA calendar for a Saturday decision: FDA decision on KRESLADI for the treatment of for severe Leukocyte Adhesion Deficiency-I. I couldn't tell you much about it, but according to the internet, it affects 1 in 1 million people, so roughly 300 people in this country. That's not a large market, and without knowing anything about how insurance is negotiated, I'd simply say that I suspect most investors see difficulty with how its monetized. I could most certainly be wrong here, but the idea that insurance is paying 1M a year per patient is probably excessive, and that would be a 300M TAM, and that's before you count costs. Now that said, the chart is bullish with a nice crossover of its 50 day and 200 day MA and is resting right against its 50 day MA currently. It looks like a decent amount of money has been moved into this in the last two months indicating that someone is bullish on it. It's not a penny stock, so I picked up about 4k in my 401k. I'm not expecting a huge pop, but I could see a swing trade pushing it to 5 or maybe 6 on approval, based on what the chart is currently doing. My exit plan would be to sell the news. r/StockSqueeze is pretty light on plays right now so you might get a different opinion there.

longGERN

People mad at gov so try fraud. People try to cope so buy things. Ergo long MA

Kabrosif

SPY looking like its fighting for its life under that 200 Day MA. Lol awww poor widdle bugger

IndependentAd3410

It's also trapped below it's 200-day moving average and every shorter term MA is pointed down 

ExplanationNormal339

$5k on one trade is a living expense paycheck, but [$SPY](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/spy?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=smallstreetbets&utm_term=SPY&utm_content=variant_1774332452270_jj015) breaking the 200-day MA usually signals rotation out, not in.

Full_Muffin7930

Yes - that is exactly what happened. The market hit the 200 MA and simply decided to rip off it. Well put.

ismebbb

Rejecting off the 200 MA is as bearish a technical as it can get

Stocks_N_Bondage

# WhAt'S wRoNg WiTh ThIs PiCtUrE? https://preview.redd.it/mq4q3kg4vuqg1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=044622e7676b955467b266e8e883fbec65febf86 So the amusing part is how the "H&S" that everyone was talking about in October is really just the left shoulder to January 28th's head. ... yet it has the same down-sloping neckline. Also price is fucked under the 200 day MA for days now..... typically, a topping pattern like this and a break under the 200 is followed by a 10%, 20% to 50% drop. Weeeeee!

M18PowerKing

> spy 200MA it's green? I think this is just a little down turn, we'll be back at 700 before summer

mrmagootoyou2

That spy 200MA... Yikes Strap in folks, and please keep your hands, arms, feet, and legs inside the vehicle at all times

CulturalConclusion76

SPY couldn't close above the 200MA hehe I'm in danger

reidaepus_rex

The rally today should have been expected. SPY was trading well below it's 200 day MA and had gapped down. The RSI was screaming oversold. Any rumours are enough to set the market makers Algos off to try and hedge against their Gamma exposure. Essentially forced buying. That's what today has been. Last i checked SPY was back below the 200 day MA. I'm guessing SPY trades sideways until Thursday when no deal is announced the flush out will continue. #SPYto600 

reidaepus_rex

The rally today should have been expected.  SPY was trading well below it's 200 day MA and had gapped down.  The RSI was screaming oversold.  Any rumours are enough to set the market makers Algos off to try and hedge against their Gamma exposure.  Essentially forced buying.  That's what today has been.  Last i checked SPY was back below the 200 day MA.  I'm guessing SPY trades sideways until Thursday when no deal is announced the flush out will continue.  #SPYto600 

whatsgoingonhonestly

Spy really got fucking hard rejected when it touched the 200MA lol

Successful-Pass-568

$SPY going for up past 200MA

whatsgoingonhonestly

Do they? I'm watching it sell off right back below the 200MA rn lol

k21k21k21

I wonder how many stops were set just above the 200MA

ThermalChaser

I don't try to time the bottom. I sit in short dated treasuries until we regain and hold back above the 200 day MA. This cuts my max drawdown in half while only giving up a couple of points of gain over time according to the backtest I ran over the last 30 years.

peanuts-in-my-jelly

*I'm one of the baddest mothafuckas of all time. One of the best singers and one of the best lookin mothafuckaz you eva seen. HOL MA DRINK BICH*🫴

myinternets

I also moved about 50% to cash on Feb 25. Insane timing when I look at a daily chart of the S&P. Buying back in when I see a support level held or bounced off of for a decent amount of time. Skip the first bounce to ensure it's not a dead cat. Personally, when I see the 200MA reclaimed and held. If not that then a bounce off of 6000 S&P that holds. If we slice through 6000 like it ain't even there then it's anyone's guess after that.

RoleAlternative1553

Theres always some regions, sectors or commodities that are struggling, even in so called good times. Defining "struggling" is up to you but personally I dca into anything that is below the 100 day MA and stop when it goes above it.

Exact-Engineering-29

Man, the spy just broke the 200MA on Friday It’s going to be brutal.

Vulknar44

Its has a chance based off the charts too. Needs to first break the 200MA on the 5min and hold then we want to see it break the THE 100MA on the Daily and the next major resistance is currently around 20, catalyst could easily set this off

iamBuck1

We are below the 200 day moving average, nothing good happens below the 200 MA

errwc

https://preview.redd.it/e7c1sfailgqg1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2f33b82464953f1769e024158db99639b8eca819 It’s 30.03 at my local Wendy’s in MA

brute-forced

I was thinking around May 1st. Mostly due to two reasons… 1. The 200d MA average is about to intersect with 50dMA 2. 6months out from midterms Are you thinking there is another catalyst or identification for the bottom?

diarrheaticavenger

It pushed down past the weekly 50 MA, then found support it would seem. But sure, it’s a big ole conspiracy.

rosindrip

Bought some more MA

FLTtac1

Damn Im sorry for you. The 2:35pm pump yesterday cooked your position i’m guessing. Conviction can be a fragile thing. Dont get your head too messed up by everything in the markets. Just look at price action. Yesterday we still closed below the range we had been trading at for weeks, meant more downside was coming today which was confirmed with the breaking down of the 200 MA. Better luck (though i would quit if I were you, that’s what i do).

whatsgoingonhonestly

A fun reminder the last time we went below 200MA spy went from 600 to 490 before recovering

1M-to-Zero

Punching through $647 support from October. 200MA already gave up.

WocketWaccoon

LMAO at all the fintwit cucks who yesterday said “as I predicted, we bounced perfectly at SPY’s 200 MA”

whatsgoingonhonestly

We are comfortably beneath the 200MA now

SxeySteve

Just a little excursion below the 200MA

iamBuck1

nowhere near the bottom, this rodeo is just getting started and we are closing below the 200 MA nothing good happens below the 200MA

Bizonistic

Yeah i thought 660 is a strong support due to 200 MA line, it drilled right through yesterday

jlw993

https://preview.redd.it/8j0hs3kyt7qg1.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=0d0e216251244187a8c73be18484ad5df357a97f SPY now just below 200 MA

Ernest_EA

Everytime SPY falls below 200D MA = bear market gg

Ernest_EA

Goodbye 200D MA. You'll be missed

AluminiumCaffeine

RDDT, LPLA, and MA green at least lol

Ok_GAINZ

huge put wall at 6600 today. big put wall at 6500 going forward. Bottom side of JPM collar is at 6475 exp 3/31. weekly 50MA is at 6500 also. chop today. down next week. wont be surprised if magical news comes out when we get between 6500 and 6450ish to spurn a bounce. looking for a higher low around 6500 to nibble at a long entry towards mean reversion.

I_Sniff_Uranus

Not when SPY is below the 200 day MA

69spacecadet69420

Asked ai “The Recommended Play: Monday Expiry ($420 Cash) If you are betting the full $420, your best chance is a directional momentum play once the 200-day MA is confirmed as "broken." The Strike: $650 Put (Exp March 23/25) Why: There is a "liquidity hole" between $655 and $650. If the market accepts that $660 is the new resistance, the algorithms will target $650 next. Sentiment Score: Extreme Fear (VIX in the mid-20s). Fearful markets tend to "gap down" on Sunday nights more often than they gap up. The "Safe-ish" Execution Wait for the 10:30 AM Reversal: Let the morning "fake-out" move happen. The Rule: If SPY stays below $661, buy the Puts. If it clears $663, the "Dip Buyers" are in control—abort the puts and look for a scalp Call.” TLDR maybe puts maybe calls but based on the text I’m in your balls

Sweaty_Platypus69

SPY did close below the 200 DMA.. QQQ came close but did not close below its 200 MA..

TestingLifeThrow1z

It’s crazy to me that the Qs and SPY just started hitting below the 200 day MA and there’s extreme resistance. That’s something that’s new and usually isn’t the case, no sell-offs after a major resistance level broken. What’s buying it to save it? Also the institutional plays might start 3pm EST, just see what happened today.

housemouse431

the best news right at the 200d MA on SPY. chefs kiss rigging. lot of my long calls are alive again haha

Rav_3d

Perhaps. The market is definitely in a downtrend, and if we do get a bounce that stalls, like what happened Monday-Tuesday, then I agree it is a short opportunity. But today’s obvious breakdown of the 200-day MA on SPX, if reversed quickly, could mark a bottom, especially if the news becomes “less bad.”

Mean_Bumblebee1945

So you guys think we can bring Nasdaq back up even though it has closed below the 200MA?

EvolvingDior

SPY/SPX closed below the 200d MA. We have transitioned from "buy the dip" to "sell the rip" territory.

EvolvingDior

SPY closed below the 200d MA.

PinealTone

Damm.. so close closing below the 200 MA..oh well.. tomorrow it is then.. can't delay the inevitable l..

EvolvingDior

Tomorrow is OPEX and max pain is up. We're closing today below the SPY 200d MA. Tomorrow we flush.

SuspiciousStable9649

Allegedly the only ‘timing the market’ method that back tests 100% is selling at the 200 MA and buying back at the 200 MA. However, since that study came out there’s been a couple bounces off the 200 MA. So while this time looks serious, better to use the 210 or 220 MA to make sure you’re not caught by a trick to make you sell.

EvolvingDior

SPY is almost certainly going to close below it's 200d MA for the first time since we were liberated.