XLI
Industrial Select Sector SPDR® Fund
Mentions (24Hr)
300.00% Today
Reddit Posts
Rate my Roth IRA split, just opened my account and haven’t put anything in yet, just looking for advice.
Am I the only person that believes the 40 or 50 peace deals that pumped the markets was super unhealthy?
XLI has been ripping. Im sure it will slow down in 2027 but I'll keep buying until I hit 125 shares💪. What are your favorite stocks/ETFs to hold?
Pre-Market: NFP Day. Silver Rips (+5%), Tech Lags, and the "Retail Warning."
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
Pre-Market: Dow Holds 50k, Metals Bounce, and the "Data Squeeze" (Delayed NFP + CPI).
Trade Like a Hedge Fund: Copy My Simple Weekly Process
Feel of sector rotation: Industrials/Materials heating up, Tech cooling off
Will Trump's tariff delay spark a short-term stock market rally?
I'm a full time trader and this is my full analysis and take on the market as the Tariff deadline gets extended to August. More upside to come, or pullback imminent? 👇
Trump: US-China Trade Framework "Signed" Rare Earths Deal, Tariffs Rollback in Motion
Thoughts on moving portfolio away from heavy-cap tech? (XLB, XLI)
Recession? Here's why top industrial CEOs are super bullish on the economy
2023-04-25 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of a Weather Girl
2023-03-08 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-03-03 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-02-03 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
From Inflation to Recession: Part 2 - puts on industrials for generational wealth
Sunday Brunch Chartbook: Recent Market Performance and Analysis
GE stock surges after profit and revenue beats, a surprise swing to positive free cash flow
Monday's most interesting market trend amid the stock sell-off: Morning Brief
Why is my ticker down? Add these sectors ETF’s to your watchlist to understand the big picture
All-star investor Rich Bernstein warns bitcoin is a bubble, sees oil as the most ignored bull market
Industrials ($XLI), Energy ($XLE) & Financials ($XLF) - 5/21 plays
Mentions
fwiw XLI, VFH, XLV and VCR are already inside VTI at market weight, so holding them separately is just a manual sector tilt. if you don't actually want to overweight those 4, folding them into VTI drops 4 tickers and nothing really changes
I'd give it a 7.5/10. Love the consistency, but I think you're making the portfolio more complicated than it needs to be. 1. Is 17 tickers too many ? I'd consolidate. VTI already covers most of those sector ETFs. Keep SMH, AVUV or VOE if you deliberately want extra exposure, but there's a lot of unnecessary overlap here. 2. Should I add bonds at 29, or is gold plus a yearly review enough? Yes, I'd move XLI, VFH, XLV and VCR into VTI. You're already getting exposure to those businesses. 1. At 29, with a long horizon, I wouldn't feel obligated to own them. Gold isn't a bond replacement though. More important is whether you can stomach a 40% drawdown without selling. 3. International is only about 5%. Too low? 5% is pretty light. I'd personally look closer to 15–25%, although a US-heavy portfolio isn't automatically wrong. I'd probably simplify to VTI/VXUS as the foundation, with a few deliberate small/mid-cap and semiconductor tilts. The $1,100 every two weeks is doing more for your long-term wealth than having the perfect allocation anyway.
In the last one week VTI is down 2.58 but VFH is up 0.94. I think VTI is more tilted towards tech stocks and already my portfolio has certain segment of tech (like memory, semiconductor in the aggressive side of it) that’s why I picked tickers like XLI, VFH, XLV and VCR seperately
Okay... Very happy for your in-laws...really. I like stories of determination and overcoming adversity. ...and why would you watch 40% of your wealth evaporate? Nothing but nothing builds wealth faster than being on the right side of these massive re-allocation events. It's not about "whining" as you put it, it's about making unemotional, logical, rational decisions based on the evidence at hand. The equity market has been splitting in two all year and simply refusing to see it is not going to make it "unhappen". Would it surprise you to learn that the DJIA has outperformed the QQQ by 93% since the 2000 peak? Did you know that from the 2000 peak to 2007 the gap between the DJIA and QQQs was already a staggering 82.65%? QQQs -48.93% DJIA +33.72%. Go look it up yourself if you don't believe me. You see, it's not about "being fine" and "not whining" it's about assessing the situation absent emotion. Recognize opportunity when it presents. If we're at a similar inflection point, and I believe we are, then people that short the financialized manic bubble(XLK), and go long the real economy(XLB, XLI, XLE) will have the potential to build generational wealth.
Experienced investors also recognize when obvious sector rotations are obvious. Just because something is falling in price does not make that something "cheap". Odd as it may sound, one of the largest market drivers this year is the way the overly financialized AI buildout is overtly driving money flow away from financialization and into the "real economy". This is going to continue and will hurt information technology. This makes the way to play this very obvious. Short information technology(XLK, QQQ)...long energy(XLE), materials(XLB), and industrials(XLI).
Pass searching for your website… you ran some backrests I’m guessing? XLI down since summer… I’d wait for it to reverse and then give CAT a go! Good luck.
yeah it really makes some sectors and small cap stocks uninvestable until we see the light at the end of the tunnel with oil and yields. XLU XLI and XLF look like they may finally be bottoming out. I still wouldn't touch those sectors yet, though
Some sectors look like they're reversing: XLU XLI XLF ITA. I started adding a bit to the leveraged version of them Monday
XLK & XLP? XLK & XLI? How are you checking this anyway, are you using some cool mysterious website to show the result against VOO?
Anybody else swing trade the sector etf trading ranges? Looks like XLU and XLI on the low end of their range. I'll probably grab some UTSL and DUSL tomorrow for a 1-2 week swing
Sorry if this was already mentioned, but did yall see those extremely high blips right after close? URA, XLE, XLI, PAVE, VHT are some of the efts where I saw them. What is that about? Did someone buy some really over priced shares? Manipulation?
I have never touched SpaceX. Im all in on XLI and industrial stocks. If I'm buying shares of a space company, its going to be RKLB.
I like your picks. I've held AIPO and GRID for energy infrastructure with a AI tilt and because of that, they've been dipping over the last couple months, so if that speaks to you, not a bad time to get in, unless you think the sector will fall more. XLI and FIDU have more of an industrial tilt in the space. VOLT and ZAP more electrification focused.
Trimmed much of MU at 800 on the way up, putting it into XLB and XLI expecting a rotation. Felt like the biggest asshole when it kept flying to 1200
Its only VT, XLI, and RIVN in the brokerage account. This pic is like 2 weeks old and it's the same. 5 shares XLI, 1.3 of VT, 5.6 of RIVN lol https://preview.redd.it/q2m6kru8u3ch1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3fab5f3a530c7edb8dec6c10f1bdb7eb2197d995
XLI, VIS, UNH, ABT, RXT, KBE ro-ta-tion ✅
I’ve been burned then decided to quit. After watching the trump game (war -> peace -> war -> peace), I started a new system. Monday starts red then I watch it when it bounces off a bottom, I buy calls near the previous close. Tuesday is a taco day. So it’s almost always green but you cant do much there because it only gaps up and 1dte are usually very expensive. I watch VIX, CL1!, XLI, XLK, DXY and US10Y as they give early signals. If US10Y goes above 4.4%, expect a peace tweet within 24hrs. If you notice a VIX sudden jump, expect a significant drop. If you see a significant CL1! movement downward, expect a god green candle but you need to act quickly and sell as almost always god candles retrace. XLI and XLK precede SPX movement by 2 weeks but watch it only for direction and dont base your decisions on them. Always buy puts before trump or the fed chair goes on a speech. During the fed chair’s speech, buy calls. Stay on the sidelines on the day trump speaks. You need to know the white house’s schedule the day before. If the market is choppy bouncing between red and green, it’ll close within 5pt of the previous close. If you catch one of those great days where it’s choppy and then it suddenly moves 15-20pts below or above the previous close within 15mins of market close, aim for near the previous close and have balls of steel. Just put in your orders and wait. Now obviously this is not an investment advice. This is me talking about myself to myself. I have two accounts and I started doing this in one of them with $100 and now it has $3k. With the huge military asset movement in the middle east over the last 2.5mo, I expect something major will happen before the fall. My plan is to anticipate the move’s timing and place a $5k bet that should turn it into $100k if im lucky. If it all goes to waste, it’s ok i accept the risk.
If you are into Insustrials checkout AIRR instead. It has been crushing SPY and XLI both for the last 5 years - [https://stockanalysis.com/etf/compare/xli-vs-airr-vs-ivv/](https://stockanalysis.com/etf/compare/xli-vs-airr-vs-ivv/) I held it briefly, but I decided to simplify my portfolio, so I got rid of all my sector ETFs. https://preview.redd.it/pejljsgpoi9h1.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=35c0b9030065b2e3982b64ebba8091b1bc4d5d4a It is significantly more volatile though - [https://testfol.io/analysis?s=gje3poYxXxC](https://testfol.io/analysis?s=gje3poYxXxC),
I just opened my brokerage account in late February of this year. I only have shares of XLI, VT, DRAM, AMD, and RIVN.
Those State Street sector ETFs are very nice at times like this. Either the growth ones like XLI, or the new covered call ones like XLII. SPMO might be good. For extreme diversification, when all else fails, including gold, energy, etc., you might want DBMF, although hopefully not necessary. If you see DBMF is gaining significantly start building a bunker.
Stop investing into singular stocks. Pick 1-3 singular stocks and invest the rest into ETFs of your choice. You already mentioned VTI. Keep buying VTI or look into VOO and VT. Watch some videos on YouTube and do the research. Personally, I hold 4 stocks. VT, XLI, RIVN, and DRAM.
Sure, there are a million thematic ETFs that won’t or mostly won’t include AI or tech stocks. XLI is all industrials. ITA is all defense/aerospace stocks. XLE is all energy stocks. XLU is all utilities. VCR is all consumer discretionary. You could also pick countries that don’t have any AI companies. ARGT is all Argentine stocks. EWA is all Australian stocks. EPOL is all polish stocks. For something that \*mostly\* avoids AI stocks, you could buy a dividend ETF like SCHD or VIG. These are all just examples. If you want to avoid AI exposure, there are a lot of ways to do it with low expense ratio ETFs.
There are ETFs without all the Tech that are still growth like PPA, VCR and XLI but tech is where the future growth will be. PPA has outperformed the S&P by a lot but also has high costs. VCR and XLI significantly trail the S&P.
look at what's in XLE, XLI, and XLB
An insider that heads that segment recently sold 5K shares, about 30% of her position. There were some other insiders selling around the same time. Cummins Analyst Day had a lot of forthcoming information, all positive stuff. I’m long CMI, but recently sold. I will buy back in slowly over the next couple months, still bullish. It’s been good to me. I use CAT as a benchmark, watching XLI sometimes. Godspeed.
I’ve been scheming up a play around the idea that semis will see a large rotation out / underperforming sectors will see a large rotation in for quarterly rebalancing throughout second half of June. I’ve been slowly increasing my positions in XLV, XLU, XLI, and XLP by selling my SGOV
Aside from QQQ, my guess is this will be in XLK or XLI, state street’s tech and industrial sector ETFs Most likely I think it will be in XLI.
XLI is pretty overrun with stocks affiliated with data center buildout as well. Some moves in stocks like CAT / GEV will be talked about for decades but it remains to be seen if in a good or bad way.
One option might be to buy shares of all the sector ETFs. (XLE, XLF, XLI, etc)
Wait till closer end of the week, opex is unwinding and next week is end of ceasefire. Retail data + XLI companies reporting. We are ready to fall over we just need the stabilizing base of monthly opex to roll off.
This is opex week, as we go we will destabilize. Leading into 4/18 weekend where something happens, Tuesday has retail and a number of XLI companies giving earnings. They have to address the giant tarrif announced 4/6 that basically eats into beoing and other’s profits. 4/21 is the perfect storm … oh and also ceasefire deadline.
the big boys are in Bonds or Cash. when they return the tech market will explode. i am long hyperscalers with March 2027 Calls. so watch the Dollar and Oil crash and Commodities and Tech explode. another sector i have been watching is Industrials (XLI) and Materials (XLB). this is also related to Hyperscalers.
Sell, no. Trade swap into funds like XLI, yes.
Sell, no. Trade swap into funds like XLI, yes.
Good opportunity to increase position in XLI?
Materials/ industrial stocks. I think XLI is one of the tickers. Defense stocks should work for awhile too bc supplies need to be replaced. RTX, LMT, XAR
God damn. Would have been down like 6K today but XLB, XLI, and XLU puts brought it down to like -$600. That was a rough one.
My guess would be to buy sector funds separately such XLI, XLE, etc.
XLI might be for you. Good return and no tech.
You’re better off buying baskets of ETFs and not individual stocks in these regimes I’ve found. Things like XOP, XLI, ITA, USO etc
Buying individual stocks is incredibly risky. If you are concerned about tech valuations buy industrial etf like XLI or value stock etf like VTV.
i was more thinking of XLI etf and its components
Check out spdrs to diversify within the market for low fees, XLE, XLU, XLI, XLB etc. Find the unloved sectors and they'll shine again one day. I like MLPs better than REITS for income. For natural gas, EPD and ET have done well lately. I also own small positions in short volatility etfs like SVOL that have done well in certain markets, but might not buy them today, they just keep dripping. Some of the aforementioned distributions are capital gains instead of dividends. Different for tax purposes, i think lowering your cost basis so instead of paying taxes on the payouts, you just lower your cost basis for when you sell. Honestly not sure and I'm not really qualified to be discussing that. It's all ROTH so doesn't matter to me. I own some GDX and GLD and some leveraged precious metals ETFs that pay dividends but have higher fees. Look into equal/ historical weight SP500 ETFs if you want broader exposure with reduced tech volatility. That's my current recipe for diversification, but I've got several new ideas from others in this thread to get excited about, so thank you to all who have posted! Hope it helps, and as always, do your own research before allocating.
I honestly just use the sector ETF. XLV XLE XLC XLB XLU XLI XLRE. they all rotate in cycles
State street sector ETFs (XLB, XLF, XLI, etc.) can be a good option if you want to be more selective than just the S&P 500. Gives you exposure to particular sectors instead of a larger index
Buy options with a farther out expiration date and also diversify away from tech. Look at charts showing sector strength. Tech is weakening. Energy, utilities, etc I also buy options on sector ETFs like XLI
" Normally something in the mag 7 would be a "safe bet"" Too many people act as if Mag 7 are the new staples but also still a growth story. In the early 2025 downturn, META lost about 33% in a little over a month. Amazon and Apple lost about 25%. The MAGS etf is -6.5% YTD. There are plenty of things that are actually performing well, like basic materials (XLB +15% ytd), industrials (XLI +10.25%) and energy (xle +19%), but this sub doesn't talk about those things. This sub doesn't even talk about much variety of tech names beyond Mag 7, while things like LITE are +45% YTD. "Where the mega caps are spending" has been a better playbook than Mag 7 for 2-3 years now and with capex ramping higher, that's been even more the case this year. "If getting out of the mag 7," It's not that people have to dump the Mag 7 entirely, but the sort of "collect em all" view on the group became much of the playbook for a lot of people on here and then most of the discussion on here especially for the last couple years despite the fact that some of the Mag 7 have been underperforming for a while. People should pick their one or two best ideas.
Consider using a sector tracker to follow the top performing sectors. Within the U.S. YTD these are ETFs like XLB, XLE, XLI, XLP, XLRE, and XLU. YTD, all of these have significantly outperformed VOO. Here is a sector tracker for S & P 500 stocks. [Sector tracker | State Street](https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/resources/sector-tracker#currentTab=ytd)
Hey there, I had a Roth IRA rolled over, and I don't quite want to disclose the amount, but it's certainly getting me excited about what to put this into. After some brief (and I mean brief) research, I was thinking about three EFTs to diversify my stocks, as I am currently leaning pretty heavy in the tech sector (NVDA, VOO) XLV (Health Care Select Sector SPDR) XLI (Industrial Select Sector SDPR) XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector) What are we thinking, reddit? I will be honest; I know a whole lot of nothing about stocks; I am mainly just trying to load this cash into each EFT for long term investing for the next forty years.
ETFs to wheel at a somewhat affordable price are some of the spdr select etfs listed here. [https://stockanalysis.com/list/sector-etfs/](https://stockanalysis.com/list/sector-etfs/) some of these are <$100. liquidity is just on the cusp of being untradeable, so watch the mid price. personally have traded XLI, XLU, XLF, XLE, XBI, etc. currently have CC positions in XLU in my IRA.
Check out these ETFs XLB VCR XLI XLP XLE Thanks Value investor
Get some April or later XLE calls, or XLI if you have a bit more cash on hand.
Might as well document this for transparency, for better or worse. These were the **prices for each contract at the time my post was published**. IWM Feb 11 262 Put: $0.18 IWM Feb 13 259 Put: $0.31 IWM Feb 13 256 Put: $0.17 TGT Feb 13 108 Put: $0.25 SBUX Feb 13 94 Put: $0.13 PNC Feb 13 227.5 Put: $0.20 USB Feb 13 57 Put: $0.05 XLI Feb 13 167 Put: $0.11 Look at the expiration dates. From the start, this is a very short-term play.
Guys I think I'm just gonna keep adding CATcalls and maybe some XLI calls this week. Everything else feels like a powderkeg.
Get some XLI calls then you won't worry as much about catastrophic price swings every couple hours.
long QQQ/MAGS/XLI - short SLV/GOLD....thank me in a year
Keep these on your watch list. XLI, XLP, XLE, XLK, XLB, XLV. XLF, XLC, XLU. Seems to be going mostly into energy materials healthcare and financials
So far WM, RSG, XHB, XLI, and USO have been a good buy so far.
I just bought XHB and XLI like a boring person.
Am I stupid for thinking of doing this? So I’m sure we all know that a lot of etfs are heavy into the big 7 and well the crazy growth that can’t be sustained has me thinking of moving away. I’d rather play it safer for long term growth and spread out to etfs like XLI, XLF, XLE, XLV, VBR, VXUS, and RSP. My goal is long term growth for retirement. Thoughts on this? I’d rather not get fucked when this shit bursts by keeping most of my money in VT or something.
Bro, you can just look to see if defensive stocks are running, that’s usually an indicator of a short term pullback at least. Also, stocks in XLE, XLI, and XLU start running. TLDR: If XLI, XLU, and XLE are green premarket. That’s bearish. Defensive Stocks (not a comprehensive list, do your own DD, I’m not your uncle) - PM - PG - PEP - T - DG - VZ -KO -LMT 👍🏾
https://www.reddit.com/r/IRstudies/s/noip3a1XLI Eurocucks ponsifiying only to realise that they too will suffer if they sell all USD bonds.
XLI + currency debasement trade for 2026 ftw
Sell options on tickers your account can deal with the volatility. TSLA is too hot to handle for many brothers in this forum, include you brother. But there are so many opportunities other than TSLA. Last year I made a ton of money on stuff like XLI. The volatility is lower, and the money your broker asked is also lower. And because the option was overpriced compared to how much it moved... $$$ Stop focusing on the hot girl, and get ready for the one that are marriage material. That's all I wish to you in 2026 brother.
I have some XLI and PPA. Sectors that should benefit from AI without their futures being dependent on it.
Totally agree with you. I’m with you on the whole jet engine backlog from COVID it’s been a big opportunity for those companies. On top of that, XLI is also getting a boost from AI-related capital investments, since all those massive data centers need not just chips but serious infrastructure too. So yeah, we should be looking into some solid names in this sector. Which companies are you keeping an eye on right now?
I'm feeling pretty bullish on the industrial sector (XLI) it's been outpacing the broader market (SPY) lately. A lot of that is thanks to aerospace and defense stocks. Those big companies in the space are basically defense giants, and with global military spending going up and all the geopolitical tension, they're definitely benefiting
This week large-cap Industrials (XLI) closed at new all-time highs. Small-cap Industrials (PSCI) confirmed the move with all-time highs of their own. Large cap financials also closed at a high. If Industrials look good it’s hard for the market to roll over. That’s not an opinion, it’s math. Of all the S&P sectors, Industrials have the highest historical correlation with the S&P 500 itself. If you define the "most important" sector as the one that moves most closely with the overall market, then Industrials are your winner. This sector is a true mix: heavy machinery, engineering firms, railroads, airlines, trucking companies, waste management, staffing services - the nuts and bolts of the American economy. Every stock in the Dow Transports is already inside the S&P Industrials sector. "All the Transports are Industrials." So airlines, logistics companies, truckers, railroads - they all live inside the Industrials bucket. Either way, the trend in Industrials is up. And the Transports are pushing from behind.
XLF and XLI just broke, so I would look into those 2 sectors.
This is the way I thought of DIA Dow represents a more diversified portfolio than the tech heavy qqqs or even the spy500. Financials make up more of the index today but historically it was energy. It is not industrials that is now XLI/VIS. The future will probably have a more tech focused index. The dogs of the dow often rally for a catch up trade - EDOW is an equal weight dow.
I mainly trade technology stocks and other aggressive stocks that are usually added to the following ETFs sectors like: XLK, XLF, XLC, XLY, and XLI. In fy23 I increased my portfolio to 161%, in fy24 it was 96% and this year fy25 it was up 114%. My portfolio has definitely increased significantly over the years. However, the market looks like it wants to come down, and it feels like it’s a house of cards, so I got out and sold all my stocks around November 11. And I’m just going to wait until breadth, sentiment, volume and momentum is back in the market before I start trading again. Happy trading everyone!
i'm looking to do similar as the price of individual stocks are leaving a sour taste. especially with certain firms seeing \~5% moves on the daily. thing is, I HATE the concentration risk in the indexes but there are very few ETF's lacking concentration risk AND have the liquidity to be trade-worthy. most of these are sector specific; XLI, XOP, XLU, etc. my thought process is to short premium directionally, risking 10 to make 2 (\~70ish % probability) in a defined risk setup. Delta is less a factor, it's the risk/reward scenario. the lack of option risk trades on my account lets me sleep at night, but the lack of cash flow makes me dread the monthly bills.. it's becoming more and more difficult to filter the static in the market and find rational trades. the indexes will outlive us, and i'm guessing in 10years the price will be higher than it is now... but it's the next 6 months I have to focus on. I would not be surprised in a \~20% fluctuation in that time frame.
I moved 50% of my holdings to XLI a few weeks ago to reduce my exposure to the inflated tech stocks in nasdaq & sp500 etfs that I hold with the other 50%. I'm a little less battered in the recent week's markets as a result so there's that.
True; all stocks will drop!! If you can decrease the % of high risk stocks in portfolio (sell), you can then be in dividend or mega caps that buy you time (days) —to then get all out! But it all depends on what crashes first of course. The 60/40 funds are safer. WMT is safe. There are safe plays ya just need to do homework and diversify. Healthcare, XLv, Gold, TLT, XLP, WMT, Euro, XLI
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hS1YqcewH0c](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hS1YqcewH0c) Open AI dev day, could get goofy, pay close attension on what Sam and company are saying, then trade the theme accordingly. Like, expandaing or making data centres more efficient, look at fiber optic companies. 'We aree more energy!!!!' --> XLI names, if efficient energy --> nuke names, or new age energy storage names Just stay alert, and make AI find top comanies per specific segment.
That's a lot of unusual volume on XLI! To answer your questions: 1) Market makers fill these contracts, hedging their positions. 2) It's tough to say for sure without more data, but it *could* be a bearish play, or a range-bound strategy. 3) Determining if it's a hedge or pure options play requires deeper analysis of the trader's account, but tools like the ones on wheelstrategyoptions.com can help you scan for unusual option activity and potentially identify the strategy being employed.
(Hedge Fund) Elliot Management disclosures: "Five of the top 10 investments are puts on SPY, QQQ, IWD, XLI and NVDA."
Currently I run it on AMZN, SOFI, Delta, RKLB, XLI, and Archer aviation
XLI - industrials ETF. Relatively safe with steady growth. Probably will benefit from current administration.
I've been watching GEV, but they are more of an AI play at this point..also, are they in the XLI?
What's kind of surprising about this market, is that industrials are leading. They're keeping up with semis. Kind of bizarre, oh well, calls on MMM or XLI
War is good business. Military companies are part of the Industrials sector. A lift in Industrials (XLI) is always good for the market
Hey man, you're spot on – today's numbers were definitely a mixed bag and didn't really light a fire under the market. Like you said, maybe a *slight* hint of weakness pushing the dollar down, but nothing crazy. It's interesting though, if you look a bit deeper, that drop in 'core capital goods orders' (basically, what businesses are ordering, minus defense and planes) falling 1.3% *is* a bit of a heads-up. It suggests companies might be getting a bit cautious with their spending. That often gives a clue about how industrial stocks (like XLI) and smaller companies (like IWM) might do, and both have been a bit sluggish lately, so it kind of fits. This ties into the bigger 'vibe' of the economy right now – feels like we're in a phase of slower growth but also low inflation. If you look back at times like these, usually 'safer' bets like healthcare (XLV), low-volatility stocks (SPLV, USMV), and solid bonds (AGG) tend to hold up better. Just thinking out loud, but it's a pattern worth watching. If you're into this 'big picture' macro stuff and how it can connect to your own investing, we actually break down these economic 'regimes' and share model portfolios based on them over on our site, [**macrolookup.com**](http://macrolookup.com), which you can check out. We try to make institutional-level insights accessible for regular investors. Might be helpful if you're looking for ways to navigate these kinds of markets! Hope this helps add another angle to your thinking.
I'm similar to you, have \~10% of my portfolio in defense (ITA), I like to limit my exposure with ETF's by having them in individual sectors rather than broad market...I'm still diversified, but I know Reddit says not being heavy in VOO is terrible... Made adjustments this AM to XLB, RSP, and XLI to have \~50% of my portfolio allocation, and bought AMD and NVDA at open as a bet for this UAE deal going on today. I don't mind owning there outright at the moment and its only \~5% of my portfolio
Puts on XLI, IWM and XRT
I have msft, PFE, OXY, pep, o, IMKTA, carr, tgt, XLI, schd, voo, amzn, and TLT for the lions share of my portfolio I'm part swing trade part dividend investor so don't read too much into those positions as being ideal for dividend investing. Some of those positions are small and some large. Each of them made sense when I opened them and for the most part have worked out. One thing you will probably notice is no qqq and my tech exposure is limited msft, amzn, and voo. If you had seen my account last year I had Costco, Mcd, sbux, NVDA, ko, and a bunch of other things. I ditched most of it back in December and went into a holding position for a few months. April 7th I deployed most of my capital as I think that was close to the bottom. The day I did that I went down my list of ideas and bought what made sense at that moment. I figure over the next few months I will wind down the TLT position for the most part and look for other opportunities.
just a glitch, it will lost a little bit overnight, but you'll probably be above $1.7 tomorrow when trading opens, unless there's a huge gap in either direction overnight. Looks like closed with 2.08 ask 1.91 bid. [https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLI/options/?date=1747353600](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLI/options/?date=1747353600)
Most active options today are in XLI - Industrial Select. Warehouse inventory managers are starting to shit their pants. This is gonna be a baaaaaaaaaad week. Expecting heavy resistance to float the 510 strike today, though. Real bloodbath starts with Tesler earnings tomorrow.
XLI the industrials sector ETF has P/E of 22 and divided yield 1.4% Overpriced! You can get a better yield from bonds or a savings account Would be hypothetically interesting if P/E significantly under 10 and dividend yield significantly over bond yields But there’s also the “mad king” discount of 99%
that's a tough one pick your oligarch i'd suggest XLI, to minimize the tech crowd, but most of the world is woke, so you'll need to travel to Mars eventually
Full porting puts on SPY, XLI, and NVDA
Holy shit, Industrials (XLI) is getting massacred. Bye, bye miss American pie
I'd actually go from late November tbh. They may still be up on the year, sure, but I have been unhappy about how RSP or XLI/XLB/XLE, etc have traded since then. Until proven otherwise, it's likely that "highs are in" there for this cycle.
Which puts do you think will perform best? XLI or XLY (consumer discretionary or industrials)? Or is there a single company? D.R. Horton etc. are already way down. I don't think financials are at the same risk as 2008. But I see casino stocks totally underperform in recessions? Ideas?
Yeah I was thinking about PLTR and XLI. Will prob still add them eventually if it feels right, but after screaming internally over it for hours, I decided I wasn’t in the right frame of mind to add new securities lol. I def need more experience first, I have a feeling that with more experience, the FOMO will subside