XLI
Industrial Select Sector SPDR® Fund
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This is the way I thought of DIA Dow represents a more diversified portfolio than the tech heavy qqqs or even the spy500. Financials make up more of the index today but historically it was energy. It is not industrials that is now XLI/VIS. The future will probably have a more tech focused index. The dogs of the dow often rally for a catch up trade - EDOW is an equal weight dow.
I mainly trade technology stocks and other aggressive stocks that are usually added to the following ETFs sectors like: XLK, XLF, XLC, XLY, and XLI. In fy23 I increased my portfolio to 161%, in fy24 it was 96% and this year fy25 it was up 114%. My portfolio has definitely increased significantly over the years. However, the market looks like it wants to come down, and it feels like it’s a house of cards, so I got out and sold all my stocks around November 11. And I’m just going to wait until breadth, sentiment, volume and momentum is back in the market before I start trading again. Happy trading everyone!
i'm looking to do similar as the price of individual stocks are leaving a sour taste. especially with certain firms seeing \~5% moves on the daily. thing is, I HATE the concentration risk in the indexes but there are very few ETF's lacking concentration risk AND have the liquidity to be trade-worthy. most of these are sector specific; XLI, XOP, XLU, etc. my thought process is to short premium directionally, risking 10 to make 2 (\~70ish % probability) in a defined risk setup. Delta is less a factor, it's the risk/reward scenario. the lack of option risk trades on my account lets me sleep at night, but the lack of cash flow makes me dread the monthly bills.. it's becoming more and more difficult to filter the static in the market and find rational trades. the indexes will outlive us, and i'm guessing in 10years the price will be higher than it is now... but it's the next 6 months I have to focus on. I would not be surprised in a \~20% fluctuation in that time frame.
I moved 50% of my holdings to XLI a few weeks ago to reduce my exposure to the inflated tech stocks in nasdaq & sp500 etfs that I hold with the other 50%. I'm a little less battered in the recent week's markets as a result so there's that.
True; all stocks will drop!! If you can decrease the % of high risk stocks in portfolio (sell), you can then be in dividend or mega caps that buy you time (days) —to then get all out! But it all depends on what crashes first of course. The 60/40 funds are safer. WMT is safe. There are safe plays ya just need to do homework and diversify. Healthcare, XLv, Gold, TLT, XLP, WMT, Euro, XLI
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hS1YqcewH0c](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hS1YqcewH0c) Open AI dev day, could get goofy, pay close attension on what Sam and company are saying, then trade the theme accordingly. Like, expandaing or making data centres more efficient, look at fiber optic companies. 'We aree more energy!!!!' --> XLI names, if efficient energy --> nuke names, or new age energy storage names Just stay alert, and make AI find top comanies per specific segment.
That's a lot of unusual volume on XLI! To answer your questions: 1) Market makers fill these contracts, hedging their positions. 2) It's tough to say for sure without more data, but it *could* be a bearish play, or a range-bound strategy. 3) Determining if it's a hedge or pure options play requires deeper analysis of the trader's account, but tools like the ones on wheelstrategyoptions.com can help you scan for unusual option activity and potentially identify the strategy being employed.
(Hedge Fund) Elliot Management disclosures: "Five of the top 10 investments are puts on SPY, QQQ, IWD, XLI and NVDA."
Currently I run it on AMZN, SOFI, Delta, RKLB, XLI, and Archer aviation
XLI - industrials ETF. Relatively safe with steady growth. Probably will benefit from current administration.
I've been watching GEV, but they are more of an AI play at this point..also, are they in the XLI?
What's kind of surprising about this market, is that industrials are leading. They're keeping up with semis. Kind of bizarre, oh well, calls on MMM or XLI
War is good business. Military companies are part of the Industrials sector. A lift in Industrials (XLI) is always good for the market
Hey man, you're spot on – today's numbers were definitely a mixed bag and didn't really light a fire under the market. Like you said, maybe a *slight* hint of weakness pushing the dollar down, but nothing crazy. It's interesting though, if you look a bit deeper, that drop in 'core capital goods orders' (basically, what businesses are ordering, minus defense and planes) falling 1.3% *is* a bit of a heads-up. It suggests companies might be getting a bit cautious with their spending. That often gives a clue about how industrial stocks (like XLI) and smaller companies (like IWM) might do, and both have been a bit sluggish lately, so it kind of fits. This ties into the bigger 'vibe' of the economy right now – feels like we're in a phase of slower growth but also low inflation. If you look back at times like these, usually 'safer' bets like healthcare (XLV), low-volatility stocks (SPLV, USMV), and solid bonds (AGG) tend to hold up better. Just thinking out loud, but it's a pattern worth watching. If you're into this 'big picture' macro stuff and how it can connect to your own investing, we actually break down these economic 'regimes' and share model portfolios based on them over on our site, [**macrolookup.com**](http://macrolookup.com), which you can check out. We try to make institutional-level insights accessible for regular investors. Might be helpful if you're looking for ways to navigate these kinds of markets! Hope this helps add another angle to your thinking.
I'm similar to you, have \~10% of my portfolio in defense (ITA), I like to limit my exposure with ETF's by having them in individual sectors rather than broad market...I'm still diversified, but I know Reddit says not being heavy in VOO is terrible... Made adjustments this AM to XLB, RSP, and XLI to have \~50% of my portfolio allocation, and bought AMD and NVDA at open as a bet for this UAE deal going on today. I don't mind owning there outright at the moment and its only \~5% of my portfolio
Puts on XLI, IWM and XRT
I have msft, PFE, OXY, pep, o, IMKTA, carr, tgt, XLI, schd, voo, amzn, and TLT for the lions share of my portfolio I'm part swing trade part dividend investor so don't read too much into those positions as being ideal for dividend investing. Some of those positions are small and some large. Each of them made sense when I opened them and for the most part have worked out. One thing you will probably notice is no qqq and my tech exposure is limited msft, amzn, and voo. If you had seen my account last year I had Costco, Mcd, sbux, NVDA, ko, and a bunch of other things. I ditched most of it back in December and went into a holding position for a few months. April 7th I deployed most of my capital as I think that was close to the bottom. The day I did that I went down my list of ideas and bought what made sense at that moment. I figure over the next few months I will wind down the TLT position for the most part and look for other opportunities.
just a glitch, it will lost a little bit overnight, but you'll probably be above $1.7 tomorrow when trading opens, unless there's a huge gap in either direction overnight. Looks like closed with 2.08 ask 1.91 bid. [https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLI/options/?date=1747353600](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLI/options/?date=1747353600)
Most active options today are in XLI - Industrial Select. Warehouse inventory managers are starting to shit their pants. This is gonna be a baaaaaaaaaad week. Expecting heavy resistance to float the 510 strike today, though. Real bloodbath starts with Tesler earnings tomorrow.
XLI the industrials sector ETF has P/E of 22 and divided yield 1.4% Overpriced! You can get a better yield from bonds or a savings account Would be hypothetically interesting if P/E significantly under 10 and dividend yield significantly over bond yields But there’s also the “mad king” discount of 99%
that's a tough one pick your oligarch i'd suggest XLI, to minimize the tech crowd, but most of the world is woke, so you'll need to travel to Mars eventually
Full porting puts on SPY, XLI, and NVDA
Holy shit, Industrials (XLI) is getting massacred. Bye, bye miss American pie
I'd actually go from late November tbh. They may still be up on the year, sure, but I have been unhappy about how RSP or XLI/XLB/XLE, etc have traded since then. Until proven otherwise, it's likely that "highs are in" there for this cycle.
Which puts do you think will perform best? XLI or XLY (consumer discretionary or industrials)? Or is there a single company? D.R. Horton etc. are already way down. I don't think financials are at the same risk as 2008. But I see casino stocks totally underperform in recessions? Ideas?
Yeah I was thinking about PLTR and XLI. Will prob still add them eventually if it feels right, but after screaming internally over it for hours, I decided I wasn’t in the right frame of mind to add new securities lol. I def need more experience first, I have a feeling that with more experience, the FOMO will subside
Cool. I think you meant UVIX but that all makes sense to me otherwise. Tonight I was reading about how these VIX-related products are often misunderstood so had a little chat with GPT about them, and which are the best products for long-term, thought you might appreciate it too: “VIX-related ETFs and ETNs are designed to provide exposure to market volatility. They can be useful during market downturns but are risky due to their decay over time. Is UVIX Worth Investing in During Uncertainty? Pros: • 2x leverage means big gains if volatility spikes. • Quick and effective hedge against market crashes. • More reactive than UVXY/VXX. Cons: • Massive time decay when markets are calm. • Contango erodes value over time. • Can drop 50%+ in weeks if VIX doesn’t spike. Best Strategy? • Avoid holding long-term due to decay. • Buy when VIX is low and uncertainty is rising. • Sell into VIX spikes, don’t hold too long. • Use options instead of shares if possible (limits downside risk). Should You Continuously Average Down? 🚨 No – Averaging down in UVIX/UVXY is dangerous because VIX decay is inevitable. Instead: 1. Time your buys around market complacency – When VIX is below 13-14 and volatility is artificially suppressed. 2. Scale in slowly when uncertainty rises – Rather than averaging down blindly. 3. Sell aggressively into spikes – Don’t hold too long. Final Verdict • For short-term hedging: UVIX is best for quick volatility spikes. • For a longer hedge: UVXY or VXX decay slower. • For betting against the market: SPXS or SQQQ are better choices with less decay. **Asked what are the best for long-term hedging based on what you were suggesting** For long-term options plays, you generally want to avoid instruments with high decay like UVIX, UVXY, and VXX. Instead, focus on options strategies that benefit from trends rather than short-term volatility spikes. Here are some of the best long-term options approaches depending on your goals: 1️⃣ Hedging for Market Crashes (Volatility Protection) If you want a hedge against market downturns, but without the extreme decay of VIX ETFs: 🔹 SPXU (3x Bearish S&P 500) or SQQQ (3x Bearish Nasdaq) - LEAPs • Strategy: Buy long-term calls (LEAPs, 6+ months out) on SPXU or SQQQ. • Why? These move inversely to the market but don’t suffer from VIX contango. • Example Trade: Buy SPXU Jan 2026 $30 calls. • Best Use: Long-term hedge against a market crash. 🔹 VIX Call Spreads (If You Must Play Volatility) • Strategy: Instead of UVIX or UVXY shares, use call spreads on VIX itself. • Why? Spreads reduce the cost and impact of VIX decay. • Example Trade: Buy a VIX 20/30 call spread for 6 months out. • Best Use: Betting on a volatility spike while capping risk. 2️⃣ Playing Long-Term Market Growth (Bullish Plays) For long-term bullish plays, you want options on strong ETFs or individual stocks with high growth potential. 🔹 QQQ (Nasdaq-100) LEAP Calls • Strategy: Buy deep ITM (in-the-money) QQQ calls expiring in 1-2 years. • Why? Less time decay, great long-term tech exposure. • Example Trade: Buy QQQ Jan 2026 $300 calls. • Best Use: Riding long-term Nasdaq growth. 🔹 XLI (Industrial ETF) LEAP Calls • Strategy: Buy long-term calls on XLI (Industrials ETF). • Why? Industrials tend to perform well in high-rate and economic recovery environments. • Example Trade: Buy XLI Jan 2026 $110 calls. • Best Use: Benefiting from defense, infrastructure, and manufacturing growth. 3️⃣ Smart Volatility Trades Without Decay Instead of UVIX or UVXY, you can profit from volatility cycles in smarter ways: 🔹 VIX Calendar Spreads • Strategy: Buy a longer-dated VIX call and sell a near-term VIX call. • Why? You profit from near-term decay while keeping long-term volatility exposure. • Example Trade: • Buy VIX Dec 2025 $20 calls. • Sell VIX May 2025 $20 calls. • Best Use: Reducing cost of volatility hedging. 🔹 SKEW Index Options • Strategy: SKEW measures tail risk (i.e., extreme market moves). Buying long-term calls on SKEW can hedge against big shocks. • Best Use: If you believe a black swan event (big crash) is coming. 4️⃣ The Best Defensive Long-Term Put Strategy If you’re bullish overall but want a hedge, go with puts on high-risk ETFs. 🔹 ARKK or IWM Puts (Instead of VIX) • Strategy: Buy long-term puts on ARKK or IWM. • Why? These high-beta ETFs crash hard when markets drop. • Example Trade: Buy ARKK Jan 2026 $40 puts. • Best Use: A cheaper hedge than VIX products. Final Thoughts • Avoid holding UVIX, UVXY, or VXX long-term. Instead, use VIX call spreads or hedges like SPXU/SQQQ. • If bullish, buy QQQ/XLI LEAP calls rather than short-term plays. • If hedging, buy ARKK/IWM puts instead of decaying VIX ETFs. • For volatility hedges, consider VIX calendar spreads to limit decay. Best Approach for You? Since you’re already trading SPXS/UVXY calls for uncertainty, I’d suggest: ✅ SPXU or SQQQ LEAP calls for long-term hedging. ✅ QQQ/XLI LEAP calls if you want a bullish play. ✅ ARKK/IWM puts instead of UVIX/UVXY decay. Would you like me to help build a trade plan around this?
imho sell everything and buy VLT 50%, XLK 20%, XLI 10% and cash 20%
Knowing the allocation by ticker would provide better insight. With the etf and equities, are they comprised of one etf and stock or 10? It’s hard to tell based on the information provided. For me, it’s something like 30% VOO 30% VGT and 30% IGM (for exposure to META) 3% Cash/Bonds. Rest dabble in individual stocks or sector etf (based on market conditions). Less than 1.5% in each position. Most are 0.5%. Right now. XLF, XLI, XLRE. $2k in BTC since 2020 just to scratch that itch.
Out of all the ones you mentioned, the only one that’s red YTD is XLV. That’s biotech/healthcare which is literally one of the most risky sectors to invest in. Everything else is still green. XLI is up almost 20%.
And if tech sells off that would change. Look at RSP SCHD ITB XLV XLI
Using my custom GPT "Precision Trader AI" - This was the response Following the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range to 4.25%–4.50%, and signaling a slower pace of easing in 2025, various sectors are poised to experience distinct impacts. Sectors Positively Impacted: 1. Financials (XLF): Interest Rate Sensitivity: Banks and financial institutions often benefit from a steepening yield curve, which can enhance net interest margins. Current Performance: As of December 19, 2024, XLF is trading at $47.63, reflecting a decline of approximately 3% from the previous close. 2. Energy (XLE): Economic Growth Correlation: Energy demand typically rises with economic expansion, potentially boosting revenues for energy companies. Current Performance: XLE is priced at $84.05, down about 2.84% from the prior close. 3. Industrials (XLI): Infrastructure Investment: Anticipated fiscal policies may lead to increased infrastructure spending, benefiting industrial firms. Current Performance: XLI stands at $132.44, a decrease of roughly 2.87% from the last close. Sectors Negatively Impacted: 1. Real Estate (XLRE): Interest Rate Sensitivity: Higher long-term interest rates can increase borrowing costs, potentially dampening real estate investment and development. Current Performance: XLRE is at $40.76, showing a decline of about 3.96% from the previous close. 2. Consumer Discretionary (XLY): Consumer Spending Impact: Elevated borrowing costs may reduce disposable income, affecting spending on non-essential goods and services. Current Performance: XLY is trading at $228.64, down approximately 4.57% from the prior close. 3. Technology (XLK): Valuation Pressures: Higher interest rates can lead to increased discount rates, potentially compressing valuations for tech companies. Current Performance: XLK is priced at $232.24, a decrease of about 3.26% from the last close. Investment Considerations: Diversification: Given the varied sector responses, maintaining a diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sector-specific volatility. Interest Rate Monitoring: Investors should closely monitor interest rate trends, as further adjustments by the Federal Reserve could influence sector performances differently. Economic Indicators: Staying informed about economic indicators, such as consumer spending and industrial production, can provide insights into sector health and guide investment decisions. In summary, the Federal Reserve's recent policy decisions are expected to have nuanced effects across different sectors. Investors should consider these dynamics when making investment choices for the remainder of the year. ------- Option Strategies Based on the recent Federal Reserve policy changes and their anticipated impact on various sectors, here are specific Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) representing these sectors, along with suggested options strategies: Financials (XLF) Current Price: $47.63 Suggested Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread Details: Buy the $47.50 call and sell the $50.00 call, expiring in 30 days. This strategy limits risk while allowing for profit if XLF appreciates. Energy (XLE) Current Price: $84.05 Suggested Options Strategy: Bull Put Spread Details: Sell the $82.00 put and buy the $80.00 put, expiring in 30 days. This bullish strategy profits if XLE remains above $82.00, with limited risk. Industrials (XLI) Current Price: $132.44 Suggested Options Strategy: Long Call Details: Purchase the $135.00 call, expiring in 60 days. Anticipating sector growth, this allows for significant upside with the risk limited to the premium paid. Real Estate (XLRE) Current Price: $40.76 Suggested Options Strategy: Bear Call Spread Details: Sell the $42.00 call and buy the $44.00 call, expiring in 30 days. This bearish strategy profits if XLRE remains below $42.00, with limited risk. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) Current Price: $228.64 Suggested Options Strategy: Protective Put Details: Hold shares of XLY and buy the $225.00 put, expiring in 30 days. This provides downside protection against potential declines in the sector. Technology (XLK) Current Price: $232.24 Suggested Options Strategy: Collar Strategy Details: Hold shares of XLK, sell the $235.00 call, and buy the $230.00 put, all expiring in 30 days. This strategy limits both upside potential and downside risk, suitable for uncertain market conditions. Notes: Bull Call Spread: Involves buying a call option at a lower strike price and selling another call option at a higher strike price, both with the same expiration date. This strategy limits both potential gains and losses. Bull Put Spread: Involves selling a put option at a higher strike price and buying another put option at a lower strike price, both with the same expiration date. This strategy profits when the underlying asset's price is above the higher strike price at expiration. Long Call: Involves purchasing a call option, providing the right to buy the underlying asset at a specified strike price before the option expires. This strategy offers unlimited profit potential with the risk limited to the premium paid. Bear Call Spread: Involves selling a call option at a lower strike price and buying another call option at a higher strike price, both with the same expiration date. This strategy profits when the underlying asset's price is below the lower strike price at expiration. Protective Put: Involves holding the underlying asset and buying a put option to guard against a decline in the asset's price. This strategy provides insurance by setting a floor on potential losses. Collar Strategy: Involves holding the underlying asset, selling a call option, and buying a put option. This strategy limits both potential gains and losses, offering protection in volatile markets. These strategies are tailored to the current market outlook for each sector. Investors should assess their individual risk tolerance and investment objectives before implementing any options strategies.
anyone looking at $Morgan Stanley and $Cat for a potential XLF and XLI rebound? I am thinking of calls into year end
I think we're gonna get the dreaded broadening this week..meaning ur fav stocks will probably be flat to down while shit like the XLF, XLI, IWM, and RSP outperform. Which is good. Market concentration over time is a top signal
XLI XLV XLU SCHD all red last week. Tech only thing bullish from what I can see. And once again it’s the Mag 7.
I would rather buy XLI/XLRE/IYM to hedge against this
I just buy calls 3-4 months away on popular sector ETFs like IGV, XLI, and SPY on red days. I average in on calls on consecutive red days, 50% of portfolio is cash, rest of portfolio is csah to not be blown away on something crazy.
I'm personally focusing more on what ETFs will do well in a high tariff environment. Trying to pick which companies the Trump administration will favor is kind of difficult if you aren't in their inner circle. So I would instead choose sector ETFs that would make the most sense in a high tariff environment. These ones make sense to me: XLU, XLP, VNQ, XLV, XLI. XLV is counterintuitive, but if you think about, health care will probably boom under RFK jr.
All US industrials are going to go up. Buy some XLI for this presidency
GE ded XLI ded 
Holding XLI weekly puts leggoo 
XLI puts because I'm classy 
GE, GM, RTX tomorrow  holding XLI puts let's see what we get
No, dumb is you buying into something you have zero clue about. A 2 second review of XLI would have told you it was not 100% industrials.
Why the fuck is Uber and ADP part of XLI bro hello?
XLI just keeps levitating
coincidence. bad manufacturing numbers in the morning is why we dumped. Look at XLI and look at the DOW. Today had littlle to do with NVDA
Index funds, Spy, QQQ, IWF, Hack, IWM, SMH, VIOO, XLF, XLI, BBH, VOO, Do your homework,
My biggest gets have been buying a bunch of At the money calls on sub indexes like the XLU, XLF, XLI etc. They only move .20 -.60 a day but the upward pressure is strong and steady. Typically doubles my money in about two weeks, give or take. And if it's gonna roll over, it usually happens in slow motion over a few days, giving me ample time to take the profit and get out. I think it's going to be my go to play moving forward.
It's fairly obvious we are in late cycle, by many metrics..A big one is that utilities are market leaders right now. However, this could last another 2 or 3 years and late cycle bull markets tend to have the best returns of anytime. I personally am 70/30 growth/defensive, but this is less about a coming recession, or more about mitigating risk during Sept/Oct, months that we know ar seasonally shitty. And if we look at the last five years, seasonality has been a factor close to every time, whether it was the rampant buying in July or the pullback in late April. OP, to answer your question: Look at Utilities(XLU), Healthcare, Real Estate, Industrials(XLI), Gold, and Consumer durables. And bonds, although bonds tend to perform pretty bad the next two months as well, as counter intuitive as it seems.
Given your current holdings in $VOO and $VTI and as well as adding $SCHD For high dividends, $IWM for small-cap growth, and specially, sector ETFs like $XLI for added diversification. In the end, the important is using a financial advisor could also help and align your strategy to your goal. well dude, still u need any suggestion or assistance?
XLU and XLI are mooning. A bit ominous.
$XLI has literally grown faster than either $XLE or $XLU over the last 5 years. Industrials and consumer discretionary seem like a terrible play going into (estimated) softer demand. And small caps are depressed because of the hit regional banks took after the SVB collapse and the remaining risks they have.
When are you cucks going to learn that SPY is dead and you should put your money in winners like XLI
They are all in the Tech industry, you need to diversify, best way to do it is buying ETF in other sectors, a good complement to you current positions is energy sector, XLE is a good etf in that sector, utilities PHO, industrial XLI, PPA for aerospace and defense, I like SPYD which is high on dividends, what I’m trying to say is you picked great stocks, good solid companies and they won’t let you down but that doesn’t mean that their stock price will not be affected by cyclical and honestly all AI stocks will have a big correction after the elections.
ngl while its more fun to play nvda might be time to just buy RSP or XLI/XLF/RSP calls or something boring like that
I just look at charts. But there are a lot of scans you can use. I have a proprietary search I use on TOS, but it still takes time to verify on the charts. Some decent uptrending stocks now that appear to be in a short term downtrend: (not necessarily a 'buy' yet) SB, ABUS, TROX, MSTR, ZETA, IPW. DELL is one I entered yesterday with a put credit spread for July exp. But XLC and XLI are 2 very liquid ETF's in a solid uptrend as well. One way to find uptrends (on TOS platform) is to use your favorite indicator, it could be a moving average or a cloud, or a lower oscillator. Make sure it has been in buy mode for a time length of your choosing. I've been using 30 days, but it's up to you. That should give you a reasonably decent set of uptrending stocks. Lately I've been using a linear regression routine that measures the validity of the trend as well as extrapolated performance. It is extremely taxing on the TOS system and is way too complicated for scans. But it's fairly quick to find uptrending stocks near a 1 std deviation low that have a high r-squared value. I'd take that over falling knives any day. Generally, not always, intraday volume is a tell on when there is strong interest in stock. DELL had that going for it yesterday. It doesn't always work....I bought LFMD as well and am a tad under water.
I won’t roast trying to have 20-30 holdings as I’ve tried that myself, and I know it is recommended for true diversification, though ultimately I just went to VTI+VXUS because it’s gonna outperform trying to pick for nearly everyone. My roast is if you’re gonna take this approach, why be so heavily weighted in tech and finance? You may as well just go SPY. No energy exposure? No basic materials? No real manufacturing type industrials? Check out some XLE, XLI holdings.
XLI and XLF Bull Market?
It doesn't. Maybe if they actually made it industrial. Maybe if they cap weighted it. But we can use XLI as an indication for how well industrials are doing.
I am looking to add exposure to US industrials, given that pursuing industrial policy (reshoring, beefing up our clearly failing infra etc) are going to be priorities supported by Ds and Rs. What are some good ETF plays? Just go with XLI/VIS/IYJ? Any subsector specific ETFs (eg electricals, aerospace) that would be highly recommended?
Bears been calling top forever 🤡. Look at CAT chart and tell me if you see top? If we are headed into a recession then why would a cyclical industrial stock like CAT be at ATH? Look at the XLI chart is that top?😂 Short and shallow pullback at best
Odd prediction: XLI and XLV got oversold today, will get re-bought tomorrow, along with a mild XLK recovery, and we end at 511.50 eod
Looks XLI and IYT charts and tell me what you see?
>5 hr. ago > >If you're more about capital preservation I would look into looking for a pullback to go long off of a predefined support or Fibonacci level. I definitely would not recommend SMCI to a newbie. Consider looking into XLV or XLI, these are more tactical instruments that won't bury you alive in 0.2 seconds lol this market has shown us so much strength that I would not look to shorting unless you want to look at individual stocks that are already beaten down and have horrible fundamentals. I know this isn't the kind of answer you were looking for, but I hope it helps! Good luck, my friend This is the set up I'm looking for. I'd love to see 1,000 tested and rejected. Then buy puts. The run up was so intense and so much 'dumb' money is in there, it's prime for another puke out
If you're more about capital preservation I would look into looking for a pullback to go long off of a predefined support or Fibonacci level. I definitely would not recommend SMCI to a newbie. Consider looking into XLV or XLI, these are more tactical instruments that won't bury you alive in 0.2 seconds lol this market has shown us so much strength that I would not look to shorting unless you want to look at individual stocks that are already beaten down and have horrible fundamentals. I know this isn't the kind of answer you were looking for, but I hope it helps! Good luck, my friend
So, here's the thing. Politically, I am the opposite of Donald Trump in that I believe in freedom and he doesn't. I'm going to be enthusiastically voting for President Biden in the fall. Putting that aside, I'm looking at this election objectively. Each candidate has things that favor them and those that don't. President Biden has the advantages of incumbency, a robust economic recovery, several important legislative accomplishments, and political/demographic trends in swing states that favor his party (i.e. people moving from California to Arizona, suburbs in places like Pennsylvania & Michigan being more favorable to Democrats, etc.) On the flip side, voters are dissatisfied with the country's direction, disapprove of the President's job performance, and belive he is too old. Donald Trump has a loyal base of support, and benefits from continuous media coverage. On the flip side, he has countless legal problems, his presidency wasn't successful, his mental state has clearly deteriorated, and people just don't like the guy. Biden's approval ratings staying around 40-43% and polling points to a Trump win. On the other hand, the strong economy and the most accurate election forecaster of the past 40 years stating Biden is ahead as of now points to a Biden win. Personally, I do believe President Biden is a SLIGHT favorite to win the election. I think most of the polls are flawed & biased in favor of Trump (not purposely, just the sample pollsters use), and voters dislike both candidates but view Trump as more personally objectionable. So for me, when I look at the market, I think a bit of uncertainty should be priced in. This isn't 1984, 1996, or 2008 when the outcome was obvious this far in advance. It's more like 2004 or 2012; the incumbent is a slight favorite but not guaranteed. To answer OP's question, Trump's first term benefited tech because of artificially low-interest rates and massive deficit spending. Meanwhile, tariffs, trade policy in general, and other factors hurt sectors more tied to production, manufacturing, and global trade. Consider this article from December 2019: [https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-type-of-company-trump-threatened-is-thriving-instead/](https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-type-of-company-trump-threatened-is-thriving-instead/) ​ *"The S&P 500's 31 California-based tech companies are up 108% on average since Trump was inaugurated on Jan. 20, 2017."* ​ *" Meanwhile, Trump's more* [***favored sectors and industries***](https://www.investors.com/category/etfs-and-funds/sectors/) *haven't performed nearly as well.* *The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (*[***XLB***](https://research.investors.com/quote.aspx?symbol=XLB)*) is up just 19.2% from inauguration day and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (*[***XLI***](https://research.investors.com/quote.aspx?symbol=XLI)*) is up 28.4%.* *Energy stocks, too, have done notably poorly. Four of the 10 worst performing S&P 500 stocks since Trump's inauguration are in the energy sector."* ​ I would expect Trump to double-down on trade protectionism, tariffs, and mandates if he wins again. In my mind, this is terrible for the U.S. economy and would likely hurt the same industries it did during his first term. As indicated above, this would be bearish for industrials and materials. However, I'm not sure tech would benefit from a second Trump term. I think he would aggressively seek to increase regulation in that area. His inflationary policies would likely lead to a squeezed consumer. The Fed would likely cut rates, but if firms aren't able to import inputs and export products to overseas customers, how are they supposed to lower prices? That's extremely bearish for Consumer Discretionary. If the Fed brings rates low and does QE again, I guess that's bullish for existing residential real estate. New construction would be in trouble because of the trade issue/tariffs/supply chain disruptions resulting from protectionism. I'd be bearish on equities overall if Trump wins again, although I guess if the real leader of the free world Jerome Powell printed more I could be wrong. Utilities could do well under Trump, it's safety.
Every broker should have a screener that can do that. But I'll tip you off to a trick I use that will make this easier. First, look up all the SPDR X*** sector funds. They have an ETF for each sector, as well as some sub-sectors, like defense industry (XAR) within industrials (XLI). You could just stop there, as most of the X*** funds have decent options, but Wheeling on ETPs isn't usually that good, since volatility is averaged out. Proceed if you want individual stocks. Look at the market-cap weighted constituents of each sector fund, from highest to lowest. If the top stock has liquid options, you've found your options ticker for that sector. If it doesn't, check the second highest, and so-forth, until you find a stock that has liquid options. Here are two examples, XLF (Financials) and XLV (Health care): https://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/XLF/holding Top stock is: BRK.B. It has options, but you could probably do better. Next one is JPM. That's a winner. https://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/XLV/holding Top stock is: UNH. It has liquid options, so you can stop there, though I fucking hate that company, so if you want to keep looking, the next would be LLY, which is making news recently and is pretty hot right now. You can just change the ticker in the zacks.com URL links above to get the other sector constituents. For example, to get the Tech sector, change XLV to XLK: https://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/XLK/holding List of SPDR sector funds: https://www.sectorspdrs.com/
I keep hearing that this is a narrow rally, but look at the XLI, XLV, and XLF. I guess it's not as narrow as being portrayed.
looking into them spotify calls, brhahh.. Brakence for ya.... ​ [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kT-EK\_G0guA&list=RD3L8nycP\_XLI&index=26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kT-EK_G0guA&list=RD3L8nycP_XLI&index=26)
[no one knows](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_eRRab36XLI)
My big 4 ETFs (75% of my account) right now are VOO VFH IYJ XLI Then I have F for dividend payments. Last 3 stocks get to be my yolo stocks/gambles.
>now admitting I have a gambling addiction playing 0dte options, I don't know what to do It sucks when you get into this rut and think you can just make it back on a big winner when you see SPX 0DTE contracts going 30-100x depending on the day and entry/exit. What will help you is switching to weeklies, or even swinging monthlies (OpEx preferred for liquidity) on "boomer" stocks. Trust me when I say you can catch some pretty unreal gains on tickers that don't actually move a ton on a percentage level. Other than that, if you feel investing is bringing you more heartache than joy, then DCAing into passive funds or sector-specific allocation is the way to go. You can apply a rotation strategy and re-weight your holdings periodically between the major SPDRs, such as XLE (energy), XLF (financials), XLI (industrials), XLK (technology), XLV (healthcare), etc. Don't forget that these ETFs still have options and catching a move pays off huge because you can swing contracts without having the IV of something like an NVDA that requires you to constantly watch the underlying to time your entry and exit. Good luck fren!
I would say you should choose a combination of VOO (big caps), QQQ (tech heavy, overvalued), VNQ (real estate, significantly undervalued but benefit the most when interest rate drops next year), XLF (finance), XLE (energy, high dividend, good for diversified), XLI (industrial), BIL (short-term government bond, no risk, 5.2% annual return guaranteed). Basically, instead of choosing individual stocks, you should invest sector ETFs that you believe will benefit the most given the macroeconomic conditions. Given interest rate will drop next year, tech and real estate will benefit the most. But tech sector is already priced in to some extent, so real estate is the best place to invest. Ideal portfolio: 50% QQQ, 50% VNQ *Disclaimer: this is my personal insight of the market based on my investing experience over the last 7 years. This is not a financial advise. You should invest based on your own market research.
I bought puts in XLI, XLU, UAL, TGT and XLP today. Also bought calls in GDX, AFRM, and CBOE. We gotta see some pullback before we go up more.
That was a typo. 357.5 At this point it doesn't matter. I gave it all back with puts on XLE and XLI this week. Who the hells is buying all this shit?
You could get even more granular and go for sector ETFs like XLB, XLE, XLP, XLU, XLI, XLV. Basically anything with pricing power and good fundamentals.
The ETFs I would recommend that I've seen pretty good gains from so far are: XLE BIBL IVW SCHX XLI PFIX SPLG
You're kinda underestimating how good the Nasdaq is at hiding stuff here when it's on as it is uhhh...hiding a lot. From January 6th in some of the major large cap sector ETFs: XLI: about flat XLF: -6.6% XLE: -2.1% XLB (materials): -3% S&P: up 10.6% because the NDX is still up nearly 36% since then. Probably less than half of the S&P is up since January 6th with the correction that's occurred, it hasn't mattered since the Nasdaq has been on fire. Any rally is going to have to be tech stock led until we flip the calendar...it's been the story of this year and frankly if 4200 holds through the rest of the year for the S&P, it's going to be because QQQ refused to die more than anything else because value names have kinda been ravaged.
That is exactly the point, the market cap is skewing your view. I didn't say remove all winners. It is that there are only a handful of significant winners (did you see how many have significant YTD % gain?), and those winners are not growing for fundamental reasons. That equates to risk. If you buy SPY are you buying all those great 252 winners? Not really. The Russell is barely up on the year. Go ahead and say this is healthy. The Russell is heavily influenced by financials and Energy. Even with energy doing well (because Oil prices...good luck saying that is healthy. DVN is still down, APA is flat. OXY is barely up), financials are flat. So what would you like to point out? Healthcare? Ely Lilly is driven up way beyond any fundamental reason and Pfizer is driven down way beyond any fundamental reason. Great opportunity for trade, but not healthy. XLI is also basically flat. The makeup of the main indexes is telling you risk. /ZN and /ZB are crashing to pre-2008 levels. That is screaming alarm bells risk. Go head and buy those flat to slightly up SPY 500 stocks. Go right head. Take them all. If you believe they will return you > 5.5% risk free over the next year you might as well be buying the calls for that sort of movement. I will even write you some calls!
The XL[x] series of ETFs are for individual sectors, and you could use the non-tech ones: XLP, XLV, XLI, XLU, XLE, etc. Otherwise, you could try RSP, the equal weight SP500.
Calls on XLF, XLI. You’re welcome
XLI is in bearish trend. So the strategy is to go against momentum????
MMM starts to look juicy if XLI gets a reversal
I feel like a pussy reading how Tech based most of the ports here are compared to mine. ​ DGRW - 6.7% - Large Cap Growth + Dividens FDRXX - 35.33% - money Market FENY - 4.98% - Energy QQQ - 18.49% - RSPD - 3.16% - Leisure and Travel XLI - 13.57% -Industrials XLV - 12.32% - Healthcare XMHQ - 5.44% - Mid Caps
There’s so many books out there with most saying the same stuff. What’s helped me the most is just doing my best to look at the charts every day even if it’s just for 10-20 mins, and reading one article a day that just gives a recap of what the markets are doing (yahoo finance, etc) It can get overwhelming though if your watch list has 20+ stocks and a bunch of indexes so less is better in this case. Especially if you’re busy and have a full time job I’d just be looking at SPY, QQQ, and the sector indexes. XLK, XLE, XLI, XLU, etc. Overtime you’ll start to see patterns and which index you may want to either DCA in or swing trade. For example just compare XLK (Technology) vs XLRE (Real estate) on the monthly and weekly time frames.
Personally I would keep doing what you're doing. Maybe pick a sector you think will grow in the next 1-2 years and buy that. Sell at a profit and rotate into the next growing sector. Repeat. Given government spending and less than 10% of the 1rrillion infrastructure spending bill being spent yet, I recommend researching the XLI
I bought HON and XLI today , 10 % more dip I will buy SNOW and Unity
On 12 July I asked ChatGPT which near-term trades had the highest probability of providing at minimum a 500% return in the shortest amount of time. ​ Following is the response: SPY 230825 380.00P • Current Price: $0.43 • Trade Time: 7/12/2023, 9:58:04 AM EST ​ 2. XLI 230818 103.00P • Current Price: $0.42 • Trade Time: 7/12/2023, 11:54:39 AM EST ​ 3. EEM 230818 35.00C • Current Price: $5.95 • Trade Time: 7/12/2023, 1:38:51 PM EST
Good question. There are sector ETFs for practically everything else, so I don't see why not. There appear to only be EV sector ETFs. I couldn't find one that is the entire automotive industry, though XLI and XLY split that industry between them, among others: https://etfdb.com/etfs/industry/automotive/
Yolo play for this week will be CMG for break out over 2150 and when it runs, it runs hard -- people love their overpriced Chiptole. Couple 7/7 2150c and bunch of 2200c -- 20 bagger coming up, just saying. Of course, this goes along with the SPY 7/7 448c and UVXY 7/7 and 7/14 21.50c for protection. XLF, XLI also look good for 7/14 exp. Lots of plays to choose from boys.
I am an electrician by trade. Between the world being awash in stimulus money, the infrastructure act, the chips act, electrical vehicle charging, etc... Anything in the electrical equipment space is going to have years and years of higher earnings. Take a look at the performance of $XLI and it's components. There's a reason why institutional money is moving these stocks. A few other ETFs worth digging into is $PAVE and $GRID. I know it's popular to predict a recession due to historical indicators but I don't see how it's possible with the spending I'm seeing in heavy industry.