Reddit Posts
Why does Mariott International (MAR) trade so differently than Mariott Vacations (VAC)
What Options Activity is Saying About the Market
Googling stock charts and getting weird foreign exchange tickers
Argo Blockchain share price falling wedge points to a 75% upside
MAR 17th OPTIONS? -- WHATS THE CATCH TO THE INSANITY BELOW? THEY ARE USED TO LEVERAGE VOLITALITY AND EXPOSURE RIGHT? IDK SOME SMARTER PLEASE?
Patriot software used SVB, time to let my employees know they are broke and need to join WSB
Happy MAR10 day! it's sure to be a red blood bath!
Wait... why would the Fed *HIKE* 50bps in March??? Here's what Morgan Stanley says ->
Wait... why would the Fed *HIKE* 50bps in March??? Here's what Morgan Stanley says ->
Could the fed HIKE 50 bps in March..? Here's what Morgan Stanley says would need to happen ->
Morgan Stanley on Fed rate path... Can we really see 50 bps HIKE in Mar? -> Here's how...
50 bps hike in Mar FOMC? Here's how, according to Morgan Stanley...
Morgan Stanley -> is a 50 bps hike on the table for the Mar FOMC meeting?
📅 17.01.23 Long Call TSLA MAR23 200 bought @USD 1.05. 📅 27.01.23 same contract tradable @USD 10.50
Does anyone know of a software solution for PMPT/Sortino metrics?
I see dead markets everywhere. They don't know they're dead. They only see what they want to see.
2022-10-21 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
Nancy Pelosi & her husband added up to $50,000 in REOF XX LLC, bringing the total value of their stake to $350,000 per recent filings. REOF LLC recently purchased 5 Marriott (MAR) hotels across the US. Do you think this is a sign to buy hotel stocks?
🦅The Last DD You Will Ever Read 🦅 Here's why September 2022 is the "month of all months" for 'meme' stocks like $BBBY 🦅
With 7 Trillion evaporated in NASDAQ alone per Bloomberg in 2022, is it still reasonable to believe inflation will continue to hit high?
Thoughts on the "reopening/travel" play? Is it over for this year?
Shorting IIPR; Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc.
What happened to AMC anyone care to shed some light?
Cannabis stocks are hot ahead of a House panel hearing on a federal legalization bill. Published Wed, March 30th
Cannabis stocks are hot ahead of a House panel hearing on a federal legalization bill.
JUL20 to 18 MAR22: 535k to 3207k. Some retarded bets here and there, but overall pretty sane
Duolingo is a real company that people actually invest in
High volume on worthless MAR18 $MILE calls? Anyone out there know something we don't?
Top Ten Bullish Options Flow yesterday - TSLA AAPL FB MAR AMD BABA ADI AMZN FSYLY
The Great Volatility Play You've Never Heard Of.
Good time to take a look at AHT. US hotel occupancy is bouncing back. Shares of large names such as HLT MAR have already seen a nice bounce back over last two weeks.
Is it time to finally sell all? (Long hold since MAR 2020)
SPY! Sell my very profitable MAR 21 385 LEAP to take profits and ROLL during the next correction or hold?
Stocks Most Likely to Beat Market Expectation of Earnings Next Week
Huge investment opportunity at Mercator Medical WSE stock due to buy back stock lock !!!
So you bought into the latest meme stock and it dipped. No what?
Selling long-term ITM Covered calls; is selling a year long contract viable?
$UAL WEEKLY TELLS ME $40 IS LIKELY BY SEPTEMBER ... I've entered a put spread September 50/38 for $310 yesterday
Empower Clinics DD - An Integrated Healthcare & Wellness Company
ASO .. BREAKOUT ON THE 15MINUTE CHART WITH STRONG RSI ... HOLD TO THE CLOSE ... HOT STOCK ..
Looking for the next black swan event - is it us killing hedge funds?
To those ppl who spamming me yesterday HIMX TO THE MAR!
Institutional Investors Recently Buying GME and Not Exiting Full Position
Institutional Investors Buying into GME
Institutional Investors Buying into GMe
Why I think GME is not Dead and is Very Alive and Well
Friday MAR 26th 2021 - I love trend lines and data... and AMC
GME/AMC Information from Correlation 2nd try
$GME 🕹️ — PSYCH HF's & MM 🖕 — SHORT-ATTACK Strategy 📉 — For TODAY (22 MAR 2021 🗓️)
Stock price (5min resolution) for AMC and GME from JAN29-MAR29 as .csv
$GME --- PSYCHO MM & HF's CRASHING THE ENTIRE MARKET 🤪🔪🌎 --- JUST TO COVER THEIR SHORT 🩲 --- GameStop LOOKS BETTER THEN ALWAYS.! ✊🦍 --- (22 MAR 2021 🗓️)
$GME Converging triangle pattern forming on the 1h chart - Breakout/Breakdown ETA ~ 24 MAR
$GME Possible converging triangle pattern - Breakout/Breakdown ETA ~23 MAR
Possible converging triangle formation - Breakout ETA 24 MAR - $GME
Mentions
> Perhaps most surprising is the hospitality sector's exposure. Marriott (MAR) and Hilton (HLT) face what the report calls "brand contagion risk" - where franchise-level decisions can quickly escalate into nationwide boycotts. This is what basically happened with McDonald's a few years ago because of the franchise model blowing up in their face. In McDonald's case some Israeli McDonald's offered big discounts to Israeli soldiers (discounts that McDonald's corporate had nothing to do with), which angered a bunch of people. So McDonald's in Muslim countries and areas with a large Muslim population started heavily boycotting them. IMO I don't think that there's anything that MAR and HLT and others with franchise models can do about this. And even if you implement some national policy one way or the other on the issue you're just going to piss people off all over again and draw attention to yourself by the people who will be angry at you.
I was selling calls and puts on MAR and the price would go right thru my strike for the rest of the week only to recover on the last day. It's like they were trying to scare me out of the position for some reason. The more I know about Marriott, the less I like them.
I dunno. I make money trading (8.7667 MAR Ratio, 3.6350 Sharpe Ratio). I have it down to a system. But I only have so much capital. If I had subscribers for my trade signals, I could supplement my earnings. Verified trades: [https://kinfo.com/p/tohams](https://kinfo.com/p/tohams)
Lol, mine are MAR, JUN so I probably would've been better off selling a month ago but we'll see, I'm betting on cloud results being worse than expected
my MAR 350 calls up almost 50% https://preview.redd.it/sm36f3mj369g1.png?width=847&format=png&auto=webp&s=220eaa652abfa9b19537c545667e98efb6ed5ddf perfect time to be holding... that RSI hit 25 bang, automatic.
Simple Advice: Volatility was x3 higher in FEB/MAR then now, we are not even close to bursting if a bubble does exist and I've been hearing about this bubble for 5 years now at least. Yall need to touch grass, were okay still. Calls on Comcast, Sony, Verizon, Webull and Novo. You cant win without playing, call it or short it but forget the bubble for awhile.
Look at option chains for DEC and MAR
I was all about $SOND for months. Partnership from MAR was golden. Defaulted payment/BOC then got kicked to curb by Marriot. Now company is under, liquidating assets and closing operations. Filed for Bankruptcy. Bottomed. and you get a squeeze. Go for the swing.
When $IXHL gets their sleep apnea drug approved in MAR/APR 2026 it will make many people millionaires. $ATCH went to $1.50+ from .36 cents on excellent earnings. It’s now back in the .30’s and earnings are coming back up. $COOT is in the beginning of a short squeeze right now.
Whether successful or not who knows, but I think there will be some attempt to keep the market going into midterms. Maybe you get a dip earlier in the year and then the pump after that. After midterms and into 2027 wouldn't surprise me if you had the mild bear market. "Most of the AI announcements are already in place." I think there can always be more of this kind of thing that one can imagine, but the thing that I think threw a lot of people this week was the hints at wanting government backstops. That was somewhat walked back, but the moment the OpenAI CFO talked about wanting the government to step in, I think a lot of people who were questioning the sustainability of the theme felt that offered confirmation of their skepticism. The consumer is increasingly concerning but still kind of a mixed bag. There are things that are looking awful - restaurants, CPG. Elf has a terrible quarter and goes down 35% in a day, then goes down another 5%. Celsius got obliterated. Chipotle is down just shy of 50% for the year. The biggest pawn shop co (FCFS) is having record quarters. And yet, travel - which is generally the first thing to go when the consumer cools - seems to be doing okay. Expedia was up 17% yesterday. HLT/MAR aren't having a great year, but they're still green for the year.
TSLA 20 MAR 26 300-350p. You are welcome to
It's 2-leg execution in the classic "covered call" sense of it. It's a buy/sell - buy 100 shares, sell an option. They both execute at the same time. I have lost money twice: 1. Stupidly got caught up in unfounded excitement about WOLF a few months ago. They declared bankruptcy. Their stock went down 66%. Luckily, I had earned 33% back in premium, so my net loss was 33%. I partly credit this experience for me not getting into BYND or anything remotely similar since. Well, I did OPEN for a day and that worked out but I backed out early :) 2. I lost money on WULF. I bought them back in Feb or very early MAR. I chased lower premiums below my basis and got caught when they rose. I'm more careful about it now. There is no free money :)
Will META 700 MAR20 '26 print? About to go on margin
So, thoughts - dump or hold? Most are red now. GLD MAR20 365C AEM SEPT18 200C B JAN16 37C B MAR20 35C B SEPT18 40C NEM JAN16 100C NEM SEPT18 100C
NOV07 400C & MAR20 365C. The March ones are still green, but man, the November ones are pretty cooked
Let me introduce to my friend MAR and his sister GIN. His sister has kids named OPT and IONS.
Genuine advice on my port. How fucked am I. GLD OCT24 '25 400C NOV07 '25 400C MAR20 '26 365C AEM SEPT18 '26 200C B JAN16'26 37C MAR20 '26 35C MAR20 '26 50C SEPT18 '26 40C NEM JAN16 '26 100C SEPT18 '26 100C Basically all of it is red after the last ~24hrs. Most expiries are quite a ways away, but still, hurts to look at..
I'm short 100 ALLY $35 MAR 20 at $2.30 i'm on my knees beggin for a payday
I bought 4 20MAR26 650Cs on sale before the bigger dump. I kept some dry powder because I figured I would be able to double down on Monday if it kept bleeding but I guess I’m just gonna be happy with 3 day $2800 gain.
I am retiring in February with a pension and eventual SS. That said, I hold a part time job that I started at $11 an hour that now has $600,000 in it's 401k. I am in the process of moving money to high divvy stocks and going to cash. I posted wayyyy back in MARCH that the s&p was going to 7512 by Jan 2026, so I have been invested accordningl;y. I believe there will be a significant correction in late FEB-MAR timeframe in 2026. Younger ones, who cares. Me? I will be 50% cash and the rest in ING (5+%), ENB (5+% AND YETH(WEEKLY DIVVY).
The strike is the gain the previous year over the same stretch - e.g. : SPY 2026 MAR 31 $700 bought on JAN 2, 2025 when SPY was $580 and the gain in 2024 was ~20%
The strike is the gain the previous year over the same stretch - e.g. : SPY 2026 MAR 31 $700 bought on JAN 2, 2025 when SPY was $580 and the gain in 2024 was ~20%
Nice position! Since Feb I've been loading up on call options, which were incredible cheap earlier in the year. My investment thesis was pretty simple - a F500, $50B company with 70%+MSS in servers and clients that is one of only three companies that can make the world's most advanced semis and was ***trading at book value***. If that wasn't enough, the current "make-it-in-America" administration commissioned a study into the industry with the only logical conclusion being they are too strategic to fail. Once Trump called for LBT to be fired (his way of inviting him to the White House) it was obvious that they were going to make Intel Foundry successful. Intel doesn't need cash nearly as much as Foundry customers, which is the only thing that will save it. At $35-$40 it's topped out on cash infusion news and trading ***way*** past fundamentals, but news of any **Foundry** business will propel it upward proportionally to the amount of business announced, which will likely be relatively small because 18A is not external-customer friendly (likely the reason that the NVDA announcement is about ***co-developing*** chips) and 14A has to be proven before any big customer (AAPL, NVDA, AMD, AVGO, QCOM) bets their revenue streams on it. But certainly a number of smaller deals across both nodes would be big news. My options range from March 2026 through Dec 2027. Earlier this year those were relatively cheap; for example my 20-MAR-2026 15C was $6.76 (screenshot from ThinkOrSwim). https://preview.redd.it/r83ag6t8htsf1.jpeg?width=1714&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ee1e7aadf0a69b223c3be26b739f70f38519fe41 Believing there will be Foundry announcements (driven behind closed doors by the current administration) I even bought some recently as you can see above such as the 19-MAR-2027 35C @ $11.15. I like the long dated options because 1) they qualify as capital gains after a year and 2) after Delta reaches 1 they simply grow linearly with the stock price which I expect only to go up over the next 2 years (in the case of DEC 2027 calls). So an investment of \~$138k this year netted about $300k. (The other semi investment this year was TSM @ $175). So the next significant jump will depend on news about Foundry customers, but keep in mind it's trading way past fundamentals as Foundry will continue significant billion dollar losses probably for ***at least 4 quarters***, and the 14A node is a big question mark regarding PPA and yields. There is also a real possibility Foundry could be spun-off (yes I know there are clauses regarding that in the government funding but nothing that prevents it, or it could be (gasp!) nationalized) which will likely be positive for the stock price. Therefore I think it's still a good stock or (long-dated) call option investment as there is tremendous hype around Intel as well as the administration backing it. Just my two cents.
calls 20 MAR 2026 $270 which were already up 92%
Ticker: S (Sentinel One) Option: 20 MAR 26 Strike: 18 CALL Qty: 80,000 Price: 3.01 Trade Cost: $24 Million **Note**: before you comment to contradict, this isn't today's volume.
\*two weeks later\* IN FACT, HAVING SPOKEN WITH THE GREAT PRESIDENT PUTIN AT LENGTH, I HAVE DECIDED TO SANCTION UKRAINE AND DECLARE IT A SPONSOR OF STATE TERRORISM FOR INVADING THE RUSSIAN REGIONS OF KHARKIV, SUMY, DONETSK, LUHANSK, ZAPO-SOMETHING, AND KHERSON. I HAVE ALSO DECIDED TO LIFT SANCTIONS ON MOSCOW IN EXCHANGE FOR A BEAUTIFUL DEAL WHERE RUSSIA WILL DELIVER A SHIPMENT OF GAMINES TO MAR-A-LAGO IN THE COMING WEEKS. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. -DJT
SOND 24M license agreement last month with Marriot . Now under MAR umbrella corporation.
depends, i'm gonna hold for a lot longer. 20MAR26 $270 and its up 90% currently
What law says you can't beat the market? Sure, it's difficult and not many do it consistently, but it's definitely possible. You also have to ask, by what metric are we measuring? Total returns or CAGR? Or perhaps a return to risk ratio? But if so, which one? There are Shape, Sortino, Calmar, and MAR, or herphas VAR or CVAR... There's also a massive world beyond just stock picking or equities in general.
MAR, MO, MP have been good ones for me
Curious why you singled out MAR as opposed to any of the other investments, since any investment choices by a 4-8yr old (started at 4 now 8) is tough to imagine. There have been extremely young savants in music and other skills, so I'm not passing judgement here on anyone, was just curious.
Edit: I don't believe this post is real, because I don't believe an 8-year-old invested in MAR. But, a lot of people commented so it is staying up.
Would you get the same results on SPYG? The MAR 26 87 strike is about 80 delta call (211 DTE - theta is -0.0099) is trading at about 15.50 versus about 84 for the APR 26 525 strike for VOO (about 80 delta with theta is about -0.05).
>The labor market is still holding up. Sure, unemployment has ticked up a little, but it’s nowhere near a collapse. Anti-T**mpers can't decide if the market is in ruin with rampant unemployment and a wave of silicon valley corporate AI destruction and governmental job loss and gen-Z can't get a job, gen-A can't get a job, Millenials and middle management and developers can't get a job - or if the job market is so sturdy that there's no justification for rate cuts. >Core PCE is hovering above 2.5 percent and closer to 2.7 or 2.8. That’s not a victory lap. That’s exactly the range where Powell has said he doesn’t have “confidence” inflation is under control. Cutting now would risk reigniting it and blowing up the last two years of progress. Sep 2024 - 2.4... Oct 2024 - 2.6... Nov 2024 - 2.7... JPOW was fine cutting rates at these levels just 1 year ago. MAR 2.4 APR 2.3 MAY 2.4 Funny how the jobs numbers are worse now and the inflation numbers are better now than they were last time they cut rate in fall 2024, but now there's 'no justification in the numbers'..... Hmm what was happening in the fall of last year that would invite a definitely-not-political-organization to cut rates with less favorable metrics...??? election ???.....
I just ran a backtest from 1/1/-2013-8/15/25. Here are my numbers but they include estimated trading fees || || |Delta|Total P/L|Return on Capital|MAR ratio| |16 Δ|748|0.57%|25.86| |20 Δ|973|0.75%|33.62| |30 Δ|1508|1.16%|52.01| |40 Δ|1178|0.91%|40.67| |50 Δ|1058|0.82%|36.54|
I just ran a backtest from 1/1/-2013-8/15/25. Here are my numbers but they include estimated trading fees || || |Delta|Total P/L|Return on Capital|MAR ratio| |16 Δ|748|0.57%|25.86| |20 Δ|973|0.75%|33.62| |30 Δ|1508|1.16%|52.01| |40 Δ|1178|0.91%|40.67| |50 Δ|1058|0.82%|36.54|
You also 0.10x your account at one point. Your MAR is probably less than 1, great job
MAR 260call hold or cut my losses?
Need $MAR higher on this earnings beat.
How yall feel about MAR, Marriott? Summer ending and tons of vacations these past few months. Earnings projected to be high
DIS, HLT, MAR, WY. Given that this will mostly affect countries in S. America, you can pretty much write off the entire Florida tourism economy.
MAR calls for earnings?
Real job numbers - JAN +111K - FEB +102K - MAR +120K - APR +158K - MAY +19K - JUN +14K - JUL +73K
I bought leaps back when there was the last run up for 2025 and I feel like I spent a lot of money to make little profit so far. I still learning . I bought 140C DEC 2025 in MAR 2024.
My mommy said I couldn’t ever get a B in social studies, surely this means I can compete against bloodthirsty sociopaths and world class algos run by teams of PHDs with my little .0001 MAR ratio strat with one week of forward testing under its belt
It seems to me that the extra leverage is not necessarily there to be used but to help prevent a margin call. I imagine you could use a lower percentage of the buying power for the same SPY beta-weighted delta. I am pretty basic with my options trades and still use a Reg T account but from my testing in option omega, there is an edge to staying within a certain size. As you go bigger, there is a potential for bigger gains but over a long period of time the drawdowns will get bigger as size increases and the MAR ratio gets progessively smaller as size increases and expectancy (average premium capture) gets smaller. Instead of looking at how much buying power I am using and trying to stay within 50% or whatever, I look at the differences over time of using different amounts of buying power. Your size has to be tailored to your strategy, risk tolerance, etc. Going too big will 100% destroy you and it doesn't take as much size as people think especially with options on ES or micro ES futures. That's just my 2 cents from the limited experience I have.
Boomers when they see the absolute realest video ever: **It’s AI** Boomers when they see a GTA San Andreas shootout: **OH MAR GARD**
**BREAKING NEWS:** IRAN ANNOUNCES $500B CHIP INVESTMENT, OFFICIALS TO MEET AT MAR-A-LAGO WITH ***WHITE BMWs***
This might help to calc it for u. I just took a random date of Mar 26 but u can change that. [https://www.boxtrades.com/SPX/20MAR26](https://www.boxtrades.com/SPX/20MAR26)
Those are the positive highlights. I also had Puts on MAR and TSLA that got killed.
“They parked that beautiful plane, tremendous plane actually, right in front of the southern White House. MAR A LAGO. They said “SIR, would you like a tour?” they never do this. So I get to the plane, and there’s a golden escalator, you know like the one I came down on that beautiful Sunday evening in 2015. I enter the plane, and the pillows, beautiful, white pillows, not the nasty black pillows, like WHOOPI GOLDBERG. Anyways, those beautiful white pillows, they said TRUMP” on them. I look over at Osama, and I say, “you know, sometimes things like this are meant to be, for your favorite president, ME” Definitely, no QUID PRO QUO, like the phone call,📞 which by the way, was PERFECT
the analysts I listen to are very bullish on Google over the long term and I have some MAR 20 2026 300C that i bought as a moonshot on the price drop. i am probably too early on being above that strike by about six months but the price was right... my gut feeling about Google is that they are the only tech giant being run by adults and will have an evolution in the next year with Waymo or a turning point acquisition.
anyone who took my MAR calls advice you’re welcome
Wish I knew the sub was on $MAR puts smh
$MAR is diving off a cliff tomorrow
MAR could go well… if it follow Hilton
I got MAR puts does that make me smart or also dumb
$MAR puts --> $AMD puts --> $AXON calls --> $TTD calls
$MAR puts --> $AMD puts --> $BROS calls --> $TTD calls Track record of success: right on QCOM/GEHC last week, very fucking wrong on Duolingo 
I remember a post that said we've never had a red APR after a double dip MAR. We might eek out that stat still.
The *rate* of inflation has been decreasing while overall inflation has been increasing. If that sounds confusing, same for me. Here’s the increase in +/- JAN-MAR: * JAN +3.0% * FEB +2.8% * MAR + 2.4% Less food and energy, MAR is +2.8%. When we consider that fuel prices have been dropping somewhat significantly, less fuel (which has dropped 9.8%) the change is likely more than +2.8%. All in all, we’ve seen +8.2% inflation YTD while the dollar has dropped 10% in its steepest decline since 2008/2009 vs major currencies. All of this by itself? Nothing abnormal besides the rapid weakening of the USD and sharp decline in consumer & investor sentiment. When we consider tariffs against corroding international relations + investors dipping from Bonds and US Equities simultaneously, things can easily become catastrophic (with a spike in unemployment due to rising bottom-line costs for businesses serving as a catalyst). The ship on bringing manufacturing back to the US sailed long ago. Let’s hope the administration completely abandons any idea of tariffs because that alone is the difference of whether things will roll downhill in a way which can’t be stopped. Inflation numbers at this current moment are the least of our worries.
In all fairness, she buys stock just about every month. So her buys in JAN FEB MAR would likely be at paper losses for the time being.
I made 150% on puts for MAR and HLT. I took 50% off the table on approximately 4/4. I still hold 4 puts for both dated July and September. Not a lot of volume. Mariott isn't my big bet. Hilton has a PE for 26 and had a PEG ratio over 2. I don't think HLT deserves a 26+ PE. Profitable, yes, but 26 growing 7% - 10% a year?
FWIW - She's very active in the stock market and makes purchases almost every month, including in FEB and early MAR of this year - before the big dips.
JENSEN HUANG SAVED US FROM HIS DINNER IN MAR A LAGO. Reporter said that he wore his best leather jacket
https://preview.redd.it/tslv05d7qute1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6b2093434654c8932925dcab07134955cf47ddd7 JENSEN AT THE MAR A LAGO DINNER LMAO
I put life savings into 9MAR spy puts. Oh lord
So on 27 MAR TLSA was trading at $275. On 27 MAR Wedbush issued a Maintain rating with a laughably whopping $550 price target. Today, less than two weeks later, TSLA trades at $215. And today Wedbush issues another Maintain rating, but lowers the price target from $550 to $315. Now if Wedbush really knew what is was doing, clearly a *downgrade* on 27 MAR from $550 to, say, $250 would have been a more prescient call.
MAR were the first puts I made this time around.
MAR IWM January puts. Also SRTY, SQQQ, and SPXU calls in April.
i cant stop thinking googl long calls will be a good buy. i am mostly eyeing 3 to 12 month long calls. for example, looking at the 20MAR2026 $160 calls; * Current underlying SP = 151.15 * delta 0.536 * Bid/Ask = 18.40 // 18.55 * 351 days DTE * IV @ 44.3% * IV percentile @ 84% Essentially has a ~~54% of being ITM in 351 days. breakeven is @ $178.40. and from 151.15 to BE is a 18.03% increase. however, looking at that last line is whats making it obvious that its not a great buy. the IV percentile is also to high for my liking. and looking at option profit calculator, it says PoP is 34.9%. so it even looks further like its a bad buy. so my questions are 1. what are your guy's thoughts? maybe hold off for now and revisit later? 2. how is PoP calculated? I cant use any other sources because i need to pay to be able to get PoP from those sites. only optionsprofitcalculator is free and gives PoP for free. the definition of PoP is "Probability of returning at least $0.01 at the time of expiry". but isnt Delta also synonymous to "probability of being ITM at expiry". so based on that, shouldnt PoP = Delta? (atleast at the current time of calculation)
RIP BULLS MAR31 - APR2 Your ashes will be smoked at market open.
Question on Options: Today on 01APR25 S&P500 is around 5600 and call option with 31MAR26 expiry (1 year) and 5600 strike is around 490 which is 8.75% of strike. Two scenarios - First, i put in 490 today and buy the call and at expiry the underlying is still at 5600 i lose 490 which is 8.75% of my S&P500 exposure. Second, i borrow 5600 at 8.75% and buy 1 unit of S&P500 and after 1 year it is still at 5600 so i don’t gain anything on it and lose 490 in interest charges due to borrow. So does it mean that for a stock market investor the cost of borrow is 8.75% for dollar currency as per above example? I am considering to go S&P500 long for long term and weighing whether to go with cash route vs options. If the above analysis is correct then it would seem like i will pay about 8.75% on my borrow but wont make 8.75% if i put my cash in a risk free asset. Is the above analysis correct? Please point out any flaws in the above analysis. Responses are much appreciated
#🥭 latest tweet: #FOLKS, LET ME TELL YOU, NVDA IS DOING TREMENDOUSLY WELL, JUST INCREDIBLE. #THE CHIPS? THE BEST. #AI? THE FUTURE. #WALL STREET LOVES IT, MAIN STREET LOVES IT, EVEN MY FRIENDS AT MAR-A-LAGO LOVE IT. #IF YOU’RE NOT IN, SAD! BUT IT’S NOT TOO LATE! THIS THING IS GOING TO THE MOON, MARS, AND BEYOND! ABSOLUTELY WINNING STOCK!
We had a market downturn in early MAR and we saw posts like this pop up every hour. Then the market propped back up mid MAR and all of the sudden this chattered completely disappeared. Now the market has another downturn and the chatter is back. We're talking about a timeframe of less than 4 weeks. You'll never know what the bottom is. My bet is if market goes down 20%, most people will become spooked. Most people will reset and think well let me wait until it drops by 25, 30... People who can't take seeing temporary paper losses, I'd say are more likely to be shy when all the doom/gloom/fear is in place - point being most will be very afraid to buy if the market is truly blood red and heavily tanking. Whole point of DCA is take all the guess work out. IF/when the market tanks, you get shares on the cheap. This strategy has made many millionaires over time from very modest investment amounts. I believe it's $200/month for 40 years gets you to a $1m on 10% annual average return - putting in just under $100k of capital.
Because MAR and HLT are asset light global operators and they also make money when Canadians for example re-direct their travel to Mexico or Europe. WH is example of a stock that is more US centric.
Given your investment history of longing BB, I am going to long MAR today.
Both are excellent businesses, but yeah: there is recession risk (beyond already eroding consumer confidence) and if that does happen travel is definitely not where you want to be. MAR is down about 19% off the recent high - for comparison in an extreme situation, it lost about 60% in that month in early Covid and about 70% from top to bottom in 2008. There's also the 3x short travel ETN (symbol: FLYD) but unfortunately it's an ETN and not an ETF so there are risks with that.
INTC 22.5p 14MAR locked and loaded 
Went into MAR puts 4 weeks ago 🙂
Using FDX as an example, 1. As of the close of trading on 03/13/2025, the Implied Volatility = 51.49%. 2. There are several different expirations starting with 14 MAR 25 and ending with 15 JAN 27. Next to each of these expirations, there is an Implied Volatility value. For example: \- 14 MAR 25 expiration = 49.09% (±6.414) \- 21 MAR 25 expiration = 79.88% (±24.01) \- 18 DEC 26 expiration = 32.18% (±88.428) 3. Under any given expiration, e.g. 21 MAR 25, for any given strike price for a put or call, there is an IV value for that put or call option. For example, the 255 CALL is 70.62%, the 235 PUT is 79.70%, the 195 PUT is 90.12% So we have an implied volatility for the stock (#1), another for each expiration (#2) and another for each call or put under each expiration (#3). How do all three of these types of implied volatility relate to each other?
Bought January MAR puts weeks ago. They are doing pretty good
15min ago I purchased the 11MAR 5570 SPX put for $31.20. It is already up to $34.00. I dont know if things are going to accelerate downhill tomorrow or not, but futures have held up pretty well the last few days
Yup got MAR puts. Just wondering if there was something specific.
I had 10 x Spy 570 puts 21 MAR, that I sold last week for $6500. If I held they would be worth over $16k....
Vladiivostooooooook s*bine!!!! MARŠ u logor kao što ti je djed radio 1942
It’s Opposite Day for the magat administration, 7MAR2025.
These MAR puts I bought before close are printing
Im loading up on MAR and RCL puts and will keep buying more. Look at the 1 year and 5 year they got LOTS of room to fall
Hmmm I got a SPY call for MAR 14, I think we get a pop before she lowers more, I believe this will be a down year, so pops and large fast drops, 540 base and a spoon shaped year, EOY back to 600 and beyond.
I sold mine LOL DO NOT HOLD. TARIFFS ARE HERE AND NOT LEAVING FOR AT LEAST UNTIL AFTER MAR 7
CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY: BANS ILLUMINA INC FROM EXPORTING GENE SEQUENCING MACHINES TO CHINA FROM MAR 4 Lol they caught a stray
I've been beaten down on CSP and covered calls on ALAB. I forget where the stock price when I sold a CSP at $93. I was assigned shares. No big I will sell covered calls until the stock price rises back to $93. It's now $67. The stock price is what's killing me at the moment. Down $2300 in less than a month. There there's the $80 CSP MAR-21 that not helping. This market is brutal.
I got MAR 4 581p @ 1.77 tomorrow. 🍿
The ETF is holding futures contracts tied to the VIX. I suppose it is spread out over 5 months to lessen volatility as a single month could have a very sharp change in price. The rolling aspect is because the contracts will eventually close (or mature as you put it). Hypothetically let's say the ETF held FEB contracts that are now closed; that money would be rolled into JUL contracts 5 months out (or perhaps some spread of MAR/ARP/MAY/JUN/JUL). Any daily reset ETF will have a decay factor. They are not meant to be held long term.