SD

cortex-

For context here is what the bond ratings look like: | S&P / Fitch | Moody's | Meaning | Examples | |---|---|---|---| | AAA | Aaa | Highest quality | Microsoft, Johnson & Johnson, Apple (Moody's) | | AA | Aa | Very strong | Alphabet, Walmart, Berkshire Hathaway | | A | A | Strong | Coca-Cola, Toyota, Home Depot | | BBB | Baa | Adequate (lowest investment grade) | AT&T, Oracle, Carnival | | BB | Ba | Speculative ("junk" starts here) | Warner Bros. Discovery, Telecom Italia, McGraw Hill | | B | B | Highly speculative | American Airlines, AMC, Carvana | | CCC | Caa | Substantial risk | SAS, Kosmos Energy | | CC / C | Ca / C | Default likely or imminent | Aventiv, Azul (both just before default) | | D / SD | C | In default | Spirit Airlines, Raízen, Aventiv |

arose321

https://www.congress.gov/119/meeting/house/117956/documents/HMKP-119-JU00-20250226-SD003.pdf

ClassyReductionist

I have to buy those SD cards for the Tapo cameras like monthly. Tapo is eating away at Amazon's Blink market share and unless you deal with hubs or subscriptions you need an sd card in every camera. There is no stop to demand for memory.

verified-trader

Man idek anymore. Just drop the bomb on us already (I'm in LA/SD)

Homeless0DTESPX

I included in my earlier reply that the short call at delta 20 was still basically within 1 SD for its expected move, that's not worth it all to me for the premium collected relative to the risk. I will have to backtest it when I get on my desktop but I would be surprised if buying DTE 45 spreads at delta 20 (or pick one) would outperform just holding QQQ and you are taking on more risk with the former.

Ok_Commission605

I just picked monthly bc my argument was based on leveraging the shares as passive income and most bills are due monthly. Easier for people to understand and digest rather than picking 72 days or some other arbitrary length of time. I've also heard people say choose 45 days (closest to 6 weeks) and close at 75-90%. Plus, the farther out you go, the less you make in theta per day as theta is basically calculated as the premium divided by number of days remaining if the strike is OTM.  Giving more time also gives more opportunities for the stock to actually make it there, sounds like he doesn't rly want to sell. Also because NVDA is a "hot stock" with lots of trading volume and volatility, the premiums 1-4 weeks out are plenty high, going to get diminishing returns the farther out you go. The extra premium you farm for pushing it out further is not worth having lower turnover and higher chance of assignment while also dealing with lower volume (contracts 3-6 weeks out will be traded in greater quantities than 3-6 months out, therefore the further out we go the wider the spread and lower liquidity).  Most platforms actually give you %s of closing in the money for that strike on that expiration. Based on your goals, you can use that to pick the one that makes sense for you. Instead of just selling the strike 5% over the current price, u can look at the options chain and pick one with these projections in mind. Selling the 68% level, 1 SD, will pay more premium but will get assigned about 1/3 of the time. 84% (2 SD) will pay a little less but u will keep the shares 5/6 of the time, 95% (or 5% stock will close in the money) u get very little premium but u will also keep the stock nearly every time and if u DO get assigned, then you're selling way above current value.

open-perception4

Where's my Nobel prize? 

plzplzplztendies

So, if Iran strikes LA or SD will property values go up or down?

OurNewestMember

>How much extrinsic value is left, whether theres an ex dividend date coming up and how expensive it would be to close or roll the short call. You can mostly collapse down the "extrinsic value left" and "ex dividend date coming up" into just "anticipated minimum extrinsic" Roughly speaking, you subtract the remaining dividend from the current extrinsic, then subtract (or add) more for time and volatility effects (mainly decay, IV changes, and upward movements*). Now your updated extrinsic premium estimate helps you evaluate assignment risk. So if you like a 55DTE call with $1 extrinsic and the expected $1 quarterly dividend goes ex in 45 days and you price in a little upward shock... That means you're looking at holding a 10DTE option like the following: Imagine $0.50*** of dividend vacuumed out (45 days to div / 91d per quarter times $1 div) particularly at low strikes**. Then you can do a typical volatility projection which might find that your strike will lose $0.35 extrinsic over 45 days due to time, IV, and stock movement. So the "anticipated minimum extrinsic" is $0.15 ($1.00 - 0.50 - 0.35, at10DTE). For typical volatility stocks, this is too close for comfort to me, so I would pick a different strike or add duration or add a upside hedge, etc**** You could also imagine reduced assignment risk , eg, having the extrinsic go to $0.70, ie $1.00 - 0.50*** + 0.20 (could be a surge in IV or interest rates, deep OTM/OTM becoming ATM, etc) Basically you take "days until ex dividend" and convert it into "maximum change in extrinsic premium" so you can just keep the analysis in cash premium terms. This example is rough***, but the point is the 3 factors can be simplified into just 1 or 2. The painful details *upward movement away from the strike is most important here because that will cause the call to act more like shares which get the full effect of the dividend, so it increases early assignment likelihood **For very deep ITM calls, basically all the extrinsic is carry (not vol), and it gets shoehorned into the ITM contracts at those strikes (not the corresponding puts), so you need to anticipate if your call will enter or leave deep ITM territory to get paid the carry properly. ***scale the total dividend amount by the in-the-moneyness amount (eg a +2SD call will not be reduced by as much as -2SD call; there could be another obvious contributor/cause, but this pattern is still generally true on its own) ****Just to be clear, assignment itself is not a problem for PnL. The main issue here is that selling a call with 45 days to the quarterly ex div means only up to 50% of the dividend is in the call, so if the stock shoots up and the call assumes near 100% of the dividend (and particularly if you need to cover 100% of the dividend in cash -- typically due to assignment), you are potentially losing 50% of the dividend because the only time you can capture it is when you open the position, and only 50% of it was available. If you only open calls the day after ex div and not expiring much after the next dividend, then you will not have this problem, but that is very constraining. Obviously you have the delta/gamma effects working against you, but that's with any short option; there is a special upside risk in calls specifically due to the carry pricing when the dividend is approaching (the call will "convert" to be stocklike which gives you pricing dynamics that did not exist when you opened the call, and now you could be paying for carry you never got to profit from)

SomePolack

He’s doubling down and talking about SD/LA getting bombed

WarmCan3034

mango mentioned LA and SD, and skipped OC because of all his supporters in huntington beach

SomePolack

SD and LA bout to get hit with a false flag

music_is_gud

Hell nah not SD 😏

Glittering_Dig3798

wait Trump said Iran can wipe out LA and SD :vanish:

Future_Hyena2562

Whoa, is what I just read about SD and LA legit

NormalOatmeal

is LA and SD being destroyed bullish?

surmoiFire

Put on LA and SD?

MrNo_Balls

She SD'd in late 2008 so \~200k USD just as the Yen was strengthening against the dollar but yeah, I do not understand that part, men will care a lot more about that then the money.

TailorResponsible979

Sounds like you're confusing a stock ticker with an SD card, Sandisk hasn't been public in a decade

ccbmtg

>so taking into consideration the SD will ne 4.0% to 4.1%. SO, NFP number means virtually nothing in a Vacuum... sd meaning standard deviation, yeah? color me regarded, but what's nfp here? appreciate the fact that you actually included a link, seems like it's more and more rare for folks to do the simple kindness of citing sources or including links to more information, anymore.

Full_Pear449

There are 162,746,000 people employed at any one given time in the States. ALL the clowns looking at minuetly small statistical variations and drawing conclusions from these numbers need their head examined. How about looking at real wage growth( last month was .1% which equates to 3% annual rate. Latest inflation rate is 3.4%, so people are falling further behind. If you really understand employment and increase/decreases and you all read something other than Reddit you would know that the current break even point is ZERO. In other words fires and hires are flat. There is a Statistical Analytic named [NAIRU](https://www.rba.gov.au/education/resources/explainers/nairu.html) (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) or plainly put what is FULL EMPLOYNMENT. The NAIRU represents the equilibrium point in an economy where there is no upward or downward pressure on inflation. The current number is 4.1%, so taking into consideration the SD will ne 4.0% to 4.1%. SO, NFP number means virtually nothing in a Vacuum when not taking into consideration of the total numers put forth monthly. Another real issue is the long term Debt issued in the AI build out and the return that may oy maynot be generated. Also, Treasury can not and will not continue to issue more short term debt versus long term.

Glittering_Dig3798

There just isn’t enough to do in SD in my opinion. And maybe an unpopular opinion, but I’ve found the people in LA to be nicer, easier to talk to and definitely more interesting. SF still takes the cake tho. Left my

music_is_gud

I would definitely not retire in LA lol. Maybe LA adjacent. Or SD. It's just more quiet and I like it that way

music_is_gud

Broo I love SD! Why would you move to LA from SD? I like the chill and quiet vibes in SD more...

Glittering_Dig3798

Yeah, north county SD. Trying to move to LA soonish, but I yearn for the bay tbh. Hopefully I can live there again one day

TrustyJules

Offhand your chances are not bad however it is a 1 in 5 coinflip https://preview.redd.it/lke3waoe4ish1.png?width=712&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e0f1aca5056de5f198b2fc67b46453280212fc0 Also take into account that 1SD away and it may get tricky. You can see what happens in the historic results (next post as I can post only 1 picture)

rithsleeper

Really their whole business model is getting parents addicted to the digital babysitter then they can’t get rid of it. And really even at $50 a month I bet it’s still worth it if there weren’t competition. The whole streaming platforms are getting bloated though. I find myself watching old shows that I’ve seen many times because I know they are good and know I get 6-8 seasons with 20+ episodes a season. I hate investing emotionally in characters for a 6 episode season, then wait 6 months for the season 2 to drop and then it gets cancelled. I feel like I’m paying more than I did for cable and getting more because no ads but somehow feel like it’s less…. Either way, I’m selling straddles on Disney 21 DTE. Rolling at 50% profit. Been doing it for about 2 years now…. Been a good run and I’ve got about 2500 built up now so unless Disney has a sky rocket or plummet 3 SD I’m already in the green.

ThisKarmaLimitSucks

SD resident and can confirm. Taco shops obliterate fast food chains on price.

Middle-Conclusion-67

wtf does sandisk even do? make SD cards?

PsionicChronic

SD = Stolen Data

Nomad-2002

high kurtosis = "fat tails", unusual events happen 5x-10x-1000x-1,000x more often than our intuition suggests Slot machines often are designed with "high kurtosis" probability curves. Normal distribution: 3 SD = 0.13% (once in 3 years) 4 SD = 1 in 31,560 (once in 126 years)

HawgChuggins

Why? You're just gonna call it biased. We already know what you were trying to do. Because you and the rest of you MAGAts are doing the same song and dance since the files were initially released. [But sure, let's provide you idiots with more and more resources.](https://docs.house.gov/meetings/JU/JU00/20260211/118951/HHRG-119-JU00-20260211-SD013.pdf) None of it fucking matters. You're still voting straight ticket R in November. And you're still voting for Trump in 2028.

Gloomy_Onion2512

My dumbass brother was fortunate to get something like this in 2021 About a year ago he decides it’s time to sell the house so he can switch careers (going from 200k+ to 85k+ annually, mind you) since this new job would have him in a different state for several months for training. Advice is given, yet advice is ignored. Turns out he’s having a hard time selling and it doesn’t happen until he’s already started this job in the other state. By the time he sells he only has a couple months left in that state and ends up moving back to continue the job in a nearby county (San Diego county in California, so expensive as fuck) At this point he is now wanting to buy again but can’t afford to buy a home in SD. “Guess I’ll commute then?” He says Well he ended up right back to the same city he started in but without a house locked in at a dream interest rate, now making significantly less annually so he’s stuck renting. I don’t really have an ending to this story, but boy what I’d give for that rate he originally had. Fucking goober

fuentescoffee

Worth separating the two rulings, because they're different animals. The 4th was the merits — 7-0, Funke writing, the petition-fraud challenge to 437 and 438 rejected outright. The 11th was Kuehn's federal-preemption case, and that one went out on standing, dismissed without prejudice. Nothing was actually decided about preemption; the door stays open for anyone who turns up with a better standing story. The seven-customers joke is closer to the real constraint than it reads, except the cap isn't demand, it's licences. The commission's final regulations allow 12 dispensaries, four cultivators and four manufacturers, allocated by judicial district — Douglas, Lancaster, Sarpy/Cass, Buffalo/Hall. And as of the July coverage of those regs the commission still hadn't named a date for the first in-state dispensary licence, so any December sales date you see quoted is someone extrapolating. Who loses is the more interesting question. Disclosure: I run Budpedia, a dispensary directory. We carry five storefronts filed under Nebraska and every one of those five ZIPs resolves out of state — Council Bluffs IA, Rock Port MO, and three up at Pine Ridge SD. That demand is being served entirely by border retail right now. Twelve in-state doors don't create a market here, they repatriate one.

otah007

If I'd known Sandisk had IPO'd I'd have bought on day 1, I've been using exclusively Sandisk SD cards for years. I'd be up 1000%...

Notmikeyouidiot

Never heard about caseys in my life until i flew to SD last weekend to go to gayville for a fantasy punishment. yes you read that right. caseys was cool though and first i noticed when i walked in was pizza. i live in CA

StatelyTree

I still remember that chick running in I think it was SD for office that posted a picture of a sign saying "don't feed the animals. They'll never learn how to fend for themselves otherwise" and then was like "This applies to people on govt assistance too." 

CrazyCletus

[The NY TImes, ](https://www.congress.gov/116/meeting/house/111078/documents/HMKP-116-JU00-20200929-SD002.pdf)as documented by the House committee, did a detailed report on his financial issues with the casinos. There were a lot of issues, including issuing junk bonds to pay for them, then defaulting on the bonds. Declaring bankruptcy shortly after opening the Taj Mahal, which ended up forcing contractors who worked on it to accept 30 cents on the dollar for what they were owed. Going public and using the IPO to pay off personal loans and then issuing more debt. (By being majority shareholder, he could act in the interest of the shareholders by having the board determine that.)

pwdbypenguins

Nantucket to SD? Why??

Medical-Lecture-6053

Jensen managed to squeeze this Garbage losing company CRWV to 104.60 3 SD+ move gift from the gods

Sportfreunde

That's 13x the cost of my phone released last year and you still don't get a headphone jack or SD card lol.

FeRooster808

Gen Z who only uses their phone abd probably doesn't know you can add SD cards. 

glacierre2

I get palo alto, it is kind of obscure. But I wonder who has not 2-4 SanDisk SD cards around in their phones/cameras/3d printers, they are everywhere

GurHot8359

should start with an SD card

Rdtkeepsbanningme

Just leaving this here: https://www.congress.gov/116/meeting/house/111078/documents/HMKP-116-JU00-20200929-SD002.pdf

Lootoholic

That was a long long post. Thanks for the DD. It is very intriguing, but I have some issues with it: 1. The ROIC can not be 35%. I see return on asset at 1.2% and return on equity at 2.9%. I assume ROIC should be in that range. Where do you get the 35%? 2. The EV/Ebita that I find is 16 and not 10. Maybe my reference is outdated? 10 seems a little too good to be true. 3. I'm looking at the OCF numbers that you posted, and the growth isn't that much. Do you expect it to accelerate? It would be interesting to see if/when they come to California how people in major cities react to them. Brunch is pretty big in LA, SD, SF; the market is huge in California, and can be a make or break moment for them.

OperationOk6759

Most people call it cali that dont want to thpe it all in, also you made no counter argument here you just ranted about me without even knowing me lmao. I have family from SD to sactown brotha try that comment again 😂

Dibble-legend2104

Fresno isn’t it. Been to SF or SD?

spik_n_spinez

Im from SD which is where Vuori started at so its been around here for a while now but recently been exposed to other parts of the US.

sirgaybrin

How much can i sell a micro SD card? just curious.

visionarymind

Heatwave breaks Sunday, heading to SD Monday to spend time with my girlfriend & her toddler on the beach 🏝️🛟

LaughCompetitive1504

Apple just killed AI data centers folks. It's over. https://youtu.be/UBArQl_KVzo?is=fjfvO3SD_cEWkGli

bigthink3r

I am bullish to neutral on MRVL so PCS at 200 strike 1 SD OTM. But let see on opening tomorrow. Not much movement currently.

LaughCompetitive1504

AI is really needs Sandisk SD cards? Who knew?

QuadzillaStrider

It's a Panasonic. Sitting back from the TV, it looks awesome, but yea, if you get close to the TV, the fuzziness starts to show. Back when I bought it, I used it primarily for watching downloaded SD resolution TV episodes and movies, which hid a LOT of the shitty compression artifacts from those encodes and made them look decent. Was like magic, lol. Admittedly that TV has been collecting dust in the basement for 10 years.

JasonMrazsHat

Because noone knows what vol should be for a stock that just moved up 100%. Neither do I, but when 2 dte IV is at 70% it implies a 1 SD 5% move up or down in the next 2 days. Seemed very low to me and therefore cheap, but ofc you can still be wrong. My thesis was on both direction and vol. I was wrong on direction and got lucky IV was so outsized to net a gain.

Due_Marsupial_969

Bro, this is why I pretty much do 1 SD and chill. Whatever happens outside of the deviation, I just take up the ass. The recipe for happiness in marriage.

-spartacus-

When I used to live in SD the one in my town was lit.

Nyuu223

The lazy way? You preview buying a straddle for the expiration and divide price by 100 = %. E.g. if a stock is right at $100, an ATM call costs $8,50 and an ATM put $7,50, your straddle will be $16. 16/100 = 0,16 or 16% The actual way? 1-SD = S x IV x √D/365. Looking back at it, I think I looked at intraday, at close it was priced much more at 13% tbh, so even better.

ThetaEdgeHQ

iisconfused247 asked the one genuinely useful question in here and it got a hand wave, so here is a concrete way to size it. The market already tells you what move it thinks is reachable. Take the at the money IV, multiply by the square root of days to expiry over 365, multiply by spot. That is roughly the one standard deviation move priced in over that window. If your strike sits inside about one of those, it is a real directional bet. If it needs two or three of them, you bought a lottery ticket and the pricing already knew it. For profit before the strike, look at delta. Delta is roughly how many dollars the option gains per one dollar move in the underlying. A 0.30 delta call that catches a 1SD move up picks up real value long before it goes in the money, because delta rises as you approach the strike and gamma works for you on the way. A 0.08 delta call barely moves until the underlying is basically at the strike, which is why deep out of the money longs feel dead until the very end. So the reachable profit level is not a fixed price, it is wherever a plausible one SD move plus rising delta outruns your theta. Compare distance to strike against that one SD number before you enter and most of these regret trades never get opened.

Mobile-Bar7732

Here's a list of senators that voted against impeachment for jan. 6, none of them were democrats: Lamar Alexander (TN) John Barrasso (WY) Roy Blunt (MO) John Boozman (AR) Mike Braun (IN) Shelley Moore Capito (WV) Tom Cotton (AR) Kevin Cramer (ND) Mike Crapo (ID) Ted Cruz (TX) Steve Daines (MT) Joni Ernst (IA) Deb Fischer (NE) Lindsey Graham (SC) Chuck Grassley (IA) Bill Hagerty (TN) Josh Hawley (MO) John Hoeven (ND) Cindy Hyde-Smith (MS) James Inhofe (OK) Ron Johnson (WI) John Kennedy (LA) James Lankford (OK) Mike Lee (UT) Cynthia Lummis (WY) Roger Marshall (KS) Mitch McConnell (KY) Jerry Moran (KS) Rand Paul (KY) Rob Portman (OH) Jim Risch (ID) Mike Rounds (SD) Marco Rubio (FL) Rick Scott (FL) Tim Scott (SC) Richard Shelby (AL) Dan Sullivan (AK) John Thune (SD) Thom Tillis (NC) Tommy Tuberville (AL) Roger Wicker (MS) Todd Young (IN) John Cornyn (TX)

StandardObject91

On a related note. All 11 founders of Grok quit. And all before the IPO. Did the SD-1 mention that?

Distinct_Editor5673

Already down 50% on SD long position 🥳

OddRelationship18

I'm searching for ladies on SD.com It's a sure thing

mr_malifica

Analysts are typically morons that try to justify forward guidance (and their pay) based on the past. HBM is not a stick of RAM. Chip cycles are no longer based on when MS releases a new version of Windows. Enterprise NAND is not an SD card for your DSLR. Will the AI buildout slow? Yes, but that is likely to not happen until the 2030's Have a look at Nvidia's roadmap. Enjoy the volatility along the way, it's nice to make money going both ways.

lance-

Not quite.There are more than four companies making memory. For standard storage and flash memory like the SSDs and SD cards SanDisk makes, there are six major global manufacturers controlling the market: Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, Kioxia, Western Digital/SanDisk, and YMTC. When it comes to High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), the ultra-fast memory required for AI chips, it is a much more exclusive club. Only three companies in the world are capable of mass-producing HBM, which includes Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. SanDisk is not one of them, as they focus entirely on flash storage.

Aggravating-Reach473

and just as I was trying to get in because I'm pissed at how my SD cards tripled their price😂 beginners luck ig

razz-boy

https://docs.house.gov/meetings/JU/JU00/20260204/118923/HHRG-119-JU00-20260204-SD022.pdf

jarkon-anderslammer

A couple weeks ago, everyone thought we were going to be uploading our brains to SD cards and freaked the fuck out buying SNDK. What a wild ride.

jarkon-anderslammer

The world isn't going to run on fucking SD cards bro.

orcassharks

It’s makes SD NAND for cameras. lol.

tika_dengu

SD card maker has a long way down

Win11141

Clarity Act update; Not passing as per this week (Thursday 23 Jul) Based on publically available Intel. Republicans: 51 yes, 2 no Democrats: 2 yes, 45 no Required : 60 Votes Republicans (Likely Yes unless noted): John Thune (R-SD) - Yes Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) - Yes Kevin Cramer (R-ND) - Yes Bernie Moreno (R-OH) - Yes Tim Scott (R-SC) - Yes All other Republicans (48 total) - Yes Republican Likely No: Josh Hawley (R-MO) - Likely No Rand Paul (R-KY) - Likely No Democrats (Public Yes - Conditional): Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) - Yes (conditional) Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD) - Yes (conditional, recent criticism) Democrats (Public No / Opposition): Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) - No Cory Booker (D-NJ) - No John Hickenlooper (D-CO) - No Mark Warner (D-VA) - No Raphael Warnock (D-GA) - No Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) - No Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) - No Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) - No Chris Murphy (D-CT) - No Jeff Merkley (D-OR) - No Jack Reed (D-RI) - No All other Democrats (\~35 total) - No / Leaning No Tally Summary: 53 Yes, 47 No (short of 60)

Stop_The_Rain

I have short SD Calls on MSFT... stuck at 390, AMZN stuck at 244 and META stuck at 630.... boy am i pissed!

Stop_The_Rain

Now META is stuck at 630... my SD Calls are dying.

starrpamph

ai is fucking basically every aspect of most of our lives. The SD cards now cost more than the WiFi security cameras they go inside.

WickOfDeath

The demand outpaces the supply for at least two years in literally all classes of memory. Flash for sticks, reliable flash for smartphone and tablet internal storage, for SD cards, for SSD and NVME, last but not least specialized memory like HBM and RAMBUS (which points into the same direction, RAMBUS provides circuitry for connecting HBM to NPUs). . But simple demand/supply patterns dont move stocks, it's the long term outlook, and especially US stocks dont pay you lot of dividends, the 50 pennies from ORacle? A joke, Nvidia did even better, $0.10 as dividend. They are ment to rise forever, and when some new facts are on the tablet which can disrupt this eternal growth story traders just get out. That can let a stock drop 50% even if the fundamentals of the stock issuer dont change.

tika_dengu

SD card sales down

Particular_Tiger881

Why’s the SD card manufacturer dropping so hard?🤣🤣🤣

mmaisumm

SD card enthusiasts in shambles

mmaisumm

Oh man I almost feel bad for the SD card community

kryptonyk

lol dude, I just saw that prices have even gone bonkers on SD cards. Not kidding

Samjabr

Checks notes: I think you have to pay it back. And pretty sure Biden (as a senator) was the driving force in creating legislation that was 100% pro credit card companies (There's a reason they are all incorporated in Delaware) and also prevents discharge of student loans in bankruptcy. So, be careful. [https://www.congress.gov/116/meeting/house/111100/documents/HHRG-116-JU08-20201202-SD007.pdf](https://www.congress.gov/116/meeting/house/111100/documents/HHRG-116-JU08-20201202-SD007.pdf) [https://www.propublica.org/article/bidens-cozy-relations-with-bank-industry-825](https://www.propublica.org/article/bidens-cozy-relations-with-bank-industry-825)

charliemike

1-SD on ORCL is $108. Third line of support is $110. Just way too much risk for me to be catching a knife.

xShiftfaced

Not really, gapped all the way up to VWAP then remained + 1SD and hugging + 2SD.. Bounced off the 9 EMA. Pretty standard.

xShiftfaced

One more thing to add, this morning's rejection is sitting at +1 SD VWAP sitting at +2 SD looking to try +3 SD.

hymie-the-robot

you can run backtests against something you know, like SPY, over reasonable periods of time (testfol.io). you can specify a portfolio when you do this. obviously, this describes the past; we're concerned about the future, and we need to interpret the results with this in mind. a test returns metrics such as the CAGR, maximum drawdown, standard deviation (SD), Sharpe ratio. no one has ever gone broke holding SPY. learn how to interpret risk metrics, and you can eyeball how you might perform in comparison. if you're looking at reasonable investments (i.e., non-speculative over the long term), then you're unlikely to go broke. then the test results, especially the maximum drawdown, really give you notions of how much pain you might experience, and you can consider whether you would be comfortable with that.

captaintemno


Sudden_Vanilla2275

For a quick-look without redoing the straddle math: right-click the ticker → Probability Lab. It plots the market-implied distribution for that expiry, so you read the implied move straight off the curve. The ±1 SD someone mentioned ≈ the \~68% range. There's no single "expected move" field, but that's the closest one-glance view — for a number, ATM straddle × \~0.85 is the fastest manual proxy. 翻译

skychief99

As I swap out $19 SD cards from my camera I think........$Trillions! LMAO

skychief99

I looked at the $19 SD card in my camera today and said to myself......$trillions!

80sCocktail

Buying a 32GB SD card for 20 dollars does not make me smile.

amanj41

256GB SD card for my camera costs $350, no wonder STX keeps shrekking

NoProfessional4650

3 month gains bois: https://imgur.com/a/SD6Nqfj

Evening_Act_6395

[https://www.congress.gov/119/meeting/house/117951/documents/HHRG-119-JU08-20250227-SD008-U8.pdf](https://www.congress.gov/119/meeting/house/117951/documents/HHRG-119-JU08-20250227-SD008-U8.pdf) Now what?

TequilaTrader

I’m tired of waking up at 4am in SD just to gamble on stonks.

oldbeancam

One makes SD cards, the other is the sound a cow makes.

toomyzoom

I don't calculate vol crush because it's kind of impossible to predict the fuckery in first 15 min at open like you noted. Price maybe in range overnight but drop like a rock/shoot up like rocket at open or vice versa. I saw some wild stuff happened, like price stand still ATM on Costco in last Q3 or 2SD move down in Nike at open. There is no way to predict that. Like a lot of people here criticize you or in the ADBE thread (not sure where I see which one), if you just sell every earning, statistically implied move is overpriced but in long term, you will be in negative (IV not crushed as much as needed, slippage, fee, etc). You have to make your win amount and chance a little bit better to offset those overhead. I use a few thing to stack my odd against the inevitable coin flip: - VRP must be positive. Otherwise, you're not compensated enough for the risk. - IV have to be in backwardation, preferable steep IV term structure vs IV term structure without the earning. You need historical data for this to deduce the IV without earning. - Options volume has to be over 10k or you will have problem closing your spread at open at favorable price. So I use 3 moves: Implied move, average move, and average implied move. The last 2 will need historical data. Average implied move has to be bigger than average move. Implied move can be equal to average implied move but I prefer it be higher to make it worthwhile. That's how I decide it's expensive or not to short or long. I don't usually long because you have to be right about the direction, magnitude of the the move and hope it's there overnight or magically happen at open. Also those moves are correlated to quarters instead of annual average of all earning.

SunriseSurprise

I mean in my lifetime, we've gone from 8 inch floppy disks holding 80KB to comparatively tiny SD cards holding 25 million times more. We will surpass the human brain artificially before long, especially if AI really can improve itself, because it can do that 24/7 theoretically.

AdCritical5383

Lexar makes removable storage products like CFexpress and SD cards, not memory.