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Does it take three cycles to figure it out?
Total crypto Market Cap decrease in THIS cycle vs. LAST 📚
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CREDIT SUISSE and why you should follow it closely.
"Bitcoin BEAR CYCLE Is About To End" | Cathie Woods
A hot take on the so called crypto winter
So where are the 5/10 posts on the front page saying "OMG BULL CYCLE CANCELLED". You all felt the need to do this after bitcoin went from 47k --> 51k (10% lmao)
What do you dislike about the cryptoverse?
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Mentions
"OUT OF CYCLE" My man BTC ain't pregnant or something
No it's not the same as last cycle because BTC hit ATH this time OUT OF CYCLE.
This is going to be *THE CYCLE*
So ofc you know the move to make now, according to 99% of this sub. BUY MORE RIGHT AT THE PEAK OF THIS CYCLE! LMFAO.
I’d call that gambling on degen shitcoins where you allegedly made 10x on the first low cap ALT impulsive move up. We are about due for another once BTC.D begins to drop. OP was talking about taking profits for THIS CYCLE (likely referring to Bitcoin and large caps people begin investing near cycle bottom) and here you are talking about taking profits on trading alt coins. Thats great. But your sell strategy has nothing to do with taking profits on this cycle. You made a few plays and are up. Congrats. Do take profits. Always take profits. But you’re trading. Not investing.
Typical .618 retrace rejection. Same one that’s happened EVERY CYCLE.
We’re from the same crypto graduating class so ima give u a tip that helped me sell btc $55k and eth $4k.. THE CYCLE ENDS EVERY FOURTH WINTER‼️ JUST SELL BEFORE HALLOWEEN 2025‼️ LOOK AT THE CHART IT LITERALLY TOPS EVERY 4th NOVEMBER/DECEMBER‼️ K sorry for yellin lol but people seem to think im dumb for believing this even tho it works 100% of the time. Literally. Make a tradingview account and pull up btc and look. It may not follow every candle of every day, but for macro stuff like sellin tops n buyin bottoms u can literally just copy trade the btc chart. I bought btc $18k and eth $1k a year ago and i did it by following the past cycle. _I sold the top and bought the bottom by COPYTRADING the btc chart from 4yr ago_ Just follow the cycle bro i swear it works lol im following it til it fails me 🤷♂️
We are. It's the disbelief stage of the bull cycle. The majority of investors are out waiting for the mega dump. Because the majority of the people are on the sidelines and not invested, the path of maximum pain is to the upside Of course,this cuts both ways, when Bitcoin break ATHs, when it breaches the $100k and everyone and their mother are shouting IT'S THE SUPER CYCLE, ITS GOING TO A MILLION blah, blah, blah. Then it's time to get out
Jesus. I know the timing thus date of the halving is variable, hence I gave a window. Unlike you I am not fixated on a specific date. And, this is where you are showing your failure to read what I actually wrote: I AM NOT SAYING THE CYCLE ALL TIME HIGH IS WITHIN 6 MONTHS OF THE HALVING. I wrote that in caps so you might actually grasp it. Read again what I wrote before, twice. “A” *new* all time high is made, within 6 months of the halving. Let me write that another one for it to sink in: with each cycle, the current all time high is invalidated within 6 months of the halving. Thus a new all time high is made. The ‘blow off top’ peak of the bull cycle is, yes, made around 18 months after the halving.
Or dare I say it just one... **SUPER CYCLE!!!**
So, I know this argument, and it’s a very good one. But it only works if you’re a trader, and you are looking for a quick 2x, and you say things like, “local”. How’s this simple scenario for risk management: You buy BTC now at 30k, and you believe it’ll one day AT LEAST go to ATH. Awesome, that’s a little over 2x if you sold, maybe you won’t and it’ll go to 100k and you 3x. Okay an alt coin like ETH, less implicit risk compared to other alts. Or how about ADA? Even more implicit risk. Okay, let’s buy ADA at let’s say .30 for math’s sake. So, let’s also say, ADA is a very speculative alt that may not see ATH. Okay, I’ll disagree, but okay. Let’s say it doesn’t even reach HALF of its ATH. Now come on, it certainly will, but okay let’s say it only reaches an abysmal 1.50. Which you and I can admit, it would be surprising that it wouldn’t the cycle BTC would break 100k. Okay, .30 to 1.50 is a 5x. I’ve already crushed your portfolio of BTC IF IM WAITING FOR THE CYCLE TO PLAY OUT. The argument of ALTS/BTC is very very short term, you’re assuming people are actively looking to sell, right now. The things is, for the most part, WERE NOT! We’re waiting for the halving, we’re waiting for ATH’s, we’re waiting for cycle tops (or close enough to it). I can sell a bag of ADA at a silly .90 and probably outperform BTC portfolios.
Anyone who thinks btc can reach 100k IN THIS CYCLE ought to chill out and take a deep breath.
…it’s a CYCLE! Once you understand crypto you study you Bitcoin. And once You understand bitcoin You know Its big cycle and how play the game….2021 i started on crypto. Guess why. Because bitcoin was performing so well that outsider like me started investigating. And i bought bitcoin ATH. And many other altcoin because that people say to you once you started in this environment “bitcoin market cap is Big. Would struggle just to double your money invested right now. You should buy other coins”. I started like many other investors year later of bitcoin halving where the bitcoin price always hits new ATH. Now i’am the guy who have been religiously Filling the bags over the past two years. And that’s the cycle. Once bitcoin gets its new ATH new people just like me Will come and have a similar experience.
CYCLE 4 Wake up in the street with no food
THIS CYCLE SO FAR: 1. AI coins pumped to start things off. Then they cooled down for a few weeks. 2. Other coins pumped. Metaverse, and layer ones like FTM, INJ, etc. They cooled off. 3. Meme coins pumped. They cooled off. Now, AI coins are pumping after their break. They should be about ready for another break about now. So........ Next should be layer ones again, since they have cooled off and are ready to rocket. 🚀
Starting to see a lot of influencers and big name saying we are probably in the bull market. I keep saying it BTC moves in cycles in relation to the halving. This is the accumulation year (actually the start of the year is). But you can accumulate all year. 2025 will be the bull run. MARK my words. IT HAS HAPPENED EVERY OTHER CYCLE. So why not this time? Probability my friends
But it's all PART OF THE CYCLE. Bitcoin will ALWAYS GO UP after it goes down. /s
I know it's hard to be optimistic right now, but free markets always finds a way to flush out the overleveraged institutions out of the system. If you think right now, who have been flushed: 1. overleveraged institutions 2. Ponzi schemes which had unsustainable APRs 3. Exchanges which collateralize their own coins, and gambled it on trades and donations. Many will still fall, but in the end, only the strong with solid fundamentals, and builders will survive. This will start another bullrun, which will bring all the above mentioned overleveraged institution, which will result into bear, and THE CYCLE CONTINUES.
So your entire argument boils down to market sentiment is hella bearish? No one wants to buy it right now. Thats your input to a discussion. I just showed you that if safemoon goes to 0 today, and no one buys it for a year, its market cap will have risen to a minimum of ~20m with just the DEX alone on this years bear market data. Combined with the cex first year you'd be looking at more, and the more products that get built on the system increase the amount of actual positive cash flow. The dex is consistently 60th-70th percentile. You say penalised for selling and buying yes (read the post dude, its embarrassing at this point) but you mentioned none of the benefits. And the whole point is THAT UNLIKE ANY OTHER CRYPTO (AFAIK PROVE ME WRONG PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE BECAUSE IM SCARED) MONEY IS GAINED FROM PRODUCTS, AS WELL AS PLAYER TRADES. THIS MONEY CAUSES PRICE RISE , INCENTIVIZING SELL OFFS WHICH CREATE TOKENOMICS AND NATURAL CYCLE LULLS, AKA BUYING OPPORTUNITIES. And the cycle continues.
BULL CYCLE BULL CYCLE! I WANT TO RIDE THAT BULL CYCLE I WANT TO RIIIDE THAT BULL! Lol all jokes aside until man made inflationary assets die this nonsense boom bust debt cycle will cause our markets in general to be cyclical.
I got to say I’m definitely bullish on 75-90% of these listings here. They are more or less what I watch.. with added coins like $ban $floki (both for the memes) was going to say $rune and $xno and also $LRC but you have them :) Buy while the sale is going good! ALWAYS yet the END OF FINACIAL YEAR THE MARKET BUFFS! This year IT WILL BE DIFFERENT WAY MORE UNPREDICTABLE and VOLATILE! Beware what you risk is that; A RISK. Your running your own broker as a crypto trader or investor and those who do so successfully understand this better than anyone else and keep themselves up to date with everything the likes of CZ at Binance or Vitalik Ethereum studying and learning not just crypto and all The markets and paths ways or off shoots, but how the economy works, how it’s worked before, law and taxation, how to avoid many taxes and GST using “PROPERTY” <~~ that word with “ Make money with” can generate ANYONE INCOME PASSIVELY ONLINR RIGHT NOW. I’m not telling you how you have to find it google look around be creative. Find how to earn at home selling homes or maybe it’s renting or maybe airBNB or maybe it’s doing something like cleaning AirBNB or an AirBNB service for whatever you specialize in!? Do you serve drinks? Why not serve drinks to some millionaire all day 5 days a week for $100 hour. NO BS just the work. Not finacial advice but it’s possible. Even for blokes. Do carpentry? Weld? Pour concrete?? use hire pages and don’t need charger there with a train bud and Uber for last leg or A HIRE e-BIKE.. making money is THERE TO HE MADE. It’s the MINDSET TO MAKE MONEY THAT YOU OR OTHERS WHO ARENT MAKING MONEY ARE IN THE CYCLE OF… That right there and this post I mean I know I have stuff I can write that will be worth $$$ I should but I rather share it for free to the groups of people who have helped me The most when I was at my worst at the bottom of bottles pill bottle coke and dope smoke and that budder i had it all. Even all the pharma. It’s bad. You don’t need it. All it does is make you feel more like an adult. You feel less like a Child or your inner kid. You lose touch. True..?! I’m honest. I do not lie. Atleast I try hard not to. I do lie of course I do. We all do. Big small and in-between. Still I only say this to say it. So you know when you read my posts next time when you hear a rhyme and think of me and you see the connection was key but you just keep doing what your doing letting the best bits be. You’ll think about me once or twice before it hits you.. “That guy … he knows what he’s into..!” 😉✌️
You dumb fuck...sell your btc at a lost,you deserve it....kkkkkk MARKET CYCLE DUMB FUCK!!!all markers have cycles.....
Here we go again. But I DID know. Do you know how I saw into the future? By looking at the past. I cannot short anymore, I live in South Korea and they changed the laws... can't access derivatives on any platform. But I sold 99% of my crypto months ago.... do you know why I sold it? BECAUSE BTC RUNS IN CYCLES, AND THE BEAR CYCLE IS JUST BEGINNING. FFS. How many fucking times does that need to be said? You are new to crypto right? This is your first cycle? Well strap in, cuz the bear has around another 1.5 years to go.
This cycle is different. This is THE SUPER CYCLE!!1!
Dont be so dense. Covid, initially, was a big pressure to reduce consumer spending, which could cause a very bad DEFLATIONARY CYCLE. One way to remedy this is making money easier to access (aka "printing more"), which was promptly done (perhaps a tad too late) by Donald Trump's government. Most people SAVED UP the free money, and saved up whatever they could, and as covid is resolving THEY ARE RESUMING BUYING with an enourmous amount of saved up money. This is HUGE price on goods, and results in prices going up relatively to the USD. On top of that, theres higher than normal demand ON AN ECONOMY THAT HALTED/REDUCED PRODUCTIONS and didnt yet adapt back. This is a production issue that coupled with a lot of availiable consumer power tesults in high inflation. The war just adds to all this, specially by making oil more expensive, which makes everything more expensive. In other words: yes, covid and Putin are to blame, but there was no alternative to printing money and warming up the economy. It was either that or enter a deflationary cycle, which could be so much worse.
Dont be so dense. Covid, initially, was a big pressure to reduce consumer spending, which could cause a very bad DEFLATIONARY CYCLE. One way to remedy this is making money easier to access (aka "printing more"), which was promptly done (perhaps a tad too late) by Donald Trump's government. Most people SAVED UP the free money, and saved up whatever they could, and as covid is resolving THEY ARE RESUMING BUYING with an enourmous amount of saved up money. This is HUGE price on goods, and results in prices going up relatively to the USD. On top of that, theres higher than normal demand ON AN ECONOMY THAT HALTED/REDUCED PRODUCTIONS and didnt yet adapt back. This is a production issue that coupled with a lot of availiable consumer power tesults in high inflation. The war just adds to all this, specially by making oil more expensive, which makes everything more expensive. In other words: yes, covid and Putin are to blame, but there was no alternative to printing money and warming up the economy. It was either that or enter a deflationary cycle, which could be so much worse.
Dont be so dense. Covid, initially, was a big pressure to reduce consumer spending, which could cause a very bad DEFLATIONARY CYCLE. One way to remedy this is making money easier to access (aka "printing more"), which was promptly done (perhaps a tad too late) by Donald Trump's government. Most people SAVED UP the free money, and saved up whatever they could, and as covid is resolving THEY ARE RESUMING BUYING with an enourmous amount of saved up money. This is HUGE price on goods, and results in prices going up relatively to the USD. On top of that, theres higher than normal demand ON AN ECONOMY THAT HALTED/REDUCED PRODUCTIONS and didnt yet adapt back. This is a production issue that coupled with a lot of availiable consumer power tesults in high inflation. The war just adds to all this, specially by making oil more expensive, which makes everything more expensive. In other words: yes, covid and Putin are to blame, but there was no alternative to printing money and warming up the economy. It was either that or enter a deflationary cycle, which could be so much worse.
That means 80% weaker in terms of the % growth per cycle. Here is the raw data: ​ 2011 2013 2017 2021 CYCLE GROWTH IN % 30871% 42209% 9530% 2092%
Yeh it just seems batshit - I know this market is super unpredictable (in both directions) but no one has said "IN SPITE OF EVERY MARKET CYCLE THUS FAR I THINK THIS WILL HAPPEN BECAUSE..."
after this is some omnipotent AI don't worry they will speak in prose like the reapers from Mass Effect. "THE CYCLE WILL CONTINUE, ORGANIC LIFE IS EVIL"
You sound over-invested. Anyone who bought in 2020 isn't sweating about the paper gains.... REAL GAINS ARE MADE NEXT CYCLE.
Exactly. THE END OF A BUSINESS CYCLE Throughout history, central banks have stimulated sputtering economies by lowering interest rates and providing liquidity. They then reverse course once inflation becomes evident. Business cycles are tied directly to monetary policy cycles. By 2026, national debt is expected to reach $38 trillion. In about 10 years the U.S. will reach a tipping point, where annual tax receipts will be roughly equal to entitlements (such as Medicare and social security) and mounting interest payments. All other government spending such as military spending, Homeland Security, the Department of Energy and Department of Education will be unfunded without expanding deficits. Undoubtedly, bonds sold by the U.S. government in the future will be at a higher rate, as the government's debt-worthiness will decline. The U.S. government will be forced into a corner where it will have to print more money, which drives devaluation of the dollar and higher inflation. from: https://www.inc.com/marc-emmer/5-mega-trends-that-will-shape-next-10-years.html
It is not fud that the US government isn’t printing or supporting the market moving forward. Shit is looking grim for a while. We are also AT THE END OF A CYCLE. That’s right....this is the tail end of bull cycle before a bear market. Probably 3 months or less away. SO NO, I was bullish in 2020, 2021, but 2022 is going to be brutal. Be prepared mentally. SHit doesn’t go up forever, and Micheal saylor...El Salvador etc, are going to get REKT
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The markets are In a correction phase, when it hit it’s lows, all I thought was damn this SUPER CYCLE is going to be epic!!!! Hit the gas, watch the ATH’a pass….!!
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Sure. But the future is unwritten, right? Human nature tends to lean into its previous experience (the past) than it's future because it's "safe"....humans like "security". They also like to venture forth after "achieving" security. Which is what leads to innovation....one of the reasons we're considered "early". We're innovators. But being innovators doesn't make us exempt from the past. Change happens, yes....but it doesn't mean it moves at an EXPECTED pace...it is still subjected to the past...based on human psychology. So the change that people are betting on to BREAK the current cycle will eventually happen....but this CYCLE? I just don't think we're there yet. It's growing slowly....the change....but not yet...
Ok it was definitely a **DOUBLE TOP CYCLE**.
These are pretty much my only rules that have allowed me to profit: 1. 5% of each paycheck to stablecoin. 2. ONLY BUY during 20%+ correction to the downside 3. Never buy coins that set new ATH during a bullrun. (Wait for the bear market.) 4. Only buy crypto that : 1. Have not set new ATH during THIS BULLRUN CYCLE and 2. Are further than 75% from their previous ATH from LAST BULL RUN CYCLE. Notice how I felt the need to mention NEVER BUY CRYPTO THAT HAS SET A NEW ATH DURING AN ONGOING BULL CYCLE.
ADA AND XRP WILL BE LAST TO PUMP THIS CYCLE MARK MY WORDS. Let's see what happens in 3 months. I'm planning to cycle some profits this way wish me luck. Fortune favors the brave !
I see the same type of post before every bull cycle. “Ohh how in the good old days it was just pure fundamentals and technology”, like no one was shilling shitcoins in 2013 or 2017. If people fall into a scam then bad for them. But it is a survival of fittest. If people make money then good for them. But please lets just stop with this bullshit of this sub only talking about fundamentals In life scam exists in every fucking minute. This sub still does explain the people what the basics are and where they can be informed. And this behavior happens every bull cycle... EVERY BULL CYCLE... and post like those are important to gauge the market.
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Well there is a reason why they call it "crypto market CYCLE" you know...