YES

Hodl-it

Stupid question.....YES!!!!!!!!!!

Suitable_Acadia_190

YES but also NFA lol

Aromatic_Mix_3045

YES use krakens app self custody open source and turn on extra layer with password phrase so nothing gets sent out with entering

Alice-ZephyrWing615

Did the people in the replies all say "YES!"?

VivaHollanda

#YES

AltoidStrong

YES! When it come to capitalism - in the absence of proper regulations for a FAIR and Free market, there will ONLY be corruption. the other issues, like hacked wallets, tech failures, etc... those happen regardless of the industry , economy, or regulations and don't necessarily imply wrong doing or corruption.

InsightKnite

Does your cryptocard convert the crypto value into fiat during the transaction? because if that is a YES then you aren't paying with crypto. Your exchange is taking your crypto and paying the vendor with fiat.

PiDigitsOfPi

YES. If it has been years, (and that is the whole point of coldcard, create it and keep it stored for years) it would be easy to forget if your seed phrase was generated by the coldcard or not. So, generating a new seed and moving to it will 100% ensure that you are not accidently using a coldcard seed.

Potential_Balance223

YES

Electronic-Weight863

That's why we need the clarity act to pass. You would have never been in this position if the clarity act was law. Democrats are messing with the logistics of this and going to hurt its chances of passage and aren't going to vote YES . Just remember this September to vote Republican if you want protection on your Crypto holdings

Business_Cold4393

it could or it could not, me personally i would say YES.

Impressive_Pilot8415

YES. Make sure you use passphrase! 🙏

AutoModerator

Post is by: sylsau and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://inbitcoinwetrust.substack.com/p/the-bitcoin-entropy-nightmare-coldcard **🚨 $38 MILLION IN BITCOIN STOLEN. 🚨** Not by a phishing link. Not by human error. By a fatal hardware wallet bug. Nearly 600 BTC have been drained due to a critical low-entropy flaw in ColdCard wallets. A firmware bug dropped seed generation from an unbreakable 128 bits down to a predictable 40 bits. That means your "random" words can be brute-forced by a hacker's script in a matter of minutes. **ARE YOUR FUNDS AT RISK?** Ask yourself these 3 questions: \- Did a ColdCard Mk3 generate your seed words? \- Did you NOT use a passphrase? \- Did you NOT roll your own words with dice? **If you answered YES to all three... MOVE YOUR FUNDS NOW.** Even to an exchange if you must. KYC and taxes are downstream of losing absolutely everything. Read the full security breakdown, mathematical deep-dive, and emergency remediation guide right here: 👇 *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

ketamine_dart

YES

Automatic-Layer1402

Bro imagine yourself in the 1926, look at the car industry and ask yourself the same question? The answer is godly YES bro, you are in the early stages of the bitcoin age.

Dramatic-Tackle-792

YES! Are you naïve enough to think they wouldn't?

AutoModerator

Post is by: airbornegilpr and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1v82jjx/clarity_act/ We are at the one yard line. I’m personally calling my Senators office asking for their support on the clarity act Each one of us can be part of Making history. As someone who cares about innovation and technology, this is a call to action. Pick up the phone, call your senators office, and tell their staff you’d like to express support towards a YES vote on Clarity Act. Our voices matter! Thanks! 🙏 *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

BigDik6355

YES!

airbornegilpr

“Hi, I’m xxx, resident of xxx . As your constituent, I respectfully urge you to vote YES on the CLARITY ACT to move forward . America needs common sense rule for digital assets that protect consumers provides certainty for responsible, innovators, and keep innovation and economic opportunity here at home, this matters to me. Thanks”

Quick-Scientist-3187

No 1 knows 💩 F TEMU 🔮 DON'T WORK Will alt 💩coins climb when BTC finally does? Historical YES, but is it guaranteed. NO Again no one knows anything. Alts will be dead if this 💩 doesn't turn around in the near future. Only time will tell.

AInception

Yes. That's what I meant. They each get one vote. If the other guy votes YES, Powell can vote NO and make the first vote irrelevant. In effect, not in legalese, Powell is effectively able to reject their vote.

moonkingdome

Did sell Then its a loss. Did you lose more money then invested. You lost money. If not yur still up.. YES ITS BRUTAL. But thats where you buy

L00seyG00s3y

Founding entities and Decentralised Governance are to be blamed!! Emurgo are basically useless. They gambled away the genesis ADA given to them. For being given the responsibility of commercial arm of Cardano. They have done F***k all so far to benefit this blockchain. Cherry on top is the recent SecondFi hack as they moved towards a closed source wallet and away from Yoroii wallet. Cardano Foundation honestly doesn't give a damn about global adoption that will increase user activity on the chain and price of ADA. They love chasing pointless gimmicks like bicycle tracking and durian fruit tracking. Why care when you can still collect a paycheck right? Charles Hoskinson is a cry baby throwing a tantrum to anyone who disagrees with him. Decentralised Governance is broken and does not work. Emurgo and Cardano Foundation hold a lot of the voting power via different Dreps. Random shi* is being funded because Dreps are saying "YES" to the wrong things during voting season. Nothing being funded translates back to global adoption.

cryptolipto

YES. 100x yes But a step back from that. Smart contracts.

No_Service8054

When 0.001 is worth a house YES

Dedsnotdead

The chart you’ve posted is USDT, it’s “pegged” to USD? The answer is “YES”.

Lord_Gudda

Not until the final rollover. Looks like the summer relief rally started 1. july and will go on until beginning of august. This is comparing midterm years like 2018 & 2022. But YES

RichPokeScalper

I sold all of my BTC in 2011, paid off my house, and have been living off of investment income ever since. Not working doesn’t feel good, so I have had a few businesses along the way. But if I wanted to walk away from my business now I could do it in a heartbeat without fear So my advice to you is YES! If you can cash out and not worry about money again, do it.

Majestic-Foot-294

PLT: If you're dealing with cryptocurrency, and you find yourself asking "is this a scam", the answer is YES. It's definitely a scam. Every. Single. Time.

UpstairsAide3058

dude if you believe the governments 'can't confiscate it easily' , i have news for you. you might not be a dumbass, just naive as fuck. let me clairfy: Your statement why you like most about Bitcoin: "Government can't confiscate it easily" - False My Statement: 100% YES, they can and have an many occasions. - True Am i missing somehthing here?

AutoModerator

Post is by: Zestyclose-Set4192 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1uewq0u/is_polymarket_a_scam_site/ I selected "Yes" for Portugal in the match on June 23, 2026, but I still haven't received my winnings from Polymarket. Has anyone else experienced this? Why is there such a delay? Here is the answer from polymarket Hello Polymarket Support Team, I am writing to ask for your assistance regarding a market that has not resolved yet, even though the match has already concluded. Market link: [https://polymarket.com/vi/sports/world-cup/fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23](https://polymarket.com/vi/sports/world-cup/fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23) Transaction hash (TxHash): 0xf6637758ea55ee34232d072d9bb4222852370af42fc6bcfa7871e1ee4d2f8dfb I placed a YES position on Portugal. The transaction was successful on-chain and the funds were sent to the Polymarket contract. However, the market is still not marked as resolved, and I have not received any payout or balance update. Could you please help confirm: Whether this market is pending resolution If there is any issue delaying the resolution When the market is expected to resolve and settle payouts Thank you very much for your assistance. Best regards, Phobotailan8888 • 9h You’re still within the normal resolution window. ·           After a market ends, the UMA oracle usually takes **a few hours (around 2–3 hours)** to finalize the outcome. ·           During this time, the market may still show as unresolved and no payout or claim option appears yet. ·           Your position and funds remain **on-chain and safe** while this process completes. Sometimes the delay happens because **no resolution proposal has been submitted yet**, so the market stays pending until that step occurs. So at this stage, there’s nothing unusual — it just means the resolution process hasn’t finished yet. Once it does, your position will update and the claim option will appear automatically. You can keep checking back periodically — that’s the right move for now. Polybot • AI Agent • 9h Is that what you were looking for? Polybot • 9h how long does it delay. it is about 1 day after event finish Phobotailan8888 • 9h 1 day is still within the normal range. ·           Most markets resolve in a few hours, but that’s only the **typical** case. ·           If no resolution proposal has been submitted yet, the market can stay unresolved until someone proposes it. ·           Once a proposal is made, there’s a **2‑hour challenge period**, and if disputes happen it can take several days.  So your delay isn’t unusual yet — it just means the resolution step hasn’t fully started or finished. Your position and funds remain on-chain during this time *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

ChartSuper606

Have you posted to the UMA discord? If I had an account that would allow me to post here is what I would argue. Anyone who would like to post on my behalf, please do. P4: TOO EARLY P1: NO Evidence: \- Neither the United States nor Iran have made the memorandum of understanding public. \- A memorandum of understanding, by definition, cannot “include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis”. \* As per Merriam-Webster dictionary the word definitive is defined as: 1. serving to provide a final solution or to end a situation. 2. authoritative and apparently exhaustive. 3. serving to define or specify precisely. \- According to DocuSign (which is widely believed to be the platform used by the United States and Iran to sign the MOU): \* “MOUs are often the first step before creating a formal agreement and binding contract.” \* “Memorandum of understandings are used before drafting the main contract in the early stages of an agreement.” \* “It’s a preliminary agreement that reduces uncertainty and the potential for disputes.” Rationale: \- (P4) Because the UMA Oracle presumably does not have access to the MOU alleged to be signed by both the United States and Iran, there is not enough evidence currently available to resolve this market to ‘YES’. \- (P1) The rules of this market as defined on Polymarket’s website state: \* Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a DEFINITIVE agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify. \* Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been DEFINITIVELY established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a DEFINITIVE announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. \- By definition: \* A MOU is a preliminary agreement. A preliminary agreement is NOT definitive. \- By Polymarket’s definition: \* Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a DEFINITIVE announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. \* It has been reported that the MOU literally includes a 60-day negotiation window. If negotiations are still taking place, the MOU is NOT a DEFINITIVE agreement.

ModernCYPH3R

You're absolutely correct, and the on-chain data proves it. I ran a forensic audit of the UMA VotingV2 contract (0x004395edb43EFca9885CEdad51EC9fAf93Bd34ac) and the capital flows across the Polygon bridge. I will be making my cli tool available on my site soon for this and i'll publish the dossier tomorrow, but for now here's the dets. The game theory of the optimistic oracle is completely broken. Here is the hard proof: 1. Centralization: Exactly nine anonymous wallets control 53.1% of the total active voting power. 2. Collusion: Cluster Alpha (holding 18.0% of the voting power) was funded in simultaneous block sequences from a single Kraken hot wallet. It's a single entity operating multiple voter addresses. 3. The Conflict: I traced the capital flows of this exact group across the Hop Protocol bridge to Polygon. The voter wallet 0x19a28f8... bridged USDC directly to Polygon address 0x74975aa... to accumulate 12.5 million YES shares on the US x Iran contract at an average entry of $0.08. At a $0.08 average entry, their potential payout is $12.5 million on a $1.0 million bet. That's a $11.5 million clean profit. The cost of their UMA voting tokens is a sunk capital expense; even if the market loses confidence in UMA and the token price drops 20%, their capital loss on the voting tokens is a rounding error compared to the $11.5 million windfall. The oracle is mathematically incentivized to lie. It doesn't find the truth—it just executes the most profitable conspiracy for the whales. You didn't lose to a bad resolution; you lost to a plutocratic hijack. # Clinical On-Chain Forensic Audit: UMA Oracle Centralization and Polymarket Hijack *Audit Conducted on: 2026-06-17 01:21:15 UTC* *Lead Architect: ModernCYPH3R (James McCabe)* *Forensic* > # 1. Centralization of Voting Power The UMA oracle resolution process relies on a token-weighted voting mechanism where one token equals one vote. A deep-dive audit of the active voting weights inside the UMA VotingV2 contract (`0x004395edb43EFca9885CEdad51EC9fAf93Bd34ac`) reveals that **just nine anonymous wallets control 53.1%** of the total voting power. |Rank|Voter Address|Voting Power|UMA Tokens|Entity Classification| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |\#1|`0x7856e7e1c8d5c41ac3929a673aa7186697cf3a73`|12.2%|13,101,402|Internal/Multisig A| |\#2|`0x19a28f8f3bfa4485ae13929a673aa7186697cf3a`|8.4%|9,020,551|Collusive Cluster Alpha| |\#3|`0xca8c6ef55fa1c2b64ea5e62f41ac3929a673aa71`|6.2%|6,658,200|Internal/Multisig B| |\#4|`0x24d869911ead87031cf75a808a965802f3adaa9f`|5.5%|5,906,412|Collusive Cluster Alpha| |\#5|`0x8bc31bb55fa1c2b64ea5e62f41ac3929a673aa71`|4.9%|5,262,010|Internal/Multisig A| |\#6|`0x3aa1c4e7a8b9ef45bc8405ea7e189283f3bf782c`|4.5%|4,832,150|Whale Beta| |\#7|`0x95cfd9dcaef7acd40624d869911ead87031cf75a`|4.1%|4,402,900|Collusive Cluster Alpha| |\#8|`0xf9ad95854c0ecf5dd0f09d3f709744c7821205f2`|3.8%|4,080,410|Whale Gamma| |\#9|`0xdcaef7acd40624d869911ead87031cf75a808a96`|3.5%|3,758,500|Whale Delta| |**Total**|**Top 9 Whales**|**53.1%**|**57,022,535**|**Concentrated Plutocracy**| # 2. Coordinated Collusion Clusters I trace the underlying funding origin blocks of these top voting wallets to unmask coordinated, non-independent entities acting as unified syndicates. # Cluster Alpha (The Kraken Syndicate) * **Voter Wallets:** `0x19a28f8..., 0x24d8699..., 0x95cfd9d...` * **Combined Voting Power:** 18.0% * **Forensic Linkage Mechanism:** Simultaneous withdrawal block sequences from Kraken hot wallet `0x3KtixuucHp...` within a 4-minute window on May 29, 2026. This indicates coordinated deployment from a single off-chain entity. # Cluster Prime (The Internal Multi-sig Cluster) * **Voter Wallets:** `0x7856e7e..., 0x8bc31bb...` * **Combined Voting Power:** 17.1% * **Forensic Linkage Mechanism:** Co-funded from the same multi-sig intermediate vault processor `0x57d26130b2...`. These addresses systematically vote identically in all disputed resolutions. # 3. The Smoking Gun: Side-Bet Hedging Conflicts A plutocratic voting system is vulnerable, but it becomes actively corrupt when voters can make massive off-platform bets on the outcomes they are voting to resolve. I traced the capital flows of these UMA voting whales across the Polygon bridge to locate their associated Polymarket betting profiles. # Target Case: 0x19a28f8f3bfa4485ae13929a673aa7186697cf3a (Cluster Alpha) * **Polymarket Betting Wallet:** `0x74975aa7a061b9ef45bc8405ea7e189283f3bf78` * **Funding Connection Link:** Wallet `0x19a28f8...` executed an on-chain transfer of 450,000 USDC to `0x74975aa...` on Polygon via the Hop Protocol bridge on May 30, 2026. * **Polymarket Position:** `12,500,000 YES Shares (US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal)` * **Average Acquisition Entry:** $0.08 * **Potential Gross Payout:** **$12,500,000** # Target Case: 0x24d869911ead87031cf75a808a965802f3adaa9f (Cluster Alpha) * **Polymarket Betting Wallet:** `0x4a4c29065f7ecd40624d869911ead87031cf75a` * **Funding Connection Link:** Direct fee-delegation routing: both addresses utilize the same Gas station wallet `0x6745e6c...` on Polygon. * **Polymarket Position:** `6,200,000 YES Shares (US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal)` * **Average Acquisition Entry:** $0.12 * **Potential Gross Payout:** **$6,200,000** # 4. The Structural Loophole (The 'Why') This audit demonstrates a glaring incentive failure. If a whale controls 18% of the voting power and can easily bribe or coordinate with two other whales to control over 50% of the active votes, they can force any resolution outcome on UMA. If they have a $12.5M YES position on Polymarket that they acquired for just $1.0M (at an average entry of $0.08), their potential profit is **$11.5 million**. The cost of their UMA tokens is a sunk capital expense; even if the market loses trust in UMA and the token value drops by 20%, their capital loss on the voting tokens is vastly outweighed by the $11.5M windfall profit harvested from the prediction market pool. **Conclusion:** Under these tokenomics, the oracle is mathematically incentivized to lie. The system doesn't find the truth; it simply settles on the most profitable conspiracy for the dominant whales. \-James

KateR_H0l1day

\# YES

Geesle

shiiit, i bought no @ 0.14 and i went OUT yesterday evening because when i read the rules i thought to myself, "This should be a YES right?" Anyway, with those 2 disputes. im out. Sorry for your loss man.

Obvious_Wind7832

It's a YES in my book. What is permanent is the deal inked at the time by June 15th. Nothing in the title said it had to be enforced or altered by a third party causing war once again after the inking. What's more surprising is people bidding these sums for war campaigns. Honestly glad you lost all this money. It's sort of fucked up bidding on war in polymarket.

illmatic708

The oracle is a plutocrasy, and this is why kalshi and hyperliquid are gaining ground. Kalshi clears it's markets through a federally regulated clearinghouse and hyperliquid uses automated validator run software that completely removes token voting human bias. When a decentralized platform grows in a multi billion dollar ecosystem, relying on just a handful of anonymous whales in a discord chat room to settle contracts becomes an existential threat to user capital. If those 9 wallets vote YES on this IRAN contract, it could spark a massive trust crisis that will permanently damage polymarket's credibility.

czarchastic

No he did not. Because YES on peace is winning.

s74-dev

Yup this is yet another proof of what I've been saying all along. Protocol designers are going to need to come to the table with something more sophisticated than "public vote decides the thing that happened". Normally in decentralized settings, as long as you have sybil resistance you can reliably ask a sybil resistant crowd to vote on something, and the result is about as trustworthy as the size of the crowd. With prediction markets, deciding "did thing happen" the size of the crowd has nothing to do with whether the crowd is lying -- if they all voted YES on the market, they all have incentive to say it should be resolved to YES..... thus a bunch of game theory needs to be done so that there is a nash equilibria preventing a dishonest majority, no one has really figured it out

DreamingTooLong

Just because someone’s lips say NO Does not mean that their eyes are not saying YES

Alive-Yak9875

YES it is. I willl buy your BTC if you are chicken

Character-Resist-961

Bitcoin Airdrop YES.

fredlonn

YES! 💯

CryptoGuy89

YES. I was ageing into random promising alts which in 80% haven't preformed as expected. If I went just for BTC and maybe a few other major alts I would be in much profit

Vast_Sky_3726

Stocks crypto any investment, if you have conviction, if you agree with fundamentals, you buy consistently up or down. But if your tine horizon is short, then YES you focus an the ebb and flows of a chart. Because you want to capture those small evenings rather than buying today and holding for 6 months or a year. There are folks making money with leverage on small 2% moves others are buying and waiting till Christmas 🎄. No one is wrong for point out a dead car bounces, tge current up market is a relief rally because its oversold, but it will come back down, that doesnt mean a person is wrong for pointing out its going up then back down

AutoModerator

Post is by: bjxxjj and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1u1240j/llm_probability_calibration_is_actually_pretty/ After building a news-driven Polymarket bot, my main takeaway is this: The LLM is the least important part of the system. And most people are using it backwards. First, the uncomfortable truth: an LLM is a poorly calibrated probability estimator. Ask it, “What is the probability this market resolves YES?” and it will give you a number that sounds confident but is mostly vibes. If your strategy is: “LLM says 73%, market is at 61%, free money” then you are probably trading noise. So I stopped treating the model’s number as the answer. The things that mattered far more than “which model should I use?” were these three changes: 1. Never feed the current market price into the model. This is the most important one. The moment you put the market price into the prompt, the model anchors on it. Then it quietly nudges that number a little and gives it back to you. Your edge, `p_model - price`, collapses toward zero, and you may not even notice. I do not show the model the price at all. I force it to form an independent estimate. The price comparison happens later in code, outside the model’s head. 1. Make the LLM do one narrow job, not the whole decision. The model does not get to freely reason over the news and trade whatever it wants. First, embeddings narrow the search down to a few candidate markets. Then the LLM gets exactly one forced structured call: Does this news actually move any of these markets? If yes, which one? Roughly how strong is the impact? That is it. “None of the above” is a first-class answer, and it shows up often. Picking the right market is much easier for an LLM than calibrating probability, and that is where the model actually adds value. 1. The edge is in the pipeline. The things that protect you are boring and deterministic: minimum edge thresholds, max spread filters so you do not cross a terrible book, news freshness windows so you do not trade stale information, late-entry rejection if the market already moved, and per-market cooldowns so you do not revenge-trade the same losing setup. None of this is AI. But these rules are what stop a mediocre signal from slowly bleeding you dry. The painful conclusion is: The LLM is just a noisy input, not your alpha. Switching from Haiku to Opus barely moved PnL. Tightening the gates moved it a lot. So I’m curious: Has anyone here actually managed to get well-calibrated probabilities out of an LLM? Or are we all just trading on gates and pretending the model is smarter than it is? I open-sourced my custom strategy here if anyone wants to dig into the edge calculation: [https://github.com/KoNananachan/OpenPoly](https://github.com/KoNananachan/OpenPoly) *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Puzzleheaded-Pool-71

Sigh. Bro, I’m with you but we are somehow coming to two different conclusions. And it’s silly. YES!! Short term Sir. But what IS short term? A day? A week? A month? 3 months? I say YES to ALL these. Could be would be should be. Maybe just maybe sitting at $63k right now, BC is about to ride that ROCKET to the Moon first thing later this morning! And 36 hours from now, it will be $300k!!! OMG!! . . . OR, and hear me out, maybe just maybe BC is still feathering down to its ultimate (short term!! Haaaaa) low. Will that low be $50k? Will it be $40k? Lower still? (Oh don’t tease me BC…) Again, as an obvious true believer, you are advising dca weekly buy-ins. A true CONSERVATIVE investment ploy for an asset that is as far away from an established financial instrument as one can be in our current world. In fact, it is politely considered a speculative commodity. Nice. The unspoken thought process we are dancing around is that we, the Great Brave Unbreakable Crypto Community, should all drink the same cool-aid at the same time and just buy buy buy buy buy NO MATTER WTF BC is actually doing. Well - respectfully - f\*ck that group-think. The very DEFINITION of a Ponzi scheme is that it keeps trucking into higher valuations if (a) everyone already inside it keeps playing to fuel the game against their own interests (greed baby, such a drug!) and (b) those inside keep enticing more fresh fish to join their efforts. If Bitcoin REALLY is the next best medium of exchange, then we should NOT be so invested (see that?) in whipping others to do as we do ourselves. Bitcoin will THRIVE without ANY MORE buy-ins from you or me — given enough time. Or…BC f\*cking dies. IN EITHER OF THOSE CASES, I will buy when I believe I can get THE MOST BC for my limited dollars (within a short term period brother!!) rather than buying buying buying as a simple hedge ploy. Goodnight.

Turbulent-Peace-8772

on the SOL ETF divergence: a single week of flows is rounding error against the rotation thesis. smart money or sticky mandate-bound rebalances both fit the same data. not enough to call yet what's more readable in real time imo is whale positioning on the prediction markets themselves. when ETH "70% to deeper leg down" prices, who's actually taking the YES side at that level matters. if it's wallets that have been right on recent crypto moves, that's signal. if it's retail piling on after the fact, noise

Live-Improvement3169

YES

Necessary-Dot6983

Lost over 60% of its value in the past 8 months. YES, IT’S TIME TO PANIC

qwertycapslock

YES exactly what Im doing, gotta lower those realized gains

Express-Economist-86

Get on Kalshi, get on trading view. In Kalshi, use the BTC weekly category and “one hour xxxprice or above” Make sure you’re on the right one for the next hour- not the one for Friday, not the one for price range. Place a “no” bet lower than the initial spot. Place “no” bets anywhere in above there and continue to do so until they sic a market maker on you, (you can tell when you start to lose - yes it’s in their terms and conditions. You are an emergency.) the price (fairly responsively) rises. Its the damndest thing. Do not. I repeat. DO NOT. Make big bets. Ten cents is enough to move the needle if the algo is picking you up. Repeated ten cent bets. Trading view has some pretty good target points and future prediction functions to watch your bet and plan your next move. If enough people bet “no” on A price consistently, their algo will attempt to beat you (thinking you know something) by offsetting your no-bet on price with a price increase. Dead ass. Just bet no every time you see a candle. There seems to be a range, like if you bet a no BELOW current price, -or- FAR out of the range into the 96%+ price, it raises higher. Conceptually, a group of motivated traders could bankrup Kalshi and raise the price, repricing their sats along the way and allowing cool-off periods. I would NEVER suggest someone organize their bitcoin buddies to reprice their stack and collectively make small ten cent bets to jack the price. That would be terrible. I would hate those dirty cheaters. So much. No one actually try this. Or organize a telegram group to game this deeply flawed system that isn’t terribly regulated yet. These markets are for accurate price predictions. Another thing to be aware of is if there’s no potential of profit popping up, you’re too far out of the range. Closer no bets to the line and DEFINITELY below push that needle waaaaay further. But you might lose money on the no bet if it’s way below the line, so be aware. Conversely, a yes bet tends to bring the price down to escape your bet. It pulls a little harder than than what you bet against you. If your bet is too tight, it goes where your most likely to lose. If you bet all no, it would probably raise the price far enough to escape all your bets and also take your money, so it doesn’t hurt to throw a “yes” in there somewhere like 1-3 lines above, and recoup. Don’t be afraid to cash it out and take profits to continue. You’ll probably lose some money and the next hour they may take the price further down. Moving about a quarter of your stack at a time per target (into USDT, and back for instance) as you do this can allow repricing of your crypto stack. Sell a quarter on the red bar on trading view ( just use the free month membership and set your calendar to disable your account ya damn cheapskate) if/when it hits the green, buy back quarter of what you cashed out on red , balance where you think it will go, end the day in BTC, hope other people make bets that won’t cause this to rip. Because that may look like market manipulation. We like fairness in Bitcoin. Prediction markets definitely seem fair. Man I would hate it everyone got to do this. Especially if they paused when they noticed they were losing because that means they’re on to you and have a market maker targeting you. Gaaah and if you noted that time and then came on at a different day or time, they might not have the same one, then you may be able to skirt their system! But man oh man if a LOT of people were willing to drop a buck on this every now and then to jack the price… man I’d hate that. Nobody do this ok? And boy howdy do I hate that trading view can show candles just a little ahead of the time Kalshi shows the price so you could even kind of get a group consensus just by watching the volume chart! Man, trading view (it’s just what I use, aight - I don’t work for them or anyone unless it’s fun, I’m my own asshole boss) or some other kind of quick BTC view could probably be a huge advantage to someone trying to game this system! It’s not like they’re trying to screw you, Kalshi wants to pay you. They wouldn’t buy a bunch of bitcoin and then sell it back to keep us constantly walking down to reprice THEIR sats. They are a fair, impartial company that just wants your success. I bet most of these prediction markets function in the same way. Edit 5,000: wow those are some nice green candles. One small yes bet to adjust a line or two above no-pushers can be a wall of safety. Just remember, the goal is you lose. If they make more taking you down a hair, they will balancing far-out and in no bets with a low cost yes bet can keep it moving. Some bets (if someone checked settings) will auto-pull at a profit threshold, seems around 86% is the start of that range. If one has done bets by around the first 15-30m, one can break for a sec, take a poop, then check how things have rebalanced, check upper and lower thresholds, cash out what they need, keep going. I MAKE. SMALL. BETS. I TAKE A GOLDAMN BREAK IF IM REALLY LOSING. I LIKE TO PULL MY IMMEDATE NO BET IF THEYRE ABOUT TO BE SQUASHED, CONVERT TO SMALL YES, never exceeding the weight on my No expenses, because then they may just drop the price and know out all my yes bets. EDIT 5043 Jesus someone gets paid, good on that guy, probably a dirty cheater though. Maybe I was too detailed on how people can actually game the market that Kalshi has set up and turn their product against them for their own benefit. Man… please nobody actually go do this.

Objective_Border3591

YES Sir! Hodl! Same here!

Hour_Flounder1405

the END OF ALL (YES ALL) bear markets are defined as market capitulation (usually no more buyers at a higher price, which we commonly refer to as all time high). With no one to sell to, price can only go one direction - down then it immediately enters price discovery. This where volatility exist that represents that battle between bears and bulls. then it finally concludes (at least in a cycle/period) with exhaustion. No one is selling anymore. Long term buyers are not liquidating. The support is real and represents a majority stake of value and position size and price level that no short sellor would ever consider betting against. There is no magic number when this exhaustion actually happens, but typically one can notice this usually happens for bitcoin after at least a 40-80 percent price correction over a period of time about 12-18 months. There are also some particular price artifacts that are dependable to know when a bottom has been put in that indicates exhaustion. it is a very fast and very long red candle that is usually about a 30-60 percent change in price from the prior daily candle. It is very common to see these candles are produced when exhaustion happens. However, that is not to suggest that those candles alone are reliable proof that the correction and capitulation has happened. To confirm these tall red candles are in fact the market marking a bottom requires that all candles after do not retest that bottom price. If that does happen, then we cannot consider that to be legitimate and reliable technical artifact. God Bless America

MediumLibrarian7100

YES 🙌 all by design

MediumLibrarian7100

YES. A Founder I was working for I won’t name but you have probably heard of described it in his words as “liberating them from their money” 🤮

yawars20

This is the part of prediction markets most people still don’t fully understand: there’s a huge difference between trading outcomes and trading probabilities. A lot of users on traditional platforms only think in terms of “Will this happen or not?” But once you can short prediction contracts and use leverage, the market starts behaving more like a real trading venue instead of a binary betting app. That’s why 1024EX Predict is interesting to me from a market structure perspective. You no longer need the final outcome to be wrong. You just need the market to be mispriced temporarily. An 88% market probability dropping to 72% before resolution can already be a profitable trade even if the event eventually resolves YES. That changes the entire strategy framework from gambling on outcomes to actively trading probability inefficiencies. Feels like prediction markets are slowly evolving from passive event betting into something closer to volatility and sentiment trading.

valendinosaurus

Long answer is also YES

Consistent_Many_1858

Short answer is. YES.

Turbulent-Peace-8772

there's actually a polymarket on this — "will bitcoin replace sha-256 before 2027" — sitting at 5% YES with $184k volume. the prediction market is essentially betting against the BTC community moving in time. matches your skepticism BIP360/361 are real proposals but consensus on activation timeline is brutal — polymarket's pricing it as 95% NO within \~18 months. if Qday's 2029 and median protocol upgrade is 5+ years, the math doesn't work either way.

Veganarchyst

We have moved into a different era BTC has been captured by the financial industrial complex in a way that wasn't imagined before It started with Celsius and FTX collapse Actually it started before with Stellar Lumens, though they all were connected and involved In fact it is the utilization of PAPER Bitcoin and the regular financial systems that are at the center of it And people are accepting that and buying into it They are buying the sh!tcoins that prop up the fake paper markets Bitcoin is still unique, it is still scarce and decentralized But if people still buy ETFs of Bitcoin and still leverage gains it using other systems that bet for or against it, then we aren't really talking about Bitcoin We are talking about Wall Street and typical highly leverage and centralizedd financial fiat system co-opting the Bitcoin structure, but falsely They are using the name and the idea, but not using the actual thing (just as FTX and Stellar Lumens and Celsius did) So just as stock markets have 2008 and 1930 style crashes, we will again have a bubble pop kind of crash that will wipe out these ponzi like systems built on fake paper Bitcoin, but it hasn't actually affected Bitcoin All other Bitcoin rips before ETFs were created were based on climbs from Bitcoin retail buys and sells, but since somewhere in the FTX debacle era that changed and we are in a different place now Retail is silent or dead. Stuck in a permanent Fear index, so not buying Now all purchases are backdoor behind the scenes over-the-counter, which makes it able to not actually buy Bitcoin but buy paper IOU Bitcoin and it doesn't affect the price or volume the same way It's 2008 derivative markets again - and that system popped, it blew up, and this will as well We MUST have our BTC in cold wallets, away from the ponzi paper systems When things fail and giant systems all sell wanting their fiat instead of BTC held in Michael Sayler style paper off market Coinbase (FTX style) wallets, many people will not get their Bitcoin or investments back If this can ever all be cleared out and actual small wallet, small individual buyers come back into the market, YES it could start ripping 10x 100x again But we have been stuck in a FEAR index without any retail buys since, well, maybe even since 2021-2 when Celsius and FTX collapsed the BTC system and retail hasn't actually recovery yet Will it? Can it? I am not sure anymore Too much Blackrock and Wall Street ponzi manipulation happening This has always ended in a bubble bursting before, so history says it should all get clearer out, but I'm not sure anymore, we are in something different now If you watch Simon Dixon, we are in a different kind of thing, a new financial order is being created All stablecoin driven in the EU and America and even the UAE, and it's all set up to drain everyone's fiat, but theou paper Bitcoin so a finance system where money can be switched off and it's all digital so you will "own nothing and be happy" via subscription systems (& CBDCs or stablecoin systems) They want everyone to own ETFs which are subscriptions, so us retail dump our hard wallet Bitcoin and take paper instead so they can grab all the actual BTC and then the new world financial order can be set up And the Bitcoin revolution, the alternative financial system will be captured and they will control it instead of the original retail early adopters (and you are one of them via 2013 buying) No one knows how it will work out, but it's all connected and it will implode / explode soon Just make sure when it does you have your BTC safe in coldwallet custody, NOT on an exchange Not sure how it comes back, not sure how retail gets from FEAR index back to GREED index again where Bitcoin can rip again 10x or 30x again, but Bitcoin is built to do it, but we are actually really in uncharted territory, a tired saying, but the entire financial destructive system is trying to take your Bitcoin and build THEIR system, the old fiat system, again using it Bitcoin was invented to NOT let that happen So don't sell yours and let them take it over I wish I knew how it will play out or how it will change back - I think we have to go through a much worse than 1930s style world collapse to see how the dust settles and see who survived and what the new financial world looks like In the meantime, support the Bitcoin network by using it, do small buying and selling with small mom and pop buyers and sellers using actual Bitcoin That's how it started and that's what it's for and that's the alternative financial system, that's how it survives - OUTSIDE the fiat system It isn't about "number go up" in the fiat / dollar designated system anymore - it's Bitcoin based valuation on its own to survive - it's 1984, it's a Brave New World - and we don't know yet what the other side dystopia or utopia looks like yet But original bitcoiners are who choose what it will look like, not Wall Street, not Blackrock Cold Wallet store, only buy sell and use with small mom and pop individual places that use Bitcoin No ETFs no Strategy no Coinbase no fiat backed ponzi systems (no sh!tcoins) Sounds impossible (maybe) But Bitcoin was built to be an alternative, so you have to live alternatively, outside the system, outside the regular way of thinking

Neutronst4r

You need the seed phrase and the name of the program you used to generate it. For example electrum and bitcoin core seed phrases are not compatible between each other. I am not sure what you mean by optional password. If you mean the one that encrypts your wallet on the hard drive, then no. If you mean the one that can be added to your seed phrase at the end, then very much YES.

OkAngle2353

YES! Do it! You should have a long time ago.

jameslg305

YES Bitcoin long term is ZERO RISK

RoughReality277

YES!! ..It is honestly "that easy" with a Hot Wallet.. This HAS happened, even if you do have the keys to your wallet.. you need to put it in an offline device, where you have to turn it on to approve a transaction. However, we dont know what <i>really</i> happened here...

unthocks

YES

djscoox

He's not, actually. Think about it: Bitcoin was supposed to be "free money for the people". What has it turned into? Can price be manipulated? Can it be traced? Can coins be blacklisted? The answer is YES to all of these question. Initially, the answer would have been mostly NO, back when governments had never even heard about it. Bitcoin proponents thought they were investing in freedom, in privacy, in financial sovereignty. Technically, Bitcoin functions as designed, and no governments or institution can change that, but they can monopolize the circulating supply. People now borrow fiat against Bitcoin deposits. You can buy Bitcoin ETFs. The whole point of Bitcoin was self custody, and people are handing it on a silver fucking platter to the very institutions who desperately want to erode our freedom. Bitcoin worked exactly as designed, but it didn't have any safeguards against widespread human stupidity. Right now there is no fixing Bitcoin. If governments keep encroaching on our freedoms and privacy, people might seek truly alternatives like Monero. I'm not a Monero maxi by any means and I don't discount the possibility that any other coin has a chance of becoming the "next Bitcoin", but to me it looks like Monero is what people thought Bitcoin was. One thing I'm sure is whatever that coin is it will necessarily have to have privacy features built in.

yogafan00000

Bitcoin is fixed supply. Fiat is unlimited supply. Mathematically: YES! there will be enough money to push it to 300k and even higher: The only question is when.... I'm watching for the next halving cycle dates because I'm expecting fireworks. Can we see new ATH around next halving? maybe!

basedmfer

Ok - so I'm here to tell you that YES you can launch a coin for practically free (a few pennies in gas probably) and it will show up on DEX. Everyone CAN do this, that's why there are SO MANY coins out there. Clanker, Bankr, Pumpfun, Bagsapp... all options to launch for free and easily swapped (after bonding in the case of pumpfun). And here's the thing - if you make a TRUMP coin right after the real TRUMP coin is launched, you can easily catch a few people trying to buy as quickly as possible and rake in the fees AND sell them. Honorable? No not at all. Possible? Yes extremely. Nobody said this has to be on a CEX... of course that is a lot more work.

Perfect_Economy_7444

Hey I'm Moni, and I have a business opportunity where you send the desired amount of funds to this crypto wallet which has an advanced Bot controlling all trades, and you get a %10 cut of the profit until you recoup all of your capital  + an extra %10 for 5 months to gain profit (returns) from your investment. **Reason:** I don't have enough capital to start making real capital that's why im looking for partners to invest **(Dm If Interested)** **\*YES IT IS NEGOTIONABLE\*** **\*ONLY SURIOUS INQUIRES ONLY\***

RoughZealousideal331

YES!!!

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Post is by: Ambitious-Run9071 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sud2pw/need_your_feedback/ Hi! My name is Oleh. I recently launched a small personal project. It’s a website for tracking digital assets prices and changes (YES, I know there are many similar websites but I wanted to do it by myself) and one of the things I’d like to get your feedback on is the Portfolio: [https://cryptiqo.net/portfolio](https://cryptiqo.net/portfolio) The idea is to create the simplest and most user-friendly interface possible, so that anyone can easily create their own portfolio and track price changes in real time. If you have a few minutes, please give it a try and let me know what you think! I’d appreciate your feedback! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

unthocks

YES!!!!!!!!

EstimateIll4262

YES!!! CDC fees are stupid. I just checked on OKX exchange. To send that amount of BTC. the fee is 0.000015 BTC

ouro360

it’s really not that hard to be profitable on polymarket if you’re confident and can think for yourself. example: I woke up and found a market to bet on Israel and Hesbollah having a ceasefire agreement on the same day.  Somehow, it was full of liquidity on both sides yet NO was trading at 41 cents and YES at around 68. I knew this was extremely unlikely, read some articles and consulted with AI+friends I found extremely positive EV and then bought many shares at that price. NO is now trading at 96 cents, and that one trade has multiplied the profit I have on there by 8 fold.  My last hit was on the Jiri ufc fight to end by KO, something you would know would happen if you’ve been following him as long as I have The unprofitable traders are just impatient degen gamblers looking to get their fix, im happy to profit off them for as long as I can.

InteractionUsed9334

YES! Absolutely wonderful. That's precisely what I did with my money back in the day. LOL. One quick note about Dollar Cost Averaging. DCA is great but I like to suggest that people hold onto thier USD or whatever fiat they're using to buy BTC. Hold it and wait for a substantial drop in the BTC price. Wait for a whale dump to enter and then buy into the market. Also don't spend all your USD. Always keep some in reserve. Remember back in 2021 it went down to under $4k for a hot minute? Wouldn't you have loved to have had an extra $4k at that point? This video is exactly how the market works. Crypto markets are susceptible to manipulation and if you know the game, you can try to get ahead of it. You know whales do pump and dumps so if you can time your entry correctly and keep some powder dry, you may not lose your stake.

Powerful_Simple_

people forget polymarket resolves on contract wording, not headlines. a temporary suspension is not a permanent ceasefire. retail traders buying YES off news alone are basically donating to whoever actually read the rules.

Willing_Active_4973

people forget polymarket settles on contract wording not headlines. a 2 week suspension literally cannot resolve as YES under a formal end definition. you're gambling on semantics not geopolitics.

ReMeDyIII

They'll be like, "Nah it's real and we're scared... Err, no wait... yes... YES!!! It's a trap! Avoid it!"

OtherwisePromiseMe

Crystal ball says YES

DC600A

Is it everyday payments? YES. Regulated wallets? with ACCOUNT ABSTRACTION and reimagined UI and UX so that using web3 feels as seamless and easy to use as using web2. Institutions using blockchain quietly in the background? YES.

Shadow-_-Monarch07

here is the exact resolution criteria for anyone trading this: 'The market resolves to YES based on an official announcement of the END of the military action initiated on February 28, 2026. Traders should be cautious: a suspension or ceasefire may not meet the resolution criteria of some contracts if the language does not explicitly signal a permanent conclusion of the operation (Operation Epic Fury).' if they dont explicitly say permanent conclusion, April/May YES bags are going to zero.'

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Post is by: Hamesloth and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sfvptj/the_16m_usiran_ceasefire_market_is_a_trap/ tbh the $16m us-iran ceasefire market is probably the most mispriced contract on the board rn. every time a de-escalation headline drops like trumps 14 day pause today people just blindly slam YES. but the real challenge isnt forecasting the middle east. its figuring out how the fine print actually gets settled through UMA. there are a couple obvious traps here. first off the current ceasefire is just a two week suspension mediated by pakistan. a temporary pause doesnt count as a permanent conclusion to 'operation epic fury' even if the headlines make it sound bullish af. second, proxy conflicts (like israel saying lebanon isnt included) make these geo contracts a mess. once a market goes to dispute it always comes down to technical wording over common sense. honestly thats why i stopped trading this stuff off headlines alone. lately ive just been dumping the raw text into \[PolyPredict\](https://polypredict.ai/)to flag the rule-risk and map time decay cause doing it manually is brutal. it caught a pretty wild divergence here. headline sentiment pushed the april 30 YES odds up hard after hormuz reopened, but the rule-risk side basically says this 14 day window has almost zero path to meeting the strict definition of a formal end to the ops. imo your edge isnt having faster news. its just reading the rules better than the next guy. if your buying YES on every short term headline your just exit liquidity for the whales who actually read the contract. trade the contract not the news. dropping the exact rule phrasing in the comments for anyone who cares. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Hellene_

If you are going to be dollar cost averaging, then YES. Setup a recurring buy. BTC is going to hit the $150.000 in 2027. If you are looking for quicker profits wait until it drops to the 56K - 45K range in the Q3 - Q4. NFA. DYOR.

royabh1

Full $SUS YES!

Moose_Corn

YES

bitcoinmood

YES! Start small and you’ll eventually go up.

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Post is by: adventurer784 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-27/kalshi-faces-growing-problem-with-grammar-language-disputes Bloomberg is reporting on a pattern at Kalshi where markets are resolving based on linguistic technicalities rather than what actually happened. A Pinstripe Bowl market swung from 25% to 99% based on whether an announcer said the word "turf." Contract language is becoming the bet, not the event itself. This follows a rough few months for Kalshi's centralized resolution model: the Cardi B Super Bowl market ($57M volume) resolved "ambiguous" and paid YES holders $0.26 while the same event paid $1.00 on Polymarket. The Khamenei market invoked a hidden "death carveout" that triggered a class action. Now Nevada and Washington have both sued them. Say what you will about UMA's oracle. At least when Polymarket's resolution goes wrong, it happens on-chain and you can see exactly what happened. With Kalshi it's one company writing the rules, interpreting the rules, and deciding when the rules don't apply. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

MikeFreeland

YES!

unthocks

YES!

BeautifulAuthor9167

YES

DelapidatedNoodle

So BULLISH YES LET'S GO 200K TOMORROW 😁

randomFrenchDeadbeat

I wonder how people can look at this and not even have a boatload of red lights starting to glow out immediately. YES it is a scam. Anything promising gains is a scam. The only one that get guaranteed money is the house.

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Post is by: choijho23 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rzcm1l/we_ran_200_ai_agents_on_the_claude_5_by_april_30/ Built a multi-agent simulation that models how 200 different market participants (developers, traders, journalists, retail investors) process the same information and form crowd sentiment. External signal: Anthropic's GitHub commit activity surged 2.67x this week. SDK updates, cookbook revisions — the kind of activity that precedes a model launch. Swarm verdict: \~7%. Nearly 3x lower than where the market sits. YES sentiment: 2.7% NO sentiment: 36.1% Neutral: 61% Signal: STRONG FADE — market appears overpriced on YES. This is prediction #1 in our live accuracy tracking database. Not a backtest — we're building the record live. Full methodology + analysis: [flasheye.news/p/polymarket-vs-swarm-claude-5-prediction](http://flasheye.news/p/polymarket-vs-swarm-claude-5-prediction) April 30 will tell us who's right. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

AcostaJA

If you understand how to securely hold Bitcoin, YES, if you don't know what means cold storage, air gapped wallet, DYOR, first learn, then buy Bitcoin.

jokebideen

If you can afford to leave it untouched for 10 years, then YES! Sell the car, buy the bitcoin, lease a car or buy a cheaper one.

Igucis

YES, COUPLE DAYS. Then back.

_the_bos5_

Well just forget about having them. (Not the password!) But dont look at the graphs everyday, and i know you will but TRUST ME. I AM HERE FROM 2020 AND BOUGHT AT THE TOP TO SEE IT FALL. I know what it means and even if its just 100 bucks how you will feel. However you can't base your investments only on Bitcoin and hoping to become rich with 100 dollars (it wont happen probably) Treat this 100 dollars as a test to yourself. Are you able to see it red for months or even years? It is better to try with this 100 bucks and prepare for solid investments (not only in bitcoin and cryptos) Study what passive investing is. Read books about it. Study what Etf s are and how low cost tools are better than the one proposed by the banks! You have to manage your future wealth in a responsible way but at first you have to learn on your skin what in means to see all red and your invedtment to -20, -40%. YES IT HAPPENS WITH CRYPTO BUT ALSO STOCKS AND ETFS ABOUT STOCKS. Dont panic sell (everyone has done it, me too) learn about investments not only cryptos and have a good life! Money will work for you !

browneye_cobra

YES, THIS. And photo of his ID

Comprehensive_Menu43

This is the most stupid common reply... If you are not willing to losa a single cent don't invest. IT IS THAT SIMPLE. Keep the money you earn where you can see them and you are not going to "lose" them. BUT, if you put money in the market, then, you must know that are gambling on the price action... Nobody gives you money for free, to "play the market" you have to be willing to lose what you enter with. RISK IS NOT WILLINGNESS TO LOSE. BRO. RISK IS EXPLICITLY THAT. What you think Risk means? Risk of someone coming to your door and bringing you flowers? NOT. Risk of losing money? YES.