XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR® Fund
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Finalising my "wheel" strategy and need some advice
Small $SPY and $XLF YOLO for next week... in Jpow we trust
2023-04-20 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Dwight Schrute
Warren Buffett invested in these Fintech Companies - How does SOFI Measure Up?
Warren Buffett invested in these Fintech Companies - How does SOFI Measure Up?
You regards are doing bank fds wrong. Do THIS Monday!
Expected Moves This Week: Fed Decision, KRE, XLF, Nike, Gamestop and more.
Playing banks and commercial property REITs with puts.
Charles Schwab calls itself a ‘safe port in a storm’ as it took in billions in new assets the past week
Expected moves: SPY, XLF, KRE, TLT, and Earnings from Adobe and FedEx
Cleaveland-Cliffs (XLF) CEO tells Managing Director to Resign and Commit Suicide on Earnings Call
Is creating a 5 fund sector for fun a bad investment idea?
2023-01-23 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays) DD
How likely is it for $XLF financial sector ETF to continue its uptrend when the FED has stopped its money printing scheme?
Thoughts on potential recovery and rejection of SPY
Denver Housing Prices...post #4... we aren't done yet...
Adding sector specific ETFs or keeping only broader market ETFs?
2022-11-08 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-11-02 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-31 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
ETF investors, what are some of the sector ETFs you invest in?
Is it a BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET? Lines in the Sand, 09/29/2022
Is it a BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET? Lines in the Sand, 09/29/2022
Fly Me to the Moon $BBBY, Alright Retards, and Retardettes Listen up or dont.
Good afternoon Retards and Retardettes ishyaboi HeywoodjaShortme I am coming to you with retarded information that just might make money $SIGA
Week of 6-6: Most Important Charts to Watch #003
How to get Free XLF calls — (including trade fees) right now.
Good ETFs to hedge this inflation or potential recession?
Good ETFs to hedge this inflation or potential recession?
People complaining about RSX options being halted are greedy
Final review of my simple beginning ETF portfolio before I get the ball rolling.
Buy on Calls/Puts on long term trends for peace of mind
What is your play for the interest rate hikes that will happen next year?
Some Basic but very useful Options help from a full-time trader
I finally have a charting ritual after years of thinking looking at charts was bullshit.
Index/ETF investing any tips on proposed allocations?
Is there any reason to invest in any other ETFs if you buy VTI?
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation and Analysis (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation and Analysis (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More
**Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q3 Week 1) - $JPM, $WFC, $BAC, $C, $GS, $MS, $TSM, and More**
Kaplan & Rosengren, two hawks just got fired : Long $QQQ, Short $XLF, $KRE, Short the dollar, Long $TLT
$YANG GANG UPDATE- Banks Blowup, RE Troubles, & The China Contagion - An Evergrande Update - Part 2
Do you trade options in high price per share tickers?
Can I negotiate margining % with broker
Monday's most interesting market trend amid the stock sell-off: Morning Brief
Why is my ticker down? Add these sectors ETF’s to your watchlist to understand the big picture
What is your outlook on the finance ETF $XLF after bank earnings?
Just 3 Stocks Power 75% Of Warren Buffett's Profit
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q2 Week 1) - $JPM, $GS, $WFC, $BAC, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q2 Week 1) - $JPM, $GS, $WFC, $BAC, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q2 Week 1) - $JPM, $GS, $WFC, $BAC, $MS, $TSM, and More
Historical Post Earnings Moves MEGA Compilation (Q2 Week 1) - $JPM, $GS, $WFC, $BAC, $MS, $TSM, and More
VIX options shifting to bullish and Banks really bearish all the sudden
Mentions
XLF broke out of a 9 month consolidation and is now in price discovery mode. You have one minute to buy calls in it homie. Dont say I didn’t help you
I'm thinking the triple B might send bank stocks a'moonin.. Might buy a dozen XLF calls or so
GEE, he was the only one who thought about the SubPrime Default Thesis. Did you very think about the Hedging that was going on in the CDS he bought . DO you really think he was the only one making money on all of that. We hedged just acout everthimng on our Sheet with XLF, CDX, LEH shorts, BSC shorts, MER shorts. We just didn't advertise out positions , we just made money.
Your question is a bit vague. What kind of Financial Sector? If you want a very broad US financials - there's XLF. But there are also funds that focus on banks. For example - KRE for regional banks. KBE and KBWB for larger banks. There is IAI which is primarily broker-dealers in the US.
XLF calls targeting $52 is free money
If the Senate passes that Tax bill, financials are gonna mewn. Formal deliberations begin Tuesday, and Bitch McConnell has said, on the record, that they want it passed before July 4th. So I'm thinking XLF/JPM/C calls, expiring in September, bought sometime in early June at an optimal pullback spot
If that Tax bill gets pushed thru and signed, financial stocks are gonna moon. Thinking about buying a butt load of XLF at the money calls here
1) The United States is downgraded as a credit risk 2) The ETF for All Large financial institutions $XLF is up 3) Make it make sense to me. Please be gentle. I am sensitive.
I sold XLF calls 5 mins after open 
Bought in later part of NOV and early Dec 2008 GS avg price $55. BOA some time frame AVG. $9.00, JPMavg $17, WFC avg $16 and XLF avg $9
Get out of my brain. Seriously, if you show a pic of XLF gains i’m going to start telling people were twins. UNH and QBTS (rgti/rr) have been my bread and butter for the last year. Also, they have a leveraged qbts etf if youre feelin frisky
Your guess is as good as anyone else's. XLF might be interesting to watch.
the XLF up half a percent in first ten mins of trading
remind me! -6 month all dated Jan 2026 - Jan 2027 drawdown is about $4500 on a $7000 basis 2026 XLF 30 put XLF 20 put XLF 19 put DIA 200 put XLRE - 40 put XLRE - 30 put XLRE - 20 put INTC - 60 call 2027 XLF 20 put VNQ - 30p VNQ - 20p GME - 5p AMC - 3p AMC - 1p see you in 6 months!
XLRE / VNQ underperforming vs the market recovery, housing market showing cracks XLF is a different story. not as confident about this anymore as I'm afraid whatever exposure could be covered by the meme-market pumps. IMO if history remains true in the future SOMEBODY has to default and that's why I'm going short on the basket itself, not just individual banks, but I have them too (OWL, ZION, APO, ARES, JPM, BAC, WFC) just in smaller portions and again deep OTM far expiry All in I will lose about $6,000 by 2027 if we don't see some sort of recession by then, but I think the majority of WSB/ Americans are ignoring the warning signs for a **global** recession and are short sighted by the value of american tech / drunk off the bull party
XLF / XLRE / VNQ January 2026 puts deep OTM fair warning I'm pretty stupid so far!
Thats not a bat strategy actually. Buying after their theta killed for small pops is a good way to bank if youre buying in lots. I do something similar w XLF
honestly? SOXS if you wanna gamble equities, start selling chunks of gains as soon as they come in gambling options? my picks would be 2026 dated ***puts*** on XLRE (real estate), XLF (finance sector / the bank basket), XLE (energy) if you want a big spicy one HYG, I'm holding a ton of puts on them. they're the high yield corporate bond ETF. tracks high risk corporate bonds which are typically high risk as hell and I think it's pretty implosion worthy.
I have some XLF calls, so I hope i'm wrong.
I’m not going to post my core shorts for 2 reasons: 1.) they’d look absolutely degenerate if you don’t fully buy into my thesis, so you’d lack the conviction to hold (some 5s rated funds, safe haven’s, etc) and 2.) I bought them cheap in march, they’re expensive now and tbh.:. i’m not confident they’ll payout even if I’m right at this point, fraud is rampant. XLRE/XLF/XRT naked short, regional banks (IAT/KRE), holding companies (BX/ARCC/etc.)… tbh, open the prospects for SCHD, or similar… they’re full of shit co’s I expect to default. Others would take too much explanation, and if you hood a similar belief you’re already most likely in them. dyor, not advice, but enough people upvote I figured I’d throw a bone… but I must emphasize: you need convection in the underlying structural thesis rooted in the credit markets, or else you’ll paper hand these and lose. if it was easy, everyone would be in it. Whatever you do, stay safe.
Yeah it's because it has like no IV lol. And very minimal theta burn. It's actually one of my favorite plays. I bought the calls I was talking about because it makes a lot of sense for the ETF to test the March highs and put in a double top on Monday. The most money I ever made was off XLF options. Election night I bought a metric fuckton of ATM calls for .60 each. The following day I sold them at 2.80 a pop. The only thing that sucks is the bid ask spread forms a grand canyon at close, and if you didn't understand that it is a temporary situation, you may see your account down huge and freak out lol.
Banks and financials gapped up today..not only that, they're holding their highs. You rarely see this without some follow thru. I think the XLF continues to rally Monday, even if tech sells off. 5/16 50c are .80 each.
my crash indicator just went red on the day (XLF + IYT + GDX + XOP) / 4
Regional banks were the rage last year after NYCB (now Flagstar) had that collapse and heading into the “CRE Armageddon”. After the failures of SVB and First Republic, they got pretty hammered. Regional bank financials in general are less risky. They make money off of origination but tend to sell more of the paper rather than holding it. So they’ll make servicing fees but completely de-risk. Capital requirements and loss ratios aren’t as stringent as with the large banks so overall whether the economy is good or bad, they tend to just cruise along. Financials in general are pretty much a low drama sector these days. If you look more macro the XLF is flat YTD and lifetime is up just over 150%. SPY is down 5% and up over 300% lifetime in comparison. As a group, they don’t have enough volume or volatility that the cost of the short (you will have to pay for borrowing the shares) is worth the potential move.
yeah they're clearly propping this shit up again to hot potato the worst atomic bomb level positions ill buy 1 XLF put every day they keep pumping it, 200 days to expiration
All of these are super dependent on the broad market rallying. You must have a bullish macro view. XLF - bank earnings have already happened this period. Not sure if 19 Jul is enough time to capture next cycle. Also, XLF tends to be a slow grind to the upside. Jan lows to ATH on March 3 was only 11.8%. Would probably go ITM for XLF.
bearish on mag7 & banks, bullish on T bills, trimmed a good amount thank god, because the small amount of T bill calls I held nearly lost me the gains from trimming [closed april](https://imgur.com/a/AjD8WRi) p/l positions are still heavy against XLF... uhhhhh, some banks, but they're all little tiny lotto OTMs that i bought for fun. honestly im sitting out majorly. a nice 4gs against the markets themselves and 85-90% cash
Lots of stocks & ETF's have low RSI (15 days, 75, 35) numbers (oversold). Personally I like the financial sector (XLF), aerospace (XAR) and some Utilities (XLU). I know .. lots of X's... Kinda my "kleenex" version of ETF's. But.... I also buy and sell a lot lately. The market feels a little chaotic for some reason.
Yeah, cash really is the best bet here. I just bought some XLF calls, but they are indeed losing money even as the price increases. If there’s a trade detente with China the market will pump hard though. There won’t be a deal, I’m sure of that, but an agreement to talk would probably pump us 3-5% instantly
Really had shitcock luck these past 2week. Made 800 off QQQ put last week, but could’ve made 4000 if I held a few more hours. Made money off aapl 195p but could’ve made more Held XLF puts too long and was up $300 and sold at loss. Bought 0dte 510 SPY today for $40 and sold for $60. Few hours later it was worth almost $600 when Spy hit 510. Smh This shit is so annoying
Puts on XLF, WFC, USB, CFG, HYG, and QQQ. Mostly June expirations. Shorter dated QQQ calls to hedge, and lots of cash to average down on pumps.
If you want to hear what someone whose dumb sounds like, listen to Douglas Murray on Rogan. That’s what “I went to school and learned how to read and write but I never did any critical thinking” sounds like. Anyway holding XLF puts so wish me luck!
XLF or individual tickers for bank earnings tomorrow? 🤔
Playing bank earnings via XLF puts hope I'm not a regard
Sold my XLF puts earlier (saved from yesterday). The puts went up from .01c to .44c (4,400%). I bought more and averaged down during yesterdays rise and sold today at 44c /contract which was the bottom of that dip when I saw momentum fading. So went from down 99% after close yesterday to ripping and taking 100% profit on the position today. In other words I got super lucky :O Now I have no idea on next play so I’m going to not trade anymore today, maybe buy something tomorrow. Good luck out there peeps! Hope you aren’t forced to live / work behind a dumpster any time soon.
Had 42 XLF puts expiring Friday sold at loss today hopefully XLF doesn’t crash to 38 on Friday
This truly is the most logical explanation for all of it. It makes very very little sense, even if he's just a clueless clown. It makes *perfect* sense if he's doing Putin's (and probably other adjacent interest's) bidding. People have been saying he's an asset for a long time, with good reason. The Mueller Report all but spelled it out. But Bill Barr helped broadcast the bullshit lie that her was actually exonerated by the report. It was anything but. It's madness. This is a coup de grace of insane proportions. With these rising yields, likely spurred on by China dumping their treasuries, we honestly are looking at a black swan level event. This could/will cause banks to collapse. Massive systemic risk tied up with this. Glad to be sitting on QQQ and XLF puts right now. Only wish I'd held onto some of the many I've already sold.
Puts on F, XOM, XLF, WMT and calls on BTU, GME.
I'm in on XLF 4/11 42p watching 1 min chart seeing green candles last 5 mins make me angry
Watch XLF. Bounced off low of day (1min chart)
yes. I was holding IEF 105 calls for jan 2026-2027 but I've trimmed quite a bit same with XLF puts, trimmed quite a bit, so much that I'm wondering if maybe I overdid it. This was one of my biggest drawdowns since we hit that 3% correction in December, I waited for a potential bounce(but we ended up returning to ATHs fairly quickly) and started entering deep OTM puts for dirt cheap. So when I saw them up a nice 400% I may have gone overboard harvesting them. Also I reduced last week too on a different strike. I'm hold GME $5 puts for jan 2026 at an average cost of $.11, not much into it, but I figured if it runs again, I can pile into the higher strikes as well and then roll out the positions into 2027. ***IF*** GME pulls the same mass dilution over time that AMC did, these should yield quite well. If not, I'm out under $200. I also hold a few calls at a time with the same intention, very small cost basis, in general lotto/insurance in case it runs -> and then roll out after the price action has broke, I try to identify the odds of risk/reward at that point, often with bots and TA, and if I feel that I'm not chasing I will increase piece by piece, but in general, I don't think I would hold (to wheel) more than 100 GME shares, the premiums are nice but the price action on holding the actual equity is too rich for me I'm mostly cash waiting to start DCA at a fixed rate, so that doesn't mean trying to find bottom. I will take $50 per week, maybe even *per day,* and start putting them into companies that I like again. I think we're probably a far way off from bottom but there's no part of me that is sure about anything, so the vast majority of my account is not participating in the markets until we see some stability.
now that they're all probably hot potatoing their shitty positions around to each other to avoid margin calls, I just wanna say I've been holding XLF puts for about a month, and I'm probably going to throw $20 at deep OTM puts on every single bank and asset manager in the country cheers
Hmm I picked up XLF puts but there's for to be something more bank specific
Look at the holdings of XLF, KRE and XLU.... Good bets... Slowly buy in...
XLF / XLV overnight buy candidates
I full ported into XLF puts at the bottom today 🤡
I'm 90% cash. I will buy after Finance, Energy and other defensive stocks (or ETFs - XLF, XLE, XLU?) and ETFs fall below the RSI of 35 for a week or two. RSI= (15 days, 75, 35).
Now you will sell covered calls. Congratulations. (Never complain if someone give you free money. I had the same issue with XLF. I just enjoyed my coffee money.)
I’ve made a lot of money by being willing to buy into red over the years. Bottom picked the bank crisis with XLF calls, etc.
All-in XLF 01/16 ‘26 PUT LEAPS 50 strike
Largest holding of XLF is BRK-B at close to 13%. They're going to outperform the market if everything goes down in flames with their giant pile of money.
If your not important enough for a Credit default swap, I learned a good option might be Leveraged inverse etns like (FAZ) Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares to profit on the fall of (XLF) Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund. Don't hold for long because of the decay on these, only when you believe a major crash is in the works.
My favorite trade, XLF calls. Need to see these levels hold, at least to some degree. Certainly there will be some profit taking. But anything signiogreen into the closing is a go signal for next week. These indexes need to retest the 200 day before the next leg down imo
I did a strangle of XLF and my calls are printing instead of puts, I have no idea what I'm doing 
Buying $200,000 worth of Puts tomorrow on XLF 47P 06/25 those who know.. know
Ummm it absolutely was an everything crash, the 2022 drop in XLF was actually about 10% larger in 22 than in 23
Picked up a little a-moose-bush, XLF $47 Put 3/14 because it was hella cheap and CRVO up another almost 20% AH
XLF because it's heavy in Berkshire. FSELX because AI is going to grow exponentially and semiconductors will be big for a long time. FXAIX because I'm always buying the S&P FBTC because I expect Bitcoin to continue trending up for a long time FSPGX and QQQ because growth Oh wait you said stocks. I don't really buy individual stocks, except TSLA occasionally because I believe in the company and expect continued growth
using XLF for exposure to finance industry
Thank you, I’m relatively uneducated on the matter. I think XLF is more what I’m leaning, but is there one that is only banks and financial related companies (so no insurance companies / CC companies)?
Banks and finance sector are not necessarily the same thing. There is a financial sector ETF like XLF that holds banks and financial related companies if that's what you are looking for - top holding is BRK.B, JPM, V, MA. It also holds insurance companies, credit card companies, and brokerages. There is a regional bank ETF like KRE - these are regional banks not BHC (bank holding companies). So - a BHC like JPM, Wells, Citi will not be part of the fund.
So far in pre-market: QQQ down farther than S&P 500, as GOOG, TSLA, NVDA, etc roll over. XLF is down similarly to the S&P. Staples, utilities, and health care down less than 1% each. This is a fairly orderly roll over.
Thanks..keep a stop loss bc this shit looks gnarly. The XLF is down more than I've ever seen it. Even defensives are red
My order for XLF puts hit at 3:50 Friday and I sold immediately because I didn’t understand that rip into closing. 
> So just to be clear, you are saying a correction is coming soon, but not this week? Because you had said to buy heavy on a Monday dip. Yes. I believe the window for a proper correction begins in mid-April. This is a drawdown. We hit *very* specific levels and reversed. > I’m a simple gal but to me this makes sense. Retail and the general public are seeing an almost terroristic administration doing corruption in broad daylight and featuring a ketamine addict randomly firing thousands of workers every day. Public confidence collapsing seems to be the predictable result. You're equating dislike of Trump to a bottom of a worldwide recession and a worldwide pandemic. Don't let your political biases cloud your judgment. Besides SMH, XLK and XLY, most SPDR sector ETFs are up or flat. Even XLC's down move is deceptive due to its overweighing of Mag 7 stocks. Depressed retail sentiment is additional evidence against this dip continuing. We get real corrections at the point where euphoria rules and price movement moves in a parabolic fashion (e.g. April, July). SPX's recent ATH came with very little enthusiasm and was a slog to reach. > Except when they’re not, and really, the move of a week or two can be undone just as quickly if not faster. Which is almost never the case. The fortune of the financial sector reflects the global liquidity cycle and money velocity. In the same vein as the Cantillon effect, they experience the least lag time when the economy goes south. > I’m struggling with how to word this... I agree with you that dumb money absolutely overreacts. But over the years I’ve come around to realizing it’s sometimes best not to fight dumb money. Even if they’re doing something dumb like buying or selling something they shouldn’t, why not just participate but being more cognizant to take gains before they figure things out? 85% of all market liquidity is institutional. Out of the remaining 15%, 90% of retail inflow/outflow is controlled by 10% of the demographic. Retail doesn't move the market. As I mentioned, ST5W is telling us this retreat is not broad-based. Institutions front run downturns while selling off to retail with reassurances everything's alright. Just like the dot-com bubble, GFC, the mid-2010s, and COVID. Dark pool transaction volume exploded on Friday afternoon, telling us big money is buying back in; inversely, we saw a ton of selling at the top the week before. > Again, simple gal thinking here there’s sense to it. Flight from wacky tech to safety, plus a perception that a crumbling economy will spur rate moves favorable to financials. Some numbers showing re-sale real estate is moving, mortgages are starting to happen again. These perceptions, true or not, would let someone justify XLF, right? XLF is going up, XHB is still in a protracted downturn, XLRE has been crawling up since January. They want the ideal "golden ratio" when high rates intersect with debtor demand, where the latter doesn't dampen the former. Lower rates don't spur more borrowing if people believe the economy is in the gutter. > So essential a broadening then, which could be seen as healthy? That's the ultimate bearish sign. A broadening only means the total distribution shifts as money flows to other securities in different sectors. Everything should still go up to ATHs in a bull market at different rates. > Admit I don’t watch it that closely. I’m guessing a bounce? If so that would make simple sense to me as I perceived a big selloff had happened even though the current administration’s promise/threat of a “strategic reserve” is still on the table. Frankly down so much I had been thinking of upping my small crypt hedge just on the basis of it being possibly oversold. Up 12% off the announcement. > Main question is are you still advocating heavy buying mid-Monday? Yes. I expect a pullback at Monday's start. Institutions will unravel their short positions and deleverage the shares they bought to cover.
> Yes, I think a correction is imminent (and worse). I don't buy this is it. So just to be clear, you are saying a correction is coming soon, but not this week? Because you had said to buy heavy on a Monday dip. > For starters, retail is way too bearish given the paucity of the recent move. They are more negative than the April or August lows; the levels are only comparable to the bottom of the COVID crash and the GFC. ST5W not supporting the panic either. I’m a simple gal but to me this makes sense. Retail and the general public are seeing an almost terroristic administration doing corruption in broad daylight and featuring a ketamine addict randomly firing thousands of workers every day. Public confidence collapsing seems to be the predictable result. > Dumb money has the habit of overreacting to perceived future events, which is why they serve as a contrarian indicator. I’m struggling with how to word this... I agree with you that dumb money absolutely overreacts. But over the years I’ve come around to realizing it’s sometimes best not to fight dumb money. Even if they’re doing something dumb like buying or selling something they shouldn’t, why not just participate but being more cognizant to take gains before they figure things out? > why did XLF finish near ATHs again this week? Again, simple gal thinking here there’s sense to it. Flight from wacky tech to safety, plus a perception that a crumbling economy will spur rate moves favorable to financials. Some numbers showing re-sale real estate is moving, mortgages are starting to happen again. These perceptions, true or not, would let someone justify XLF, right? > Financials are a leading indicator of market sentiment. Except when they’re not, and really, the move of a week or two can be undone just as quickly if not faster. > Current theory is that SPX and DIA will make new ATHs, while NQ and IWM will fail in their attempt to return to their previous highs. So essential a broadening then, which could be seen as healthy? > EDIT: Look at what BTC is doing this weekend. Does that look bearish? Admit I don’t watch it that closely. I’m guessing a bounce? If so that would make simple sense to me as I perceived a big selloff had happened even though the current administration’s promise/threat of a “strategic reserve” is still on the table. Frankly down so much I had been thinking of upping my small crypt hedge just on the basis of it being possibly oversold. Main question is are you still advocating heavy buying mid-Monday?
Yes, I think a correction is imminent (and worse). I don't buy this is it. For starters, retail is way too bearish given the paucity of the recent move. They are more negative than the April or August lows; the levels are only comparable to the bottom of the COVID crash and the GFC. Dumb money has the habit of overreacting to perceived future events, which is why they serve as a contrarian indicator. Second, the relative movement of the sectors are all wrong. If the market is collapsing, why did XLF finish near ATHs again this week? Financials are a *leading* indicator of market sentiment. The collapse is concentrated in consumer discretionary and technology; the other sector ETFs are flat.
My bad man haha didn’t mean to ignore ya. I only threw in $200 like a month ago and actually having a killer run to $4000 starting there but it’s risky af to start because you have to start with cheap options that are very close to expiration. XLE has a good options chain and they’re not too expensive. I just looked at them now though and it’s all out of wack. it’s the same thing as XLV and it just gets messed up over the weekend because people take their bids out I guess. But I know during the week there’s solid volume like the first OTM 3/7 call had 180 volume and 466 open interest on Friday whereas XLV closest OTM 3/7 call on Friday was 15 volume, 15 open interest. INTC has reasonably priced options with lots of volume. ARKK has good volume options but they don’t move a ton so I don’t really trade it. TLT has a ton of volume and pretty cheap options. XLF is has a good options chain. EEM looks decent but I’ve never traded it. Most importantly though, don’t risk $1000 if you can’t afford to lose it. All the ones I listed, you should be able to start smaller than that
Yeah, just XLF. I got confused for a minute thinking there was another similar, but it was XLE, not the same! AUR is one of my pet companies. Pre-revenue speculation, high conviction, started buying shares and LEAPS in the $3 dollar range. I really really like the company and think it will be a compounder the next 5-10 years. They do autonomous freight and are led by a super genius etc, no competition anymore and commercial launch in April. Shares around $7 rn, but have popped a few times (like when NVDA mentioned them.) I’m waiting on the pop and rise (again like ASTS,) as they de-risk. That’s definitely my instinct. And I don’t think the dominance of US business is seriously threatened despite all *gestures floppily*. I like BTC. I actually have a tiny bit of alts still…barely up, but thinking I will sell those and put it in BTC, at like $70-80, if possible. But will hold off as I plan to just hold and ignore that, and am not in a position to do so just now, haha. Unless MSTR gets called away, then I’ll put some of that into straight BTC to have it. Thanks. Yeah, that’s actually why I rolled covered calls down today - I think if it drops below $80 I’ll sell the uncovered shares (bought low last year and the years before, so still up over 100% on that. But I think I’ve too much exposure there in general.) Cool, I didn’t see, may well swap alts this wknd after all. I already consider that money gone, haha. It look like BTC is recovering a bit already?
You and me both..which ETF, just plain old XLF,? Also what's AUR? Statistically SQQQ is probably the smarter bet till we hit the 200 dma. The only thought is that the market love big whole round numbers, and I could see the Q's continuing to find massive support at 500. Same with eurobanks, and emerging markets in general. They've been doing really well, bc their valuations are cheap AF, but they are built on shaky ground and will be the first thing to go if we actually go into a recession. So I'm staying domestic. I'm also looking at crypto, as we are in a pretty strong buy zone right now. DCAd a little bit, but I'm not beholden to it, should Bitcoin choose to sink down to 66k. If we get to 66k, I'm putting in a monster buy order. If your holding MSTR shares, I'd watch that BTC doesn't fall much below 72. Around that level, the whole "strategy" is in limbo, bc I think that's roughly around their cost average. Investors know this, and if crypto drops too far, they'd suddenly have a balance sheet issue. But I'm thinking we may hold the line here.
I think that’s a good call, though like JPM. What do you like about Goldman? XLF should be a solid play (I was mostly out of BP, so only added a bit to AUR early and to TLT.)
Financials had an extremely bullish close today, so I bought some XLF calls. It did close at the top of a consolidation range, basically to a penny though, so kind of risk. However, if it breaks out, I'll be tripling the position
I got smoked this week as well. Bought back into financials today after seeing how they closed...Goldman Sachs mainly, with a couple calls on XLF
Financials had an, extremely bullish close..so I bought the dip on Goldman Sachs and bought some ATM XLF calls
XLF looking bullish AF.. calls on it and GS/JPM etc
IC into IWM, XLF and you'll compound it in no time
No they absolutely are not, I stopped the catastrophic losses to my ports that the earnings plays were causing by literally swearing to never pay earnings directly. Only indirectly with ETFs like XLF and QQQ, but even then I've found it's not wise to mess around with them too much.
Nice! I'll put XLF on my radar 🫶
I hope that works for you. Healthcare has been doing very well for me, up 20% since November. I'm personally leery about leveraged funds but RXL is up almost 16% this year. I see they also had a split in October so more would buy in. I always like to see people pile in because it generally means share prices will rise. I was torn when I made my last buys earlier this month. I could do financials or energy but not both. I picked financials ( XLF ) and that ended up doing better than the energy option ( FENY ). I may do that one next month or may double up XLF instead. I'm anticipating a low point the week of March 17-21 and then will stay the course until around September.
Small port I just did really really well with AVGO, HOOD, WMT and XLF.
Just spent 10k on XLF, spy, and iwm calls for next week. They will probably keep it flat or deep even further next week. But just in case it  I’ll be ready
give the XLF's some more MM pump why don't ya?!