XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR® Fund
Mentions (24Hr)
-50.00% Today
Reddit Posts
Warsh's first FOMC is tomorrow and I have no clue what to do with my port
New midweek expiration dates getting approved by regulators
The market is held up by boomer optimism which will be destroyed
Sp500 - 100 years of changes - how significant is the mega ipo changes?
Sp500 - 100 years of changes - how significant is the mega ipo changes?
I analyzed 584 Fed Chair speech events. Here is what it means for the SPY.
JPM beat, Citi beat, and the reactions were different. Is earnings season mostly about expectations now?
Based on my research, dealers are buying calls aggressively into this selloff, and the vix retreated
I spent $9,600/year on Substack newsletters so you don't have to. Here's who actually makes money.
HOT OFF THE PRESS: US January PPI Just Dropped – Hotter Than Expected!
Pre-Market: Dow Holds 50k, Metals Bounce, and the "Data Squeeze" (Delayed NFP + CPI).
XLF flows last Friday were insane. Someone definitely knew about the Greenland tariffs.
Need 2nd Opinion on favoring Technical or Fundamental Analysis for $XLF
Looking for ETF/Stock Recommendations: Defense, Energy, Healthcare & Financials
Looking for ETF/Stock Recommendations: Defense, Energy, Healthcare & Financials
Why is everybody underestimating Financials?
Trade Like a Hedge Fund: Copy My Simple Weekly Process
Regional banks and private credit issuers are taking losses
Advice about using margin to sell safe CSP‘s on indexes
🐻🌈 - Shorting Banks into Rate Cuts - NFP Gains & Trade Idea
Shorting Banks Into Rate Cuts 🌈 - Trade Idea
ETFs Show Strongest Inflows of 2025 in July. 2025 is on track to mark a second consecutive year of $1 trillion-plus inflows.
I'm a full time trader and this is my full analysis and take on the market as the Tariff deadline gets extended to August. More upside to come, or pullback imminent? 👇
I bet all my Switch 2 Preorder Money ($451.00) on a crash tomorrow. Will I get to play Nintendo?
Finalising my "wheel" strategy and need some advice
Small $SPY and $XLF YOLO for next week... in Jpow we trust
2023-04-20 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Dwight Schrute
Warren Buffett invested in these Fintech Companies - How does SOFI Measure Up?
Warren Buffett invested in these Fintech Companies - How does SOFI Measure Up?
You regards are doing bank fds wrong. Do THIS Monday!
Expected Moves This Week: Fed Decision, KRE, XLF, Nike, Gamestop and more.
Playing banks and commercial property REITs with puts.
Charles Schwab calls itself a ‘safe port in a storm’ as it took in billions in new assets the past week
Expected moves: SPY, XLF, KRE, TLT, and Earnings from Adobe and FedEx
Cleaveland-Cliffs (XLF) CEO tells Managing Director to Resign and Commit Suicide on Earnings Call
Is creating a 5 fund sector for fun a bad investment idea?
2023-01-23 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays) DD
How likely is it for $XLF financial sector ETF to continue its uptrend when the FED has stopped its money printing scheme?
Thoughts on potential recovery and rejection of SPY
Denver Housing Prices...post #4... we aren't done yet...
Adding sector specific ETFs or keeping only broader market ETFs?
2022-11-08 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-11-02 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-31 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
ETF investors, what are some of the sector ETFs you invest in?
Is it a BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET? Lines in the Sand, 09/29/2022
Is it a BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET? Lines in the Sand, 09/29/2022
Fly Me to the Moon $BBBY, Alright Retards, and Retardettes Listen up or dont.
Good afternoon Retards and Retardettes ishyaboi HeywoodjaShortme I am coming to you with retarded information that just might make money $SIGA
Week of 6-6: Most Important Charts to Watch #003
How to get Free XLF calls — (including trade fees) right now.
Good ETFs to hedge this inflation or potential recession?
Good ETFs to hedge this inflation or potential recession?
People complaining about RSX options being halted are greedy
Final review of my simple beginning ETF portfolio before I get the ball rolling.
Buy on Calls/Puts on long term trends for peace of mind
What is your play for the interest rate hikes that will happen next year?
Some Basic but very useful Options help from a full-time trader
I finally have a charting ritual after years of thinking looking at charts was bullshit.
Index/ETF investing any tips on proposed allocations?
Mentions
just spent $1000 on XLF puts for november. thats $1000 im not seeing again.
XLF is an ETF crafted by an Investment bank and its main assets are banks. They will mercy fuck you out of every penny you put into it
I’m already regretting my XLF calls
WM, CAT, XLF, SPCX, BA, UNH, AXP and V. If the bubble pops, everything is going down because people are going to be selling everything.
I thought I had perfectly timed the top 😂 In fact I gave some of it back when I fomoed in at the actual top. Never again. I'll buy soxl back when it's bottomed out...which it's no where near. The trick it seems to these LETFs is to buy them at a bottoming out base structure, or you missed the train. SOXS, might be too late..idk I may buy some I'm going hard on SQQQ if the Qs close below 700, major gex level Right now, shorting the XLF
Big leaders build legacy & what legacy now? DOGE, Tariff, Trade,China,Epstein, Greenland, Venezuela, Iran & back to Canada, just before midterms. When gas & groceries price comedown? $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $SMH $XLK $XLF $XLC hedge fund buddies vibe pump few to divert all, when 10yr high.
XLF has been the same price for 3 weeks now. Seizure??
This is the first time the XLF hasn't held the 20 day moving average in months. Puts! They're dirt cheap, low IV, extremely high delta
The largest darkpool transaction ever was recorded on the XLF last week. it could be a buy, but given the context, I'm pretty sure it's a sell. And usually after these mondo transactions, you usually see a strong trend one way or the other.
Hoping the XLF bounces tomorrow so I can double my short position
XLF puts. Super low IV, high delta, financials are about to take a,major leg down
When interest rate remain high, financial suffers more, as many foreclosures or go bankrupt and more write up . Adding $XLF. PUT, Strike 50, Dec 31
There was a whale darkpool order on financials at the ATH, and I'm betting it's a sell. Bought a shit ton of XLF puts today
Study the XLF & banks near index ATHs while the market is short VEGA It’s coincidental. But a historical milestone like that in some ways has always lead to taking profits & a valuation decline eventually . that’s not to say it can’t grow higher in the future.
anyone ever notice ETFs like XLF are only at like 50? what if that shit goes to like 800? that' would probably be kind of crazy to look back on
I just issued a book about my leap strategy Everyone say high delta. Most important is not to over pay for premium. This what kill most leaps. If you buy when iv is expensive or when the premium is too high relative to stock price you have too many forces working against you . XLF 51 c 2028 for example hit all the boxes for me. Off course not financial advise. just follow my rules of delta, premium at risk, DD, liquidity and IV percentile
You can open an account at Morningstar and test your portfolios. They have a free trial. A lot of US equity IMO and a lot of Mag7 overlap. For me, SPY and SPDW and some focused ETFs if I want to increase some sectors. Like XLK, XLF or SMH
XLF the 2nd largest component of SPY MAGS are also very close to ATH
Idk. I'm holding XLV. Leaning towards exiting XLF.
Do we think XLV and XLF have topped or just taking a breather?
What are you talking about? SPX is within 3% of its ATHs and XLV, XLF, XLE, XLRE all hit ATHs on July 28. It’s just tech that is dropping. Almost every other sector is doing well.
XLF at all time high doesnt scream risk off to me
The odds on rate hikes and when are always shifting so I don't think they are fully priced in. Although I'm sure the big brains on Wall Street have more data. Back in the Spring, I thought that the AI/tech hype was too much and that there would be a flight to quality sometime later this year. So I began preparing for that premise. My thoughts went to healthcare and financials and I bought some more of each. Now that the premise looks closer to reality, I wanted to add on to the Spring's purchases. My healthcare ETF would have to come down 30% for it to be worthwhile, and that would be a drop equal to what I was trying to avoid. With the fall in Tech, that has become my largest individual sector holding though only 4th overall. I'm about 12.5% healthcare already and believe that I have all the profitable companies covered. I don't think I could get into anything new that would cost less than what I already have. My Financials (XLF) was only 18% above my buy-in but hadn't moved as well as I had hoped. I bought high and have only a 13% return. So I added a regional bank ETF on Thursday. I was rewarded with a 3% gain that day and brought back to Earth with a 1.5% drop on Friday. Time will tell if I have chosen correctly. The GSIB etf I discovered earlier this week has great gains and I think it has potential as well. It's international and could benefit if Europe follows through on building their own arsenal. That will require loans. I wish I knew about it last Spring but I think I have some exposure to those banks from other ETFs. Although I don't want to add anything new, it appears that China has a stranglehold on rare earth minerals and a treaty expires next year that will put a severe crimp in the pipeline for the rest of the world. So the materials sector may be something that you could get into in advance. It had the 3rd highest 1yr gain at +28%, very slightly higher than tech, but has fallen to -5% in the six month charts.
$SPY $QQQ $XLK $XLF. Earnings strong Iran war now like Ukraine war, market digest and neglect tweet noise.
Will XLF keep going or will it come back down
XLF needs another pump
I just closed a call on XLF that I bought on Friday, I could have held for longer but I was up 55% and don't normally do options so I closed it out for a tidy profit. Thank you big banks!
Least my XLF calls are big green. Boring banks useful for something I guess.
Nah like I want to see XLF green asf by eod
IBM. 250-260 today possible $IBM earnings not bad, it’s normal earnings 2-3% earnings variations normal, all don’t move like memory Diluted Earnings Per Share: GAAP: $2.27, down 2 percent; Operating (Non-GAAP): $2.93, up 5 percent CPI: 3.5% Time to load BigTech before big earnings spike. $QQQ $SPY $XLK $XLC $XLF $MU $NDA and more memory and AI stocks shift It’s not bad earnings
$IBM earnings not bad, Diluted Earnings Per Share: GAAP: $2.27, down 2 percent; Operating (Non-GAAP): $2.93, up 5 percent CPI: 3.5% Time to load BigTech before big earnings spike. $QQQ $SPY $XLK $XLC $XLF $MU $NDA and more memory and AI stocks shift It’s not bad earnings
I'm liking that call I bought on XLF last week
’d recommend investing that money into a brokerage account of your choice. Depending on your risk tolerance, you could consider sector ETFs like XLF, XLK, or XLV, or gain exposure to broader markets through QQQ (Nasdaq) or SPY (S&P 500). Since SPY trades at a higher share price, SPYG — often called the “poor man’s SPY” — is a solid growth-oriented alternative if you’re working with a smaller amount, like $2,000. If you’d prefer a more conservative approach, you could allocate some of the funds to a money market account instead. Another option worth exploring is setting up a trading bot — linked to your brokerage account through whichever AI platform you prefer — and starting small, with just a couple hundred dollars, to see how it performs. This is only my approach! There are more than 3 ways to skin a cat!
I exited my xle call being a pussc I took profit off but I went into XLF hoping it hit ath in morning
Tommorrow begins financial earnings. XLF calls or puts, depending on how you think it'll go
Is it a good idea to get into XLF just for banks earnings?
Are we longing $xle $XLF or $dram
i have 114 shares of XLF but the CC premiums are bad.
XLF calls for the week?
XLF calls could be juicy. CPI into bank pandemonium could be a printer
the private credit crisis is taking too long, what if everyone borrows max loans, declares bankruptcy, then bets the loan proceeds on XLF puts. We could call it the great UNO reverse financial crisis where we fuck the banks instead of the banks fucking us
Soon big banks and BigTech give strong earnings Looking great Q2 earnings by many big banks $C $JPM $WFC $BAC $GS $MS space all in $XLF. All big tech in $QQQ $SPX $NDX will give strong earnings, followed by big buybacks. Whole semiconductor sector $SMH $AMAT $ASML & many got a big boost from earnings spike
rotation holding indices up. XLF near ATH. Software finding life NOW MDB and ADBE i own atm
Up 6% for the year vs 132% after big crashes for the semis... I'm not saying it won't do better for the coming months but you'd have been better holding cash for 12 months before June compared to holding XLF.
XLF is up 5% in a week while SMH is down 7% Nobody cares
DIA (*dow etf, aka "value"*) is outperforming QQQ (*nasdaq100 etf, aka "growth"*)? YTD, 1Y, 5Y performance? lol No, QQQ ETF still winning here, this are not "Equity Factor ETFs" are just US Market Indices, that also are driven by Equity Factors and US Sector Rotation, big difference from directly Factor ETFs. You can understand this, if you can see the Sector Composition (weight%) of each one of this Equity Factor ETFs (Aggressive sectors, vs Defensive Sectors, Sector Rotation). Maybe you are talking about IWD factor (value) vs IWF factor (growth) ETFs, here Value ETF outperforms Growth ETF, but just YTD and 1Y timeframe. Yes, this can happen even without "bear market", cuz the people can start to be "defensive" for several reasons, like inflation, not just for 'bear markets'. *IWD have more weight (%) in Financials (XLF sector) and IWF have more weight in Technology (XLK sector)* >IWD and IWF are iShares (Blackrock) ETFs from Russell1000. You also have Vanguard ETFs, IVE (value) and VUG (growth) from S&P500. Not a big difference, but it shows up in the long run. 😉
Major tech stocks have been under pressure and healthcare stocks are gaining ground. [https://finviz.com/groups](https://finviz.com/groups) will show you sector performance and [https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/) also has information All sectors are on cycles of differing lengths. Retail investors have been pounding tech and driving prices up to where some feel they are overvalued. So others go looking for the undervalued plays, figuring that they have more room to go up. I personally feel that healthcare and financials are a good place to be. If interest rates go up, financials (XLF) profit from higher fees. Small caps are rising after a slow 2025. Emerging markets have done very well (I made you a writeup for KEMX but accidentally wiped it and didn't feel like starting over). Tech is still a hot ticket but their are signs that some are getting scared. There is a lot of hype for yet untested and so-far unprofitable future developments, especially on Reddit. It wouldn't hurt to set up some defenses in other areas. The following is speculation based on past performance and shouldn't be taken as sound financial advice - Historically, July is a good month for stocks but August to mid-October are rough. Then things pick up November through March. Be aware of that as you assess your investments. I am building up cash because I think there will be a 20%-25% correction coming this Fall and want to be able to jump in.
You're not just tech-heavy...you're tech-on-tech-on-tech. 😅 QQQM, QTUM, MRVL, and NBIS are all heavily tied to the same AI/semiconductor theme. Even when you own multiple tickers, they're often moving for the same reasons. If your goal is long-term diversification, consider adding exposure to: * Financials: XLF * Healthcare: XLV * Consumer Staples: XLP * Utilities: XLU * REITs: VNQ Honestly, before adding more stocks, I'd ask whether you need both QQQM and QTUM alongside individual names like MRVL and NBIS. You may get more diversification by simplifying rather than adding. One red day isn't a reason to sell MRVL, but if you're selling because you expected quick gains, that's different from a long-term investment thesis. For a 5–10 year horizon, I'd rather own a broader mix of sectors than keep stacking more AI and semiconductor exposure.
Short XLF, sooner or later the credit bubble will pop.
Its A bRoaDmaRkeT CrAsH! /s XLC is up XLP is up XLF is up XLE is up XLV is up XLRE is up
Defense is doing well since last year, XLF is only up 5% the last year and trailing SPY by 20% in the last 5 years, XLV is only up 20% total the last 5 years. Equal weight S&P500 has only gained half as much as weighted the past 5 years, gains are super concentrated in a small number of companies.
All forgot “Too Big to Fail” US. National debt \~39 Trillion 1929, 1987, 2000, 2008,always all analysts say, this time is different Lehman didn’t get $60 Billion bailout, all saw GFC Next AI-crash,which Trillion dollar company needs bailout? How it impact $SPY $QQQ $SOXX $XLF $SOXL $MU $STX $AVGO $DRAM
XLF did not like the news
put half of what you have in XLF and recover half your losses. NFA
I see what you’re saying. I guess for me personally it wouldn’t be worth it. I’d sooner write 1-month CSP’s for 1% on stuff like XLE, XLF, XLU, XLK. If assigned then write the CC’s and wheel it. I think anybody who writes CSP’s has to be prepared to wheel if we get a tail event. Strategy would likely yield 12% annual pretty consistently
XLV, XLF, and XLP are all positive (health sector, financials, and consumer staples). This is a rotation into value from taking gains in semis and broader tech
Rotation. Plenty of other sectors are up 0.5% to 2% XLP XLV XLF XLB XLRV XLU
Another FAKE sell off.. DJT green… XLF green… they are TRAPPING ber 🐻
Oil Algo jokers jump on every rocket & missile to make volatility, it’s not old Oil market anymore. Index has only 2% energy stocks. USA consume~20 million barrels of Oil per day. USA produces ~ 13.5 million barrels per day Canada produce ~6 million bpd Venezuela~1 million bpd,peak capacity ~3 million bpd How much US- GDP impact by Iran &Ukraine war? OPEC bump again $XLE $SPY $QQQ $XLC $XLK $XLF $XLU $SMH
it was so easy... XLF bullish weekly engulfing close on volume.. DJT (biggest canary) was green on a 'bloodbath day'... now ber asking themselves.. why green? easiest inside bullish gap up on Monday.. WAAA ai crash this and that.. BER silent
USA consume~20 million barrels of Oil per day. USA produces ~ 13.5 million barrels per day Canada produce ~6 million bpd Venezuela~1 million bpd,peak capacity ~3 million bpd How much US- GDP impact by Iran &Ukraine war? OPEC bump output again $XLE $SPY $QQQ $XLC $XLK $XLF $XLU $SMH
FYI… XLF is green… with a BULLISH ENGULFING weekly close.. DJT (biggest canary in the coal mine)… BRIGHT GREEN… FAKE sell off… MASSIVE gap up inside bar Monday on Nasdaq… this is capitulation.. BEAR 🐻 BOUGHT PUT on the lows… WATCH AND LEARN
JPM, XLF, GS, MS... suspiciously up
when there's a big flurry of put buyers, you think it doesn't pump the financial sector? look at XLF, JPM, MS, GS
XLP/XLF/ETHA/TLT. Boring ass shit for my boring ass portfolio.
We need to see what happens over the weekend, but right now it looks like it could be the start of the decline. We see the dollar up, gold down, and stocks down. This setup means liquidity is being drained from the market, which is one of the first signals that people are moving out of equities and into cash. Next week it could be more clear if this is the start of something or just a short term liquidity squeeze. The market is going to have a hard time moving higher without financials on board. And financials have been struggling for the last month. I'll be watching to see if KRE struggles more than XLF which would suggest regional lending is stressed. Over the last month, tech and tech related has been the only thing keeping this market afloat. Everything else is flat to down. That's not a healthy rally, that's a market running on fumes. I’ll be looking forward to what happens on Monday. Have a good weekend everyone!
You can get some bargains in poor performing sectors. Real Estate has the worst 1 year performance (+6.85) but it's not an exciting place to be. Financials are the next worst (+8.57). They'll get a bump if interest rates go up and companies always need a loan or someone to do their IPO. Year-to-date, Healthcare and Financials are down 4% and 3% respectively. I only do ETFs. I just threw another thousand into healthcare (FHLC) and financials (XLF).
Staples got off to a great start but it's largely WMT and COST, which aren't losers from higher oil. XRT is very down YTD. XLF is down. XLV is down. The last month has been a semiconductor trade. The only stocks that go up are semiconductor / AI winners.
One option might be to buy shares of all the sector ETFs. (XLE, XLF, XLI, etc)
Big Financials (etf XLF) crumbling again today -0.5%. Consumers are dying/dead and the financial system is choking on Oracle/Coreweave/Owl debt.
Big financials (XLF). -0.7% today. Probably loaded to the gills with AI data center and subprime consumer debt they can't offload.
Big financials (XLF) aren't really participating in this rally. Remember a few weeks ago Capitalone came out and said their credit card writeoffs are headed up bigtime.
It’s a game. I’ve been trying to figure out what are these options for. I just looked and it was traded in a single block at 13:55pm. Stuff like this doesn’t have much constant volume, which is why you wanna look at more regular strikes, but it appears that this contract spiked to approximately $0.20 on Wednesday April 15th 730am . I’m just spitball in here, but I think we’re gonna have a very large correction tomorrow or Thursday and this is just a tail hedge. I have no idea why it spiked that morning on that Wednesday because XLF didn’t sell off or gap down lol it was between the Monday to Tuesday. XLF is at the same price level from those dates in middle of April. So right now XLF is sitting exactly where those tail puts could pop off if this is market maker driven.
Someone just bought 70.000 contracts of XLF 40p 5/15 - does somebody no something or just a retard hedging?
two structural reasons ETFs work specifically for non fulltime traders, separate from the liquidity and IV points already covered. idiosyncratic event risk goes away. on a single name you have to track earnings, FDA decisions, executive turnover, SEC filings. miss any of them and a 30 percent overnight gap takes out a defined risk position. on a sector or broad market ETF, the basket dilutes single name catalysts and you only need to track macro events that are calendared months out. for someone with a day job, the attention savings is the real edge. tax structure on index options versus single name options is materially different. SPX, NDX, and RUT are section 1256 contracts which means 60 percent long term, 40 percent short term cap gains regardless of holding period. SPY and QQQ options do not get that treatment. for a wheel or premium selling strategy with high turnover, the 60/40 split on the index versions is often 5 to 8 percent on annual P and L for a high bracket trader. trade off on the index versions: no equivalent for sector ETFs in the same tax category. so the structure that makes the most sense for non fulltime is broad market core on SPX or NDX for tax efficiency, plus SPY or QQQ when you need smaller contract size or weeklies, plus sector ETFs (XLE, XLF, KRE, KWEB) for thematic exposure when you have a specific view.
Yeah I mostly trade sector funds. Like options on XLE during this oil-supply driven market. I traded options on XLF and KRE when busted banks were in the news. GLD or SLV for precious metals. KWEB on China news. Stuff like that. I don't trade leveraged or inverse funds. Why settle for 2x or 3x when I can get 10x with OTM contracts? For Tech, I just buy QQQ shares and hold for the long term. I started accumulating QQQ in 2010 and haven't sold any shares yet, so I'm sitting on some nice gains right now.
Liquidity is the main thing I look at and a few sector ETFs are surprisingly solid — XLE, XLF, and XLP all have decent volume and tight spreads. KWEB is worth a look too if you're okay with the extra volatility that comes with China exposure.
His Top holdings: NTRA at 12.8%, XLF at 6.7%, INSM at 5.7%, RSP at 5%, TEVA at 4.1% New positions include Alcoa, Entegris, Lattice Semiconductor, Bloom Energy and Delta Air Lines — all initiated below current market levels. He significantly increased Amazon (+92%), Coupang (+45%), Alphabet and Sea Limited. He fully exited Meta, Citigroup and EQT — and reduced Natera, Insmed and Taiwan Semi.
XLF still green, give it time
You think these are big numbers? Just wait til it hits the financial sector $XLF NFA DYOR
Boring fucking XLF calls have printed all week
Its just the overall index .. usually stocks are complimented 50% of the time by the overall push.. so if XLF is going, PYPL has a better chance to keep running. It's not a 1:1 for sure but it helps!
I love PayPal, always have. It’s literally the easiest shit to use in e-commerce. Been using it since inception. May follow you on this trade. Plus XLF gonna run hot this year IMO.
My personal market theory for the April and May(which will undoubtedly be wrong): Semis and memory, having god like gains and going to consolidate and move sideways at these levels. Money is going to rotate into IGV(software), XLF(banks), and 🌽 to catch those sort of back up to wear hard tech is floating right now. There's also a bunch of subtle hints(dark pools, certian levels being held) that make me think that. Then late summer, the bears come back, because midterm elections almost always sell a selloff into November. If the midterms split the government out of its supermajority, we will rip the unholiest of rips. Markets love when the government is stalemated. Again, all of this will be wrong. But it's what I *think* will happen.
This is important to understand. Most of the retail investor space thinks about positions in a vacuum. Institutional investors frequently use multiple positions to express a thesis. Example: an investor may think, “I think that financials will roll over. If they do, JPM will fall the least. If they move up, JPM will move up the most.” They may express this by shorting XLF and buying JPM calls.
XLF showing the private credit liquidity crisis is definately NOT over lol
If banks hit tommorrow, I think XLF calls back up to 54, if not 56 should be easy money
One of my favorite trades is buy a shit ton of XLF calls. They're dirt cheap because the IV is so low, so you can buy them in large groups, in the money. And the index moves well, but isn't volatile, so you rarely find yourself in a spot where things go to shit rapidly if you're wrong.. Anyways, if these banks hit tommorrow, I'm think XLF calls up to the top of the range
it looks like positioning is getting more bullish even during the pullback low put/call ratios in XLF and XLV suggest traders are leaning toward upside or hedging less vix dropping that much also points to reduced fear after the ceasefire news overall feels like markets are expecting stability or a bounce rather than deeper downside
Dealer call buying + VIX down 24% on ceasefire talks = the classic "protection being unwound" signal. When dealers buy calls, they're hedging short gamma positions which means market makers are net short and need upside protection. The low put/call on XLF and XLV means nobody is buying downside insurance on financials or healthcare. This is risk-on positioning into the weekend - if Islamabad talks produce anything concrete Sunday, expect a gap up Monday.
Hey at least we can agree that there is some BS. I also came to the conclusion that BOTH: 1. AI/Mag8 being fake hype and an AI bubble 2. AI/Mag8 actually disrupting SaaS with AI Can't both be true. Or at least not true to the extent that the market is pricing. Congrats on reaching 1st order of effect thinking. That makes you smarter than the average WSB regard. Sadly 1st order isn't worth much when there is 2nd/3rd/4th/5th/Nth. >Positions: Puts on QQQ, XLK, XLF. Long duration. I'll go with MSFT/MAG8/VOO + reserve of gold/STnotes. If it dips buy more. I'm also bearish on the market/economy, but being a 🌈🐻 is hard and often a loser's game. I'd rather be defensive and keep buying dips.
# TLDR --- **Ticker**: QQQ, XLK, XLF **Direction**: Down 📉 **Prognosis**: Buy long-duration Puts **Boomer Fantasy**: "AI is killing SaaS! Just build it in-house!" 👴💭 **Actual Reality**: The entire tech and AI sector is taking a massive shit together 💩🔥
Bagholding ETHA right now collecting peanuts cuz my cost basis is far OTM. Mostly cash gang right now, but I think I'm gonna sell some CSP's on XLF/XLP/TLT as a defensive play. I'm autistic so I don't know what I'm doing.
yeah i have stock in a lot of the big 7. i'm thinking VOO, IWM and XLF for starters next week
This is getting fucking silly now, so XLF had most OI for calls at 49.5 and it closes at 914 on 49.48..come on this is almost predictable..
XLF to get pinned to 49.5.