XLF

Hot-Pop-3250

XLF stops going up at 60 and my calls expire in a week which sucks because i don't think i'll get there

yomama_yodaddy

Im so fucking happy Saved in the after market🤗-50% calls on XLF turned to 100% 💀💀💀fatass spreads 0.01 - 0.77 💀

yomama_yodaddy

XLF gotta pump bruv this is my red day safe haven

yomama_yodaddy

XLF

Hot-Pop-3250

we should all buy bank stocks. that'll show em\* \* i have XLF calls

1UpUrBum

Goto Tradingview and type in IWM/QQQ or RSP/QQQ It's higher interest rates, or worries of, hitting the banks, regional banks, high debt smaller companies, companies that need more financing. SOXX and DRAM are starting to get whacked. They might lead QQQ. Watch XLK,XLF,XLV. If it rotates between those 3 it's rotation. If they all go down together it's more than rotation.

andytobbles

Financials looking attractive imo watching XLF if we keep correcting. Bank earnings this week so could be an opportunity

Chart-trader

So you are long regional banks and XLF. Congrats!

averagenoodle

I don’t know why my XLF calls are green but I ain’t asking questions 

Spac55

When Fed want higher interest rate & collapse economy even remain silent at 10 yr 5.33%, all media appearances AI-vibe collapse next. At extreme high leverage debt, options gambling is routine nowadays. Q3-earnings time start with banks just days away, $C $BAC $JPM $GS $MS $XLF

BigWarning8696

yeah it really makes some sectors and small cap stocks uninvestable until we see the light at the end of the tunnel with oil and yields. XLU XLI and XLF look like they may finally be bottoming out. I still wouldn't touch those sectors yet, though

BigWarning8696

Some sectors look like they're reversing: XLU XLI XLF ITA. I started adding a bit to the leveraged version of them Monday

Spac55

When economy crash at 10yr at 5.3%, what tools Fed has ? Look 90% sectors are in recession, excluding few make vibe for AI spending push. Any time spending like QE, market goes up. When interest rate high, how long debt load push high, at negative cash flow. $XLK $XLF $QQQ $SPY $SMH

BigWarning8696

XLF looks like a better sector for calls now or just buy FAS shares

Not_Sure_68

...and that I think perfectly sums up the danger with equities. People are entirely too complacent imo. Auto buys on SPY are creating a monster where the S & P 500 has effectively been transformed into nasdaq lite. In essence, due to market cap weighting, the S & P 500 has effectively been transformed into the S & P 7 ...or even the S & P 5. The vast majority of the broader market is being starved for investment while a few tech names suck all the air out of the room. Once can see this easily by simply comparing the SPY to the equally weighted index(RSP). Also rate sensitive sectors of the S & P are getting taken apart. Just have a look at XLU, XLF, and/or XLRE. That is utilities, financials, and real estate respectively. ...it's turning into a bloodbath even as the index continues higher as though there's not a care in the world.

Spac55

$SPY $QQQ $XLF $XLK $XLC $XLY $SMH $IWM see earnings soon. Vix spike to 25 at earning. Cash flow negative for many. AI-ponzi spending. Big corporate debt load, cost more to service at higher rate. Earning suffer, as jobloss spike, consumer spending down

thefxll

the XLF and IXG monthly candles are fucking insane

Therecanbenopeace

XLF chart kinda worrisome....

Swiftnice

Guess its time to short XLF if yields keep rising.

joe4942

Wow, financials (XLF) now red YTD/1 year.

Saddleup_dawg

Probably bad advice- At 29 you have a long time horizon. Put 5% in high beta high potential equities, then I would say 15% short term bonds, 50% should probably be the companies with strongest balance sheets + cash flow + long term growth in XLU, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLV, XLY, and XLP. 15-20% boring everyday names you know and trust as long haul companies (ie Amazon, Apple, Coke, MSFT, PFE, etc), and 5% metals, commodities, and currency. Go for low correlation if you can. I think that should add up to 95-100%. Look for dividend payers where you can. If you have sufficient cash, buy one or two of those names at 100 shares and sell covered calls as a synthetic dividend.

Not_Sure_68

Things are breaking down in equities, but the silly weighting of the S&P and the fact that nobody cares about the russell or dow is making it very easy for people to ignore...as long as a few tech stocks prop up the Qs and SPY. If you look under the hood you'll note rate sensitive S&P stuff rolled over weeks ago. XLU, XLF, and XLRE(utilities, financials, and real estate). Meanwhile NVDA is down as is oracle, but nobody cares because META is up! yay! BTW if you had silver, platinum, or gold in your hand three years ago it has outperformed the S&P. Massively so in the case of silver.

Not_Sure_68

I think what a lot of people don't realize is many sectors of the broader market are already correcting. The weakness is simply being masked by the silly weighting mechanism by standard and poor. Rate sensitive stuff is being hammered. Utilities, financials, and real estate. Guess what else is rate sensitive? ...technology. Just because it isn't being whacked yet... Bond yields have risen roughly 800% since 2020. Just because it takes time to do damage doesn't mean it won't happen. Anyone paying attention has noticed that bond yields have accelerated lately and at some point they'll be more attractive than equities. That's just how risk/reward calculations work. Go look at a chart of XLU, XLF, or XLRE and tell me there's not damage being done. These are the sectors most sensitive to rate changes and they're rolling over. Plan accordingly.

Not_Sure_68

Yes, but what people don't seem to recognize...yet, is the entire financial landscape changed in 2020. The 40 year long bond bull market died six years ago and most still haven't got the memo. Yield on US 10y debt has increased by > 800%. We're in a new regime now...and equities generally haven't cared...yet, but they will. If you look at equities by sector you'll note that rate sensitive sectors are getting slaughtered under the surface...XLU, XLRE, XLF...utilities, real estate, and financials respectively. Only some narrow tech names are holding up the broader market. Now that doesn't mean there's a smackdown coming tomorrow, but smart money will be moving to the sidelines and eventually rotating out of pricey techs and into well run, high yielding equities, that are already smacked down. Nothing btw is being hammered more than the utility sector. Look it up yourself if you doubt it. That's what interest rates do...and most don't even notice till the hammer falls.

No_Presentation9490

XLF dropped 4.9% since I bought leap puts last week and they still lost value

Spac55

Rate hike cycle & timing of recession always correlated. Now all AI spending cooling, all AI IPO delay with over hype theme without ROI. Rest of economy in recession when only hype semi & Neo clouds hang with vibes. Higher rate impact all including AI $SPY $QQQ $XLK $XLF $SMH going big Opex , 6 Trillion transactions pump volatility

Spac55

Fed hike 0.25 after a long time Looking housing sentiment, when all sectors of economy cooling &only AI-hype push index high, how the economy will react? 10Yr at \~5%, after 19 years If AI delay, many IPO delay, many banks struggle next $QQQ $SPY $SMH $XLK $XLF $NVDA $MU just pump dump Algo, when AI story cooling

PatientAd9394

XLF mooning.

fire_alarmist

Uhhh XLF the banking sector literally just dropping off a cliff??? Thats bullish right?

No_Presentation9490

just spent $1000 on XLF puts for november. thats $1000 im not seeing again.

YTLupo

XLF is an ETF crafted by an Investment bank and its main assets are banks. They will mercy fuck you out of every penny you put into it

ljackstar

I’m already regretting my XLF calls

i30swimmer

WM, CAT, XLF, SPCX, BA, UNH, AXP and V. If the bubble pops, everything is going down because people are going to be selling everything.

ApathysLastKiss_

I thought I had perfectly timed the top 😂 In fact I gave some of it back when I fomoed in at the actual top. Never again. I'll buy soxl back when it's bottomed out...which it's no where near. The trick it seems to these LETFs is to buy them at a bottoming out base structure, or you missed the train. SOXS, might be too late..idk I may buy some I'm going hard on SQQQ if the Qs close below 700, major gex level Right now, shorting the XLF

Spac55

Big leaders build legacy & what legacy now? DOGE, Tariff, Trade,China,Epstein, Greenland, Venezuela, Iran & back to Canada, just before midterms. When gas & groceries price comedown? $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $SMH $XLK $XLF $XLC hedge fund buddies vibe pump few to divert all, when 10yr high.

AwakenedBeast616

XLF has been the same price for 3 weeks now. Seizure??

ApathysLastKiss_

This is the first time the XLF hasn't held the 20 day moving average in months. Puts! They're dirt cheap, low IV, extremely high delta

ApathysLastKiss_

The largest darkpool transaction ever was recorded on the XLF last week. it could be a buy, but given the context, I'm pretty sure it's a sell. And usually after these mondo transactions, you usually see a strong trend one way or the other.

ApathysLastKiss_

Hoping the XLF bounces tomorrow so I can double my short position

ApathysLastKiss_

XLF puts. Super low IV, high delta, financials are about to take a,major leg down

Spac55

When interest rate remain high, financial suffers more, as many foreclosures or go bankrupt and more write up . Adding $XLF. PUT, Strike 50, Dec 31

ApathysLastKiss_

There was a whale darkpool order on financials at the ATH, and I'm betting it's a sell. Bought a shit ton of XLF puts today

Fishherr

Study the XLF & banks near index ATHs while the market is short VEGA It’s coincidental. But a historical milestone like that in some ways has always lead to taking profits & a valuation decline eventually . that’s not to say it can’t grow higher in the future.

WrexyWrex

anyone ever notice ETFs like XLF are only at like 50? what if that shit goes to like 800? that' would probably be kind of crazy to look back on

Legitimate_Tailor858

I just issued a book about my leap strategy Everyone say high delta. Most important is not to over pay for premium. This what kill most leaps. If you buy when iv is expensive or when the premium is too high relative to stock price you have too many forces working against you . XLF 51 c 2028 for example hit all the boxes for me. Off course not financial advise. just follow my rules of delta, premium at risk, DD, liquidity and IV percentile

ur1z

You can open an account at Morningstar and test your portfolios. They have a free trial. A lot of US equity IMO and a lot of Mag7 overlap. For me, SPY and SPDW and some focused ETFs if I want to increase some sectors. Like XLK, XLF or SMH

IvoryTowerResident

XLF the 2nd largest component of SPY MAGS are also very close to ATH

Freedom-Of-Trades

Idk. I'm holding XLV. Leaning towards exiting XLF.

subucula

Do we think XLV and XLF have topped or just taking a breather?

ParticularWar9

What are you talking about? SPX is within 3% of its ATHs and XLV, XLF, XLE, XLRE all hit ATHs on July 28. It’s just tech that is dropping. Almost every other sector is doing well.

IvoryTowerResident

XLF at all time high doesnt scream risk off to me

YourChildhood5762

The odds on rate hikes and when are always shifting so I don't think they are fully priced in. Although I'm sure the big brains on Wall Street have more data. Back in the Spring, I thought that the AI/tech hype was too much and that there would be a flight to quality sometime later this year. So I began preparing for that premise. My thoughts went to healthcare and financials and I bought some more of each. Now that the premise looks closer to reality, I wanted to add on to the Spring's purchases. My healthcare ETF would have to come down 30% for it to be worthwhile, and that would be a drop equal to what I was trying to avoid. With the fall in Tech, that has become my largest individual sector holding though only 4th overall. I'm about 12.5% healthcare already and believe that I have all the profitable companies covered. I don't think I could get into anything new that would cost less than what I already have. My Financials (XLF) was only 18% above my buy-in but hadn't moved as well as I had hoped. I bought high and have only a 13% return. So I added a regional bank ETF on Thursday. I was rewarded with a 3% gain that day and brought back to Earth with a 1.5% drop on Friday. Time will tell if I have chosen correctly. The GSIB etf I discovered earlier this week has great gains and I think it has potential as well. It's international and could benefit if Europe follows through on building their own arsenal. That will require loans. I wish I knew about it last Spring but I think I have some exposure to those banks from other ETFs. Although I don't want to add anything new, it appears that China has a stranglehold on rare earth minerals and a treaty expires next year that will put a severe crimp in the pipeline for the rest of the world. So the materials sector may be something that you could get into in advance. It had the 3rd highest 1yr gain at +28%, very slightly higher than tech, but has fallen to -5% in the six month charts.

Spac55

$SPY $QQQ $XLK $XLF. Earnings strong Iran war now like Ukraine war, market digest and neglect tweet noise.

22boomer

Will XLF keep going or will it come back down

ComprehensiveLog9414

XLF needs another pump

NoMorning5015

I just closed a call on XLF that I bought on Friday, I could have held for longer but I was up 55% and don't normally do options so I closed it out for a tidy profit. Thank you big banks!

DarkR124

Least my XLF calls are big green. Boring banks useful for something I guess.

ComprehensiveLog9414

XLF $60 eow

ComprehensiveLog9414

Nah like I want to see XLF green asf by eod

Spac55

IBM. 250-260 today possible $IBM earnings not bad, it’s normal earnings 2-3% earnings variations normal, all don’t move like memory Diluted Earnings Per Share: GAAP: $2.27, down 2 percent; Operating (Non-GAAP): $2.93, up 5 percent CPI: 3.5% Time to load BigTech before big earnings spike. $QQQ $SPY $XLK $XLC $XLF $MU $NDA and more memory and AI stocks shift It’s not bad earnings

Spac55

$IBM earnings not bad, Diluted Earnings Per Share: GAAP: $2.27, down 2 percent; Operating (Non-GAAP): $2.93, up 5 percent CPI: 3.5% Time to load BigTech before big earnings spike. $QQQ $SPY $XLK $XLC $XLF $MU $NDA and more memory and AI stocks shift It’s not bad earnings

NoMorning5015

I'm liking that call I bought on XLF last week

WolfofWoodstock

’d recommend investing that money into a brokerage account of your choice. Depending on your risk tolerance, you could consider sector ETFs like XLF, XLK, or XLV, or gain exposure to broader markets through QQQ (Nasdaq) or SPY (S&P 500). Since SPY trades at a higher share price, SPYG — often called the “poor man’s SPY” — is a solid growth-oriented alternative if you’re working with a smaller amount, like $2,000. If you’d prefer a more conservative approach, you could allocate some of the funds to a money market account instead. Another option worth exploring is setting up a trading bot — linked to your brokerage account through whichever AI platform you prefer — and starting small, with just a couple hundred dollars, to see how it performs. This is only my approach! There are more than 3 ways to skin a cat!

22boomer

I exited my xle call being a pussc I took profit off but I went into XLF hoping it hit ath in morning

ApathysLastKiss_

Tommorrow begins financial earnings. XLF calls or puts, depending on how you think it'll go

FatFluffyFish

Is it a good idea to get into XLF just for banks earnings?

22boomer

Are we longing $xle $XLF or $dram

ejunior1234

i have 114 shares of XLF but the CC premiums are bad.

ComprehensiveLog9414

XLF calls for the week?

ComprehensiveLog9414

XLF calls could be juicy. CPI into bank pandemonium could be a printer

skarfbeaulonee

the private credit crisis is taking too long, what if everyone borrows max loans, declares bankruptcy, then bets the loan proceeds on XLF puts. We could call it the great UNO reverse financial crisis where we fuck the banks instead of the banks fucking us

Spac55

Soon big banks and BigTech give strong earnings Looking great Q2 earnings by many big banks $C $JPM $WFC $BAC $GS $MS space all in $XLF. All big tech in $QQQ $SPX $NDX will give strong earnings, followed by big buybacks. Whole semiconductor sector $SMH $AMAT $ASML & many got a big boost from earnings spike

IvoryTowerResident

rotation holding indices up. XLF near ATH. Software finding life NOW MDB and ADBE i own atm

iSOBigD

Up 6% for the year vs 132% after big crashes for the semis... I'm not saying it won't do better for the coming months but you'd have been better holding cash for 12 months before June compared to holding XLF.

tropicalia84

XLF is up 5% in a week while SMH is down 7% Nobody cares

DyehuthyTV

DIA (*dow etf, aka "value"*) is outperforming QQQ (*nasdaq100 etf, aka "growth"*)? YTD, 1Y, 5Y performance? lol No, QQQ ETF still winning here, this are not "Equity Factor ETFs" are just US Market Indices, that also are driven by Equity Factors and US Sector Rotation, big difference from directly Factor ETFs. You can understand this, if you can see the Sector Composition (weight%) of each one of this Equity Factor ETFs (Aggressive sectors, vs Defensive Sectors, Sector Rotation). Maybe you are talking about IWD factor (value) vs IWF factor (growth) ETFs, here Value ETF outperforms Growth ETF, but just YTD and 1Y timeframe. Yes, this can happen even without "bear market", cuz the people can start to be "defensive" for several reasons, like inflation, not just for 'bear markets'. *IWD have more weight (%) in Financials (XLF sector) and IWF have more weight in Technology (XLK sector)* >IWD and IWF are iShares (Blackrock) ETFs from Russell1000. You also have Vanguard ETFs, IVE (value) and VUG (growth) from S&P500. Not a big difference, but it shows up in the long run. 😉

YourChildhood5762

Major tech stocks have been under pressure and healthcare stocks are gaining ground. [https://finviz.com/groups](https://finviz.com/groups) will show you sector performance and [https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/) also has information All sectors are on cycles of differing lengths. Retail investors have been pounding tech and driving prices up to where some feel they are overvalued. So others go looking for the undervalued plays, figuring that they have more room to go up. I personally feel that healthcare and financials are a good place to be. If interest rates go up, financials (XLF) profit from higher fees. Small caps are rising after a slow 2025. Emerging markets have done very well (I made you a writeup for KEMX but accidentally wiped it and didn't feel like starting over). Tech is still a hot ticket but their are signs that some are getting scared. There is a lot of hype for yet untested and so-far unprofitable future developments, especially on Reddit. It wouldn't hurt to set up some defenses in other areas. The following is speculation based on past performance and shouldn't be taken as sound financial advice - Historically, July is a good month for stocks but August to mid-October are rough. Then things pick up November through March. Be aware of that as you assess your investments. I am building up cash because I think there will be a 20%-25% correction coming this Fall and want to be able to jump in.

Used-Air-2688

You're not just tech-heavy...you're tech-on-tech-on-tech. 😅 QQQM, QTUM, MRVL, and NBIS are all heavily tied to the same AI/semiconductor theme. Even when you own multiple tickers, they're often moving for the same reasons. If your goal is long-term diversification, consider adding exposure to: * Financials: XLF * Healthcare: XLV * Consumer Staples: XLP * Utilities: XLU * REITs: VNQ Honestly, before adding more stocks, I'd ask whether you need both QQQM and QTUM alongside individual names like MRVL and NBIS. You may get more diversification by simplifying rather than adding. One red day isn't a reason to sell MRVL, but if you're selling because you expected quick gains, that's different from a long-term investment thesis. For a 5–10 year horizon, I'd rather own a broader mix of sectors than keep stacking more AI and semiconductor exposure.

MomentSpecialist2020

Short XLF, sooner or later the credit bubble will pop.

StretcherEctum

Its A bRoaDmaRkeT CrAsH! /s XLC is up XLP is up XLF is up XLE is up XLV is up XLRE is up

hoopaholik91

Defense is doing well since last year, XLF is only up 5% the last year and trailing SPY by 20% in the last 5 years, XLV is only up 20% total the last 5 years. Equal weight S&P500 has only gained half as much as weighted the past 5 years, gains are super concentrated in a small number of companies.

Spac55

All forgot “Too Big to Fail” US. National debt \~39 Trillion 1929, 1987, 2000, 2008,always all analysts say, this time is different Lehman didn’t get $60 Billion bailout, all saw GFC Next AI-crash,which Trillion dollar company needs bailout? How it impact $SPY $QQQ $SOXX $XLF $SOXL $MU $STX $AVGO $DRAM

The_Albertino

XLF did not like the news

Dam4ge

put half of what you have in XLF and recover half your losses. NFA

ChickenMazhou

I see what you’re saying. I guess for me personally it wouldn’t be worth it. I’d sooner write 1-month CSP’s for 1% on stuff like XLE, XLF, XLU, XLK. If assigned then write the CC’s and wheel it. I think anybody who writes CSP’s has to be prepared to wheel if we get a tail event. Strategy would likely yield 12% annual pretty consistently

BuyMeaSalad

XLV, XLF, and XLP are all positive (health sector, financials, and consumer staples). This is a rotation into value from taking gains in semis and broader tech

StretcherEctum

Rotation. Plenty of other sectors are up 0.5% to 2% XLP XLV XLF XLB XLRV XLU

Nic12312

Another FAKE sell off.. DJT green… XLF green… they are TRAPPING ber 🐻

Rez_X_RS

Buy sector based ETFs, that's what i'm doing currently. SPDR offers alot of ETFs that are specific. Currently i'm in on alot of: XLC, XLF, XLV, XLP XLRE, and XLU.

Spac55

Oil Algo jokers jump on every rocket & missile to make volatility, it’s not old Oil market anymore. Index has only 2% energy stocks. USA consume~20 million barrels of Oil per day. USA produces ~ 13.5 million barrels per day Canada produce ~6 million bpd Venezuela~1 million bpd,peak capacity ~3 million bpd How much US- GDP impact by Iran &Ukraine war? OPEC bump again $XLE $SPY $QQQ $XLC $XLK $XLF $XLU $SMH

Nic12312

it was so easy... XLF bullish weekly engulfing close on volume.. DJT (biggest canary) was green on a 'bloodbath day'... now ber asking themselves.. why green? easiest inside bullish gap up on Monday.. WAAA ai crash this and that.. BER silent

Spac55

USA consume~20 million barrels of Oil per day. USA produces ~ 13.5 million barrels per day Canada produce ~6 million bpd Venezuela~1 million bpd,peak capacity ~3 million bpd How much US- GDP impact by Iran &Ukraine war? OPEC bump output again $XLE $SPY $QQQ $XLC $XLK $XLF $XLU $SMH

Nic12312

FYI… XLF is green… with a BULLISH ENGULFING weekly close.. DJT (biggest canary in the coal mine)… BRIGHT GREEN… FAKE sell off… MASSIVE gap up inside bar Monday on Nasdaq… this is capitulation.. BEAR 🐻 BOUGHT PUT on the lows… WATCH AND LEARN

HywayKind

JPM, XLF, GS, MS... suspiciously up

HywayKind

when there's a big flurry of put buyers, you think it doesn't pump the financial sector? look at XLF, JPM, MS, GS

A10cc

XLP/XLF/ETHA/TLT. Boring ass shit for my boring ass portfolio.

LastFirst22

We need to see what happens over the weekend, but right now it looks like it could be the start of the decline. We see the dollar up, gold down, and stocks down. This setup means liquidity is being drained from the market, which is one of the first signals that people are moving out of equities and into cash. Next week it could be more clear if this is the start of something or just a short term liquidity squeeze. The market is going to have a hard time moving higher without financials on board. And financials have been struggling for the last month. I'll be watching to see if KRE struggles more than XLF which would suggest regional lending is stressed. Over the last month, tech and tech related has been the only thing keeping this market afloat. Everything else is flat to down. That's not a healthy rally, that's a market running on fumes. I’ll be looking forward to what happens on Monday. Have a good weekend everyone!

YourChildhood5762

You can get some bargains in poor performing sectors. Real Estate has the worst 1 year performance (+6.85) but it's not an exciting place to be. Financials are the next worst (+8.57). They'll get a bump if interest rates go up and companies always need a loan or someone to do their IPO. Year-to-date, Healthcare and Financials are down 4% and 3% respectively. I only do ETFs. I just threw another thousand into healthcare (FHLC) and financials (XLF).

pennquaker18

Staples got off to a great start but it's largely WMT and COST, which aren't losers from higher oil. XRT is very down YTD. XLF is down. XLV is down. The last month has been a semiconductor trade. The only stocks that go up are semiconductor / AI winners.

Mundane_Bluejay_6794

One option might be to buy shares of all the sector ETFs. (XLE, XLF, XLI, etc)