Reddit Posts
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
Dear TDA or Schwab peeps - can you help out? - CFTC combos with opts & spot
Can I invest "separately" from within my Vanguard account for child's college?
Got rid of Edelman Financial Engines, safest to just throw 50/100% into S&P 500 for 401k?
Oil Soars To New 2023 High as Saudi Arabia and Russia confirm extended crude-supply cuts
Tracking Private Jets of SPAC Founders. SPAC Founder Vinod Khosla Private Jet Tracking. KVSA
$ILUS could see a nice dime run on S1 Filing of subsidiary $QIND.
Please can someone here review my 401k selections.
Empower Retirement interesting investment options. Any thoughts on which for 401(k)?
Which investment for 401k? 28 year old in real Estate Finance
The Advantages of Futures Options Trading over Stock Options: I Increased My Profits 4X
The Advantages of Futures Options Trading over Stock Options: I Increased My Profits 4X
This Week’s Positions on Futures Options & SPX 1 DTE Trades: +$11,784 (3.92% Profit)
Easily Achieving a 98.9% Win Rate Trading Futures Options (My take on it)
2023-03-31 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Goofy
Colgate-Palmolive upgraded, named top pick at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:CL)
Colgate-Palmolive leans on price increases to support sales growth (NYSE:CL)
International Land Alliance, Inc | $ILAL | ILA’s master planned community includes 1,344 lots representing over $100M in potential gross lot sales and construction revenue (7M MC Currently)
International Land Alliance, Inc | $ILAL | ILA’s master planned community includes 1,344 lots representing over $100M in potential gross lot sales and construction revenue
Missed $430 on Crude Oil - CL Day Trading Futures
Weekly Outlook 12/12-12/16 - S&P 500 + Gold + Crude Oil
The progress on inflation using pairs trades
CNBC Pro Goldman’s Jeff Currie reveals ‘the best’ hedge against inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical risks
Apple today is a good example why the markets are so hard.
Europe’s Fuel Supply Fears Worsen As Major Refinery Malfunctions $CL_F
Europe’s Fuel Supply Fears Worsen As Major Refinery Malfunctions $CL_F
Putin: All Energy Infrastructure “Under Threat” Following Pipeline Explosion $CL_F
$CL = Colgate will save gas watch out $SHEL + $XOM + CEI !!! hahaha
What is your best "longshot" investing idea right now?
Bear market drivers ‘are starting to recede,’ Evercore ISI's Rich Ross says
Lessons learned by an immigrant first time investor
Closely Watching Crude Oil Price /CL, Approaching Key Support Level $90
CL=F Oil Futures Predicting Market Crash: A Poorly Researched TA
CL=F Oil futures Predicting Market Crash: A Poorly Researched TA
🛢️ $HUSA, $INDO & The Great Impending Oil Squeeze 🛢️ (and why now is the time to jump aboard)
🛢️ $HUSA, $INDO & The Great Impending Oil Squeeze 🛢️ (and why now is the time to jump aboard)
You know the entire market is collapsing when Bill Gates replies to your “free stuff” add on CL (he wasn’t happy somebody else came first)
Basic thesis: We need energy. Help me from here..
Why the recent disconnect between natural gas and oil stocks?
Anyone know something about Natural Gas?
Anyone know something about Natural Gas?
How crazy the performance of oil, does anyone want to short CL with me?
Cresco Labs x Columbia Care - Consolidation Information
this is a big one boys: Oil company $IMPP short interest 58% outstanding, CL=F oil is at 112 a barrel and impp closed in a bull flag.
this is a big one boys: Oil company $IMPP short interest 58% outstanding, CL=F oil is at 112 a barrel and impp closed in a bull flag.
Norges Bank (NORWAY) - Potentially Something HUGE Here
What are the chances S&P500 index sees 3800 this year?
Oil price spike nearing demand destruction levels, ConocoPhillips CEO says
300k in XOP/CL/ZW Calls, oil to 300, wheat to 4000
The predicted market crash... Can it get any worse? well, yes!
Ok my profits are now pretty much 0. How worried should I be?
HEY RETARDS BUY /CL & oil stocks RIGHT NOW!!
What to watch for Ukraine V Russia Potential War: Commodities, Travel Stocks, Semi-Conductors!
What to watch for Ukraine V Russia Tension: Commodities, Travel Stocks, Semi-Conductors!
What to watch for Ukraine V Russia Tension: Commodities, Travel Stocks, Semi-Conductors!
What to watch for Ukraine V Russia Tension: Commodities, Travel Stocks, Semi-Conductors!
ECB President Lagarde pushes back against acting ‘hastily’ over interest rate hikes
Crude Oil over $90, what’s your end of the year price prediction?
Crude Oil hits $90, what’s your end of the year price prediction?
Crude Oil hits $90, what’s your end of the year price prediction?
Ratios used for Penny Stocks I like and have learned!
Do institutions have a way to visualize gamma skew in real time?
The price of oil (CL.1) keeps climbing; the price of oil stocks like $XOM not so much. Why is that?
Help me understand my position. Tutorial didn’t include crayons, wife’s boyfriend was distracting me anyway.
Breakouts and Breakdowns Thread for January 11th, 2022
Breakouts and Breakdowns Scanner Weekend Thread for January 8th and 9th, 2022
Mentions
How stupid would it be to buy the call options on Oil futures. Lol. The /CL contract June 61c's are trading at 0.8 which is 800 dollars (1,000 barrels of oil in each option).
My moves include additions to Tsnd, CL, and reentry into OGI. My order for GTII didn't fill, and I'll see if that works out next week. Glta
# LOOK AT THAT CL0WN. SEE YOU 800 buddy
Think about it this way: You have set aside the cash to purchase the shares at the strike you sold. Since it is a put, the worst case scenario is that the stock goes to 0----so you would be using the cash you set aside to buy a stock that has no value----can't go below zero ( and yes I remember /CL going negative). No matter what, you won't "owe" more than the cash that secured the put.
BYRN earnings: Net revenue for Q3 2025 grew 35% year-over-year to $28.2 million from $20.9 million in Q3 2024. The year-over-year growth was largely driven by strong dealer and chain store sales tied to Byrna’s expanding retail presence, the success of new marketing initiatives, and broader brand adoption. Web traffic began to build late in the quarter and has continued into the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025), supporting stronger e-commerce activity. Gross profit for Q3 2025 increased to $16.9 million (60% of net revenue) from $13.0 million (62% of net revenue) in Q3 2024, reflecting the strong increase in sales. Gross margin performance reflects the changing channel mix, which saw much stronger dealer sales, as well as one-time startup costs associated with the Compact Launcher launch and associated manufacturing ramp-up costs. Since its launch in Q2 2025, the Compact Launcher (CL) has achieved faster production yield improvements compared to previous product releases. Byrna anticipates that CL margins will continue to grow as production volume increases and manufacturing processes become more efficient. Operating expenses for Q3 2025 were $14.1 million, compared to $12.2 million for Q3 2024. The increase was primarily due to higher variable selling expenses, and increased discretionary marketing spend to support growth. Net income for Q3 2025 was $2.2 million, an increase from $1.0 million for Q3 2024, driven by an overall increase in product sales and operating leverage.
BYRN earnings: Net revenue for Q3 2025 grew 35% year-over-year to $28.2 million from $20.9 million in Q3 2024. The year-over-year growth was largely driven by strong dealer and chain store sales tied to Byrna’s expanding retail presence, the success of new marketing initiatives, and broader brand adoption. Web traffic began to build late in the quarter and has continued into the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025), supporting stronger e-commerce activity. Gross profit for Q3 2025 increased to $16.9 million (60% of net revenue) from $13.0 million (62% of net revenue) in Q3 2024, reflecting the strong increase in sales. Gross margin performance reflects the changing channel mix, which saw much stronger dealer sales, as well as one-time startup costs associated with the Compact Launcher launch and associated manufacturing ramp-up costs. Since its launch in Q2 2025, the Compact Launcher (CL) has achieved faster production yield improvements compared to previous product releases. Byrna anticipates that CL margins will continue to grow as production volume increases and manufacturing processes become more efficient. Operating expenses for Q3 2025 were $14.1 million, compared to $12.2 million for Q3 2024. The increase was primarily due to higher variable selling expenses, and increased discretionary marketing spend to support growth. Net income for Q3 2025 was $2.2 million, an increase from $1.0 million for Q3 2024, driven by an overall increase in product sales and operating leverage.
My rule for puts is never place a put on a stock you don’t want to own. In the case of CL it’s a Morningstar 4 star rated stock and switches to 5 star at $70.40. It’s a consumer defensive and if you think that the tech train is about to slow down it’s not a bad play in the low 70s. Exciting No but I’m way past looking for exciting in my investments. Doesn’t look like it will hit 76 by tomorrow so I’ll make $700 for 4 days. I’ll take it even without the dividend. 🙂
CL just looks horrible for selling puts. It's been going down, down, and down. I'm not sure I would have risked a put on CL On a stock that is moving down, you could also sell a call spread hoping that the stock drops a bit right after the ex div date.
CL calls it is! They'll need toothbrushes to keep the dust off those GPU's!
Everyday. For example this morning (8:30 AM (ET)) equity futures are up i.e. ES, NQ and YM (so is Gold and Oil (GC & CL.)) No major economic announcements today, so I'll be looking for an up day and, at 9:30, will trade accordingly. Slow and steady is my method. As the saying goes Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered.
Pretty crazy CL has less than 2m in value traded for the day.. lol
Just bought Friday exp 70$ calls on CL futures
CAT, EOG, ARCC, CL and a little ACI
what's worse? breaking even at INTC after a decade? or seeing quality stocks like CL, MKC, KMB, PG going on a 52-week low from 0 catalyst
This change is a step in the right direction. The H1B needed serious overhaul. If you were a bachelor degree holder not from SG or CL, your lottery odds ranged from 8% in 2023 to as high as 22% in 2020 (it was 17% this year). In 2024, the average cost for a company to just apply for a first time holder was about $9400. So companies were already paying on average $45k to $110k for one successful petition. Another option was to simply award spots based on salary, but that is also ripe for abuse.
What do we think about CLX and CL? Both seem undervalued and both beat their earnings expectations
Thanks for the feedback. Mods have flagged this as potential pump and dump. Untrue, I've done a lot of research into this and I have 30k shares. But it doesn't mean I'm right. I'm glad someone else has been following this stock to check my ass. Here is my math and reasoning from last quarter earnings. I used the average of the growth rate of revenue AND production (which was a limiting factor previously, they were capped at ~27k units per 3 months if you recall, and one of the big things their COO did was expand production) Launcher units produced per Q for each Q from 3/30/2024 - 7/10/2025: `27k, 27k, 54k, 72k, 72k, 68k*, 64k*` In my notes I wrote that the boost in production for 12/10/24 and 2/7/25 Qs was to stockpile the Byrna SD in preparation for reconfiguring their fabs to produce the CL. The last two numbers are including about 50% of their production dedicated to CL production. Byrna stated in their Q2 2025 earnings that the CL has "better margins" than their other offerings, and that revenue increased by 41% YoY, and that the CL was a primary driver of growth. Those were the factors I used to draw my assumptions: 1. The CL was a significant part of new revenue 2. Gross profit margin of the CL is higher than the overall company margin of 62% 3. The SD and LE launchers are an even mix of the remaining launchers First, the simple revenue ratio of CL to (SD+LE) = 549/((479+379)/2) = 1.2797 Furthermore they confirmed it also has a higher profit margin. the (SD+CL) was 60% == $257 profit, and I just said 65% for the CL to be conservative, 65% == $357. 357/257 = 1.3891 The average of these two is ~1.33, i.e. a CL is worth about 1.33 of their other launchers. Going back to the starred production numbers, their production was split 60/40 in favor of CL / others. So to correctly scale the production numbers, we would get ~76400 scaled production units. The new series would be `27k, 27k, 54k, 72k, 72k, 82500*, 76400k*` There is turbulence in this current economy so they said they pushed production hard and chilled out a bit the next two quarters. So I excused the drop in total units. Maybe that was too much an assumption, but considering their previous issue was being bottlenecked by inventory, I was very happy to see they no longer have an inventory problem and can focus on the sales problem instead. Byrna's net income was 1.7mm, 2.4mm in Q1, Q2 '25. This is net income calculated after the spike in production (capex). Therefore, going into Q3 where they indicated very similar revenue (28.2m), I am assuming much less capex. Q3 2024 looked as follows: `20.9m Revenue, 14m profit (62%), 1m income` With about 7mm extra revenue, higher profit, margins because of the CL, reduction in total production while maintaining relative production value, I estimated about **$4m income for Q3 2025**. Which felt pretty hype to me. Please continue critiquing when you have time.
Can you explain the CL > CA?
ya i'm on board, netted 2k last night and this morning, (CL,MES,GC, spy, QQQ options) range was too tight to do anything crazy. changed out of 0dte's because lack of options volume, changed into qqq 1dte's and scalped .10c on chart noise and pulled out because things don't look right. options IV is all over the place, I make the most on mean reversion vs trend, and that wasn't going to happen today.
off to play some arma3. best move of the night was CL on 1ticket for 330, closed before the first rip to go out and eat and touch grass.
Are you referring to Amex? None of their cards are all that great anymore, but I have 5 of them (including gold & Zync) I really fucked my credit a long time ago that sorta ended w/ Amex and a $5 late fee if I recall..anyway, they gave me a 2nd chance and since then my credit portfolio/score/etc are comfortably in the 800's and while I had to do the work, they didn't have to extend me 2 cards w/ no credit limits as well as 3 other cards w/ 5 figure CL and low apr (w/ options to extend payments w/ no apr like PayPal Credit offers).
How is that from “randomly buying” a stock? My account is up 125% based just on my CL option trades. No different than stock picking.
Buts that not on options on options I already trade CL options.
I sold all my Trulieve and CL yesterday while still in the black on them. Gonna sit on my cash and my GTBIF for a minute until we have a better idea of where we're headed. Worst case, we bleed down and I'll be able to significantly lower my average.
Getting murdered on RKLB in addition to CL.
Not quite right. Some Indexes (e.g. SPX, XSP, NDX and RUT) do have options that expire everyday of the week (i.e. M-F.) Some ETFs also have daily expiring options (most notably SPY and QQQ) also some futures options (e.g. ES, NQ, CL, GC) expire daily. I don't think that there are any stocks that have daily expiring options but that's coming. In May 2025 the NASDQ folks sent a letter/request to the SEC to permit Monday Wednesday expirations on some very active stocks such as TSLA, NVDA, and some others. [https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-zero-day-options-craze-could-finally-be-coming-to-popular-stocks-like-nvidia-and-tesla-heres-what-to-know-79477da2](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-zero-day-options-craze-could-finally-be-coming-to-popular-stocks-like-nvidia-and-tesla-heres-what-to-know-79477da2) Again that's M-F but M-W-F, Tuesdays and Thursdays would follow, perhaps. My advice is to start small, trade some ETF options, NOT 0DTE, learn to trade, see how the market works (or doesn't), consider credit spreads to reduce your risk. I would not start with index options (except perhaps the XSP). Read some good basic options trading books (if you haven't already) and write down a trading plan. Best
>Chegg trades below the price it paid for Busuu alone ($436 million in 2022). At today’s ~$1.40, investors assign zero value to Busuu No, it means they assign positive value to Busuu but negative value to the core business, which more than offsets it due to the size of the core business and its large negative growth. Also analyzing equity value without bringing up debt, or the fact that the company has virtually 0 FCF and CL > CA, is wild
\*\*Don't have enough karma to post under r/options, so posting here\*\* Opened a IBKR account specifically to buy long-dated CL futures options. The futures options are 30% of the account's net liquidation value. For simplicity, let's say the net liquidation value is $100k, and the futures options are $30k. At present, the maintenance margin on the futures options position is equal to my cost basis, so $30k. Two questions: 1. If there was a market crash and the net liquidation value of my account fell below the maintenance margin, could I be margin-called? (I spoke to IBKR about this twice, and no one could give me a straight answer. In theory, I shouldn't be margin-called because unless the futures option is in-the-money, it can't convert to a futures position upon expiry, which would require margin. As confirmation, CME group's terms expressly state that no margin has be posted by the futures call option buyer.) Second question: 2. Let's say I get lucky and these futures options are worth, to pick a number out of a hat, 20x more than what I paid. Could I get margin-called in that case as well? Let's say I have 20 contracts, and oil shoots up to $130. There's a 1000 multiplier on each contract, so notional value is 20 contracts x $130 oil price x 1000 multiplier, which equals $2.6M. Since CL futures options convert to a future if not exercised beforehand, then IBKR will want, I assume, 5-12% of the notional value as collateral. That's $130,000 to $312,000 in collateral. But I only have $70k of cash + securities in the rest of the account. So the question is: won't they margin call me well before that, capping the upside, which the entire point of buying the futures options in the first place? Or will they count the value of the position (the $2.6MM of the futures/option position) toward the maintenance margin, in which case I wouldn't be margin-called unless oil prices fell to the point where the $2.6MM position fell to $130k to $312K. Would appreciate someone's help. I can't seem to get a straight answer anywhere and need 100% certainty, not 75%. I wish these options were as simple as the oil options ICE offers. Unfortunately ICE's oil options don't go out past 2026. Thanks, everyone, in advance.
Just be aware that a few years ago a CL futures contract went to a negative value (first time ever) because the pipelines were overloaded and the designated delivery terminal in Cushing, Oklahoma could not handle more deliveries.
Continuous contracts are just a stitched-together charting convenience. They are not a tradeable instrument. They purely exist so your chart does not look like a staircase every time CL or GC rolls. If you are actually trading, you *must* use the quarterly listed contracts. Those are the ones with real order books, margin requirements, and deliverability. When you sell your 60–90 day strangles, you are sitting on live risk in a given expiry month (say CLZ5). That risk does not magically transfer to a continuous contract. The continuous contract is only useful for analysis, not execution.
I’m not saying they are TL, GTI or CL but it looks better than it did four months ago.
The problem with buying a call or put is the theta component. If you don't get the directional move within the expiration timeframe you're going to lose money. This is why I typically sell options on the futures contract, /CL or /MCL when there's a vol spike (Any middle eastern bullshit conflict). Agree... its insane that Fidelity does not offer futures.
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) Electronic Arts (EA) Brookfield Real Assets Income Fund (RA) Global X Silver Miners (SIL)
Sure. You are all supah dupah experts that know more than everyone else. That’s why NVDA is raking in billions over billions of dollars in profit from companies that are extremely technically proficient. It’s because they don’t know you can do the exact same thing with Open CL
It is. But it’s not as if you can’t survive without CUDA. There are plenty of other options. You can do the exact thing that CUDA does with Open CL but it takes a bit longer as open CL is more of a general GPU programming language. AMD uses HIP which is another open source option.
Just blew my entire load on GTII and CL, see you next Monday guys. Hopeful things go up from here, maybe even something spicy over the weekend to give us the next leg up
Even before this week, CL loves the end of day dump
if you zoom out further (ie. 1 year), VRNO and TSND have the most catching up to do as they have fallen the most, even though they are up more than CL in the past 1M. CBST is also in that conversation, but they should be taken with a grain of salt
Yeah I feel this. 4x gets me to an overall break even of 7 years averaging down and cutting losses. I’m trying to keep hold on for the 10X moon shot but the opportunity costs have been so high while my cannabis port has been sooooo low. Friday has me break even on GTI and TRUL. Waiting on CBST and CL to pop, that’s where my degen money is.
They are. But TL, GTI and CL had strong rallies too. We will see, ur rite. I lean toward something is going on.
So I compared the US MSOs . CL still has not run up like the others. If I could post a picture here I would show the charts, most have run up, including MSOS to a support level (look for the U shape recovery). If the sector remains positive its only a matter of time for Cresco to follow suit. Good luck all.
Looks like Cresco has some room to go up and catch up to the others. Watch that one. CL
Hmm 🤔 So I guess your selling OTM puts when the equity start reversing For QQQ since u can get assign Iam guess u do naked puts How about SPX ? Did u use spread or CL ? Also 0dte or more ?
To -[**u/LeadershipSecure1664**](https://click.redditmail.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fuser%2FLeadershipSecure1664%2F%3F$deep_link=true%26correlation_id=951dfbca-32a0-5864-aba2-0701ddf9e35b%26ref=email_comment_reply%26ref_campaign=email_comment_reply%26ref_source=email/2/0100019863f8db76-a6db16df-9577-4b45-b147-2492638fb46c-000000/-luaij4JaHVVj_tqpmlfaVun7F6QDJfTmG7EEJocgyo=416) , Upon reading your deleted message, I'm not sure why you think you are entitled to anything that Mr.Cashin said to me, whenever. Over the years, I have told some of the GEMS he had imparted to me. I will only tell them to people I trust and know and understand their inquisitiveness. One thing he did say was that you should never stop reading. He read just about every financial paper , magazine, or study that was published. Maybe you should start there
I’m more interested in trading options on oil futures contracts (CL). Are you trading futures options as well?
XOM puts, CL puts, ~ cheap coin flips with multi-bag potential.
What I meant to say is that: Gains on Index options (SPX, NDX, Rut) and futures (ES, NQ, CL) are taxed as IRC §1256 contracts (i.e. 60/40 regardless of time held.) It doesn't depend on your "status" as trader. I probably should not have included AAPL, AMZN or SPY or QQQ in my discussion since I do NOT trade equity options of any sort. Only index options and futures options. And they are, to the best of my knowledge, IRC §1256 contracts. That's why I said "...do your research, this is a complicated subject..."
I conduct my options trading business in my LLC./S-Corp. But that does not in of itself reduce long or short term gains on my (your) options trades. What it does do is allow me to write off business expenses on my trading activities (e.g. home office, data acquisition, computer and related expenses, etc.) To do the latter I got an IRS determination that I met their "Trader Tax Status" criteria. IRS Tax Topic no. 429, Traders in securities, which can be found here: [https://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc429](https://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc429) Note that the IRS does NOT have a publication about Trader tax Status nor how to get a determination for the the same. Trader tax status (TTS) constitutes business expense treatment and unlocks meaningful tax benefits for active traders who qualify. The first step is to determine eligibility. If you qualify for TTS, you can claim some tax breaks, such as business expense treatment, after the fact. TTS traders can also elect and set up other tax breaks—like Section 475 MTM, employee-benefit plans (health and retirement), and a SALT cap workaround—on a timely basis. I highly suggest that you visit Robert Green's Green Trader Tax website at [https://greentradertax.com/](https://greentradertax.com/) and buy and read his book Green’s 2025 Trader Tax Guide [https://greentradertax.com/shop-guides/greens-trader-tax-guide/](https://greentradertax.com/shop-guides/greens-trader-tax-guide/) That the taxation of options gains and losses are covered in detail in IRS Publication 550 (Investment Income and Expenses). You can get a copy at [https://www.irs.gov/publications/p550](https://www.irs.gov/publications/p550) . Short term gains on an equity option such as AAPL, AMZN or SPY or QQQ are taxed at 60%. Gains on Index options (SPX, NDX, Rut) and futures (ES, NQ, CL) are taxed as IRC §1256 contracts (i.e. 60/40 regardless of time held.) It doesn't depend on your "status" as trader. Do your research, this is a complicated subject that needs a trader's attention BEFORE doing your taxes. Best
All these CL*V bots in here crazy
Yes, I have a "tried and true" strategy for making short dated (i.e. 0DTE) trades on the SPXW options contracts. This morning will be no different. At 8:45AM (ET) all three indices (NQ, ES, YM) are up CL and BZ are down so the odds that the SPX will open up are very good. Be ready!
In the current environment, this is smart, and part of a thus far successful strengthening of the CL balance sheet. I think they make it. Sunnysides are usually busy—Cresco has the best revenue per storefront in the industry.
It is a scam. Similar to ads you see on CL or one of those type sites. Doesn't even have any screenshots to show that he's bullish. Laaaaame
Sorry for the stupid question - are you recommending to buy the Bershire company stock itself, as opposed to some instruments they offer for sale? I found BRYN on IBKR, called Berkshire Hathaway INC-CL B. I'm not sure if I'm looking at the same thing or something else. Thanks for clarifying!
Yup I started doing that last year. Got my bag positions on CL and GTII and now waiting to buy back in one GTII under 8 maybe 7.5 which I sold at 8.8 past week. Trying to get my average down through swing trades and accumulating. Lol
https://click.redditmail.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fwallstreetbets%2Fcomments%2F1lxgpr6%2Fweekend_discussion_thread_for_the_weekend_of_july%2Fn2wmdlg%2F%3F%2524deep_link=true%26correlation_id=d81e3920-7ffd-56d6-8853-ee98ba716923%26ref=email_comment_reply%26ref_campaign=email_comment_reply%26ref_source=email/2/010001980441919d-ab774845-9967-48b1-a8f6-a27ad3fa30b7-000000/U5jR_eNQ25lUFUSUBE-YGpg4O2MbnH4J-GE8AI2LmQE=413
protect urself just for this week, keep ur profits and rotate to KHC PG CL BRKB CPB STZ CAG PEP MO XHB XBI all the smart money rotating into these stocks in the massive tech flush this week
TIL: Chlorine Bromine **CL-BR** mixture is a little dangerous sanitizer. I'll do it anyway, just to see if it works.
#CL BR Chlorine and Bromine - excellent disinfectants!
always curious about what shows up when I click after hours. CL is down 14% for example.
CL is bussin. If this turns out to be a nothing burger, the crash will be biblical. I've been hurt too many times bro.
BYRN earnings: Net revenue for Q2 2025 grew 41% year-over-year to $28.5 million from $20.3 million in Q2 2024. The strong year-over-year growth was primarily attributable to the launch of the CL, increased dealer sales, and broader brand adoption. Gross profit for Q2 2025 increased to $17.6 million (62% of net revenue) from $12.6 million (62% of net revenue) in Q2 2024, reflecting the strong increase in sales. The introduction of the CL contributed to a favorable product sales mix that offset any decrease due to a change in channel mix which resulted in stronger dealer sales. Operating expenses for Q2 2025 were $14.2 million, compared to $10.6 million for Q2 2024. The increase was primarily due to higher variable selling expenses, payroll costs, and increased discretionary marketing spend. Net income for Q2 2025 was $2.4 million, an increase from $2.1 million for Q2 2024, driven by an overall increase in product sales which was partially offset with higher income tax expense for the quarter.
I don't agree with much of this. Credit spreads are pretty much muted from a greek standpoint. In fact, in high IV environments the put skew is exacerbated and ultimately you're paying more on a relative basis for your long put. There is no edge in IV unless you can pay relatively less for your long leg (or if you can model IV and prove one leg is very cheap and a mean reversion on that specific leg will result in profit even if the underlying doesn't move). In your example, you use /CL ... commodities typically have call skew, so the put IV down the chain would be relatively flat, possibly in your favor. I'm not saying you can't make money, but there is no edge in what you're saying, in fact, w/ a put skewed instrument + transaction costs, you're actually in a negative edge situation. I think a lot of folks here are in equity based products which rarely exhibit call skew. Spreads are directional bets.
Trading futures ( ES, CL, etc ) is not 0 cost on any of those platforms. They all trade on a lit exchange.
I am a contrarian trader. so i go for price extremes, i sell put spreads in down markets and call spreads in bull markets. BUT with a caveat. i try to stay away from selling call spreads in major indices. right now a good short put setup is in /CL the crude market. lmk and i can get you numbers.
You could add 15% to SP MID CAP IDX CL F, and 5% to SP SMALL CP IND CL F. This gives you the entire US stock market. I don’t see many international funds, maybe see if there a brokerage option like the other comment mentioned. Non-US stocks make up 35% of the global market
Solid foundation with the S&P 500 For a 20-30 year timeline, I’d build a ‘barbell strategy’ using just three funds from your options: 1. SP 500 INDEX (50%)– Keeps your core large-cap exposure. 2. SP MID CAP IDX CL F (30%)– Mid-caps historically outperform long-term (+9.5% annualized vs. S&P’s 7.5% since 1992). This is your upside engine. 3. MGL SM CAP VAL INST (20%)– Small-cap value is the ultimate recession hedge (outperformed S&P by 18% during 2000-2002 and 2008 downturns*). Why this works: - Growth + Defense Mid-caps chase growth while small-cap value stabilizes volatility. - Automatic Rebalancing Your 401(k) contributions will naturally buy more of the underperforming assets over time (dollar-cost averaging on steroids). Pro tip: Set quarterly reminders to rebalance back to these ratios—it forces you to ‘buy low’ systematically. (Note: Avoid the ‘blue chip growth’ funds—they overlap heavily with your S&P 500 base and charge higher fees.)
What the heck do you mean they are not insolvent "in the cash flow sense". There is no such thing. They are either insolvent or not. Even your current liabilities greater than current asset point is dead wrong. Did you actually look at what constitutes the liabilities. Not everything is debt. I'm not gonna discuss this further with you. You clearly have very bad attitude. I've given you direct point about your misunderstanding of negative equity, share buybacks, CA vs CL and you reply with more insults.
The one bear case I see is on July 30 US Q2 GDP will be released. I expect this to be negative. The most recent Q1 estimate was (0.5%) compared an expected +2%. 2 quarters of negative GDP will mean the US is in recession. There are US companies that historically make money in recession. A good list is called “dividend kings”. About 55 companies who have paid and raised their dividend consecutively for 50 years. (PG, KO, JNJ, CL,HRL, TR etc) Dividend kings is what I recommend people to buy right now, and while US in recession. I caution people to not buy overpriced (impossible PE) stocks bc they have the largest amount of downside.
Ok i guess some details you need to know : \- First i'm french , so i use EURO , not dollars. I don't know if you notice, but euro dollars went up +13% since january, so 13% more of loss on ETF. \- In France, we got more and more ETF and less and less expensive. So i sold all my PANX for my PUST (two differents ETF) in december ... And i invest some in CL2 (etf x2 msci usa) Ok now go google and watch the charts and compare to the index.
I've got 80% of ETF in my portfolio. Watch : ESE ETF (BNP Paribas Easy S&P 500 UCITS ETF EUR C) or CL2 ... Even my etf are still red.
Iran fires missiles at US base. CL futures go down. Because of course
Look at CL in the futures market. Money knew the straight was most likely going to get closed regardless a few weeks ago . Now news buyers are eating up oil options ( mostly you silly fools) and once theta has eaten those 2 week / 1 week calls CL will have the potential to hit possibly above $100 , maybe who the fuck knows - good luck out there
Yeah whatever I’m still holding $CL long till at least $80, I won’t be dissuaded.
Leveraged? Yes. But not in the typical way you’re thinking of. The easiest way to trade commodities though is to trade ETFs that track them. If you want to trade crude oil during periods of upheaval in the Middle East, then trade USO, not /CL. Ez pz, no leverage, just keep an eye on how your ETF is tracking the commodity spot price.
Who went long on /CL when futures opened? Show yourself, so I can support you 👀
The funniest thing is that CL is pretty much at the exact price it was before Karoline Leavitt said Trump would take two weeks.
CL will change my existence this week 💰
CL crew check in! It was painful as shit holding through all those fake $3 death candles last week that would instantly get bought up... What are we thinking for open? Contract just rolled so these things have a month to cook too...
#Where will /CL open asking for a fren 125?
Iran can't retaliate against the US. It just doesn't have the power or the military strength to do so. They'll negotiate sooner or later. Buy the upcoming dip and short CL
Well, Oxy will start trading 8pm EST tonight (Sunday). Options will open 9.30am Monday. So anything that Oxy will jump on the Iran war with CL jumping like 5-10%, it will be already priced in when you want to buy the option a open. So buying an Oxy option at open means you‘ll be betting for further escalation.
Great, now all the other indexes will be tethered to CL. Tanker Gang is back.
CL=F calls with a strike price of $90/$100 .
Next major level im eyeing on CL is $81-$82 area but we could very well open above that... You're picking up pennies in front of a freight train with an oil short here. Wait for some form of resolution because this could easily go $100+ if the straight closes
Im sure it's totally just a coincidence this shit popped off the day after CL contracts rolled...
Any thoughts on CL open tomorrow?
Oil may go up but oil companies may not do the same...just look at how far shares of oil companies have lagged behind when oil prices go up...same goes for gold and gold mining companies What OP should've done was gone long on futures - either CL or MCL
I had naked short calls on far month /CL. Better lucky than good that’s for sure.
My /CL call credit spread for Aug certainly hopes so.
CL or /CL options, depending on your platform [Crude Oil Option Quotes - CME Group](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.options.html#optionProductId=190)
We going to war boys and I closed out my /CL 79/80 bull spread because regarded TACO said he was going to wait 2 weeks for Iran and Israel to talk.
Got an EV, PHEV, and a gasser. I'm long GC and CL. Think I'll do OK if we live to see Sunday.