Reddit Posts
Stocks that went up during the lost decade 2000 to 2010
LMT and LIN have outperformed the market since 1993
Rapidly Scaling Helium Producer Still Considered a Buy Even Lowest Revenue Projections: Total Helium (TOH.v TTLHF)
Looking to capitalize on the significant market opportunity coming out of the helium shortage 4.0 as the price of helium per MCF continues to increase? Check out Total Helium (TOH.v TTLHF)
Total Helium (TOH.v TTLHF) to sell its gas to the largest industrial gas company (LIN, $170+B market cap) globally for USD$500/MCF
The World's Supplies Of The Non-Renewable Resource Helium Are Running Out - Total Helium (TOH.v TTLHF) Says It Has The Solution
Helium’s Most Exciting PubCo “Total Helium” (TSXV: TOH & OTC: TTLHF) is ramping up production – likely 10x increase or more in producing wells before end of year. A partnership and off-take agreements with the largest industrial gas company in the world.
The helium supply crisis is squeezing prices higher and Total Helium (TOH.v TTLHF) is positioned to capitalize.
2023-03-10 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-03-08 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Linde sees EPS growth in 2023, $7B-$9B clean energy spending over 2-3 years (NYSE:LIN)
Linde signs $1.8B deal to supply clean hydrogen to OCI's new Texas plant (NYSE:LIN)
The "lost decade" wasn't lost if you kept investing!
The following is not a reason to invest in Lucid..
Chip Makers Diversifying Neon Suppliers
Sunday Watchlist Soft TA - Xxxx to the ELA, AEHR, SPCE, VERB, ATOS, SGOC, RCAT, NEGG, CLOV, MRIN, Bzzzz to the LIN (obvious)?
Mentions
$LIN went from 52 week highs to 52 week lows in a month, on relative no change. This is a gift for you IRA. Bulletproof company. Boring as fuck tho, hence, the IRA.
The military style "all-in" applications are rumored to be using what's called a turbogenerator to extend range. Think of it similar to how they're putting gas powered generators in EV automobiles to extend range. The turbogenerator is basically a jet engine attached to a generator. So you could charge batteries while in the air with fuel as needed. ([portable turbogenerator](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EZo85LIN5tY) probably illustrates this most clearly, obviously packaging is different in a vehicle) Anduril especially goes for things like this, so it makes sense, and there has been some smoke, but no confirmation of that direction as far as I know. I would expect Anduril to use their automation chops and not expect a pilot for most of their work together, but who knows. It's a good combo if it comes together well. Quietish flight most of the time and then even if you need to turn on the generators, wailing turboprop is still quieter than a typical helicopter. All the folks who think it's way too complicated to exist seem to be basing that on it being a plane or a complete taxi service. It's a helicopter that also does plane things. If the current systems can handle helicopters, I don't see why they can't handle eVTOLs if they are reliable, quiet, and in demand. The FAA is on board and has released guidance for eVTOLs and the landing needs. There's training, and they're currently getting the aircraft certified. They have a form FAA head on the staff and are mentioned by name by the current FAA director. It's happening, now it's looking for adoption. So, small, quiet, helicopters are the base case now. All the additional applications (military, emergency services, etc) are bonus. And then the whole "air taxi" thing is a way to drive demand. Is that too many markets to cover? I don't know. I'm not that sold on air taxis, but I think the rest of the market is enough as a company. And Archer has partnerships in all of them, and are spending huge cash now to be able to potentially address them. Once certified, they have a factory that should turn out 600 a year at around $5M per. Will that be year one, no. Somewhere between year one and capacity for that initial factory they should break even and start making money. Dilution right now sucks... they've raised a couple round on share price spikes in ways I don't like. But other than that management seems to know what they're doing and are great at partnerships. I don't know enough about their situation to really criticize the raise, but I'll still grumble about an offmarket offering at a serious discount. That sucks for the retail investors, no matter what their marketing crew tells you. After looking at alternatives, I'd say they're clearly the leader in the space. So if you think there's a market for eVTOLs, I'd argue this is the company most likely to pull it off in an ambitious way. That's the pitch. If it appeals, take a look for yourself, probably somewhere other than Reddit. If it doesn't then cool, there's a lot of place to put money.
How does brand recognition impact stock prices and trading patterns? Was looking at the top 100 companies by market share and there's a few that are not well known unless you follow the market or are in a related industry (e.g., LIN, ASRG, RTX). Seems like retail investors would be less likely to find those companies compared to something like Walmart or Amazon.
Yup I’m a LIN holder. Future forecast looks good for them
NO INFORMATION TO SHARE ON ANY TRUMP-XI CALL: LIN - BBG dumbasses
LIN as was looking for something different for longer term outside my AI stuff
Would LIN not be better? Genuine ask
I keep holdling DOW waiting for some more increase before selling to reallocate in a better opportunity (like DD, EMN, or LIN) and it just keeps disappointing. Who is BAC, lowering their target to where its trading at now? Not much of a 'target'.
I personally like NVDA and GOOGL today, even if the price dips more with market in the near term. As much as I want to end my list there, if I had to pick 3 more companies today with intention to limit tech exposure; I'll add LIN (tariff concerns), AMZN (growth risk and tariff concerns), and MRK (growth and product innovation concerns).
The reason I wanted to look at the five-year and 10 year more than necessarily the three month to 12 month view is because some companies just figure out a way to make investors money year after year. These are more retirement investments for me, a.k.a. companies that I’d love to hold for a long time so it’s important to me that they have a track record of doing really well. LLY is a great example - it's really popped over the last two years, but it's been flat/choppy over the last year. When I zoom out and look at 5 and 10 year views, i see a company with a strong track record. That's the type of company I'd like to ride for the next 10 years. Obviously everyone is looking for different things, but I’m looking to identify which companies I could create a fairly diverse collection from that has a decent chance of performing better than the S&P 500 over the next 10 years or so. And if I can basically do FAANG + Walmart + a bunch of stocks like WM, COST, LIN, BRK-B, BKNG, i’m hoping I can be diverse enough to do well over a longer time horizon without having to worry, month-to-month or quarter to quarter.
https://www.tiicker.com/insights/10-publicly-traded-brands-that-are-made-in-america Not on that list: $SJM, $CMG, $LIN, and a good portion of $INTC
HOLD THE LINE! HOD THE LINE! HOD TH LIN... HOD T LI.. HODL /GoT reference
The demand for Industrial gasses will not go away as long as we have industrialized societies. The Industry is an oligolply with leading companies being $LIN and $APD. Giant barriers to entry and very, very hard to replace physical product, which is being consumed across many industries. If I were to put a lump sum into one/two companies which I could not touch again the next 50 years those are high on the list.
Who cares it’s a crappy stock that gets too much attention. Why not talk about MELI, ORLY, WM, AVGO, MPWR, ICE, LECO, LIN…winners not dump divers
> You’re missing the part that asset prices reflect all KNOWN information or that information is poor quality. Unknown information is not reflected on the market price. If a company like Meta performs in a manner that is unexpected, then the market will adjust their expectations accordingly. This should be impossible according to the strong form of EMH, ALL available information is incorporated, both public and private. So no not missing anything. EMH suggests that everything Zuckerberg knows would be built into the market, which is clearly wrong. Also, even if you assume a weaker version of EMH -- take a look at how EPS estimates changed for META. Did they go up 600% for 2025E? No. > Regardless, over 15 year time horizons, only around 12% of actively managed funds were able to outperform their benchmark after fees in the US and similar internationally. This is what we would expect, assuming that nobody had any known information that hadn’t already been priced in. It’s good evidence that out-performance of active managers during short term time frames are likely due to luck. That most active managers underperform is not evidence of EMH. Alpha is inherently zero sum, and if you are able to generate alpha, you will attract the majority of assets. This is what we have seen with multimanagers who have vastly more resources than single man shops. So you should expect excess returns to be concentrated in <50% of assets after transaction costs, the majority of which will be earned by a limited few participants. > I’m also not trying to say that markets are perfectly efficient. It’s just a model, and not a perfect reflection of real markets, exceptions do exist, but those exceptions don’t detract from the main point. Even if you don’t agree that markets are efficient, it’s undeniable that an efficient markets framework helps passive and active investors alike. All too often I see investors on reddit look at raw company performance, but they never consider the market’s expectations. In order to profit actively trading, you need to assess how the market is wrong and have really good proof that you’re right, but good luck. I don't disagree with this. The market is a tough game. Anybody who thinks this is easy is an idiot. But I don't think you can take away anything from EMH except that trying to generate alpha is extremely difficult to the point where unless you're in the 95th percentile, it's probably not worth being more than a hobby for your average investor, and that you have to think about what other market participants are thinking and doing. However, inefficiencies exist all the time, which EMH postulates should never happen. It's inherently defeatist which I very much disagree with. It is very possible to find one-off efficiencies and profit off them, and you should certainly try to capitalize on those when they come up (this stance is one where most of this subreddit would blindly disagree with me on). Doing it day in, day out is a different matter. I used to be a professional investor and was a consistent alpha generator for my fund, but it took a lot of resources (probably spent over $200K a year on research). Now as a retired individual investor, I still outperform with my long picks, but those opportunities only become apparent to me maybe two or three times a year and usually among broader market selloffs -- for example, the last longs I bought were back in Oct 2023 (LIN, ASML, TRU, MLM, SE) and August this year (LULU, UNH, SHW, BROS) -- note I don't necessarily hold all these still for anybody who reads this and wants to bandwagon, don't take this as an indicator I still own these businesses or advice.
Gen Alpha kids are going to have so much fun joyriding these with an android phone and a LIN bus adapter.
ASTS and RKLB but they are still risky. On the other side of the spectrum LIN just straight and simple line go up.
"I believe hydrogen is the unsung hero in zero emissions technology" I'd then invest in a high quality company that offers exposure - LIN, etc. " and this company has huge potential upside." It's a company down 99.7% in pretty much a straight line and who apparently is accused of misleading the public. It's a 13M market cap company. "I also saw they were struggling to try not to be delisted from the NASDAQ, so I bought in at .08 per share. Seemed like nowhere to go but up. " The company's record so far as a public company imo would not inspire confidence/want to buy. Buying stuff like this (13m market cap, -99.7% in about 3 years) is gambling on penny stocks, which veerrrrry rarely goes well.
The guys I know who went from decent money to Dubai beach living where mostly lucky because they where doing it in the right time frame. People want to forget that the MSCI has a good run but it wasn't like [this in the 00 years](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MSCI_World#/media/File:MSCI_World_Price_Index_-_History_1969_-_2020.svg). There are one or two who are all-in-cycle traders for things like gold or slow cookers like $LIN. Sometimes they don't do trades for years.
LIN has been good for me. They are one of the biggest players in the industrial gasses market.
https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=LIN&p=d Doesn't $LIN also say the same thing though on your link (while being in the S&P 500)? (UK, not Ireland, though)
Sooooo... what's the play, here? Buy and hold CRS and LIN for 15 years? C'mon, dude, ya gotta gimme something.
> "The dispute with the western banks began in August 2023 when Ruskhimalliance went to an arbitration court in St Petersburg demanding they pay bank guarantees under a contract with the German engineering company Linde. The banks were among the guarantor lenders under a contract for the construction of a gas processing plant in Russia with Germany’s Linde (LIN.DE) which was terminated due to Western sanctions. > Ruskhimalliance is the operator of a gas processing plant and production facilities for liquefied natural gas in Ust-Luga near St Petersburg. In July 2021, it signed a contract with Linde for the design, supply of equipment and construction of the complex. A year later, Linde suspended work owing to EU sanctions. > Ruskhimalliance then turned to the guarantor banks, which refused to fulfil their obligations because “the payment to the Russian company could violate European sanctions”, the company said in the court filing. > The list of guarantors also includes Bayerische Landesbank and Landesbank Baden-Württemberg, against which Ruskhimalliance has also filed lawsuits in the St Petersburg court. > UniCredit said it had been made aware of the filing and “only assets commensurate with the case would be in scope of the interim measure”. > Deutsche Bank said it was “fully protected by an indemnification from a client” and had taken a provision of about €260mn alongside a “corresponding reimbursement asset” in its accounts to cover the Russian lawsuit." European companies were paid but could beither do the work nor refund payment, so the contracts had provisions with the named banks guaranteeing the contract, so their collateral was ordered seized. The banks are indemnified by deals with those clients of theirs, so the banks are passing along the costs to the companies whoch were forced bybsanctions to violate their contractual obligations to the Russian companies.
LIN - The biggest gas & hydrogen monopoly over there that's it
Am holding so many companies some new additions LIN, CI URNJ, ANET, VRT, KNSL, even NVDY is up it's nice
With low natural gas prices, their profitability will be high. Not sure about their project backlog. I’m long on $LIN
$LIN earnings call --> Long, just a nice stock
What are your expectations for LINDE (LIN) earnings call tomorrow?
LLY/MCD/CAT/ELF/LIN calls 🚀🚀
I am bullish on FSCHX. Exposure to ALB and Hydrogen stocks like LIN and APD. I believe the long term future for energy relies in Hydrogen production from excess renewables to produce electricity when renewables are not as productive.
And plug. Those are shorts. Buy LIN and SWAV
And Disney was a shit pick along with BHC and EL….but PANW, LLY, TJX LIN and CRM were some gems…winners and losers like anyone
For example. Most of the days when my big tech positions go down, my UNH LIN COST etc go up. So one side falls and my other side goes up to keep a balance. If either side hits reasonable buy points, I add money. It's really that easy and it's how I've managed to outperform vti over the last 8 years. I was ridiculed for another example on this forum for buying NVDA at $155 when everyone was negative on it. People called me names and said "it's going to $80 bro!"... Well I held and now my $155 nvda shares are worth almost $500 each. If I had put that money in vti, I wouldn't have the gains I got in that position. I've got countless other examples, but I can't type well on a smartphone keyboard
Degiro is a trading platform for buying stocks etc. I searched the tickers LMT + LIN and they don’t appear. What exchanges are they traded on?
The charts for UNH and LIN are parabolic. Where do they grow from here?!
Lol OK whatever. UNH has returned 23% to the markets 7% cagr for 30 years straight. Same thing with most blue chips like LIN ASML LRCX APD PEP MCD .... etc etc. Msft googl aapl nvda etc are blue chips. They'll still be here in 20 years.
Ok here's a random company I looked up on portfolio visualizer vs. Vtsmx (total market). From 2000 to 2023 Vtsmx 6.9% a year LIN (Linde) 14.6% a year
Same old lame argument. UNH ASML LIN etc were big dogs and still outperform
Could you please post this for me I have recently implemented an algorithm to trade options. I pick out of the money options on high volatility stocks and find trades with low delta. And all exit conditions coded. Today it found the trades shared below, all expiring 9/15 Any advice on any of the trades as to why you would or would not take those positions. IWM, IC, 180, 179, 198,199, 20230 GUD, IC, 173, 172, 183, 184, 20230 IBB, IC, 123, 122, 134, 135, IYR, IC, 81, 80,89, 90, MA, IC, 375,370, 415, 420, MDY, IC, 455, 450,500,505 LIN, IC, 360, 355, 400, 405, XEV, IC,132,131,141,142,202305 ALB, BC, 195, 200, 0, 0, 20230915, VNQ, IC, 78, 77, 86, 87, 20230915,
I have recently implemented an algorithm to trade options. I pick out of the money options on high volatility stocks and find trades with low delta. And all exit conditions coded. Today it found the trades shared below, all expiring 9/15 Any advice on any of the trades as to why you would or would not take those positions. IWM, IC, 180, 179, 198,199, 20230 GUD, IC, 173, 172, 183, 184, 20230 IBB, IC, 123, 122, 134, 135, IYR, IC, 81, 80,89, 90, MA, IC, 375,370, 415, 420, MDY, IC, 455, 450,500,505 LIN, IC, 360, 355, 400, 405, XEV, IC,132,131,141,142,202305 ALB, BC, 195, 200, 0, 0, 20230915, VNQ, IC, 78, 77, 86, 87, 20230915,
What do you think of these trades for today? My algo found these IWM, IC, 180, 179, 198,199, 20230 GUD, IC, 173, 172, 183, 184, 20230 IBB, IC, 123, 122, 134, 135, IYR, IC, 81, 80,89, 90, MA, IC, 375,370, 415, 420, MDY, IC, 455, 450,500,505 LIN, IC, 360, 355, 400, 405, XEV, IC,132,131,141,142,202305 ALB, BC, 195, 200, 0, 0, 20230915, VNQ, IC, 78, 77, 86, 87, 20230915,
Some of the trades it found today with high risk to reward ratio and al valid, vProId, symbol, spreadType,: 11, 0x500, IM, IG, 180, 179, 198,199, 21 ,0x230, GED, IC, 173,172, 183, 184, 20 ., 0x430, IBB, IC, 123, 122, 134, 135,20 1, 0x540, IYR, IC, 81, 80, 89, 90, 202309 11, 0xc0, MA, IC, 375, 370, 415, 420,2023 1, 0x40, MDI, IC, 455, 950,500,505,202 1, 0x180, LIN, IC, 360, 355, 400, 405, 20 1, 0x510, XLV, IC, 132,131, 141, 142, 20; 1, 0x5e0, ALB, BC, 195, 200, 0, 0, 202309 17, 0x530, VNO, IC, 78, 77, 86, 87, 202309. I have all entry and exit strategies coded
Ask the people at LIN. Their stock is soaring.
Industrial has companies (APD, LIN). Their equipment is often built into factories making switching basically impossible. Long term contracts with guaranteed income.
I think the Hydrogen sector will grow, if you want something a bit longer-term. There’s concern with how much tax break will be given to big energy companies. But I’m more bullish on hydrogen-focused companies like BE and PLUG. NKLA had a good day today because they announced sales on trucks, but I hear this is a bad company to invest with. There are other hydrogen stocks like DD, APD, and LIN. Full disclosure I’m small-time, and I only have a combined like $200 in hydrogen shares. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/07/05/biden-hydrogen-europe-00104024
I feel like Nike is ready to rebound next week, LIN might be ready to close that giant gap and puts on RIVN short tho in and out
I think there are a bunch of stocks. I had a look at LIN and O, seems like both of them have a weird ticker starting with a 0. There seems to be other companies with the same format that shouldn't be like that. I think someone has changed them to London:LON and then messed with the ticker.
It's so strange. LIN has been missing for a couple of weeks now, I think maybe I need to switch to a different stock tracker site.
No, you didn't... >Starting today, Linde plc shares will commence trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the stock ticker symbol “LIN” This is from 2018. OP, this is probably just an error on Google's part and hopefully it will be resolved soon. You can still see it on Yahoo finance and I can still find it in my chart software.
OKE looks like you have 3 shares. Looks like you bought at about 63.30 at the 200day. The 200 day is reasonable But you're in the MIDDLE of the lin-reg band. Which is unreasonable. The weekly chart suggests you could have gotten a lower price and the price hit the 200week MA. It hit the bottom of the daily LIN Reg. It hit the bottom of the weekly Lin Reg. So I can't say if you have a method. But your method of using MAs as entries is unrefined. The slow stochastic on the weekly failed to hold the 50 midpoint which was another sign of weakness. The slow stoch looked weak on the daily also. A mixed bag. The 200 day is a generally good entry with a tight stop But OKE just gapped down hard, locking you in. Everyone probably took that entry long and caused the long squeeze melt down. The slow stock showed no buyers. The Lin reg told banks they could get a better price. Oke probably trading on the weekly not the daily. As such you probably mis-timed your entry by not having more advanced tools. I'm impressed by your SBUX entry. Your OKE entry could have used some work. But OKE was more complex. I used to cut down trees while they were on fire. Being a master sawyer meant knowing when to do NOTHING. OKE is an example of that...imagine if you put your life savings in that entry Versus into SBUX. 2 very different results. Being a master is knowing why SBUX was less Risk of downside than OKE. I think the Lin reg would have helped you see it best.
Consider looking into LIN, APD, and CMI as safer diversified options.
My largest material sector holding, Air Products (APD), [sells hydrogen](https://www.airproducts.com/gases/hydrogen-metals-materials-processing), among other things. It's not a pure play. I don't own shares, but Linde (LIN) is [a peer company that also sells hydrogen](https://www.linde-gas.com/en/index.html).
# Tickers of Interest - TL;DR **Gamma Max Cross** * [KR](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#KR) 04/21 47P for $1.05 or less * [BITF](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#BITF) 04/21 1P for $0.25 or less * [LIN](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#LIN) 04/21 345P for $8.45 or less * [GSL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#GSL) 04/21 17.5P for $0.90 or less * [TNP](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#TNP) 04/21 20P for $0.40 or less **Delta Neutral Cross** * [EFA](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#EFA) 04/21 70C for $1.55 or less * [T](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#T) 04/21 19C for $0.20 or less * [GM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#GM) 04/21 38C for $1.80 or less * [NCLH](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#NCLH) 04/21 15C for $0.70 or less * [SBUX](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SBUX) 04/21 105C for $1.65 or less # Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today. This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0. For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both. It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals. The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV. # Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle * If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open. * Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion. * I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in. * The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. New price movement may invalidate the original thesis. # FAQ - Because others have already asked. * These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear? * No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level. * Are you entering all these plays? * No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn. * You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean? * The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not. * Where are the crayons? I only see words. * Click the links above. * Have you back-tested this? * Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.76), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error) * What is the historical performance? * The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.88 with a 66% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 62% and 77%. (Stats as of 2023-02-28)
# Tickers of Interest - TL;DR **Gamma Max Cross** * [SE](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SE) 04/21 75P for $2.85 or less * [ASTS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#ASTS) 04/21 5P for $0.25 or less * [SDOW](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SDOW) 04/21 27P for $1.65 or less * [LIN](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#LIN) 04/21 350P for $8.85 or less * [EGY](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#EGY) 04/21 5P for $0.35 or less **Delta Neutral Cross** * [SLV](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SLV) 04/21 18.5C for $0.60 or less * [GDX](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#GDX 04/21 27C for $1.15 or less * [EFA](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#EFA) 04/21 70C for $1.40 or less * [TEVA](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#TEVA) 04/21 10C for $0.20 or less * [XLI](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#XLI) 04/21 102P for $2.00 or less # Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today. This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0. For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both. It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals. The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV. # Notes - Something to give you a new wrinkle * If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Something changed between the time these plays were generated and market open. * Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion. * I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in. * The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. New price movement may invalidate the original thesis. # FAQ - Because others have already asked. * These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear? * No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level. * Are you entering all these plays? * No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn. * You mentioned a new play on the same ticker in the past. What does that mean? * The new play should replace the old play. The old play is likely now invalid and if you haven't entered in, don't chase the price. Remember that a new day's worth of data has been produced and the newer play reflects that data, the older play does not. * Where are the crayons? I only see words. * Click the links above. * Have you back-tested this? * Yes. Results show a moderate Sharpe Ratio (1.76), with an expected win rate of 63% of trades (7% margin of error) * What is the historical performance? * The realized Sharpe Ratio is 1.88 with a 66% win rate. Based on the trade performance so far, there is a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 62% and 77%. (Stats as of 2023-02-28)
LIN Linde/Praxair (companies merged), ORLY ORilley Autoparts and Grainger
Green energy: LIN - Linde , NEE - Nextera Energy
The large industrial gas suppliers like APD, LYB, and LIN all have hydrogen divisions. They aren't pure fueling plays, but they are great businesses in general.
Linde (LIN) left the DAX and since it was by far the biggest position that might have looked junky on some charts
LVMH, LIN, ASML, TSM, SONY, AIR are examples of high quality non-US stocks.
Oh really? ...... 2000 TO 2016: UNH. 21.2% CAGR UNP 16.4% CAGR LIN 11.92% CAGR COST. 9.21% CAGR JNJ. 8.15% CAGR You don't know as much as you think you do....
DE/HON/RTX/WMT/LIN are on my shorts list, who you got?
Most have finally started to drop, but I think there is way more to come: HON, RTX, BA, LIN, WMT, even stuff like JNJ and LLY (have to be careful with pharms because one piece of news can jack up the price)
Instructions unclear shorting LIN
I don't consider buying aapl at 129 a gamble. I don't consider unh I bought at 357 and am up 45% a gamble. COST LIN MSFT GOOGL UNP etc.
Thanks. A lot of people mention things like "what makes you think x stock will be higher in 5 years?" I'm not talking about crap stocks, but things like say COST or LIN APD UNP. To me exactly what you said is why they'll be up! Their earnings will increase over time due to inflation! Just like when I used to buy a Wendy's super-sized meal for $5.25 and now it's $10.
Just my opinion on good stable stocks for long tern. PEP LIN and XLU and XLV etfs
UNH ASML AVGO LIN TMO COST .... have beat the market for many years...
UNH ASML LRCX LIN UNP ODFL etc etc had good returns also all those years. UNH has a 22% CAGR going back to 1990. I'm up 50% in 2 years in UNH
Lots of US stocks went up just fine over the lost decade still.beating out international. Things like LIN TMO UNP ASML COST LRCX etc etc....
>Also people tend to forget that this was the markets return!! There were plenty of blue chip type companies like UNH COST LIN UNP NEE etc that gave From 7% to 20% a year all along! YTD TSLA -55.23%; AMZN -47.42%; Meta -65.76%; APPL -21.89; AXP -8.51%; NYSE Composite -11.23%; IXIC -30.49% I think betting in a casino would be more profitable. >If you had steadily added say $500 a month from 2000 to 2010 into VTSMX?? >You ended up with a 24% CAGR!!! So, adding your own money to a fund will increase your position in said fund??? Get out of here!!! Do you have an actual analysis to share? Money Market investments are offering 3-4%. It beats most indices now.
It didn't take 25 years. It took 15. Also you're talking about the whole market. There were MANY stocks (blue chips) that continually pumped out from 7% to 20% returns in that time frame! I assume you're talking about 2000 to 2015? Go to portfolio visualizer and look at various good companies over that time frame. For example: UNH UNP COST LIN TMO ASML LRCX.....
You could've maintained that view on UNH for the last 30.years and I would've been a millionaire by now Or the same of COST NEE LIN UNP etc over the last 20 years through worst times than this... Why worry about what you have no idea will happen? Are you saying I shouldn't own msft and googl shares cause some day they may fail? Give me a break....
COST MSFT GOOGL ASML LRCX etc I don't consider risky. LIN is the most solid industrial. Take a look at its graph on googl since the 90s.
Well I agree with Cramer on most good companies. I think most blue chips are higher 5 and 10 years out. Take a look at UNP NEE COST UNH TMO LIN HON etc on portfolio visualizer.
Here's some good stocks. UNH LLY COST LIN ORLY ENPH.... Most are at highs now though....
Linde (LIN), the world's leading industrial gases company. It has customers in critical sectors including chemicals, energy, food & beverage, electronics, healthcare, manufacturing, metals and mining. Modern life wouldn't exist without its products, but it is largely out of the public eye.
Not if you just hold good companies. Almost every blue chip i look back at over the last 20 or 30.years has beat or tied the market. Things like UNP LIN ODFL COST UNH TMO HD etc. But yeah I think it's easier to dca into an index psychologically.
I think so also! But average down slowly is my opinion! Check out: UNH LLY COST LIN
LIN if you are into hydrogen and industrial gassses WM if you like recycling NEE for renewable energy AMT / O if you want to invest in real estate AWK if you think water has potential LVMH - biggest luxury conglomerate
Linde ticker LIN is a gas and engineering company out of the UK. They sell CO2.
You can invest in Linde group. Ticker symbol LIN they sell CO2
HJEN but is has been down a lot of the time :( |Symbol|Name|Holding%| :--|:--|:--| |BE|Bloom Energy Corp Class A|9.18%| |PLUG|Plug Power Inc|8.39%| |BLDP:CA|Ballard Power Systems Inc|7.84%| |AI:FR|Air Liquide SA|7.66%| |LIN|Linde PLC|7.32%| |5020:JP|ENEOS Holdings Inc|5.43%| |APD|Air Products & Chemicals Inc|5.00%| |5019:JP|Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd|4.79%| |PCELL:SE|PowerCell Sweden AB|4.49%| |A336260:KR|Doosan Fuel Cell Ordinary Shares|4.21%| Global Hydrogen
Again, slowing economy = slowing demand for plastics and plus record high oil, electricity and gas prices, this is absolutely toxic mix for chemicals cos. However, if you was deadset on buying chemical co I would say this: you can pretty much divide chemical cos into two categories: generic products and advanced materials. Generics are like everyday plastics for packaging, consumer good and stuff like that. The ones you have listed are generic chemistry companies. Unless you want to swing trade them it would be better to avoid them. Then we have chemical cos that make advanced materials so stuff they use in planes, spacecrafts, fabs and stuff like that. Those companies over long period of time typically do better than generics but they are still very cyclical. One advanced materials company I used to like a lot is DD (don' hold it anymore). There is also another category, those are mega cap industrial gas producers, again wont go too deep here, but they have wide moats, strong pricing power and it is very good play on renewable energy (i.e. hydrogen). It's oligopoly between only three companies in the world and I hold two of them: LIN and APD. Siemens will drop, no doubt about it. Still it's an amazing company with very good management and strong tailwinds (electrification, digitization and automation, Siemens is a leader in all 3) and they pay dividend every year. They send me yearly divi, I buy bunch of shares, wait to do the same the next year. This one is an easy one for me lol.
LIN shitting! How low will it gooooo
$LIN is the only thing I’ll ever have in that space.
If you're planning to short COVID-related stocks, do some research on LIN. They're the ones that made it big by selling all the oxygen tanks and she's currently sitting right on top of her upper Keltner band. It would be sad if she were to fall like Humpty Dumpty.
Thanks, I saw that they sell different purity levels of neon, so that should be what I am looking for. Just wanted a hedge against the war, as LIN will likely be benefiting from the supply diversity that the semiconductor industry will be looking for.